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JSE:GFI Goldfields a Wyckoff StudyGFI has been an interesting chart to look at from a Wyckoff perspective. GFI had been stronger than the sector group (Gold Miners J150). However, with the sharp decline was lagging the sector and now is again showing strength. After the initial decline we had a redistribution range with an upthrust after distribution (UTAD), some low volume tests of the UT and a Markdown. Then a smaller accumulation TR was formed on high volume and a nr 3 Spring (low volume spring) which often does not require test before markup. After the initial markup in Phase D we now we see a Backing UP (BU) action to the accumulation TR on declining volume. Once this is complete the mark up in Phase E of the smaller TR will start. This markup should reach the larger TR at around 4500 which will be also be the BU for the redistribution TR which could mark a further markdown of the larger TR. If it breaks 45000 back into the redistribution range this would be very bullish.
JSE:GFILong
by SteynTrade
JSE:AMS Anglo American Platinum Long AccumulationAMS has been in a range since 2013. Signs are that this range has been an accumulation range after a decline. After a spring in Phase C we have had a test on low volume in Phase D and signs of strength (SOS) according to a Wyckoff analysis. In Wyckoff language the SOS could be seen as a jump of the creek. There is currently a pause at the top of the trading range and today has seen a strong move on the daily possibly indicating that the markup in Phase E could start with sum increased volume on green bars.
ALong
by SteynTrade
JSE:PPC PPC Limited Showing Signs of StrengthPPC has been forming a base since the middle of 2016 after a down trend. The downward stride has been broken. We see low volume on the down moves and increased volumes on the up moves (Signs of Strength). After a spring we see price finding support at the yearly pivot point. After a doji formed on increased volume, a bullish reaction and divergence with the Volume RSI the expectation is for a bullish move to the recent highs at R9 and possibly as high as the next volume cluster at between R11 and R12.
JSE:PPCLong
by SteynTrade
3
JSE:RMH RMB Holdings Re-accumulation rangeFollowing on from September's evaluation (See link below) the following. The pullback after the breakout seem to be a formation of a new trading range. Following the Wyckoff logic the breakout was on relatively high volume and the pullback to the previous trading rang a Automatic Reaction (AR). We have had another test of the bottom of the new trading range with demand again stepping in at this level. With the Rand (ZAR) strengthening this gives more confidence to this evaluation. With high volumes at the bottom of the new trading range it could be and indication that this is a re-accumulation trading range developing. For now we are looking at a test of the top of the trading range to see how it reacts.
JSE:RMHLong
by SteynTrade
JSE:MUR Murray and Roberts High Volume DemandMurray and Roberts has been in a long trend with redistribution stepping stones. However, the resent trading range is showing Signs of Strength (SOS). There have been high volume, wide spread green bars showing demand for the stock. Price has broken out of the trading range and backup to test the trading range again. The stock now looks ready to start the markup in Phase E of the Wyckoff phases. The point and figure chart indicates a count well into the previous range and even testing the upper resistance line of the previous range.
JSE:MURLong
by SteynTrade
JSE:BAT Brait still waiting to see the change of characterSince last months Wyckoff evaluation of the trading range (see link below) we are still waiting to see a change of character signalling that the creek will be jumped. Price has tested the bottom of the trading range on low volume indicating that supply has dried up. Volume has been low since the previous high volume test of the bottom of the trading range. Divergence with the Volume RSI indicates the upward pressure in the stock. It now looks that the stock could be ready to be marked up with in the trading range to test and potentially break the top of the trading range.
JSE:BATLong
by SteynTrade
JSE:FSR First Rand New Re-accumulation RangeFSR has a similar structure to RMH (See link below). FSR has also found support at the previous accumulation range and the Yearly Pivot Point. With the Rand (ZAR) strengthening (See link below) this also provides support. The high volume after the breakout can be seen as a Buying Climax (BC). The bottom of the range provides support on higher demand volume. We have now tested it again and the OBV is indicating the upward pressure. Will be looking for a test of the top of the trading range.
JSE:FSRLong
by SteynTrade
USDCAD a What is strong rejection of higher prices? There are one intraday levels what will be interest me in this week. This Intraday short levels are based on : Volume accumulation + Strong rejection of higher prices What is strong rejection of higher prices? This pattern is made when the price goes one way aggressively and then turns quickly and with the same aggression and speed goes the other way. A classic example would by a type of candle called the " pin bar". But pin bar is not the only visual form of strong rejection. There are many ways a strong rejection can look like! Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale
JSE:RMI Rand Merchant Investments DistributionRMI has been looking week since April 2015. After the Buying Climax (BC) and Automatic Rally (AR) was formed the stock has been week and kept moving below the trading range. After some last effort to move to the top of the trading range we see volume drying up indicating that the large players have completed the distribution after the initial increase in volume. The OBV has shown divergence with the price. After breaking the 200 Week MA was broken and retested it looks like the stock is ready to be marked down. The next significant points of interest could be as low as 2662 or even 2257 which is about a 30% decrease in price.
JSE:OUTShort
by SteynTrade
2
JSE:SGL Sibanye Gold Markup to the Redistribution RangeI have been watching this trading range develop during September and it looks like Sibanye is ready to be marked up back to the redistribution trading range. The downward stride has been broken and a shorter term base formed. There has been low volume pullback to Last Points of Supply (LPSY) which coincides with the 50 Day SMA. The Volume RSI has indicated divergence to go long. There is Signs of Strength (SOS) in the last move up. The next markup in Phase D of the shorter term accumulation range could extend to the 200 Day SMA around 1050 (Volume cluster of volume profile). This potentially will be followed by a backup to the accumulation range and then the Phase E markup potentially will start with a target of the bottom of the previous redistribution range and possibly 1500.
SLong
by SteynTrade
JSE:SOL Sasol Mark-up ContinuingStarting a new post for October to track the structure of SOL (See link below for Septembers post). Last month it looked like the markup had started and trading in a strong upward channel. At the end of the month the lower support line seemed to have broken. However, there has been effort to break the trend without response (high down volume but no progress in price). This effort is also seen in the negative divergence of price with the OBV. The 50 SMA seems to be a level of interest for buyers. If the 50 SMA is broken there could be more downside back to the accumulation range. If it holds and we could see a further markup to levels around 61800 and possibly even breaking the previous high at 65200.
JSE:SOLLong
by SteynTrade
JSE:DSY Discovery showing strengthDiscovery (JSE:DSY) is showing strong leadership as compared the JSE Wyckoff Wave (10 Core JSE stocks). The OBV is indicating bullish pressure. The stock has broken the 200 Day SMA, is above the Monthly and Yearly Pivot Points and is now pushing up against a significant volume cluster at 180 formed by the consolidation at the previous highs. On Thursday there was significant volume pushing up to this level and the JSE Top40 has also shown strength. If price pushes above the 180 level, the previous high could be tested with momentum behind it.
JSE:DSYLong
by SteynTrade
AUD/USD short from 0.7388There was a very long rotation on the AUD/USD. Now it seems that the price finally broke out of the channel into a sell-off. If this selling wasn’t just a false break-out then it indicates that there was a lot of short positions accumulated within the rotation area. Most of them at 0.7388 – this is the POC of the rotation. When the price makes a pullback to this area I expect that the sellers will defend their selling positions aggressively and that they will push the price lower again.
by Trader_Dale
4
NZD/CAD short from 0. 8767This trade idea is based mostly on a Trend setup. There is a strong downtrend on the NZD/CAD right now. In such case, I look for volume clusters that were created within the downtrend. Such a volume cluster as around 0.8767 shows us that sellers were adding to their selling positions there and that they continued pushing the price lower from this area. When the price makes it back to this area again (pullback), then those sellers are likely to defend their positions and push the price lower. Another confirmation of this level is as Support becoming resistance Price Action setup. Quite near our short level, there was a pretty strong rejection of this level in the past – marked in blue. This indicates that it was a strong support in the past. When the price went through this support then it became a resistance. There is one more thing about this level which I like – it is the pinbar candlestick (I marked it in the red rectangle). This pinbar shows us aggressivity of sellers, which again confirms the idea of a short trade from 0.8767.
by Trader_Dale
EUR/GBP long from 0.885Another very nice volume accumulation setup is currently on the EUR/GBP. What I like about this long level is the aggressive rejection of lower prices which occurred right before the start of the trend. This shows the strength of buyers who rejected lower prices and pushed the price upwards. Those buyers were accumulating their positions in the rotation area before the start of the trend. When the price makes it back to this level, those buyers will most likely defend their positions and they will push the price higher again.
by Trader_Dale
1