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Xauusdidea

XAU/USD 10-23-25After the recent runup with gold it has pulled back to the 23.6 fib level on the daily timeframe and actually pushed below showing strong support in the 3975 - 4040 daily zone. I would like to think that price will run right back up to retest the recent ATH of about 4382Gbut if I know gold in all her trickiness she will coast along at this 23.6 level then perhaps dip to the 38.2 or even the 50 then get a strong push back up to retest the high and from there probably come back down or push thru depending on macro economic and political events at that time. Going back a few months to May of this year you can kind of see how price experienced similar behavior when it was breaking thru the 3430 - 3505 daily zone which obviously is that real push thru the previous psychological ATH level of 3500. Now history is repeating itself as we push to stay above the recent psychological ATH of 4000 towards 4500. We shall see...
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ImRyanSteven
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 23, 2025) 1️⃣ Momentum D1 Timeframe: • The D1 momentum is now in the oversold zone, suggesting a potential bullish reversal at any moment. • Once we see a D1 candle close with a bullish confirmation, it could trigger 3–5 consecutive bullish days ahead. H4 Timeframe: • The H4 momentum is currently overbought, indicating a possible downward correction during today’s session. H1 Timeframe: • The H1 momentum is now turning upward, meaning price may rise slightly or move sideways in the short term. • Watch two key liquidity zones: 4098 and 4143. If H1 momentum reaches the overbought zone around these levels, it will align with the H4 bearish momentum, creating a strong resistance area. ________________________________________ 2️⃣ Wave Structure D1 Structure: • The D1 momentum is preparing to reverse, showing that the current decline is weakening. • A short-term recovery wave is likely to appear soon. • As discussed in yesterday’s plan, we must observe the upcoming bullish move to confirm whether the recent downtrend has completed. H4 Structure: • The H4 momentum is overbought, meaning a bearish reversal may happen soon. • Price movement is slow and overlapping, suggesting that the next decline could be either: o Wave 4 of Wave Y (blue), or o A larger corrective phase if momentum fully shifts downward. H1 Structure: • The current formation may be developing as a Flat or a Triangle correction. o If it’s a Flat, the 4143 level is a potential completion zone for Wave C (black), after which price could resume its decline. o If it’s a Triangle, the pattern is not yet complete — confirmation will come when price breaks below the lower boundary, offering a Sell opportunity. 🎯 Target zone if the decline unfolds: • Based on the H4 momentum cycle (typically lasting 4–5 candles), • And according to Fibonacci projection, Wave 5 of Wave Y (blue) targets around 3927. ________________________________________ 3️⃣ Trading Plan • The current H1 candle range is very wide (300–400 pips), while my typical stop-loss size is 100–150 pips. • This makes limit orders risky in the current environment. • Therefore, it’s better to wait for clear confirmation before entering trades, rather than placing early limit orders. 🔹 Sell Zones: • 4143 and 4190 – expected top areas of this correction. • Additionally, if price breaks above liquidity zones and then retests, these can serve as Sell entries aligned with the H4 downward momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD BREAK AND RETEST RECOVERY TOWARDS $4270 Overall Structure The chart shows a rising channel pattern (ascending parallel channel) that gold had been trading within for several days. Recently, price broke below the channel, found support, and is now retracing upward toward potential resistance levels. 🧭 Key Observations 1. Trend Context Previous trend: Bullish, as seen from the steady higher highs and higher lows inside the yellow channel. Recent move: Sharp bearish breakout below the channel, followed by a strong recovery bounce. Current structure: Gold is attempting to retest the lower boundary of the broken channel — a common “break and retest” setup. 2. Support Zone The green arrow marks the support zone around $4,018–$4,040, where the last drop reversed sharply. This area held as strong de… 📊 Trading Outlook Bias: Short-term bullish recovery within a medium-term corrective structure. Buy zone: Above $4,140–$4,150 with confirmation candle. Targets: $4,206 / $4,253 / $4,271. Stop-loss: Below $4,100 (for short-term trades).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Zickey_11
XAUUSD:Keep an eye on the 4,000 support mark📈The current price of London gold is 4,116.87 per ounce, up 28.36 from the previous trading day, with a percentage increase of 0.64%. So far today, the highest price has reached 4,137.35 per ounce, and the lowest is 4,065.47 per ounce. Currently, the price is in a state of fluctuating increase. 📝Market sentiment and fund flow: Judging from the recent market performance, the price of London gold has fluctuated violently. On October 21st, the price of London gold once dropped by more than 6%, and the decline continued on the 22nd, with the lowest reaching 4,002.89 per ounce during the Asian session. The significant decline in these two days was mainly due to the weakening of risk - off sentiment. The joint statement by the relevant parties in the Russia - Ukraine conflict in support of a cease - fire and the easing signals in Sino - US relations have weakened the safe - haven demand for gold. At the same time, the previous large increase in the price of gold had accumulated a large number of profit - taking positions, and the pressure on investors to take profits was relatively high. However, the price rebounded on the 23rd, indicating that market sentiment has recovered to some extent, but overall it is still relatively cautious. 📝Technical analysis: From the perspective of the 4 - hour cycle trend, the gold shows a trend of shifting from a bullish to a bearish rhythm in the short and medium term, forming a typical M - top pattern, which indicates that there may still be room for the price of gold to decline in the near future. However, the large - integer - level support of 4,000 per ounce is currently relatively clear, and in the short term, it may fluctuate within the range of 4,000 - 4,150. In terms of operation, it is mainly advisable to go short on rallies. The upper resistance level is in the range of 4,135 - 4,150, and the short-term support around the 4,065-4,070 range，then the key support level is in the range of 4,010 - 4,000. 💡In conclusion, the price has rebounded today, but due to the impact of the previous significant decline, it may fluctuate within the range of 4,000 - 4,150 per ounce in the short term, and the trend is uncertain. Investors need to closely pay attention to the changes in factors such as the geopolitical situation, Sino - US relations, and the Federal Reserve's policy. 💎Trading Strategy: BUY 4010 - 4015 SL 4000 TP 4030 - 4020 - 4070 Sell 4120 - 4125 SL 4130 TP 4100 - 4080 - 4060 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Clarke_analysis
Price still in upwards channelAlright, here's the thing with gold. Recently, the price dropped sharply, which might look alarming. But when we look at the bigger picture, gold is still in an upward channel or a rising trend. What does that mean? It shows that, despite this dip, gold still holds its value in the long run. Think of it like a staircase—sometimes you step down a bit, but you're still climbing higher overall. This is good news for investors because it means gold continues to act as a safe haven and a reliable hedge against things like inflation or economic uncertainty. The short-term drop could be due to temporary factors, but the long-term trend gives confidence that gold remains strong.
OANDA:XAUEURLong
by The_Wedger
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisAnalysis: Gold is currently trading around 4,120, showing a minor bullish correction within a descending channel. The price has bounced from the support buy zone (4,040–4,060), indicating buyer activity at this level. However, the structure remains bearish in the short term as long as the price stays below the descending trade line. A possible scenario is a short-term pullback toward the upper trade line before another retest of the support zone. If the support holds again, a bullish reversal could target the 4,383 level, aligning with the upper boundary of the previous high. Key Levels: Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060 Resistance (Trade Line): 4,180 – 4,200 Target (Bullish): 4,383 Outlook: Neutral-to-bullish in the medium term if the support zone remains intact. A break below 4,040 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside continuation. QSE:MRDS QSE:NLCS QSE:ERES QSE:QNBK QSE:FALH QSE:BLDN QSE:DUBK QSE:IGRD QSE:QIBK QSE:IQCD QSE:MEZA QSE:AKHI QSE:WDAM
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold Rebounds from Extreme POI – Bullish Move Building UpGold?Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery after tapping into the Extreme Point of Interest (POI) zone, signaling the potential start of a bullish reversal. The chart indicates an SMC Trap (Smart Money Concept Trap), where liquidity was swept below previous lows to trigger sell stops before reversing upward — a classic smart money accumulation pattern. Price reacted sharply from the Extreme POI, forming higher lows, which confirms renewed buyer interest. The immediate target area lies around $4,180 – $4,200, aligning with the projected bullish arrow. Below, the High Probability POI remains as a deeper demand zone — a strong confluence area if price retests. 📊 Conclusion: Gold is showing signs of bullish structure recovery after liquidity sweep. Holding above the Extreme POI zone strengthens the case for continued upside movement toward $4,200 and possibly higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold Breakout Potential: Descending Wedge Signals Bullish ReversAnalysis: The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) chart on the 45-minute timeframe shows price action forming a descending wedge pattern, a typically bullish reversal formation. The price has been compressing between lower highs and lower lows but is now testing the upper trendline resistance, indicating a possible breakout. Key observations: Trendline Breakout Zone: The narrowing wedge suggests weakening bearish momentum. A confirmed breakout above the trendline could trigger strong upward momentum. Targets: The projected upside targets are around 4,300, 4,400, and 4,500, aligning with previous resistance zones. Support Zone: Immediate support remains near 4,050–4,000, where the lower wedge boundary provides buying interest. Momentum Indicator: Gradual bullish recovery and decreasing downside pressure indicate renewed buyer strength.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 22, 2025) 🔹 1. Momentum D1: The D1 momentum is preparing to turn bullish, signaling the start of a new upward trend. → We can expect at least 3–5 consecutive bullish days ahead. H4: We need to wait for the H4 candle to close to confirm the reversal signal. If confirmed, there’s a strong possibility that today will form an intraday uptrend. H1: H1 momentum has already turned upward, but it’s now in the overbought zone. Therefore, the current rise won’t be strong, and a minor pullback is needed to bring momentum back to the oversold area — creating a foundation for a more stable bullish move. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1 Timeframe: Yesterday saw a sharp decline, but D1 momentum is now preparing to reverse upward. Counting the correction candles, we already have five candles, suggesting that the market may soon enter a new bullish phase lasting 3–5 days or more. During this recovery phase, we need to monitor two key scenarios: • If wave movements overlap and lack strength, and when D1 momentum returns to the overbought zone but price fails to break the previous high, then the Wave 4 (yellow) scenario is still in play. • If price rises sharply and decisively, the recent correction might only be part of Wave 3 (yellow), meaning the bullish trend is continuing. H4 Timeframe: Yesterday’s structure was identified as a Flat correction, and it remains valid. Price has retraced into the Wave 4 zone of the smaller degree structure, reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of Wave A. If Wave 5 (purple) is now developing, the ideal target would be around 4476. However, if price rises with overlapping waves, this could instead represent a corrective move within Wave 4 (yellow), targeting the previous high zone between 4381 and 4476. H1 Timeframe: Within Wave W, there is a small Flat correction, where Wave C extended to twice the length of Wave A. Now, Wave Y (blue) has also declined to 2× Wave W, suggesting weakening buying power. Even so, in the short term, we still expect an intraday bullish move today. → The trading bias remains buy-side until H4 momentum reaches the overbought area and reverses. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Trading Plan Buy Zone: 4101 – 4098 Stop Loss (SL): 4088 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 4190 ________________________________________ 🔹 4. Notes Liquidity and resistance zones are already marked on the chart. → Wait for price to break and retest those areas to confirm a valid Buy setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
$4,381 WAS THE FAKE TOP? Gold -5.5%: MSS Confirms SELL!XAU/USD In-Depth Analysis: Historic Shock and Structure-Based Selling Opportunity! 1. Fundamental Shock Analysis Gold's massive 5.5% plunge from its record high of $4,381 was a large-scale profit-taking action following a blistering 60% year-to-date rally. This move was fueled by: USD Strength: The strengthening US Dollar reduced Gold's appeal. Market Sentiment: A shift into Risk-On mode, diminishing safe-haven demand. The Essence: This was a huge Liquidity Sweep, designed to wash out weaker hands before Gold decides its next major trend. 2. Technical Analysis (MSS & Execution) The price structure has delivered a decisive message: The trend has changed! MSS Confirmed (Market Structure Shift): The break of the bullish structure occurred at $4,254.549. This level is now a highly critical Supply Zone, acting as the "boundary" for the bears. Demand Reaction: Gold is currently attempting to hold the Order Block (OB) at $4,077. Preferred Strategy: SELL based on the confirmed MSS. Optimal SELL Zone: Wait for a retracement back to the Supply Zone $4,254.549 (Ideal limit entry). Target (TP): Successive targets are $4,008 (The psychological $4k mark) and the strong support area at $3,944 - $3,904. Stop Loss (SL): Place above the high at $4,260 (Protecting the MSS point). Conclusion: Don't be fooled by the bounce. $4,254.549 is the golden entry point for a short trade following the new market structure. #GOLD #XAUUSD #MSS #Liquidity #SELLSignal #SmartMoneyConcept
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold (XAU/USD) Potential Bullish Reversal Setup – Entry Zone For**Analysis:** The chart illustrates a possible bullish reversal scenario after a recent downward move in Gold (XAU/USD). The marked *Change of Character (ChoCH)* indicates an early sign of a trend shift from bearish to bullish momentum. Price has entered a **consolidation zone** near the support area, where the **entry level** is highlighted. This zone suggests accumulation and potential preparation for an upward move. The setup shows: * **ENTRY:** Around current support, within the highlighted range. * **STOP:** Below the recent low, providing risk control if the reversal fails. * **TARGET:** The projection points to a **100% measured move**, aligning with a strong bullish continuation potential toward 4,700 levels. If price maintains structure and confirms a breakout above the short-term resistance, it may initiate a new **bullish impulse phase**.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
GOLD Finally Made Reversal Pattern , Short Setup To Get 400 PipsHere is my 4H Chart On GOLD , And finally the chart made a reversal pattern The price creating a very clear reversal pattern ( double top) and the price made a very good bearish price action now from good res area so we can enter a sell trade after the price back to retest the neckline to can use a small stop loss and targeting 200 to 400 pips , this is a good bearish movement after this massive movement to upside without any correction , so we will sell this pair for the next weeks .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FX_Elite_Club
8
4365 Achieved Excellent profits Booked [1350 PIPS Gained]Thanks to traders who followed and stay Active with me on bullish rally As highlighted in yesterday’s session update: My Position: The ongoing bull rally has played out perfectly, with both of my targets achieved ahead of schedule. I identified strong support around $4,220 & 4190 along condition H4 Candle for bullish rally. Iinitiated aggressive swing buys from that zone. When $4,190 was retested, I held off for a healthy pullback before re-entering. At $4205& $4,225, I scaled in aggressively (four entries) aiming for $4,345, which was reached — locking in solid overnight gains. I’m pleased with the overall performance during this multi-month bullish phase and plan to keep accumulating on dips until the $4,490 level is reached from my main re-entry zones. Additional Tip: Once again, I caution traders — avoid counter-trend selling. Many get trapped trying to short Gold in a strong uptrend. Stay aligned with the trend — it’s still firmly bullish.🚀
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 21, 2025) 🔹 1. Momentum H4: H4 momentum is currently turning bearish, indicating that the main trend for today is downward. H1: H1 momentum is stuck in the oversold zone, suggesting that price could continue to fall, but at the same time, there’s a risk of a short-term bullish reversal — this should be monitored carefully. M15: M15 momentum is also turning bearish, confirming the potential for short-term downside continuation. 🔹 2. Wave Structure H4 timeframe: The current price structure likely forms a Flat correction (W–X–Y in blue) as part of wave 4 (in purple). The X wave appears completed, and price is now in the declining phase of wave Y. Wave Y may develop in three possible forms: Zigzag 5-wave impulsive Triangle 👉 In Zigzag or 5-wave formations, the target is usually equal to wave A. 👉 In a triangle, price may build higher lows, respecting the upper boundary connecting wave 3 and wave X. H1 timeframe: The H1 structure mirrors H4, but note that H1 momentum remains in the oversold zone, meaning an upward reversal could occur anytime. M15 timeframe: Used mainly for entry timing. Since H4 momentum trend is bearish, we will prioritize Sell setups, especially after liquidity retests or breakdowns on the M15 chart. 🔹 3. Trading Plan Main bias: Bearish (following H4 momentum) Strategy: Focus on Sell setups when price retests or breaks below liquidity zones. Consider Buy setups only if price reaches the 4190 support area, signaling a potential end of wave 4 (purple) and the start of wave 5 (bullish). Buy setup (if wave 4 completes): Buy zone: 4193 – 4190 Stop loss: 4180 Take Profit: 4236 🔹 4. Alternative Scenarios If price breaks sharply above 4381, the current wave count will be invalidated, and price could head toward 4451. If price forms a triangle, with 4381 as the upper boundary and higher-low supports forming the lower edge, a breakout above 4381 would signal a Buy opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX