Gold Rebounds from Extreme POI – Bullish Move Building UpGold?Analysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery after tapping into the Extreme Point of Interest (POI) zone, signaling the potential start of a bullish reversal.
The chart indicates an SMC Trap (Smart Money Concept Trap), where liquidity was swept below previous lows to trigger sell stops before reversing upward — a classic smart money accumulation pattern.
Price reacted sharply from the Extreme POI, forming higher lows, which confirms renewed buyer interest.
The immediate target area lies around $4,180 – $4,200, aligning with the projected bullish arrow.
Below, the High Probability POI remains as a deeper demand zone — a strong confluence area if price retests.
📊 Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of bullish structure recovery after liquidity sweep. Holding above the Extreme POI zone strengthens the case for continued upside movement toward $4,200 and possibly higher.
Xauusddaily
Gold (XAU/USD) Potential Bullish Reversal Setup – Entry Zone For**Analysis:**
The chart illustrates a possible bullish reversal scenario after a recent downward move in Gold (XAU/USD). The marked *Change of Character (ChoCH)* indicates an early sign of a trend shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
Price has entered a **consolidation zone** near the support area, where the **entry level** is highlighted. This zone suggests accumulation and potential preparation for an upward move.
The setup shows:
* **ENTRY:** Around current support, within the highlighted range.
* **STOP:** Below the recent low, providing risk control if the reversal fails.
* **TARGET:** The projection points to a **100% measured move**, aligning with a strong bullish continuation potential toward 4,700 levels.
If price maintains structure and confirms a breakout above the short-term resistance, it may initiate a new **bullish impulse phase**.
XAU/USD 21 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 20 October 2025.
I have been mentioning in my alternative scenario for almost 1-month that all higher timeframes are requiring a pullback, and we are seeing a narrowing of internal structure, price could target strong internal low. This is how price printed.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS after a very long duration and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
The bearish iBOS has also confirmed the swing-high.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50%, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 13 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has recently potentially printed a bullish iBOS. This is potential as H4 candle is open. Confirmation will be once the candle is closed, however, currently, depth of pullback is insignificant relative to recent price action, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify this as an iBOS, however, I have marked this in red.
Intraday expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed printed according to my analysis dated 09 October where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,059.350.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Intraday expectation: Await for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Returns to 4000 — Watch the Next Key Level HereAfter yesterday’s pullback, part of the selling pressure accumulated during the recent rally has been released, allowing gold to regain stability above the 4000 level.
On the 2H chart, the immediate resistance lies around 4012. Although the price has temporarily broken through this level, it’s crucial to observe whether it can hold above 4012 after the pullback. If not, focus on the 4000–3990 support zone below.
Technically, the overall trend remains bullish, with resistance levels at 4024–4028/33, followed by the 4050 area.
For trading strategy, short-term traders can operate within the 3990–4028 range, buying near support and selling near resistance.
If the price climbs above 4040, look for short-selling opportunities. During pullbacks, monitor 4028-24/22 as key support levels for potential long entries.
XAU/USD 10 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed according to yesterday's analysis where I mentioned price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% EQ or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4059.350
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 October 2025.
Price continued bullish, printing further ATH's.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH, however, as mentioned in yesterday's analysis, I will be monitoring depth of pullback. Pullback is insignificant, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify as such. I have however marked this in red.
Price has since printed a further bearish CHOCH which means that price is now trading within an established internal range. However, I shall, again, be monitoring depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,059.350.
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Eyes New Highs Within Ascending ChannelAnalysis:
The XAU/USD 1-hour chart shows gold trading firmly within an ascending parallel channel, maintaining a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows — a hallmark of sustained bullish momentum.
Currently, price action is consolidating near the mid-level of the channel, preparing for a potential breakout toward the upper boundary near $4,110–$4,120. The projected path (blue arrows) suggests a minor retracement or sideways move before buyers push prices higher again.
As long as gold remains above the lower channel support around $4,000–$3,990, the bullish outlook stays intact. A confirmed breakout above the upper boundary could open the door for a new leg upward, supported by ongoing momentum and strong market sentiment.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $4,110 – $4,120
Support: $3,990 – $4,000
Trend Bias: Bullish within ascending channel
Gold: Continue its rally to reach an all-time highGold has successfully stood firm above the key psychological level of 4000, continuing its rally to reach an all-time high. From the perspective of capital flows, although specific position data is lacking, the price-volume surge following the breakthrough,evidenced by both New York Gold and London Gold recording "rising prices with increasing trading volume" that confirms the continuous inflow of safe-haven funds. Additionally, the seasonal upward momentum of gold in October has not yet faded, and the momentum-driven uptrend continues, further strengthening the confidence of bullish investors.
The 4000-4050 range has been effectively broken through, and this former resistance level has now transformed into a short-term support level. If gold can maintain a stable position above 4050 in the subsequent sessions, the next target range can be set at 4100-4150. For short-term support, focus on the key psychological level of 4000; a breakdown below this level may trigger a pullback to the 3950-3980 range.
Buy 4010 - 4020 TP 4030 - 4040 - 4050
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance






















