9/12: Tug of War, Watch Resistance at 3658 and Support at 3623Good afternoon, everyone!
Key Supports
30M: 3643–3635
1H: 3637
2H: 3628
4H: 3630 / 3578–3571
1D: 3639 / 3591
Key Resistance
3658–3663
Intraday Trading Outlook
Prioritize selling at highs;
Consider short-term long entries near support, but keep trades quick and disciplined with tight stop-losses.
Yesterday, gold rebounded from 3623 but failed to break resistance, then pulled back to 3610 before bouncing again. With news-driven momentum, it broke through the 23–33 resistance zone, which aligned with our expectations. Currently, the 23–33 support is holding, while price is testing the 3658 resistance, putting the market in a consolidation phase. Technically, bears hold a slight advantage. Key levels to watch are 3637–3633/3623 supports, especially the 3628 level on the 2H chart — a breakdown here would severely weaken the bullish structure.
Today is Friday, and next week’s rate decision will provide clearer direction. Ahead of that:
If price remains in a tight range, risks are limited;
If bulls push higher, a post-news decline is likely (buy the rumor, sell the fact);
If bulls exit early or trigger a fake move, bears may take the lead, causing a deeper drop.
⚠️ Reminder: Volatility risk is high — avoid holding positions for too long and always set a stop-loss, regardless of profit or loss.
Xauusdbuy
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 12.10.2025 ???After breaking the H1 uptrend line, Gold returned to the Fibo retracement zone 0.5 with a strong rebound, the current price is moving around the price zone 3655 and still maintains a strong rebound. Pay attention to the following important zones for today's strategy:
>> SELL SCALP: 3673 - 3675, SL 3678, TP 3655 - 3625 - 3600
>> BUY SCALP: around 3595, SL 3588, TP 3625 - 3645 - 3665
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3620 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Have a nice weekend guys! :D
Gold Bulls Eye Fresh Highs Amid Fed Cut Bets 📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) is attempting to reclaim upside momentum after bouncing from the $3,632–$3,636 support zone. Price broke above the descending trendline, signalling potential bullish continuation if sustained above the support. Key resistance lies at $3,655–$3,658, aligning with prior rejection levels.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,633–$3,636 (Support retest zone)
Stop Loss: $3,632
Take Profit: $3,655 / $3,658
Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): ~1 : 4.95
🌍 Macro Background
Gold edged lower to $3,630 earlier in the Asian session as profit-taking and a stronger USD weighed on the metal. However, Fed rate cut expectations remain strong, with markets fully pricing in a 25bps cut in September and Barclays projecting three consecutive cuts by year-end. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions continue to underpin safe-haven demand — Poland intercepting Russian drones and Israel’s strike on Doha highlight rising risks. This backdrop suggests dips could remain well-supported as traders await the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for further cues.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,655 / $3,658
Support: $3,633 / $3,636
Major Support Zone: $3,620
📝 Trade Summary
Gold remains underpinned by Fed easing expectations and geopolitical risks despite short-term profit-taking. The break above the trendline favours buying dips, with upside potential toward $3,655–$3,658. However, failure to hold $3,632 may trigger a retest of $3,620.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAUUSD – CPI Data Breakdown & Professional Insight | MMFLOW 🚀 XAUUSD – CPI Data Breakdown & Professional Insight | MMFLOW TRADING
📊 CPI Results (September)
Core CPI m/m: 0.3% (In line with forecast: 0.3%, previous: 0.3%)
CPI m/m: 0.4% (Above forecast: 0.3%, previous: 0.2%)
CPI y/y: 2.9% (In line with forecast: 2.9%, previous: 2.7%)
📈 MMFLOW Insight – What This Means for Gold (XAUUSD)
1️⃣ Headline CPI Beat Signals Sticky Inflation
The uptick to 0.4% m/m surprised markets and indicates inflationary pressures are not cooling as much as expected.
This strengthens USD short-term and pushes Treasury yields higher. The initial reaction is selling pressure on gold as traders price in a more hawkish Fed stance.
2️⃣ Core CPI Stability Offers Mixed Sentiment
Core CPI staying flat at 0.3% suggests underlying price pressures remain steady.
This tempers extreme hawkish expectations, leaving room for gold to recover after initial volatility, especially if yields stabilize.
3️⃣ Medium-Term Implications
Despite today’s stronger headline CPI, inflation remains on a downtrend y/y (2.9%), supporting the broader narrative of a Fed pivot in the coming months.
Central banks (esp. PBoC & EM countries) continue to accumulate gold, which underpins long-term bullish bias.
🔑 Technical Reaction Zones (M15/M30)
Resistance: 3,648 – 3,654 (Trendline/React FIB)
Support / Liquidity Zones:
• 3,624.33 – Key Zone Support BUY
• 3,612.54 – CP/React Zone FIB
• 3,599.23 – Major BUY Zone
🛠 Trading Approach After CPI
Expect whipsaw price action: an initial spike lower (USD strength) followed by potential recovery if buyers defend liquidity zones.
SELL Scalp: Only on strong rejection from 3,648–3,654 with tight SL.
BUY Opportunity: Watch for confirmed bounce signals at 3,624 / 3,612 / 3,599.
Stay nimble: CPI-induced volatility can sweep both sides before choosing direction.
✅ Summary
The hotter CPI print adds near-term pressure to gold, but the overall structure and central bank demand remain supportive. Expect liquidity sweeps before a potential bullish continuation.
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time execution updates, liquidity setups, and professional market insights during this volatile post-CPI session.
Focus on CPI, 3640, 3620 long and short key pointsThe market focuses on CPI data, and in the short term 3640-3660 becomes the dividing line between bulls and bears for gold.
From the news perspective, due to the sharp decline in employment rate, the employment and economic environment in the United States have been affected, and a September interest rate cut is almost a foregone conclusion, which has prompted the recent continuous rise in gold prices. Whether the interim high of 3675 means that gold has peaked remains to be seen.
From a technical perspective, gold rebounded yesterday to correct Tuesday's decline, reaching a high of around 3657 before continuing its technically bearish downward trend and retreating to around 3640. Today, gold's overall volatility in the Asian and European sessions was limited, with 3640-3660 forming a short-term upper pressure, also becoming the dividing line between bulls and bears.
If the CPI data is bullish for gold, the first thing gold needs to do is to break through the short-term pressure of 3640-3660. Once it breaks through strongly and stabilizes above 3660, gold will continue to rise and is expected to set a new high of 690-3700.
On the contrary, if the CPI unexpectedly falls short, gold will only rebound tentatively but will be unable to break through the short-term suppression of 3640-3660, then the bears will officially counterattack and the market will briefly bid farewell to the bulls. A break below 3600 would target the key support level of 3580.
In summary, focus on the 3640-3660 resistance level and the 3620-3610 support level. If the European session sees a pullback to support without a break, a small, light position can be considered, For cautious traders, it's advisable to set the stop-loss order with a buffer of $3-5, depending on their account size.with a potential profit target of $10-$30. More conservative traders can wait for the CPI data before entering a trade.
GOLD Very Bullish , Can We Buy Again And Get 200 Pips ?Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3639.00 and we have a 4H Candle closure above it and we have a Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation ,and also we have a reversal pattern and the price closed above neckline , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy from 3639.00 when the price back to retest it , we need the price to go back and retest it and give us a good bullish price action and then we can enter , we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
6- Reversal Pattern .
9/11: Double Top Pattern, Bearish OutlookGood afternoon, everyone!
Yesterday, the market showed limited volatility, with prices capped around 3343–3358, failing to break through, which delayed the expected downward cycle.
Today, the trend looks clearer:
A double-top pattern has formed;
Price tested the 23 support for the first time and rebounded slightly;
Key resistance levels are 32–37, followed by 41;
If the rebound fails to break resistance, the 23 support is very likely to be broken;
Main supports to watch are 3610 (2H chart) and 3578–3550 (4H chart).
🔹 Trading Strategy
Focus on short positions;
Try quick long trades near support, but avoid being greedy;
If rebounds fail at resistance, shorts may accelerate, so risk is relatively high.
Gold Bulls vs Bears! Who Will Win the $XAUUSD Battle?🏆 "The Golden Layer Cake Strategy" - XAU/USD Bullish Swing Plan 🎯
✨ Calling all savvy traders! ✨
Ready to layer into a potential Gold breakout? This systematic approach is designed to capitalize on bullish momentum while managing risk through strategic entry layers.
Here’s the detailed blueprint: 📜
🔑 Key Details:
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold)
Bias: Bullish
Style: Swing Trading / Position Building
Strategy: Multi-Layer Limit Order Entry
⚡ Entry Strategy (The Layering Method):
To optimize your average entry price, consider using multiple BUY LIMIT orders at key support levels:
Layer 1: 3420.00
Layer 2: 3440.00
Layer 3: 3460.00
Layer 4: 3480.00
You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your personal risk management and market conditions.
🛑 Stop Loss:
A conservative stop loss can be placed below a significant support zone at 3370.00.
Disclaimer: Always adjust your stop loss based on your individual risk tolerance, account size, and trading strategy.
🎯 Take Profit:
We are targeting a strong resistance zone around 3600.00. A more ambitious target sits at 3650.00 for those who wish to trail their stops. Secure profits on the way up!
📊 Market Context & Rationale:
This plan is based on identifying potential value areas on the pullback for a continued bullish move. The layered entry allows us to build a position gracefully without chasing the market.
📊 XAU/USD Real-Time Data Report
🤝 Retail & Institutional Sentiment
Retail Traders
Long (Bullish): 28% 😊
Short (Bearish): 72% 😟
Institutional Traders
Bullish positions increasing, showing confidence in gold as a safe-haven asset. 🏦
😨💸 Fear & Greed Index
Mood: Neutral → leaning Greedy
Markets expect Fed rate cuts, boosting gold demand.
🌍 Fundamental Score
Rating: 7/10 (Positive)
Key Drivers:
Weakening US Dollar from expected Fed cuts 📉
Geopolitical tensions supporting safe-haven demand ⚠️
Ongoing central bank gold buying 🏦
📈 Macro Score
Rating: 6.5/10 (Moderately Bullish)
Factors:
High probability of US rate cut in September (~85%) 📅
Rising bond yields may cap gains 📈
Global economic uncertainty 🌎
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
Bias: Bullish (Long) 🚀
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, supported by fundamentals, macro drivers, and institutional flows.
✨ Summary
Gold is bullish 📈 with strong support from fundamentals and macro conditions. Retail traders lean bearish 😟, but institutions and sentiment favor upward momentum. Any dips are seen as buying opportunities 🤑
⚠️ Risk Warning & Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR).
High-impact news events can cause increased volatility—manage your risk accordingly.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Only risk capital you are willing to lose.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Eyes $3,650 Ahead of CPI 📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) may rebound from the support zone $3,627–3,630, and buyers are gradually regaining control. Price action now challenges the resistance zone $3,642–3,647, with a breakout paving the way toward $3,650+.
🎯 Trade Setup (15M Chart)
Entry (Long): $3,630–$3,627
Stop Loss: $3,625
Take Profit: $3,642 / $3,645
🌐 Macro Background
Gold stays supported by Fed rate cut bets, a weaker USD, and geopolitical tensions. US August PPI came in softer, reinforcing rate cut expectations ahead of Thursday’s CPI release (forecast 2.9% headline / 3.1% core). Meanwhile, safe-haven demand is lifted by Poland shooting down Russian drones and Israel’s Doha strikes. While event risk remains, the broader backdrop continues to favour gold upside momentum.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,642 / $3,645 / $3,650
Support: $3,630 / $3,627
📌 Trade Summary
Gold maintains bullish traction above $3,630, with scope for a move toward $3,642–$3,645, though traders should stay cautious ahead of US CPI.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
A brief discussion on my views on recent gold price trendsLast night, I clearly outlined my outlook for gold. Today, the gold price retreated to the support range of 3635-3620 and then stabilized and rebounded. Our long orders have reaped considerable profits. It is a pity that the limit long order set at 3620 before going to bed failed to be triggered, and I missed out on a bigger profit.
Currently, gold's volatility is relatively low, and it has rebounded again to around 3645, which aligns with my view that gold will remain in a range-bound pattern in the short term. Our trading strategy is still highly referenceable. If gold falls back to test the lower support again in the short term, we can still consider going long again. If gold slowly fluctuates upward in the European session, the first thing to pay attention to is whether it can effectively break through 3655. Once it effectively breaks through, gold may retest the short-term resistance of 3665-3680.
Gold Price Analysis (XAU/USD): Key Levels and Market OutlookThe price of Gold (XAU/USD) has shown strong upward momentum in recent sessions, crossing above the $3,600 mark and briefly touching the $3,674 level, which represents a strong bullish push supported by significant trading volume (over 581K at that peak).
Current Market Overview
Current Price: $3,646.74 (as of the latest 4H candle)
Resistance Level: $3,674 (recent swing high)
Support Level: $3,640 (recent pullback low)
RSI Indicator: Around mid-range (60), showing neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
The Zig Zag indicator highlights the recent correction after reaching $3,674, where the price retraced slightly to $3,640 before consolidating. The market now trades sideways between these two levels, indicating a short-term indecision.
1. Resistance Zone:
Gold needs to break and sustain above $3,674 to confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. If this happens, the next target could be around $3,700 – $3,750.
2. Support Zone:
On the downside, if the price fails to hold the $3,640 level, a deeper correction towards $3,600 – $3,550 cannot be ruled out.
3. Momentum Indicators:
The RSI is currently neutral, suggesting room for both upside and downside moves. Traders should watch for RSI crossing above 70 (bullish continuation) or dropping below 50 (bearish pressure).
Trading Strategy
Bullish Bias: If Gold holds above $3,640 and breaks $3,674, traders may look for long positions targeting $3,700 and above.
Bearish Bias: A break below $3,640 could trigger short positions, with downside targets near $3,600 and $3,550.
Conclusion
Gold remains in a bullish structure but faces short-term resistance at $3,674. Traders should watch closely for a breakout or breakdown from this consolidation range to determine the next major move.
XAUUSD Long Opportunity Price is currently testing the Asian High as a support, looking to trade from $3648 to the $3656 level and potentially beyond depending how price reacts to the USD PPI release.
Confluences include 21/50 SMA region test and within the 45-55 region of the RSI with a Level of significance as a support level at $3548
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 09.10.2025 ???Trend is friend. Gold price today is still holding on the uptrend line and has not broken out yet. Today we only need to pay attention to the following important resistance and support zones:
>> SELL SCALP: 3700 - 3710, SL 3720, TP 3600 - 3570
>> BUY SCALP: 3620 - 3625, SL 3615, TP 3645 - 3700
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3620 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Good luck guys!!!
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 09.09.2025 ???Currently, gold is moving within a clearly defined upward trend channel. Our strategy for today should focus on monitoring key resistance and support zones in order to identify potential entry points for both scalp trades and swing trades. The levels I consider noteworthy are as follows:
>> SELL SCALP: 3650 - 3660, SL 3670, TP 3600
>> BUY SCALP: 3598 - 3603, SL 3595, TP 3680 - 3690
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3680 - 3690 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3680 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Have fun!!!
Gold - Buy or Sell this week??? (08-12/09)With the sustained accumulation over the past five months, gold has experienced a strong breakout from the $3,300 sideways range and reached a new all-time high around $3,600. The upward trend is clearly established. Therefore, we can consider buying and selling at the following price levels:
>>> SELL ZONE: 3684 - 3679
SL: 3689
TP: 3618 - 3596 - 3578 - 3565 - 3515
>>> BUY ZONE: 3560 - 3570
SL: 3550
TP: 3618 - 3678
Have a good day. Good luck buddies! :)
9/10: Watch Support Around 3600Good morning everyone!
🔹 Key Support Levels
30M Chart: 3628 / 3614–3600
1H Chart: 3623 / 3608–3598
2H Chart: 3623 / 3589
4H Chart: 3606
1D Chart: 3598
🔹 Key Resistance Levels
3643 / 3668–3678
🔹 Intraday Strategy
Sell on rallies, buy on pullbacks at support
Yesterday, bullish data drove gold up to around 3673 before retreating. Technically, the market is now heavily overbought, but strong fundamentals keep fueling bullish sentiment. While chasing profits, don’t overlook the risks!
Today, focus on 3643–3658 resistance. If price fails to hold above, a pullback is likely. Key supports are at 3600, then 3589–3574 / 3558.
GOLD: Bulls Continue To Bully Their Way ThroughI'm looking for a dip to buy...
(H4)
Gold has extended higher and is now trading firmly inside the 3630–3645 area.
Structure remains bullish, but price is reaching into premium levels so we could get a pull back.
Buyside liquidity sits around 3650
(H1)
A strong push from 3585 to 3634 left some imbalance behind:
3610–3618 FVG (fresh demand)
3588–3595 (deeper OB if price pulls back more aggressively)
(M15)
Bullish but candles at 3634 are showing some exhaustion.
Liquidity has been swept at 3630–3635, so we may see a correction to fill imbalances before continuation.
As long as price holds above 3610, bulls are still in control.
Can gold continue to rise? Where are the opportunities?Gold prices continued their upward trend yesterday, rising without a pullback. We missed out on this rally. While regretful, I have no regrets. At times like these, we must remain cautious.
The price of gold is now at a record high. Without the previous top position as a reference, it is difficult to judge from where it will pull back, so we would rather do nothing than make mistakes.
Of course, if a good trading opportunity arises, we must seize it.
Looking at the trend range on the 1-hour chart, we are currently trading above the range. Therefore, my advice is not to chase the rally; it's best to wait for a correction and stabilization before entering the market.
3630 is today's low, and 3640 is yesterday's high. Therefore, we can wait for gold prices to retest the 3630-3640 range. If it stabilizes, we can enter the market. Otherwise, if it breaks, we'll look to the 3600 mark.
XAUUSD heading to 3700.00NFP week job data has fueled the long term uptrend on XAUUSD showing a possible trend continuation on GOLD. Multiple timeframe trend on XAUUSD is bullish with monthly, weekly and daily trend confirmation showing GOLD to potentially move back to the upside with a bullish channel creation.
It is a high probability that price may reject from the support level 3645.00 could be an important level for buy entry upon break of structure.
XAUUSD: Consolidating the bullish momentumHi everyone, it’s Ken!
At this moment, gold is shining with strong appeal. The market is moving within a steep channel, and price action continues to respect its structure, forming higher highs without showing weakness.
Not long ago, gold broke a key resistance level and might come back to retest it. Interestingly, this area also aligns with the “golden zone” from the last breakout. If buyers defend it well, the bullish outlook remains valid, with the next target aiming toward 3,660 – the channel’s peak.
As long as price stays above the support and the rising trendline, the uptrend remains intact. However, if it slips below, chances of a deeper pullback will rise.
Stay patient, wait for confirmation before entering, and always protect your capital with proper risk management.
Wishing you success!
XAU/USD Bullish Trade Setup Buy from POI Zone towards 3668TargetXAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Analysis
✅ Trend: The market is in a clear bullish trend with higher highs & higher lows. Price is trading above both EMA 70 (3,547) and EMA 200 (3,486), confirming strong upward momentum.
📌 Key Levels:
POI Buying Zone: 3,554 – 3,576 (strong support area)
Target Point: 3,668 – 3,669
Support Line: Still respected, adding confluence to the bullish setup.
📈 Strategies Applied:
Trend Following: Bullish as long as price stays above EMAs.
Support & Resistance: Buying zone aligns with strong support.
EMA Strategy: Price above EMAs = buy signal.
Price Action: Retest of POI zone before moving up.mm
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry: Around 3,555 – 3,576 (buying zone)
Stop Loss: Below 3,547 (EMA 70 / zone invalidation)
Target: 3,668 – 3,670
⚡ Summary: Market remains bullish, correction into the POI zone is a good buying opportunity aiming for new highs.
Gold Price Analysis | Fed Rate Cut Hopes & CPI Data in FocusGold is consolidating just below the $3,600 resistance zone, which is a critical pivot. The uptrend structure remains intact, and short-term retracements into the $3,570–$3,552 zone can provide a strong buy opportunity. A decisive break above $3,600 would trigger further bullish momentum toward $3,629, $3,647, and potentially $3,724. On the downside, a daily close below $3,528 would weaken momentum, while a drop under $3,440 would signal trend exhaustion.
Macro fundamentals support this bullish bias: weak U.S. labor data has boosted expectations for Fed rate cuts in September, while the upcoming CPI release on September 11 will be the key event. Softer CPI would confirm easing conditions and strengthen gold’s rally, while a hotter CPI could trigger a short-term pullback into support.
🔑 Key Levels
- Immediate Resistance: $3,600, $3,629 – $3,647
- Support / Buy Zone: $3,570 – $3,552, $3,528 (structural swing low support).
✅ Best Setup:
- Buy Zone: $3,570–$3,552
- Buy Trigger: Bounce from support or breakout above $3,600
- Upside Targets: $3,629 → $3,647 → $3,724
- Invalidation: Below $3,528
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!