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Xauusddaily

Gold Jumps 1%: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Buzz!Fundamental Analysis: What’s Driving Gold’s Rally? 🌟 Gold’s Big Win: Spot gold jumped 0.9% to $3,447.09/oz on August 29, with a stellar 4.8% gain for the month. Gold futures also rose 1.2% to $3,515.70/oz, signaling strong bullish momentum. 📈 USD Stays Steady but Weakens: The USD held stable but lost 2.2% in August, making gold more affordable for foreign buyers and boosting its appeal. 📉 PCE Data Supports Rate Cuts: US PCE inflation rose 0.2% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year in July 2025, aligning with forecasts. Strong consumer spending and tariff-driven price hikes signal persistent inflation, but analysts expect the Fed to cut rates—potentially twice this year—lifting commodities like gold. The market now sees an 89% chance of a 0.25% rate cut in September 2025, up from 85%, per CME FedWatch. 🏦 Fed Drama Intensifies: A federal judge is reviewing whether to block President Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook, who’s suing to protect her position, arguing Trump lacks valid grounds. This uncertainty around the Fed’s independence is a major tailwind for gold’s safe-haven status. 🇺🇸⚖️ Why Gold Shines: As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-interest-rate environments and during economic uncertainty—perfect conditions for its current rally! Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Continues, But Watch Key Levels! 📉 Gold kicked off the Asian session with a bang, breaking through the 3353 resistance and creating a significant FVG (Fair Value Gap) due to its strong upward push. As long as gold stays above the 343x zone, the bulls remain in control. However, with prices nearing multi-month highs, a pullback could be looming. Here’s the game plan: Key Resistance: 3500 - 3510 - 3520 Key Support: 3472 - 3453 - 3437 - 3423 - 3404 Scalping Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3499 - 3501 SL: 3504 TP: 3496 - 3491 - 3486 Buy Scalp: 3453 - 3451 SL: 3448 TP: 3456 - 3461 - 3466 Swing Trading Opportunities: Sell Zone: 3510 - 3512 SL: 3516 TP: 3506 - 3500 - 3490 - 3480 Buy Zone: 3436 - 3434 SL: 3430 TP: 3440 - 3450 - 3460
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Divergence has appeared at H4 – TOP IS ABOUT TO BE FORMEDGold SMC Daily Plan – 28/08 ________________________________________ Market Context (SMC perspective): • Price is currently trading around 3395–3396 after an impulsive bullish run and showing early bearish divergence on H4, signaling a potential short-term top. • Key resistance sits at 3400 – a clean break above could sweep liquidity towards 342x–343x, retesting old ATH. • If 3370 support breaks, price could retrace deeper into the 335x BUY zone for a strong bullish setup. ________________________________________ Key Levels: • Resistance: 3396–3400 (Sell Zone), 342x–343x (liquidity sweep area) • Support: 3370, 3354–3352 (Buy Zone), 3325 (SL for buys) ________________________________________ SMC Zones & Liquidity Pools: • BUY ZONE 1: 3354–3352 (below liquidity sweep under 3370) o SL: 3347 o TP: 3365 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395 → 3400+ • BUY ZONE 2: 3380 – 3382 o SL: 3374 o TP: 3390 → 3400 → 3415 →3430 → 3450+ • SELL ZONE: 3408 - 3410 (above recent high) o SL: 3416 o TP: 3390 → 3380 → 3375 → 3360 ________________________________________ Plan & Scenarios: 1. Sell Scenario (Primary Bias – Divergence Play): o Wait for liquidity grab above 3396–3399 (sweep into resistance) o Enter short with SL above 3403 o Scale out profits at 3390–3380–3375; leave runner targeting 3360 if support breaks 2. Buy Scenario (Counter Play – Break & Retest): o If price dips into 3354–3352 buy zone, look for bullish reaction (choch / BOS on lower TF) o Enter long with SL below 3347 o Target 3365–3375–3385–3395–3400+ ________________________________________ Confluence: • H4 bearish divergence indicating exhaustion at top • Untapped liquidity zones above 3396 and below 3370 • FVG and imbalance areas aligning with the 335x buy zone
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAU/USD (Gold CFD) – Weekly Opening Outlook | SMC Perspective# 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold CFD) – Weekly Opening Outlook | SMC Perspective **Date:** 2025/08/17 **Timeframe:** 45M (Heikin Ashi) **Methodology:** Smart Money Concept (SMC) --- ## 📊 Market Context Gold closed the previous week under heavy liquidity grabs after multiple **CHOCH** and **BOS** structures. The current market is positioned around **3,335**, balancing between two potential phases: 1. **Phase 1 (Bullish Recovery)** 2. **Phase 2 (Bearish Continuation)** Both phases are mapped on the chart with clear structural references. --- ## 🔵 Forecast Phase 1 – Bullish Scenario 1. **Key Levels:** - **Immediate Demand Zone:** 3,330 – 3,335 - **Equilibrium Reaction Zone:** 3,350 – 3,360 - **Liquidity Pool:** 3,380 – 3,390 2. **Conditions for Validation:** - Price must hold the **discount demand zone** (PDI). - A strong **CHOCH → BOS** sequence from current level. - Break and close above **3,350 equilibrium**. 3. **Expected Move:** - Push towards **previous PDH** and sweep above **3,370 – 3,380**. - Potential continuation into **EQH (3,390 – 3,400)** liquidity zone. 4. **Targets:** - 🎯 TP1: **3,350** (equilibrium retest) - 🎯 TP2: **3,370 – 3,380** - 🎯 TP3: **3,390 – 3,400** (EQH / liquidity sweep) 5. **Invalidation:** - Closing candles below **3,330 demand zone** will weaken bullish outlook. --- ## 🔴 Forecast Phase 2 – Bearish Scenario 1. **Key Levels:** - **Discount Zone:** 3,320 – 3,325 - **Major Demand Zone:** 3,300 – 3,280 - **Extended Liquidity Pool:** 3,260 – 3,250 2. **Conditions for Validation:** - Failure to hold above **3,335 – 3,330**. - Clear rejection at equilibrium levels (**3,350 – 3,360**). - A new **BOS** towards the downside. 3. **Expected Move:** - Market could unfold in 5-leg structure (as shown on chart: ① → ⑤). - First rejection around **3,335 – 3,340**, followed by extension towards **3,310 – 3,280**. - Final liquidity sweep possible into **3,260 – 3,250 zone**. 4. **Targets:** - 🎯 TP1: **3,320 – 3,325** - 🎯 TP2: **3,300 – 3,280** - 🎯 TP3: **3,260 – 3,250** 5. **Invalidation:** - A confirmed **bullish CHOCH** above **3,350 equilibrium** invalidates the bearish scenario. --- ## ⚖️ Summary - **Phase 1 (Bullish):** Possible rebound from current demand towards **3,390 – 3,400** liquidity. - **Phase 2 (Bearish):** Failure at equilibrium may trigger deeper continuation into **3,280 – 3,250 demand**. Traders should monitor **CHOCH / BOS confirmations** closely before positioning. --- #XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #CHOCH #BOS #Liquidity #FVG #TradingView
