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Gold Dips Post-Record: Trade Fed Drama & US Jobs Data!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) pulled back on Thursday (04/09/2025) as investors took profits after its record-breaking rally, with focus now shifting to the upcoming US jobs report for fresh signals on the Fed’s policy path. Spot gold closed down 0.3% at $3,547.68/oz—is this a buying dip or a reversal? Let’s dive in and uncover trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: What’s Behind Gold’s Dip & Potential Rebound? 🌟 Profit-Taking Post-Record: Gold eased after hitting an all-time high of $3,578.50/oz on 03/09, driven by weak job openings data that bolstered rate cut bets and ongoing uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand. 📉 US Jobs Report Looms: Set for release tomorrow (05/09), this key report follows early-session data showing US jobless claims rising more than expected last week, signaling a softening labor market. Fed Signals & Rate Cut Buzz: Several Fed officials on 03/09 highlighted labor market concerns, reinforcing confidence in rate cuts. Markets now see a 98% chance of a 0.25% rate cut this month, per CME FedWatch. As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-rate and uncertain environments! 🏦 Fed Drama Heats Up: Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook has sparked a serious legal challenge, raising fresh concerns about Fed independence. Coupled with tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses), this is eroding USD asset confidence and boosting gold demand. Bullish Outlook: Standard Chartered predicts further gains, citing persistent tariff uncertainty and Fed independence fears as key safe-haven drivers. Technical Analysis: Consolidation Before Big Data—Buy Dips or Wait? 📉 Gold has been trading in an uptrend channel, with early-session accumulation. After a strong Asian session push, it hit the 356x OB zone and dropped quickly. The European session may see sideways action, awaiting tonight’s critical data. If gold holds the channel, bulls could take charge—watch for breakouts! Key Resistance: 3560 - 3576 - 3586 Key Support: 3540 - 3526 - 3500 - 3490 - 3476 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3558 - 3560 SL: 3564 TP: 3555 - 3545 - 3535 Sell Zone: 3576 - 3578 SL: 3587 TP: 3568 - 3558 - 3548 - 3538 Buy Scalp: 3526 - 3524 SL: 3520 TP: 3529 - 3539 - 3549 Buy Zone: 3500 - 3498 SL: 3490 TP: 3508 - 3518 - 3518 - 3538 Gold’s in consolidation mode, but the jobs report could trigger a breakout—manage risk tightly! If it holds above supports, bulls may push for new highs post-data. 📊💡 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Pullback or trend reversal? One article gives you the answerGold fell nearly $60 in the Asian session, providing an opportunity for a pullback. It rebounded after touching the previous top and bottom conversion position of 3520-3500. The current stage is a process of gold correction, with intraday fluctuations as the main feature. A major trend change may occur after the release of NFP data tomorrow. Although there is a downward correction at present, the bullish momentum is still there and it has not effectively fallen below the previous top and bottom conversion positions. Both bulls and bears have opportunities in the short term. In the short term, focus on 3550-3560. If it fails to rebound effectively and stabilize above, it will continue to fluctuate today. Friends who execute long trades based on yesterday’s trading strategy can consider exiting the market near 3550-3560. The focus today is on the release of ADP data, which will provide a certain reference direction for the possible trend of NFP data tomorrow.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP-Halson
2
Gold Hits Record Highs: Trade Fed Drama & Jobs Data!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Rising? 🌟 New Record Highs: Gold hit an all-time high before US jobs data revealed a sharper-than-expected drop in July 2025 job openings and moderate hiring, signaling a loosening labor market. This weakness boosted gold, with the next target at $3,600/oz. 📈 Fed Rate Cut Odds Soar: Post-data, the market raised the probability of a 0.25% rate cut at the Sept 16-17 meeting from 92% to 98%, per CME FedWatch. Fed Governor Christopher Waller emphasized the need for a cut this month, with the pace depending on economic developments. 🏦 Upcoming Data in Focus: Investors are eyeing ADP employment and unemployment claims today (04/09), plus the official payrolls report on 05/09—these could shape Fed actions and gold’s trajectory. Fed Drama Intensifies: On Sept 3, Governor Lisa Cook detailed her opposition to Trump’s attempt to fire her, while Trump has repeatedly criticized Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates this year. Concerns over Fed independence are eroding confidence in USD assets, driving investors to gold. Trump is set to appeal tariffs to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses. ⚖️🇺🇸 Gold’s Ideal Environment: As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in uncertainty and low-rate settings—perfect for the current landscape! Technical Analysis: Strong Uptrend, Prioritize BUY but Watch for Pullbacks! 📉 After the Asian open, gold dipped sharply to the 351x zone before rebounding quickly above 352x. This may reflect institutions dumping to capture retail liquidity—a common move during continuous ATHs that leave large FVGs. Prioritize BUY if gold holds above 352x, but if it fails to break 365x today, consider a SELL reversal, especially with ADP Nonfarm data looming. Stay cautious for volatility! Key Resistance: 3545 - 3561 - 3578 - 3586 - 3596 Key Support: 3521 - 3508 - 3493 - 3475 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3560-3562 SL: 3566 TP: 3557 - 3552 - 3547 Sell Zone: 3594 - 3596 SL: 3604 TP: 3586 - 3576 - 3566 - 3566 - 3546 Buy Scalp: 3508 - 3506 SL: 3502 TP: 3511 - 3516 - 3521 Buy Zone: 3493 - 3491 SL: 3483 TP: 3501 - 3511 - 3521 - 3531 - Open Gold is red-hot, but today’s data could spark volatility—manage risk tightly! If it holds above 352x, bulls could push to new highs. 📊💡 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #Trump #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
1
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 5, 2025 ———————————— Momentum • D1: Momentum has already turned bearish, suggesting that in the coming days we could see a corrective decline. Since today is Friday, be cautious of potential liquidity sweeps before the weekly close. • H4: Momentum is still rising, but with about 1 hour left before the current H4 candle closes, it is likely to enter the overbought zone, which would increase the risk of reversal. • H1: Momentum is weakening and preparing to reverse, showing that the current upward move is losing strength. ———————————— Wave Structure • D1: No major changes. A corrective decline is likely in the coming days. The depth of this correction will help us identify the exact wave structure. For now, patience is needed until D1 momentum reaches the oversold area and new patterns form. • H4: Price still seems to be in the corrective phase of wave iv (purple). With H4 momentum about to enter the overbought zone, I still expect a downward move to complete wave iv before the market continues upward into wave v (purple). • H1: We can see an ABC (green) structure forming, as mentioned yesterday. However, because it developed quite quickly, it could also evolve into a Flat, Triangle, or Combination pattern. o Price is moving in a choppy, overlapping manner. o Combined with H4 momentum nearing overbought → it’s likely that wave B is forming, followed by a downward move to complete wave iv (purple). o If a Flat plays out, price could rise toward 3578 (or higher) before dropping back below that level. ———————————— Targets • Wave C: We need to wait for wave B to complete before setting more reliable targets. For now, keep yesterday’s target zones: 3498 – 3469. • Wave v (purple): No significant change compared to yesterday’s plan. ———————————— Trading Plan Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498 • SL: 3490 • TP1: 3524 Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469 • SL: 3459 • TP1: 3500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Technical Outlook after ADP NONFARMGold (XAUUSD) attempted to recover but failed to break through the 3559 – 3561 (OBS Sell Zone – CP Down Zone). The sharp rejection from this resistance confirms that sellers remain in short-term control. At present, price is retracing towards the 3528 – 3515 support zone – a key level to watch: If buyers defend 3515, we could see a rebound back toward the 3550 – 3559 resistance zone. A clear break below 3515 would signal stronger bearish pressure, opening the path toward 3486 – 3477 (Liquidity & OBS Buy Zone) where large orders are likely waiting. Additionally, the 3537 – 3540 VPOC/Sideway Range remains a critical balance area where short-term market direction could be decided. 📌 Key Technical Levels Major Resistance: 3550 – 3559 Near-term Support: 3528 – 3515 Liquidity & BUY Zone: 3486 – 3477 📊 MMFLOW Trading View: Short-term momentum currently favours a corrective move lower after the rejection at 3559 – 3561. The reaction at 3515 will be crucial: Holding above → potential rebound to retest 3550 – 3559 Breaking lower → extended downside towards 3486 – 3477 liquidity zone
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – 1H | OB / FVG Roadmap Price currently: 3539.7 🔴 1H Supply (Sell Zone): 3565 – 3575 🟩 1H OB #1: 3488 – 3470 🟩 1H OB #2: 3455 – 3440 🟦 1H FVG: 3405 – 3390 🟩 Deep 1H OB: 3382 – 3372 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation: If price holds above 3488–3470 OB, I’ll look for buys targeting 3565–3575 supply zone. Acceptance above 3575 could open doors to continuation higher (new highs). Invalidation: clean 1H close below 3470. Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback: If price fails to hold 3488–3470, next area for potential long setups is 3455–3440 OB, and then the unmitigated 3405–3390 FVG. I will look for bullish CHoCH/BOS on 3–5m TF before entering. Targets for rebound are 3530 (mid-range) and 3565–3575 (supply zone). Execution: No blind orders – confirmation required on LTF. 📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD 📚 Daily setups & educational trades
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProfitaminFX
XAUUSD – Liquidity Gap & Key Levels Before ADP/NFPAfter yesterday’s rally, Gold (XAUUSD) pulled back over 60 points, returning to the VPOC 3537 zone. This sharp move suggests a possible short-term ATH near 357x, where many SELLs were forced out while BUYs locked in profits. Currently, Gold is in a correction phase ahead of ADP today and NFP tomorrow. With ADP expected at 73K vs. 104K prior, weaker data could support further upside if USD weakens. The 60+ point drop shows profit-taking by big players and left liquidity gaps on both sides, bringing price back into the 353x–354x range. A breakout of this range will likely dictate today’s trend. 🔑 Key Resistance Levels 3540 - 3548 - 3560 - 3576 🔑 Key Support Levels 3526 - 3515 - 3502 - 3490 - 3476 📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View) BUY Scalp: 3502 – 3500 SL: 3494 TP: 3506 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ??? BUY Zone: 3477 – 3475 SL: 3470 TP: 3485 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – 3550 – ??? SELL Scalp: 3559 – 3561 SL: 3566 TP: 3554 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 – ??? SELL Zone: 3574 – 3576 SL: 3580 TP: 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ??? 📊 MMFLOW TRADING View: Today’s market context suggests continued correction before ADP/NFP. Sideway accumulation remains dominant in 353x–354x, but a decisive breakout will guide today’s direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Hits New ATH – Is a Bearish Crab Reversal Next?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise today after the release of the ISM Manufacturing PMI index formed a new All-Time High(ATH) . The question is what price range could the new ATH price range for gold be in? Gold is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($3,557-$3,531) . From a pattern analysis perspective , it looks like Gold is completing a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern . In fact, if we find a trigger at point D of the Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern , we can confirm this pattern. From an Elliott wave theory perspective , it looks like Gold is completing wave 5 . This wave 5 could act as the end of the main wave 3 . I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,501 in the coming hours . Second Target: $3,481 Third Target: Support zone($3,474-$3,466) Stop Loss (SL) = $3,559(Worst) Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
89
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3500.00 With Daily Candle ! and we have a 4H Candle closure above it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3500.00 , and we can targeting 100 to 300 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore . Reasons To Enter : 1- Perfect Touch For The Area . 2- Clear Bullish Price Action . 3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A . 4- The Price Take The Last High . 5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Elite_Club
14
3500 is the key, go long when it retracements and stabilizes#XAUUSD Before the release of NFP data, gold prices continued to rise on the daily chart and remained stable near the upper limit at the morning opening. 🐂The current market is in an extreme situation. Before there is a clear direction, we always maintain a cautious attitude towards buying. Currently, it is near a historical high and the market is bullish. Once you chase high prices easily, it will be more dangerous and you will easily suffer losses.📊 Judging from the 4H chart, since gold rose to 3500, this point has changed from resistance to support.🥅 No matter whether gold continues to rise or fall, it must touch this point to establish a clearer short-term direction. Therefore, we will definitely not participate in the current trading around 3535.⚠️ If we want to participate in the short term, I suggest referring to 3525-3500 and wait for it to stabilize before taking long orders with a small position in batches. Otherwise, there will definitely be risks. The short-term target can be seen at 3550-3560.📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP-Halson
Gold (XAU/USD) 3 September, 20251. Macro Outlook (Daily) Gold continues to maintain a bullish macro structure, with consecutive higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) defining the trend. The most recent Break of Structure (BOS) above the $3500 handle confirms sustained upward momentum. Liquidity remains positioned above $3560 – $3575, where equal highs and untested buy-side liquidity are waiting to be taken. The daily bias is therefore firmly bullish unless $3490 is broken, in which case deeper retracements may emerge. 2. Swing Structure (4H) On the 4H chart, gold is respecting bullish order flow: Liquidity below $3515 – $3505 remains vulnerable for inducement sweeps. A fresh Fair Value Gap (FVG) $3518 – $3508 is unmitigated. A bullish Order Block (OB) $3512 – $3500 serves as structural demand. Together, these form a discount zone in alignment with the daily bias, offering high-probability continuation setups. 3. Execution Refinement (1H) The 1H chart sharpens execution: OTE retracement cluster $3520 – $3510 aligns with the 61.8–78.6% retracement of the last impulse. Asia low at $3528 has been swept, providing inducement for London and NY session continuation. Anchored VWAP from the weekly open sits at $3518, reinforcing institutional demand. This confluence tightens the execution-ready buy zone for today. 4. Execution-Ready Zones 🔵 Primary Buy Zone (Golden Zone) Entry: $3520 – $3510 Stop Loss: $3495 Rationale: Supported by daily bullish bias, fresh 4H OB, 4H FVG, 1H OTE, liquidity sweep, VWAP alignment, round number support, and resting liquidity. Bias: High-probability long setup, >8 institutional confluences. 🔵 Secondary Buy Zone Entry: $3505 – $3495 Stop Loss: $3480 Rationale: Deep discount, OB extreme, and structural inducement. Bias: Backup long zone if deeper retracement occurs. 🔴 Primary Sell Zone Entry: $3560 – $3575 Stop Loss: $3585 Rationale: Liquidity grab above equal highs, premium array, and supply confluence. Bias: Countertrend fade, scalp only. 🔴 Secondary Sell Zone Entry: $3595 – $3610 Stop Loss: $3625 Rationale: Weekly high liquidity, premium overextension, and 161.8% extension cluster. Bias: Opportunistic fade; not suitable for swing shorts. 5. Risk Management & Profit-Taking Strategy Instead of rigid pip targets, traders should adopt liquidity-based scaling: Partial exits at session highs/lows (Asia, London, NY). Major targets at daily/weekly liquidity pools (equal highs, equal lows, imbalance fills). Leave runners open toward higher-timeframe liquidity magnets — notably $3800. This approach ensures alignment with institutional order flow while capturing both intraday and swing opportunities. 🌟 Golden Zone of the Day $3520 – $3510 (Buy Zone) Backed by 8+ institutional confluences across Daily, 4H, and 1H. Provides the highest-probability entry point for continuation of the prevailing bullish trend. 6. Strategic Conclusion Gold’s current price action confirms institutional bullish order flow. Demand zones in the $3520 – $3510 region represent the most compelling setup for today, offering clean alignment across Daily, 4H, and 1H. Countertrend shorts remain viable only at liquidity clusters near $3560 – $3575 and $3595 – $3610, but should be managed conservatively given the macro bullish context. Professional traders should prioritize long exposure, scaling out at liquidity levels while leaving runners toward untested buy-side objectives higher up the curve. 📌 Institutional Note: Unless the $3490 level is breached, the path of least resistance remains higher, with liquidity objectives above $3560 – $3575 as the next upside magnet.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 03/09/2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still overlapping. As mentioned in the previous plan, with 6 consecutive daily candles in this condition, a reversal may occur today or tomorrow. • H4: Momentum is preparing to turn bearish. If a confirming candle closes, we may see a downward move on H4. • H1: Momentum is also turning bearish but right above the oversold zone. This suggests the correction on H1 may be near completion, followed by another upward move. ________________________________________ Wave Structure • D1: Price is still in an uptrend, possibly wave 1 of wave 5 or the final larger wave 5. Current wave targets are 3602 or 3667. This aligns with momentum on D1, which has been overlapping for 6 candles, signaling that in 1–2 more candles a reversal is likely. • H4: A 5-wave purple structure is forming – the dominant structure of the current rally. Price is currently running in wave iii (purple). o Inside wave iii purple, a 5-wave green structure has already formed and is nearing its final stage. o Wave iii and iv green appear completed, and price is now in wave v green, which has broken the previous high of wave iii green, confirming its development. • H1: o The first target of wave v green was hit at 3542. The second target remains at 3585. o Within wave v green, a 5-wave black sub-structure is visible. o The Asian session opened with a breakout above the previous high, implying 2 scenarios: 1. Wave 5 black has completed after reaching the first target (3542). 2. Or it is forming a wave 4 black flat, holding above 3525 before heading to 3570–3585. If price drops below 3525, it means wave 5 black has completed. Then, wave iv purple will target the zones 3498 and 3469 – areas to look for the next buy opportunity. ________________________________________ Trading Plan • Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498 o SL: 3400 o TP1: 3524 • Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469 o SL: 3459 o TP1: 3500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD 15M Setup – Key Levels & ScenariosGold is currently sitting at a critical zone after a strong push upward. Here’s the plan: 🔹 Upside Scenario (Bullish Bias) If price breaks and holds above the FVG retest zone, momentum could continue higher. Watch for a clean break and retest of resistance turning into new support before looking for long entries. 🔹 Downside Scenario (Bearish Bias) On this lower timeframe, resistance has already formed. If this move is a fakeout / liquidity grab, expect a reversal and push lower. Be more patient with sells than buys here — mark key levels below as potential TP targets. ⚡ Key Notes Above 3537.16 = bullish continuation possible. Failure to hold above 3533–3530 = bearish reversal risk. Major downside liquidity zones = 3526 → 3508 → 3500. 📝 Trading Plan Stay reactive. Let price show its hand at these levels. A break & retest = confirmation. Fakeout = reversal. Manage risk tightly and trade the reaction, not the prediction. Posting daily.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by MrYounity
GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 1000 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 30 Mins T.F , We have a Huge movement To Upside since Last week start between 3350.00 to 3470.00 so we can buy and sell Gold This Week from 2 areas , 3450.00 will be the best place for Buy and 3500.00 will be the best place for Sell , now the price very near buy area we can wait the price to retest the support area and then enter a buy trade and targeting 3500.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bearish P.A , we can enter a sell trade and targeting 3450.00 , It`s All Depend On Price action . Entry Reasons : 1- Highest Level The Price Touch It 2- Broken Res 3- New Support Created .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FX_Elite_Club
2