Xauusdidea
gold on sellThe price of XAUUSD has recently reached a new high of 4049, and we are currently awaiting a breakout below 4029 for a bearish confirmation. If the price breaks below 4027-4025, it is likely to target the lower price of 4020. If this target is achieved, it may be possible to retrace on a buy, but if the price breaks below 4018, it could potentially reach 3984. The stop loss should be set at 4040. If the price closes above 4050 on a long candle, it would be advisable to consider a buy.
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Within Ascending ChannelAnalysis:
The XAU/USD (Gold Spot) 1-hour chart shows a strong upward trend within a well-defined ascending channel. Price action continues to form higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained bullish momentum.
Currently, gold is trading near $3,959, staying comfortably above the trendline support, which has repeatedly acted as a dynamic base for buyers. The projected movement (blue arrow) suggests a potential short-term retracement toward the lower channel boundary, followed by a rebound toward the upper resistance zone around $4,000–$4,035.
As long as gold remains above the trendline, the bullish structure remains intact. A breakout above the upper boundary could signal further upside potential, while a drop below the trendline may lead to short-term consolidation.
Summary:
Trend: Bullish
Support: $3,915 – $3,925 (trendline zone)
Resistance: $3,995 – $4,035
Bias: Buy on dips near trendline support for potential continuation toward new highs.
"Gold 'Buy the Dip' Opportunity Targeting the $4,000 Level"
Technical Analysis
This is a classic bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Prevailing Trend: The chart shows a strong bullish impulse wave, indicated by the series of large green candles. This establishes the short-term trend as upward.
Corrective Pullback: After reaching a local high (around $3,980), the price is currently in a corrective phase, pulling back towards a potential support level. This is normal and healthy price action in an uptrend.
Support Zone: The red rectangle you've highlighted from approximately $3,950.00 to $3,956.00 is a well-defined area of potential support. This zone represents a previous level of consolidation and the base of the last major push upwards, making it a likely area for buyers to step back in.
Trade Idea: The projected path you have drawn suggests an expectation that the price will dip into this support zone, find buying pressure, and then continue its upward trajectory. This is often referred to as a "buy the dip" strategy.
GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 500 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 30 Mins T.F , We have a Huge movement To Upside since Last 6 weeks , started between 3870.00 to 3980.00 so we can buy and sell Gold This Week from 2 areas , 3940.00 will be the best place for Buy and 3975.00 will be the best place for Sell , now the price very near buy area so we can wait the price to retest the support area and then enter a buy trade and targeting 3975.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bearish P.A , we can enter a sell trade and targeting 3940.00 , It`s All Depend On Price action . I`m Sure that the main direction now is buy so i`m interesting to buy gold from 3940.00 but the best place for me will be 3895.00 cuz the price didn`t retest it until now and you can check my analysis about 3895.00 , so my res area it should be a scalping trade but my main focus will be on buy gold until end of the year .
Entry Reasons :
1- Highest Level The Price Touch It
2- Broken Res
3- New Support Created .
4- Clear Price Action .
5- Clear Support & Res .
gold on sideways untill limit breakout#XAUUSD price have rebound above 3977, now we expect and wait for M15 closure breakout before we can buy or sell.
Below the 3950 limit on M15 closure, price will continue bearish till the 3909, stop loss 3961.
Above 3967-3971 on M15-M30 closure price will move on buy till the 3991 limit.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 7, 2025)📊
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🔹 Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
Yesterday’s D1 candle closed and confirmed that the upward move is still continuing.
However, momentum has started to turn in the overbought zone, indicating that the upside move may not last long — this is a typical overextension signal, often seen at the top of a wave.
H4 Timeframe:
Momentum on H4 is reversing in the overbought zone, meaning the short-term uptrend can still continue today, but traders should be cautious as this is a sensitive area for potential reversals.
H1 Timeframe:
Momentum on H1 is turning upward, suggesting there could be one more short-term bullish push before exhaustion.
➡️ Conclusion:
Over the past few days, price has diverged from momentum across multiple timeframes — a classic sign of a potential top formation.
👉 Be extremely cautious with long-term positions.
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📈 COT (Commitment of Traders) Analysis
Commercials:
Currently 18% Long / 82% Short — this means hedgers are heavily shorting to protect against downside risk.
This behavior is typically seen at major tops.
Institutional Traders:
Holding 83% Long / 17% Short, showing extreme bullish sentiment among large funds.
Such sentiment often appears near market peaks.
Retail Traders:
69% Long / 31% Short, indicating that retail traders are FOMO-buying, which reflects a classic crowd behavior at the top.
🧭 Summary:
The current COT data strongly warns of a potential top formation in the market.
Notes:
• Commercials: Hedgers trading against the main trend to reduce business risk.
• Institutionals: Large speculative funds trading with the main trend.
• Retail Traders: Small investors, usually following market emotion.
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🌊 Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe:
Price remains within wave 5 (yellow).
Momentum is in the overbought zone, so a correction could occur anytime.
→ For now, use the wave structure and price channel to observe potential topping reactions.
H4 Timeframe:
Wave 5 (purple) is approaching the Fibonacci 0.618 target around 3986.
Combined with D1 momentum still slightly rising within the overbought zone, price may continue higher for 1–2 more days before turning down.
According to additional H1 measurement, the second target lies at 4006.
H1 Timeframe:
The 5-wave (black) structure has been relabeled based on the latest data.
Calculated projection shows Wave 5 = 0.618 of Waves 1–3, targeting 4006.
→ The potential target zone is 3985 – 4006.
Currently, momentum divergence against price is developing — this typically happens in the final wave of a trend.
Combined with COT’s top warning, the market is now slow and choppy, consistent with a distribution and topping phase.
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🧭 Trading Plan
• Maintain strict discipline at this stage.
• Reduce position size and avoid holding long-term trades.
• Wait for clear top confirmation before planning the next swing setup.
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👉 Summary: Wave 5 is likely completing. Both momentum and COT warn of a potential top — stay patient, observe reactions, and avoid large positions until a confirmed reversal appears.
Gold Bullish Momentum: Layering Longs For Maximum Gain!🏆 XAU/USD | The Gold Robbery Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 Plan Setup (Bullish)
Entry (Layering Style):
Using the Thief Layer Strategy 🕵️♂️ → Multiple Buy Limit layers
$3625
$3630
$3635
$3640
(Add more layers based on your own strategy & risk appetite)
Stop Loss (Thief SL):
@3610 (Adjust based on your own strategy & risk ⚠️)
Take Profit (Escape Point):
Target resistance zone @3690 🚪💰
⚡ Note: This is a flexible thief-style plan — adjust SL/TP levels as per your personal money management and execution style.
📊 Why This Plan? (Thief’s Market Analysis)
🔎 Real-Time Market Data (10 Sept 2025)
Price: $3,643.71
24h Change: +0.48%
Range: $3,620.90 – $3,644.56
🧠 Retail Sentiment (Contrarian Signal)
Long: 37%
Short: 63%
➡️ Retail crowd is heavily short → Contrarian bullish setup.
🏦 Institutional Sentiment (Commitment of Traders)
Net Long: +249,530 contracts
Long: 315,796
Short: 66,266
➡️ Institutions are firmly positioned long ✅
🌡️ Fear & Greed + Volatility
Neutral (shifting from Greed)
VIX <14 (52-week low) → Calm market backdrop
📉 Macro & Fundamentals
US jobs data: Weak (22K vs. 75K expected)
Fed rate cut probability: 99.4% (September meeting)
Central bank gold demand + geopolitical tensions supportive
Upcoming CPI/PPI = key catalyst
📐 Technical View
Price holding above $3,625 support
Ascending channel continuation
Overbought zone = caution for short pullbacks
🗝️ Key Takeaways (Thief OG Notes)
USD weakness + Fed dovish tilt = Gold tailwind
Retail shorts = bullish contrarian setup
Institutions backing the move higher
Short-term overbought → manage exits smartly
🔥 Related Markets to Watch
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
SP:SPX (S&P 500)
TVC:US10Y (US 10Y Treasury Yield)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD (Bitcoin correlation check)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #ThiefStrategy #TradingPlan #GoldBulls #MacroAnalysis #MarketSentiment
“Gold Price Action: Bullish Momentum with Key Correction Zones
Analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot)
The chart shows a clear uptrend channel, supported by higher highs and higher lows.
Price recently pulled back after testing the $3,915 zone, which is acting as a short-term resistance.
Multiple support zones are highlighted (around $3,760 and $3,700), which can provide strong buying opportunities on retracement.
The structure suggests impulse–correction–impulse movement, aligning with bullish continuation patterns.
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the $3,760–$3,780 support, continuation towards $3,915 (previous high) is expected.
A breakout above $3,915–$3,920 will open the door for further upside, targeting $3,960–$3,980.
Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below the trendline support (~$3,760), deeper correction is possible toward $3,680–$3,640 (TP1 zone).
That zone is mentioned on the chart as a strong re-entry point for long positions.
✅ Suitable Target (Bullish):
Immediate Target: $3,915 (previous high)
Extended Target: $3,960 – $3,980
⚠️ Correction Target (Bearish Pullback):
$3,680 – $3,640 (strong buy zone for re-entry)
Gold Trade Set Up Oct 6 2025Price is trading above PDH and created a new ATH so i am overall bullish. For me to look for buys i want to see price close above the CISD and the 15m and retest it to continue higher but it fails to do that and closed under support i will look for internal sells to 1h demand before taking buys back up
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Above Uptrend SupportAnalysis:
The 1-hour chart of XAU/USD shows a strong upward trendline, which has been consistently respected by price action. After a clear bullish momentum breakout around September 25th, gold has continued to post higher lows, confirming buyers’ control of the market.
Currently, gold is trading at $3,878, consolidating just below the $3,924–$3,935 resistance zone. The chart suggests two possible scenarios:
Continuation: If the price respects the upward trendline and breaks above the $3,924–$3,935 resistance, gold could aim for new highs, extending the bullish run.
Short-Term Pullback: A minor correction to retest the trendline is possible, but as long as the trendline holds, the bullish structure remains intact.
Technical Outlook:
Support: $3,855 / $3,785
Resistance: $3,924 – $3,935
Trend: Strongly bullish, supported by ascending trendline
Bias: Buy on dips towards the trendline, targeting a breakout above $3,935
GOLD Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 300 Pips !Here is My 30 Min Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , the price going up very hard without any correction so we should move with it and we have a 4H Candle closure above our Res 3895.00 And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can buy after the price go back to retest the broken area 3895.00 , and we can be targeting 100 to 300 pips . if we have a daily closure below this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- The Price Take The Last High .
5- Perfect 4H Closure .
XAU/USD Bullish Setup ( Nfp )This chart analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar, 1H timeframe) highlights a bullish setup supported by an upward trend line. Price is currently trading around 3858, just below the resistance zone near 3873 – 3897.
Support: The rising trend line is acting as a key support, keeping the bullish structure intact.
Resistance Levels: First resistance is at 3873, followed by 3897 (ATH level).
Target: If price breaks above these resistance zones, the next upside target is projected at 3937.
Scenarios: The analysis suggests multiple bullish continuation paths, with price expected to retest resistance before pushing higher toward the target.
Overall, as long as gold respects the support trend line, the bias remains bullish with potential growth toward 3937.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 6, 2025)
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🔹 1. Momentum
D1 Timeframe
• Daily momentum is currently declining, with both lines starting to converge inside the overbought zone.
• Today is a critical day:
o If the daily candle closes strongly bullish, price may extend the upside for another 2–3 days.
o If the daily candle closes bearish, momentum will continue to decline, suggesting the correction may extend further.
➡️ Therefore, today’s daily close will be important to determine the mid–term trend direction.
H4 Timeframe
• H4 momentum lines are stuck together in the overbought zone, indicating a potential reversal could happen at any moment.
H1 Timeframe
• H1 momentum is turning upward, but since it’s already near the overbought area, the current push may not be sustainable.
➡️ A short-term pullback is likely to occur within the next 1–2 H1 candles.
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🔹 2. Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe
• On the daily chart, price has broken above 3877, which is the second target of the yellow wave 5.
• Given the strong move, this could simply be a liquidity sweep, not necessarily the end of wave 5 yet.
➡️ We need to observe the daily close to confirm whether momentum continues to weaken or stabilizes.
H4 Timeframe
• After a 3-wave ABC correction (in blue), the price is now moving within purple wave 5.
• Based on the current price channel, two possible targets for purple wave 5 are:
o 🎯 Target 1: 3923
o 🎯 Target 2: 3986
H1 Timeframe
• The structure shows a 5-wave pattern (in black) inside purple wave 5.
• The 0.618 projection of wave 5 has already been reached near 3926, which also aligns with the 0.382 retracement level of the H4 structure — creating a strong confluence zone suitable for a potential short setup.
• If price closes decisively above 3926, it may continue to extend toward 3986.
➡️ In that case, it’s better to wait for a clear reversal signal near 3986 rather than shorting too early.
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🔹 3. Trading Plan
📍 Setup:
• Sell Now: 3925 – 3926
• Stop Loss: 3936
• Take Profit: 3899
📌 Safer Option:
Wait for a bearish H1 confirmation candle before entering the trade.
⚠️ Note:
This is a potential topping phase, so it’s essential to manage positions carefully — avoid loose stop losses or unprotected exposure.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 10/03/2025 📊
🔹 Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining → the corrective process is likely to continue until D1 enters the oversold zone and reverses.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn upward → today we may see a bullish move.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is heading into the oversold zone → the current H1 decline is weakening, which may lead to a bullish move aligned with H4. This potential rally could last for about 4–5 H4 candles.
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🔹 Wave Structure
• D1: Price is still within the wave 5 target zone without a clear breakout. However, D1 momentum suggests that a corrective decline may continue.
• H4: An ABC structure has formed → the current rebound may be:
o The start of a new uptrend.
o Or part of a more complex correction.
• H1: Showing a rebound, which could be:
o Wave 1 of a new uptrend.
o Or wave A of a corrective 3-wave ABC move.
⏩ In either case, the current decline can be identified as wave 2 (purple) or wave B (blue).
• Downside targets:
o Zone 1: 3842
o Zone 2: 3830
Afterward, the market is expected to rise:
• If it is wave C → target equals wave A at 3885 (after 3842 support) or 3874 (after 3830 support).
• If it is wave 3 (purple) → minimum target = 1.618 of wave 1 (purple).
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🔹 Trading Plan
Scenario 1
• Buy Zone: 3843 – 3841
• SL: 3833
• TP1: 3862
• TP2: 3874
• TP3: 3885
Scenario 2
• Buy Zone: 3831 – 3829
• SL: 3818
• TP1: 3862
• TP2: 3874
• TP3: 3885
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👉 Main strategy: Look for buy entries around 3842 or 3830 support zones, targeting 3874 – 3885.
Gold Trade Set Up Oct 2 2025Last night during Asian session price swept PDL, and changed state in the 15m to continue bullish so i will be looking buys once we get a close and retest of the CISD to continue higher above PDH but if price fails to change state and closes under 15m/30m lows i will look for a retest of 15m supply to target lows
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XAUUSD Swing Buy Setup – Pullback Entry & Targeting 3968Gold is in a clear uptrend channel (highlighted in pink).
Price is currently trading around 3882, near the upper-mid of the channel.
Projection:
The chart shows a possible short-term pullback toward the BUY ENTRY ZONE (3759 – 3718) before resuming the bullish move.
This aligns with retesting the lower trendline support of the channel.
Key Levels:
Buy Entry Point: 3759
Stop Loss: 3718 (about 40 points below entry zone, safe buffer under support)
Target (TP): 3968
Risk-Reward:
Entry: ~3759
Stop: ~3718 → ~41 points risk
Target: ~3968 → ~209 points reward
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:5 → Very favorable.
Pattern:
The move suggests a bullish continuation setup after a corrective retracement.
Expected bullish wave could push Gold to new highs above 3960.
📌 Summary:
✅ Bullish bias remains intact.
🔵 Best entry: wait for a pullback to 3759–3718 zone.
🎯 Target: 3968.
❌ Stop Loss: 3718.
This is a swing trade setup with strong upside potential if Gold respects the channel structure.
GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 1000 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 30 Mins T.F , We have a Huge movement To Upside since Last 4 weeks , started between 3870.00 to 3895.00 so we can buy and sell Gold This Week from 2 areas , 3870.00 will be the best place for Buy and 3895.00 will be the best place for Sell , now the price very near buy area so we can wait the price to retest the support area and then enter a buy trade and targeting 3895.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bearish P.A , we can enter a sell trade and targeting 3870.00 , It`s All Depend On Price action .
Entry Reasons :
1- Highest Level The Price Touch It
2- Broken Res
3- New Support Created .
4- Clear Price Action .






















