3000 Target goldThis is a 1-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from OANDA. The analysis suggests a bullish outlook, with price action currently testing a key resistance level around 2,934. The chart includes the following key elements:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
A previous resistance zone (marked in dark teal) has been broken and is now acting as potential support.
The next major resistance is around 2,980, with an all-time high target of 3,000.
2. Trendline Support:
A white ascending trendline indicates a bullish structure, with price respecting higher lows.
3. Projected Move:
The yellow arrow suggests a pullback to the support zone (previous resistance) before bouncing higher.
A successful retest could lead to an upward move towards 3,000.
This analysis suggests that gold remains in an uptrend, and traders might look for confirmation of support before entering long positions.
Xauusdupdates
Gold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 levelGold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 level, navigating through a well-defined ascending channel where the upper boundary has acted as long-term resistance and the lower boundary as dynamic support. The price has respected this structure, with multiple touches reinforcing its integrity. However, a recent double top near the upper boundary signals potential bullish exhaustion, increasing the probability of a downside move. If the price remains below this key level, further declines are likely, with $2,720 emerging as a crucial support zone—aligned with the golden pocket on the Fibonacci retracement, making it a prime area for a reaction.
The Alternative Scenario: The New Economy's Bullish Case
Despite the bearish structure, gold in the new economy presents an alternative bullish outlook. A smaller bullish channel has formed between $2,789 and $2,855, suggesting that buyers are still in control within this range. If this mini uptrend holds, it could fuel another breakout attempt above recent highs, invalidating the bearish scenario and positioning gold for a renewed push toward higher levels.
For now, gold is at a crossroads, with $2,720 as the primary target on the downside—but if buyers defend this level or sustain the new bullish channel, the uptrend may persist in the evolving economic landscape.
Unlock self-rescue guide hereNotice! The gold market has suddenly changed! Gold, which had been rising all the way, has now shown a peak signal, and a decline has become inevitable.
The current big Yinxian is falling straight, and the market is completely shrouded in a bearish atmosphere. From a technical perspective, the evening star pattern is significant, which is often a strong signal of trend reversal. At the same time, the gold price deviates seriously from the moving average. This deviation is difficult to maintain in the market for a long time, and returning to rationality is an observable rule.
Looking at the four-hour line again, the big Yinxian entity strongly engulfs the Yangxian, directly breaking through the support line, forming an extremely strong bearish engulfing pattern, which means that the space below has been opened, and a plunge may be just around the corner. Are you ready to meet this storm in the gold market? Opportunities always coexist with risks, and now is the time to test investors' decisiveness.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold inertia accelerates towards 3000 markAfter gold broke a new high overnight, it further increased to around 2990, and the daily line finally closed with a big bald sun. The previous sideways squat gave the bulls sufficient power, strong kinetic energy and fast speed, and the closing price was high at the end of the day, indicating that the strong trend will continue, and there is still room for further upward movement. In the 4H cycle, after breaking through the previous high pressure of 2956, the inertia of rushing up caused the indicators to deviate slightly. In the white market, we will first look at the correction space for the decline, and then look at further upward movement after the correction. The top and bottom support below is around 2956, and the 1H cycle support is at 2967. In terms of operation, we will continue to treat it as a long-term idea, and then gradually look at the 3000 mark on the top. Do not blindly guess the top and empty.
Operation suggestion: Buy gold near 2967-68, stop loss at 2960, look at 2981, 3000!
Golden milestone moment, about to fall!Gold hit a new all-time high on Friday, reaching the psychologically critical $3,000 mark, with the precious metal up nearly 15% since the start of the year, fueled by trade war fears and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Trump's tariffs have been a key driver of safe-haven buying in gold. The global trade war has roiled financial markets, sparking recession fears, and Trump threatened on Thursday to impose a 200% tariff on imported alcohol from Europe, a trade war that is escalating. But in the short term, there is absolutely no reason to chase gold higher. Reaching $3,000 today is clearly a long position in the market to pull up shipments. What happens when the longs are exhausted? That could usher in a wave of retracements, so don't chase the highs now. Gold is about to plunge.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold Eyes $3,000 Breakout: Buy the Dip Strategy Remains in PlayYesterday, as expected, Gold reached a new all-time high, coming very close to the key $3,000 psychological level.
Currently, the price is undergoing a minor correction, consolidating the strong gains from yesterday — which may present traders with a fresh opportunity to join the prevailing bullish trend.
The $2,955 level, representing the previous ATH, now acts as a key support. However, in my view, Gold is unlikely to revisit this level, as it would be too obvious and heavily watched by the market. Instead, I expect a shallow pullback followed by a new impulsive leg higher, likely pushing the price above the $3,000 mark.
Conclusion:
The strategy remains unchanged — buy dips in anticipation of a breakout to new all-time highs beyond $3,000.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD: Short positions are now generating profitsAfter gold reached the price of $3000, I started to take long-term short positions on gold. Currently, the orders have begun to make a profit. I will hold these positions for the long term with the plan of reaping substantial profits. You can follow my trading strategy and trade along with me.
Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $600,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
The battle to defend the gold price of 3,000 points has begun. BThe gold market opened at 2988 on Friday, briefly surged to 2994 at noon, and then fell back to 2981. During the European trading session, the price of gold once again set a new record high, hitting a high of $3004 and then quickly fell back. It is currently fluctuating around 2998, waiting for guidance from the US market. The current upper resistance of gold is in the 3007-3012 range. If it successfully stands firm, it is expected to challenge the 3020 level. However, the battle to defend 3000 points has already begun, and it is expected that the gold price will be adjusted back in the evening. The lower support is stable in the 2982-2978 area. Once it breaks, it may test around 2960. On the whole, the evening operation recommendation is mainly to rebound and short.
Evening operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at 2998-3004 on the rebound, with a stop loss of 3013, and the target is 2985-2975, and the target is 2960 after breaking through.
Evening operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at 2960-2955 on the pullback, with a stop loss of 2048, and the target is 2985-3000, and the target is 3002 after breaking through.
Expect a strong pull back on Gold next week!Hello traders,
We have seen that Gold experienced a significant bullish trend last week, culminating in surpassing the $3,000 per ounce milestone for the first time on March 14, 2025.
Several factors contributed to this surge:
1. Market Uncertainty Driving Safe-Haven Demand – With ongoing global economic tensions, particularly due to U.S. trade policies, investors are turning to gold as a reliable hedge against instability.
2. Central Banks Boosting Gold Reserves – Many central banks are increasing their gold holdings, adding steady buying pressure that supports rising prices.
3. Speculation on Interest Rate Cuts – Expectations that major central banks, especially the Federal Reserve, may lower interest rates have made gold more attractive, as it benefits from a low-rate environment.
4. Inflation Concerns Fueling Demand – With fears of rising inflation, investors see gold as a traditional store of value that can help preserve wealth over time.
For a long time, many investors expected gold to hit the $3000 mark. Gold broke through that level on Friday, but it ended the day below it. We can anticipate a significant pullback in gold by next week based on recent price action. And these are my thoughts: We will be looking for shorting possibilities below 2978.620, with an initial target of 2961.524 and an overall objective of 2931.979. On the other hand, we can disregard the initial assumptions and assume that the price will continue to grow if we observe that it keeps rising and closes above Friday's high.
How do you plan to trade gold next week traders? Let me know your thoughts in the comment section.
Gold hits new record high as safe-haven assetFor today's short-term operation strategy for gold, it is recommended to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2980-2985 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2954-2956 line of support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2983-2985, stop loss 8 points, target around 2970-2960, and look at 2955 if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2954-2956, stop loss 8 points, target around 2965-2975, and look at 2985 if it breaks;
Latest real-time market trend analysisIn the early Asian session, spot gold fluctuated at high levels and is currently trading around $2,986.08 per ounce. Gold prices surged more than $50 on Thursday, hitting a new record high as heightened tariff uncertainty and bets on the Fed's loosening of monetary policy keep gold prices attractive. As geopolitical tensions intensify, investors flock to safe-haven assets, and Zhang Desheng predicts that the average price of gold may reach $3,150 per ounce between July and September. Putin supports a ceasefire but emphasizes details, resulting in an unclear ceasefire outlook, which tends to push up market risk aversion and continue to support gold prices. If Russia-US relations ease or energy cooperation is reached, it may ease safe-haven demand and put pressure on gold prices, and then gold prices will fall back.
