LiamTrading – XAUUSD Strategy for TodaySharing my personal outlook on gold for the day.
The primary trend in XAUUSD remains extremely strong, with price posting successive new highs over the past two weeks. Notably, buying pressure has been consistently robust across sessions, while pullbacks have been brief and limited to the lower M15–M30 timeframes.
Yesterday, gold broke out of a Pennant pattern to the upside and is now consolidating around 3,680. On the H4 chart, this level coincides with a key Fibonacci area, adding confluence to the technical picture.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, I expect Wave 3 to complete around 3,700, followed by a corrective Wave 4 towards 3,660 – a zone that has previously acted as solid support. Thereafter, gold could enter its final Wave 5, with potential to extend towards the 3,740+ region.
Trade ideas (for reference):
Buy 3658 – 3656, SL 3651, TP 3674 – 3688 – 3700 – 3715 – 3730 – 3744
Sell 3697 – 3700, SL 3705, TP 3688 – 3672 – 3660 – 3650
Sell 3740 – 3744, SL 3748, TP to be assessed based on price structure at that time
Key additional levels to monitor: 3673 – 3663 – 3635 and 3721, as these zones may trigger reactions and offer opportunities for scalping.
This represents my personal view on gold for today – I hope it proves useful in your trading decisions. Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below.
Xauusdanalysis
9/17: Ahead of Rate Decision, Trade Within 3668–3706 RangeGood morning, everyone!
Yesterday, after breaking above 3682, the price reached the 3692–3702 area before pulling back. Those of you who carefully followed the strategy should have caught this move.
At the moment, the price is near support. Ahead of the interest rate decision, the main support lies around 3670–3658, while resistance is in the 3700–3706/3712 area. Trading can be focused within the 3706–3668 range.
The key today is the interest rate decision. If the price falls before the news, then buying opportunities may arise during the announcement. If the price rises beforehand, look for selling opportunities after the news.
I’ve marked today’s intraday trading range on the chart for reference. You can plan trades based on the price area. If anything is unclear, feel free to leave me a message.
The trend after 3700 mark is more worth looking forward to!Gold has been hitting new highs recently. Yesterday, it broke through the previous high of 3674 in the US market and surged towards 3685. Despite a brief pullback in early trading, it surged back to 3698 in the European session and even broke through 3703 in the US market, maintaining a clear bullish trend. The current pullback is a normal technical correction and has little impact on the overall uptrend, but instead builds momentum for a subsequent surge. The key support level at 3670 is currently under consideration. This level has become a short-term dividing line between bulls and bears. A break below this level will clearly indicate a bullish advantage, but a potential decline should be viewed with caution. Above this, focus on the 3705 level. A break above this level could test the 3710-3720 area, and a strong breakout could open up further upside potential. Trading strategies should include a light short position near 3705 to capture profits on pullbacks, waiting for a pullback to the 3685-3675 area to stabilize before entering a long position. The bullish trend continues to target the 3700-3705 area. The overall strategy remains to prioritize buying on dips, with a secondary focus on selling on higher levels.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD got ATH on 09.16.2025 and what?Gold has made a new breakout by breaking through the sizeway zone and rising to a new ATH. The plan is that we need to pay attention to the price zone around the 3700 resistance. Today's plan is as follows:
💚 SUPPORT ZONES: 3675 - 3655
❤️ RESISTANCE ZONES: 3700 - 3705 - 3745
✅ BUY SCALP: around 3675, SL 3670, TP 3700 - 3745
❌ SELL SCALP: 3700 - 3705, SL 3710, TP 3675 - 3655
✅ SWING BUY: 3550 - 3560, SL 3540, TP 3625 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
❌ SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Hope is right!
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
The opportunity is right in front of you, don’t miss it!Yesterday, the technical analysis of gold showed a rapid downward retreat in the Asian session, breaking through the 3630 mark and stabilizing and rebounding. It fluctuated and consolidated around the 3630 mark in the European and US sessions, and finally ushered in a strong rise by bulls. The price of gold accelerated to break through and stand above the 3670 mark to set a new historical high. The gold bulls rose as expected, and there are still new highs above, so we are patiently waiting for gold to continue to rise. When it falls back, we will continue to look for opportunities to enter the market and go long. Yesterday, we responded flexibly around the key points, and made precise arrangements with two-way thinking to achieve a double kill of long and short, a steady harvest, and perfectly reach our goals. Today we continue to wait for further declines. After all, all indicators are bullish. Don’t guess the top if the bulls are strong. If the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is on Thursday, then the line around 3700 will also be within reach. At present, don’t blindly chase the longs above the 3680 line. If your current trading is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid investment pitfalls. Welcome to communicate with us!
From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3670-3360. If it pulls back to this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3650. As long as the daily closing level does not fall below this position, any pullback is an opportunity to go long, and the main tone of participating in the trend will remain unchanged. I will provide you with the specific operation strategies at the bottom, please pay attention to them in time.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3675-3360, target 3690-3695. If it breaks, look at the 3700 line.
False Break at 3700:Retreating Toward 3680-3670Currently, the highest price of gold has reached around 3699, and it is only one step away from the 3700 mark! I have to say that against the backdrop of significantly increased market expectations for interest rate cuts, the resonance of technical and news factors has pushed up gold prices. The current bullish momentum is strong, and there has been almost no obvious pullback during the rise. At this stage, most of these are tricks played by big funds, and it is actually difficult for retail investors to participate in long transactions. Therefore, at this stage, I will not rush to chase the rise in gold prices.
From an intraday perspective, gold still has the potential to hit the 3700-3710 area, so my latest trading plan is to continue shorting gold near this area. With gold bulls so strong, why I am still optimistic about a gold pullback. The main reason is that the current market is facing a critical time window. The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision tomorrow, but I think the Federal Reserve may announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut in a step-by-step manner, rather than the 50 basis points expected by the market. If the rate falls far short of market expectations, gold could experience a significant pullback or even a crash. However, the sharp rise in gold prices near the Fed's rate decision suggests it may be an attempt to reserve room for further declines. In addition, based on the current trading volume, the small trading volume may not be able to support the continued upward trend of gold. It is for this reason that while I avoid chasing high gold prices, I also always remain optimistic about gold shorts.
Therefore, at this stage, I would consider shorting gold in batches based on market price performance. By effectively raising the average entry price, we can reap the first bite of the pie after gold prices fall.
However, we must note that short-term support for gold currently lies in the 3680-3670 area, with strong structural support below that at 3660-3650. Therefore, in order to lock in profits in time, these two support areas will be our primary target areas for short trading.
President Trump Speaks, Israel Strikes—What’s Gold Gonna Do?Hey Guys,
It’s been a while since I dropped a gold chart. Got a ton of requests—so here’s a fresh swing setup for you.
Fundamentally, President Trump recently said “Trump says his patience with Putin is running out.” That kind of statement adds fuel to gold’s upside. Plus, Israel’s attacks in the Middle East are also pushing gold higher.
Right now, gold’s in a resting phase. But I’m expecting a move toward $3700 either this week or next.
Technically, I’m seeing a clean bull flag pattern.
I always work with both fundamentals and technicals. That’s why my swing target is $3700.
Every like you send is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these setups. Big thanks to everyone backing me.
XAUUSD – Bullish Bias Targeting Buy-Side LiquidityOn the 1H timeframe, my perspective on Gold (XAUUSD) remains bullish, with the main target being the buy-side liquidity above current price.
Price has recently formed a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which may serve as support and a potential launch point for further upside. If price holds here, we could see continuation toward higher levels. For entry, I’ll be waiting for lower timeframe reaction and confirmation.
However, it’s also important to note the sell-side liquidity resting just below the FVG. There is a possibility that price may first sweep this liquidity, tap into the underlying bullish order block, and then begin the upward move.
For this reason, I am watching two key areas:
1️⃣ The current bullish FVG as initial support.
2️⃣ The deeper bullish order block, should liquidity below be cleared.
In both cases, my bias remains bullish, but execution will depend on LTF confirmation at these zones.
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔎 DYOR
💡Wait for the update!
Gold 4H Outlook – Buy the Dip or Fade the Drop?Gold on the 4H timeframe is consolidating below 3,600 after a strong bullish run. Current structure shows price resting near premium levels, with liquidity building both above 3,600 and below 3,530. This suggests engineered sweeps before the next expansion.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,572 – 3,574 (SL 3,565): Fresh demand zone sitting at intraday discount; potential continuation area.
• 🔽 Sell Scalp Zone 3,530 – 3,526 (SL 3,537): Short-term supply/pivot area; scalp opportunity if price rejects.
• 📍 Liquidity Magnet 3,603 – 3,605: Upside imbalance zone likely to be rebalanced.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Zone Reaction
• Entry: 3,572 – 3,574
• Stop Loss: 3,565
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,585
o TP2: 3,595
o TP3: 3,605
👉 Demand block aligned with bullish order flow. Look for liquidity sweep and rejection to resume trend.
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🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Short-Term Reaction
• Entry: 3,530 – 3,528
• Stop Loss: 3,537
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,520
o TP2: 3,510
o TP3: 3,500
👉 Intraday supply zone and pivot. Best used for quick scalps against trend, targeting downside liquidity.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Bias remains bullish overall, but intraday shorts are valid for scalps. The cleaner setup is buying into 3,572–3,574 for continuation toward 3,600+. Smart money may sweep liquidity at 3,530 before reversing higher.
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Setting Up Wave (5) ExtensionHey Traders,
Gold on the M30 chart is still holding a bullish structure, but the recent push into the upper channel line shows early signs of exhaustion. Here’s my full breakdown and trading plan:
🔍 Technical Overview
Price just completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural profit-taking zone.
The 3666–3670 range has been a key pivot/support zone multiple times; I expect a pullback into this area for Wave (4) before another rally.
3657 marks deeper support and the invalidation point for the bullish setup.
If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) targets 3720–3725.
📈 Key Levels
Type Price Level Notes
Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch rejection
Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4)
Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation
Wave (5) TP 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target
⚙️ Trading Plan
✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation)
Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a brief sweep to ~3657).
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on M30.
Targets:
TP1: 3695–3700 (prior highs)
TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection)
Stop Loss: Below ~3652.
Risk/Reward: ~1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry.
⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short
Scenario: Strong rejection again at 3695–3700.
Targets: 3670 → 3657.
Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707.
Note: This is countertrend and higher risk – take quick profits, small position sizing.
🛡 Risk & Invalidation
A close below 3656 with a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario.
Always risk ≤1–1.5% per trade, wait for confirmation, and don’t chase if price runs without you.
🧭 Final Thoughts
Gold remains in a bullish short-term channel. A healthy pullback into 3666–3670 could provide the perfect entry for the next Wave (5) leg up. Be patient for price action confirmation.
Countertrend shorts are possible on a sharp rejection at 3695–3700, but the main play is buying the dip.
Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and let the market come to you.
Intraday short position is dominant, beware of big drop#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
As I analyzed with you over the weekend, although gold prices largely fluctuated at high levels last week, the overall structure remained within an upward trend. Yesterday's daily line closed with a big positive line, breaking the box-shaped oscillation in one fell swoop. This morning, gold continued its bullish trend, reaching a high of around 3689. Judging from the market trends, the overall short-term bullish trend remains unchanged, but this does not mean the end of the short position.
First, the risk of chasing high prices is far greater than shorting, and the technical analysis suggests a potential correction.
As the price of gold rises, the previous resistance gradually turns into short-term support. If gold wants to continue to rise, it must at least fall back to 3665-3655.
Secondly, regarding the news, first, although the fourth China-US talks have not yet released any signals about tariffs, the news released by China is conducive to positive developments. Second, the court dismissed Trump's charges against Cook. Although the White House has stated that it will continue to do so, this move has effectively reduced market concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve. From the news perspective, it is conducive to the decline of gold.
Therefore, I remain optimistic about a short-term pullback in gold prices. Those without existing orders can consider continuing to short gold in batches above 3680, with a short-term target of 3665-3655. It can not only effectively raise the average price, but also occupy an advantageous position when gold experiences a sharp correction. However, it should be noted that in short trading, the number of trading lots must be strictly controlled to reduce trading risks and not let the account collapse on the eve of profit.
GOLD New High Record Break Gold New High on the Way! 🔥
Current Price: 3635
📈 Buy Entry Active — Target 3690
✨ Gold is in full bullish control.
✨ Buyers pushing strongly toward new record highs.
✨ Market confidence remains unshaken.
✨ Every dip is being bought instantly.
✨ Strong fundamentals + technicals support upside.
✨ Next resistance is ready to be tested soon.
✨ A breakout above 3690 can open doors for even higher levels.
✨ This could be the start of another major rally.
⚡ Don’t wait — secure your position now before the breakout run begins!
Gold Breaks Records: Is This the Start of a New Super Cycle?Hi traders! Gold (XAU/USD) broke out strong, gaining 1.1% on September 15, 2025, to close at $3,680.80/oz after hitting a historic peak of $3,685.39/oz. Last week, gold climbed 1.6%, supported by a weaker USD (down 0.3% to a one-week low) and falling US government bond yields. The market is almost certain the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25% on September 17, with some even anticipating a larger 0.5% move (according to the CME FedWatch Tool). Global tensions and potential gold import liberalization in China continue to fuel the rally. Let's analyze and find some trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines in Uncertainty 🌟
Fed Rate Cuts: US economic data from last week showed the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose at its fastest pace in seven months, but recent jobs data pointed to a weakening labor market. This supports the Fed’s move towards a rate cut, a first since December 2024. A lower interest rate environment weakens the US Dollar and makes non-yielding assets like gold more attractive.
Geopolitical Tensions: The upcoming Fed meeting is under unusual political pressure, with leadership disputes and President Donald Trump pushing for greater influence. The US Senate is also considering allowing his economic advisor, Stephen Miran, to join the rate-setting committee to vote on September 17. Gold typically acts as a safe haven during such instability.
China's Demand: Reports from last weekend suggest China may ease gold import/export rules and boost its purchasing activity. Strong official and private demand from a major consumer like China is a key driver for gold's upward momentum.
Technical Analysis: Breaking Records & Finding Opportunities 📉
Gold has decisively broken above the Fibo 2.618 level and established a new all-time high (ATH). Pullbacks have been shallow, typically moving only about $10 before the rally continues. This indicates strong buying pressure, making it difficult for sellers to gain ground. We should look to buy on dips and consider selling only at key resistance levels.
Resistance: $3704, $3714, $3724
Support: $3694, $3686, $3674, $3666
Trading Setups (Use Strict Risk Management):
Buy Scalp:
Zone: $3688 - $3686
SL: $3682
TP: $3691 - $3696 - $3701 - $3706
Buy Zone:
Zone: $3667 - $3665
SL: $3657
TP: $3675 - $3685 - $3695 - $3705 - $3715
Sell Scalp:
Zone: $3704 - $3706
SL: $3710
TP: $3701 - $3696 - $3691 - $3686
Sell Zone:
Zone: $3724 - $3726
SL: $3734
TP: $3716 - $3706 - $3696 - $3686 - $3676
Gold is at an all-time high—be cautious of liquidity traps around the upcoming Fed news! Above $3694, the next target is a new high; below, we could test $3666. Manage your risk tightly ahead of the September 17 volatility! Will you buy the dip or sell the top? Share your strategy below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBank
XAU/USD 16 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its upward trajectory printing all-time-highs.
Price previously, and has now for the second time, printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I also have marked this in red.
Price has continued with it's upward trajectory. We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,697.405.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued with its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs.
Price is currently trading within and internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,697.405.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially continue bullish.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
(Fed) will cut interest rates at the upcoming meetingGold's surge today was fueled by optimism ahead of the US Federal Reserve's meeting. Investors are expecting the Fed to cut interest rates for the first time in a year, a move that typically reduces the cost of holding non-yielding gold.
At the same time, the US dollar was under pressure, with the dollar index losing 0.3% to 97.3 points - the lowest since July. Since the beginning of 2025, the index has fallen more than 10%, while global gold prices have increased by more than 40%.
However, analysts say the rise in gold prices is not only due to the weakening of the USD but also strong investment demand. This shows that gold is attracting great attention from investors, far beyond its role as an asset that benefits from currency fluctuations.
Trade cautiously and wait for a pullback to go longGood morning, my friends.
At present, gold continues to rise, and blindly chasing more will definitely lead to huge risks. We originally planned to wait for gold to pull back before going long, but the market did not give us this opportunity.
I didn't let you blindly chase the short positions yesterday. Now, are you glad that you followed my advice and didn't enter the market rashly? I know that after it hit 3675 yesterday, there must have been a lot of people shorting the market. Many brothers even held their positions until today, but found that the market did not give a good retracement point. At this time, it's even more important to avoid being manipulated by emotions and engaging in revenge trading.
In the short term, the prudent approach is still to wait for gold to pull back before going long. In the short term, focus on 3675-3665. If it does not break through the pullback, you can try to go long on gold.
MARKET ANALYSIS – XAUUSD I 16 - Sep ⚙️ Current Context:
- Gold has broken out of the previous downtrend and established a clear uptrend with a sequence of Higher Lows – Higher Highs.
- Current price is around 3682, sitting above the short-term supply zone (3671–3685) and near the Swing VaH.
- Volume Profile shows liquidity concentrated around 3650–3685, with SWING VAL 3647–3653 as a potential support zone in case of pullback.
🧭 VOLUME PROFILE & PRICE STRUCTURE
🟩 Swing VaH zone: 3685 → Short-term resistance
🔹 Supply zone: 3671–3685 → Potential profit-taking area
🟧 Swing VAL zone: 3647–3653 → Support if price pulls back
🔺 Demand zone: 3636 → Medium-term buy zone if a strong flush occurs
🎯 MAIN TRADE SCENARIOS
✅ Scenario 1: Buy Pullback around 3650–3653
📍Conditions:
Price retraces into old Supply zone + Swing VAL
Bullish confirmation candle (Bullish Engulfing / Pin Bar M15–M30)
🎯 Target: 3685–3700
🛑 SL: Below 3644
✅ Scenario 2: Buy Breakout if price clears 3685
📍Conditions:
H1 candle closes above Swing VaH 3685
Strong breakout volume
📌 Entry: 3686–3688
🎯 Target: 3705–3710
🛑 SL: Below 3671
⚠️ Scenario 3: Short-term Sell if strong reaction at 3685–3690
📍Conditions:
Bearish Pin Bar / Fakey (M15–M30) appears around 3685–3690
📌 Entry: 3685–3688
🎯 Target: 3655–3653
🛑 SL: Above 3695
🔁 Scenario 4: Buy around Demand Zone if price drops sharply
📍Conditions:
Price falls into 3636 (Demand zone)
Strong absorption (Pin Bar / Doji M30–H1)
📌 Entry: 3636–3638
🎯 Target: 3665–3680
🛑 SL: Below 3628
💬 Notes & Key Takeaways
- The market is consolidating near the top, and a technical pullback may occur before further upside.
- Prioritize BUY setups in line with the main uptrend; SELL only for short-term reactions with tight SL.
- Strictly manage risk & always respect Stop Loss.
Gold Ready for the Next RallyOver the past few sessions, I’ve observed gold consolidating within a Symmetrical Triangle after a strong bullish move. From my experience, this pattern often represents a “pause for breath” before the market resumes its primary trend.
What caught my attention most is that price has just broken above the upper boundary of the triangle, signaling a clear breakout. That said, I won’t be rushing into a trade. I always prioritize safety, so I’ll wait for price to retest the breakout zone. If the former resistance holds as new support and shows strong rejection, that will be my ideal entry point.
Based on my projection, the upside target for this setup is around 3,720 USD. For risk management, I would place the stoploss either below the lower boundary of the triangle or just under the breakout zone, depending on risk appetite.
On the H2 timeframe, this Symmetrical Triangle setup looks highly reliable since it aligns with the broader bullish trend. If the breakout holds, I believe gold still has plenty of room to climb higher.
Gold XAUUSD: Anticipating a Retracement for Continuation Long📊 Currently watching Gold (XAUUSD), price has been pushing aggressively higher in a strong bullish trend. However, the market is now reaching into areas of thin liquidity, appearing somewhat overextended.
🔎 I’m anticipating a potential retracement toward the 50% equilibrium level of the previous price swing. Within an ongoing uptrend, the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement often acts as a prime entry zone 🏹 for continuation trades.
⚖️ If price pulls back and establishes support, followed by a bullish break of market structure, that would provide a high-probability opportunity. If the setup fails to materialize, then there’s simply no trade — patience is key.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is educational analysis only and not financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately.