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Xauusdanalysis

Gold Holds at Record HighsOver the past five trading sessions, the price of gold has gained more than 1.7%, consolidating at highs as the precious metal continues to attract capital flowing out of other markets. For now, buying pressure remains strong after the release of U.S. inflation data, which reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a low-rate policy in the short term. This scenario reduces the appeal of bonds and favors gold as a safe-haven asset, which continues to benefit from market confidence. As long as the outlook for lower rates persists, XAU/USD could see even stronger buying pressure. Aggressive Trendline Since late August, gold has posted a series of bullish moves that have shaped a strong buying trend in recent sessions. The price is moving within a steep trendline, reflecting the aggressiveness with which the metal has reached new highs. However, such sharp advances often open the door to technical corrections, as momentum tends to ease. If upcoming moves show signs of exhaustion, gold may experience pullbacks in the short term. Technical Indicators RSI: The RSI line is oscillating above 70, in overbought territory. This indicates that buying momentum has been dominant and is creating a balance distortion, which could pave the way for corrective pullbacks. MACD: Both MACD lines are well above the zero level. However, a potential downward crossover between them would signal a loss of buying momentum in the short term and increase the likelihood of a consistent corrective move in the sessions ahead. Key Levels to Watch: $3,640 – Nearby Resistance: Marks the area of recent highs. A sustained breakout above would reinforce buying pressure and keep the aggressive bullish trend in place. $3,577 – Nearby Support: Linked to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, this level acts as the first barrier against possible pullbacks. $3,500 – Critical Support: Aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, this is the most crucial short-term level. A drop to this area would put the current uptrend at risk and give way to a more dominant bearish bias. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Gold - This pattern just repeats!🚑Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) shifts bearish soon: 🔎Analysis summary: With the previous 10 year bullish cycle, Gold perfectly followed market structure. With this 10 year cycle, Gold is still perfectly respecting market structure. Overall, it becomes more and more likely that Gold creates a top formation with a bearish correction following soon. 📝Levels to watch: $3,500 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:GOLDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
8
XAUUSD Scalp Buy @ 3643XAUUSD Scalp Buy @ 3643 XAUUSD – Scalp Buy Setup at 3643 | Intraday Momentum Play Gold is showing bullish momentum on lower timeframes, bouncing off minor support at 3643. Price action confirms buyer interest, with indicators flashing short-term upside potential. This scalp setup is designed for fast execution and tight risk control. 📌 Trade Parameters - Entry: 3643 - Stop Loss: 3637.5 (below recent wick) - Take Profit: 3652 / 3655 - Risk/Reward: ~1.5–2:1 📊 Technical Confluence - Price above 55-MA channel on M1/M5 charts - Heiken Ashi candles turning green (trend confirmation) - RSI climbing from mid-zone, showing momentum - MACD crossover on 5M chart - Volume spike on bullish candles 💬 Scalper’s Narrative Gold is reacting positively to intraday support, with buyers stepping in around 3643. If price holds above 3645, expect a quick push toward 3652–3655. This scalp setup favors fast execution during active sessions. Avoid trading inside the MA channel—wait for breakout confirmation. Setup remains valid unless price breaks below 3637.5 with volume. Align with higher timeframe bias: scalp buys only if price is above the 200-MA
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TradingHub_FX_crypto
Bulls and Bears Poised to StrikeGold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3635-3655, with no clear signs of a breakthrough. However, judging from the current structure, gold has been showing an overall volatile upward trend since it rebounded near 3615. What needs to be paid close attention to at present is the support performance near 3635. If gold can stand firmly above 3635, it will perfectly maintain the volatile upward structure and provide the prerequisite for breaking through the short-term resistance area of 3655-3665. Once gold uses this as a basis and breaks through the 3655-3665 area, then gold is expected to set a new high again, and even hit the area near 3700. Since the bulls are still in an advantageous position and the overall structure of the market is oscillating upward, we have no reason not to execute long trades based on the long structure. Therefore, I think that in short-term trading, we can consider going moderately long on gold in the 3640-3630 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Breakout Confirmed, Macro Drivers & Key Liquidity Zones 🚀 XAUUSD | MMFLOW TRADING 📊 Market Context & Macro View Gold (XAUUSD) has confirmed a breakout above its short-term descending trendline, signalling renewed bullish momentum after several sessions of compression. This move comes as traders price in slowing US inflation and increasing confidence that the Federal Reserve could pause or even ease monetary policy in the coming months. 🔹 Macro Drivers Supporting Gold: US CPI & PPI softness → Indicates cooling inflation, reinforcing expectations for stable or lower rates. Treasury yields steady, while a weaker USD provides an additional tailwind for gold prices. Geopolitical tensions and central bank accumulation continue to underpin long-term bullish sentiment. ⚠ Risk: Liquidity sweeps remain a possibility ahead of next week’s Fed meeting—watch for false breakouts and sharp reversals. 🔑 Key Technical Levels (H1) Immediate Resistance: 3,654.17 (React Zone FIB) OBS Sell Zone: 3,664.52 Upper Liquidity Target: 3,679.31 Major Sell Liquidity: 3,709.85 Supports / Buy Liquidity Zones: • 3,637.91 – Breakout Retest • 3,631.63 – CP Support • 3,622.41 – Deeper Liquidity Layer • 3,584.78 – END Liquidity BUY ZONE 📈 Scenario & Outlook London Session: Expect a retest of breakout zones (3,638–3,632) for liquidity collection before another potential leg higher. A clean break through 3,654 → 3,664 could trigger fresh buying momentum toward 3,679–3,709. Failure to hold 3,622 would expose deeper support at 3,584 as the next key level. 📌 Trading Plan 🔵 BUY ZONE 1: 3,635 – 3,633 SL: 3,629 TP: 3,640 → 3,645 → 3,650 → 3,660 → 3,670 → ??? 🔵 BUY ZONE 2: 3,621 – 3,619 SL: 3,615 TP: 3,625 → 3,630 → 3,635 → 3,640 → 3,650 → 3,660 → ??? 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,708 – 3,710 SL: 3,715 TP: 3,704 → 3,700 → 3,695 → 3,690 → 3,680 → ??? 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3,679 – 3,681 SL: 3,685 TP: 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665 → 3,660 → ??? ✅ Summary Gold is holding its breakout above key levels, supported by softer US inflation data and a weaker USD. Liquidity sweeps may occur in the near term, but the broader trend remains bullish as long as 3,622 holds. 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates, liquidity scenarios, and BIGWIN trade setups as gold reacts to macro drivers and critical technical zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Trading Recap and RecommendationYesterday, we successfully went long at a low level, entering the market within the 3,600-3,620 range. Today, when the price moved up to 3,650, we executed the TP as planned and secured profits smoothly. Today's Trading Advice: Buy on Pullbacks Buy 3630 - 3640 TP 3650 - 3660 - 3670 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan
3655 accurately shorted gold to seize the opportunity of declineGold fluctuated higher today, rising from 3630 all the way to 3657. However, after encountering resistance at this level during the European session, it ultimately retreated. The overall trend remains consistent with our previous analysis and strategy. Today's strategy is to short on rebounds around 3655, watching for pullbacks. The current low has been around 3637, resulting in a small short-term gain of approximately 150 pips. Congratulations to those who followed this strategy for a solid win! For those who are short-term traders, it's recommended to lock in profits or lower your stop-loss to avoid profit taking. For those holding medium-term positions, manage your positions appropriately and patiently await the next wave of opportunities. Following the trend and executing your plan are the keys to stable profits in the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
European session sees retracement, US session hits new highGood morning, everyone. Although gold has rebounded at present, it has not effectively broken through and stabilized above the short-term resistance of 3655-3660. In the short term, this resistance range still exerts a certain pressure on the gold price, but this does not mean that we give up the judgment that gold may reach a new high. First of all, looking at the daily gold chart, we can find that yesterday's daily line closed with a negative line, but gold did not fall but rebounded and rose. This is not only the impact of data, but also shows that the buying funds in the current market are very strong. As I told you before, big changes in the market will only occur after the Fed's interest rate cut basis point is clear next week. But at the same time, brothers need to be clear that we should be alert to the false break of gold. Therefore, we can give a floating space of about $5, relying on 3655-3665 to see the short-term suppression. It may fall back when encountering resistance here in the European session. You can try to short with a light position. The short-term support should focus on 3645-3635 below. If it falls back and the support is not broken, gold will continue to rise. In particular, be alert that gold in the US market may rebound to a new high based on the support level. If the European session directly returns to the lower support, we can go long on gold first.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
Gold Analysis – Is the Correction Over?Yesterday I maintained my bias that OANDA:XAUUSD correction could extend lower, with 3570 as the focus for the next swing low. I even sold rallies above 3640 zone with that scenario in mind. However, after the CPI release, Gold dipped to 3620 zone but quickly recovered. That prompted me to lock in a modest 100 pips gain rather than fight the market. A wise move in hindsight, since Gold is now back testing the 3650+ resistance zone. So, is the correction finished? ➡️ Most probably, yes. Here’s why: • Bulls are defending the 3620 zone, stepping in strongly on dips. • The chart is shaping into a rectangle, typically a continuation pattern, which suggests consolidation before trend resumption. • Momentum is aligning again with the broader bullish trend. Trading Plan: • As long as 3620 holds, my strategy shifts to buying dips instead of selling rallies. • A break above 3660 would open the path for continuation, with 3700 as the next bullish milestone. The market has spoken – the correction seems to be losing steam, and the trend is ready to reassert itself. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
8
Quiet Storm：Bulls vs Bears in Waiting！Under the influence of CPI and initial jobless claims data, gold rose directly to the area around 3644. The short-term rise seems exaggerated, but it did not stand firmly above 3650, and even failed to reach the intraday high of 3649. The release of bullish momentum was relatively convergent; it can be clearly seen from the short-term candlestick chart that gold showed long upper shadows many times in the short term, and the trajectory and structure began to shift downward, and tested support downward many times, which also proved that the short-selling force was gradually recovering after being suppressed. However, gold rebounded after touching the 3620-3610 support area several times during the retracement. Although the bullish momentum has declined in the short term, the bullish structure has not been completely destroyed, so the overall structure is still controlled by the bulls, and the bullish force still has enough strength to support gold. Overall, as the bulls become more cautious and the bears gradually recover, gold is expected to maintain high-level fluctuations in the short term, and the fluctuation range is likely to remain in the 3655-3615 area. Therefore, for short-term trading, we can strictly stick to the trading points and execute high-selling and low-buying transactions within the area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Wait for new highs and go long on pullbacksA good day starts with profits, now let's analyze the trend of gold today.📊 Gold is currently consolidating around 3650, with 3655-3665 forming short-term resistance above. The 4H MACD indicator is correcting a top divergence. Having first touched this resistance level in the European session, gold may experience a pullback. 📉As the price of gold continues to rise, the short-term support also moves up. Pay attention to the short-term support area formed by 3640-3630. 🌈If gold retraces support and then rebounds above this resistance level, it could first reach 3675, or even reach a new high of 3690-3700, as we anticipated yesterday.🚀 Intraday operations are mainly long at low levels, supplemented by short at high levels, and participate in trading in key ranges.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP-Halson
XAUUSD Gold Intraday Move 12.09.2025Intraday Analysis The market has recently broken out of a descending trendline, showing signs of bullish momentum. After the breakout, price retraced toward previous supply turned demand zones, creating potential buying opportunities at key levels. Key Observations: Trendline Breakout: The downward trendline has been broken, indicating a possible shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Retests of the broken structure often provide high-probability entries. Demand Zones: Zone 1 (3630–3633): This level aligns with a prior consolidation area and trendline retest. A bounce here could trigger continuation toward higher resistance. Zone 2 (3612–3616): This is a deeper support zone and serves as a secondary buying opportunity if the first level fails. Targets and Risk Management: For Zone 1, the upside target is 3657 with a protective stop below 3622. For Zone 2, the upside target is 3640 with a stop below 3606. Both setups provide a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Confirmation Requirement: Entries should only be considered once at least two confirmations are present. Possible confirmations include: Bullish candlestick patterns (engulfing, pin bar, or strong rejection wicks). Break of minor intraday structure to the upside. Volume spike or momentum divergence supporting the bullish bias. Conclusion: The bias remains bullish while above 3612. The first area of interest is 3630–3633 for a potential long entry toward 3657. If price dips deeper, the 3612–3616 zone provides the next opportunity for a bounce targeting 3640. Proper confirmation is essential before committing to trades, and stops should be respected to manage risk effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold (XAUUSD) – 12 Sep | Short Setup Watching 3651 – 3657.6 POI🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 12 September Market Context • Price is currently trading around 3649, approaching our fresh M15 POI (3651 – 3657.6) . • We have seen a recent Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside, confirming a short-term shift to bearish sentiment. • Price has now retraced back into the POI zone, aligning with a potential short setup area. Key Observations • POI Zone: 3651 – 3657.6 (aligned with LH + supply zone) • Liquidity Sweep Potential: Price might push slightly above the POI to grab liquidity before resuming the downtrend. • Structure: Market is forming lower highs and lower lows after the BoS, reinforcing a bearish bias unless price closes decisively above the POI. Execution Plan • Wait for price to retest 3651 – 3657.6 • Look for M1 confirmation (micro-ChoCh / micro-BoS) • If confirmation aligns → plan short setup with fixed risk ( SL: 40 pips | TP: 120 pips , 1:3 R:R) • If the POI is broken → step aside and reassess deeper levels Invalidation A clean break and 15M candle close above 3657.6 invalidates the short idea. Patience pays — let the market reject the POI before committing capital. Bias for Today 📉 Bearish only. Short setups will be taken only from the POI zone with confirmation. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartIsMirror
XAU/USD 12 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 11 September 2025. Price has finally printed a bullish iBOS, in-line with analysis dated 23 April 2025 As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its upward trajectory printing all-time-highs. Price previously printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I have marked this in red. Price has continued with it's upward trajectory. We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,674.695. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 11 September 2025. Price has printed according to analysis dated 13 June 2025 by targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375 and printing a bullish iBOS. Price has continued with its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. Price is currently trading within and internal low and internal high as price has printed a bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,674.695. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially continue bullish. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Price Analysis September 12Gold continues to maintain a strong upward momentum in recent sessions and has not yet shown clear signs of a significant correction. Today's strategy still prioritizes looking for buying opportunities, especially in breakout areas - where buyers' money is waiting to push prices to the historical peak (ATH). In the Tokyo session, the price broke the downtrend line on the H1 frame and completed the DOW pattern, opening up new upward momentum with a target of 3690. 📌 Important observation area: Key Level 3340: If the price closes below this area, selling pressure will return and the market may enter short-term corrections. 📈 Trading strategy: BUY at the newly formed DOW area BUY when the price rejects support at 3640 BUY DCA when breaking resistance at 3660 🎯 Target: 3690
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
3600 Support Holds Firm;Gold Oscillates, Awaiting CPI for BuyingAfter gold broke through 3670, a sharp correction occurred. Currently, the support at 3600 still holds, and gold is oscillating in the range of 3620-3640. The release of today's U.S. CPI data may increase the market's bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. However, before the Federal Reserve releases its news, the overall market will still continue to move upward, and pullbacks present better buying opportunities Buy 3600 - 3620 TP 3640 - 3650 - 3660 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan
2
The immediate reflection level is at an overnight high of 3,687Gold prices rose after a surprise rise in US weekly jobless claims and a easing in US consumer price index (CPI). Meanwhile, silver prices rose steadily. US weekly jobless claims rose by 27,000 from the previous week, up 263,000 from the previous week, above the forecast of 235,000. The report is seen as a factor supporting the “doves” in monetary policy, who want the US Federal Reserve (FED) to cut interest rates more aggressively. Meanwhile, US annual inflation, as measured by CPI, rose to 2.9% in August, the highest level since January and higher than July’s 2.7%. Prices rose mainly in the food group, used cars and new cars. CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month, up from 0.2% in July and above forecasts for 0.3%. The expansion after producer prices rose more than expected in July was somewhat muted. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, remained unchanged at 3.1%, matching the rebound in February and July. Core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Inflation in the US has become a complex issue.Inflation in the US has become a complicated issue for the gold market. Rising consumer prices have forced the Fed to maintain a neutral monetary policy, keeping interest rates unchanged until 2025, increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold. However, high inflation also increases the risk that the US could fall into recession, which is supporting safe-haven demand for the precious metal. On the other hand, a weakening labor market has economists predicting that the Fed will cut interest rates again this month despite high inflation to complete the other half of its mission. Specifically, the number of weekly unemployment benefits in the US increased by 27,000 compared to the previous week, to 263,000, higher than the market forecast of 235,000. Today's jobless claims report is in the group of monetary policy dovish, who want to see the US Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates more aggressively. Meanwhile, annual US inflation, as measured by the consumer price index (CPI), increased in August, to 2.9% compared to the same period last year. This is the highest level since January and up from 2.7% in the July report.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster