Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 03/09/2025
Momentum
• D1: Momentum is still overlapping. As mentioned in the previous plan, with 6 consecutive daily candles in this condition, a reversal may occur today or tomorrow.
• H4: Momentum is preparing to turn bearish. If a confirming candle closes, we may see a downward move on H4.
• H1: Momentum is also turning bearish but right above the oversold zone. This suggests the correction on H1 may be near completion, followed by another upward move.
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Wave Structure
• D1: Price is still in an uptrend, possibly wave 1 of wave 5 or the final larger wave 5. Current wave targets are 3602 or 3667. This aligns with momentum on D1, which has been overlapping for 6 candles, signaling that in 1–2 more candles a reversal is likely.
• H4: A 5-wave purple structure is forming – the dominant structure of the current rally. Price is currently running in wave iii (purple).
o Inside wave iii purple, a 5-wave green structure has already formed and is nearing its final stage.
o Wave iii and iv green appear completed, and price is now in wave v green, which has broken the previous high of wave iii green, confirming its development.
• H1:
o The first target of wave v green was hit at 3542. The second target remains at 3585.
o Within wave v green, a 5-wave black sub-structure is visible.
o The Asian session opened with a breakout above the previous high, implying 2 scenarios:
1. Wave 5 black has completed after reaching the first target (3542).
2. Or it is forming a wave 4 black flat, holding above 3525 before heading to 3570–3585.
If price drops below 3525, it means wave 5 black has completed. Then, wave iv purple will target the zones 3498 and 3469 – areas to look for the next buy opportunity.
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Trading Plan
• Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498
o SL: 3400
o TP1: 3524
• Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469
o SL: 3459
o TP1: 3500
Xauusdidea
XAUUSD 15M Setup – Key Levels & ScenariosGold is currently sitting at a critical zone after a strong push upward. Here’s the plan:
🔹 Upside Scenario (Bullish Bias)
If price breaks and holds above the FVG retest zone, momentum could continue higher.
Watch for a clean break and retest of resistance turning into new support before looking for long entries.
🔹 Downside Scenario (Bearish Bias)
On this lower timeframe, resistance has already formed.
If this move is a fakeout / liquidity grab, expect a reversal and push lower.
Be more patient with sells than buys here — mark key levels below as potential TP targets.
⚡ Key Notes
Above 3537.16 = bullish continuation possible.
Failure to hold above 3533–3530 = bearish reversal risk.
Major downside liquidity zones = 3526 → 3508 → 3500.
📝 Trading Plan
Stay reactive. Let price show its hand at these levels. A break & retest = confirmation. Fakeout = reversal. Manage risk tightly and trade the reaction, not the prediction.
Posting daily.
GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 1000 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 30 Mins T.F , We have a Huge movement To Upside since Last week start between 3350.00 to 3470.00 so we can buy and sell Gold This Week from 2 areas , 3450.00 will be the best place for Buy and 3500.00 will be the best place for Sell , now the price very near buy area we can wait the price to retest the support area and then enter a buy trade and targeting 3500.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bearish P.A , we can enter a sell trade and targeting 3450.00 , It`s All Depend On Price action .
Entry Reasons :
1- Highest Level The Price Touch It
2- Broken Res
3- New Support Created .
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 2/9/2025Momentum
• D1: Momentum is still overbought and has been “sticking together” for about 5 consecutive daily candles. Usually, this amount of candles is enough for a potential reversal. This suggests that price may rise for only 1–2 more D1 candles before a daily reversal occurs.
• H4: Momentum is currently turning upward, which indicates that today the market is likely to continue higher for at least 2 more H4 candles.
• H1: Momentum is turning down. This implies that before H4 can continue its upward move, H1 may first produce a short corrective pullback and then resume the uptrend in line with H4.
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Wave Structure
• D1: Price is still within wave 5 after completing a correction. Since D1 momentum has already stayed overbought for 5 candles, a multi-day correction may soon develop. This correction will clarify whether the current move is wave 1 of a larger wave 5, or if the larger wave 5 has already finished.
• H4: Price is completing the 5-wave structure (1-2-3-4-5 in red). Breaking above the wave 3 high confirmed that wave 5 in red is unfolding. With momentum on H4 turning up, the upward progress of wave 5 in red is expected to continue.
• H1: Within the 5-wave red structure, we can currently count 9 waves, where the upward waves are nearly equal in length. This reflects an extended wave iii (green). Counting 9 waves also hints that wave iii green is near its end, which implies wave 5 red may also be approaching completion.
Drawing an Elliott channel from wave 2 to wave 4 (red) and extending it over the top of wave 3 shows that wave 5 red is nearing the upper boundary of the channel. This supports the expectation that wave 5 red is close to finishing.
On a smaller scale, the current short-term decline in H1 looks like wave 4 of wave 5 red. The target zones for wave 4 have already been marked on the chart.
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Principle & Plan
• We do not enter against wave iii, especially in the case of an extended wave iii.
• Wait for wave iv to complete in order to look for buying opportunities into wave v (green).
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Wave iv targets:
• 23.6% retracement of wave iii: 3479.3
• 38.2% retracement of wave iii: 3459.7
Wave 5 target:
• Projected at 3577.6 (the farthest TP).
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Trading Plan
• Buy Zone 1: 3481 – 3478
o SL: 3470
o TP1: 3521
• Buy Zone 2: 3461 – 3459
o SL: 3450
o TP1: 3521
9/2: Selling Pressure at 3500, Stay ShortGood evening, everyone!
Yesterday, gold pulled back during the session but held above the 3368–3363 support zone. Today, the price tested the 3500 resistance level, triggering selling pressure and falling from around 3510 to 3470. For now, the 3468–3463 support zone remains intact. However, if prices revisit the 3500 level, another round of selling pressure is highly likely. Therefore, the preferred strategy remains to sell into strength at higher levels.
Key Technical Levels:
30M chart: Resistance at 3492, with additional pressure above 3500; support at 3480.
1H chart: Key support around 3460.
2H chart: Major support near 3428.
Trading Strategy:
Prioritize short positions near or above 3500.
Consider light long entries near support, with 1H/2H chart support zones as primary references.
This analysis reflects my personal view and is for reference only. If you need more precise trading signals, feel free to reach out.
Gold: False Breakout at 3500 – 3400 or 3600 Next?Gold Outlook: Historical Highs Above $3500 – Consolidation or Deeper Correction Ahead?
Gold has once again updated its all-time highs above the $3500 mark, confirming the strong bullish trend that has been dominating the market in recent months. However, immediately after this breakout attempt, we saw a corrective pullback triggered by a short-term strengthening of the U.S. dollar. This raises a key question for traders and investors: is this just a temporary pause before new highs, or the beginning of a deeper correction phase?
Macro & Fundamental Drivers
U.S. Dollar & Fed Expectations:
The probability of a September rate cut is now estimated at 90%, which remains one of the strongest supportive factors for gold. Nevertheless, temporary USD strength is weighing on the metal in the short term. Importantly, markets are increasingly focused on concerns regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve, with political pressure (particularly from Trump) casting uncertainty over the Fed’s policy path.
Geopolitical Risks:
Escalating geopolitical tensions are also adding fuel to safe-haven demand. Recent reports highlight intensified strikes by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Russian territory, raising fears of further escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This factor continues to support defensive assets like gold, even in the face of short-term dollar strength.
Upcoming U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI:
Today’s key macro event is the release of the ISM Manufacturing PMI. Consensus expects a modest rise to 49, which would still leave the index in the contraction zone.
If the data meets or exceeds expectations, the USD could receive temporary support, keeping gold under pressure.
If the data misses expectations and shows further weakness, it could accelerate dollar selling and act as a catalyst for gold to retest or break above historical highs.
Technical Picture
Gold’s sharp rejection above $3500 suggests that the market is not yet ready for a sustainable breakout. At the same time, the long-term bullish structure remains intact. The key levels to watch in the short term are:
Resistance: $3485, $3500, $3505
Support: $3467.6, $3441, $3423
A sustained move below $3490–3485 may open the way for a deeper correction into the 3440–3420 support zone. On the other hand, a successful defense of these levels could lead to another retest of $3500–3505, though at this stage the market does not yet show strong momentum for an immediate continuation higher.
Trading Scenarios
Bearish Case (short-term): Failure to hold above $3485 may trigger selling pressure toward 3467–3440, and possibly even 3423 in the near term.
Bullish Case (medium-term): Any dip toward the support zone could attract buyers, especially if fundamentals (weak ISM PMI / dovish Fed expectations / geopolitical tensions) align. A confirmed breakout above $3505 would signal continuation toward new record highs.
🔑 Bottom Line: Gold remains in a bullish long-term uptrend but faces short-term correction risks. Today’s ISM Manufacturing PMI release could be the decisive factor for immediate direction. Watch closely whether bulls can defend the 3485–3490 zone or whether bears push the price lower toward support levels before the next leg higher.
Gold Bulls or Bears — Who Wins the Next Move on XAU/USD?🏴☠️ XAU/USD “Gold Heist Layer Plan” 💰🔑 (Day/Scalping Trade)
Dear Money Bandits & Thief OG’s, 🎭💎
The vault is open, and today’s Gold vs U.S Dollar (XAU/USD) robbery plan is set!
🎯 Thief Plan: Bullish
We rob the market with layered entries — not one bullet, but multiple shots at the vault.
👉 Thief Strategy = Layering 🎯 (multiple buy/sell limits stacked like laser traps).
Entry (Layered Loot):
💰 3370.0
💰 3360.0
💰 3350.0
(Add more layers based on your pocket size — the deeper you stack, the fatter the loot)
Stop Loss (Thief Exit Door):
🛑 @3320.0 (Adjust your SL with your own thief instincts & bankroll).
Target (Escape Point 🚓):
Police barricade spotted at 3440.0 🛑🚨
Our team escapes before that with bags full at 3430.0 🎒💸
🔐 Thief Notes:
This isn’t one single smash & grab. We layer the vault with limit orders — building positions slowly, stealing piece by piece.
Day traders & scalpers: only ride with the bullish getaway car 🚗💨.
Manage your loot with trailing SL — don’t let the cops take it back.
📢 Stay sharp, thieves:
Markets change fast. Keep eyes on fundamentals, news traps & sentiment shifts 📰⚡.
💎 If you vibe with this Thief Robbery Plan, smash that ❤️ & 🚀 Boost button — join the Thief Gang and let’s steal profits together, one layer at a time. 🏆💸
Gold (XAU/USD) – 2 Sept 2025With spot gold anchored at $3493, today’s price action is unfolding within a well-defined technical framework. Institutional flows continue to dominate, and liquidity engineering in recent sessions has created precise execution zones. Below is the validated map of opportunity for the day, built upon a multi-timeframe confluence model.
🔹 Primary Buy Zone – $3472 to $3480
The most compelling area of interest sits between $3472 and $3480, an untouched 4H demand zone that aligns seamlessly with the Fibonacci golden pocket retracement of the prior bullish impulse. Liquidity was engineered below New York session lows, and this pocket now rests just above anchored VWAP support.
Stop Loss: $3466 (beneath order block invalidation)
Take Profits: 3493 / 3503 / 3513 / 3523 / Open trail
Zone Strength: 9/10 – Institutional Grade (Golden Zone)
This area represents today’s highest-probability setup. Should price hold above $3472, we anticipate continuation into $3520+ with strong order flow participation.
🔹 Secondary Buy Zone – $3450 to $3456
A deeper liquidity pocket exists around $3450–$3456, where Asia accumulation lows and equal-lows liquidity converge. This zone coincides with a 4H bullish order block and weekly anchored VWAP.
SL: $3442
TPs: same as above
Strength: 7/10 – Executable
This is a backup zone, valid only if the market aggressively hunts liquidity below the Golden Zone before resuming higher.
🔹 Primary Sell Zone – $3510 to $3518
On the upside, supply remains stacked at $3510–$3518, an unmitigated 4H supply block sitting above last week’s NY high. The zone also aligns with a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and an ATR exhaustion band.
SL: $3525
TPs: 3500 / 3490 / 3480 / 3470 / Open
Strength: 8/10 – Strong Zone
If bulls overextend, this pocket offers a high-probability short back into mid-range liquidity.
🔹 Secondary Sell Zone – $3530 to $3538
A broader liquidity cluster rests higher at $3530–$3538, defined by a daily supply zone, weekly VAH/POC, and liquidity pools above equal highs at $3535. With speculative positioning heavily net-long in COT data, this area may serve as a distribution zone.
SL: $3544
TPs: same as Primary Sell Zone
Strength: 7/10 – Executable
⚜️ Executive Summary
Today’s Golden Zone is the Primary Buy Zone ($3472–$3480). With multi-timeframe demand, engineered liquidity sweeps, VWAP confluence, and Fibonacci overlap, this zone stands out as an institutional-grade opportunity (9/10).
Execution should remain patient and disciplined: wait for price to tap the Golden Zone, confirm via BOS/CHoCH on lower timeframes, and then scale profits progressively at each 100-pip interval.
In short: $3472–$3480 defines today’s battleground. If defended, bulls control toward $3520+. If breached, deeper liquidity hunts await at $3450 and $3530.
1:2 RR Trade on gold NOW📊 Gold Trade Idea – 1:2 Risk-to-Reward Setup
You're eyeing a clean 1:2 RR trade on gold (XAU/USD), likely based on a high-probability setup. Here's a crisp breakdown for your TradingView post:
🟡 Trade Setup Summary
- Entry Zone: Near recent support or breakout level
- Stop Loss: Tight, just below structure or key moving average
- Target: 2x the risk, aligned with resistance or Fibonacci extension
- Bias: Momentum favors bullish continuation (or reversal, if countertrend)
- Confirmation: Price action + volume spike or indicator confluence (e.g., RSI, MACD)
💬 "Executing a disciplined 1:2 RR trade on gold. Clean structure, tight risk, and clear target. Let’s see how it plays out."
Gold (XAU/USD) 1st September 2025🔎 Market Context
Gold continues to trade within a high-liquidity environment, driven by ongoing flows between equity risk sentiment, real yields, and dollar positioning. With the $3500 psychological level acting as a liquidity magnet above, and demand clusters building in the $3440 region, today’s structure offers both sides of opportunity.
Our institutional framework layers multiple confluences across Daily → 4H → 1H, blending Smart Money Concepts (SMC), ICT, supply/demand, VWAP, and Fibonacci arrays. This ensures only the highest-probability zones are highlighted for execution.
🟢 Buy-Side Liquidity Zones
Primary Buy Zone – $3438 to $3446 (Golden Zone)
Why This Matters:
Daily demand + fresh 4H Order Block.
NY session low sweep + Asia accumulation base.
Fibonacci 61.8% retracement cluster.
Hidden RSI bullish divergence + anchored VWAP support.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3440 – $3444
SL: $3432
TP1: $3476
TP2: $3490
Strength Score: 9/10 (A+ Institutional)
Secondary Buy Zone – $3410 to $3418
Why This Matters:
Deep daily demand retest.
Weekly VWAP lower band + 78.6% retracement.
Sweep of last week’s low + $3415 round magnet.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3412 – $3416
SL: $3402
TP1: $3442
TP2: $3470
Strength Score: 6/10 (Medium Zone)
🔴 Sell-Side Liquidity Zones
Primary Sell Zone – $3488 to $3496
Why This Matters:
4H supply aligned with 1H bearish OB.
Daily swing high liquidity resting at $3492.
Volume Profile POC + $3490 magnet.
Overbought RSI with bearish divergence on 1H.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3490 – $3494
SL: $3504
TP1: $3460
TP2: $3446
Strength Score: 8/10 (Strong Zone)
Secondary Sell Zone – $3518 to $3526
Why This Matters:
Higher-timeframe supply continuation.
Liquidity sweep of quarterly highs near $3520.
Options expiry gamma cluster in $3520s.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3520 – $3524
SL: $3532
TP1: $3490
TP2: $3465
Strength Score: 5/10 (Medium Zone)
🏆 Golden Zone of the Day
👉 Primary Buy Zone ($3438 – $3446)
Best alignment across institutional confluences.
High conviction zone with clear liquidity sweep and macro alignment.
Execution favors long positioning with SL $3432 | TP1 $3476 | TP2 $3490.
📌 Final Bias
Longs favored on dips into $3440 Golden Zone.
Sells only valid if liquidity sweeps extend into $3490/$3520 zones.
Maintain disciplined risk with tight stops below liquidity pockets.
Go long after gold fluctuates and pulls back#XAUUSD
Against the backdrop of the "de-dollarization" trend, gold's position as the preferred safe-haven asset has gradually become more prominent.🌈
Influenced again by news this morning, gold retreated slightly before continuing its short-term bullish trend.📈 The current gold price is consolidating around 3375, with bulls dominating the day.📊
All short-term technical indicators are overbought, and there is a need for a technical correction. The short-term upward pressure is focused on the 3490-3500 range.🥅 However, it is worth noting that the U.S. market is closed today and there is a lack of sufficient capital flow during the NY session. ⚖️If the upper resistance cannot be effectively broken through in the Asian and European sessions, there is a possibility of a shock correction during the day.📉
It encountered resistance and pressure on the upper 3490-3500 level for the first time during the day. 📉You can consider shorting with a light position and wait for a pullback.🐻 Focus on the effectiveness of the support level of 3355-3345 below. You can go long if it retraces but does not break through.🐂
This week's data is relatively concentrated, and interest rate cuts may trigger unilateral market trends at any time. Independent traders must trade with caution, strictly follow the plan, and avoid the uncontrollable risks brought about by frequent trading.📰
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (01/09/2025)
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum has been stuck in the overbought zone for the past 4 days, showing strong buying pressure. However, this also creates noise since extended overbought conditions can reverse at any time.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is about to turn down in the overbought zone. Once an H4 candle closes with confirmation, we can expect a correction lasting around 4–5 H4 candles.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is heading into the overbought zone. Within 1–2 more H1 candles, a short-term pullback is likely.
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Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
Price has risen sharply and steeply, with momentum staying overbought for a long time. This suggests that wave 4 has likely completed, and the market is entering a long-term uptrend. The minimum target is 3684 (equal to the length of wave W).
• H4 timeframe:
Price is currently in red wave 3. We expect a correction into red wave 4, which aligns with H4 momentum preparing to turn down.
• H1 timeframe:
o Wave i (green) is labeled as a leading diagonal, even though wave ii (green) did not retrace as deeply as expected.
o Price is now in an extended wave iii (green).
o Within wave iii (green), a 5-wave structure 1-2-3-4-5 (red) is unfolding. Red wave 3 has already completed with its internal 5-wave (black).
o The target for black wave 5 was achieved at the Fibonacci 0.618 projection of black waves 1–3 → confirming that red wave 3 has completed and price is now correcting into red wave 4.
• Red wave 4 outlook:
Likely to take shape as a zigzag, flat, or triangle. Two retracement zones are identified:
1. 3462 – 23.6% retracement of red wave 3.
2. 3447 – 38.2% retracement of red wave 3.
Considering the guideline that wave 4 often returns to the territory of wave 4 of a smaller degree, and that H4 momentum needs more time to move into the oversold zone, we select 3447 as the primary target for a sell setup.
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Trade Plan
• Buy Zone: 3448 – 3446
• Stop Loss: 3438
• Take Profit:
o TP1: 3485
o TP2: 3521
𝐌𝐓𝐗 | Buy-Side Sweet Spot in Gold’s Correction📌 From previous analysis:
• We anticipated corrective pullbacks and highlighted reversal zones.
• Focus was on 436–432 as the first critical support/resistance area.
⸻
1️⃣ Key Reversal Levels
There’s two scenarios in this rally:
A)
• 436 – 432 → First potential bullish reversal zone.
• 4H close above 435 → upside continuation toward 442 → 447 → 452.
B)
• 4H close below 432 → decline into 420.
• 420 – 415 is the strongest weekly demand zone (high-probability bullish bounce).
⸻
2️⃣ Continues Bullish Scenario
• 4H close above 454 → opens the way to 467.
• Stabilization above 467 → next major upside target 484.
✴️Plus Tip:
Daily closes above 420-415 zone supports the bullish momentum.
⸻
⚖️ Summary:
Gold is starting the month at a decisive zone (436–432). Holding above 435 favors further upside toward 452, while losing 432 puts the strong 420–415 demand zone into play. A confirmed breakout above 454 could accelerate the rally toward 484.
Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) – 4H Analysis
🔹 Key Structure
If price respects the white line at point c, a potential Head & Shoulders formation may develop, signaling a possible bearish reversal.
However, if the orange dynamic line acts as a liquidity-driven trendline, then price could follow the red projection, pushing the market higher toward ATH (All-Time High) levels.
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🔹 Break of Descending Trendline
On Friday, the descending resistance line was broken to the upside.
This break could be interpreted as a fake breakout if the market fails to hold above it.
For confirmation of a true breakout, we need to see continuation and acceptance above the broken trendline.
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🔹 Bearish Scenario (Head & Shoulders Valid)
If the c-leg completes and rejects the white line:
Expect a Head & Shoulders pattern.
Price may retrace toward 3,360 → 3,344.
A close below 3,344 would strengthen bearish continuation.
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🔹 Bullish Scenario (Liquidity Trendline Active)
If the orange liquidity trendline holds, buyers may push price higher.
Breaking above 3,420 – 3,446 with strength could target ATH extension zone above 3,500.
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🔹 Trading Plan
Wait for confirmation: Avoid premature entries as current breakout might be fake.
Bearish bias: Valid if rejection occurs at point c with H&S pattern confirmation.
Bullish bias: Valid if orange line holds as liquidity dynamic and price sustains above 3,420.
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✅ Bias: Neutral → Waiting for confirmation (H&S vs Liquidity Push)
🎯 Key Levels: 3,344 (bearish confirmation) / 3,420–3,446 (bullish breakout)
❌ Invalidation: Strong close above ATH zone
Gold bullish surge With weekly high pierced I'm looking to take a buy around 3423.5 - 3430 area where there is previous support, I should be targeting 3467.03 area. i will not jump on the shorting band wagon, will observe price action and will take it from there. but initial bias is long
But if the price does not respect my buy area, I have another zone to take a long from, the area is 3414.871 - 3420 respectively. The market does whatever it wants so let's observe and be patient.






















