Xauusdidea
Gold Trade Set Up Aug 22 2025www.tradingview.com
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Trade Set Up: Price has created LH and is now testing recent HL and PDL , when we get a close under, i will be looking for sells to the next zone and swing low. But if price fails to close below HL at 9 i will wait for internal liquidity to be taken on the 15m-5m before looking for sells
XAUUSD – Gold in Tight Consolidation | Weekend Trading PlanGold is currently showing the classic sequence: accumulation – breakout – consolidation again. Price is moving within a narrowing triangle pattern, preparing for the next explosive move.
From both a technical perspective and the macro–geopolitical backdrop, Gold is hesitating to choose a clear direction in the short term. But remember: the tighter the range, the stronger the breakout.
👉 Strategy: Wait for the breakout, then follow the direction with clear key levels for reactions and take-profit setups.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance: 3337 – 3343 – 3350 – 3356 – 3365
Support: 3325 – 3320 – 3314
📌 Scenario 1 – Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 3316 – 3314
SL: 3309
TP: 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370
📌 Scenario 2 – Sell Setup
Sell Scalp: 3348 – 3350
SL: 3355
TP: 3344 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330
Sell Zone (Main Reaction): 3365 – 3367
SL: 3372
TP: 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3345 – 3340
🎯 MMFLOW Notes
Price compression = incoming volatility.
Always prepare two scenarios when trading narrow ranges.
Patience is profit – wait for market confirmation at key levels.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 22/8/2025
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish and has already formed 3 consecutive bullish candles. However, there has not been a strong breakout yet → this is a warning sign to stay cautious. If price continues with 2 more bullish candles, momentum will likely enter the overbought zone and risk a reversal.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is in the oversold zone and preparing for a reversal. At the moment, the two momentum lines are sticking together, suggesting price may continue to correct. A bullish H4 confirmation candle is needed; once confirmed, we could expect 4–5 consecutive bullish H4 candles.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining and showing early signs of reversal. However, since it has not yet entered the oversold zone, a confirmed reversal is not guaranteed → further observation is required.
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe: The corrective triangle abcde (red) remains valid, and the wave 1–2 (blue) structure has not been invalidated.
• H4 timeframe: Price is currently in wave 2 (yellow). A break above the wave 1 high would confirm wave 2 is complete and wave 3 has begun. Wave 3 is typically strong, steep, and sharp – this would be a key confirmation signal.
• H1 timeframe:
o Yesterday’s decline to 3327 formed an ABC structure, suggesting wave 2 (yellow) may have completed. Afterward, strong bullish candles appeared.
o However, wave 3 usually moves with clear strength, while the current move is still corrective → a warning sign.
o The expanding triangle scenario for wave C (purple) is still not invalidated, so caution is required.
Two Main Scenarios on H1
1. Wave 1–2 (black):
o Wave 2 could complete around 3332 – 3330.
o This view is invalidated if price breaks below 3325.
2. Flat Correction ABC (blue):
o Wave C could target 3321 – 3320.
o This view is invalidated if price breaks below 3311.
o If invalidated, the expanding triangle scenario for wave C would come back into play.
Trading Plan
• Scenario 1 – Short-term Buy:
o Buy: 3332 – 3330
o SL: 3325
o TP1: 3348
o TP2: 3362
o TP3: 3381
• Scenario 2 – Deeper Buy:
o Buy zone: 3321 – 3320
o SL: 3311
o TP1: 3348
o TP2: 3362
o TP3: 3381
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis - 22 August 2025Gold continues to trade within a high-volatility range, and today’s structure provides us with very clear execution zones validated across the Daily, 4H, and 1H timeframes. By blending price action, order flow, and institutional concepts, we can refine both the buy and sell areas that carry the highest probability of delivering asymmetric returns.
Macro Context (Daily)
The daily chart maintains a bullish undertone as higher-lows remain intact, and price continues to defend key demand blocks. That said, the upper range resistance around the $3360–$3380 area has capped recent rallies, leaving the market positioned between a strong daily demand base and significant supply overhead.
Swing Structure (4H)
On the 4H, gold is consolidating between a fresh demand block at $3318–$3324 and a supply block at $3356–$3362. This consolidation aligns perfectly with premium/discount zones of the current 4H range, giving us clarity on where institutional flows are likely to engage.
Execution Refinement (1H)
The 1H chart adds precision:
A bullish FVG and demand overlap sit at $3320, creating inducement for long entries.
Above, clear liquidity is resting just beyond $3355 and again near $3380, prime zones for potential stop-runs and reversals.
Momentum indicators (RSI/MACD) show hidden bullish divergence at demand and early exhaustion at supply — adding weight to both sides of the range.
Execution Zones
Primary Buy Zone (Golden Zone) → $3318 – $3324
Entry: $3322 | SL: $3312 | TP1: $3345 | TP2: $3360
Confluence: Daily demand OB + 4H discount zone + 1H FVG + RSI divergence.
Secondary Buy Zone → $3302 – $3308
Entry: $3306 | SL: $3296 | TP1: $3328 | TP2: $3340
Confluence: Deep retracement into 61.8% Fib + untapped 4H OB + liquidity sweep potential.
Primary Sell Zone → $3356 – $3362
Entry: $3359 | SL: $3369 | TP1: $3342 | TP2: $3325
Confluence: Daily resistance + 4H supply OB + premium zone + liquidity inducement above $3355.
Secondary Sell Zone → $3378 – $3384
Entry: $3381 | SL: $3391 | TP1: $3360 | TP2: $3335
Confluence: Major untested daily supply + 4H imbalance + stop-run liquidity.
Executive Summary
The clearest asymmetric opportunity lies in the Primary Buy Zone at $3318–$3324, which aligns across Daily, 4H, and 1H with multiple layers of confluence. This zone provides tight risk control with substantial upside toward $3360.
Until we see a decisive break of either the $3300 handle or the $3380 resistance, expect gold to remain range-bound with sharp liquidity grabs at both extremes. Institutional order flow favors a buy-the-dip bias within demand zones, while rallies into supply should be approached with tactical shorts.
Golden Zone = Buy $3318 – $3324
(best confluence: demand OB + FVG + RSI divergence + structural HL defense)
XAUUSD: Channel Ride to the Top or Fakeout Incoming?Gold is moving inside an uptrend channel, building momentum after bouncing from support. Right now, price is testing the key zone 3344 – 3348 – this is where the market will decide its next move.
📊 MMFLOW Outlook
✅ Scenario 1: Trend continuation (main bias)
Holding above 3344 – 3348 keeps the bullish structure intact.
A clean breakout over 3348.7 opens the path to:
→ Target 1: 3361.2
→ Target 2: 3369.8 (top of the channel)
⚠️ Scenario 2: Deeper retest before the move
If price rejects 3348 – 3351, a dip back to 3334 is likely.
Buyers may step in here to reload positions and push price higher.
A break below 3334 would weaken the bullish setup short-term.
📌 Key Levels (NY Session):
Support: 3334 | 3344 – 3348
Resistance: 3361.2 | 3369.8
✨ MMFLOW Note:
👉 Bias stays bullish, but patience at liquidity zones is key.
👉 Follow the flow – manage risk before the market makes the move.
