Gold to $4500?You’re looking at a 4-hour chart of Gold (XAUUSD) with a combination of Fibonacci extensions, RSI, and MACD indicators.
1. Price action & Fibonacci levels
• Current price: around $4,008.
• The chart shows retracement and extension levels, with key Fibonacci zones marked (0.618, 1.618, 2.618, etc.).
• The price recently retraced to the 1.618 level (~$4,010) — a common Fibonacci support zone — and bounced slightly.
• There’s also a 2.618 extension at $3,865, suggesting that if $4,000 fails as support, the next downside target could be around $3,865.
2. MACD (top indicator)
• MACD Line (blue) is well below the Signal Line (orange) → strong bearish momentum.
• Histogram is negative (–7.643), confirming the bearish trend.
• However, the histogram bars are starting to shrink, which can often signal bearish exhaustion or a potential bullish reversal coming.
3. RSI (bottom indicator)
• RSI = 35.93, with the RSI-based MA at 39.91.
• This means Gold is nearing oversold territory (below 30) — it’s not extreme yet, but buyers might soon step in.
• If RSI turns up and crosses the MA, it could confirm the beginning of a short-term reversal.
4. Projected path (orange line on chart)
• The drawn orange curve shows a possible bounce scenario:
• Gold could dip slightly below $4,000 or test $3,865 (2.618 level),
• then begin a gradual recovery toward $4,380–$4,400.
• That’s in line with a Fibonacci retracement to 1.0–1.618 area — a common recovery zone after a sharp drop.
5. Summary
Indicator Current Bias Signal
Price Action Slightly Bearish Approaching support zone
Fibonacci Key support at $4,000, next at $3,865 Possible bounce
MACD Bearish but flattening Early reversal potential
RSI Near oversold Could trigger rebound soon
Quick Take:
Gold might dip slightly lower (possibly to $3,865), but technicals suggest a bullish reversal may follow in early November, targeting the $4,380–$4,400 area.
