10/ 6: Sell High and Buy Low Within the 3893–3946 RangeGood morning everyone!
Today is the traditional Chinese Mid-Autumn Festival, a day when families gather to enjoy mooncakes, admire the moon, and share the joy of family. This day symbolizes reunion. I also wish you all a happy family and everything goes well!
Gold has broken through the psychological barrier of 3900. Congratulations to those who seized this opportunity!
The price has now risen to around 3920. On the weekly chart, there is technically room for further gains. However, as prices rise, pullbacks are inevitable, making support crucial.
Currently, based on the 1H chart, support is found near 3908, followed by 3900/3893, and finally 3886.
For future trading, consider buying low and selling high around the 3893-3943 area. Maintain a good rhythm and pay close attention to the support levels mentioned above.
Xauusddaily
Gold Correction: Fed Warning vs. Massive Safe-Haven FlowsHello, traders!
Gold pulled back to $3,845.78/oz after Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan called for caution regarding further rate cuts.
Fundamentals: Fed Warns, But the Buying Wave is Unstoppable
The market stands at a crossroads:
Downward Pressure: The caution signal from Fed's Logan.
Upward Momentum: Government shutdown (increases instability, delays jobs report), weak private sector jobs data (down 32k), and SPDR Gold Trust ETF holdings rising to the highest level since 2022.
Conclusion: Political instability and weak economic data continue to reinforce the likelihood of a Fed rate cut. Massive safe-haven capital is flowing into Gold.
Technical Analysis & Strategy
Gold retreated to the FIBO 0.618 - 0.5 zone, indicating a healthy technical correction after the sharp rally. Priority remains Buy if the price holds above $3861. Be cautious of Stop Loss hunting.
Resistance: $3870, $3884, $3894
Support: $3855, $3833, $3798
Trading Strategy (Tight SL):
BUY SCALP: $3838 - $3836 / SL: $3832 / TP: $3846 - $3857
BUY ZONE: $3798 - $3796 / SL: $3788 / TP: $3816 - $3836
SELL ZONE: $3888 - $3890 / SL: $3898 / TP: $3870 - $3850
Do you think the Fed's warning is strong enough to reverse this trend? 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GovernmentShutdown #TradingView #PhânTíchVàng #ETF
XAU/USD – Bullish Trendline Support Targeting 3,910–3,950Analysis:
The chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a clear upward trajectory supported by a strong ascending trendline.
Support Trendline: Price recently retested the rising support line, confirming buyers are still defending this level.
Short-Term Pullback: After a sharp drop from the recent high around 3,820–3,830, price has stabilized near the trendline, signaling healthy retracement within a bullish structure.
Bullish Scenarios:
If price respects the support line, a rebound towards 3,870 and then 3,910 levels is expected.
A successful break above 3,910 may open the door toward the next resistance near 3,950.
Risk Factor: A sustained break below the support trendline would invalidate the bullish scenario, potentially dragging the price back towards 3,790 or lower.
Conclusion: Gold remains in a bullish trend as long as it holds above the support line. Traders may look for buying opportunities on dips, targeting 3,870 → 3,910 → 3,950 in the short term.
XAU/USD 01 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's intraday analysis whereby I mentioned in alternative scenario that price could print higher, however, weak internal high price target has changed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation, price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,871.890.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's intraday analysis whereby I mentioned price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,871.890.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH, to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. Price to then trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,895.500.
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Faces Resistance, Potential Pullback AheadGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around \$3,716 after a strong bullish rally but is now approaching a key resistance zone. The chart suggests a potential rejection from this supply area, with a short entry setup targeting the \$3,695 level. If selling pressure holds, price could extend further downward after retesting the entry zone.
BUYER FOMO BREAK ALL THE RULES📌 GOLD – Trading Plan OANDA:XAUUSD
Follow Signals On weekend Linda published you got SELL PLAN 3720 +120PIPS
Absolutely that up first down after:
1. Market Context (H1)
Main trend: Bullish (following several upward BOS).
The price has just broken the peak and created new liquidity above the 3715 – 3720 zone.
Below, there are CP Orders + FVG at 3693 / 3669 / 3650 → the price may retrace to test demand before continuing to rise.
Above: the 3749 – 3750 zone is a strong resistance, likely to see liquidity sweeps.
2. Main Scenario – BUY with the trend
Entry 1: CP ORDER + Trend Timing
Zone: 3693 – 3695.
Stoploss: 3685.
TP1: 3715.
TP2: 3730+.
R:R ratio: ~1:3.
Entry 2: Deeper CP ORDER
Zone: 3669 – 3670.
Stoploss: 3660.
TP1: 3710.
TP2: 3730+.
R:R: ~1:4.
Entry 3: Final FVG
Zone: 3650 – 3655.
Stoploss: 3640.
TP: 3710 – 3720.
This is the final entry; if it breaks, consider the trend reversed.
3. Alternative Scenario – SELL counter-trend (scalp)
Entry Sell
Zone: 3749 – 3750 (resistance + liquidity).
Stoploss: 3757.
TP1: 3730 – 3735.
TP2: 3695 – 3670 (if selling pressure is strong).
Confirmation required on M5/M15:
MSS down.
Bearish engulfing.
Long wick rejection.
4. Capital Management
Total risk for the day: max 3 – 4% of the account.
Each trade risk 1 – 1.5%.
Prioritize Buy, Sell is just a small scalp.
If the price hits TP1 → move SL to entry, let the rest run.
5. Notes
Main trend: Bullish, don't attempt too many counter-sells.
Only sell when clear signals appear at 3749 – 3750.
The 3693/3669 mark is a key zone → if it breaks strongly, wait for trend confirmation.






















