Ethereum Accumulation and Bullish SetupEthereum is currently trading sideways, indicating an accumulation phase. On Monday, price swept equal lows and formed a long-wick bullish candlestick. The 4-hour chart shows two engulfing candles that cleared liquidity on both sides.
Technically, the market remains bullish and is consolidating. If momentum continues, ETH/USD may target the equal highs near $4,500. A confirmed close above the immediate support at $4,384 would validate this bullish outlook.
X-indicator
#ARB/USDT | ARB Set for Pump After Pullback to Support#ARB
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 0.4950, which represents a strong support point.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.5083
First target: 0.5158
Second target: 0.5262
Third target: 0.5388
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
XRP Forms Head and Shoulders At PremiumFenzoFx—Ripple (XRP) displaced above $2.900, confirming a bullish trend. It now trades around $2.978, filling a bearish fair value gap and forming a head and shoulders pattern. On the 4-hour chart, equal lows at $2.934 and a liquidity void at $2.912 suggest a potential downside move.
Please note that $2.912 remains in the premium zone, however, it could trigger a bullish wave targeting $3.037. A break below $2.912 may extend the decline toward the fair value gap at $2.837. Traders should monitor these levels closely for bullish setups.
xauusdPYTH:XAUUSD the chart is on a short-term timeframe (probably 15m or 1h).
A Rising Wedge pattern is drawn, which usually signals a bearish reversal.
After breaking below the wedge, price dropped sharply.
Now, the market has pulled back and is consolidating around 3645–3650.
Three levels are marked on the chart:
Risk free (~3630) → meaning if someone entered a short trade, once price reaches this level, they can move the trade to break-even.
TP1 (~3580) → the first bearish target.
TP2 (~3520–3530) → the second bearish target.
Overall takeaway:
The structure suggests that the bearish scenario is more likely (because of the wedge breakdown).
Right now, price is consolidating near a local resistance area.
If sellers step in again, hitting TP1 and possibly TP2 is on the table.
But if price breaks and holds above 3660–3670, that would invalidate the bearish setup.
SOL NEW ATH SOON?We see this bullish novel on 1d timeframe which is strong formation in that kind of trend.
Next one of the most important levels of fibonacci imo ofc 0.314 which is closing our volume gap seeable better at 1w timeframe. So this 2 confluences plus divergence seeable from 1d TF down makes me thinking of possible slight downtrend from area 223-229. Possible lq till 232. In that case we could be back at 193 and then continue ride for ATH
Thing we need to concentrate our attention but just a little lets keep it possible is head n shoulders formation from march 2024 with head on ATH and possible right shoulder forming right now. Its dark scenario but lets not forget about it.
So im bearish until we break 240 $
Lets see what market will give us
#CVX/USDT : Long-Term Breakout Signals Massive Upside Potentia#CVX
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 3.47, representing a strong support point.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 3.52
First target: 3.57
Second target: 3.62
Third target: 3.66
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
BTCUSD POSSIBLE BUY SETUP 112,167 TO 120,000📊 BTCUSD – Potential Bullish Continuation Ahead
Description:
BTCUSD has recently shown a break of structure (BOS) and a clean break above the descending trendline. Price is currently forming higher lows, which suggests a possible continuation to the upside.
Support Zone: $110,000 – $111,000
First Target Zone: $113,000 – $114,000
Main Target Zone: $116,000 – $117,000
My Bias (plan):
I remain bullish as long as the price holds above $ 110,000.
Possible entry: retracement around $111K – $112K.
Stop Loss: below $110K.
Take Profit: $113K – $117K.
Risk Management:
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Manage your risk properly—never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Community Note:
I share analysis like this regularly. If you find it useful, feel free to follow me here on TradingView for more updates 🙌.
BTC has formed an Ascending Triangle in a DowntrendWhat is Happening Here?
If we take a look at Bitcoin, it's pretty interesting right now: we can observe an ascending triangle just formed. But this pattern took shape after a sharp drop in price.
An ascending triangle is a bullish continuation pattern:
- The resistance line stays horizontal (flat top).
- The support line is rising, creating higher lows.
So what does this mean?
This indicates that buyers are gradually pushing prices higher while sellers are consistently defending the resistance level.
And often with this pattern, the buying pressure overwhelms the sellers, causing a breakout to the upside.
🔹 Breakout expectation:
- Wait for breakout confirmation always! (strong candle close above resistance with volume), and/or on a retest of the broken resistance (now acting as support).
- With this pattern, if it breaks above strongly, the target can typically be measured by taking the height of the triangle and adding it to the breakout level.
🔹 Risk Factors:
- False breakouts can occur (price temporarily breaks resistance but falls back inside).
- If the pattern fails and price breaks below the rising trendline, it may signal bearish weakness.
✅ The reliability of the pattern increases on higher timeframes and with strong breakout volume.
In summary
An ascending triangle shows the following: Buyers are showing strength with rising lows, while resistance is being pressured repeatedly. A confirmed breakout above resistance could drive price toward a psychological target. Waiting for a strong breakout and possibly a retest helps reduce false signal risk.
The decline adjustment is over and there will be new highs!The bull correction of gold is not the top, there will be new highs after the decline and adjustment!👇👇👇👇
This round of gold price started to rise from 3311 and reached 3674, with an increase of 363 US dollars. It is normal to have a decline and correction.
From yesterday's high of 3674 to today's low of 3620, the retracement was only $54, which is not the level of decline expected for a peak within this timeframe.
On the one hand, the current decline is due to the need for a technical correction; on the other hand, there is also the factor of long positions taking profits.
Thus, I maintain my view that gold will maintain its upward trajectory until the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on September 18th.
However, gold isn't particularly strong today, and there's still the possibility of further downward correction. A pullback could be expected around the 3650 resistance level. OANDA:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
#BTC/USDT Bullish Divergence on 1H, Low Risk Trade#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 0.0, representing a strong support point.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 112090
First target: 112177
Second target: 113111
Third target: 113963
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
BTC - Biggest Bull crypto fake-out ever?Hello Traders,
While many are thinking the party is just about to resume I have found clear bear divergence on BTC and other crypto plus much other TA supporting the move will be down and real soon. Also I believe the move will be down in stocks. Bad inflation data will be the cause starting this morning and accelerating with tomorrow’s follow up. Let’s see how this ages.
Role of Imports, Exports, and Tariffs Globally1. Understanding Imports
1.1 Definition and Importance
Imports refer to the goods and services that a country buys from foreign nations. They can include raw materials like crude oil, intermediate goods like steel, or finished consumer products like smartphones and luxury cars.
Imports are vital because no country is self-sufficient in everything. For example:
Japan imports crude oil because it lacks natural reserves.
India imports gold, electronics, and crude oil to meet domestic demand.
The U.S. imports cheap consumer goods from China and agricultural products from Latin America.
1.2 Role of Imports in Development
Imports help countries:
Access resources not available domestically (e.g., oil, rare earth minerals).
Improve quality of life by offering consumer choices.
Boost competitiveness by supplying industries with cheaper or better raw materials.
Promote innovation through exposure to foreign technology.
For example, many developing nations import advanced machinery to modernize their industries, which eventually helps them become competitive exporters.
1.3 Risks and Challenges of Imports
However, heavy reliance on imports can create vulnerabilities:
Trade deficits when imports exceed exports, leading to debt and currency depreciation.
Dependence on foreign suppliers can be risky during geopolitical tensions.
Loss of domestic jobs if foreign goods outcompete local industries.
A classic example is the U.S. steel industry, which suffered from cheap imports from China and other countries.
2. Understanding Exports
2.1 Definition and Importance
Exports are goods and services sold by one country to another. Exports are the lifeline of many economies, especially those with limited domestic markets.
For example:
Germany thrives on exports of automobiles and machinery.
China became the “world’s factory” by exporting electronics, textiles, and manufactured goods.
Middle Eastern countries like Saudi Arabia rely on oil exports for government revenue.
2.2 Role of Exports in Growth
Exports contribute to:
Economic growth by earning foreign exchange.
Employment creation in manufacturing, agriculture, and services.
Technology transfer and skill development.
Trade balance improvement, reducing dependency on foreign debt.
Export-led growth has been a successful model for many Asian economies. South Korea, Taiwan, and later China built their prosperity on robust export sectors.
2.3 Risks and Challenges of Exports
Reliance on exports also carries risks:
Global demand fluctuations can hurt economies. For instance, oil-exporting nations face crises when oil prices fall.
Trade wars and tariffs can reduce access to markets.
Overdependence on one sector creates vulnerability (e.g., Venezuela relying heavily on oil).
3. Tariffs and Their Role in Global Trade
3.1 Definition and Purpose
Tariffs are taxes imposed on imported (and sometimes exported) goods. Governments use them to:
Protect domestic industries from foreign competition.
Generate revenue.
Influence trade balances.
Exercise political or economic leverage.
3.2 Types of Tariffs
Ad valorem tariffs: Percentage of the good’s value.
Specific tariffs: Fixed fee per unit.
Protective tariffs: Designed to shield local industries.
Revenue tariffs: Focused on government income.
3.3 Role of Tariffs in Trade Policy
Tariffs can:
Encourage domestic production by making imports more expensive.
Shape consumer preferences toward local products.
Serve as negotiation tools in international diplomacy.
However, tariffs often lead to trade wars. For example, the U.S.-China trade war (2018–2020) disrupted global supply chains, increased costs for consumers, and created uncertainty in markets.
4. Interconnection of Imports, Exports, and Tariffs
Imports, exports, and tariffs are deeply interconnected. Together they define a country’s trade balance and influence its global economic standing.
Countries that export more than they import run a trade surplus (e.g., Germany, China).
Countries that import more than they export run a trade deficit (e.g., the United States).
Tariffs can alter this balance:
High tariffs discourage imports but can provoke retaliatory tariffs, hurting exports.
Low tariffs encourage open trade but may harm domestic producers.
This interplay is at the heart of trade agreements, disputes, and organizations like the World Trade Organization (WTO).
5. Historical Evolution of Global Trade
5.1 Mercantilism (16th–18th century)
Mercantilist policies emphasized maximizing exports and minimizing imports, with heavy reliance on tariffs. Colonial empires used this strategy to enrich themselves at the expense of colonies.
5.2 Industrial Revolution
Exports of manufactured goods surged from Europe to the world, while colonies provided raw materials. Imports fueled industrial growth, while tariffs protected nascent industries.
5.3 Post-World War II Liberalization
The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and later the WTO promoted free trade, reducing tariffs globally. Exports and imports flourished, creating the modern era of globalization.
5.4 21st Century Dynamics
Today’s global trade is shaped by:
Free trade agreements (e.g., NAFTA/USMCA, EU Single Market, RCEP).
Trade wars (e.g., U.S.-China).
Strategic tariffs to protect industries (e.g., solar panels, steel, agriculture).
6. Case Studies
6.1 China: Export Powerhouse
China’s rise is a textbook case of export-led growth. By keeping tariffs low, encouraging manufacturing, and integrating into global supply chains, China became the world’s largest exporter. However, its dependence on exports also made it vulnerable to U.S. tariffs in recent years.
6.2 United States: Import-Heavy Economy
The U.S. is the world’s largest importer, relying on foreign goods for consumer demand and industrial inputs. While this supports consumer affordability, it creates persistent trade deficits. The U.S. has used tariffs strategically to protect industries like steel and agriculture.
6.3 European Union: Balanced Trade
The EU maintains both strong exports (cars, pharmaceuticals, machinery) and imports (energy, raw materials). Its single market and common external tariffs demonstrate how regional integration manages trade collectively.
6.4 India: Emerging Economy
India imports heavily (crude oil, electronics, gold) but also pushes exports in IT services, pharmaceuticals, and textiles. Tariffs are frequently used to protect local farmers and small industries.
7. Benefits and Drawbacks of Free Trade vs. Protectionism
7.1 Free Trade Benefits
Efficiency and lower costs.
Greater consumer choices.
Encouragement of innovation.
Economic interdependence, reducing chances of conflict.
7.2 Protectionism Benefits
Protects infant industries.
Safeguards jobs.
Shields strategic sectors (defense, agriculture).
7.3 Risks of Each
Free trade can erode domestic industries.
Protectionism can lead to inefficiency and higher consumer costs.
The balance between these approaches is often contested in politics and economics.
8. Global Organizations and Trade Regulations
WTO: Ensures fair rules and resolves disputes.
IMF and World Bank: Influence trade indirectly through development aid and financial stability.
Regional Trade Blocs: EU, ASEAN, MERCOSUR, RCEP—all shape tariff policies and trade flows.
These organizations seek to balance national interests with global cooperation.
Conclusion
Imports, exports, and tariffs are not just economic mechanisms; they are the foundations of globalization, growth, and international relations. Imports ensure access to essential resources and products, exports drive growth and competitiveness, and tariffs shape the balance between free trade and protectionism.
Their interaction defines trade balances, influences politics, and shapes the destiny of nations. In a world increasingly interconnected yet fraught with geopolitical rivalries, the careful management of imports, exports, and tariffs will remain one of the greatest challenges and opportunities of the 21st century.
EURUSD – Weakness Ahead?For over a month, EURUSD has been stuck in a choppy range:
• Support: 1.1580 zone
• Resistance: just above 1.1700
As always, such tight consolidations usually precede strong moves. The question is: which way?
🔑 Factors pointing lower:
1. On the DXY, I expect a potential upside reversal – most bad news is already priced in.
2. Yesterday’s reaction to the NFP revision → USD strength, not weakness, which confirms the shift in sentiment.
3. A false break above resistance on EURUSD adds to the bearish case.
📌 Conclusion:
I expect further EURUSD weakness, with confirmation if the price breaks below 1.1650.
Gold: Shallow pullback, target remains 3.65xAfter the BLS labour revision, gold on the H1 chart went through a sharp two-way move. Normally this release isn’t a big market driver, but this year it acted as a strong catalyst, causing heavy swings.
The uptrend structure is still intact: price is holding along the Ichimoku edge, each higher low confirms buyers are active, and there’s an FVG layer supporting near 3.62x. If a stronger sell-off comes, 3.60x around the cloud body remains a familiar magnet for balance.
From the macro side, today’s US PPI and tomorrow’s CPI, alongside jobless claims and the ECB press conference, will be key. Softer data could weigh on yields and the dollar, giving gold the tailwind to retest 3.64x–3.65x, with possible extension to 3.66x–3.67x. On the contrary, hot data risks dragging the metal back to 3.62x or even 3.60x before resuming higher.
My bias still favours a shallow retracement as long as 3.60x holds. The 3.64x–3.65x band is the near-term lid: a firm candle close above strengthens the breakout case. Before the data, though, I’d rather wait for candle confirmation than chase intra-bar spikes.
What about you? Do you think gold will break above 3.65x in this move, or will it need another balance around 3.60x first? Share your view below.
GBPUSD may distribute to 1.38 GBPUSD breaks through the downward resistance that has been holding back the market for a month and tests the resistance at 1.3600. Technically, a false breakout could lead to a minor correction before a rally to 1.368 - 1.380.
Scenario: If GBPUSD breaks through resistance at 1.35886 - 1.3600 and forms a local consolidation above this zone, then the resistance of the formed consolidation can be considered a trigger and traded as a breakout with the aim of continuing growth.
However, based on the current situation, I expect a slight pullback, for example to 1.355 - 1.350, before growth to the specified targets.
EUR/USD | Euro Rejected, Eyeing 1.168 & 1.166 (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price started to drop as expected, correcting down to 1.168. After that move, demand stepped in, and now the pair is trading around 1.1716.
If the price manages to stay below 1.174, we could see another bearish move. The possible downside targets are 1.168 and 1.166. Key supply zones are 1.174–1.178 and 1.179–1.1810.
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban