Gold Tests Key Reversal Zone – Bears on WatchGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) completed the move as I expected in my previous idea , both the down and up moves I expected.
Gold is currently moving in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it looks like Gold is completing the 5th microwaves of the main wave 3 .
I expect Gold to start correcting in the coming hours and drop to at least $3,593(First Target) .
Second Target: $3,583
Stop Loss(SL): $3,634
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Xauusdidea
Gold - Buy or Sell this week??? (08-12/09)With the sustained accumulation over the past five months, gold has experienced a strong breakout from the $3,300 sideways range and reached a new all-time high around $3,600. The upward trend is clearly established. Therefore, we can consider buying and selling at the following price levels:
>>> SELL ZONE: 3684 - 3679
SL: 3689
TP: 3618 - 3596 - 3578 - 3565 - 3515
>>> BUY ZONE: 3560 - 3570
SL: 3550
TP: 3618 - 3678
Have a good day. Good luck buddies! :)
XAUUSD – Breakout in Action, Next Liquidity Zones AheadMarket View:
Gold (XAUUSD) has just broken out of consolidation, confirming bullish momentum. After the accumulation phase, price surged strongly, showing buyers remain in control. The focus now shifts to the next liquidity zones above, with upside momentum still dominant.
Key Levels (H1/H15):
Immediate Resistance: 3621 – 3633
Next Liquidity Sell Zone: 3649 – 3650
Extended Target: 3669 – 3678
Support: 3595 – 3580 – 3572
Technical Outlook:
Breakout confirms continuation of the bullish trend.
As long as price holds above 3595, the structure stays intact.
A clean break through 3621–3633 opens the path towards 3649–3669.
Trading Plan:
BUY (preferred):
Buy on retest around 3595–3600
SL: 3580
TP: 3621 → 3633 → 3649 → 3669+
SELL scalp (alternative):
Only if strong rejection occurs at 3632 – 3634
SL: 3640
TP: 3625 → 3630 → 3620
Summary:
✅ Breakout confirmed, bullish momentum remains strong.
👉 Watch 3621–3633 and 3649–3650 closely for the next trading opportunities.
Follow MMFLOW TRADING for more updates and execution setups!
XAUUSD Overextended: Waiting for Retrace & BoS Before LongsAt the moment, Gold is in a very strong bullish trend 🟢📈, pushing into all-time highs 🏆. However, price is now trading in an area of very thin liquidity 💧⚠️, which carries the risk of a potential pullback 🔻 as smart money 💼 looks to tap into liquidity pools from previous levels to position long.
🔎 In the video, we break down:
Price action 📊
Market structure 🧩
Some Wyckoff concepts 📚
My thoughts on trading when the market is overextended 🚀⚠️
💡 Remember: we don’t want to buy at a premium ❌💰. The better play is to wait for a meaningful pullback ⏳ and a market structure break 🔓 before looking for long opportunities.
⚠️ This analysis is educational and not financial advice. 📚
Gold Soars 37% YTD: Fed Cuts, Jobs Woes & Trade Setups!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has surged 37% from the start of 2025, following a 27% rally in 2024 – fueled by a weakening USD, central bank buying, easing monetary policies, and broader economic/geopolitical uncertainty. With US jobs growth slowing sharply in August 2025 and unemployment rising to 4.3%, markets are heavily betting on Fed rate cuts: 90% chance of 0.25% and 10% for 0.5% in September. Let's analyze today's (08/09/2025) volatile market and spot trading opportunities! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold's Rally Isn't Slowing Down? 🌟
Impressive Growth: Gold is thriving in a low-rate environment amid uncertainty – non-yielding assets like this shine when rates drop and risks rise! 📈
US Jobs Factor: August data confirms a cooling labor market, bolstering Fed easing expectations and safe-haven demand.
Fed Independence Drama: Trump's pressure to oust Governor Lisa Cook and push for rate cuts has triggered legal disputes, eroding USD confidence and elevating gold as a hedge against Fed interference. Standard Chartered forecasts more upside from tariff tensions and central bank concerns.
Global Demand Slowdown: Top consumers China and India saw physical gold demand ease this week due to record prices – but overall sentiment stays bullish.
Gold is the ultimate safe haven in this volatile setup – will the Fed deliver the cuts the market craves?
Technical Analysis: Breakouts & Liquidity Sweeps – Avoid FOMO! 📉
In the early Asian session today, gold dipped to the 358x zone before a quick rebound, breaking last week's ATH resistance at 3600 and advancing to 361x. No major news drove this surge, but continuous ATHs signal rapid liquidity sweeps – watch for traps! Avoid FOMO: Target broken round levels for BUY opportunities, or structure breaks at round numbers for SELL, but be cautious of fakeouts.
Key Resistance: 3614 - 3624 - 3634 - 3644
Key Support: 3597 - 3581 - 3574 - 3566 - 3560 - 3550
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3624 - 3626
SL: 3630
TP: 3621 - 3616 - 3611 - 3606
Sell Zone: 3634 - 3636
SL: 3644
TP: 3626 - 3616 - 3606 - 3596
Buy Scalp: 3596 - 3594
SL: 3591
TP: 3599 - 3604 - 3609 - 3614
Buy Zone: 3581 - 3579
SL: 3571
TP: 3589 - 3599 - 3609 - 3619
Gold is in breakout mode, but traps lurk – wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could target new highs. 📊💡
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 7, 2025
Momentum
• D1: Momentum is still declining → a corrective move may occur before turning bullish again.
• H4: Currently in the overbought zone → a main downward move is expected tomorrow.
• H1: About to enter the oversold zone → a short-term upward bounce may appear tomorrow morning.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
o Price is forming a 5-wave structure (i, ii, iii, iv, v) in black.
o Currently, wave iii (black) is in its final stage.
o Waves i, ii, iii were formed after a momentum cycle → the next corrective cycle will likely indicate where wave iv (black) will end.
• H4 timeframe:
o Price may be completing wave v (purple).
o Once wave v (purple) finishes → the market is expected to enter corrective wave iv (black).
• H1 timeframe:
o As in the previous plan, the ABC correction in blue looks like a 3-wave structure, but there is also the possibility of a Flat pattern forming.
o In a Flat scenario, price may break above the previous high and then reverse downward.
o Currently, price showed overlapping moves followed by a strong breakout → suggesting two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1:
o Wave v (purple) is unfolding, with price heading toward the wave v target.
o Two target zones: 3614 and 3678.
o In this case → avoid counter-trend trades, wait for corrective wave iv (black) to complete and then enter Buy positions in line with wave iii (black).
Scenario 2:
o A Flat structure is forming.
o Wait for wave C to complete wave iv (purple).
o H4 momentum supports this scenario (decline to oversold then reversal).
o Wave C targets: 3553 and 3530 → ideal Buy entry zone.
Trading Plan
1. Buy Zone 1: 3353 – 3350
o SL: 3340
o TP1: 3596
2. Buy Zone 2: 3532 – 3530
o SL: 3522
o TP1: 3552
Gold Technical Analysis (XAU/USD# Gold Technical Analysis (XAU/USD)
On the 30M chart, several important factors suggest a potential correction:
1️⃣ The **Green Trendline** has been broken, with the key level at **3471**.
2️⃣ A possible **Retracement of the bullish leg** is aligned around the **3480 zone**.
3️⃣ The **Inducement structure** also confirms this corrective scenario.
🔻 With these confluences, the probability of a pullback towards the **3480 region** increases, marking it as a critical demand/retracement area.
---
📉 **Trade Idea (Educational):**
- **Entry:** 3585
- **Take Profit 1:** 3575
- **Take Profit 2:** 3555
- **Take Profit 3:** 3525
---
📊 **Key Levels to Watch:**
- 3471 (broken trendline)
- 3480 (retracement target)
- 3323 (deeper correction zone)
⚠️ This outlook and trade idea are for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
9/9: Expect a Main Pullback Today, Likely to Drop Below 3600🌅 Good morning everyone!
🔹 Key Support Levels
30M : 3632 / 3615–3598
1H : 3626 / 3614–3588
2H : 3608–3590 / 3560
4H : 3613–3598 / 3681–3664
1D : 3564 / 3507–3498
🔹 Key Resistance Levels
3650–3670
🔹 Intraday Trading Strategy
Sell on rallies, especially near 3650 and above
Buy on pullbacks at support, focus on the 1H support zones
Trade mainly in short-term swings, quick in and out, secure profits early
Yesterday, gold pulled back to around 3577 before rebounding strongly. Currently, the 30M chart shows a bullish alignment. In the short term, watch 3650 as a key resistance. If broken, price may extend to 3658–3670.
🎯 Overall Outlook: Buy the dips, sell the highs. Focus on key support and resistance levels, avoid holding positions too long.
XAUUSD Bearish Reversal Potential from Local Highs?Price has shown a strong bullish run but is now hitting a confluence of key resistance levels, suggesting a possible short-term reversal.
Here are the key bearish confluences:
📉 Fibonacci Retracement Resistance:
Price rejected the 61.8% retracement (from a prior high), around 3645.49, a classic reversal level.
📊 Overextended Trend:
Steep rise through ascending Gann fan levels — typically unsustainable without a correction.
☁️ Ichimoku Cloud Rejection Zone:
Price touching the edge of the projected cloud — often a resistance area in bullish extensions.
🚩 Bearish Candlestick Formation:
Early signs of a reversal candlestick forming near resistance.
🎯 Fibonacci Downside Targets:
Target 1: 3653.39 (38.2% retracement)
Target 2: 3632.70 (100% retracement – measured move completion)
Target 3: 3609.60 (previous demand zone + possible fib cluster)
Entry Zone: 3645 - 3655
Target Zone: 3653 → 3632 → 3609
Invalidation: Break and close above 3662
The XAUUSD short-sell plan achieved its target of $3,636.XAUUSD experienced a rapid pullback, and the market confirmed this prediction. The target of $3,636 was achieved and profitable, and the trader who executed the plan received a significant return. VANTAGE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
A political decision is about to detonate the market.Key Points: News that the Trump team has narrowed the field of Fed chair candidates to Hassett, Walsh, and Waller has quickly gained traction, triggering a market reassessment of the future path of monetary policy.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell emphasized the importance of inflation control at the Jackson Hole conference, but the weakening job market has quickly become a core policy consideration, adding uncertainty to the August CPI and PPI data to be released this week. Against this backdrop, news that the Trump team has narrowed the field of Fed chair candidates to Hassett, Walsh, and Waller has quickly gained traction, triggering a market reassessment of the future path of monetary policy. Traders should closely monitor this development, as it could reshape the boundaries of the Fed's independence and exacerbate current economic uncertainty.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD PYTH:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold Trade Set Up Sep 8 2025OANDA:XAUUSD
www.tradingview.com
Price broke structure on the 15m then came down and formed MSS, came higher and formed a rejection block, tested 50% of the RB now im targeting equal lows/low range liquidity
But on the higher time frames we are still bullish so i want to see a pull back before going higher
“Gold Shines Bright | Bullish Momentum Targeting $3,700🔎 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Chart)
Trend: Strong bullish trend confirmed, with price making higher highs and higher lows.
Buy Zone: Around 3,590 – 3,600 USD, where buyers stepped in aggressively.
Short-Term Target 🎯: 3,650 – 3,700 USD (already highlighted on chart).
Key Support Levels:
3,561 USD (near-term support)
3,490 USD (major support, bullish structure invalidation if broken)
📌 Outlook: As long as price holds above the buy zone, momentum favors bulls with potential continuation toward 3,700+ USD.
🌍 Fundamental Drivers for Gold Bullishness ✨
Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Expectations 🏦⬇️ – If the Fed signals easing or holds a dovish stance, real yields fall → Gold strengthens.
Weakening US Dollar (DXY) 💵📉 – A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to global investors.
Geopolitical Risks 🌍⚠️ – Rising global tensions increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Central Bank Demand 🏦🔒 – Many central banks are adding gold reserves to hedge against currency risks.
Inflation Hedge 📊🔥 – Gold remains attractive when inflationary pressures stay elevated.
XAUUSD accurately signaled a buy, achieving a $40/oz gain.After retreating from its highs, gold hit a key buy zone near the 3575 support level. It then reversed and rallied to 3617, a $40/oz gain, well above the target range of 3588-3593-3606. Traders who executed this plan saw substantial profits.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD VANTAGE:XAUUSD PYTH:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
Gold Targets $3,600 After Strong BreakoutAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish rally after breaking above the buy zone near $3,440 and holding strong momentum. The market has recently made higher highs, with price consolidating slightly below the resistance zone.
Currently, gold is trading at $3,548, with the short-term target identified at $3,600. The chart suggests potential consolidation in the highlighted area before another upward push. The SMA (9) at $3,552 is acting as dynamic support, keeping the bullish bias intact.
If buyers maintain control, a clear breakout above $3,552 – $3,560 could confirm a move toward $3,600 – $3,604. However, if momentum weakens, support lies at $3,511 and $3,499, with a deeper pullback possible toward the $3,440 buy zone.
Overall, the sentiment remains bullish, and gold looks positioned to test the $3,600 psychological resistance in the near term.
Weekly Outlook: Strong Bullish Momentum Meets Key US Data XAUUSD – Weekly Outlook: Strong Bullish Momentum Meets Key US Data | MMFLOW TRADING
Market View:
Gold (XAUUSD) ended the week with explosive momentum after Nonfarm Payrolls pushed price to a new ATH near $3600/oz. On the daily chart, the bullish candle closed with only ~30% wick, showing no signs of profit-taking. The weekly chart also printed a powerful bullish candle, confirming BUY dominance. This suggests that gold could see further upside in the coming week – and potentially throughout this month.
Macro & Fundamental Drivers (Week Ahead):
Key US data will drive volatility in XAUUSD:
Wed, Sep 10: Core PPI & PPI m/m → hotter-than-expected prints could support USD short term, weighing on gold.
Thu, Sep 11: CPI (Core, m/m, y/y) + Jobless Claims → the most critical release. Softer CPI + higher jobless claims would fuel gold’s rally, while hotter CPI keeps Fed hawkish.
Fri, Sep 12: UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations → inflation outlook could shape Fed expectations further.
Overall, fundamentals may create volatility, but the medium-term bias stays bullish.
Technical Outlook (H1 Chart):
Price is consolidating sideways after the Nonfarm breakout. Key levels to watch next week:
Support: 3574 – 3551 – 3530 – 3516
Resistance: 3600 – 3621 – 3633 – 3649 – 3669 – 3678
Trading Plan:
BUY bias (preferred):
Long on pullbacks around 3574–3550
SL: below 3530
TP: 3600 → 3621 → 3633 → 3649 → 3669 → 3678
SELL scalp (alternative):
Only if 3530 breaks with strong CPI upside surprise → target 3516/3527
Summary:
✅ Gold remains in a strong uptrend on both Daily and Weekly charts, with macro factors favouring further upside if inflation continues to ease.
👉 Watch 3592 (bullish trigger) and 3575 (bearish trigger) – these are the decision points for the next major move.
Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily updates and trade setups.
XAUUSD – Post-NFP Big Win & Key Levels to Watch | MMFLOW TRADINGNonfarm Payrolls pushed gold (XAUUSD) to a new ATH near $3600/oz. After reacting sharply at the 3593–3595 liquidity sell zone, price dropped more than 200 pips before bouncing back quickly to retest the previous ATH and climbing again towards 359x, showing strong bullish momentum still in play.
Short-Term Outlook (US Session Close):
Upside momentum remains dominant, but the market now stands at two critical key levels that will define the next move.
Key Levels:
Bullish trigger: 3592 → A clean breakout above this zone could fuel further upside towards the next liquidity area around 362x.
Bearish trigger: 3575 → A break below this level may open a deeper pullback to fill the Nonfarm liquidity gap around 3550–3527.
Trading Plan:
BUY bias: Hold above 3592 → look for longs targeting 3610–362x.
SELL scalp: Break below 3575 → shorts towards 3550–3527.
Always apply strict risk management (SL just beyond the nearest key level).
Summary:
✅ After a 200+ pips BIGWIN on Nonfarm, gold retains strong momentum.
👉 Watch the 3592 & 3575 zones closely – they are the decision points for the next major move.
Follow MMFLOW TRADING for timely updates and trade setups!
Gold Price Analysis (XAUUSD 4H): Bulls Eye $3,600 but ResistanceGold has continued its impressive rally, pushing higher on the 4-hour timeframe and reaching the $3,587 zone. With momentum on the bulls’ side, the big question remains: Can XAUUSD break above the $3,600 resistance, or is a pullback on the horizon?
The 4-hour chart shows a clear uptrend, with price action forming higher highs and higher lows. The recent surge took gold from the $3,250 level all the way to nearly $3,600, a gain of more than $300 within weeks.
This bullish momentum is supported by strong buying volume, indicating that traders continue to see gold as a safe-haven asset in the current global environment.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,600 – $3,620
Support Zone: $3,500 – $3,520
Next Upside Target: $3,700 and $3,750 if resistance breaks
Potential Downside Target: $3,520 if price fails to sustain above $3,550
RSI Indicator
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trading near the 70 level, signaling that gold is approaching the overbought territory. While this confirms strong bullish momentum, it also raises the likelihood of a short-term correction or consolidation before the next big move.
Market Sentiment
Currently, gold is at a critical juncture. Buyers are attempting to break the $3,600 barrier, but selling pressure has been visible with upper candle wicks forming near this level.
A decisive breakout above $3,600 could open the path toward $3,700+.
A rejection from resistance may trigger a pullback toward $3,520–$3,500 support.
Trading Outlook
For swing traders, the strategy remains straightforward:
Bullish Bias: Stay long as long as price holds above $3,500. Watch for confirmation above $3,600 to target $3,700 – $3,750.
Bearish Bias: Short-term traders may look for pullback opportunities if price fails to hold above $3,550, aiming for $3,520 support.
Conclusion
Gold (XAUUSD) remains firmly in a bullish trend, but immediate resistance near $3,600 could determine the next move. Traders should closely monitor price action around this key level—either a breakout to new highs or a pullback to reset momentum.
✨ Gold’s next move could set the tone for September trading. Stay alert and manage risk carefully.
Gold Dips Post-Record: Trade Fed Drama & US Jobs Data!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) pulled back on Thursday (04/09/2025) as investors took profits after its record-breaking rally, with focus now shifting to the upcoming US jobs report for fresh signals on the Fed’s policy path. Spot gold closed down 0.3% at $3,547.68/oz—is this a buying dip or a reversal? Let’s dive in and uncover trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: What’s Behind Gold’s Dip & Potential Rebound? 🌟
Profit-Taking Post-Record: Gold eased after hitting an all-time high of $3,578.50/oz on 03/09, driven by weak job openings data that bolstered rate cut bets and ongoing uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand. 📉
US Jobs Report Looms: Set for release tomorrow (05/09), this key report follows early-session data showing US jobless claims rising more than expected last week, signaling a softening labor market.
Fed Signals & Rate Cut Buzz: Several Fed officials on 03/09 highlighted labor market concerns, reinforcing confidence in rate cuts. Markets now see a 98% chance of a 0.25% rate cut this month, per CME FedWatch. As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-rate and uncertain environments! 🏦
Fed Drama Heats Up: Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook has sparked a serious legal challenge, raising fresh concerns about Fed independence. Coupled with tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses), this is eroding USD asset confidence and boosting gold demand.
Bullish Outlook: Standard Chartered predicts further gains, citing persistent tariff uncertainty and Fed independence fears as key safe-haven drivers.
Technical Analysis: Consolidation Before Big Data—Buy Dips or Wait? 📉
Gold has been trading in an uptrend channel, with early-session accumulation. After a strong Asian session push, it hit the 356x OB zone and dropped quickly. The European session may see sideways action, awaiting tonight’s critical data. If gold holds the channel, bulls could take charge—watch for breakouts!
Key Resistance: 3560 - 3576 - 3586
Key Support: 3540 - 3526 - 3500 - 3490 - 3476
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3558 - 3560
SL: 3564
TP: 3555 - 3545 - 3535
Sell Zone: 3576 - 3578
SL: 3587
TP: 3568 - 3558 - 3548 - 3538
Buy Scalp: 3526 - 3524
SL: 3520
TP: 3529 - 3539 - 3549
Buy Zone: 3500 - 3498
SL: 3490
TP: 3508 - 3518 - 3518 - 3538
Gold’s in consolidation mode, but the jobs report could trigger a breakout—manage risk tightly! If it holds above supports, bulls may push for new highs post-data. 📊💡
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