XAUUSD – Post-NFP Big Win & Key Levels to Watch | MMFLOW TRADINGNonfarm Payrolls pushed gold (XAUUSD) to a new ATH near $3600/oz. After reacting sharply at the 3593–3595 liquidity sell zone, price dropped more than 200 pips before bouncing back quickly to retest the previous ATH and climbing again towards 359x, showing strong bullish momentum still in play.
Short-Term Outlook (US Session Close):
Upside momentum remains dominant, but the market now stands at two critical key levels that will define the next move.
Key Levels:
Bullish trigger: 3592 → A clean breakout above this zone could fuel further upside towards the next liquidity area around 362x.
Bearish trigger: 3575 → A break below this level may open a deeper pullback to fill the Nonfarm liquidity gap around 3550–3527.
Trading Plan:
BUY bias: Hold above 3592 → look for longs targeting 3610–362x.
SELL scalp: Break below 3575 → shorts towards 3550–3527.
Always apply strict risk management (SL just beyond the nearest key level).
Summary:
✅ After a 200+ pips BIGWIN on Nonfarm, gold retains strong momentum.
👉 Watch the 3592 & 3575 zones closely – they are the decision points for the next major move.
Follow MMFLOW TRADING for timely updates and trade setups!
Xauusdidea
Gold Price Analysis (XAUUSD 4H): Bulls Eye $3,600 but ResistanceGold has continued its impressive rally, pushing higher on the 4-hour timeframe and reaching the $3,587 zone. With momentum on the bulls’ side, the big question remains: Can XAUUSD break above the $3,600 resistance, or is a pullback on the horizon?
The 4-hour chart shows a clear uptrend, with price action forming higher highs and higher lows. The recent surge took gold from the $3,250 level all the way to nearly $3,600, a gain of more than $300 within weeks.
This bullish momentum is supported by strong buying volume, indicating that traders continue to see gold as a safe-haven asset in the current global environment.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,600 – $3,620
Support Zone: $3,500 – $3,520
Next Upside Target: $3,700 and $3,750 if resistance breaks
Potential Downside Target: $3,520 if price fails to sustain above $3,550
RSI Indicator
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trading near the 70 level, signaling that gold is approaching the overbought territory. While this confirms strong bullish momentum, it also raises the likelihood of a short-term correction or consolidation before the next big move.
Market Sentiment
Currently, gold is at a critical juncture. Buyers are attempting to break the $3,600 barrier, but selling pressure has been visible with upper candle wicks forming near this level.
A decisive breakout above $3,600 could open the path toward $3,700+.
A rejection from resistance may trigger a pullback toward $3,520–$3,500 support.
Trading Outlook
For swing traders, the strategy remains straightforward:
Bullish Bias: Stay long as long as price holds above $3,500. Watch for confirmation above $3,600 to target $3,700 – $3,750.
Bearish Bias: Short-term traders may look for pullback opportunities if price fails to hold above $3,550, aiming for $3,520 support.
Conclusion
Gold (XAUUSD) remains firmly in a bullish trend, but immediate resistance near $3,600 could determine the next move. Traders should closely monitor price action around this key level—either a breakout to new highs or a pullback to reset momentum.
✨ Gold’s next move could set the tone for September trading. Stay alert and manage risk carefully.
Gold Dips Post-Record: Trade Fed Drama & US Jobs Data!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) pulled back on Thursday (04/09/2025) as investors took profits after its record-breaking rally, with focus now shifting to the upcoming US jobs report for fresh signals on the Fed’s policy path. Spot gold closed down 0.3% at $3,547.68/oz—is this a buying dip or a reversal? Let’s dive in and uncover trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: What’s Behind Gold’s Dip & Potential Rebound? 🌟
Profit-Taking Post-Record: Gold eased after hitting an all-time high of $3,578.50/oz on 03/09, driven by weak job openings data that bolstered rate cut bets and ongoing uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand. 📉
US Jobs Report Looms: Set for release tomorrow (05/09), this key report follows early-session data showing US jobless claims rising more than expected last week, signaling a softening labor market.
Fed Signals & Rate Cut Buzz: Several Fed officials on 03/09 highlighted labor market concerns, reinforcing confidence in rate cuts. Markets now see a 98% chance of a 0.25% rate cut this month, per CME FedWatch. As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-rate and uncertain environments! 🏦
Fed Drama Heats Up: Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook has sparked a serious legal challenge, raising fresh concerns about Fed independence. Coupled with tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses), this is eroding USD asset confidence and boosting gold demand.
Bullish Outlook: Standard Chartered predicts further gains, citing persistent tariff uncertainty and Fed independence fears as key safe-haven drivers.
Technical Analysis: Consolidation Before Big Data—Buy Dips or Wait? 📉
Gold has been trading in an uptrend channel, with early-session accumulation. After a strong Asian session push, it hit the 356x OB zone and dropped quickly. The European session may see sideways action, awaiting tonight’s critical data. If gold holds the channel, bulls could take charge—watch for breakouts!
Key Resistance: 3560 - 3576 - 3586
Key Support: 3540 - 3526 - 3500 - 3490 - 3476
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3558 - 3560
SL: 3564
TP: 3555 - 3545 - 3535
Sell Zone: 3576 - 3578
SL: 3587
TP: 3568 - 3558 - 3548 - 3538
Buy Scalp: 3526 - 3524
SL: 3520
TP: 3529 - 3539 - 3549
Buy Zone: 3500 - 3498
SL: 3490
TP: 3508 - 3518 - 3518 - 3538
Gold’s in consolidation mode, but the jobs report could trigger a breakout—manage risk tightly! If it holds above supports, bulls may push for new highs post-data. 📊💡
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
Pullback or trend reversal? One article gives you the answerGold fell nearly $60 in the Asian session, providing an opportunity for a pullback. It rebounded after touching the previous top and bottom conversion position of 3520-3500. The current stage is a process of gold correction, with intraday fluctuations as the main feature. A major trend change may occur after the release of NFP data tomorrow.
Although there is a downward correction at present, the bullish momentum is still there and it has not effectively fallen below the previous top and bottom conversion positions. Both bulls and bears have opportunities in the short term. In the short term, focus on 3550-3560. If it fails to rebound effectively and stabilize above, it will continue to fluctuate today. Friends who execute long trades based on yesterday’s trading strategy can consider exiting the market near 3550-3560.
The focus today is on the release of ADP data, which will provide a certain reference direction for the possible trend of NFP data tomorrow.
Gold Hits Record Highs: Trade Fed Drama & Jobs Data!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Rising? 🌟
New Record Highs: Gold hit an all-time high before US jobs data revealed a sharper-than-expected drop in July 2025 job openings and moderate hiring, signaling a loosening labor market. This weakness boosted gold, with the next target at $3,600/oz. 📈
Fed Rate Cut Odds Soar: Post-data, the market raised the probability of a 0.25% rate cut at the Sept 16-17 meeting from 92% to 98%, per CME FedWatch. Fed Governor Christopher Waller emphasized the need for a cut this month, with the pace depending on economic developments. 🏦
Upcoming Data in Focus: Investors are eyeing ADP employment and unemployment claims today (04/09), plus the official payrolls report on 05/09—these could shape Fed actions and gold’s trajectory.
Fed Drama Intensifies: On Sept 3, Governor Lisa Cook detailed her opposition to Trump’s attempt to fire her, while Trump has repeatedly criticized Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates this year. Concerns over Fed independence are eroding confidence in USD assets, driving investors to gold. Trump is set to appeal tariffs to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses. ⚖️🇺🇸
Gold’s Ideal Environment: As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in uncertainty and low-rate settings—perfect for the current landscape!
Technical Analysis: Strong Uptrend, Prioritize BUY but Watch for Pullbacks! 📉
After the Asian open, gold dipped sharply to the 351x zone before rebounding quickly above 352x. This may reflect institutions dumping to capture retail liquidity—a common move during continuous ATHs that leave large FVGs. Prioritize BUY if gold holds above 352x, but if it fails to break 365x today, consider a SELL reversal, especially with ADP Nonfarm data looming. Stay cautious for volatility!
Key Resistance: 3545 - 3561 - 3578 - 3586 - 3596
Key Support: 3521 - 3508 - 3493 - 3475
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3560-3562
SL: 3566
TP: 3557 - 3552 - 3547
Sell Zone: 3594 - 3596
SL: 3604
TP: 3586 - 3576 - 3566 - 3566 - 3546
Buy Scalp: 3508 - 3506
SL: 3502
TP: 3511 - 3516 - 3521
Buy Zone: 3493 - 3491
SL: 3483
TP: 3501 - 3511 - 3521 - 3531 - Open
Gold is red-hot, but today’s data could spark volatility—manage risk tightly! If it holds above 352x, bulls could push to new highs. 📊💡
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #Trump #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 5, 2025
————————————
Momentum
• D1: Momentum has already turned bearish, suggesting that in the coming days we could see a corrective decline. Since today is Friday, be cautious of potential liquidity sweeps before the weekly close.
• H4: Momentum is still rising, but with about 1 hour left before the current H4 candle closes, it is likely to enter the overbought zone, which would increase the risk of reversal.
• H1: Momentum is weakening and preparing to reverse, showing that the current upward move is losing strength.
————————————
Wave Structure
• D1: No major changes. A corrective decline is likely in the coming days. The depth of this correction will help us identify the exact wave structure. For now, patience is needed until D1 momentum reaches the oversold area and new patterns form.
• H4: Price still seems to be in the corrective phase of wave iv (purple). With H4 momentum about to enter the overbought zone, I still expect a downward move to complete wave iv before the market continues upward into wave v (purple).
• H1: We can see an ABC (green) structure forming, as mentioned yesterday. However, because it developed quite quickly, it could also evolve into a Flat, Triangle, or Combination pattern.
o Price is moving in a choppy, overlapping manner.
o Combined with H4 momentum nearing overbought → it’s likely that wave B is forming, followed by a downward move to complete wave iv (purple).
o If a Flat plays out, price could rise toward 3578 (or higher) before dropping back below that level.
————————————
Targets
• Wave C: We need to wait for wave B to complete before setting more reliable targets. For now, keep yesterday’s target zones: 3498 – 3469.
• Wave v (purple): No significant change compared to yesterday’s plan.
————————————
Trading Plan
Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498
• SL: 3490
• TP1: 3524
Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469
• SL: 3459
• TP1: 3500
curve reversal structure 15M time frame dear traders
as key points you see the half of reversal curve structure that going to completing .
as mentioned structure rules you can drive on SL point as entry with risk of minimum lots or take an action with entry point as picture : 3530.503 $
SL : 3541.977
sell TP point for full target is : 3499.364
XAUUSD – Technical Outlook after ADP NONFARMGold (XAUUSD) attempted to recover but failed to break through the 3559 – 3561 (OBS Sell Zone – CP Down Zone). The sharp rejection from this resistance confirms that sellers remain in short-term control.
At present, price is retracing towards the 3528 – 3515 support zone – a key level to watch:
If buyers defend 3515, we could see a rebound back toward the 3550 – 3559 resistance zone.
A clear break below 3515 would signal stronger bearish pressure, opening the path toward 3486 – 3477 (Liquidity & OBS Buy Zone) where large orders are likely waiting.
Additionally, the 3537 – 3540 VPOC/Sideway Range remains a critical balance area where short-term market direction could be decided.
📌 Key Technical Levels
Major Resistance: 3550 – 3559
Near-term Support: 3528 – 3515
Liquidity & BUY Zone: 3486 – 3477
📊 MMFLOW Trading View:
Short-term momentum currently favours a corrective move lower after the rejection at 3559 – 3561. The reaction at 3515 will be crucial:
Holding above → potential rebound to retest 3550 – 3559
Breaking lower → extended downside towards 3486 – 3477 liquidity zone
XAUUSD – 1H | OB / FVG Roadmap Price currently: 3539.7
🔴 1H Supply (Sell Zone): 3565 – 3575
🟩 1H OB #1: 3488 – 3470
🟩 1H OB #2: 3455 – 3440
🟦 1H FVG: 3405 – 3390
🟩 Deep 1H OB: 3382 – 3372
Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation:
If price holds above 3488–3470 OB, I’ll look for buys targeting 3565–3575 supply zone.
Acceptance above 3575 could open doors to continuation higher (new highs).
Invalidation: clean 1H close below 3470.
Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback:
If price fails to hold 3488–3470, next area for potential long setups is 3455–3440 OB, and then the unmitigated 3405–3390 FVG.
I will look for bullish CHoCH/BOS on 3–5m TF before entering.
Targets for rebound are 3530 (mid-range) and 3565–3575 (supply zone).
Execution: No blind orders – confirmation required on LTF.
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
XAUUSD – Liquidity Gap & Key Levels Before ADP/NFPAfter yesterday’s rally, Gold (XAUUSD) pulled back over 60 points, returning to the VPOC 3537 zone. This sharp move suggests a possible short-term ATH near 357x, where many SELLs were forced out while BUYs locked in profits.
Currently, Gold is in a correction phase ahead of ADP today and NFP tomorrow. With ADP expected at 73K vs. 104K prior, weaker data could support further upside if USD weakens.
The 60+ point drop shows profit-taking by big players and left liquidity gaps on both sides, bringing price back into the 353x–354x range. A breakout of this range will likely dictate today’s trend.
🔑 Key Resistance Levels
3540 - 3548 - 3560 - 3576
🔑 Key Support Levels
3526 - 3515 - 3502 - 3490 - 3476
📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View)
BUY Scalp: 3502 – 3500
SL: 3494
TP: 3506 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ???
BUY Zone: 3477 – 3475
SL: 3470
TP: 3485 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – 3550 – ???
SELL Scalp: 3559 – 3561
SL: 3566
TP: 3554 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 – ???
SELL Zone: 3574 – 3576
SL: 3580
TP: 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ???
📊 MMFLOW TRADING View:
Today’s market context suggests continued correction before ADP/NFP. Sideway accumulation remains dominant in 353x–354x, but a decisive breakout will guide today’s direction.
Where can you buy gold?Hello friends
After the good growth we had, you can see that the price has formed a three drive pattern and this could indicate a price correction to the specified support areas.
Otherwise, if the price breaks the resistance level, we can buy with confirmation in the pullback, of course with capital and risk management.
*Trade safely with us*
Gold Hits New ATH – Is a Bearish Crab Reversal Next?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise today after the release of the
ISM Manufacturing PMI index formed a new All-Time High(ATH) .
The question is what price range could the new ATH price range for gold be in?
Gold is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($3,557-$3,531) .
From a pattern analysis perspective , it looks like Gold is completing a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern . In fact, if we find a trigger at point D of the Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern , we can confirm this pattern.
From an Elliott wave theory perspective , it looks like Gold is completing wave 5 . This wave 5 could act as the end of the main wave 3 .
I expect Gold to drop to at least $3,501 in the coming hours .
Second Target: $3,481
Third Target: Support zone($3,474-$3,466)
Stop Loss (SL) = $3,559(Worst)
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3500.00 With Daily Candle ! and we have a 4H Candle closure above it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3500.00 , and we can targeting 100 to 300 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
3500 is the key, go long when it retracements and stabilizes#XAUUSD
Before the release of NFP data, gold prices continued to rise on the daily chart and remained stable near the upper limit at the morning opening. 🐂The current market is in an extreme situation. Before there is a clear direction, we always maintain a cautious attitude towards buying. Currently, it is near a historical high and the market is bullish. Once you chase high prices easily, it will be more dangerous and you will easily suffer losses.📊
Judging from the 4H chart, since gold rose to 3500, this point has changed from resistance to support.🥅 No matter whether gold continues to rise or fall, it must touch this point to establish a clearer short-term direction. Therefore, we will definitely not participate in the current trading around 3535.⚠️ If we want to participate in the short term, I suggest referring to 3525-3500 and wait for it to stabilize before taking long orders with a small position in batches. Otherwise, there will definitely be risks. The short-term target can be seen at 3550-3560.📈






















