Xauusdidea
GOLD At Perfect Place For Sell Now , 200 Pips Waiting !Here is My 15 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we again Below 4050.00 With 4H Candle and the price come back to retest it ! and we have a 4H Candle closure below it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can sell now ! and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure above this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A .
4- Over Bought .
5- Perfect 30 Mins Closure .
XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action Analysis: Trendline Retest & PotentiCurrent Market Structure & Key Observations
Previous Trend: The chart shows a strong uptrend from late October, peaking around November 14th at approximately $4,400. This peak marked a significant reversal.
Correction/Reversal: Since the peak, the price has undergone a sharp downward correction or potential reversal.
Trendline Interaction: The price has recently fallen to and is currently interacting with a major long-term ascending trendline (the solid black line).
Current Price: The price is hovering right at the trendline, indicated by the dashed pink line at approximately $4,034.
Analysis of the Projected Path (Red Lines)
The red lines drawn on the chart suggest a specific bearish scenario:
Trendline Break and Retest: The price is shown to break below the ascending trendline. This is a critical technical signal, often indicating the end of the uptrend and the start of a downtrend.
Pullback/Retest: The price then executes a pullback back up to the broken trendline (now acting as a resistance level). The projected high for this pullback is around $4,060.
Bearish Continuation: After failing to break back above the trendline, the price is projected to continue its decline, heading towards the area of $3,900 and then possibly $3,850 in the following days.
Potential Scenarios (Alternative View)
While the red lines illustrate a clear bearish path, it's important to consider an alternative:
Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (As Projected)
Action: If the price confirms a breakout below the trendline (closes below it on multiple candles), the trendline turns into resistance.
Target: The focus shifts to lower support levels, with initial targets around $3,900 - $3,850. This confirms the end of the recent uptrend.
Scenario 2: Trendline Hold/Bounce
Action: If the trendline acts as strong support and the price fails to close significantly below it, it could lead to a bounce.
Target: A bounce would target the previous swing high before the major drop, potentially aiming back toward $4,150. This would maintain the longer-term bullish structure.
ANFIBO | Gold XAUUSD - In a Bearish structure yet? [11.18.2025]I'm Anfibo, Here's my XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan ;)
Overall Picture:
OANDA:XAUUSD has officially broken its bullish structure, confirming a shift in market sentiment and signaling that the upward momentum has cooled off. With the H1 trendline decisively breached, we now transition from a “buy-the-dip” mindset to a sell-the-rally strategy. The nearest resistance sits at 4058, a strong confluence zone where multiple technical barriers align. If price pushes beyond this level, the next supply areas to watch are 4104 and 4146 — regions likely to act as retests of the broken trend, providing high-probability opportunities for continuation sells. The overall expectation for today is further downside movement as long as gold remains below these resistance zones.
Given the current structure, the market is presenting a classic post-breakdown setup, where rallies into resistance should be treated as opportunities to position for the next leg down. As long as gold remains capped below these key supply zones, the medium-term outlook remains bearish with targets toward the psychological level of 4000 and deeper.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
(1) ENTRY: 4055 – 4060
SL: 4075
TP: 4000 – 3950 – 3920
(2) ENTRY: 4100 – 4110
SL: 4120
TP: 4000 – 3970
Risk Management:
Prioritize sell setups only, as the bullish structure is no longer valid.
Keep stops tight above resistance zones to avoid false breakouts.
Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 on all entries.
Avoid buying unless the market reclaims and stabilizes above 4146 with strong momentum.
Conclusion:
With the break of the upward structure, gold has transitioned into a bearish phase. We will stay patient and sell into rallies, especially near the strong resistance clusters at 4058, 4104, and 4146. As long as price remains below these levels, the path of least resistance continues downward toward the 4000 and 3950 targets. Stick to the plan, trust the structure, and let the market flow in our favor.
HAVE A SWEET PROFIT DAY, GUYS!
XAUUSD 30m – EW Long SetupHi fellow traders,
On the 30m XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a potential long setup. Price is forming a clean substructure within the larger wave 5 on the higher timeframe. After completing a corrective move, price is stabilizing above the invalidation level and showing early bullish momentum, suggesting continuation within the internal wave sequence.
I am entering at the current price, with a Stop Loss at 4030.15 and an invalidation level at 4004.72. My Take Profit is set at 4272.15, targeting the next internal wave objective — not the completion of the full higher-degree wave 5.
