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Xauusddaily

Gold Price Analysis (XAU/USD): Key Levels and Market OutlookThe price of Gold (XAU/USD) has shown strong upward momentum in recent sessions, crossing above the $3,600 mark and briefly touching the $3,674 level, which represents a strong bullish push supported by significant trading volume (over 581K at that peak). Current Market Overview Current Price: $3,646.74 (as of the latest 4H candle) Resistance Level: $3,674 (recent swing high) Support Level: $3,640 (recent pullback low) RSI Indicator: Around mid-range (60), showing neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The Zig Zag indicator highlights the recent correction after reaching $3,674, where the price retraced slightly to $3,640 before consolidating. The market now trades sideways between these two levels, indicating a short-term indecision. 1. Resistance Zone: Gold needs to break and sustain above $3,674 to confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. If this happens, the next target could be around $3,700 – $3,750. 2. Support Zone: On the downside, if the price fails to hold the $3,640 level, a deeper correction towards $3,600 – $3,550 cannot be ruled out. 3. Momentum Indicators: The RSI is currently neutral, suggesting room for both upside and downside moves. Traders should watch for RSI crossing above 70 (bullish continuation) or dropping below 50 (bearish pressure). Trading Strategy Bullish Bias: If Gold holds above $3,640 and breaks $3,674, traders may look for long positions targeting $3,700 and above. Bearish Bias: A break below $3,640 could trigger short positions, with downside targets near $3,600 and $3,550. Conclusion Gold remains in a bullish structure but faces short-term resistance at $3,674. Traders should watch closely for a breakout or breakdown from this consolidation range to determine the next major move.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by forexinworld
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 09.10.2025 ???Trend is friend. Gold price today is still holding on the uptrend line and has not broken out yet. Today we only need to pay attention to the following important resistance and support zones: >> SELL SCALP: 3700 - 3710, SL 3720, TP 3600 - 3570 >> BUY SCALP: 3620 - 3625, SL 3615, TP 3645 - 3700 >>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3620 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN >>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN Good luck guys!!!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
Gold Smashes Records: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Hype!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Breaking Records! 🌟 New Peaks: Spot gold hit a record $3,527.5/oz on September 2, with analysts predicting a climb to $3,600-$3,900 this year, potentially surpassing $4,000 by 2026 if economic and geopolitical uncertainty persists. Reuters polls show 2025 average price forecasts rising from $2,756/oz (January) to $3,220/oz (July). 📈 Fed Rate Cut Buzz: Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged rising job market risks, boosting bets for a September rate cut. “A weakening USD, fueled by rate cut expectations, investor aversion to US assets, and tariff-related economic uncertainty, supports gold,” says Ricardo Evangelista from ActivTrades. Gold thrives in low-rate environments! 🏦 USD Weakness: The USD has lost nearly 11% since Trump’s return to the White House in January 2025, making gold more attractive to foreign currency holders. 📉 Fed Drama: Trump’s criticism of Powell and attempts to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook have raised fears about Fed independence, driving safe-haven gold demand. “Speculative bullishness stems from potential Fed interference and concerns over the USD’s safe status,” notes Carsten Menke from Julius Baer. ⚖️🇺🇸 Other Drivers: Middle East tensions, Russia-Ukraine conflict, and central bank buying (e.g., China’s PBOC added gold for the 9th consecutive month in July 2025). The World Gold Council (WGC) reports central banks plan to increase gold reserves while reducing USD holdings. “Rising gold prices and central bank accumulation are boosting gold’s share in reserves,” says Michael Hsueh from Deutsche Bank. Gold ETFs like SPDR Gold Trust saw holdings rise 12% YTD to 977.68 tons, the highest since August 2022. Technical Analysis: Bullish Surge Continues, Prioritize BUY but Watch for Pullbacks! 📉 Gold keeps setting new highs, breaking through the round 3,500 level, dipping briefly to 3,469, then surging to 3,54x—near the Fibonacci extension 0.618. No clear reversal signals yet, so prioritize BUY if gold retraces to 3,52x or 3,51x. Bulls remain in control! Key Resistance: 3,554 - 3,564 - 3,574 Key Support: 3,521 - 3,508 - 3,450 - 3,475 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp : 3,543 - 3,545 SL: 3,549 TP: 3,540 - 3,535 - 3,530 Sell Zone : 3,571 - 3,573 SL: 3,581 TP: 3,563 - 3,553 - 3,543 - 3,523 Buy Scalp: 3,510 - 3,508 SL: 3,504 TP: 3,513 - 3,518 - 3,528 Buy Zone: 3,475 - 3,473 SL: 3,465 TP: 3,483 - 3,493 - 3,503 - 3,513 - Open #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #Trump #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Start shorting gold in a swing trade, target: 3435-3415Gold has just broken through the 3500 level and continued to near 3509. Bullish momentum is strong. Currently, gold has significantly deviated from technical indicators and is driven entirely by market sentiment. However, from a trading perspective, it's difficult to easily find a suitable entry point to participate in a long gold trade. However, since yesterday's 3480 level, I've been increasing my short positions in gold and planning swing trading. Although there has not been a decent pullback yet, there are still reasons to support my shorting of gold! 1. While prices above 3500 have broken through historical highs, this is still uncharted territory, and bulls may be more cautious and hesitant. 2. Market expectations for a rate cut are currently growing, but after the Fed implements the cut, gold could experience a significant pullback, creating a "buy the expectation, sell the reality" phenomenon. 3. Although sentiment is currently driving the market, and technical indicators are completely distorted, there's still room for a technical pullback once market sentiment returns to rationality. 4. Based on current signs, gold may be accelerating towards its peak. These are the reasons why I'm continuing to increase my short positions in gold. As a swing trade, while the holding period may be extended, my target for the short position remains firmly in the 3435-3415 range. If gold breaks below this range, the trend could extend to 3400-3390. Of course, during swing trades, the longer holding period doesn't prevent us from executing short-term, daytime long trades. For short-term, daytime long trades, the current support area worth watching is 3485-3475. We can wait for gold to retrace to this area and then participate in gold long trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading-Diary_Steffen
Gold Jumps 1%: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Buzz!Fundamental Analysis: What’s Driving Gold’s Rally? 🌟 Gold’s Big Win: Spot gold jumped 0.9% to $3,447.09/oz on August 29, with a stellar 4.8% gain for the month. Gold futures also rose 1.2% to $3,515.70/oz, signaling strong bullish momentum. 📈 USD Stays Steady but Weakens: The USD held stable but lost 2.2% in August, making gold more affordable for foreign buyers and boosting its appeal. 📉 PCE Data Supports Rate Cuts: US PCE inflation rose 0.2% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year in July 2025, aligning with forecasts. Strong consumer spending and tariff-driven price hikes signal persistent inflation, but analysts expect the Fed to cut rates—potentially twice this year—lifting commodities like gold. The market now sees an 89% chance of a 0.25% rate cut in September 2025, up from 85%, per CME FedWatch. 🏦 Fed Drama Intensifies: A federal judge is reviewing whether to block President Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook, who’s suing to protect her position, arguing Trump lacks valid grounds. This uncertainty around the Fed’s independence is a major tailwind for gold’s safe-haven status. 🇺🇸⚖️ Why Gold Shines: As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-interest-rate environments and during economic uncertainty—perfect conditions for its current rally! Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Continues, But Watch Key Levels! 📉 Gold kicked off the Asian session with a bang, breaking through the 3353 resistance and creating a significant FVG (Fair Value Gap) due to its strong upward push. As long as gold stays above the 343x zone, the bulls remain in control. However, with prices nearing multi-month highs, a pullback could be looming. Here’s the game plan: Key Resistance: 3500 - 3510 - 3520 Key Support: 3472 - 3453 - 3437 - 3423 - 3404 Scalping Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3499 - 3501 SL: 3504 TP: 3496 - 3491 - 3486 Buy Scalp: 3453 - 3451 SL: 3448 TP: 3456 - 3461 - 3466 Swing Trading Opportunities: Sell Zone: 3510 - 3512 SL: 3516 TP: 3506 - 3500 - 3490 - 3480 Buy Zone: 3436 - 3434 SL: 3430 TP: 3440 - 3450 - 3460
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Divergence has appeared at H4 – TOP IS ABOUT TO BE FORMEDGold SMC Daily Plan – 28/08 ________________________________________ Market Context (SMC perspective): • Price is currently trading around 3395–3396 after an impulsive bullish run and showing early bearish divergence on H4, signaling a potential short-term top. • Key resistance sits at 3400 – a clean break above could sweep liquidity towards 342x–343x, retesting old ATH. • If 3370 support breaks, price could retrace deeper into the 335x BUY zone for a strong bullish setup. ________________________________________ Key Levels: • Resistance: 3396–3400 (Sell Zone), 342x–343x (liquidity sweep area) • Support: 3370, 3354–3352 (Buy Zone), 3325 (SL for buys) ________________________________________ SMC Zones & Liquidity Pools: • BUY ZONE 1: 3354–3352 (below liquidity sweep under 3370) o SL: 3347 o TP: 3365 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395 → 3400+ • BUY ZONE 2: 3380 – 3382 o SL: 3374 o TP: 3390 → 3400 → 3415 →3430 → 3450+ • SELL ZONE: 3408 - 3410 (above recent high) o SL: 3416 o TP: 3390 → 3380 → 3375 → 3360 ________________________________________ Plan & Scenarios: 1. Sell Scenario (Primary Bias – Divergence Play): o Wait for liquidity grab above 3396–3399 (sweep into resistance) o Enter short with SL above 3403 o Scale out profits at 3390–3380–3375; leave runner targeting 3360 if support breaks 2. Buy Scenario (Counter Play – Break & Retest): o If price dips into 3354–3352 buy zone, look for bullish reaction (choch / BOS on lower TF) o Enter long with SL below 3347 o Target 3365–3375–3385–3395–3400+ ________________________________________ Confluence: • H4 bearish divergence indicating exhaustion at top • Untapped liquidity zones above 3396 and below 3370 • FVG and imbalance areas aligning with the 335x buy zone
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAU/USD (Gold CFD) – Weekly Opening Outlook | SMC Perspective# 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold CFD) – Weekly Opening Outlook | SMC Perspective **Date:** 2025/08/17 **Timeframe:** 45M (Heikin Ashi) **Methodology:** Smart Money Concept (SMC) --- ## 📊 Market Context Gold closed the previous week under heavy liquidity grabs after multiple **CHOCH** and **BOS** structures. The current market is positioned around **3,335**, balancing between two potential phases: 1. **Phase 1 (Bullish Recovery)** 2. **Phase 2 (Bearish Continuation)** Both phases are mapped on the chart with clear structural references. --- ## 🔵 Forecast Phase 1 – Bullish Scenario 1. **Key Levels:** - **Immediate Demand Zone:** 3,330 – 3,335 - **Equilibrium Reaction Zone:** 3,350 – 3,360 - **Liquidity Pool:** 3,380 – 3,390 2. **Conditions for Validation:** - Price must hold the **discount demand zone** (PDI). - A strong **CHOCH → BOS** sequence from current level. - Break and close above **3,350 equilibrium**. 3. **Expected Move:** - Push towards **previous PDH** and sweep above **3,370 – 3,380**. - Potential continuation into **EQH (3,390 – 3,400)** liquidity zone. 4. **Targets:** - 🎯 TP1: **3,350** (equilibrium retest) - 🎯 TP2: **3,370 – 3,380** - 🎯 TP3: **3,390 – 3,400** (EQH / liquidity sweep) 5. **Invalidation:** - Closing candles below **3,330 demand zone** will weaken bullish outlook. --- ## 🔴 Forecast Phase 2 – Bearish Scenario 1. **Key Levels:** - **Discount Zone:** 3,320 – 3,325 - **Major Demand Zone:** 3,300 – 3,280 - **Extended Liquidity Pool:** 3,260 – 3,250 2. **Conditions for Validation:** - Failure to hold above **3,335 – 3,330**. - Clear rejection at equilibrium levels (**3,350 – 3,360**). - A new **BOS** towards the downside. 3. **Expected Move:** - Market could unfold in 5-leg structure (as shown on chart: ① → ⑤). - First rejection around **3,335 – 3,340**, followed by extension towards **3,310 – 3,280**. - Final liquidity sweep possible into **3,260 – 3,250 zone**. 4. **Targets:** - 🎯 TP1: **3,320 – 3,325** - 🎯 TP2: **3,300 – 3,280** - 🎯 TP3: **3,260 – 3,250** 5. **Invalidation:** - A confirmed **bullish CHOCH** above **3,350 equilibrium** invalidates the bearish scenario. --- ## ⚖️ Summary - **Phase 1 (Bullish):** Possible rebound from current demand towards **3,390 – 3,400** liquidity. - **Phase 2 (Bearish):** Failure at equilibrium may trigger deeper continuation into **3,280 – 3,250 demand**. Traders should monitor **CHOCH / BOS confirmations** closely before positioning. --- #XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #CHOCH #BOS #Liquidity #FVG #TradingView
TVC:GOLD
by mmozafari1357
XAU/USD 12 August 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 05 August 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD FORMED A BULLISH PENNANT PATTERN-ANOTHER BULLISH IMPULSE?XAUUSD FORMED A BULLISH PENNANT PATTERN - ANOTHER BULLISH IMPULSE?📈 Gold has been under buying pressure since the beginning of the year. Since April 21 the price has been consolidating. Now the graph represents the bullish pennant. What is a bullish pennant? Pennant pattern: Short-term continuation pattern after a sharp price move (flagpole), forming a small symmetrical triangle. Signals trend resumption, lasts 1-3 weeks with declining volume. So, first of all, identify a flagpole and a consolidating triangle. Confirm it with indicators (bullish/bearish divergence). After that you may trade breakout in trend direction (buy bullish, sell bearish) with volume spike. Set your stop-loss below/above the opposite side of pennant. You may set your take-profit at a flagpole height from a breakout. Here we see the divergence on RSI 4-h timeframe. If the price breaks the upper border of the pennant pattern you may open long position.
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by ProfessorSingapore
XAU/USD 25 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high. Price is now trading within an established internal range. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold on Monday depends on this wave of operationsBefore the non-agricultural data on Friday, gold maintained an overall oscillating pattern, opening at 3354, briefly rising to around 3375 and then falling under pressure, entering an overall oscillating downward mode. We also caught the rhythm of long orders many times and successfully exited the market with profits. Although the non-agricultural data was bearish, gold did not dive quickly, but rebounded to around 3363 after short-term fluctuations, and then fell under pressure again, and finally closed in an inverted head shape, with obvious technical bearish signals. From the perspective of form, gold is expected to continue to rebound high and high next week. Focus on the support of this week's low point of 3296. Once it falls below, it is possible to further explore the 3270-3260 area. However, if this position remains stable and unbroken, the market still has room for rebound and repair. From a specific technical perspective, the obstructed decline of the 3375 line on Friday is more critical, with the lowest intraday drop to 3307, and the bearish momentum is still strong. It is recommended to be prudent in operation and do not blindly chase orders. 🔸Operation ideas for gold next week: 1️⃣ If it rebounds to 3320-3325, you can try to arrange short orders. If it rebounds further to 3338-3345, it is recommended to cover short positions. 2️⃣ The first target is the 3295-3306 area. If it effectively falls below, continue to hold and look for a lower position. 3️⃣ The support below is focused on the 3295-3285 area, and the pressure above is still mainly 3335-3345. The market is mainly oscillating in the middle of the range. It is recommended to watch more and act less, and wait for key point signals before intervening. If you are currently having trouble with gold operations, welcome to communicate with me. I will update the strategy as soon as possible according to the intraday market and try my best to make your investment less detours.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
XAU/USD 28 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765. Alternative scenario: Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 23 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765. Alternative scenario: Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK