Xauusdidea
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 09.09.2025 ???Currently, gold is moving within a clearly defined upward trend channel. Our strategy for today should focus on monitoring key resistance and support zones in order to identify potential entry points for both scalp trades and swing trades. The levels I consider noteworthy are as follows:
>> SELL SCALP: 3650 - 3660, SL 3670, TP 3600
>> BUY SCALP: 3598 - 3603, SL 3595, TP 3680 - 3690
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3680 - 3690 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3680 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Have fun!!!
Gold - Buy or Sell this week??? (08-12/09)With the sustained accumulation over the past five months, gold has experienced a strong breakout from the $3,300 sideways range and reached a new all-time high around $3,600. The upward trend is clearly established. Therefore, we can consider buying and selling at the following price levels:
>>> SELL ZONE: 3684 - 3679
SL: 3689
TP: 3618 - 3596 - 3578 - 3565 - 3515
>>> BUY ZONE: 3560 - 3570
SL: 3550
TP: 3618 - 3678
Have a good day. Good luck buddies! :)
Gold Breaks $3,600/oz: Fed Rate Cut Hype & Trading Setups!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) soared past $3,600/oz for the first time on Monday (08/09/2025), hitting a new all-time high as weak US jobs data cemented expectations for a Fed rate cut next week. With a 38% YTD surge following a 27% rally in 2024, gold’s unstoppable—driven by a weak USD, central bank buying, easing policies, and global uncertainty. Let’s break down today’s (09/09/2025) market and uncover trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Keeps Charging? 🌟
Historic Surge: Weak US jobs data (August growth slowed, unemployment at 4.3%) has markets pricing in an 88% chance of a 0.25% rate cut and 12% for 0.5% in September, per CME FedWatch. Low rates make non-yielding gold shine! 📈
Expert Insight: Peter Grant from Zaner Metals predicts gold could hit $3,700–$3,730/oz short-term, with short pullbacks as buying opportunities. Ongoing labor market weakness and Fed easing into 2026 provide solid support.
Global Drivers: China’s central bank extended its gold-buying streak to 10 months in August. A falling USD and 10-year Treasury yields near a 5-month low boost gold’s allure.
Key Data Ahead: Watch US PPI (10/09) and CPI (11/09) for more Fed policy clues. Geopolitical and tariff tensions further fuel gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Gold’s red-hot—can it conquer new highs?
Technical Analysis: Breakout Mode with Traps—Prioritize BUY! 📉
Gold’s relentless rally smashed through 3600, showing no signs of slowing. Keep an eye on the Fibo 2.618 level at 3685 as a potential pause point. Strong bullish momentum favors BUY setups, but beware of FVG traps from rapid surges. Focus on 3641: a break below could trigger a pullback to 3600, while holding above keeps bulls in charge, targeting 3685.
Key Resistance: 3663 - 3673 - 3685 - 3690
Key Support: 3641 - 3629 - 3596 - 3581
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3673 - 3675
SL: 3679
TP: 3670 - 3665 - 3660 - 3655
Sell Zone: 3684 - 3686
SL: 3694
TP: 3676 - 3666 - 3656 - 3646 - Open
Buy Scalp: 3641 - 3639
SL: 3635
TP: 3644 - 3649 - 3654 - 3659
Buy Zone: 3605 - 3603
SL: 3595
TP: 3613 - 3623 - 3633 - 3643 - Open
Gold’s in breakout territory, but traps are lurking—wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could charge to 3685. 📊💡
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto #CentralBanks
Short sellers' exit strategy and outlook for the marketGold has been rising recently and has deviated from technical analysis in the short term. Out of fear of heights and to avoid the potential risks brought about by chasing high prices, I have been trying to short gold at the top recently.
Unfortunately, it is difficult for gold to get an effective pullback in the short term. Even if the account has a certain amount of funds to resist risks, the short orders held in the short term are still facing great pressure. After increasing our short positions near 3620 yesterday, we originally expected gold to at least retreat to 3605-3595, so that we can turn losses into profits in one fell swoop, reverse the temporary losses in our hands, and realize profits completely. However, gold did not give an ideal opportunity in the evening, and even rose to around 3645 at one point, which forced us to try to short gold again by touching the top. However, the pullback last night was limited and failed to effectively fall below 3633, so we can only hold positions again and wait for trading opportunities in the Asian session.
After the opening of the Asian session in the morning, there was only a slight pullback. As the gold price continued to rise, the short-term support moved up. In addition, considering that gold had difficulty falling below 3633 last night, the buying funds below were too strong. In order to better protect the safety of account funds, I had to close all short orders in my hands near 3630 and start creating long orders to execute hedging transactions.
Since we managed the number of trading lots in our account relatively properly and the number of low-level trading lots was small, it did not cause too much loss to my account. But this doesn't mean I have lost confidence in future shorts. As I said before, as long as the market remains stuck in the sentiment of buying expectations and selling facts, gold is bound to fall sharply. Just now I closed my long orders and am ready to short gold again.
The preliminary value of the benchmark change in non-farm employment in the United States in 2025 will be announced tonight. If it falls short of expectations, gold may still fall back. Although there is no good reference point for the weekly and daily lines, the monthly line is suppressed near the 3700 line. As long as it fails to break through effectively, gold will definitely fall. Therefore, in the short term, I am still optimistic about shorting gold, and I am determined to short at 3660-3700.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 09/09/2025🌀
————————————-
🔹 Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is still rising but occurs in the overbought zone → the upside potential is limited.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is also in the overbought zone and starting to reverse. Although H4 candles are still pushing up, a divergence is forming → signaling weakening bullish strength.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum remains in the overbought zone → no expectation for an extended bullish leg.
————————————-
🔹 Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
o Price is in the final stage of wave iii (black) and preparing for wave iv (black).
o By principle, it is better to stay patient and wait for wave iv to complete before looking for Buy entries into wave v (black), rather than trying to catch the top of wave iii.
o Current price is approaching the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of wave i (black).
• H4 timeframe:
o Price is currently within wave v (purple).
o Since it has already broken above wave iii (purple), a reversal could happen anytime.
o Completion of wave v (purple) will also complete wave iii (black).
• H1 timeframe:
o Inside wave v (purple), a full 5-wave structure (green) can be counted.
o The potential confluence zone for the end of wave 5 (green), wave v (purple), and wave iii (black) is 3669 – 3678.
o After this zone, price is expected to correct into wave iv (black), which often develops sideways and shallow.
➡️ Once wave iv (black) is complete, the market is expected to continue higher into wave v (black).
➡️ High liquidity zones highlighted by the Volume Profile will act as support, preventing a deep decline and providing momentum for wave v (black).
• Wave iv usually retraces back to the wave 4 of a smaller degree. Currently, we have two key areas:
o Wave 4 (green) around 3597
o Wave iv (purple) around 3552 – 3530
————————————-
🔹 Trading Plan
1. Buy Zone 1: 3598 – 3596
o SL: 3588 (or 3579 for wider risk tolerance)
o TP1: 3669
2. Buy Zone 2: 3553 – 3550
o SL: 3540
o TP1: 3597
Gold - Intraday Long Setup (5M TF) | Smart Money + Elliott Struc# 🟢 Gold - Intraday Long Setup (5M TF) | Smart Money + Elliott Structure
**Pair:** Gold Spot / USD
**Timeframe:** 5M
**Session:** London / NY Overlap
**Type:** Intraday Long Idea
**Concepts:** Smart Money, Supply & Demand, Wave Analysis, SSL Confirmation
---
## 🔍 Market Context
The market is currently reacting inside a **key Demand Zone** on the 5-minute timeframe, following a strong bearish move during the London session. The structure suggests a corrective **ABC wave formation**, where the **(c) point** appears to be forming a potential higher low at demand.
- Point **(a)**: Marked the first impulse down
- Point **(b)**: Rejection at minor **Supply Zone**
- Point **(c)**: Retest of **POI at Demand**, showing signs of exhaustion in selling pressure
---
## 📈 Technical Confluences
- 🟦 **Demand Zone** active and respected
- 📏 Potential BOS (Break of Structure) upon break of the recent high
- 📊 **Vol %ile** = 83% → Above average participation
- ⚠️ Risk Level: High (tight structure, requires confirmation)
- 🧭 Entry Distance: Near
---
## 🔧 Indicators Status (SSL Hybrid)
| Indicator | Status |
|--------------------------|----------|
| SSL Channel | ✅ Bullish cross (supporting reversal)
| RSI (50) | ✅ Holding above midpoint
| MACD | ✅ Bullish crossover (early signal)
| BB Oscillator / HT / RQK | ❌ Still bearish (lagging)
---
## 🎯 Trade Idea
**Bias:** Long
**Trigger:** Break above **minor Supply** and formation of BOS
**Target Zones:**
1. **TP1:** 3,370
2. **TP2:** 3,378 (supply edge)
3. **TP3:** 3,385 (upper supply zone)
**SL:** Below point (c) @ **~3,357**
---
## 🧠 Notes
This setup is valid as long as price holds above the Demand Zone and confirms a bullish shift via BOS. Wait for clear confirmation before entering.
_This is an educational idea based on Smart Money + Elliott Wave principles – not financial advice._
---
#gold #smartmoney #supplydemand #elliottwave #sslhybrid #intraday #5mtf #tradingview
9/9: Expect a Main Pullback Today, Likely to Drop Below 3600🌅 Good morning everyone!
🔹 Key Support Levels
30M : 3632 / 3615–3598
1H : 3626 / 3614–3588
2H : 3608–3590 / 3560
4H : 3613–3598 / 3681–3664
1D : 3564 / 3507–3498
🔹 Key Resistance Levels
3650–3670
🔹 Intraday Trading Strategy
Sell on rallies, especially near 3650 and above
Buy on pullbacks at support, focus on the 1H support zones
Trade mainly in short-term swings, quick in and out, secure profits early
Yesterday, gold pulled back to around 3577 before rebounding strongly. Currently, the 30M chart shows a bullish alignment. In the short term, watch 3650 as a key resistance. If broken, price may extend to 3658–3670.
🎯 Overall Outlook: Buy the dips, sell the highs. Focus on key support and resistance levels, avoid holding positions too long.
Gold Tests Key Reversal Zone – Bears on WatchGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) completed the move as I expected in my previous idea , both the down and up moves I expected.
Gold is currently moving in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it looks like Gold is completing the 5th microwaves of the main wave 3 .
I expect Gold to start correcting in the coming hours and drop to at least $3,593(First Target) .
Second Target: $3,583
Stop Loss(SL): $3,634
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD – Breakout in Action, Next Liquidity Zones AheadMarket View:
Gold (XAUUSD) has just broken out of consolidation, confirming bullish momentum. After the accumulation phase, price surged strongly, showing buyers remain in control. The focus now shifts to the next liquidity zones above, with upside momentum still dominant.
Key Levels (H1/H15):
Immediate Resistance: 3621 – 3633
Next Liquidity Sell Zone: 3649 – 3650
Extended Target: 3669 – 3678
Support: 3595 – 3580 – 3572
Technical Outlook:
Breakout confirms continuation of the bullish trend.
As long as price holds above 3595, the structure stays intact.
A clean break through 3621–3633 opens the path towards 3649–3669.
Trading Plan:
BUY (preferred):
Buy on retest around 3595–3600
SL: 3580
TP: 3621 → 3633 → 3649 → 3669+
SELL scalp (alternative):
Only if strong rejection occurs at 3632 – 3634
SL: 3640
TP: 3625 → 3630 → 3620
Summary:
✅ Breakout confirmed, bullish momentum remains strong.
👉 Watch 3621–3633 and 3649–3650 closely for the next trading opportunities.
Follow MMFLOW TRADING for more updates and execution setups!
Gold Trade Set Up Sep 8 2025OANDA:XAUUSD
www.tradingview.com
Price broke structure on the 15m then came down and formed MSS, came higher and formed a rejection block, tested 50% of the RB now im targeting equal lows/low range liquidity
But on the higher time frames we are still bullish so i want to see a pull back before going higher
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Soars 37% YTD: Fed Cuts, Jobs Woes & Trade Setups!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has surged 37% from the start of 2025, following a 27% rally in 2024 – fueled by a weakening USD, central bank buying, easing monetary policies, and broader economic/geopolitical uncertainty. With US jobs growth slowing sharply in August 2025 and unemployment rising to 4.3%, markets are heavily betting on Fed rate cuts: 90% chance of 0.25% and 10% for 0.5% in September. Let's analyze today's (08/09/2025) volatile market and spot trading opportunities! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold's Rally Isn't Slowing Down? 🌟
Impressive Growth: Gold is thriving in a low-rate environment amid uncertainty – non-yielding assets like this shine when rates drop and risks rise! 📈
US Jobs Factor: August data confirms a cooling labor market, bolstering Fed easing expectations and safe-haven demand.
Fed Independence Drama: Trump's pressure to oust Governor Lisa Cook and push for rate cuts has triggered legal disputes, eroding USD confidence and elevating gold as a hedge against Fed interference. Standard Chartered forecasts more upside from tariff tensions and central bank concerns.
Global Demand Slowdown: Top consumers China and India saw physical gold demand ease this week due to record prices – but overall sentiment stays bullish.
Gold is the ultimate safe haven in this volatile setup – will the Fed deliver the cuts the market craves?
Technical Analysis: Breakouts & Liquidity Sweeps – Avoid FOMO! 📉
In the early Asian session today, gold dipped to the 358x zone before a quick rebound, breaking last week's ATH resistance at 3600 and advancing to 361x. No major news drove this surge, but continuous ATHs signal rapid liquidity sweeps – watch for traps! Avoid FOMO: Target broken round levels for BUY opportunities, or structure breaks at round numbers for SELL, but be cautious of fakeouts.
Key Resistance: 3614 - 3624 - 3634 - 3644
Key Support: 3597 - 3581 - 3574 - 3566 - 3560 - 3550
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3624 - 3626
SL: 3630
TP: 3621 - 3616 - 3611 - 3606
Sell Zone: 3634 - 3636
SL: 3644
TP: 3626 - 3616 - 3606 - 3596
Buy Scalp: 3596 - 3594
SL: 3591
TP: 3599 - 3604 - 3609 - 3614
Buy Zone: 3581 - 3579
SL: 3571
TP: 3589 - 3599 - 3609 - 3619
Gold is in breakout mode, but traps lurk – wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could target new highs. 📊💡
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto #Trump #CentralBanks
XAUUSD Overextended: Waiting for Retrace & BoS Before LongsAt the moment, Gold is in a very strong bullish trend 🟢📈, pushing into all-time highs 🏆. However, price is now trading in an area of very thin liquidity 💧⚠️, which carries the risk of a potential pullback 🔻 as smart money 💼 looks to tap into liquidity pools from previous levels to position long.
🔎 In the video, we break down:
Price action 📊
Market structure 🧩
Some Wyckoff concepts 📚
My thoughts on trading when the market is overextended 🚀⚠️
💡 Remember: we don’t want to buy at a premium ❌💰. The better play is to wait for a meaningful pullback ⏳ and a market structure break 🔓 before looking for long opportunities.
⚠️ This analysis is educational and not financial advice. 📚
Gold Technical Analysis (XAU/USD# Gold Technical Analysis (XAU/USD)
On the 30M chart, several important factors suggest a potential correction:
1️⃣ The **Green Trendline** has been broken, with the key level at **3471**.
2️⃣ A possible **Retracement of the bullish leg** is aligned around the **3480 zone**.
3️⃣ The **Inducement structure** also confirms this corrective scenario.
🔻 With these confluences, the probability of a pullback towards the **3480 region** increases, marking it as a critical demand/retracement area.
---
📉 **Trade Idea (Educational):**
- **Entry:** 3585
- **Take Profit 1:** 3575
- **Take Profit 2:** 3555
- **Take Profit 3:** 3525
---
📊 **Key Levels to Watch:**
- 3471 (broken trendline)
- 3480 (retracement target)
- 3323 (deeper correction zone)
⚠️ This outlook and trade idea are for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 7, 2025
Momentum
• D1: Momentum is still declining → a corrective move may occur before turning bullish again.
• H4: Currently in the overbought zone → a main downward move is expected tomorrow.
• H1: About to enter the oversold zone → a short-term upward bounce may appear tomorrow morning.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
o Price is forming a 5-wave structure (i, ii, iii, iv, v) in black.
o Currently, wave iii (black) is in its final stage.
o Waves i, ii, iii were formed after a momentum cycle → the next corrective cycle will likely indicate where wave iv (black) will end.
• H4 timeframe:
o Price may be completing wave v (purple).
o Once wave v (purple) finishes → the market is expected to enter corrective wave iv (black).
• H1 timeframe:
o As in the previous plan, the ABC correction in blue looks like a 3-wave structure, but there is also the possibility of a Flat pattern forming.
o In a Flat scenario, price may break above the previous high and then reverse downward.
o Currently, price showed overlapping moves followed by a strong breakout → suggesting two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1:
o Wave v (purple) is unfolding, with price heading toward the wave v target.
o Two target zones: 3614 and 3678.
o In this case → avoid counter-trend trades, wait for corrective wave iv (black) to complete and then enter Buy positions in line with wave iii (black).
Scenario 2:
o A Flat structure is forming.
o Wait for wave C to complete wave iv (purple).
o H4 momentum supports this scenario (decline to oversold then reversal).
o Wave C targets: 3553 and 3530 → ideal Buy entry zone.
Trading Plan
1. Buy Zone 1: 3353 – 3350
o SL: 3340
o TP1: 3596
2. Buy Zone 2: 3532 – 3530
o SL: 3522
o TP1: 3552
Gold Targets $3,600 After Strong BreakoutAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish rally after breaking above the buy zone near $3,440 and holding strong momentum. The market has recently made higher highs, with price consolidating slightly below the resistance zone.
Currently, gold is trading at $3,548, with the short-term target identified at $3,600. The chart suggests potential consolidation in the highlighted area before another upward push. The SMA (9) at $3,552 is acting as dynamic support, keeping the bullish bias intact.
If buyers maintain control, a clear breakout above $3,552 – $3,560 could confirm a move toward $3,600 – $3,604. However, if momentum weakens, support lies at $3,511 and $3,499, with a deeper pullback possible toward the $3,440 buy zone.
Overall, the sentiment remains bullish, and gold looks positioned to test the $3,600 psychological resistance in the near term.
Weekly Outlook: Strong Bullish Momentum Meets Key US Data XAUUSD – Weekly Outlook: Strong Bullish Momentum Meets Key US Data | MMFLOW TRADING
Market View:
Gold (XAUUSD) ended the week with explosive momentum after Nonfarm Payrolls pushed price to a new ATH near $3600/oz. On the daily chart, the bullish candle closed with only ~30% wick, showing no signs of profit-taking. The weekly chart also printed a powerful bullish candle, confirming BUY dominance. This suggests that gold could see further upside in the coming week – and potentially throughout this month.
Macro & Fundamental Drivers (Week Ahead):
Key US data will drive volatility in XAUUSD:
Wed, Sep 10: Core PPI & PPI m/m → hotter-than-expected prints could support USD short term, weighing on gold.
Thu, Sep 11: CPI (Core, m/m, y/y) + Jobless Claims → the most critical release. Softer CPI + higher jobless claims would fuel gold’s rally, while hotter CPI keeps Fed hawkish.
Fri, Sep 12: UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations → inflation outlook could shape Fed expectations further.
Overall, fundamentals may create volatility, but the medium-term bias stays bullish.
Technical Outlook (H1 Chart):
Price is consolidating sideways after the Nonfarm breakout. Key levels to watch next week:
Support: 3574 – 3551 – 3530 – 3516
Resistance: 3600 – 3621 – 3633 – 3649 – 3669 – 3678
Trading Plan:
BUY bias (preferred):
Long on pullbacks around 3574–3550
SL: below 3530
TP: 3600 → 3621 → 3633 → 3649 → 3669 → 3678
SELL scalp (alternative):
Only if 3530 breaks with strong CPI upside surprise → target 3516/3527
Summary:
✅ Gold remains in a strong uptrend on both Daily and Weekly charts, with macro factors favouring further upside if inflation continues to ease.
👉 Watch 3592 (bullish trigger) and 3575 (bearish trigger) – these are the decision points for the next major move.
Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily updates and trade setups.
XAUUSD – Post-NFP Big Win & Key Levels to Watch | MMFLOW TRADINGNonfarm Payrolls pushed gold (XAUUSD) to a new ATH near $3600/oz. After reacting sharply at the 3593–3595 liquidity sell zone, price dropped more than 200 pips before bouncing back quickly to retest the previous ATH and climbing again towards 359x, showing strong bullish momentum still in play.
Short-Term Outlook (US Session Close):
Upside momentum remains dominant, but the market now stands at two critical key levels that will define the next move.
Key Levels:
Bullish trigger: 3592 → A clean breakout above this zone could fuel further upside towards the next liquidity area around 362x.
Bearish trigger: 3575 → A break below this level may open a deeper pullback to fill the Nonfarm liquidity gap around 3550–3527.
Trading Plan:
BUY bias: Hold above 3592 → look for longs targeting 3610–362x.
SELL scalp: Break below 3575 → shorts towards 3550–3527.
Always apply strict risk management (SL just beyond the nearest key level).
Summary:
✅ After a 200+ pips BIGWIN on Nonfarm, gold retains strong momentum.
👉 Watch the 3592 & 3575 zones closely – they are the decision points for the next major move.
Follow MMFLOW TRADING for timely updates and trade setups!