Xauusdidea
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 24, 2025)
1️⃣ Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
• D1 momentum is closing within the oversold zone → bearish strength has clearly weakened.
• The probability of a bullish reversal is now very high.
• A strong bullish D1 candle close is needed to confirm the reversal.
• Once confirmed, price may enter a 5-day bullish rally.
H4 Timeframe:
• H4 momentum is still declining.
• If the current H4 candle closes as it is now, we may see a main bearish move today (around 5 H4 candles).
• Since today is Friday, a deeper decline remains possible.
→ Therefore, careful observation and analysis are required before entering any trades.
H1 Timeframe:
• H1 momentum continues to decline.
• Price may drop toward the 4098 liquidity zone.
• If this level breaks, the next potential target is 4050.
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2️⃣ Wave Structure
D1 Structure:
• Price has been moving sideways for several days.
• In Elliott Wave theory, when price reaches its target, it often needs time symmetry before the wave completes.
• Therefore, this prolonged sideways phase helps maintain time balance.
• It’s still too early to confirm whether this is yellow Wave 4 or just Wave 4 within yellow Wave 3.
H4 Structure:
• There are two possible scenarios:
1. The blue Y wave is still unfolding.
2. The purple Wave 5 has already started forming.
• To determine which scenario is valid, we monitor the current
H4 bearish phase:
o If price does not break the previous low, and H4 momentum enters the oversold zone, it likely indicates purple Wave 5 has begun, with an upside target near 4476.
o If price breaks the previous low, the blue Y corrective wave is still in progress, or a larger corrective structure is unfolding.
o In that case, we’ll watch the lower liquidity zones, with the ideal completion target for Wave Y around 3927.
H1 Structure:
• On the H1 chart, Wave C appears to have completed in the form of an Ending Triangle.
• According to Elliott theory, after an ending triangle, price should drop sharply and quickly.
• However, such a strong drop hasn’t appeared yet, so we continue to observe the price action carefully.
There are two main scenarios to consider:
1. If price declines slowly toward the 4050 liquidity zone, showing overlapping waves while H4 momentum moves into the oversold region, it’s likely that Wave 5 has already started.
→ In this case, we’ll look for buying opportunities.
2. If price falls rapidly and steeply, it suggests that the blue Y wave is still unfolding, or that the market is inside a larger corrective phase.
→ In this case, price may break below 4004, and we will patiently wait for buy setups around 3953 or 3927.
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3️⃣ Trading Plan
• Sell Setup:
o Yesterday’s sell zone at 4149 has already reached about +400 pips.
o No new ideal sell zone for now → wait for liquidity breaks to look for the next sell setup.
• Buy Setup:
o Monitor potential buy reactions at:
4050
3953
3927
⚠️ Note:
Price is currently at a sensitive zone, with each candle showing a range over 200 pips.
→ Therefore, limit orders are highly risky at the moment and could easily get stopped out.
analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) based on your 15-minute chart:he chart shows a descending channel (marked by “TRADE LINE”) that recently broke to the upside, suggesting a possible short-term bullish reversal.
A strong resistance zone is visible near 4140–4160, where price has previously rejected multiple times.
The target zone below is marked around 4042.57, which aligns with prior swing support.
Key Levels
Resistance: 4140 – 4160
Support: 4080 – 4060
Target (Downside): 4042
Upside Break Zone: Above 4160 could lead toward 4180+
Analysis Summary
The price broke out of a short-term bearish channel, indicating potential for a bullish correction toward resistance (4140–4160).
However, this zone is critical resistance; rejection here may trigger a pullback back toward 4080 or even the target at 4042.
Momentum indicators suggest the move is reactive (short-term retracement), not yet a trend reversal.
⚙️ Trading Outlook
Bearish Bias: Below 4140 → potential retest toward 4060–4040.
Bullish Confirmation: Only above 4160 → continuation to 4180–4200. MIL:RACE MIL:LDO MIL:STLAM MIL:ENI MIL:STMMI MIL:STMMI MIL:ENEL MIL:MONC MIL:PRY MIL:TIT MIL:FCT MIL:AZM MIL:WBD
*GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Outlook | 1H Chart Analysis
## 🟡 **GOLD (XAU/USD) – Technical Outlook | 1H Chart Analysis
### 🧭 **Market Structure Overview**
Gold is currently trading around **$4,061**, showing a **bearish short-term structure** within a broader **range-bound market**.
The price is reacting between well-defined **support and resistance zones**, with clear liquidity sweeps and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) visible on the chart.
---
### 🧱 **Key Levels**
* 🔴 **Major Resistance:** $4,326 – $4,360
* ⚫ **Mid-Level Resistance / FVG Zone:** $4,168 – $4,204
* 🟤 **Support & Resistance Flip Zone:** $4,043 – $4,080
* ⚫ **Major Support Zone:** $3,995 – $4,020
---
### 📉 **Technical Breakdown**
1. **Double Top Formation** seen near $4,360 resistance area ➡️ strong supply zone confirmation.
2. Price dropped sharply from resistance, breaking below key structure and forming a **lower low**.
3. A **Fair Value Gap (FVG)** remains open around $4,200, suggesting a potential **liquidity grab or retracement** back into that zone before continuation.
4. Recent bounce from $4,043 support suggests **buyers defending the zone**.
---
### 📊 **Possible Scenarios**
#### 🅰️ **Bullish Scenario (Short-Term Rebound)**
* Price holds above **$4,043 support** 🛡️
* Reversal toward **$4,168–$4,204 FVG zone** 🎯
* Break and close above **$4,204** could trigger momentum to **$4,326 resistance** ⚡
#### 🅱️ **Bearish Scenario (Continuation Down)**
* Failure to hold **$4,043 zone** 🚨
* Could push price back toward **$4,000–$3,980 support**
* Below that level → deeper correction likely 📉
---
### 🪙 **Conclusion**
🔹 **Bias:** Short-term bullish → mid-term bearish
🔹 **Target Zone:** $4,168 → $4,204 (FVG Fill)
🔹 **Invalidation:** Break below $4,004
---
📅 *Chart timeframe:* 1H
💡 *Strategy insight:* Look for confirmation signals (e.g., bullish engulfing or BOS) before entering near support.
---
Would you like me to add **TradingView-style stickers and emoji labels (like “BUY ZONE 💰”, “FVG ⚡”, “SUPPORT 🧱”) directly on the chart image** for you?
If yes, I can generate a clean **annotated version** of your chart with professional visuals.
GOLD ; How far down?Hello friends
Well, after the good rise we had, the price needed a correction, which happened with a double top pattern.
Now the main question is, how far will the fall go?
Well, in the short term, the price can fall to the specified limits, and if the support areas are broken, the fall will continue, and on the other hand, an important resistance has been created, which the price needs to break for the new ATH.
With this decline, it is unlikely that the price will suffer for a while and correct because it has grown a lot and everything will end one day...
Support levels can be good points for buying, of course with capital and risk management.
*Trade safely with us*
XAUUSD on consolidation ready for again upside XAUUSD is cool down & captured the consolidation zone from 4090-4140 .
What are my conditions For Today's session?
Currently i m looking for buy trade from 4085-4175 zone ,I'm expecting H4 and H1 Candle closing will be above 4100 .
Targets: 4145- 4175.
✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 4070
our buying will be postpond and market will test 4045.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 23, 2025)
1️⃣ Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
• The D1 momentum is now in the oversold zone, suggesting a potential bullish reversal at any moment.
• Once we see a D1 candle close with a bullish confirmation, it could trigger 3–5 consecutive bullish days ahead.
H4 Timeframe:
• The H4 momentum is currently overbought, indicating a possible downward correction during today’s session.
H1 Timeframe:
• The H1 momentum is now turning upward, meaning price may rise slightly or move sideways in the short term.
• Watch two key liquidity zones: 4098 and 4143.
If H1 momentum reaches the overbought zone around these levels, it will align with the H4 bearish momentum, creating a strong resistance area.
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2️⃣ Wave Structure
D1 Structure:
• The D1 momentum is preparing to reverse, showing that the current decline is weakening.
• A short-term recovery wave is likely to appear soon.
• As discussed in yesterday’s plan, we must observe the upcoming bullish move to confirm whether the recent downtrend has completed.
H4 Structure:
• The H4 momentum is overbought, meaning a bearish reversal may happen soon.
• Price movement is slow and overlapping, suggesting that the next decline could be either:
o Wave 4 of Wave Y (blue), or
o A larger corrective phase if momentum fully shifts downward.
H1 Structure:
• The current formation may be developing as a Flat or a Triangle correction.
o If it’s a Flat, the 4143 level is a potential completion zone for Wave C (black), after which price could resume its decline.
o If it’s a Triangle, the pattern is not yet complete — confirmation will come when price breaks below the lower boundary, offering a Sell opportunity.
🎯 Target zone if the decline unfolds:
• Based on the H4 momentum cycle (typically lasting 4–5 candles),
• And according to Fibonacci projection, Wave 5 of Wave Y (blue) targets around 3927.
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3️⃣ Trading Plan
• The current H1 candle range is very wide (300–400 pips), while my typical stop-loss size is 100–150 pips.
• This makes limit orders risky in the current environment.
• Therefore, it’s better to wait for clear confirmation before entering trades, rather than placing early limit orders.
🔹 Sell Zones:
• 4143 and 4190 – expected top areas of this correction.
• Additionally, if price breaks above liquidity zones and then retests, these can serve as Sell entries aligned with the H4 downward momentum.
XAUUSD Geoplolitical move?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD 10-23-25After the recent runup with gold it has pulled back to the 23.6 fib level on the daily timeframe and actually pushed below showing strong support in the 3975 - 4040 daily zone.
I would like to think that price will run right back up to retest the recent ATH of about 4382Gbut if I know gold in all her trickiness she will coast along at this 23.6 level then perhaps dip to the 38.2 or even the 50 then get a strong push back up to retest the high and from there probably come back down or push thru depending on macro economic and political events at that time.
Going back a few months to May of this year you can kind of see how price experienced similar behavior when it was breaking thru the 3430 - 3505 daily zone which obviously is that real push thru the previous psychological ATH level of 3500. Now history is repeating itself as we push to stay above the recent psychological ATH of 4000 towards 4500.
We shall see...
GOLD BREAK AND RETEST RECOVERY TOWARDS $4270 Overall Structure
The chart shows a rising channel pattern (ascending parallel channel) that gold had been trading within for several days.
Recently, price broke below the channel, found support, and is now retracing upward toward potential resistance levels.
🧭 Key Observations
1. Trend Context
Previous trend: Bullish, as seen from the steady higher highs and higher lows inside the yellow channel.
Recent move: Sharp bearish breakout below the channel, followed by a strong recovery bounce.
Current structure: Gold is attempting to retest the lower boundary of the broken channel — a common “break and retest” setup.
2. Support Zone
The green arrow marks the support zone around $4,018–$4,040, where the last drop reversed sharply.
This area held as strong de…
📊 Trading Outlook
Bias: Short-term bullish recovery within a medium-term corrective structure.
Buy zone: Above $4,140–$4,150 with confirmation candle.
Targets: $4,206 / $4,253 / $4,271.
Stop-loss: Below $4,100 (for short-term trades).
XAUUSD:Keep an eye on the 4,000 support mark📈The current price of London gold is 4,116.87 per ounce, up 28.36 from the previous trading day, with a percentage increase of 0.64%. So far today, the highest price has reached 4,137.35 per ounce, and the lowest is 4,065.47 per ounce. Currently, the price is in a state of fluctuating increase.
📝Market sentiment and fund flow:
Judging from the recent market performance, the price of London gold has fluctuated violently. On October 21st, the price of London gold once dropped by more than 6%, and the decline continued on the 22nd, with the lowest reaching 4,002.89 per ounce during the Asian session.
The significant decline in these two days was mainly due to the weakening of risk - off sentiment. The joint statement by the relevant parties in the Russia - Ukraine conflict in support of a cease - fire and the easing signals in Sino - US relations have weakened the safe - haven demand for gold.
At the same time, the previous large increase in the price of gold had accumulated a large number of profit - taking positions, and the pressure on investors to take profits was relatively high. However, the price rebounded on the 23rd, indicating that market sentiment has recovered to some extent, but overall it is still relatively cautious.
📝Technical analysis:
From the perspective of the 4 - hour cycle trend, the gold shows a trend of shifting from a bullish to a bearish rhythm in the short and medium term, forming a typical M - top pattern, which indicates that there may still be room for the price of gold to decline in the near future. However, the large - integer - level support of 4,000 per ounce is currently relatively clear, and in the short term, it may fluctuate within the range of 4,000 - 4,150. In terms of operation, it is mainly advisable to go short on rallies. The upper resistance level is in the range of 4,135 - 4,150, and the short-term support around the 4,065-4,070 range,then the key support level is in the range of 4,010 - 4,000.
💡In conclusion, the price has rebounded today, but due to the impact of the previous significant decline, it may fluctuate within the range of 4,000 - 4,150 per ounce in the short term, and the trend is uncertain. Investors need to closely pay attention to the changes in factors such as the geopolitical situation, Sino - US relations, and the Federal Reserve's policy.
💎Trading Strategy:
BUY 4010 - 4015
SL 4000
TP 4030 - 4020 - 4070
Sell 4120 - 4125
SL 4130
TP 4100 - 4080 - 4060
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Price still in upwards channelAlright, here's the thing with gold. Recently, the price dropped sharply, which might look alarming. But when we look at the bigger picture, gold is still in an upward channel or a rising trend. What does that mean? It shows that, despite this dip, gold still holds its value in the long run. Think of it like a staircase—sometimes you step down a bit, but you're still climbing higher overall. This is good news for investors because it means gold continues to act as a safe haven and a reliable hedge against things like inflation or economic uncertainty. The short-term drop could be due to temporary factors, but the long-term trend gives confidence that gold remains strong.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisAnalysis:
Gold is currently trading around 4,120, showing a minor bullish correction within a descending channel. The price has bounced from the support buy zone (4,040–4,060), indicating buyer activity at this level. However, the structure remains bearish in the short term as long as the price stays below the descending trade line.
A possible scenario is a short-term pullback toward the upper trade line before another retest of the support zone. If the support holds again, a bullish reversal could target the 4,383 level, aligning with the upper boundary of the previous high.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060
Resistance (Trade Line): 4,180 – 4,200
Target (Bullish): 4,383
Outlook:
Neutral-to-bullish in the medium term if the support zone remains intact. A break below 4,040 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside continuation. QSE:MRDS QSE:NLCS QSE:ERES QSE:QNBK QSE:FALH QSE:BLDN QSE:DUBK QSE:IGRD QSE:QIBK QSE:IQCD QSE:MEZA QSE:AKHI QSE:WDAM
Gold Rebounds from Extreme POI – Bullish Move Building UpGold?Analysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery after tapping into the Extreme Point of Interest (POI) zone, signaling the potential start of a bullish reversal.
The chart indicates an SMC Trap (Smart Money Concept Trap), where liquidity was swept below previous lows to trigger sell stops before reversing upward — a classic smart money accumulation pattern.
Price reacted sharply from the Extreme POI, forming higher lows, which confirms renewed buyer interest.
The immediate target area lies around $4,180 – $4,200, aligning with the projected bullish arrow.
Below, the High Probability POI remains as a deeper demand zone — a strong confluence area if price retests.
📊 Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of bullish structure recovery after liquidity sweep. Holding above the Extreme POI zone strengthens the case for continued upside movement toward $4,200 and possibly higher.
Gold Breakout Potential: Descending Wedge Signals Bullish ReversAnalysis:
The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) chart on the 45-minute timeframe shows price action forming a descending wedge pattern, a typically bullish reversal formation. The price has been compressing between lower highs and lower lows but is now testing the upper trendline resistance, indicating a possible breakout.
Key observations:
Trendline Breakout Zone: The narrowing wedge suggests weakening bearish momentum. A confirmed breakout above the trendline could trigger strong upward momentum.
Targets: The projected upside targets are around 4,300, 4,400, and 4,500, aligning with previous resistance zones.
Support Zone: Immediate support remains near 4,050–4,000, where the lower wedge boundary provides buying interest.
Momentum Indicator: Gradual bullish recovery and decreasing downside pressure indicate renewed buyer strength.
Gold Trade Set Up Oct 22 2025Gold is coming off a huge down move and is currently ranging on the 15m, so i want to see either a close above 15m high followed by a 5m SSL sweep to target BSL and supply areas or if price fails to close higher and pushes down creating a new 15m low, i will look for sells to lower SSL levels
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 22, 2025)
🔹 1. Momentum
D1:
The D1 momentum is preparing to turn bullish, signaling the start of a new upward trend.
→ We can expect at least 3–5 consecutive bullish days ahead.
H4:
We need to wait for the H4 candle to close to confirm the reversal signal.
If confirmed, there’s a strong possibility that today will form an intraday uptrend.
H1:
H1 momentum has already turned upward, but it’s now in the overbought zone.
Therefore, the current rise won’t be strong, and a minor pullback is needed to bring momentum back to the oversold area — creating a foundation for a more stable bullish move.
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🔹 2. Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe:
Yesterday saw a sharp decline, but D1 momentum is now preparing to reverse upward.
Counting the correction candles, we already have five candles, suggesting that the market may soon enter a new bullish phase lasting 3–5 days or more.
During this recovery phase, we need to monitor two key scenarios:
• If wave movements overlap and lack strength, and when D1 momentum returns to the overbought zone but price fails to break the previous high, then the Wave 4 (yellow) scenario is still in play.
• If price rises sharply and decisively, the recent correction might only be part of Wave 3 (yellow), meaning the bullish trend is continuing.
H4 Timeframe:
Yesterday’s structure was identified as a Flat correction, and it remains valid.
Price has retraced into the Wave 4 zone of the smaller degree structure, reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of Wave A.
If Wave 5 (purple) is now developing, the ideal target would be around 4476.
However, if price rises with overlapping waves, this could instead represent a corrective move within Wave 4 (yellow), targeting the previous high zone between 4381 and 4476.
H1 Timeframe:
Within Wave W, there is a small Flat correction, where Wave C extended to twice the length of Wave A.
Now, Wave Y (blue) has also declined to 2× Wave W, suggesting weakening buying power.
Even so, in the short term, we still expect an intraday bullish move today.
→ The trading bias remains buy-side until H4 momentum reaches the overbought area and reverses.
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🔹 3. Trading Plan
Buy Zone: 4101 – 4098
Stop Loss (SL): 4088
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 4190
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🔹 4. Notes
Liquidity and resistance zones are already marked on the chart.
→ Wait for price to break and retest those areas to confirm a valid Buy setup.
$4,381 WAS THE FAKE TOP? Gold -5.5%: MSS Confirms SELL!XAU/USD In-Depth Analysis: Historic Shock and Structure-Based Selling Opportunity!
1. Fundamental Shock Analysis
Gold's massive 5.5% plunge from its record high of $4,381 was a large-scale profit-taking action following a blistering 60% year-to-date rally. This move was fueled by:
USD Strength: The strengthening US Dollar reduced Gold's appeal.
Market Sentiment: A shift into Risk-On mode, diminishing safe-haven demand.
The Essence: This was a huge Liquidity Sweep, designed to wash out weaker hands before Gold decides its next major trend.
2. Technical Analysis (MSS & Execution)
The price structure has delivered a decisive message: The trend has changed!
MSS Confirmed (Market Structure Shift): The break of the bullish structure occurred at $4,254.549. This level is now a highly critical Supply Zone, acting as the "boundary" for the bears.
Demand Reaction: Gold is currently attempting to hold the Order Block (OB) at $4,077.
Preferred Strategy: SELL based on the confirmed MSS.
Optimal SELL Zone: Wait for a retracement back to the Supply Zone $4,254.549 (Ideal limit entry).
Target (TP): Successive targets are $4,008 (The psychological $4k mark) and the strong support area at $3,944 - $3,904.
Stop Loss (SL): Place above the high at $4,260 (Protecting the MSS point).
Conclusion: Don't be fooled by the bounce. $4,254.549 is the golden entry point for a short trade following the new market structure.
#GOLD #XAUUSD #MSS #Liquidity #SELLSignal #SmartMoneyConcept






