If price drops below the invalidation level, this substructure count is no longer valid.
Good luck and trade safe!
gold await breakout to buy or sell#XAUUSD price have multi decline and price have formed range below and above, now if the price decline or failed to close above 4097 then price is still bearish.
Entry at 4090 2 times breakout, target 4111-4145, SL 4074
Below the 4072 holds sell continuation, target 4030-20. Price failing to close above 4097-4107 then bearish is still strong
XAUUSD Bearish Breakout Setup from Ascending Triangle Retest1. Market Structure
The chart shows a strong downtrend, followed by a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside.
After BOS, price formed a corrective ascending structure (an ascending triangle / rising wedge).
2. Current Pattern
Price is moving upward in a corrective manner, showing lower bullish strength.
The ascending trendline is acting as temporary support.
The horizontal resistance at the top of the triangle reflects slowing bullish momentum.
3. Short Entry Logic
The marked point (yellow circle) shows price tapping the ascending trendline.
The red arrow indicates entry short, expecting a breakdown from this rising structure.
This matches the logic:
✔ Downtrend
✔ BOS
✔ Weak bullish correction
✔ Short at trendline retest before a bearish continuation
4. Target Expectation
The “TARGET” label points upward, but based on context this seems contradictory.
Given BOS and corrective rise, the logical target is downward, toward previous liquidity levels or lows.
The triangle breakout normally aligns with continuation of the previous trend, which is bearish.
5. Trade Bias
Bias: Bearish
Reason: Structural break + corrective pullback + rising wedge = continuation pattern.
6. Risk Considerations
Stop-loss usually goes above the most recent swing high inside the correction.
Watch for any strong bullish candle breaking above the ascending structure — that invalidates the setup.
XAU/USD (Gold) 1H: Bearish Continuation Setup after BOSKey Observations and Market Structure
Previous Trend: The price experienced a significant downtrend following a peak around $4,180 to $4,200.
Break of Structure (BOS): A clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside confirms the shift from a potential uptrend/consolidation to a bearish trend continuation, with a key low being broken around $4,140.
Current Price Action and Consolidation: After the sharp drop, the price has entered a period of consolidation or short-term reversal attempt, currently trading around $4,087.53.
Identified Trading Range: The analyst has marked a specific Contraction Range (CRT) with a High (CRT-H) around the $4,140 level (the broken BOS level) and a Low (CRT-L) around the $4,075 level. This range defines the immediate trading boundaries.
Supply/Resistance Zone: A grey rectangular box is highlighted just below the CRT-H, approximately between $4,100 and $4,110. This zone likely represents a supply/resistance area (e.g., an Order Block or liquidity zone) where the price might react.
Trading Hypothesis (Based on Annotations)
The arrows and markings suggest a bearish setup within the context of the larger downtrend:
Anticipated Move Up (Liquidity Grab/Re-test): The first upward arrow indicates an expectation for the price to move up, possibly into the marked supply zone ($4,100-$4,110) or even toward the CRT-H ($4,140). This would be a move to fill inefficiencies, re-test the broken structure, or capture liquidity (a pullback).
Anticipated Move Down (Continuation): The curved arrow suggests that once the price reaches the supply zone/CRT-H, it is expected to reverse and continue the larger downtrend, aiming for levels below the CRT-L, potentially targeting $4,040 or lower.
The analysis appears to be using a Smart Money Concept (SMC) approach, focusing on market structure, liquidity, and supply/demand zones for short-term entry points (e.g., selling near the supply zone/BOS level).
GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 500 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 15 Mins T.F , We have a Good movement since Last 2 weeks , and we have a range now for 1 Week started between 4050.00 to 4099.00 so we can buy and sell Gold This Week from 2 areas , 4050.00 will be the best place for Buy and range between 4095.00 to 4099.00 will be the best place for Sell , now the price very near selling area so we can wait the price to retest the res area and then enter a sell trade and targeting 4050.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bullish P.A , we can enter a buy trade and targeting 4099.00 , It`s All Depend On Price action , if we have a daily closure below our support then the price will go down more and more after huge movement to upside .
Entry Reasons :
1- Highest Level The Price Touch It
2- Broken Res
3- New Support Created .
4- Clear Price Action .
5- Clear Support & Res .
6- Price Range Cleared .
XAU/USD TRADING PLAN 11/17/20251️⃣ CONTEXT
Last Friday saw a drop of ~200 points → confirming strong selling pressure.
Today, there are no major news releases, potential movement:
Wide sideways 4030–4120
Sell bias (prioritize selling at high zones)
The major trend remains in a downward channel, with rebounds mainly for unloading.
2️⃣ GENERAL RULES
SL: 10 points for all trades
TP: 10 points for all trades
3️⃣ MAIN SELL ZONES
4120–4125
4146–4148
4160–4165
4182–4185
4210–4215 (strongest resistance of the day)
4️⃣ BUY ZONES (FOR REBOUND)
4056–4050
4033–4030
3996–3994
3966
3888
5️⃣ SUMMARY
Bias: Sideways → prioritize Sell.
Sell at resistance zones, Buy at strong support zones.
SL/TP adjusted according to RR ratio 1:1, 1:2
Pay attention to appropriate volume
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 3, November)
1. Momentum
W1 Timeframe
W1 momentum is preparing to turn upward. This suggests that within 1–2 weeks, weekly momentum may reverse, potentially starting a medium-term bullish phase lasting 4–5 weeks. It also signals that the current bearish trend may weaken next week.
D1 Timeframe
D1 momentum has already turned downward, so the primary expectation for next week remains bearish.
H4 Timeframe
H4 momentum is turning upward, meaning that on Monday we may see a corrective bounce or sideways movement before the downtrend resumes.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure – W1
Price is still in a corrective phase, likely forming wave 4 of the larger cycle.
This wave count remains valid as long as price closes above 3746.
If price closes below 3746, the entire structure must be reassessed.
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3. Wave Structure – D1
Wave 4 is unfolding as a W–X–Y (purple) combination.
Friday’s strong decline confirms that D1 momentum has reversed downward, suggesting that purple wave X is complete and price is now developing purple wave Y.
Targets for Wave Y (purple):
• Target 1: Equal to wave W → 3746
• Target 2: 1.618 × W, a very deep zone
o If price reaches this deeper zone, the structure may no longer represent yellow wave 4, and the count must be re-evaluated.
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4. Wave Structure – H4
With Friday’s sharp decline, waves (1) and (2) in blue are temporarily labeled.
The decline is steep, clean, and non-overlapping — all characteristics of a 5-wave impulsive structure, supporting the expectation that purple wave Y will also unfold as a 5-wave decline rather than a triangle. Further confirmation is needed next week.
Given the target at 3746, wave (3) is expected to extend. The current pullback remains valid as long as price does not exceed 4211, which still fits as wave 2 within wave (3).
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5. Monday Pullback Zones
H4 momentum indicates a likely bullish correction early next week. Two key resistance zones:
Zone 1 – 4096
“This zone aligns with the 0.382 retracement from blue wave (2) to the current low at 4046. It is also an ideal wave (4) zone if price peaks here before continuing downward.”
Zone 2 – 4145
“This level corresponds to the previous wave (1) in blue. If price reaches this zone, the pullback may represent wave 2 within wave (3). I will update this scenario in more detail on Monday.”
________________________________________
6. Conclusion
The main trend remains bearish.
I expect price to reach the 3746 target for purple wave Y next week, aligning with the projected timing shown by the two vertical blue lines on the H4 chart, while D1 momentum moves into oversold territory.
When price reaches this zone and W1 momentum fully turns upward, it may signal the beginning of a new medium-term bullish trend.
XAU/USD Market Outlook — Bullish Move From 4,058.36 ZoneGold has retraced into a major demand zone around 4,058.36, where price has shown the first signs of bullish reaction after clearing liquidity below previous lows. This zone aligns with a prior accumulation block and serves as the origin of the last major bullish swing.
As long as price holds above this level, I expect a bullish continuation toward the upper liquidity region, with targets around 4,244.86, and ultimately the major high at 4,381.73.
My stop loss is positioned at 3,887.60, below the deeper demand zone and previous structural low, ensuring safety from intraday volatility while maintaining the bullish structure.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
BTCUSD 45m – Pennant Breakout Setup Toward 100k Target1. Pattern Formation: Bullish Pennant
The chart shows a pennant, formed after a sharp downward move followed by price compression.
The upper trendline is descending, the lower trendline ascending, converging into a tightening triangle.
This is typically a continuation pattern, but because the preceding move was downward, traders will often wait for confirmation from the breakout direction.
2. Breakout Attempt
The price is breaking slightly above the upper trendline, marked as ENTRY.
This suggests a potential bullish breakout, but:
The breakout candle is still small.
Ideally, you’d want volume confirmation (not shown in the image).
3. Stop-Loss Placement
The STOP LOSS is placed safely under:
The lower pennant trendline
Recent consolidation lows
This gives a logical invalidation level—if price drops below this, the breakout has failed.
4. Target Projection
The target of $100,006 is consistent with a measured move calculation:
Height of the initial impulse (the pole)
Added to the breakout point
On your chart, the projected move equals about +10%, also labeled on the right.
5. Risk–Reward
The setup shows good R:R, since:
Stop-loss is close
Target is distant
However, pennants can generate fakeouts, so caution is warranted.
6. Market Context (from the chart only)
Current price around $95,984.
The overall trend in the 45-minute view appears mixed:
Strong drop earlier
Stabilization
Compression
The breakout direction will determine the next phase.
XAU/USD Key Support Test & Probable Trend ReversalTrend Duration Analysis
From the Trend Duration markings:
Recent Trend Durations Noted
Previous uptrend: 21 candles
Prior downtrend: 10 candles
Earlier uptrend: 37 candles
Your indicator suggests the probable length of the current downtrend may also approximate 21 candles, similar to the previous major cycle.
Right now, the downtrend is in early stages and may continue slightly lower into your SUPPORT LEVEL before reversing.
3. Key Levels (from chart)
Support Zone
4,035 – 4,000 (largest highlighted accumulation zone)
This is the critical support on the chart. Price has touched the upper area already.
Secondary Demand Zones
3,980
3,950
3,900
These represent deeper liquidity pockets if the support breaks.
Upside Targets After Reversal
Based on your projection lines:
4,150
4,200
4,300
4,350+ (max extension on dotted projections)
These levels match the Fibonacci-style structure visible on the right side.
4. Price Structure Analysis
✔ Bullish structure before drop
Price formed a strong 37-candle trend up, creating a higher high.
✔ Sharp correction now
The drop into support appears to be a classic liquidity sweep before a trend continuation.
✔ Support Reaction Expected
Your chart clearly shows the expected bounce path marked with a blue dotted diagonal.
If the support holds, we are likely to see:
A higher low formation
Trend reversal back into the projected targets
5. Probable Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Scenario (High probability)
If price holds above 4,035 – 4,000, expect:
Trend reversal up
Recovery into 4,150 → 4,200 → 4,300
A full potential extension toward 4,350 – 4,400
This matches the indicator’s “Probable Length” of the next uptrend.
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Low probability but possible)
If price breaks below 3,980, then:
Market will target 3,950 and 3,900 demand
Trend duration may extend beyond the predicted cycle
But the chart suggests this is a less likely path.
6. Final Summary
Gold is now in a bullish accumulation zone.
Current downtrend is likely near completion (based on the 21-candle forecast).
Support at 4,035 – 4,000 is the critical pivot zone.
A bullish reversal toward 4,200–4,350 is the most probable move if support holds.
Your chart essentially forecasts a buy-the-dip setup with upward continuation. CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NYMEX:CL1! CME:BTC1! COMEX:SI1! CME_MINI:RTY1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
XAUUSD started bull move on ending shutdown!with US G.shutdown ending GOLD dropped to weekly support int his long term uptrending market structure, with multiple liquidity sweep on this support, XAUUSD gain new momentum for new higher high?
As currently weekly price action is just potential beginnign of a new impulse after back to 3 weeks of pullback giving GOLD a very high probability of continue to rise up to current weekly high.
Running GOLD buy up 400 pip looking at closing 820 pip or beyond!
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 14/11/20251. Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
Daily momentum is showing clearer signs of reversal. We need to wait for today’s close for confirmation. If D1 momentum truly reverses, I expect a strong bearish move next week.
H4 Timeframe:
H4 momentum is preparing to turn upward, so a short-term bullish move may appear on this timeframe.
H1 Timeframe:
H1 momentum is getting ready to reverse downward, so I expect a decline from the current H1 structure.
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2. Wave Structure
D1 Wave Structure
Price is still forming wave X. Yesterday’s D1 candle was bearish but not very strong. Today, we want to see another strong bearish candle to further confirm the possibility of a new decline on the daily timeframe. For now, we continue to observe today’s market reaction.
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H4 Wave Structure
On the H4 chart, we’re seeing two strong bullish candles, which is not what we want to see if the market is forming a top. A proper top should show strong downward momentum, while the pullback should appear as short-bodied candles.
We now wait for the upward reversal of H4 momentum:
• If price breaks above the high, it suggests the current high is not the real top but only a temporary corrective move, and the market may form a new higher high.
• If price does not break the high, then once H4 momentum reverses downward, we can expect a stronger and deeper decline.
(This section keeps your original meaning exactly, with smoother wording.)
________________________________________
H1 Wave Structure
The recent decline resembles a clear 3-wave structure, creating three possible scenarios:
3 Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Correction Completed
If the recent decline is a completed 3-wave structure, the correction may already be over. Combined with H4 momentum preparing to rise, price may form a new high once H4 enters overbought territory.
________________________________________
Scenario 2 – Wave A of a Flat or Triangle
If the decline is only wave A, then a larger Flat or Triangle correction may be forming.
• Price may revisit 4248 when H4 momentum reaches overbought.
• After that, price may decline again but not deeply:
o Flat: drop toward 4145 (wave A low).
o Triangle: a shallower drop.
• After completing this correction, price will begin a new upward swing.
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Scenario 3 – Beginning of a 5-Wave Decline
If the previous drop was wave 1 of a 5-wave bearish sequence:
• The current rise is wave 2, meaning price must not break 4248.
• When H4 reaches overbought and consolidates below the peak, price may drop sharply into wave 3.
• Another possibility: H4 and H1 momentum “stick together”; once H1 reverses downward, price may fall aggressively — a typical wave 3 characteristic.
________________________________________
4. Overall Bias
While multiple scenarios are listed for monitoring,
our primary expectation remains bearish, based on signals observed over the past several days.
________________________________________
🎯 5. Trading Plan
Sell Zone: 4211 – 4213
SL: 4231
TP1: 4145
TP2: 4096
TP3: 4046
XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zone & Bullish Channel Projection (45-1. Price Action Context
Gold (XAUUSD) has been in a short-term downtrend, shown by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Price is currently trading around 4113 after a sharp drop.
2. Key Zone: RESISTANCE Turned SUPPORT
The highlighted red zone around 4081 – 4103 is marked as a major support / demand zone.
This appears to be a level where buyers are expected to step in.
The squiggly black arrows indicate a possible liquidity grab or fake breakout before the true move begins.
3. Projected Bullish Recovery
The gray vertical projection box and upward channel lines suggest the author expects:
A bounce from the 4081–4103 support
A move up through the channel
A potential target around 4220, which aligns with the upper boundary of the projected ascending channel.
4. Trend Channel
A rising channel has been plotted, projecting the potential direction over the next sessions.
Price bouncing inside the lower area of the channel suggests:
The down move might be ending
Momentum could shift toward a bullish correction or even a trend reversal
5. Key Levels Highlighted
Support zone:
4,081.888
4,103.142
Bullish target:
4,220.041
These levels are visually marked and consistent with a reversal strategy.
🧭 Overall Interpretation
This chart proposes a bullish reversal setup, with traders watching for:
A potential liquidity sweep at the support zone
A bounce and consolidation
A climb toward the upper channel area, with 4220 as a projected target
This is a counter-trend reversal idea, so confirmation would be crucial (rejection wicks, bullish candle structures, RSI turning up, etc.).
XAUUSD: 4H Order Block Re-test for LongKey Zone Identified: The 4H / OB (4-Hour Order Block):
An Order Block (OB) is a specific candlestick or candle group that market participants use to identify where large institutional orders were likely placed before a significant move. In this case, it appears to be a bullish order block identified on the 4-hour timeframe, which suggests strong institutional demand in that price range.
The price is currently re-entering this identified grey rectangular zone (the 4H / OB) near the 4,120.00 to 4,145.00 area (based on the price scale).
'X' Label: The label 'X' likely denotes a previous Swing High or a Break of Structure (BOS) point that the initial upward move surpassed, confirming bullish momentum.
The Trading Idea (Indicated by Arrows):
The setup anticipates a buy (long) trade to be initiated from within or around the 4H / OB zone.
The price is expected to bounce off this strong support area.
The projected move is an upward rally targeting the level marked as Target around the 4,180.00 price level.






