From the technical perspective of gold: yesterday, gold broke through and rose sharply. Gold is in a rising cycle at the daily level, and this cycle has not yet ended. Under the strong push of continuous positive lines, the gold price will most likely continue to move towards 3000-3010. In the daily K, the stochastic indicator golden cross continues, the indicator golden cross, and the bullish pattern continues. In the 4-hour period, the stochastic indicator golden cross state, the MACD double line adhesion upward, are all main long signals, and the support position of the top and bottom conversion is near 2955. Therefore, the 4-hour period can be treated as a strong and weak conversion point according to the top and bottom conversion of 2955; today, there is no doubt that gold continues to be bullish and long, and there is still room and demand for further rise. Today, gold focuses on the support below at 2980-2970. The gold bulls are very strong and there is a probability of further continuation. The upper side can look at the 3000 mark and the 3010 line. In terms of today's operation, consider retreating to arrange long orders first, and high-altitude as a supplement.
Gold operation strategy: Operation suggestion: Buy at 2970-2975, stop loss at 2965, target at 2990-3000
Gold is about to fall, maybe even plummet!In the morning, gold rose above 2990 as expected and then fell back, but it stopped falling again at 2980 in the European session and rose again. The current market is rising again to test above 3000. From the current hourly chart, the pressure of 3005 is obvious. Today is the last trading day of this week. It is still optimistic about the decline in the evening, and even more optimistic about the plunge!!!
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold hits a record high of 3,000, and bulls still have new highsGold broke through 2956 yesterday in the US market, reaching 2990, approaching the 3000 mark, with only 10 US dollars left. Today is Friday, the weekly line closes. How much room does gold have to rise?
This wave of rise from 2932 to 3000 is a rise of 168 US dollars. Compared with the previous increase of two or three hundred US dollars, there is still a large room for rise after the strong break. Above 3000, you can pay attention to 3050. In the bull market, follow the trend to rise, don't look at the top easily, the top and pressure are used to break the trend.
Yesterday's strong rise not only broke through the previous high of 2956, but also returned to the rising channel. Therefore, gold will continue to rise today. The morning high will be corrected sideways. In the afternoon, focus on the first-line support of 2976. It is expected that the European session will break through the high, and it is best to break through the 3000 mark. A strong breakthrough and a pullback in the evening can be seen for a second rise. The watershed is at the lower track support of the channel, which is about 2970-2965; if the European session suppresses the sideways downward, consider falling back when stagflation occurs.
Trading: Yesterday, gold rose sharply as expected, the trend was accurately grasped, and the entry point was accurate. After reducing the position of the 2936 long orders near 2950, all profit was stopped at 2955. A light position short order of 2955 was placed in the evening, and the final stop loss was 2962
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2890) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2930 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook:
╰┈➤XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis
Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB/BoJ lower—neutral to bearish.
Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, global 2.5-3%—bullish.
Demand: Central banks, ETFs strong—bullish.
Geopolitics: Tariffs, Russia-Ukraine—bullish.
USD: DXY 106.00, slight softness—mildly bullish.
╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: Weak PMI (50.4), jobless claims up—bullish.
Global: China 4.5%, Eurozone 1.2%—safe-haven lift.
Commodities: Oil $70.44—supports gold premium.
Trump: Tariffs inflate costs—bullish.
╰┈➤COT Data
Speculators: Net long 55,000—cooling but bullish.
Hedgers: Net short 65,000—stable.
Open Interest: 125,000—sustained interest.
Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 59% short—contrarian upside risk.
Institutional: Bullish to $3000, short-term caution.
Corporate: Miners hedge 2920-2940—neutral.
Social Media : Mixed, bearish near-term (2880-2906).
Broker: 60% long—crowded.
╰┈➤Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs to 2949, shorts to 2880.
Retail: Shorts at 2918-2924—squeeze risk.
Institutional: Balanced, inflation bets.
Corporate: Hedging stabilizes.
╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis
SMAs: 50-day 2850, 200-day 2650—bullish.
RSI: 48—neutral.
Bollinger: 2890-2930—consolidation.
Fibonacci: 50% at 2909.47—pivot.
Volatility: 12%, ±35 points daily.
╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis
DXY: 106.00, soft—bullish.
EUR/USD: <1.0500—caps gains.
Gold: Aligns with CHF/JPY—safe-haven.
Equities: S&P 5960-6120—neutral.
Bonds: U.S. 3.8% yield—pressures gold.
╰┈➤News and Events Analysis
Recent: Tariffs, weak U.S. data—bullish.
Upcoming: PCE (Feb 28)—key USD driver.
Impact: Bullish short-term, bearish risk if PCE hot.
╰┈➤Next Trend Move
Technical: Support 2906-2891, resistance 2949-2955.
Short-Term: Dip to 2906-2880, rebound to 2949.
Medium-Term: Range 2850-3000.
Triggers: Bullish—soft PCE; Bearish—hot PCE.
╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook
XAU/USD at 2910.00: Bullish fundamentals (inflation, tariffs) vs. bearish USD strength. Short-term dip to 2880, medium-term to 3000 if catalysts hit.
╰┈➤Future Prediction
Bullish: 2980-3000 by Q2 2025 (soft USD, tariffs).
Bearish: 2850-2864 (hot PCE, Fed hawkish).
Prediction: Bearish to 2880 short-term, bullish to 2980 mid-2025.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
XAUUSD Showing Strength on the 4H Chart📈 XAUUSD Gold 🟡 has been demonstrating strong resilience, maintaining a clear bullish trend on this 4H timeframe. Price action continues to align with an upward trajectory, with my target set at the previous high marked on the chart 🎯.
A pullback is expected, potentially offering an opportunity to enter at a discount before a continuation toward the target zone 🚀.
⚠️ Not financial advice—always manage risk appropriately!
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 2950.00
Sell Entry below 2870.00
However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
-Thief SL placed at 2900.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
-Thief SL placed at 2920.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 3070.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2770.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook:
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullishness)., driven by several key factors.
🚩Fundamental Analysis
Gold Demand: Gold demand is expected to increase, driven by growing central bank purchases and investor demand for safe-haven assets.
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold as a hedge against inflation.
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold.
Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for gold, driven by increasing investor confidence.
🚩Macro Economics
Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for gold, driven by increasing investor confidence.
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold as a hedge against inflation.
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold.
Commodity Prices: Commodity prices are expected to rise by 5% in 2025, driven by increasing demand for raw materials.
🚩COT Data
Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional):
Net Long Positions: 70%
Open Interest: 250,000 contracts
Commercial Traders (Companies):
Net Short Positions: 20%
Open Interest: 120,000 contracts
Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders):
Net Long Positions: 10%
Open Interest: 25,000 contracts
COT Ratio: 3.0 (indicating a strong bullish trend)
🚩Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 75% bullish, 25% bearish.
Retail Sentiment: 70% bullish, 30% bearish.
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bullish, with a sentiment score of +65.
🚩Next Move Prediction
Bullish Move: Potential upside to 3070.00-3200.00.
Target: 3200.00 (primary target), 3300.00 (secondary target)
Next Swing Target: 3400.00 (potential swing high)
Stop Loss: 2700.00 (below the 30-day low)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 300.00 vs potential loss of 150.00)
🚩Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for XAU/USD is bullish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected increase in gold demand, growing central bank purchases, and bullish market sentiment are all supporting the bullish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential downside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Be wary of black swans appearing on Friday!On Thursday, gold continued to rise in the US market. Driven by the uncertainty of tariff policies and the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the safe-haven appeal of gold remains undiminished. As of press time, the highest gold price has reached near 2985. After the CPI on Wednesday, gold seemed to have activated the rising button, and it started to rise all the way from the CPI low of 2905. After the initial jobless claims today, it hit a new record high again.
You can see that I have already drawn the 4-hour top range here
I think the top of 2990 is almost a potential top position, and tomorrow is Black Friday. Why did gold dare to go up so quickly on Thursday? There is only one reason, then there may be a big move tomorrow, Friday. It is very likely that in the early morning or tomorrow Friday morning, a wave of suppression near 2990 will be tested, and then the possibility of a rapid retracement will appear.
Therefore, I definitely do not recommend that you chase more in the future, there is no doubt about this. On the contrary, there are many people chasing more in the market at present. Seeing that gold has risen so much, they must think of retreating and going long. Therefore, tomorrow Friday, I suggest that you pay attention to the area around 2990. As long as this position can show a top structure signal in the Asian session, then don't hesitate to go short directly. Without saying too much, the first target can be seen at 2940-2930, or even 2920-2910.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies, so you no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold bulls are close to reaching 3,000After gold broke through the 2830-35 line, it started a bullish trend. I have always been bullish on gold. Friends who follow my articles can see that gold directly broke through the historical high last night and set a new historical high. Gold fell back and continued to rise. Gold is only one step away from 3000. The hourly moving average of gold continued to form a golden cross and diverge upward in a bullish arrangement. After gold broke through on Wednesday night, gold bulls were even better. Gold has now broken through its historical high. If gold falls back to the last high of 2956, it is an opportunity to buy on dips. However, strong markets often have a large decline. If the decline is too large, gold will weaken instead. Then gold can buy on dips when it falls back to 2965-70. The current decline of gold is an opportunity to buy. Gold 3000 is within reach, and it is expected to test and break through 3000 today.
From the analysis of the 4-hour gold trend, we focus on the support of 2956-65 below and the suppression of 3000 above. In terms of operation, we can follow the trend to go long. Once a breakthrough occurs, we can continue to follow up in the later stage. In the middle position, we should watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy more when gold falls back to 2965-70, and buy more when it falls back to 2956, stop loss at 2949, target 2995-3000, and continue to hold after breaking through.
Gold 100% Profit SignalGold prices rose, hitting another record high as heightened tariff uncertainty and bets on the Federal Reserve's loosening of monetary policy kept the metal attractive. Spot gold rose 1.46% to $2,972.80 an ounce at press time, reaching an intraday high of $2,978.33, surpassing the previous record high of $2,956.15 set in February. Gold prices could soar to an unprecedented $3,500 an ounce in the third quarter as investors flock to safe-haven assets amid heightened geopolitical tensions. It is predicted that gold prices could average $3,150 an ounce between July and September. Concerns about a possible shutdown of the U.S. federal government also weighed on the market as Senate Democrats failed to agree on a temporary funding bill on Wednesday, adding to uncertainty.
Meanwhile, the weakening of US inflation data further reinforced the market's expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The US CPI data for February released on Wednesday showed that the overall inflation rate fell from 3% in January to 2.8%, lower than market expectations; the core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 3.1% year-on-year, also down from 3.3% in January. This data boosted the market's confidence in the Fed's loose policy, and some traders even expected the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in June, July and October respectively. The rising expectations of rate cuts directly depressed US Treasury yields. Although the US dollar index rebounded slightly from its low since October 16, it still lacked strong momentum for a strong counterattack overall. This environment provides significant support for non-interest-bearing gold.
Technical analysis of gold: On Thursday, gold in the U.S. market pushed upward and broke through the high. The price broke through the high of 2956 and then accelerated to rise. The current high is 2978. This position is 100% of the previous round of rise and expansion, which belongs to the resistance area. Pay attention to whether it can suppress the bulls. The amplitude after breaking the high is larger than expected. After gold broke through 2930 yesterday, gold bulls were strong, and no longer the same volatile market as before. Gold bulls began to exert their strength, and gold began to go long in reverse. Gold was directly long at 2933 today, and the article also directly and publicly suggested going long at 2933. Gold rose and harvested. Gold fell back to around 2940 in the U.S. market and continued to go long. Gold rose again and harvested. Gold went long in reverse and won three consecutive victories.
In the short term, the current increase of more than 40 US dollars throughout the day is obviously very risky. Going long is also against the trend. The trend belongs to the bulls. The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to cross upward and the bulls are arranged and divergent. The gold bulls are in high spirits. Today we have been emphasizing that gold falling back to 2930 is an opportunity to buy on dips. The gold bulls will become more and more fierce. Gold will rise directly when it falls back to 2939 in the US market. The US market directly breaks the historical high of 2956. Then gold will continue to buy when it falls back to 2956 in the future. Gold is likely to hit a new record high again and go to 2985. Gold has now broken through the shock range, so there is obviously a trend change. Then the only way is to follow the trend and go long. Going with the trend is light and fluttering, and going against the trend is messy. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is recommended to focus on callbacks and short rebounds. The short-term focus on the 3000-3010 resistance line on the upper side and the short-term focus on the 2975-2965 support line on the lower side.
Gold is strong and looking for a second rise pointU.S. Treasury bonds rose on the back of risk aversion, and U.S. Treasury yields fell collectively. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.273%; the two-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 3.98%. As the global trade war intensifies and stimulates risk aversion demand, spot gold hit a new record high, approaching the $2,990 mark, and finally closed up 1.9% at $2,988.89 per ounce. Spot silver closed up 2.15% at $33.86 per ounce. In terms of interest rate cuts, the latest CME "Fed Watch" data shows that the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 98.0%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.0%, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by May is 79.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 19.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.4%. U.S. gold continued to rise, breaking through the integer mark of $3,000 per ounce during the session. Note that the volatility of the market is increasing. Gold fluctuated upward on Thursday, with a large positive line recorded at the daily level. The gold bulls performed very strongly and there is a probability of further continuation. Today's operation considers retracement and layout of long orders first, and high short orders as a supplement.
Gold plan: Gold retreats above 2966 and stabilizes more, with a target of 2978-2990, and a stop loss of 5 US dollars.
If the gold price breaks below $2940/ounce, it will stop the expected bullish trend and push the gold price to regain the main trend of fluctuations.
It is expected that the gold price will trade between the support level of $2960/ounce and the resistance level of $3000/ounce today.
Gold may rise strongly and reach new highsGold finally broke through the range of 2890-2930 yesterday. With the help of CPI, it bottomed out and rebounded in the evening. The highest price in the US market reached 2940, and it fell slightly in the early morning and closed above 2930. The direction of the range fluctuation is clear, and the probability of the bulls returning strongly and continuing to rise today is very high.
This wave of rise fills the last part of the V-shaped gap. The focus today is whether the previous high of 2956 can form a substantial upward break. If it breaks through strongly, the 3000 mark will not be a problem. If the high-rise fall is only pierced by the shadow line, and finally closes with a large cross or inverted hammer, we must be careful of the double top suppressing the decline, forming a top pattern, then the probability of reversal is relatively high.
For today's gold, it will continue to rise during the day. In the morning, it slightly broke the high and focused on the 2936 first-line support. When the price reaches here, it will inevitably hit the 2956 high. The watershed is at 2928. The upper pressure is near the 2956 high. It can be expected to fall back after the first touch.
In terms of trading, the accurate prediction of gold yesterday was fully realized. The long position of 2906-2910 rose as expected. As long as it is done, the profit will not be small. We firmly believe in the principle of long and not short. The intraday 2909 long stop profit at 2920, winning 11 US dollars; the evening 2907 second long stop profit at 2924, winning 17 US dollars; the two orders made a profit of 28 US dollars, and some bottom positions were left to gamble on breaking the high.
XAU/USD 14 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Previous analysis was not met as price printed a bullish iBOS. Support in the rise of price is largely due to the trump trade and tariff war which is causing market jitters.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has further printed a bullish BOS. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 13 March 2025
Analysis and bias has not been met, largely due macroeconomic events, particularly the Trump trade tariff war, which is causing uncertainty within the markets which is supporting Gold price.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Within the structure following the iBOS, price has printed a several bearish CHoCH's with very minimal pullbacks before continuing bullish.
In order not to distort internal structure range I will apply discretion and not classify bearish CHoCH without considerable pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print Bearish CHoCH which is supported by a pullback relative to recent price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart: