Gold Maintains Weekly Bullish Structure Amid PullbackGold Weekly Technical Outlook
Gold (XAU/USD) remains in a clear bullish trend on the weekly chart, currently trading around $3,230. After marking a new high, price action suggests a potential pullback—a healthy retracement that could set the stage for further gains.
Key Levels to Watch:
Current Price: $3,230
Retracement Zone:
First support at $3,100, a recent consolidation level
Deeper support between $2,950 – $2,900, aligned with prior breakout structure and strong demand from earlier in the trend
These levels are key for a potential bounce, as they mark high-probability zones for buyers to re-enter the market.
Upside Targets:
Short-term resistance: $3,280
Primary target (by mid-May): $3,400
This level aligns with the projected extension of the ascending structure and continuation of bullish momentum
Technical Outlook:
As long as gold holds above $2,900, the weekly bullish trend remains intact. A rebound from the retracement zone would likely lead to a renewed rally targeting the $3,400 region.
Xauusdidea
XAUUSD buy zone in 1h break of structureLast 3 days of past week XAUUSD had a strong uptrend with bullish momentum. From 1h perspective we have seen price had a bounce, and there is no significant break of structure on the lower timeframe, which means, as with the new market open, any break of structure is an opportunity to go long. Expecting to test the previous swing low is a zone where we can look for for potential entry to ride the trend.
Will wait for price action confirmation on market opening.
Gold Market Insight: Impact of U.S.-China Trade DevelopmentsGold has been consolidating within a rising wedge pattern since September 2023, facing resistance along a key trendline. Recent geopolitical developments, particularly the intensifying U.S.-China trade tensions, have acted as a catalyst for a significant breakout. The imposition of a 145% tariff on Chinese imports by the U.S., followed by China's retaliatory 125% tariff on U.S. goods, has heightened market uncertainties. These actions have led to a surge in safe-haven demand, propelling gold prices to record highs above $3,200 per ounce
In the past three trading sessions, gold has advanced over 2,500 pips, reflecting strong bullish momentum. However, to sustain this upward trajectory towards the $3,400 level, a period of consolidation or a corrective pullback may be necessary. Such a phase would allow for the absorption of selling pressure and the liquidation of short positions, providing a foundation for further gains.
The current market dynamics suggest that while buyers are in control, the presence of residual selling interest necessitates caution. A decisive breach above recent highs, accompanied by increased volume and momentum, would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend.\
Should the U.S. implement further tariff relaxations, particularly in sectors like technology, we may witness a retracement in gold prices towards the $3,000 level. This zone aligns with multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) identified between $2,990 and $3,000, suggesting a potential area for price stabilization. Such policy shifts could alleviate some market uncertainties, reducing the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Conversely, if trade negotiations between the U.S. and China remain stalled or further deteriorate, gold could resume its upward momentum, potentially targeting the $3,400 mark. This scenario would be driven by continued safe-haven demand amid escalating geopolitical uncertainties.
In summary, gold's near-term movements are contingent upon the progression of U.S.-China trade discussions. Traders should monitor these developments closely, as they will likely dictate gold's direction in the coming sessions.
Gold's main rise is not over yet, long is still the core strategHeading into next week, we maintain a bullish medium-term outlook on gold, with a continued preference for trend-following long positions.
Although short-term bearish attempts persist, the broader upward structure remains intact, with pullbacks presenting tactical buying opportunities.
Key support is observed around $3,200/oz, which serves as a strategic level for initiating low-risk long entries within the ongoing uptrend.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Daily Analysis📈 XAUUSD Daily Analysis – 12/04/2025
🔥 Strong bullish move after a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) and liquidity grab below the Previous Daily Low.
📉 A significant Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains between 3,100,000 and 3,175,000 – a potential pullback zone.
📍 Price could revisit this FVG before continuing the bullish momentum towards 3,300,000+.
🔹 PDL = Previous Daily Low
🔴 BAG = Breakaway Gap
🧠 Patience is key – wait for price reaction in the zone of interest.
📌 For educational purposes only – not financial advice.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments ⬇️
🔁 Like if you found this helpful!
XAUUSD Weekly Forecast: Probable Price Range and Trade PlanAs of April 12, 2025, gold (XAU/USD) has experienced significant volatility, reaching record highs amid global economic uncertainties. Here's an analysis based on the latest data:
📅 Economic Calendar Highlights (April 2025)
Key upcoming events that could influence gold prices include:
April 15: U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release
April 17: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
April 18: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
📈 XAU/USD Technical Overview
Trend & Momentum: Current Price: Approximately $3,236.21 per ounce.
Trend: Strong uptrend, with prices surging past the critical $3,200 mark.
RSI (14): 64.826 – approaching overbought territory, suggesting strong buying pressure.
MACD (12,26): Positive value of 21.21 – indicating bullish momentum.
ADX (14): 33.482 – confirming a strong trend.
Moving Averages: All major moving averages (MA5 to MA200) are signaling a 'Buy,' reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $3,245.69 – recent intraday high.
Next Resistance Target: $3,300 – as projected by analysts amid ongoing market dynamics.
Immediate Support: $3,174.14 – recent intraday low.
Key Support Levels: $3,048 and $2,953 – potential pullback zones if a correction occurs.
Candlestick Patterns:
A “shooting star” pattern has emerged, which may signal a short-term reversal or consolidation phase.
Price Projection for April 14–18, 2025
Considering the current technical indicators and market conditions:
Projected Minimum Price: $3,180 – accounting for potential short-term corrections.
Projected Maximum Price: $3,280 – if bullish momentum continues without significant resistance.
XAUUSD will it break through 3200?At present, the price of gold is just one step away from its all-time high. Will it break through to a new high?
3,168 is a strong resistance point. Once this level is broken through, gold may have a chance to surpass the 3,200 mark.
Leave your opinions in the comments, and let's discuss them together.
Gold Shows Downward Correction, Short Strategy Timely EnteredIn the previous trading signal, it was advised to take profits around $3235. Based on the latest market analysis, gold prices are expected to experience a downward correction. Therefore, it is recommended to open short positions around $3230. Investors should closely monitor market trends and adjust stop-profit levels in response to price fluctuations to secure profits. Please remain flexible and responsive to market changes, capturing every trading opportunity with precision.
Gold Prices Decline, Short Strategy Successfully Captures ProfitCurrently, gold prices are showing a clear bearish trend, previously fluctuating around $3240. Based on market predictions, there is a potential for further downward movement in gold. A short position was suggested around the $3240 level, and as the market corrected, gold prices have indeed dropped, allowing short-positioned investors to lock in profits. Congratulations to those who successfully capitalized on this short opportunity and secured gains. Stay alert to market developments and carefully adjust your stop-profit levels to ensure the stability of your returns.
Gold's safe-haven demand surgesThis week, concerns over a global economic slowdown have swept across Wall Street, becoming the dominant market sentiment. In this context, U.S. President Trump's erratic messaging on tariff policies has triggered a panic sell-off in U.S. stocks, bonds, and the dollar, highlighting gold's position as a safe-haven asset. Gold prices have surged sharply, breaking through all previous resistance levels and maintaining an upward trend. Given the ongoing risk-off sentiment, the bullish momentum in gold remains strong, and the market may continue to trend higher in the near term.
In this market environment, it is recommended that investors take long positions near $3220 and consider taking profits around $3230 to fully capitalize on the current uptrend in gold. For additional trading signals, Please stay tuned.
Gold Breaks $3240, Shorting Opportunity EmergesGold prices have now surged to around $3240, continuing the recent strong upward momentum. Based on the previous trading signal, a long position at $3220 was suggested; however, due to the high volatility, many investors may have missed the opportunity to go long at that level. At this point, with prices approaching $3240, it may be an opportune time to establish short positions, with a target profit around $3225. Please note that this is just personal advice, and actual trading decisions should be made with attention to changes in key price levels.
XAU/USD 11 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per my analysis dated 04 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high and printing bullish iBOS.
We currently do not have an indication of bearish pullback phase initiation. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH.
It is possible for price to potentially print higher highs in order to reposition CHoCH closer to current price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I will continue to monitor internal structure following the printing of a bearish CHoCH.
Price has continued higher without a meaningful pullback, therefore, I will not classify previous iBOS, which is marked in red, as a bullish iBOS.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU 1M Gold price formation history and future expectationsGold , or as denote the main trading pair XAUUSD , has been gaining a lot of attention around itself in recent years.
As soon as major analysts or hedge fund top-managers begin to say that the next crisis is near, investors immediately start buying gold as a defensive asset, and its price, accordingly, goes up.
Let's walk a little through the history of the Gold price.
We finished drawing the graph, to what exists on tradingview.com, based on the data that is freely available.
1) In 1933, to overcome the crisis after the "Great Depression", US President Roosevelt issued a decree on the confiscation of gold from the population. The price for an ounce of gold is set at $20.66.
2) In 1971, a real rise in the value of gold begins. After decoupling the US dollar rate from the "gold standard", which regulated the cost of 1 troy ounce of gold at $35 for a long period from 1934 to August 1971.
3) 1973 - "The First Oil Crisis" and the rise in the value of gold from $35 to $180 - as the main anti-crisis instrument, a means of hedging investment risks.
4) 1979-1980 Islamic Revolution in Iran (Second Energy Crisis). The cost of gold, as the main protective asset, in a short period of time grows more than 8 times and sets a maximum at around $850
5) During 1998-2000, the world swept through: the "Asian economic crisis", defaults in a number of countries, and the cherry on the cake - the "Dotcom Bubble". During this period, the price of gold was twice aggressively bought out by investors, from the level of $250. It was a clear signal - there will be no lower, next, only growth!
6) And so it happened, from 2001 to 2011 there was an increase in the value of gold from $250 to $1921 . Even the mortgage crisis of 2008 could not break the growth trend, but only acted as a trigger for a 30% price correction.
Looking at the XAUUSD chart now, one can assume that large investors were actively buying gold in the $1050-1350 range during 2013-2019.
It is hard to believe that investors who have been gaining long positions for 6 years will be satisfied with such a small period of growth in 2019-2020.
For ourselves, we establish a Gold purchase zone in the range of $1527-1600 per troy ounce, from where we expect the growth trend to continue to the $3180-3350 region
What are your views on the future price of gold? Share them in the comments!