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Xauusdidea

XAUUSD Setup: Key Levels to Watch Before the Next Big Swing1. Chart Type & Indicators Instrument : XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) Timeframe: Likely Daily or 4H (based on structure) Indicators: Zig Zag (5, 10) – Helps visualize swing highs/lows and trend reversals. RSI (14) with signals marked (R for Reversal points). Price: 3,338.34 USD (at the time of the snapshot). 2. Trend Structure (Price Action) Previous High: Around 3,500. Current Price: 3,338, which is down ~4.6% from the recent high. Key Swings: Uptrend from 3,167 → 3,499 (+10.5%). Correction down to 3,120 (-10.8%). Subsequent swings are smaller, showing reduced volatility. Observation: Price is consolidating in a range between 3,250 and 3,450 after a strong rally. ZigZag indicates lower highs and lower lows recently, signaling a mild downtrend. 3. RSI Analysis Current RSI: 45.18 (Neutral zone, slightly bearish bias). Overbought zone (70+) was tested multiple times in the past but failed to hold, causing corrections. Recent green dot (R) indicates possible oversold bounce near 30 RSI in early August. Observation: RSI is not yet bullish, suggesting the price could range or test support before trending up. 4. Key Levels Resistance Zones: 3,450 – 3,500 (major resistance from previous highs). Support Zones: 3,300 – 3,250 (strong demand zone). Below that, 3,120 acts as major support. 5. Volume Higher volumes were observed during the strong rally (March-April). The recent volume is lower, indicating a weakening trend strength. 6. Possible Scenarios Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above 3,450 with strong momentum, it can retest 3,500 and potentially move beyond. Bearish Scenario: If the price falls below 3,300, we could see 3,250 and 3,120 next. 7. Trading Plan Long Position: Only on breakout above 3,450 with volume confirmation (target 3,500–3,600). Short Position : If price closes below 3,300 (target 3,250–3,120). Range Trading: Between 3,300–3,450 (buy dips near 3,300, sell near 3,450). Summary: Market is in sideways consolidation after a strong uptrend. RSI suggests neutral to slightly bearish. Watch for a breakout above 3,450 or a breakdown below 3,300.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by forexinworld
Reverse Head & Shoulders on XAUUSD (CFD)🟢 Reverse Head & Shoulders on XAUUSD (CFD) On the 1H chart, the market has recently completed a five-leg structure, which visually aligns with a reverse head & shoulders pattern: ① Left Shoulder: Formed around 3338 with a local support bounce. ② Minor High: First rejection confirming neckline area. ③ Head: The lowest point near 3320, creating a liquidity sweep below previous lows. ④ Right Shoulder: Retesting neckline after liquidity grab. ⑤ Confirmation: Price rejecting higher lows, aligning with bullish order flow. Key Technical Insights: Neckline Break: A clean break above the descending neckline (around 3348–3350) could validate the pattern. Targets: First target around 3350–3360 (short-term liquidity pool). Extended target near 3410 if bullish momentum continues. Invalidation: A drop back below 3320 would invalidate the structure and open the door for deeper bearish continuation. SMC Context: The head represents a sweep of liquidity beneath prior lows. The right shoulder forms with mitigation and BOS signs, suggesting a possible shift in market structure. If BOS confirms above the neckline, price is likely to fill imbalance zones toward higher liquidity areas. --- 📌 This setup highlights both a classical pattern (reverse H&S) and smart money concepts, merging retail and institutional perspectives for a stronger confirmation bias.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mmozafari1357
XAUUSD:On August 19thOn August 19th, the news was light. The focus was on the meeting between the US and Russia and the phone call between Ukraine and the US president. The specifics of the discussion are unknown, but it seems to have led to some large orders as a safeguard for Ukraine in the future. Market-wise, gold prices remained in a narrow range, seemingly awaiting the interest rate decision. Since the Asian session, gold prices have been hovering between 3330 and 3340, with no significant gains or losses. Trading opportunities are slim. It seems that whether or not this interest rate cut will have a significant impact. Trading-wise, market sentiment is crucial. Selling high is reasonable, at least between today and tomorrow's data update. Also, when trading, it's important to monitor whether the US dollar index continues its downward trend. If so, gold prices could rebound slightly above 3,350 in the short term. If the US dollar index stops falling, the probability of profiting from shorting increases by approximately 30%. The trading strategy at the Swing Trading Center primarily focuses on selling high. Remember to manage risk during trading. Set stop-loss and take-profit targets to prevent sudden, one-sided declines or surges that could wipe out your account.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WIN_Ludvig
Gold in Tight Range | Waiting for the Big BreakOut After FOMC!Gold is currently consolidating within a narrow range, building momentum for a potential major BreakOut. After Monday’s liquidity sweep, price has been moving strongly between 332x – 335x, but on the H1 timeframe it still remains locked in a descending channel. Last week’s CPI & PPI data failed to set a clear direction, which is why this week’s focus will shift to the FOMC meeting. This is expected to deliver the decisive signal for gold’s next big move. ⏳ Early–Mid Week: With fewer major events, gold is likely to continue sideways within the narrow range or remain under mild selling pressure until the FOMC release. 🔑 Key Market Levels Resistance: 3357 – 3369 – 3383 – 3398 Support: 3335 – 3317 – 3309 📌 Trading Setup ✅ BUY Zone: 3334 – 3332 SL: 3328 TP: 3338 – 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 👉 A breakout above 336x could trigger a strong rally towards 3383 – 3398. ✅ SELL Zone: 3383 – 3385 SL: 3390 TP: 3378 – 3374 – 3370 – 3360 – 3350 👉 If gold fails at high resistance and reverses, it could sweep liquidity back to 333x – 331x, and potentially deeper towards 329x. ⚠️ Summary Gold is at a critical decision point: BreakOut or BreakDown. Before FOMC: expect sideways / mild downside inside H1 channel. After FOMC: anticipate a strong Pump or Dump that will set the next trend. 🔥 Watch key levels 333x – 336x – 338x closely for market reactions and adjust strategy accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
2
GOLD: 5:1 R/R Setup - Support Hold Entry vs. Breakout PlayI'm sharing my expectations for Gold's movement this week. 📈 The lower yellow horizontal line shown below is a level that held strong twice last week. 💪 I expect this line to hold one more time, followed by a move up to the upper yellow horizontal line. The upper yellow line represents a zone where price repeatedly formed highs last week. 🔄 My thesis is that we'll likely see a move that sweeps the stop losses from the highs marked by the white circles. ⭕ These short-term stop losses often get triggered before price reverses in the opposite direction — a common market dynamic. 🔄 **📍 Entry Strategies:** 🟢 **Primary Setup**: The cleanest entry would be confirmation that the current price level holds, with the lower yellow horizontal line acting as support. ⚡ **Alternative Setup**: However, depending on how price develops, we might not see a clear role reversal pattern before the upward move begins. In that case, a stop entry above resistance would be preferable. **⚠️ Risk Management:** 🛑 Regardless of entry method, if price breaks below the current low after entry, that's where I'd place my stop loss. When the thesis breaks, you cut the trade — that's my approach, at least. ❌ If we see the current low getting broken with continued downward momentum, the risk-to-reward ratio would deteriorate, and I'd skip the trade entirely. I typically target setups with at least a 5:1 risk-to-reward ratio, though each trader should determine their own minimum threshold. 🎯 📈 **This trade setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 5:1.** Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 16.67%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. 🧠 💡 **Pro Tip**: If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. ✅ --- **Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates. --- *Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hiroyuki-Suzuki
6
XAUUSD – Bulls Fighting BackAs expected and explained in Friday’s analysis, Gold dipped under 3335, and during today's Asian session, opened with a slide to 3323. However, shortly after, bulls stepped in, and in the following 5 hours the price climbed strongly, reaching the important resistance at 3360, before entering a normal correction. At this moment, the correction from 3410 could be complete, and a confirmed break above 3360 would bring the first confirmation for a new bullish leg. Another factor supporting this view is that the resistance of the falling wedge has already been broken to the upside – a constructive technical signal. 📌 Trading Plan: I will look to buy dips, anticipating a break above 3360, with targets toward the 3400 handle. ⚠️ A new local low would temporarily pause this bullish scenario.🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
10
8/18: Gold May Fall Below 3300 This WeekGood evening, everyone! After testing the 3332–3323 key zone today, gold saw its first bullish rebound, pushing price back to the 3352–3358 resistance area. While bulls claimed a small victory here, the broader trend still favors the bears. For a genuine trend reversal, price must hold above 3350 and break through the major daily resistance at 3363. Otherwise, bulls remain under pressure, and as resistance gradually shifts lower over time, a lack of confidence could give bears the chance to drive price below 3300. In this setup, the 3323–3332 support zone is critical for bulls. Holding it keeps the door open for further upside; losing it would turn 3332-3337( 3343–3348 )into a strong resistance area during rebounds. Based on this outlook, the short-term strategy leans bearish. If price drops to 3310–3298 tomorrow, it could be a good opportunity to consider long positions. On rebounds, watch resistance at 3323–3328, with 3316–3321 acting as an additional barrier if bulls remain weak.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
XAUUSD (Gold) 1H – Buy Setup From Key Support ZoneGold has recently pulled back after multiple rejections from the $3,389 – $3,390 resistance zone, showing sellers stepping in. Price is now approaching a key demand area around $3,309, where buyers previously defended aggressively. 📉 If price taps into the $3,309 support zone, we anticipate a strong bullish reaction that could drive price back toward the $3,390 resistance. 🔑 Trade Idea Entry: $3,309 zone (confirmation of bullish rejection) Stop Loss: Below $3,265 Take Profit: $3,389 – $3,390 Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1:3 📊 Technical Breakdown 🔵 Support Zone: $3,309 – Key structure level where bulls defended in the past. 🔵 Resistance Zone: $3,389 – $3,390, strong rejection area marked by multiple failed breakouts. ✅ Bias: Bullish from support to resistance, unless $3,309 breaks. ⚠️ Invalidation: A clean breakdown below $3,265 would flip bias bearish toward $3,200.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FrankAgbo
GOLD UPDATE: From Long TP to Short Entry - Range ContinuationGreat news! This morning's long entry is approaching our take profit target. 🎯✅ **📍 New Setup - Reversal Short:** Now I'm looking to flip the script and go short from our long trade's take profit level. My target for this short position would be back down to this morning's entry point. 📉 **🧠 Market Psychology:** I expect the upper resistance to hold once more, creating another leg of range-bound price action. This type of range continuation is common after strong moves - the market often needs time to consolidate before choosing its next direction. 🔄 **⚠️ Entry Validation:** For the full entry rationale and technical setup details, make sure to check out this morning's post! The same principles apply, just in reverse. 🔄 **📊 Risk Management:** As always, I'll be looking for that same 5:1 risk-to-reward setup. If the range breaks instead of holding, that invalidates the thesis and calls for a quick exit. 🛑 📈 **This trade setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 5:1.** Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 16.67%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. 🧠 💡 **Pro Tip**: If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. ✅ --- **Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates. --- *Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hiroyuki-Suzuki
GOLD For Buy , Clear Closure & Clear Confirmation,200 Pips ClearHere is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we finally above 3345.00 and we have a 4H Candle closure above it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation cuz we have not any 4H closure above this area since this week start , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area or even direct entry now to can use a small stop loss , and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore . Reasons To Enter : 1- Perfect Touch For The Area . 2- Clear Bullish Price Action . 3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A . 4- The Price Take The Last High . 5- Perfect 15 Mins Closure .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Elite_Club
2
XAU/USD: Navigating the Uptrend and Key Support LevelsPrice Structure: Gold has been forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicative of a general uptrend. The chart labels a "high" and a "higher high," confirming this bullish structure. Support and Resistance: Two key support areas are identified: Support area S1: A narrow zone around 3,320 USD. The price recently bounced off this area. Support area S2: A broader, more significant zone around 3,290 USD, which appears to have been a strong support level in the past. Several horizontal resistance levels are marked: Immediate resistance: Around 3,351.231 USD and 3,366.029 USD. Higher resistance: At 3,408.819 USD and 3,438.677 USD. Channels and Trendlines: The price has been moving within a series of ascending channels (highlighted in green rectangles), suggesting a stair-step upward movement. A primary ascending trendline (black line) serves as a long-term support, with the price currently hovering just above it. Recent Price Action and Projections: The price recently broke out of a small downtrend and is showing signs of recovery from the "support area S1." A potential price path is drawn with a red arrow, indicating a possible move towards the immediate resistance levels around 3,351 USD and 3,366 USD. The chart highlights two specific price points, 3,360.604 USD and 3,350.685 USD, which likely represent a short-term trading range or target. Volume: The volume spikes visible at key price points (e.g., at the low on July 30 and during the recent drop) indicate strong market activity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 18, 2025 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn bullish. The current decline has lasted for 5 daily candles – this is often the usual number that completes wave D. Therefore, the current stage is sensitive, and price could reverse upward at any time. However, during such periods, price often sweeps liquidity to the downside first, so caution is required. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is still bearish, suggesting that price may continue falling on Monday. That said, a reversal to the upside on Monday is also possible. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is already in the oversold zone, with the lines sticking together. If price continues to fall at the Asian session open, a gap may appear. In that case, pay close attention to the downside target zones. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: On the daily chart, we can see a completed abcde corrective structure, followed by a strong rally. The current move is a decline, likely forming waves 1 and 2 (green) within the 5-wave structure of the larger wave 5. The latest D1 candle shows a long upper wick, indicating that selling pressure still remains. • H4 timeframe: A 5-wave impulse (12345, black) has formed, which could represent wave 1 (green). Afterward, a 3-wave ABC correction (purple) developed. The market is likely within wave C (purple) at the moment. With H4 momentum still bearish, this supports the scenario that wave C (purple) is continuing. Key downside targets to watch: 3322 and 3298. • H1 timeframe: Within wave C (purple), a 5-wave impulse (12345, black) is unfolding. The market is currently in the late stage of wave 4 and the start of wave 5. Wave 5 will be confirmed if price breaks below 3331. Key downside targets for wave 5: o Target 1: 3322 o Target 2: 3315 o Target 3: 3299 Trading Plan • Scenario 1: o Buy Zone: 3323 – 3321 o SL: 3312 o TP1: 3333 o TP2: 3350 o TP3: 3381 • Scenario 2: o Buy Zone: 3300 – 3298 o SL: 3290 o TP1: 3333 o TP2: 3350 o TP3: 3381
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
technical analysis of the XAUUSDPrice: Around $3,345 currently. Chart Indicators Zig Zag (5, 10): Helps highlight major swing highs and lows. RSI (Relative Strength Index): 14-period with levels at 70 (overbought) and 30 (oversold). Recent Low: Around $3,247 (late July). Lower highs and lower lows indicate short-term bearish trend. Price broke below a minor swing support around $3,380 and is now testing $3,345. Zig Zag Pattern: Suggests corrective moves but overall downward bias after recent top at 3,438. RSI Analysis Recently peaked near 70 (overbought zone) during mid-August high. Currently near 50 (neutral), showing consolidation after a sell-off. Signal: No clear divergence, but bearish momentum eased after recent drop. Key Support & Resistance Support Levels: $3,320–3,330: Near-term support zone. $3,247: Major previous swing low (strong support). Resistance Levels: $3,380–3,400: Immediate resistance (recent broken support). $3,438: Last swing high (strong resistance). Volume Analysis Downward move from $3,438 to $3,345 happened with moderate volume, suggesting steady selling pressure but not a panic drop. Possible Scenarios Bullish Scenario (Reversal or Pullback) Price needs to hold above $3,330 and break $3,380 to target $3,420–3,438. RSI moving above 60 would strengthen bullish momentum. Bearish Scenario (Continuation) If price breaks below $3,330, next target is $3,300, then $3,247. RSI dropping toward 30 would confirm strong bearish momentum. Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice) For Bulls: Wait for a break & close above $3,380 for a potential long entry. For Bears: Watch for a break below $3,330 for a potential short toward $3,247. Stop-loss: Use nearby swing highs/lows for risk management. Overall Sentiment: Currently neutral to slightly bearish, as price is below key resistance and forming lower highs.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by forexinworld
XAU/USD (Gold CFD) – Weekly Opening Outlook | SMC Perspective# 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold CFD) – Weekly Opening Outlook | SMC Perspective **Date:** 2025/08/17 **Timeframe:** 45M (Heikin Ashi) **Methodology:** Smart Money Concept (SMC) --- ## 📊 Market Context Gold closed the previous week under heavy liquidity grabs after multiple **CHOCH** and **BOS** structures. The current market is positioned around **3,335**, balancing between two potential phases: 1. **Phase 1 (Bullish Recovery)** 2. **Phase 2 (Bearish Continuation)** Both phases are mapped on the chart with clear structural references. --- ## 🔵 Forecast Phase 1 – Bullish Scenario 1. **Key Levels:** - **Immediate Demand Zone:** 3,330 – 3,335 - **Equilibrium Reaction Zone:** 3,350 – 3,360 - **Liquidity Pool:** 3,380 – 3,390 2. **Conditions for Validation:** - Price must hold the **discount demand zone** (PDI). - A strong **CHOCH → BOS** sequence from current level. - Break and close above **3,350 equilibrium**. 3. **Expected Move:** - Push towards **previous PDH** and sweep above **3,370 – 3,380**. - Potential continuation into **EQH (3,390 – 3,400)** liquidity zone. 4. **Targets:** - 🎯 TP1: **3,350** (equilibrium retest) - 🎯 TP2: **3,370 – 3,380** - 🎯 TP3: **3,390 – 3,400** (EQH / liquidity sweep) 5. **Invalidation:** - Closing candles below **3,330 demand zone** will weaken bullish outlook. --- ## 🔴 Forecast Phase 2 – Bearish Scenario 1. **Key Levels:** - **Discount Zone:** 3,320 – 3,325 - **Major Demand Zone:** 3,300 – 3,280 - **Extended Liquidity Pool:** 3,260 – 3,250 2. **Conditions for Validation:** - Failure to hold above **3,335 – 3,330**. - Clear rejection at equilibrium levels (**3,350 – 3,360**). - A new **BOS** towards the downside. 3. **Expected Move:** - Market could unfold in 5-leg structure (as shown on chart: ① → ⑤). - First rejection around **3,335 – 3,340**, followed by extension towards **3,310 – 3,280**. - Final liquidity sweep possible into **3,260 – 3,250 zone**. 4. **Targets:** - 🎯 TP1: **3,320 – 3,325** - 🎯 TP2: **3,300 – 3,280** - 🎯 TP3: **3,260 – 3,250** 5. **Invalidation:** - A confirmed **bullish CHOCH** above **3,350 equilibrium** invalidates the bearish scenario. --- ## ⚖️ Summary - **Phase 1 (Bullish):** Possible rebound from current demand towards **3,390 – 3,400** liquidity. - **Phase 2 (Bearish):** Failure at equilibrium may trigger deeper continuation into **3,280 – 3,250 demand**. Traders should monitor **CHOCH / BOS confirmations** closely before positioning. --- #XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #CHOCH #BOS #Liquidity #FVG #TradingView
TVC:GOLD
by mmozafari1357
Gold balances on a fine line: growth or correction?Following the release of soft US inflation data, gold is consolidating in the $3,250–$3,450 range, holding above key support. A weak dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut are supporting bulls, but locally the price has hit a resistance zone. Bullish: Fixing above $3450 → target $3500, then $3550–$3600. Breakthrough of $3500 will increase momentum to $3650+. Bearish: Breakthrough below $3250 → decline to $3200, with increasing pressure — to $3100. 📊 Indicators (D1) RSI (14): ~43 — neutral, not overbought MACD: in the negative zone — signal of a possible correction SMA50/100/200: price slightly below average, indicating a pause in growth
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trade_Hive_Signals