Gold (XAUUSD) Pullback Analysis: Testing OB Before TargetsA potential trading setup based on concepts from Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or similar institutional methodologies.
Asset and Timeframe: XAU/USD (Gold Spot / US Dollar) on a 1-Hour (1H) timeframe.
Current Price: The price is hovering around $3,983.55.
Market Structure:
There's a recent Break of Structure (BOS), suggesting an upward bias or a shift in momentum to the bullish side.
The price is currently pulling back into a key zone.
Key Zones/Concepts:
OB (Order Block): The shaded gray area is identified as an Order Block. This is a zone where significant institutional buying/selling previously occurred, and the price is expected to react to it.
$$$ (Liquidity/Equal Lows): The three dollar signs indicate an area of liquidity or equal lows below the current price action. These are often targeted for a stop-hunt or liquidity grab before a significant move.
1H / BPR (Balance Price Range): The lower green box is labeled as a 1H / BPR. A Balance Price Range is a more refined area of support/demand, suggesting an even stronger reaction zone if the initial OB fails.
Projected Trade Scenarios: The dotted lines outline two primary possibilities:
Bullish Scenario (Solid Line): A bounce from the OB (Order Block) to hit Target 1 ($4,030.00).
Bearish/Liquidity Grab Scenario (Dotted Line): A drop below the OB to sweep the $$$ (Liquidity), potentially testing the 1H / BPR before a sharp reversal back up to Target 1 or even Target 2 ($4,050.00).
Xauusdidea
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 04.11.25sell limit projection for XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe, dated November 4, 2025.
Here’s the breakdown of the setup:
Trend Context:
The blue diagonal line labeled “BROKED 1H UPTREND CHANNEL” indicates that the price has broken below a previous uptrend, suggesting a potential bearish reversal.
Sell Entry Zone:
The “BREAKED ZONE” (around 4,007.863) is the projected sell limit entry area. The trader expects price to retest this level before continuing downward.
Stop Loss:
Placed above the resistance zone at approximately 4,023.449, protecting against a false breakout.
Target / Take Profit Levels:
Support S1: Around 3,984.000, likely the first take-profit (TP1).
Support S2: Around 3,966.380, the main target price (TP2) for the sell setup.
Trade Plan Summary:
Entry: ~4,007.86
Stop Loss: ~4,023.45
Take Profit: ~3,966.38
Bias: Bearish (sell after retest of broken trendline and resistance)
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | November 04, 2025
🔹 Momentum
D1 timeframe:
D1 momentum has entered the overbought zone — this signals that the bullish momentum is weakening and a potential reversal could occur today or tomorrow.
H4 timeframe:
H4 momentum is currently in the oversold zone and preparing for a bullish reversal. This suggests that the market may produce 4–5 consecutive bullish H4 candles to lift momentum back toward the overbought region.
H1 timeframe:
H1 momentum is also turning upward, indicating that a short-term bullish phase may be forming.
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🔹 Wave Structure
D1 timeframe:
A WXY corrective structure is forming. Wave W appears to be completed, and the current move is part of wave X.
However, this X wave seems relatively shallow, and with D1 momentum already in the overbought zone, there’s likely only one final upward push left to complete wave X before a possible reversal.
H4 timeframe:
Given that D1 is already overbought, the yellow wave (4) scenario remains the primary outlook.
Still, since H4 momentum is about to turn upward, there’s a high probability of one last upward movement to finish wave X before resuming a downward move.
H1 timeframe:
On H1, price action is forming a red WXY structure for wave X.
Wave W has already completed, and price is currently developing within wave X (red).
Inside this X wave, a black abcde triangle is taking shape, with price currently hovering near the lower boundary (ac line) of the triangle.
• If wave e (black) ends near the ac line, the triangle pattern will be complete → price is expected to break above the upper boundary, triggering an upward continuation as wave Y.
→ This aligns with the bullish reversal signals seen in H4 and H1 momentum.
• Conversely, if price breaks below the ac line and drops under 3927, it would suggest that the purple X wave on D1 has already completed, and the market may resume a downtrend following D1 momentum.
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🔹 Trading Plan
• Buy Stop: 4000
• Stop Loss: 3973
• Take Profit 1: 4050
⚠️ Note: The current candle range is quite wide → stop loss is relatively large, so it’s advisable to reduce position size and manage trades carefully.
XAU/USD BULLISH CONTINUATION SETUPAnalysis:
On the XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) chart, price action shows a strong bullish structure forming after multiple Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) confirmations. The market recently created an equal low (EQL) around the 3990–3995 zone, indicating potential liquidity build-up below.
Price has since rebounded from this demand area and is currently trading near the entry zone (around 4007–4008), suggesting a possible bullish continuation if structure holds.
Key observations:
Demand Zone: 3990–3995 region — a high-probability area where buyers previously stepped in.
Entry Level: Around 4007 — ideal for a long setup upon bullish confirmation.
Target Zone: 4060–4066 — aligning with the previous weekly high, acting as a strong liquidity target.
Stop Loss (Implied): Below 3988 zone, under equal lows for risk management.
Bias:
Bullish — as long as price holds above 3990 and maintains structure, the next push toward 4060–4066 remains likely.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 03.11.25🟩 Technical Summary:
Structure: Price has broken out of a 1H downtrend line, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
Pattern Confirmation: A Bullish Engulfing candle confirms buying momentum.
Zones Marked:
Resistance R1: Around 4,020 zone
Resistance R2: Around 4,030–4,035 zone
4H Target Price: ~4,075–4,080 zone
Support Zone: Near 3,995–4,000 (Stoploss area).
📈 Projection Logic:
Price breaks 1H downtrend.
Retests near the trendline breakout zone (~4,000–4,010).
Pushes towards R1 and R2.
Final 4H target projected near 4,075–4,080.
🎯 Buy Setup Example:
Buy Entry: 4,005 – 4,010 (after retest)
Stoploss: 3,985 – 3,990
Target: 4,075 – 4,080
Risk–Reward: Roughly 1:3+
XAUUSD is on Rangebound currently market is bullish biased and Rangebound from 3995-4040 -zone.
Although it's upside at 3998 was to quick.
What are my conditions For This setup?
- I'm waiting for buy from 3990-3980 area & expecting the reversal move towards 4028- 4047 target although currently I took bu6 from 3995-3990 area and holding till my Targets
- Second if H1-H4 candle closes above 4045 area I will straight Buy and target 4070-4090 .
✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3975-3970 our buying will be compromised
XAU/USD Daily Structure – Bullish Reversal Targeting BPR ZoneA potential bullish reversal after a recent pullback, aiming for a retest of higher price levels.
Prior Price Action: The price experienced a strong uptrend (sequence of large green candles) leading up to the mid-October high, followed by a sharp pullback (red candles) which broke below a previous low, labeled as BOS (Break of Structure). This BOS confirms a short-term bearish shift or the start of a deep correction within the larger uptrend.
Current Price Level: The price is currently near $4,008.10, having shown recent bullish momentum (the last green candle) off a recent swing low.
Key Levels and Concepts:
D/FVG (Daily Fair Value Gap): There are two Fair Value Gaps marked on the chart.
The lower D/FVG (around $4,000 - $4,060) acted as an initial target or point of interest during the decline. The price has started to move up from this area.
The upper D/FVG (around $4,170 - $4,220) represents a future potential target.
BPR (Balanced Price Range): This blue area (around $4,160 - $4,180) is an area where a previous down move's FVG overlaps with a subsequent up move's FVG (or vice versa), suggesting a zone where the market might find temporary balance or resistance/support.
Projected Path: The black arrow illustrates a bullish projection. The price is expected to continue its upward move, potentially targeting the lower D/FVG for a re-entry/retest before making its way towards the BPR and the upper D/FVG as the final target of this short-term analysis.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | November 3, 2025
🔹 Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
Daily momentum is currently rising and approaching the overbought zone.
At the current pace, it is expected that within 2–3 more D1 candles, momentum will reach the overbought area — increasing the risk of a potential reversal.
However, in the short term, the bullish trend still dominates.
H4 Timeframe:
H4 momentum is reversing upward, and if a strong bullish candle breaks above the 4028 resistance level, it will confirm a bullish reversal, potentially leading to a 5-candle H4 uptrend within today’s session.
H1 Timeframe:
H1 momentum is preparing to turn downward, suggesting a short-term pullback may occur before the next upside continuation aligned with the broader H4 trend.
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🔹 Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe:
Current data still supports the scenario that the market is forming Wave (4) in yellow.
However, more time is needed for a clear confirmation.
If D1 momentum enters the overbought zone without price creating a new high, that would give us additional confirmation of this wave count.
In the short term, price may continue rising for another 2 days.
H4 Timeframe:
The scenario of Wave (4) in purple within Wave (3) in yellow remains valid and has not been invalidated.
If price breaks above the 4379 high, it would confirm the formation of Wave (5) in purple, signaling the start of a strong bullish move.
At present, price movement remains choppy and overlapping, showing no clear trend direction — hence, we need to monitor price action closely.
With H4 momentum turning upward and resistance around 4028 forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, I expect a bullish move of 4–5 H4 candles today.
A decisive breakout above 4028 would further reinforce this bullish scenario.
H1 Timeframe:
The current H1 structure may be forming either:
• Wave X within the larger D1 structure, or
• Wave (5) in purple within the H4 structure.
In either case, we can expect a short-term upward move in line with H4 momentum.
Currently, price is hovering around the 4017 resistance zone, while H1 momentum is preparing to turn downward — therefore, a short-term correction toward the 3953 liquidity zone is expected.
This area will serve as a potential buy zone.
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🎯 Trading Plan
• Buy Zone: 3954 – 3952
• Stop Loss: 3944
• Take Profit 1: 4050
XAUUSD BEARISH REVERSAL SETUP FROM SUPPLY ZONE🔍 Key Observations:
1. Market Structure Shift:
A Change of Character (CHoCH) has occurred near the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
This indicates a potential shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
2. Liquidity & Supply Zone:
The red zone near $4,044 – $4,018 acts as a supply zone or bearish order block.
Price has reacted from this level, rejecting higher prices.
3. Entry & Targets:
Entry: Around $4,011 – $4,018 (current zone)
Stop Loss: Above the recent high near $4,044
First Target (TP1): $3,977 – local liquidity zone
Second Target (TP2): $3,930 – $3,915 major demand area / imbalance fill zone
4. Channel Breakdown Potential:
If the price closes below the lower trendline of the ascending channel, a strong bearish continuation toward the lower targets is expected.
5. Smart Money Concept (SMC) View:
The chart aligns with liquidity grab above highs, followed by CHoCH, suggesting smart money selling pressure.
A retracement to premium zones has already happened, and distribution is likely underway.
📉 Bearish Outlook Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: 4,011 – 4,018
Stop Loss: 4,044
Target 1: 3,977
Target 2: 3,930 – 3,915
Invalidation: Break and close above 4,045 would negate bearish setup.
The gold price is still in the process of correcting Wave 4The gold price is still in the process of correcting Wave 4, and nothing has changed structurally.
Currently, the price continues to respect the corrective zone we have been monitoring, and the internal waves still support the complex WXY pattern. This tells us one thing:
⏳ The correction is not over.
Once Wave 4 is complete, the real opportunity will begin:
✅ First impulse up → confirms trend resumption
✅ Pullback (Wave 2) → optimal entry point
✅ Wave 3 → highest potential reward 🚀
If the price breaks above the current resistance zone from here, we will monitor the alternative count. However, as long as the structure hasn't confirmed it, we remain patient.
Remember:
Corrections are designed to test patience.
Wave 4 is historically the most complex wave; triangles, flats, and complex structures are common.
Remain disciplined. Let the structure settle. The next leg up will be worth the wait.
gold await breakout to buy or sell#XAUUSD we await price to fall below 4017 on 2 times breakout before selling. The price is reforming a new trend.
Sell below 4017 2 times breakout, target 3982, stop loss 4028.
H1 closure above 4030-32 will continue bullish till 4050.
Await for breakout before trading
XAUUSD Bearish Setup: Bear Flag Breakdown Toward 3,750XAUUSD’s 1D chart just cooled after a steep August–October advance, peaking near 4,333 before sliding under the 20-day MA (~4,091). Price is now coiling above 4,000, with a potential Bear Flag taking shape beneath the recent high. Resistance sits at 4,333, while short-term support is the pullback low at 3,988. Momentum has flipped soft: MACD crossed down and price is below the Bollinger midline, even as the broader trend (MA20 > MA60 > MA120) remains intact.
Primary path: a daily close below 3,988 confirms the Bear Flag and opens a continuation move toward 3,850, then the MA60/major demand around 3,750–3,740. For shorts triggered under 3,988, invalidation sits cleanly back above the consolidation high near 4,095; acceptance below 3,950 would add follow-through risk toward 3,745.
Alternative: if 3,988 holds and price reclaims the 20-day with a daily close above 4,100, buyers can press a squeeze toward 4,280 and a retest of 4,330–4,333. For longs above 4,100, a tight invalidation sits below 4,020; a decisive break over 4,333 would restore trend continuation.
Levels to watch: Resistance 4,333; supply near 4,280–4,333. Support 3,988; demand 3,750–3,740. Triggers: break-and-hold <3,988 (bearish) or daily close >4,100 (bullish). This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations
GOLD Very Near Perfect Place For See , 500 Pips Waiting !Here is My 30 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we again Below 4050.00 With 4H Candle and the price come back to retest it ! and we have a 4H Candle closure below it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can sell after the price go back to retest the broken area between 4050.00 : 4055.00 , and give us a good wicks as previous wicks ! and we can targeting 100 to 200 pips . if we have a daily closure above this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Touch For The Area .
2- Clear Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A .
4- Over Bought .
5- Perfect 30 Mins Closure .
GOLD ; How far down?Hello friends
Well, after the good rise we had, the price needed a correction, which happened with a double top pattern.
Now the main question is, how far will the fall go?
Well, in the short term, the price can fall to the specified limits, and if the support areas are broken, the fall will continue, and on the other hand, an important resistance has been created, which the price needs to break for the new ATH.
With this decline, it is unlikely that the price will suffer for a while and correct because it has grown a lot and everything will end one day...
Support levels can be good points for buying, of course with capital and risk management.
*Trade safely with us*
Gold Trade Set Up Oct 30 2025Price pushed up after failing to break and close below 4h swing lows and is making 1h and 15m HH/HL so internally i am bullish. If price can break and close above 15m LH and sweep 5m SSL i will look for buys to London highs and PDH but if price fails to close above 15m highs and closes below 15m and 1h swing low i will wait for a BSL sweep on the 5m to target PDL
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | October 30, 2025
1️⃣ Momentum
• D1 Timeframe:
D1 momentum remains entangled. Yesterday’s daily candle closed at its lowest point, rejecting all intraday bullish attempts. However, it has not yet broken the previous candle’s low — this suggests that the bearish trend is still intact, though weakening, and a potential reversal could occur within the next 1–2 days.
• H4 Timeframe:
H4 momentum is approaching the oversold zone, indicating a possible short-term recovery lasting around 4–5 H4 candles.
• H1 Timeframe:
The price is currently either consolidating or continuing its short-term decline.
If it continues to cling to the 3927 liquidity zone, a further breakdown is likely.
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2️⃣ Wave Structure
• D1 Timeframe:
Price is now sitting near the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave (3) in yellow — a typical correction level for wave (4).
Therefore, if the decline continues or the correction extends, it’s highly probable that we are in wave (4) of the yellow count, and the current drop is only the first sub-wave of this corrective phase.
• H4 Timeframe:
Currently, price is around the 0.872 extension of wave (3) in purple, which is not ideal for a completed wave (4).
When combining the D1 and H4 structures, both indicate that the market is likely forming a corrective wave (4) in yellow, and a recovery move may soon appear as D1 momentum begins to turn upward.
👉 If this scenario is confirmed:
o If price breaks above the previous wave (3) high (around 4400), it would confirm the start of a new impulsive wave upward.
o If price rises slowly and the highest target only reaches around 4400 before turning down again → this move is likely part of the corrective wave (4) before another bearish leg resumes.
• H1 Timeframe:
The current formation suggests a potential double zigzag structure.
To confirm this setup, price needs to break below 3892. This is a strong liquidity zone, so if price reaches it, a temporary bounce could occur.
Key liquidity zones above to watch: 3927 – 3953 – 3995.
If price fails to break above the previous red wave X, these zones may act as strong resistance levels, pushing the market lower again.
Target areas for the red wave Y are:
o 3814
o 3786
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3️⃣ Trade Plan
Scenario 1:
• Buy Zone: 3815 – 3813
• SL: 3804
• TP1: 3892
Scenario 2:
• Buy Zone: 3787 – 3785
• SL: 3776
• TP1: 3892
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📌 Summary:
D1 momentum is weakening and nearing the oversold zone → a potential bullish rebound could develop in the coming sessions.
The 3815 – 3785 area remains a key buy zone, while 3927 – 3995 should be closely monitored as resistance levels to confirm the next directional move.






















