9/15: Ahead of Rate Decision, Market Enters ConsolidatioGood afternoon, everyone!
Key Resistance: 3643–3652
Key Support: 3633–3623 / 3616–3607
Trading Strategy
Focus on selling at highs and buying at lows within 3658–3628;
This week will be anything but calm — Wednesday’s rate decision is expected to spark another wave of volatility. Whether it turns into big profits or losses depends entirely on risk management, so make sure you’re prepared.
On the 30M chart, price remains capped below the 3643–3648 (extended to 3652–3658) resistance zone. This level is crucial:
A sustained breakout above could trigger another push toward 3668, with room for fresh highs;
Failure to break higher will likely lead to a pullback toward the 3600 area.
Regarding the FOMC decision: the market consensus is for a 25bp move. Any result above or below that would be considered a “surprise.” After the announcement, gold is more likely to follow a spike-and-reversal path — either a brief rally followed by decline, or a direct drop with a rebound later, entering a consolidation phase with a bearish tilt.
⚠️ Reminder: With such a key event ahead, keep positions light and always use stop-loss orders.
Xauusdidea
Gold (XAU/USD) Forex SignalGold (XAU/USD) has been showing strong bullish momentum recently, but the latest Zig Zag pattern and RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggest a potential correction in the short term. Let’s analyze and provide a clear forex trading signal.
Market Overview
| Pair | Gold (XAU/USD) |
| -------------- | ------------------------------- |
| Current Price | \$3,680.7 |
| Trend | Bullish with minor pullback |
| Key Indicators | Zig Zag (5,10), RSI (14, close) |
| Volatility | High |
| Market Session | US Session |
Technical Analysis
Zig Zag Indicator: The last leg shows a peak around **\$3,679.3** followed by a small correction, signaling possible short-term weakness.
RSI (14): Currently near the **55 level**, coming down from overbought territory (>70). This indicates the bullish rally may be slowing, and sellers could test the downside.
Support Levels: \$3,650 – \$3,620
Resistance Levels: \$3,720 – \$3,750
Gold Trading Signal (September 14, 2025)
| Signal Type | Sell (Short-term) |
| ------------- | --------------------- |
| Entry Zone | \$3,680 – \$3,690 |
| Stop Loss | \$3,720 |
| Take Profit 1 | \$3,650 |
| Take Profit 2 | \$3,620 |
Analysis: Since RSI has cooled off from overbought levels and Zig Zag shows a minor top formation, a short-term selling opportunity is expected. However, the long-term trend remains bullish, so aggressive traders may wait for dips to re-enter long positions.
Alternate Scenario
If gold breaks above \$3,720, the bearish setup becomes invalid, and bulls may drive the price toward \$3,750 – \$3,800.
FAQs on Gold Forex Signals
Q1: Is gold still a good buy in September 2025?
Yes, gold remains in a long-term uptrend, but short-term pullbacks are expected.
Q2: What is the best strategy for XAU/USD now?
Swing traders can short near resistance with tight SL, while long-term investors can buy on dips.
Q3: Which indicators are most useful for gold trading?
RSI, Zig Zag, Moving Averages, and Fibonacci retracements work well with gold volatility.
Conclusion
Gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating after a strong bullish move. Short-term traders can look for sell opportunities near \$3,680 with targets at \$3,650 – \$3,620, while long-term traders should stay bullish and buy dips.
Gold Nears All-Time High: Fed Cut Hype Fuels Trade Setups!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) rose 0.4% on Friday (12/09/2025), closing at $3,648.55/oz, near its all-time high of $3,673.95/oz (09/09). Up 1.7% this week, marking its fourth consecutive weekly gain, gold is driven by a weakening US labor market, reinforcing expectations for the Fed’s first rate cut of 2025 on 17/09. Yesterday’s CPI and Jobless Claims showed inflation rising at its fastest in 7 months, but weak labor data dominates rate cut bets. Let’s analyze today’s market and find trade setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Gold Thrives in Low-Rate Environment 🌟
Rate Cut Expectations: Weak US labor data (surging jobless claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) and prior weak PPI push markets to 100% odds of a 0.25% Fed rate cut, with lower odds for 0.5% (CME FedWatch). Low rates ease pressure on USD and Treasuries, boosting non-yielding gold.
Global Support: Gold’s 39% YTD surge is fueled by a weak USD, China’s 10-month gold buying streak, and global uncertainty. China’s move to simplify gold import regulations signals rising demand.
Key Focus: CPI (11/09) showed rising inflation, but labor weakness prioritizes Fed easing. Barring shocks (e.g., Trump tariffs), gold won’t drop sharply—dips are buying opportunities!
Technical Analysis: Consolidation Near Highs – Favor Buying Dips 📉
Gold is consolidating around the Fibonacci 2.618 (3650), with wide sideways action on the weekly chart, closing below 3650 as expected. It’s unclear if a deeper correction looms or if the uptrend continues, but liquidity zones at 359x and 354x are prime for buying, while round levels like 370x are ideal for selling if the rally persists. Watch volume for reversal or rejection signals.
Resistance: 3655 - 3684 - 3694 - 3704
Support: 3621 - 3595 - 3582 - 3559 - 3545
Trade Setups (Tight RR):
Buy Zone: 3582 - 3580 (SL: 3572; TP: 3590 - 3600 - 3610 - 3640) – Long-term buy on deep dips.
Buy Zone: 3546 - 3544 (SL: 3536; TP: 3554 - 3564 - 3574 - 3594) – Buy at strong support.
Sell Zone: 3703 - 3705 (SL: 3713; TP: 3695 - 3685 - 3675 - 3665) – Sell at round levels if rally continues.
Gold is consolidating near highs—watch for liquidity traps! Above 3621, bulls target new highs; below, test 359x/354x. Manage risk tightly ahead of Fed volatility! Will you buy dips or sell highs? Share your strategies below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #USInflation #RateCuts #CentralBanks
XAUUSD/GOLD Daily Sell Projection (13.09.25)📌 Chart Overview
Pair: XAUUSD / Gold Spot vs USD
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Projection: Sell Setup
🔹 Key Technical Zones
Major Resistance Zone
Around 3,696 – 3,680 level.
Confluence with trendline resistance.
Resistance Levels
R1: Near 3,650.
R2: Near 3,696.
Major Support Levels
S1: ~3,600.
S2: ~3,579 – 3,580.
🔹 Bearish Signals
Price has touched major resistance & trendline (marked “OBEY”).
Increase in seller dominance (demonetization of buyers visible).
Shooting Star candle pattern at resistance → indicates possible reversal.
🔹 Trade Idea
Entry: Near resistance rejection (3,680–3,696 zone).
Target: Towards 3,600 – 3,579 supports.
Stop Loss: Above major resistance / 3,696 zone.
Bias: Short-term sell projection while price respects resistance.
🔹 Special Note
Marked OBEY FVG zone (Fair Value Gap) → indicates that price is likely to fall into that area but won’t break below 3,579 support strongly unless fundamentals shift.
Overall bias: Sell from resistance, book profits at support
Gold Dips Pre-CPI: Fed Cut Hype Fuels Buying Opportunities!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is slightly down today (11/09/2025) after yesterday’s weak PPI report—US wholesale inflation fell more than expected, boosting bets for a Fed rate cut next week to 100% for 0.25%, with growing odds for 0.5% (CME FedWatch). Tonight’s CPI and Jobless Claims at 19:30 ET will clarify inflation and labor trends, shaping the Fed’s exact cut. Gold won’t drop sharply unless hit by a shock like Trump tariffs—dips are buying opportunities! Let’s analyze today’s market and find trade setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines Bright 🌟
The weak PPI fuels rate cut expectations, easing pressure on USD and Treasuries, making non-yielding gold more attractive. With a 38% YTD surge (after 27% in 2024), gold is supported by a weak USD, China’s 10-month buying streak, and global uncertainty. CPI (11/09) will guide Fed policy—low inflation could push gold to new highs; high readings may trigger short-term dips. Keep RR tight!
Technical Analysis: Consolidation Pre-CPI – Favor Buying 📉
Gold rose in Asia but hit resistance at 364x OB, dropping to 362x with liquidity sweeps—set SLs carefully! The 362x zone is key; a break below could target 361x or 3600. The bullish trend remains strong—prioritize buying dips unless major resistance fails.
Resistance: 3640 - 3648 - 3659 - 3674
Support: 3621 - 3615 - 3607 - 3600
Trade Setups:
Sell Scalp: 3640 - 3642 (SL: 3646; TP: 3637 - 3632 - 3627)
Sell Zone: 3648 - 3650 (SL: 3658; TP: 3640 - 3630 - 3620)
Buy Scalp: 3617 - 3615 (SL: 3611; TP: 3620 - 3625 - 3630)
Buy Zone: 3601 - 3599 (SL: 3591; TP: 3611 - 3621 - 3631)
Gold is consolidating pre-CPI—watch for liquidity traps! Above 362x, bulls aim for new highs; below, test lower supports. Manage risk tightly before CPI volatility! Will you buy dips or sell highs? Share your strategies below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #USInflation
XAUUSD Trading Recap and RecommendationYesterday, we successfully went long at a low level, entering the market within the 3,600-3,620 range. Today, when the price moved up to 3,650, we executed the TP as planned and secured profits smoothly.
Today's Trading Advice: Buy on Pullbacks
Buy 3630 - 3640
TP 3650 - 3660 - 3670
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
XAUUSD – Should You Trade the Red News… or Let Them Trade You?🌟The Hype vs. Reality
Every NFP Friday, you’ll see traders flexing $500 to $5,000+ in one candle. But the reality check is that 95% of accounts are blown by spreads, slippage, and whipsaws. News looks like payday, but for the market, it is traps set both ways for retail traders.
Why Gold + Red USD News Is a Dangerous Mix
XAUUSD reacts harder with momentum than any other Forex pair.
NFP, CPI, FOMC, PCE — every release creates engineered chaos.
Typical pattern: spike one way → sweep stops the other way → only then trend resumes.
Example: NFP prints strong, Gold dumps 100+ pips, sweeps liquidity, then rips 350+ pips bullish with the higher-timeframe trend.
🔴When You Shouldn’t Touch It (Beginners)
If you’re still learning structure, stay flat. Here’s why:
• Spreads jump 10–30 pips instantly.
• SLs get slipped or completely ignored.
• First candle is pure manipulation.
• Emotions peak → revenge trades blow the account.
• Best move: study the reaction and wait for a safe entry, repeat 100+ times X more.
🟢When You Can Consider It (Intermediate Traders)
For traders with experience 1year+ on the charts:
• Before the release: position based on HTF bias, with very small risk.
• After the release: wait for the spike to finish, then take structure-backed entries.
Example: CPI prints weak, Gold jumps → once the fakeout clears and structure reclaims, you trade the continuation.
🖊️The Truth Nobody Likes to Hear
News doesn’t set the trend; instead, it likes to accelerate the story the chart was already telling.
If you can’t trade Gold without news, why would you dream of lying to yourself that an Unemployment Claims would make you instantly rich?
Final Note:
Trading XAUUSD over Red folder news is not proving catching the spikes. You need to show by sitting put, waiting for the dust to settle, that you trade with structure.
Beginners should grab some popcorn, watch it, and study for a while.
Intermediate traders can use news as fuel.
But if you dive in blind, remember XAUUSD doesn’t care about your trade; most likely, it will feed on it while you are volunteering as liquidity.
If this article helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more trading ideas and trading psychology. Thank you.
XAU/USD 12 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 11 September 2025.
Price has finally printed a bullish iBOS, in-line with analysis dated 23 April 2025
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its upward trajectory printing all-time-highs.
Price previously printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I have marked this in red.
Price has continued with it's upward trajectory. We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,674.695.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 11 September 2025.
Price has printed according to analysis dated 13 June 2025 by targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375 and printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has continued with its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs.
Price is currently trading within and internal low and internal high as price has printed a bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,674.695.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially continue bullish.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
3600 Support Holds Firm;Gold Oscillates, Awaiting CPI for BuyingAfter gold broke through 3670, a sharp correction occurred. Currently, the support at 3600 still holds, and gold is oscillating in the range of 3620-3640. The release of today's U.S. CPI data may increase the market's bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. However, before the Federal Reserve releases its news, the overall market will still continue to move upward, and pullbacks present better buying opportunities
Buy 3600 - 3620
TP 3640 - 3650 - 3660
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 12.10.2025 ???After breaking the H1 uptrend line, Gold returned to the Fibo retracement zone 0.5 with a strong rebound, the current price is moving around the price zone 3655 and still maintains a strong rebound. Pay attention to the following important zones for today's strategy:
>> SELL SCALP: 3673 - 3675, SL 3678, TP 3655 - 3625 - 3600
>> BUY SCALP: around 3595, SL 3588, TP 3625 - 3645 - 3665
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3620 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Have a nice weekend guys! :D
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 12/09/2025
1. Momentum
• D1: Momentum is approaching the oversold zone. We should wait for a bullish reversal signal here to confirm a new upward move.
• H4: Momentum is currently in the overbought zone and preparing to reverse. This suggests price may continue sideways or move into a corrective decline.
• H1: Momentum is also in the overbought zone and about to reverse → the current upward move is weakening, and a short-term corrective pullback is likely.
2. Wave Structure
• D1:
The market is forming a 5-wave black structure. The current D1 momentum decline is nearly complete and may reach the oversold zone within 1–2 days, signaling that wave iv (black) is close to completion.
• H4:
Price is moving sideways. Since H4 momentum is preparing to turn down from overbought, wave iv (black) may still be in progress. We need to wait until H4 momentum moves into the oversold zone and reverses up to better evaluate the completion of wave iv.
• H1:
Price has been consolidating within a high liquidity zone (Volume Profile). The sideways and time-consuming behavior fits the nature of wave iv.
o A reliable confirmation of wave iv completion would be a breakout and daily close above 3657.
o If price fails to break this level and declines further, wave iv may develop into a triangle or complex corrective pattern.
o With both H1 and H4 momentum preparing to turn down, the scenario of wave iv continuing is more likely for now.
3. Trading Plan
• Scenario 1: If price breaks and closes above 3657, wait for a retest of this level to look for a Buy Breakout targeting wave v.
• Buy Zone 1:
o Entry: 3596 – 3594
o SL: 3585
o TP: 3669
• Buy Zone 2:
o Entry: 3557 – 3555
o SL: 3547
o TP: 3597
Gold Bulls Eye Fresh Highs Amid Fed Cut Bets 📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) is attempting to reclaim upside momentum after bouncing from the $3,632–$3,636 support zone. Price broke above the descending trendline, signalling potential bullish continuation if sustained above the support. Key resistance lies at $3,655–$3,658, aligning with prior rejection levels.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,633–$3,636 (Support retest zone)
Stop Loss: $3,632
Take Profit: $3,655 / $3,658
Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): ~1 : 4.95
🌍 Macro Background
Gold edged lower to $3,630 earlier in the Asian session as profit-taking and a stronger USD weighed on the metal. However, Fed rate cut expectations remain strong, with markets fully pricing in a 25bps cut in September and Barclays projecting three consecutive cuts by year-end. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions continue to underpin safe-haven demand — Poland intercepting Russian drones and Israel’s strike on Doha highlight rising risks. This backdrop suggests dips could remain well-supported as traders await the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for further cues.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,655 / $3,658
Support: $3,633 / $3,636
Major Support Zone: $3,620
📝 Trade Summary
Gold remains underpinned by Fed easing expectations and geopolitical risks despite short-term profit-taking. The break above the trendline favours buying dips, with upside potential toward $3,655–$3,658. However, failure to hold $3,632 may trigger a retest of $3,620.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAUUSD – CPI Data Breakdown & Professional Insight | MMFLOW 🚀 XAUUSD – CPI Data Breakdown & Professional Insight | MMFLOW TRADING
📊 CPI Results (September)
Core CPI m/m: 0.3% (In line with forecast: 0.3%, previous: 0.3%)
CPI m/m: 0.4% (Above forecast: 0.3%, previous: 0.2%)
CPI y/y: 2.9% (In line with forecast: 2.9%, previous: 2.7%)
📈 MMFLOW Insight – What This Means for Gold (XAUUSD)
1️⃣ Headline CPI Beat Signals Sticky Inflation
The uptick to 0.4% m/m surprised markets and indicates inflationary pressures are not cooling as much as expected.
This strengthens USD short-term and pushes Treasury yields higher. The initial reaction is selling pressure on gold as traders price in a more hawkish Fed stance.
2️⃣ Core CPI Stability Offers Mixed Sentiment
Core CPI staying flat at 0.3% suggests underlying price pressures remain steady.
This tempers extreme hawkish expectations, leaving room for gold to recover after initial volatility, especially if yields stabilize.
3️⃣ Medium-Term Implications
Despite today’s stronger headline CPI, inflation remains on a downtrend y/y (2.9%), supporting the broader narrative of a Fed pivot in the coming months.
Central banks (esp. PBoC & EM countries) continue to accumulate gold, which underpins long-term bullish bias.
🔑 Technical Reaction Zones (M15/M30)
Resistance: 3,648 – 3,654 (Trendline/React FIB)
Support / Liquidity Zones:
• 3,624.33 – Key Zone Support BUY
• 3,612.54 – CP/React Zone FIB
• 3,599.23 – Major BUY Zone
🛠 Trading Approach After CPI
Expect whipsaw price action: an initial spike lower (USD strength) followed by potential recovery if buyers defend liquidity zones.
SELL Scalp: Only on strong rejection from 3,648–3,654 with tight SL.
BUY Opportunity: Watch for confirmed bounce signals at 3,624 / 3,612 / 3,599.
Stay nimble: CPI-induced volatility can sweep both sides before choosing direction.
✅ Summary
The hotter CPI print adds near-term pressure to gold, but the overall structure and central bank demand remain supportive. Expect liquidity sweeps before a potential bullish continuation.
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time execution updates, liquidity setups, and professional market insights during this volatile post-CPI session.
Focus on CPI, beware of unexpected surprisesThe market focuses on CPI data, which is unlikely to fluctuate significantly in the short term. Although it has fallen below the recent support of 3620, buying below is still strong, so don't chase the short position. From the news and other recent data, it can be seen that the weak US employment data has suppressed the economy, forcing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The current market basically assumes that 25 basis points has become a reality, so the possibility of positive CPI data is relatively high.
If the CPI data is positive for gold, it will first test the resistance level of 3640-3660. If the data triggers a strong rally, gold could potentially reach new highs, aiming for 3690-3700.
However, the previous NFP data was also crucial, but the result was a surprise. Therefore, we cannot rule out the possibility of a similar surprise with the CPI data. If the CPI data is bearish for gold, it will first test 3600 below. Once it falls below 3600, it will go to 3580.
The above content is just an analysis of the possible trend of gold, which you can refer to. If the European session retreats again to 3620-3610 without breaking, you can try to go long with a light position, and the ideal target is 3640-3660. If it falls below 3600, SL will be adjusted in time.
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 11.10.2025 ???Well, today's gold price has broken the current H1 uptrend line, the price is currently around 3620, and is still holding on to the H4 uptrend line. We will need to pay attention to the following important resistance and support zones:
>> SELL SCALP: around 3670, SL 3677, TP 3600 - 3575
>> BUY SCALP: around 3580, SL 3570, TP 3665
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3620 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Have a nice day guys ;)
GOLD Very Bullish , Can We Buy Again And Get 200 Pips ?Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3639.00 and we have a 4H Candle closure above it and we have a Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation ,and also we have a reversal pattern and the price closed above neckline , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy from 3639.00 when the price back to retest it , we need the price to go back and retest it and give us a good bullish price action and then we can enter , we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
6- Reversal Pattern .