Gold: High VolatilityYesterday, gold’s main structure followed a consolidation path, with the focus of its short-term structure edging slightly higher. The risk of price volatility today has increased. Combining the daily and hourly chart trends, the risk of volatility for gold will be very high in the next two days. Subjectively, we temporarily maintain the expectation of a technical correction pullback. Gold’s bullish performance has not been particularly strong, and with heavy resistance above, the trend has not reversed.
From the 4-hour chart, focus on the short-term resistance at the 4010 level, with secondary resistance at 4020-4025. For support, watch the short-term level at 3960-3970 and the key previous low support at 3888-3890. The bull-bear dividing line remains the 4040-4055 range. As long as this resistance range is not broken, I believe the trend has not reversed,on the contrary, any rebound presents opportunities to enter short positions.
We can enter short orders when rebounds encounter pressure. Operationally, it is recommended to continue shorting as long as rebounds fail to break key resistances.
Trading Strategy:
Sell 4010 - 4020
TP 3970 - 3960 - 3950
Buy 3920 - 3930
TP 3950 - 3960 - 3970
Xauusdupdates
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Stuck in Sideway channel [11.6.2025]Hi guys, Anfibo's here!
XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
At present, OANDA:XAUUSD is moving sideways within a well-defined H1 channel, showing signs of short-term consolidation after recent volatility. The market is currently lacking a clear directional bias, as both buyers and sellers are testing the upper and lower bounds of this intraday structure. Such conditions often favor range-trading strategies, where precision and timing become crucial for capturing short bursts of momentum.
In this context, our plan today remains straightforward and tactical — trade directly off the trendlines of the channel. In other words, we will look to buy at the lower boundary of the range and sell near the upper boundary, while also being prepared to switch positions if a breakout occurs in either direction.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
(1) ENTRY: 4015 - 4025
SL: 4030
TP: 4050
(2) ENTRY: 4060 - 4080
SL: 4090
TP: 4000 - 3955
Risk Management:
- Stick to small-to-medium positions within the range; increase size only on confirmed breakouts.
- Keep stops tight, as sideways phases tend to trigger false signals.
- Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid overtrading in choppy conditions.
- Reassess bias once the H1 channel is clearly broken.
Conclusion:
Gold is currently in a sideways consolidation phase within its H1 channel, awaiting fresh catalysts to determine direction. Until a decisive breakout occurs, the most effective approach is range trading — buying near support, selling near resistance, and reacting dynamically to any confirmed breakout.
The plan today is simple yet strategic:
Patience and discipline will be key to capitalizing on this quiet yet potentially explosive setup.
HAVE A NICE DAY, GUYS!
Gold: Support at 4006–3994, Resistance Near 4030Yesterday, gold broke above the 30-minute MA60 resistance and then pulled back to retest the level, successfully turning it into support. After confirming the support, price continued to grind higher today, reaching around 4020. The MA60 remains the core support for this upward structure. Unless the market enters a strong one-way rally, a pullback is likely, with the MA20/MA30 serving as secondary support levels during the process.
On the 4-hour chart, price is currently testing the MA60 resistance while moving averages still maintain a bullish alignment. If price can successfully complete a resistance-to-support shift around the 4006-3994 zone on the 4H timeframe, it may open the door for a move toward the 4080-4100 resistance region. The first key resistance sits near 4030. Therefore, if price pulls back after testing 4030 but holds above the 4006-3994 support zone, it will retain potential to test 4050/4080-4100 area.
Another Volatile Day for Gold: Is the Next Leg Down Loading?Yesterday was just another volatile session for Gold...
After testing the waters above $4,000, price reversed sharply during the New York session, dropping to around $3,930.
A brief consolidation followed, and by the time of writing, Gold already rebounded toward $3,970, reclaiming the $3,960 support area.
Despite this recovery, the overall structure remains bearish — as long as price fails to stabilize above $4,000, sellers maintain control.
📉 Outlook:
I continue to expect another leg down, with $3,915 as my next focus, followed by the recent low around $3,885.
XAUUSD- Bullish setupGold is showing early signs of a bullish reversal after finding support around the lower green band and reclaiming the short-term trend zone. Price has broken above the descending structure with increasing momentum, suggesting potential continuation to the upside.
Bullish Confluences:
Bounce from lower volatility band support (oversold zone).
Break above local trend resistance and EMA ribbon.
Higher lows forming, showing renewed buying pressure.
🎯 Fibonacci Targets:
TP1: 38.2% – $4,049
TP2: 61.8% – $4,075
TP3: 100% – $4,117
As long as price holds above the recent breakout zone (~$3,995–$4,000), bulls remain in control. A clean move through the golden zone could confirm continuation toward higher targets.
XAUUSD LONG SETUP INTRADAY ( NOV 06, 2025 )If you have doubt on our trades you can test in demo.
OANDA:XAUUSD LONG SETUP
EP: 3993.469
TP: 4017.410
SL: 3981.518
Trade Ideas:
Idea is clearly shown on chart + we have some secret psychologies and tools behind this.
Trade Signal:
I provide trade signals here so follow my account and you can check my previous analysis. So don't miss trade opportunity so follow must.
We firmly go long when the market is blindly shorting.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
From the hourly chart, the short-term gold price has broken through the resistance of the triangle pattern boundary. The market has made its choice, and it is clear that we bulls have won. Therefore, we can continue to execute our trading strategy for the next step. Wait for a pullback to 3995-3985 to buy again, with an initial target of 4020-4030.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues to face resistance below the $3,995–$3,993 Resistance Zone, with repeated rejections suggesting weakening bullish momentum. Price action has formed lower highs near $3,990, signalling potential exhaustion.
The Support Zone sits around $3,929–$3,938, which previously acted as a springboard for short-term rebounds. The current structure favours a bearish correction, particularly if price fails to reclaim $3,995 on a sustained basis. A clean break below $3,950 would confirm bearish continuation toward the $3,930 area.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Sell near resistance, target a drop toward support.
Entry: $3,985 – $3,993 (Resistance Zone retest)
Stop Loss: $3,996
Take Profit 1: $3,950
Take Profit 2: $3,930
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 5.2
A break above $3,996 would invalidate the short setup and could open the door to retest $4,030.
🌐 Macro Background
Gold prices slipped to around $3,970 in Thursday’s Asian session, weighed down by stronger-than-expected US private payroll data and a resilient US Dollar.
As FXStreet’s Lallalit Srijandorn noted, “Gold edges lower below $4,000 as private payrolls rebound in October.” 【FXStreet】
ADP Employment Data: US companies added 42,000 jobs in October, rebounding from the previous month’s contraction, suggesting stabilization in the labor market. This data supports the Fed’s cautious tone and trims expectations for near-term rate cuts.
Fed Commentary: Several Fed officials, including Michael Barr, John Williams, and Christopher Waller, are scheduled to speak later today. Any hawkish remarks reinforcing the “higher for longer” narrative could further strengthen the USD and pressure gold.
Government Shutdown: The US government shutdown, now at 37 days, marks the longest in history. Political gridlock could lend some safe-haven support to gold, but so far, the impact has been muted compared to stronger USD dynamics.
In short, with the US labour market improving and Fed officials maintaining caution, gold’s upside remains limited, while macro bias supports near-term weakness.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,985 – $3,996
Support: $3,929 – $3,938
Psychological Level: $4,000
📌 Trade Summary
Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure below $4,000 as bullish momentum fades. The setup favours a short position from the $3,985–$3,993 zone, targeting a decline toward $3,930. A sustained break above $3,996 would invalidate this bias and shift focus to $4,030 resistance.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAU/USD Holds 3,980$ as Bulls Eye Recovery Toward 4,020$🔍 Market Context
Gold steadies near the 3,980$ mark as traders weigh shifting expectations on US interest rates.
The latest ADP employment report showed a modest increase of 42,000 jobs — easing fears of an accelerated slowdown but reinforcing the broader cooling trend in the labor market.
While the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts have supported bullion throughout the year, the prolonged US government shutdown now clouds macro visibility, delaying key economic data.
Despite mixed sentiment, gold remains one of 2025’s strongest-performing assets, up over 50% year-to-date, driven by ETF inflows and central bank demand.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4)
Gold has staged a notable rebound from the 3,947$–3,969$ demand zone, reclaiming short-term structure and approaching the 3,990$–4,000$ liquidity pocket.
This area aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement and descending trendline resistance — making it the next decision point for intraday traders.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Support: 3,947$ – 3,969$ (Liquidity Base / Re-accumulation)
• 🎯 Resistance: 3,992$ – 4,024$ (Fibo 0.618 + Trendline Confluence)
• ⚙️ Extended Bull Target: 4,028$ – 4,033$ (1.272–1.618 Fibo Expansion)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → shifts bias toward 3,905$ liquidity pool.
🎯 MMFLOW View
Smart money continues to accumulate within the re-accumulation pocket near 3,950$, hinting at latent bullish intent.
If price holds above 3,970$ after today’s consolidation, an extension toward 4,020$–4,033$ remains highly probable.
However, failure to maintain intraday demand could invite another liquidity sweep before a larger push higher.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Liquidity reveals intention — structure only confirms it.”
XAUUSD: The resistance level at 4020 remains strongGold has attempted to break through the 4020 resistance level several times today but failed. Coupled with the fact that the U.S. initial jobless claims data has not yet been released, it has now re-entered a correction phase.
The resistance level at 4020 remains strong.
For support, the short-term level is still at 3960-3970,and the key previous low support at 3888-3890.
The trading strategy can still refer to our analysis from this morning.
GOLD Smart Money Might Be Preparing for Bullish Structure ShiftGold (XAU/USD) is showing early signs that Smart Money may be shifting from a distribution phase into a short-term accumulation phase.
After a strong bearish leg marked by multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), recent price behavior now suggests the potential formation of a Market Structure Shift (MSS) — an early indication that institutional flow could be changing direction.
💭 1️⃣ Market Structure – When the Market “Whispers” About Reversal
On the H1 timeframe, we can clearly observe a chain of consecutive BOSs since the 4,150 zone, but what’s intriguing is the reaction around 3,925 – 3,940.
Here, price failed to make new lower lows and began rejecting strongly — leaving several rejection wicks that reveal smart money absorption at discounted prices.
This area represents the discount zone of the current range — where institutions often collect liquidity from trapped sellers before pushing price toward premium levels for redistribution.
The latest Break of Market Structure (BMS) around 3,987 confirms that bearish momentum is weakening, and buyers may be starting to reclaim control in the short term.
🩶 2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones – Footprints of Smart Money
Karina is currently watching three key zones shaping this market phase:
Demand Zones:
3,938 – 3,925: A strong demand base formed after the initial push upward — acting as a key support if price retraces.
3,986 – 3,988: A minor demand zone formed post-BMS, serving as a potential “reaccumulation point” for the next bullish leg.
Supply Zones:
4,111 – 4,149: Unmitigated Bearish Order Block from the previous decline — the most probable upside target for Smart Money in the current swing.
The projected SMC scenario: Smart Money accumulates at demand → builds liquidity → drives price into the upper supply zones.
🧭 3️⃣ Liquidity Context – Quiet but Purposeful Movement
Gold currently sits within a liquidity equilibrium — a transitional area where both buy- and sell-side liquidity coexist.
Below, 3,886 remains a pocket of sell-side liquidity, while above, large buy-side liquidity pools rest around 4,110 – 4,150.
Smart Money may first collect the remaining sell-side liquidity before triggering a strong upward displacement toward the upper supply zones — following the familiar pattern:
liquidity sweep → displacement → continuation.
🌙 4️⃣ Trade Scenario – Flow With Smart Money, Not Against It
As long as price holds above 3,938 – 3,987, the short-term bias for Karina is bullish.
If price retests these demand zones and forms bullish confirmations (e.g., bullish engulfing or clear order flow shift), it may set the stage for a push toward the 4,111 – 4,148 region.
Entry: 3,938 – 3,987
Stop Loss: 3,925
Take Profit: 4,111 – 4,148
This setup presents roughly a 1:4 R:R, consistent with a buy-side liquidity grab strategy under SMC principles.
🌷 5️⃣ Reflection – When the Market Moves in Silence
After an extended bearish phase, Gold now seems to be accumulating strength in quiet preparation.
This is not a loud reversal — it’s a subtle rebalancing of institutional flow.
To Karina, the market right now feels like a slow, gentle rhythm — calm, deliberate, and full of hidden intent. Sometimes, the key isn’t chasing volatility, but listening to the whispers of Smart Money in the silence of price action. 🌸
This analysis reflects Karina’s personal perspective and is not financial advice.
Do you see the same structure forming? Could this be the early stage of a bullish cycle, or just another liquidity grab? Let’s discuss below 💬
Gold Trade Set Up Nov 6 2025Price shifted structure to bullish during Asia and London on the 1h but on the 4h price is overbought and is sitting at a strong resistance so i would only buy if price can break and close above supply and most recent 15m swing high but if price stays closed below resistance and respects supply i will look to take sells back down to lower demand zones and SSL levels
Gold Testing Resistance, Compression Structure Set to Break📊 Market Structure
On the H1 chart, gold is forming a compression structure between the Support 3,944 USD and Resistance 3,989 USD zones.
The recent lows create a series of Higher Lows along the rising trendline – indicating buyers are quietly absorbing supply around the lower region.
However, the 3,989 USD zone remains the central resistance axis , converging with the descending trendline formed from the previous peak (4,028 USD). Each time the price hits this zone, a short-term profit-taking reaction occurs, showing strong defense from sellers.
Below the support zone, the Premium Zone 3,944 USD continues to be the main pivot point – where the price has previously surged strongly in the last two sessions.
If this zone is breached, the short-term bullish structure will be invalidated, opening up the possibility of returning to the Liquidity Zone around 3,921 – 3,892 USD .
Conversely, if the price closes above 3,989 USD , the market will confirm a Bullish Break of Structure (BoS), triggering an extended target towards 4,028 – 4,052 USD .
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Resistance Zone 1: 3,989 USD → main resistance, strong reaction zone.
• Resistance Zone 2: 4,028 – 4,052 USD → upper liquidity target zone.
• Support Zone: 3,944 USD → dynamic support, converging with the rising trendline.
• Liquidity Zone: 3,921 – 3,892 USD → the last zone protecting the bullish structure.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Await Confirmed Breakout:
If the price closes above 3,989 USD and successfully retests:
• Entry: 3,985 – 3,995
• SL: 3,965
• TP1: 4,015
• TP2: 4,028
• TP3: 4,052
2️⃣ SELL Scenario – React at Resistance:
If a reversal candlestick pattern appears at 3,989 USD:
• Entry: 3,985 – 3,990
• SL: 4,000
• TP1: 3,965
• TP2: 3,950
• TP3: 3,944
🧠 Vincent’s View
Gold is in a “compression before breakout” phase, with liquidity concentrated around the 3,989 USD zone.
If this zone is broken, the price could quickly surge to the supply area above 4,028 – 4,052 USD.
If it fails, a price rejection here could pull gold back to the rising trendline at 3,950 USD.
“Compression breeds expansion — let price show which side holds conviction.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 06/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 06.11.25XAUUSD (Gold/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, dated 06.11.25. Here’s a clear breakdown of what the analysis suggests:
🟢 Overall Bias: BUY Projection
The setup shows a bullish outlook for Gold, following a trendline breakout and retest.
🔍 Key Technical Details:
Trendline Break & Retest:
A downward (bearish) trendline was broken to the upside.
Price retested the broken trendline, confirming potential for upward continuation.
Temporary Resistance:
Around 3989–3990 level (current price area).
If this zone is broken cleanly, further upward movement is expected.
Uptrend Line (1H):
An ascending trendline is drawn, suggesting the current bullish momentum.
The projection follows this uptrend structure.
Resistance Levels:
Resistance R1: Around 4000–4010
Resistance R2: Around 4020–4030
These are potential target zones for buyers.
Support / Stop-Loss Area:
Below 3970, marked in the red shaded region, is the invalidation level if price drops below it.
🧭 Projected Path:
The arrows indicate the expected movement:
Minor pullback from temporary resistance.
Bounce off the trendline.
Continuation up through R1 and potentially toward R2.
💡 Summary:
Bias: Bullish (Buy)
Entry Zone: Near 3980–3990 after retest confirmation.
Targets:
TP1 = 4000–4010 (R1)
TP2 = 4020–4030 (R2)
Stop-Loss: Below 3970 support.
Would you like me to calculate the risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) based on these zones
XAUUSD LONG-2 HIGH ACCURACY ( NOV 05, 2025 )If you have doubt on our trades you can test in demo.
OANDA:XAUUSD LONG
TP: 3987.065
SL: 3951.327
Trade Ideas:
Idea is clearly shown on chart + we have some secret psychologies and tools behind this.
Trade Signal:
I provide trade signals here so follow my account and you can check my previous analysis. So don't miss trade opportunity so follow must.
The correction is over; buy gold on pullbacks.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
With the White House website indicating the ongoing US government shutdown, the normal release of key data such as ADP and NFP may be affected. The news briefly boosted gold prices, leading to a technical rebound in Asian trading.
From the daily chart, the short-term resistance is still around 3980-4000, which is also where the 4H middle line is located. For the bulls to make a full comeback, they need to break through this resistance range and hold above 4000. The current slow and volatile upward trend in gold prices indicates that the bulls still have room to maneuver. In the short term, one can try to continue to be bullish on gold by using the middle line of the hourly chart as a defense. Conservative traders can wait for a pullback to 3970-3955 to try to go long on gold.
Gold Rebuilds Structure Above $3940, Eyeing $4030 Liquidity Pool
🔍 Market Context
Gold is attempting to regain bullish momentum as safe-haven demand remains supported by rising geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around the upcoming US ADP employment data.
The market continues to oscillate between risk aversion and rate expectations — with the Fed’s hawkish tone keeping the Dollar capped but steady.
At the same time, capital flow rotation from equities into defensive assets is quietly supporting the metal’s structural recovery, with gold holding above key liquidity levels despite intraday volatility.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1–H4)
After forming a double-bottom structure near $3,938, XAU/USD has reclaimed the 38.2% retracement zone (3,974–3,975) from its previous bearish leg.
This area now acts as a pivot zone, separating short-term bullish continuation from potential retracement.
The chart reveals a classic liquidity cycle shift:
Phase 1: Sweep of downside liquidity below 3,930, marking an internal structural low.
Phase 2: Expansion leg reclaiming short-term FVGs, signaling a potential smart money accumulation phase.
Phase 3: Repricing toward upper liquidity targets aligned with Fibonacci extensions.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Liquidity Base: 3,938 – 3,950 (recent demand re-entry area)
• 🎯 Rejection Zone 1: 3,974 – 3,999 (previous inefficiency block)
• ⚙️ Target Zone: 4,033 – 4,045 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extensions, liquidity pool)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,920 would shift structure back to distribution.
🎯 MMFLOW Scenario
If gold sustains above the 3,950 support cluster, buyers are likely to extend the retracement toward 3,999–4,033 where resting liquidity sits.
A clean rejection from 4,000 could trigger an intraday pullback — but as long as price holds above the 3,938 OB base, the bullish recovery structure remains intact.
The short-term narrative favors controlled accumulation, suggesting that smart money is building positions into liquidity zones before the next impulsive move.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Liquidity isn’t random — it’s engineered. Every move leaves a footprint, and gold is tracing its next one above $3,950.”
XAUUSD - Time to buy...XAUUSD was in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next resistance level which is market as the take profit zone (green line). Time to buy!
technical analysis of your XAU/USD (Gold) chartTimeframe: 15-Minute Chart
Current Price: $3,977
🔍 Chart Overview
The chart shows a downward channel (yellow lines) that Gold has recently broken to the upside, indicating potential bullish momentum.
There’s a support zone around $3,955 – $3,965, labeled as “SUPPORT LEVEL”.
A short-term corrective move is expected before the next upward push.
📊 Key Levels
Support Zone: $3,955 – $3,965
Immediate Resistance: $3,985 – $3,990
Major Target (Resistance): $4,031
🧭 Price Projection
After testing or retesting the support level, price is expected to bounce upward toward the $4,031 target.
The purple projection curve indicates a potential retracement followed by a bullish continuation.
💡 Trading Bias
Short-Term: Bullish above $3,960
Invalidation: Break below $3,950 could signal renewed bearish pressure.
LME:CA1! LME:MC1! LME:NI1! LME:SC1! LME:LH1! LME:AH1! LME:CO1! LME:CB1! LME:HC1! LME:AA1! LME:EA1! LME:HN1! LME:MD1!
Target: $4,031 (upside target based on resistance and breakout structure).
⚠️ Summary
Gold shows a reversal from a descending channel, now forming a support base near $3,960. If the price sustains above this zone, buyers may push it toward $4,031 in the short term.
Gold Trade Set Up Nov 5 2025Price has pulled back up during the Asia session from yesterdays drop. On the 4h we are still bearish but on the 1h and 15m we are making HH/HL. We got a 15m supply price is close to testing so i want to see price either respect it and make internal 5m bearish structure to go lower to take out SSL/London lows or break and close above it to continue higher to PDH






