A small rebound is not a trend reversal, continue to short#XAUUSD
Gold was stimulated by news yesterday and hit a high of 3352 at one point, but failed to effectively break through and stabilize above it. In the short term, it did not completely reverse the unilateral trend.📊
At present, gold continues to fall and rebounds after testing the effectiveness of the support level of 3330-3320 below. 📈In the short term, pay attention to the 3350 mark above.🌈 Once it breaks through and stabilizes above 3355, it is expected to test the resistance near the previous high of 3370.📉
On the other hand, if gold fails to maintain a firm footing above this level, it will likely remain volatile in the short term.↘️
This is why I didn't immediately follow up with a short position after closing my short position near 3335, 🤔opting instead to wait and see the market. 👀Gold has been fluctuating repeatedly recently. Please be cautious when trading and beware of falling into traps set by market makers.🎁
GOLD Best 2 Places For Buy & Best Place For Sell Cleared !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 15 Mins T.F , We have a sideway movement since week start between 3343.00 to 3326.00 and finally yesterday we had a breakout and the price touch 3311.00 and the price moved to upside and again above 3326.00 so it`s still my fav place to can enter a buy trade , and the second place we can buy from it 3333.00 so we can buy from both levels , 3343.00 will be the best place for sell specially if we have not a daily closure above it , now the price very near buy area we can wait the price to retest the support area and then enter a buy trade and targeting 3343.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bearish P.A , we can enter a sell trade and targeting 3326.00 ., and if we have a daily closure above 3343.00 i will think only for buy until end of the week .
GOLD Best Places To Buy And Sell Cleared , 400 Pips Waiting !Here is m y opinion on GOLD On 15 Mins T.F , We have a sideway movement since week start between 3343.00 to 3326.00 so we can buy and sell from both areas , 3343.00 will be the best place for sell and 3326.00 will be the best place for buy , now the price very near buy area we can wait the price to retest the support area and then enter a buy trade and targeting 3343.00 and when the price touch it and give us a good bearish P.A , we can enter a sell trade and targeting 3326.00 .
Gold (XAU/USD) 21st August 2025Gold continues to trade within a critical range, where institutional footprints are leaving clear supply and demand imbalances. Today’s outlook blends the Daily (macro bias), 4H (swing structure), and 1H (execution refinement) to deliver execution-ready trading zones.
🔵 Demand Side (Buy Zones)
Primary Buy Zone: $3325 – $3332
This zone represents the highest-probability demand for bulls. On the 4H chart, a fresh bullish order block was created after a clean break of structure, and the 1H confirms liquidity sweeps of prior lows alongside a fair value gap. Momentum indicators add confluence, with RSI resetting near 40 and OBV spiking during the last rally.
Execution Plan: Buy around $3330 with stops below $3320. Targets are $3362 and $3380.
Secondary Buy Zone: $3300 – $3308
If the first demand fails, deeper liquidity pools sit near $3300. This level coincides with discount pricing of the recent impulse leg and untapped demand on the Daily chart. Equal lows and a large liquidity cluster make this zone attractive for a potential accumulation before any further rally.
Execution Plan: Buy around $3305 with stops below $3292. Targets are $3340 and $3360.
🔴 Supply Side (Sell Zones)
Primary Sell Zone (Golden Zone): $3365 – $3372
This is today’s strongest supply area and the nominated Golden Zone. A fresh 4H bearish order block, aligned with a fair value gap and liquidity above recent highs, creates a high-probability rejection point. On lower timeframes, bearish divergence on MACD and expanding ATR volatility confirm the risk of a downside move.
Execution Plan: Sell around $3368 with stops above $3378. Targets are $3342 and $3328.
Secondary Sell Zone: $3388 – $3395
Should momentum overshoot the primary supply, $3390 offers another key resistance. This area represents extreme premium pricing of the current leg and overlaps with an untested supply block. Liquidity from prior double tops rests above this zone, while RSI shows signs of overbought conditions.
Execution Plan: Sell around $3392 with stops above $3402. Targets are $3360 and $3340.
🟡 Executive Summary – Golden Zone
The Primary Sell Zone ($3365 – $3372) stands out as the highest-probability setup of the day. With strong alignment across Daily, 4H, and 1H charts, this area combines:
Fresh institutional supply,
Liquidity resting above highs,
Fair value gap imbalance,
Bearish divergence on momentum indicators.
The structure favors a controlled short with a tight invalidation point at $3378.
Plan of the Day: Short from $3368 with targets at $3342 and $3328.
Final Note: Always manage risk with discipline. Zones highlight institutional footprints, but execution must adapt to live order flow and market conditions.
Gold (XAU/USD) Short-Term Bearish Setup1. Well-Defined Resistance Zones
Two horizontal shaded areas labeled Resistance R1 and Resistance R2 mark zones near $3,360–$3,380, where price repeatedly failed to break higher.
Trading ideas from analysts on TradingView reinforce that the immediate resistance lies around $3,364–$3,370. As long as price stays below that, sellers remain in control
2. Descending Channel & Bearish Momentum
The chart highlights a shift from an earlier ascending channel (green), followed by breakdown and decline — a classic reversal from bullish to bearish.
In line with this, there’s also mention of a bearish flag pattern forming on the 30-minute (M30) timeframe, offering a potential shorting opportunity
3. Key Support Levels & Targets
Multiple support levels annotated: Support S2 (at two levels) and Support S3, with notable levels around $3,315, $3,301–$3,302, and $3,300.
The annotated price action indicates projected declines toward those levels—especially highlighting $3,314.94, $3,301.55, and $3,300.96 as intermediate and key targets.
Ultimately, the red “High support area” below suggests a broader demand zone, perhaps around $3,280–$3,300, where stronger support may emerge.
4. Trading Plan Illustrated
White arrows depict a descending trajectory: from current levels down to each support, suggesting a sell-on-rally approach.
Blue markers denote possible bounce points for pullbacks before continuation lower.
Broader Market Context
Gold prices have recently been tracking in the $3,330–$3,350 range, facing resistance near $3,350–$3,360 and support near $3,300. Analysts caution that a break below that could push it toward $3,245 or $3,150–$3,120
Overall momentum has turned cautious or bearish—bearish engulfing patterns, weakening rally strength, and below-average technical indicators emphasize the risk of further declines
Weak U.S. economic indicators or dovish signals from Fed officials (like Powell) could offer brief relief rallies; but failure to reclaim resistance may extend the slide
Key Levels at a Glance
Level Type Price Range Notes
Resistance ~$3,350–$3,360+ Strong ceiling—decline confirms bearish bias
Support S1 ~$3,315–$3,320 First potential reaction zone
Support S2 ~$3,301 Intermediate target for sellers
Support S3 ~$3,300 Psychological barrier; near high support zone
High Support Area ~$3,280–$3,300 Zone where bullish buyers might regroup
Conclusion
chart effectively captures a short-term bearish trend in gold (XAU/USD), showing:
Failed attempts to overcome resistance near $3,360.
A bearish flag breakout signaling potential continuation downward.
Clearly plotted support targets, with bounce zones drawn out.
A visual trade plan suggesting sell-on-rallies targeting declining support levels until reaching a strong demand zone.
To succeed with this setup, traders might wait for a brief rally into one of the identified sell zones (e.g. ~$3,314 or $3,325) before entering shorts, with stop-loss placements above the resistance areas and profit objectives aligned with support levels ($3,301 or near $3,300).
Gold/Bitcoin → Latest Trading StrategiesGold prices, Bitcoin, and foreign exchange all fell to varying degrees yesterday. Our sell orders all saw profits, which is cause for celebration.
With the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision imminent, the Swing Trading Center's trading outlook is to position long positions in advance, anticipating a significant rise after the decision. Gold prices are currently at a new low this month, hitting 3311, and are currently quoted at 3322. A tentative target for a short-term rebound could be around 3345. Buy below this level for preemptive trading.
BTCUSD also experienced a significant decline during the US dollar's rise. This may be related to Trump. This is a game between safe-haven assets. Before the US dollar experienced a significant decline, gold and Bitcoin would have to take a back seat, as the US dollar remains the primary safe-haven asset.
The downward trend in gold and BTCUSD requires significant news to revive and break the trend. Therefore, short-term traders can place buy orders in advance and wait for the market to rise.
Gold Break Strong After Liquidity Sweep Next Target Before FOMCXAUUSD Update | Gold Breaks Strong After Liquidity Sweep – Next Target Before FOMC
Gold has made a powerful bullish comeback, exactly as anticipated in the MMFLOW Trading Plan. After clearing liquidity below, price quickly reversed and is now showing strong buying pressure. This move was no surprise, as the current market structure clearly supports a bullish breakout – and today we may even see price break above the H1 downtrend line ahead of the FOMC statement.
📈 Active Buy Entries from Plan:
✅ Buy 3314 → Now +340 PIPS
✅ Buy 3318 (DCA) → Now +300 PIPS
✅ Buy 3325 (DCA) → Now +230 PIPS
👉 For now, traders should stick with the bullish momentum. Short positions should only be considered if there is confirmed sell volume.
🔑 Key Trading Levels:
📍 3370 – Major level to watch for potential SELL setups.
Market reaction around this zone will be crucial, especially before FOMC, which is expected to bring high volatility.
⚡️ Trading Tip: Follow the trend, respect KeyLevels, and manage risk carefully. With FOMC around the corner, the market could deliver explosive opportunities.
✨ Once again – KeyLevels = Profits ✅
XAUUSD Daily Plan | Gold Awaits FOMC – Liquidity Hunt in ActionXAUUSD Daily Plan | Gold Awaits FOMC – Liquidity Hunt in Action
Gold continued to move lower into liquidity during the late US session yesterday and reacted strongly at the BUY ZONE 3314 – 3316 (MMFLOW Entry), already giving more than +70 pips profit so far ✅.
On the M5 – M15 short-term structure, Gold is showing a mild recovery. However, for buyers to take control, price must break the resistance at 3320 – 3322 with strong volume. A confirmed breakout here can trigger further upside momentum and retest higher KeyLevels.
📈 Upside Targets (Intraday): 333x and 334x – these levels may act as Take-Profit zones for longs or potential SELL opportunities in line with the corrective channel on M30 – H1.
🔔 Fundamental Focus – FOMC Meeting Ahead
Today, the FOMC meeting will be the key event during the US session. Traders are waiting for clues about the Fed’s rate decision. Any dovish signals about a possible rate cut in September could be the catalyst for a strong Gold rally, breaking the current bearish channel.
👉 During the Asia – Europe sessions, intraday bias remains bullish towards 333x – 334x, where we will also watch for selling opportunities.
⚠️ During the US session, expect high volatility with FOMC, so manage risk carefully.
📉 Technical Trading Plan
🔹 BUY Scalp Setup
Entry: 3311 – 3309
SL: 3305
TP: 3315 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360+
🔹 BUY Zone (FOMC Plan)
Entry: 3290 – 3288
SL: 3282
TP: 3295 → 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370+
🔸 SELL Scalp Setup
Entry: 3342 – 3344
SL: 3348
TP: 3338 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320
🔸 SELL Zone (FOMC Plan)
Entry: 3360 – 3362
SL: 3368
TP: 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330
⚠️ Trading Notes
FOMC will bring high-impact volatility – stay alert.
Stick to TP/SL discipline and risk management to protect capital.
Remember: KeyLevels = Profits ✅
XAUUSD Safe-Haven Flows Could Trigger Bullish Move in GoldI’m currently analyzing XAUUSD (Gold) 🪙✨, which appears to be significantly oversold 📉 and now trading into a prior bullish imbalance zone ⚖️ — an area where price could begin to rebalance. This level is particularly important, as it has acted as a key reaction point multiple times in the past 📊. With gold being overextended and signs of weakness emerging in the stock markets 📉📉, my view is that capital could rotate into safe-haven assets 🛡️, potentially fueling a gold rally 🚀. I’ll be watching for a bullish break of structure 🔍 as a signal to enter long. (Not financial advice.)
Gold: Correction & Retest of Broken Level1. Fundamental Outlook
Gold is trading close to $3,300, its lowest level in the past three weeks, as market participants remain cautious ahead of key U.S. monetary policy signals. The current weakness is not only tied to technical flows but also to expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s policy stance. Despite signs of a slowing labor market and softer inflation figures, investors believe that the Fed may resist adopting an overly aggressive easing cycle.
The upcoming release of the Fed minutes and, more importantly, Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium, will likely determine the next big move for gold. Until then, sentiment remains defensive, and investors are reluctant to commit to large positions.
2. Dollar Dynamics
The U.S. dollar has been strengthening, exerting downward pressure on gold. Several factors are contributing to this:
Policy Expectations: Markets still assign around an 85% probability of a September rate cut, but traders expect Powell to signal caution and avoid endorsing steep or rapid cuts.
Housing Market Resilience: Strong housing data has reinforced confidence in the U.S. economy, giving further support to the dollar.
Geopolitical Headlines: News of potential Ukraine negotiations added a layer of optimism for risk sentiment, while also supporting the dollar as investors adjust safe-haven allocations.
As long as the dollar maintains this upward momentum, gold is likely to face headwinds, with upside moves limited to corrective rallies.
3. Technical Setup
From a technical standpoint, gold is in the process of a correction following a bearish rally. This corrective phase is characterized by short-term rebounds toward local resistance zones, but without a confirmed breakout, the overall bias remains negative.
Resistance Levels: 3328, 3331, 3345
Support Levels: 3314, 3300, 3270
The correction could bring gold to test the 3328–3345 resistance zone. However, if the price fails to sustain above these levels, the risk of renewed selling pressure increases. A confirmed breakdown below 3300 would expose the 3270 area, which serves as the next major downside target.
In short, unless gold can establish firm support above 3345, the path of least resistance remains lower.
4. Key Events to Watch
The most critical driver for gold in the near term is Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole on Friday. Investors will focus on whether Powell signals a cautious approach—supporting the dollar—or hints at policy flexibility, which could provide temporary relief for gold.
Additionally, the Fed minutes release will be analyzed for any details on how policymakers view the balance between inflation risks and economic weakness. Beyond monetary policy, continued monitoring of U.S. economic data releases and geopolitical developments (particularly around Ukraine) will remain essential for short-term positioning in gold.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold remains under pressure, weighed down by a stronger dollar and uncertainty around Fed policy. While technical corrections may push prices higher in the short term, the broader outlook remains cautious. The 3300 level is pivotal—holding above it could allow for a corrective bounce, while a break below may accelerate declines toward 3270. The decisive trigger, however, will come from Powell’s comments at Jackson Hole, which are likely to set the tone for gold’s direction into September.
8/19: Watch Support at 3328-3323 and Look for Buying OpportunitiGood evening, everyone!
Gold remains range-bound between 3323–3348. On the 30M chart, the key resistance is clustered at 3337–3343, while support stays at 3328–3323.
On the 2H chart, the structure remains suppressed, but the bullish divergence on indicators hasn’t been fully corrected yet. Two possible scenarios may unfold:
1️⃣ Price breaks below 3323 first, triggering a stronger rebound;
2️⃣ Support holds, leading to an immediate push higher toward the 3348–3352–3358 resistance zone.
Either way, the medium-term bias favors the upside.
Trading strategy: prioritize buying on dips, selling on highs as secondary.
⚠️ Note: If your account is under pressure, it’s safer to wait for clearer signals rather than rushing in. For detailed guidance, feel free to reach out.
XAUUSD:Continue shorting at high levels to profit.Gold prices did not significantly break through their upper limits yesterday. The London market began its downward trend. New York markets extended their decline after opening, hitting a low of 3326. The meeting is almost over, but there has been no progress. The market has digested the expected gold price trend and is currently rebounding. However, if further news is released, gold prices may fall further. Consider selling between 3345 and 3340.