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Elite | XAUUSD | 30M – Break & Retest Continuation SetupOANDA:XAUUSD Price consolidated for an extended period before delivering a strong impulsive move through resistance. Such breakouts typically invite a pullback or consolidation above the broken level before continuation. As long as price holds above the former resistance zone, bullish continuation remains valid. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 A successful hold above the broken structure zone (≈4375–4385) opens the door for continuation toward higher highs. 🎯 Target 1: 4420 🎯 Target 2: 4450 ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Failure to hold above the broken level could lead to a deeper retracement toward institutional demand. 🎯 Downside Target: 4320–4300 Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 4420 – 4450 Support 🟢: 4385 – 4300 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Elite-Forex-Trades
1
XAUUSD Gold Momentum vs Weekly, Monthly & Year-End Pullback RiskI’m currently watching gold, which remains in a strong bullish trend. Price rallied aggressively through the Asian session, showing clear momentum to the upside 🚀. That said, gold is now looking over-extended. Price has pushed up into previous highs, and in fact has moved beyond those highs into new territory, consuming buy-side liquidity above the prior external range 🧲. We can also see a clear value area where price was range-bound toward the end of last week. That range has now broken to the upside, confirming bullish intent. I took a trade today based on this momentum ✅, but at this stage I’m reluctant to chase another buy at these levels. It’s important to think about how candles form. Every candle has an open, high, low, and close. Right now, we’re approaching the end of the week, the end of the month, and the end of the year all at once ⏳. This creates a bit of a triple whammy. With three major time-based candles in play (weekly, monthly, yearly), it’s very common to see price push into highs and then pull back sharply. That pullback could happen mid-week, into the end of the week, and potentially align with month-end and year-end positioning. As the week unfolds, there may be a counter-trend opportunity, but caution is key ⚠️. Liquidity typically becomes thin later in the week, especially around this time of year, which can lead to erratic or deceptive price action. Overall, this is not an ideal week to be active, and patience is likely the better play here 🧘‍♂️. Not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
1
GOLD (XAU/USD) PRICE ACTION OUTLOOK – MONDAY, 22 DECEMBER 2025 Based on current price action structure, Gold (XAU/USD) is showing strong bullish potential and may pump on Monday, 22 December 2025. The market is respecting key support zones, and bullish momentum could continue if price holds above these levels. Buyers should look for confirmations around the marked buy zones, targeting higher liquidity areas to the upside. Potential Buy Zones: 🔹 Buy Zone 1: 4308.65 - 4322.68 🔹 Buy Zone 2: 4271.55 - 4285.58 Stop Loss: 4256 Target: 4410.13 ⚠️ Always wait for confirmation and manage risk properly. This is price action–based analysis, not financial advice. Hashtags: #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #PriceAction #ForexAnalysis #GoldForecast #SmartMoney #TradingSetup #MarketStructure #ForexTraders #MondayMarket
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FreeForex-pk
11
XauUsd- Fresh ATH, But One Level MattersLast week, Gold spent most of its time trapped inside a frustrating 4310–4350 range, aside from a mid-week spike that showed no follow-through. But once the new week opened, everything changed — Gold broke out decisively during the Asian session and is now trading around 4400, printing a fresh all-time high. From a technical standpoint, the path of least resistance is up, and further ATHs look very realistic over the next few days. But for this momentum to hold, the 4350 zone must be defended. If bulls lose that level, the breakout loses its validity. As long as 4350 holds, the scenario remains constructive — and a move toward 4500 by Christmas is not only possible, but plausible.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
1
Gold will Make a New All Time HighHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by ForexMasters2000
GOLD (XAUUSD) – 1H Market Structure BreakdownGold is currently consolidating after a strong impulsive move to the upside. The price is trading inside a range, marked clearly by the red horizontal levels. 🔴 Key Resistance (Top Red Line) This zone represents major resistance / liquidity where price has previously been rejected. Multiple rejections here suggest sellers are active. A clean breakout and hold above this level would signal bullish continuation. 🔴 Key Support (Middle Red Line) Acts as range support and short-term decision zone. Price is currently reacting around this area, showing indecision. A breakdown below this level opens the door for deeper pullbacks. 🟧 Major Demand Zone (Orange Box) This is a strong demand / accumulation area. If price sweeps liquidity below the range, this zone is the high-probability buy area. Expect strong reactions or reversal setups here. 🧠 Projected Price Path (Black Arrows) The drawing suggests a liquidity grab scenario: Price breaks below range support. Sweeps sell-side liquidity. Drops into the demand zone. Strong bullish reaction from demand. Expansion move back toward — and potentially above — resistance. 📌 Bias Summary Short-term: Ranging / corrective. Mid-term: Bullish, after liquidity sweep. Best trades come from patience, not chasing breakouts. 💡 Let price come to your level. Trade the reaction, not the prediction.
TVC:GOLDShort
by D1GITALTRADES
Gold Outlook: Strongly Bullish with Smart Buy-on-Dips StrategyIn my view, the overall market trend is super bullish, which means our primary focus should remain on finding buying opportunities rather than selling. However, since today is Monday and the market is currently in an overbought zone, a healthy correction is quite possible before the next bullish move continues. Instead of chasing price at the top, I am planning to buy during pullbacks using a layering strategy. This approach helps manage risk while taking advantage of short-term corrections within a strong uptrend. 🔑 Planned Buy Levels (Layering Strategy): 1st Buy Zone: 4336.5 – 4339.5 2nd Buy Zone: 4321 – 4327.5 3rd Buy Zone: 4312.5 – 4318 These levels are selected to capture potential retracements where price may find support and resume the bullish momentum. 🛑 Risk Management: Stop Loss: 4307 Strict stop-loss discipline is essential to protect capital in case the market structure changes unexpectedly. 📊 Strategy Summary: Trend bias: Bullish Approach: Buy on dips Method: Layered entries Risk control: Fixed stop-loss As always, patience and discipline are key. Let the market come to your levels and avoid emotional trading. 🔖 Hashtags: #BullishMarket #BuyTheDip #MarketCorrection #TradingStrategy #Layering #RiskManagement #SmartTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MondayMarket #PriceAction
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FreeForex-pk
Those who are bullish are right, new highs are not the top.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions over the weekend, market risk aversion intensified, driving gold prices higher and easily breaking previous highs to new records. This aligns with our consistent bullish outlook, but we avoid blindly chasing the rally. Short-term support levels to watch are 4385-4375. If gold prices pull back to this level for the first time during the European session, we can consider taking a small long position in gold. However, be aware of the current overbought market, suggesting a technical need for a correction. If this correction extends further, it could be substantial. At this point, we need to pay attention to the important support level of 4355-4345. This is where the daily MA5 is located, and it is also the point where the moving averages and the middle Bollinger Band converge in multiple timeframes such as the hourly and 4-hour charts, which provides strong support. Therefore, if gold prices fall further to this level during the day, we can still consider going long on gold. In short, the most prudent trading approach is to avoid chasing rallies and wait for a pullback before going long
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Bull-Bear_Indicator
Elite | XAUUSD | 4H –Monthly Structure Compression OANDA:XAUUSD After a strong impulsive rally into all-time highs, Gold faced heavy rejection, confirming distribution at the top. Since then, price has transitioned into a controlled corrective phase, holding above higher-low support. Multiple reactions from trend support and demand indicate buyers are still active, but continuation requires either a clean demand reaction or a decisive breakout from the current compression. This is not a chase market — it is a positioning market. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Expansion Scenario 🚀 Condition: Price holds above institutional demand + trend support 🎯 Target 1: 4,360 🎯 Target 2: 4,420 🎯 Target 3: 4,480 (ATH sweep / extension) ❌ Bearish Breakdown Scenario 📉 Condition: Clean 4H close below trend support Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 4,360 – 4,420 – 4,480 Support 🟢: 4,280 – 4,180 – 3,920 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Elite-Forex-Trades
4
Elite | XAUUSD | 1H – Bullish Structure, Demand HoldingOANDA:XAUUSD After a strong impulsive push, price corrected in a controlled manner rather than dumping aggressively — a sign of healthy bullish structure. The current consolidation above demand suggests buyers are defending, but continuation is only valid if price holds above the demand box and reclaims intraday highs. Failure to hold this zone opens a deeper corrective move toward lower channel support. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Continuation 🚀 Condition: 1H close holding above 4310 Break and acceptance above 4340 🎯 Target 1: 4375 🎯 Target 2: 4400 🎯 Target 3: 4430 ❌ Bearish Breakdown 📉 Condition: Strong 1H close below 4300 🎯 Downside Target 1: 4275 🎯 Downside Target 2: 4252 (major structure support) Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 4340 – 4375 Support 🟢: 4310 – 4300 – 4252 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Elite-Forex-Trades
14
Elite | XAUUSD | 4H – Weekly Market Structure Outlook New ATH |OANDA:XAUUSD After rejecting from the ATH double-top region, price corrected deeply into higher-timeframe demand, where buyers regained control. The market respected trend support and printed a clean structural continuation, followed by consolidation and breakout. Current price is approaching a critical resistance band where reaction is expected before the next directional expansion. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 If price holds above the recent breakout zone and shows acceptance: 🎯 Target 1: Previous ATH zone 🎯 Target 2: ATH extension 🎯 Target 3: New price discovery highs ❌ Bearish Case 📉 If price rejects strongly from resistance and breaks below the bullish structure: 🎯 Downside Target 1: Broken structure retest zone 🎯 Downside Target 2: Trend support / demand area Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: ATH / Weekly supply zone Support 🟢: Breakout base & ascending trend support ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Elite-Forex-Trades
4
XauUsd Gold Short-Term Market Outlook Sell on Pullback.In the short term, the market looks overextended, and a temporary correction is likely before the next major move. Because of this expected pullback, traders can consider a SELL setup from a strong resistance area rather than chasing the market higher. This is a counter-trend, short-term trade, so proper risk management is extremely important. 🔴 Selling Zone (Resistance Area): Best Sell Area: 4418.06 – 4414.62 This zone represents a potential rejection area where price may struggle to continue upward and start correcting. 🛑 Risk Management: Stop Loss: 4422 A tight and clearly defined stop loss is crucial, as the overall market structure may still remain strong. 🎯 Targets: Target Range: 100 pips to 300 pips You can scale out profits based on price action and momentum. 📌 Trade Plan Summary: Bias: Short-term correction Trade Type: Sell from resistance Entry Method: Zone-based selling Stop Loss: Fixed Targets: Flexible (100–300 pips) ⚠️ This setup is meant for short-term traders only. Always wait for confirmation and manage position size carefully. 🔖 Hashtags: #MarketCorrection #ShortTermTrading #SellSetup #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #SmartTrading
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by FreeForex-pk
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (22/12/2025, LONDON SESSION) 1️⃣ Market Overview Gold opens the London session trading around $4,410, after a strong bullish continuation from last week that pushed price into weekly premium territory. The market has already tapped the weekly high at $4,420, where short-term selling pressure has appeared. Overall sentiment remains bullish, but price is now in a decision zone, where continuation or a corrective pullback will be defined during London–NY. ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1) • Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish. • Price continues to respect the ascending trendline and holds above the daily EMA. • The last impulsive leg confirmed continuation toward $4,420–$4,450 liquidity. • Daily structure remains valid as long as price holds above $4,300–$4,280. 📌 HTF Bias: Bullish continuation ⸻ 🔹 H1 • Clear bullish BOS sequence from the $4,310 swing low. • Price is currently consolidating just below weekly high resistance ($4,420). • Momentum is slowing, suggesting either continuation after consolidation or a pullback into demand. • No bearish structure break yet. 📌 Intraday Bias: Bullish, cautious near resistance ⸻ 🔹 15M – 5M • Short-term structure shows loss of momentum after tapping highs. • Minor CHoCH visible on lower timeframes, signaling potential retracement, not reversal. • Buyers remain active above $4,380–$4,365. • Any pullback holding structure is considered corrective. 📌 Execution Bias: Buy-the-dip unless structure breaks ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (Golden Zones) 📈 Bullish Swing Swing Low → Swing High: $4,310 → $4,420 • 38.2% → $4,378 • 50.0% → $4,365 • 61.8% → $4,352 🟩 Golden Buy Zone: $4,378 – $4,352 This zone aligns with trendline support and EMA confluence. ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios ✅ BUY Scenario (Primary Bias) • Buy Zone: $4,378 – $4,352 • Targets: $4,410 → $4,420 → $4,450 • Invalidation: Below $4,330 • Confirmation: 5M–15M BOS + bullish rejection candle ⸻ ⚠️ SELL Scenario (Countertrend Only) • Sell Zone: $4,420 – $4,430 • Targets: $4,395 → $4,380 • Invalidation: Clean break & hold above $4,430 • Note: Scalp-only, against HTF trend ⸻ 🚨 Breakout Scenario • Bullish Break: Acceptance above $4,430 • Continuation Targets: $4,450 → $4,480 • Confirms renewed HTF expansion. ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch • No high-impact USD news during early London. • Volatility expected to increase during NY session. • With fundamentals light, technical levels and liquidity behavior dominate. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels Resistance • 4,420 • 4,430 • 4,450 Support • 4,395 • 4,378 • 4,365 • 4,330 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, but price is currently reacting at weekly highs, making this a high-risk chase zone for late buyers. The preferred strategy is patience — waiting for either: ✔️ A pullback into premium demand for continuation buys ✔️ Or a confirmed breakout above $4,430 Any weakness above $4,365 is considered corrective, not bearish. ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary 🟢 Primary Bias: Bullish continuation 🟡 Short-Term: Consolidation / pullback possible 🔴 Bearish Only If: Price breaks and holds below $4,330 ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – WEEKLY PERFORMANCE RECAP 📱 📅 15 – 21 DECEMBER 2025 💰 Precision • Discipline • Consistency ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🟢 MONDAY 15/12 ✅ BUY +40 PIPS ✅ SELL +210 PIPS ✅ BUY +40 PIPS ✅ BUY +170 PIPS 📊 Strong directional bias — clean execution. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔵 TUESDAY 16/12 ❌ BUY -30 PIPS (SL) ❌ SELL -40 PIPS (SL) ❌ SELL -40 PIPS (SL) ✅ SELL +60 PIPS ✅ BUY +950 PIPS ✅ SELL +20 PIPS ✅ BUY +120 PIPS ✅ BUY +230 PIPS 📈 Volatility managed — big swing absorbed losses. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🟣 WEDNESDAY 17/12 ✅ SELL +20 PIPS ✅ BUY +210 PIPS ✅ SELL +20 PIPS ✅ SELL +40 PIPS ✅ BUY +110 PIPS ✅ BUY +110 PIPS ✅ BUY +770 PIPS 💎 Momentum continuation — strong trend follow-through. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔴 THURSDAY 18/12 ✅ BUY +90 PIPS ✅ BUY +90 PIPS ✅ BUY +220 PIPS ✅ SELL +60 PIPS ✅ BUY +60 PIPS ✅ BUY +20 PIPS ✅ BUY +20 PIPS ✅ BUY +220 PIPS ❌ BUY -60 PIPS (SL) 📊 Minor pullback — structure held firmly. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🟡 FRIDAY 19/12 ✅ BUY +310 PIPS ✅ BUY +210 PIPS ✅ BUY +210 PIPS ⚖️ SELL - BE ✅ BUY +100 PIPS 🔥 Strong weekly close — buyers in full control. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💸 BTCUSD WEEKEND BONUS ✅ BUY +1,100 PIPS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 WEEKLY RECAP 🏅 GOLD NET PIPS: +4,660 🪙 BTC BONUS: +1,100 🚀 TOTAL WEEKLY PROFIT: +5,760 PIPS ✅ 32 Signals Counted 🏆 28 Wins | 4 SL | BE Shown (Not Counted) 🎯 Win Rate: 88% ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 Another high-performance week — controlled risk, strong swing execution, and disciplined entries across GOLD & BTC. 👏 Congratulations if you profited — we keep building with precision. — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀📈
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by ELDORADOFX
1
XAU/USD: Buy on BOS, FVG + Fibo retracement!◆ Market Context (M30) Gold has just broken the rising BOS and created a strong push to the short-term peak area of 4,417. After the impulse, the market enters a pullback to rebalance—a common behavior before continuing the main trend. ◆ SMC & Price Action • The rising structure remains valid (HH–HL). • The FVG + Fibo zone (0.5–0.618) around 4,374 is the preferred area to look for buying pressure. • The OB below ~4,339 is a deeper support area if the pullback extends. • No bearish CHoCH yet → prioritize the bullish continuation scenario. ◆ Key Levels • Nearest peak/resistance: 4,417 • FVG + Fibo (BUY zone): ~4,374 • Deep OB: ~4,339 • Invalid rise: clear break of 4,339 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority) • Wait for price to retrace to 4,374 (FVG + Fibo) • Condition: rejection candle / maintain HL • Targets: ▪ 4,397 ▪ 4,417 (peak) ▪ extend if peak is broken ➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback • If 4,374 is breached • Monitor OB ~4,339 for buying reaction • Only BUY with structural confirmation ➤ Scenario C – Break & Continue • If price does not retrace deeply and holds above 4,397 • Follow the trend towards 4,417+ • Avoid FOMO at premium ◆ Summary • Context: pullback in an uptrend. • Decision zone: 4,374 → 4,339. • Upper target: 4,417. • Prioritize BUY according to structure, manage risk when price is at premium.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Breakout Rally AnalysisGold staged a strong breakout rally today, trading in a narrow range during Asian session before surging higher in European hours. The price initially consolidated between 4354-4370, then broke out with significant volume after European open, exceeding our earlier bullish expectations. Key Technical Levels : Support Levels: 4370 (converted breakout point);4350-4360 (former resistance turned support);4320-4330 (backup support zone) Resistance Levels: 4420 (intraday high);4450 (psychological round number);4480 (extension target) If price stabilizes above 4420 tonight, we anticipate extension toward 4450-4480, maintaining the strong bullish momentum. If price falls below 4370, be cautious of profit-taking leading to potential short-term correction. Trading Strategy: Buy 4390-4400 SL 4370 TP 4420 - 4430 - 4450 Sell 4420-4430 SL 4440 TP 4400 - 4390 - 4380
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by LouisJack66_trade
XAUUSD (Gold) – 30 Minute Chart | Detailed Technical DescriptionThis analysis is based on the 30-minute timeframe of XAUUSD, focusing on market structure, liquidity behavior, demand zones, and projected price path. Market Context Gold is currently trading in a range-bound structure after a strong impulsive move earlier. Price has already completed a liquidity sweep on the upside, indicating that buy-side liquidity above previous highs has been taken. After this sweep, price failed to sustain above the premium area and moved back into consolidation. Key Zones Identified 1. Liquidity Sweep Zone (Upper Supply Area) The highlighted upper rectangle marks an area where equal highs / resting liquidity existed. Price aggressively moved into this zone, swept liquidity, and rejected. This behavior suggests smart money distribution rather than continuation. This zone acts as a short-term supply / mitigation area. 2. Mid-Range Consolidation Zone The grey horizontal box represents a balanced price area where the market is consolidating. Multiple rejections from both top and bottom confirm indecision and accumulation. This is a key area for internal range trading until a clear breakout occurs. 3. Demand Zone (Entry Area) The lower highlighted blue zone marks a strong demand zone formed after: A sharp bullish impulse Multiple reactions from the same price level This zone aligns with: Previous structure support Unfilled institutional orders The entry point (around 4311) is marked where bullish reaction is expected. 4. Strong Support The lower blue horizontal line is a major higher-timeframe support. This level has previously caused: Strong bullish reversals Long impulsive moves upward If the immediate demand fails, this level becomes the last bullish defense. Projected Price Path (Black Arrow Structure) Initial Reaction Price is expected to react bullishly from the demand zone / entry point. First move targets the mid-range highs. Pullback Phase A corrective pullback is expected after the first impulse. This pullback is likely to remain above the demand zone, showing strength. Continuation Move After holding structure, price is projected to break higher. Final target is the upper liquidity / target zone around 4410. Bias Summary Overall Bias: Bullish (after demand reaction) Entry Logic: Demand zone + structure support Invalidation: Clear break and close below demand Target: Upper liquidity zone (premium area) Conclusion This setup reflects a classic liquidity-based structure: Liquidity taken above Price returns to demand Accumulation before expansion Patience is required for confirmation at the demand zone, as this area will determine whether price continues toward the upper target or revisits deeper support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forextradinghuboffical
XAU/USD – Bullish Structure Intact, Buy Pullbacks Into DemandMarket Context Gold continues to trade firmly within a rising trend channel, confirming that bullish momentum remains in control. The latest impulse leg successfully broke above the previous consolidation range, signaling strong participation from smart money. From a macro perspective, expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a dovish stance and move toward rate cuts next year continue to support gold. As a result, current pullbacks are viewed as technical rebalancing, not trend reversal. Technical Structure (H1 – Short-Term) Market structure remains Higher Highs – Higher Lows Price is holding above the ascending trendline Current price action shows a pullback / rebalancing phase after expansion No confirmed bearish BOS at this stage Key Technical Zones Upper liquidity / resistance: 4,410 – 4,420 Intermediate resistance: 4,374 – 4,384 Primary BUY pullback zone: 4,350 – 4,355 Deeper demand / trend defense: 4,330 – 4,335 Trading Plan – MMF Logic Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY Prefer waiting for price to pull back into 4,350 – 4,355 Look for price acceptance / selling pressure absorption Expect continuation toward the upside with trend momentum Target references: TP1: 4,374 TP2: 4,384 TP3: 4,410+ Alternative Scenario If price fails to pull back deeply and holds above 4,362, wait for a break & retest to rejoin the trend Avoid chasing price in premium zones Invalidation Level A confirmed H1 close below 4,330 would weaken the short-term bullish structure and suggest broader consolidation. Summary Gold remains structurally bullish. The current correction is a healthy pullback after expansion, not a reversal. Bias stays BUY on dips, focusing on discounted zones aligned with the dominant flow.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – 4H / Weekly Refinement AnalysisWhile Gold remains structurally bullish on the 4H chart, it is critical to acknowledge a key inefficiency: last week’s weekly candle has not yet been properly rebalanced. Markets rarely leave fresh weekly ranges untouched, particularly following an impulsive expansion. This immediately introduces mean-reversion risk before any sustainable continuation higher. The current rally into 4375–4382 (2025 previous high) occurred without first revisiting last week’s weekly equilibrium. As a result, the upside move is liquidity-driven, not yet structurally confirmed on a weekly basis. Markets rarely leave inefficiencies inside a weekly candle unvisited. The fact that price reacted early and pushed higher without a full retrace suggests unfinished business below, not immediate weakness — but pending liquidity. So the key question isn’t “bull or bear?” It’s: Will the market rebalance to 4323 first, or accept above highs and keep driving? 👉 This means: •The bullish trend is not invalid •But continuation without testing value is statistically less likely •A controlled pullback remains the highest-probability path before expansion resumes Weekly Structure •Trend: Bullish •Issue: Weekly candle imbalance remains partially unfilled •Implication: Market may seek equilibrium before continuation 4H Structure •Price expanded aggressively into 4,375–4,382 •This move looks liquidity-driven, not acceptance-driven •Current consolidation near highs suggests distribution / pause, not strength There is no confirmed bearish structure , but upside continuation without a pullback is fragile •Price has already grabbed buy-side liquidity into ~4382. •That move is often followed by either: 1. distribution + pullback into EQ (4323), then continuation, or 2. strong acceptance above highs and breakout continuation (less common unless momentum is extreme). Because 4323 is still untested, it becomes a magnet. That makes a pullback to 4323 the higher-probability path before any sustained move above 4400. 🔹Plan A (Primary): Weekly Rebalance to 4323 → Buy Continuation Idea: Let price come back to weekly EQ (4323), then buy the reaction. Buy Zone •4323 (weekly 50%) •With allowance: 4320–4300 (support band) Entry Trigger (don’t buy blindly) •Sweep below 4323/4320 then reclaim •1H/4H bullish displacement + close back above EQ •BOS/CHoCH on 15m–1H after the sweep Targets •TP1: 4360–4375 (internal range highs / partial) •TP2: 4382 (previous high liquidity) •TP3: 4400 (psychological resistance) •Extension (only if acceptance above 4400): 4420 area Invalidation •Clean 4H acceptance below 4300, then weekly EQ failed •Full bearish confirmation: continuation toward 4265 🔹Plan B: Breakout Acceptance Above 4382 → Buy Pullbacks Condition: A strong 4H close above 4382 and holding (not just wick). Execution •Buy pullback retest of 4382 (prior high flips to support) Targets •TP1: 4400 •TP2: 4420 Invalidation •Rejection back below 4382 with weak reclaim → likely sends price to 4323 🔹Plan C (Countertrend / Short-term): Rejection at 4382–4400 → Sell to EQ Only if you get clear rejection (not guessing). Sell Zone •4382–4400 Targets •TP1: 4360 •TP2: 4323 •TP3 (only if breakdown): 4300 Invalidation •Acceptance above 4400 (then you stop fighting trend) Disclaimer This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, and it does not guarantee profits or future performance. All decisions made based on this analysis are solely the responsibility of the user. This analysis does not execute trades, manage risk, or replace the need for trader discretion. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past price behavior or patterns discussed in this analysis do not ensure similar future outcomes. Users are encouraged to test ideas and strategies in demo or simulated environments before applying them to live markets and must take full responsibility for their own risk management, position sizing, and trade execution. Trading involves substantial risk, and losses may exceed deposits. By using this analysis, you acknowledge that you understand and accept all associated risks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WarroomXYZ