TVC:GOLD
by mmozafari1357
XAU/USD 12 August 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 05 August 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD FORMED A BULLISH PENNANT PATTERN-ANOTHER BULLISH IMPULSE?XAUUSD FORMED A BULLISH PENNANT PATTERN - ANOTHER BULLISH IMPULSE?📈 Gold has been under buying pressure since the beginning of the year. Since April 21 the price has been consolidating. Now the graph represents the bullish pennant. What is a bullish pennant? Pennant pattern: Short-term continuation pattern after a sharp price move (flagpole), forming a small symmetrical triangle. Signals trend resumption, lasts 1-3 weeks with declining volume. So, first of all, identify a flagpole and a consolidating triangle. Confirm it with indicators (bullish/bearish divergence). After that you may trade breakout in trend direction (buy bullish, sell bearish) with volume spike. Set your stop-loss below/above the opposite side of pennant. You may set your take-profit at a flagpole height from a breakout. Here we see the divergence on RSI 4-h timeframe. If the price breaks the upper border of the pennant pattern you may open long position.
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by ProfessorSingapore
XAU/USD 25 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high. Price is now trading within an established internal range. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold on Monday depends on this wave of operationsBefore the non-agricultural data on Friday, gold maintained an overall oscillating pattern, opening at 3354, briefly rising to around 3375 and then falling under pressure, entering an overall oscillating downward mode. We also caught the rhythm of long orders many times and successfully exited the market with profits. Although the non-agricultural data was bearish, gold did not dive quickly, but rebounded to around 3363 after short-term fluctuations, and then fell under pressure again, and finally closed in an inverted head shape, with obvious technical bearish signals. From the perspective of form, gold is expected to continue to rebound high and high next week. Focus on the support of this week's low point of 3296. Once it falls below, it is possible to further explore the 3270-3260 area. However, if this position remains stable and unbroken, the market still has room for rebound and repair. From a specific technical perspective, the obstructed decline of the 3375 line on Friday is more critical, with the lowest intraday drop to 3307, and the bearish momentum is still strong. It is recommended to be prudent in operation and do not blindly chase orders. 🔸Operation ideas for gold next week: 1️⃣ If it rebounds to 3320-3325, you can try to arrange short orders. If it rebounds further to 3338-3345, it is recommended to cover short positions. 2️⃣ The first target is the 3295-3306 area. If it effectively falls below, continue to hold and look for a lower position. 3️⃣ The support below is focused on the 3295-3285 area, and the pressure above is still mainly 3335-3345. The market is mainly oscillating in the middle of the range. It is recommended to watch more and act less, and wait for key point signals before intervening. If you are currently having trouble with gold operations, welcome to communicate with me. I will update the strategy as soon as possible according to the intraday market and try my best to make your investment less detours.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
XAU/USD 28 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765. Alternative scenario: Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 23 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765. Alternative scenario: Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 07 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bearish pullback following previous bullish iBOS. Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not mark the previous iBOS. I have however marked this in red. Price continued bullish and subsequently printed a bearish iBOS to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,435.055 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 24 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback. Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 23 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 April 2025. In addition we should be mindful that All HTF's require a pullback and H$ TF has indicated the start of bearish pullback phase as a bearish CHoCH has been printed, therefore, it should not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS. You will note that currently price has mitigated an M15 demand zone and strong low is currently holding. Price printed as per analysis dated 18 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high. Price has continued to print higher-highs with minimal pullbacks. Multiple CHoCH's have been printed, however, I will apply discretion and not classify them as CHoCH's in order not to distort internal structure due to very minimal pullbacks. Since most recent all time high price has printed a bearish CHOCH and is now trading within an established internal structure which I will continue to monitor. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 10 April 2025 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025. Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed as I mentioned in yesterday's analysis whereby I commented that it would be worthwhile to note that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS as H4 TF has printed a bullish reaction from discount of 50% EQ. Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH, however, price quickly once again formed a higher high, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify previous CHoCH in order not to distort internal structure as the move was most probably an outlier due to Trump announcing 90 day pause on tariffs. Price has printed a further bearish CHoCH, however, I will continue to monitor price. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, of which one is well positioned at 50% of internal EQ, before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,132.630 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
XAU/USD 08 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025. Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed as per yesterday's analysis by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH (I mentioned in yesterday's analysis bullish iBOS in error) indicating bullish phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range and appears to be stuck in between close supply and demand zones where we could see extended rangebound conditions. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,956.565 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 07 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025. Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed as per last Friday's analysis by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. Price has subsequently printed a bullish iBOS indicating bullish phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15/H4 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,970.215 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD - Day Trading with RSI 04/03/2025FX:XAUUSD Daily Timeframe (D1): Still in a strong uptrend, with RSI and both moving averages are pointing upwards. The WMA45 is above 60. 4-Hour Timeframe (H4): RSI is positioned between the resistance created by WMA45 (current price around 3152) and the RSI 60 support level (current price around 3121). 1-Hour Timeframe (H1): The WMA45 is trending upward, supporting the bullish trend. Trading Plan: BUY Entry Zone: When the RSI on the M15 timeframe is supported at the 50 or 60 levels. Entry Confirmation: When M5 completes a wave, or a divergence appears. Or even when M1 shows divergence. Stop Loss: 20–30 pips below the M5 low. Take Profit: 100 pips or R:R ≥ 1:1. Or when M5 completes its own uptrend. But be careful when RSI on H4 reaches its own WMA45. You can check out the indicators I use here: tradingview.com/u/dangtunglam14/
FX:XAUUSDLong
by dangtunglam14
XAU/USD 02 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now contained within an established internal structure. I will however continue to monitor price to evaluate depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025 Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 01 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note a further bullish iBOS marked in red. This is due to the fact the price did not trade down to either discount of internal 50% or a demand level. Intraday Expectation: Due to the bullish nature of the market, with very minimal pullback I will continue to visually map until price pulls back enough to plot structure. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 21 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs. Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note how price has mitigated M15 demand zones at the extreme of strong internal low. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 19 March 2025. Price has continued to surge to new all time highs, largely fuelled by geopolitical tensions, gold is solidifying itself as a safe haven asset. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH to confirm internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price has mitigated M15 demand zone. Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 3,057.590. Alternative scenario: You will note internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 18 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify as a bullish iBOS due to very insignificant pullback which would distort internal range. Therefore, I have marked the iBOS in red. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to indicate pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. ChOCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since yesterday's analysis, price has continued to surge to new all time highs, largely fuelled by geopolitical tensions. Gold is solidifying itself as a safe haven asset. Whilst price has not pulled back to discount of 50% I am happy to classify as a bullish iBOS due to time spent. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH to confirm internal structure. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish to complete it's bearish pullback phase to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD Today's Strategy AnalysisLast Friday, after consolidating around the 2980 level, bullish momentum finally broke higher, driving prices to accelerate during European trading hours. Gold pierced the psychological 3000 resistance level but was rejected and pulled back into a choppy consolidation phase. The session closed near 2985 with a doji candlestick, maintaining the strong bullish trend with unidirectional momentum. From a 4-hour technical perspective, today's downside support levels are focused on the vicinity of 2975-80. Particular attention should be paid to the critical bull-bear dividing line support at 2960-2963. Intraday pullbacks should maintain a bullish bias initially while holding above the 2975-80 support zone. Upside targets remain focused on breaking above recent highs. Gold trading strategy： sell @：3000-3005 buy @：2975-2980 , 2960-2963 If you are currently not satisfied with your gold trading performance, and if you also need to obtain accurate trading signals every day, you can check the information in my profile. I hope it can be of some help to you.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by UnknownUnicorn91193145