4,000 Pips Up, 2,000 Down – Gold’s Wild Ride Continues!Last week has been a wild ride for Gold traders, with the price rallying aprox 4,000 pips (around 10%), only to sell off 2,000 pips on Friday in what many expected to be a well-deserved correction.
The big question now is: was that correction enough, or is Gold preparing for another leg down before continuing higher?
In my view, this was just the first leg of the correction, and I expect another wave of selling to come this week.
Currently, Gold is recovering from Friday’s sharp drop, and this rebound could potentially push prices back above 4,300.
If that happens, I’ll be watching closely for signs of weakness to position myself short.
Overall, I believe a new test of the 4,200 area is likely before any sustainable recovery can take place.
Xauusdupdates
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (20/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold (XAUUSD) closed the previous US session with a rebound from the lower H1 liquidity sweep around 4,186 and is currently pushing back toward the intraday structure resistance near 4,252–4,263. The broader uptrend remains intact but momentum has weakened, suggesting the market is deciding between bullish continuation or deeper retracement. The daily timeframe printed a bearish rejection wick from the previous high at 4,379, showing potential exhaustion but not yet a confirmed reversal.
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🧭 2. Technical Breakdown
✅ D1 (Daily)
• Strong bullish structure remains intact.
• Last candle shows rejection from 4,379 high with moderate selling pressure.
• RSI cooling from extreme (77 → mid 70s), still bullish but losing momentum.
✅ Bias: Bullish unless 4,186 is broken.
✅ H1 (1-Hour)
• Price rebounded strongly after sweeping 4,186.
• Currently consolidating under 4,263 intraday resistance.
• MACD shows early bullish cross but lacks strong histogram expansion (watch momentum).
✅ Bias: Neutral to bullish above 4,216.
✅ 15M–5M (Intra-session)
• Short-term bullish structure forming higher lows.
• Clear break/retest setup forming around 4,252–4,263.
• If bulls fail here, next liquidity target is lower at 4,216–4,200.
✅ Bias: Reactive — breakout or rejection zone incoming.
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📐 3. Fibonacci Analysis (Last swing move)
Swing Low: 4,186
Swing High: 4,252
🎯 Golden Zone (61.8–50%) = 4,216 – 4,225
✅ This aligns with EMA50 H1 zone & previous liquidity rejection → highly reactive zone.
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🎯 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
✅ A) Bullish Continuation (Main Setup)
📍 Break & Retest Buy Above: 4,263
🔁 Retest Zone: 4,252–4,256
🎯 TP1 4,279 | TP2 4,300 | TP3 4,320
🛑 SL Below: 4,240
📉 B) Pullback Buy (Golden Zone)
📍 Wait for pullback into 4,216–4,225 (Fib + EMA + demand zone)
🎯 TP1 4,252 | TP2 4,263 | TP3 4,279
🛑 SL Below: 4,200
⚠️ C) Bearish Intraday Sell (Countertrend / only if confirmed)
📍 Break & Close Below: 4,216
🔁 Retest Zone: 4,216–4,225
🎯 TP1 4,200 | TP2 4,186 | TP3 4,171
🛑 SL Above: 4,235
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📰 5. Fundamental Watch (Asia Session)
Factor Impact
DXY sideways Neutral
Yields cooling Supports gold
No major Asian news Technical flow will dominate
Market awaiting US session catalysts Potential low volatility early
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📍 6. Key Technical Levels
Level Type
4,379 Major High
4,263 Intraday Resistance
4,252 Current intraday cap
4,225 Fib support
4,216 Fib confluence
4,200 Key psychological support
4,186 Last liquidity sweep low
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📘 7. Analyst Summary
Gold is stabilizing after a retracement from 4,379 and currently retesting mid-range liquidity. The bias remains bullish, but continuation requires a clean break above 4,263. A healthy corrective entry lies at 4,216–4,225 if price dips first. A strong bearish case only activates if price breaks and sustains beneath 4,216.
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✅ 8. Final Bias Summary
Bias Why
✅ Bullish above 4,225 Aligned with Fib + trend structure
⚠️ Neutral between 4,225–4,263 Waiting for breakout or pullback
❌ Bearish only below 4,216 Would trigger deeper retracement
📌 Game Plan → Buy Break At 4,263 or Wait For Golden Zone 4,216–4,225.
📌 Only sell below 4,216 with confirmation.
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🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 📱
📆 WEEKLY PERFORMANCE: 13/10/2025 → 17/10/2025
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✅ MONDAY 13/10/2025
🔻 SELL +30 pips
🟢 BUY +210 pips
🟢 BUY +360 pips
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✅ TUESDAY 14/10/2025
🟢 BUY (Swing) +2,970 pips
🟢 BUY +50 pips
🟢 BUY +210 pips
🔻 SELL +20 pips
🔻 SELL LIMIT +160 pips
🟢 BUY +20 pips
❌ BUY –40 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY LIMIT +40 pips
🔻 SELL +110 pips
🔻 SELL +60 pips
---
✅ WEDNESDAY 15/10/2025
🔻 SELL +60 pips
🟢 BUY +60 pips
❌ SELL –40 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY +60 pips
🟢 BUY +50 pips
🟢 BUY (Swing) +1,970 pips
🔻 SELL +20 pips
🔻 SELL +110 pips
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✅ THURSDAY 16/10/2025
🟢 BUY +210 pips
🟢 BUY +75 pips
🟢 BUY +230 pips
🟢 BUY LIMIT +210 pips
🔻 SELL LIMIT +210 pips
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✅ FRIDAY 17/10/2025
🔻 SELL +20 pips
🟢 BUY +20 pips
🟢 BUY +210 pips
🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 pips
🔻 SELL LIMIT +110 pips
🟢 BUY +50 pips
❌ BUY –30 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY +200 pips
🟢 BUY +100 pips
🟢 BUY +400 pips
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🤑 BTC/USD WEEKEND TRADES
🟢 BUY +2,400 pips
🔻 SELL +400 pips
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📊 WEEKLY TOTALS
🏆 GOLD NET PIPS +8,565 pips
💰 BTC/USD NET PIPS: ✅ +2,800 pips
🚀 TOTAL GAIN +11,365 pips
📈 TOTAL SIGNALS: 38
✅ WINS: 35
❌ SLs: 3
🎯 WIN RATE: ✅ 92%
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🔥 Massive GOLD swing wins + strong intraday consistency + BTC power = another high-performance week!
If you stayed disciplined and followed our strategy — you banked big 📈💎
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
GOLD AND WAR NEXT TO 4K$Hello traders
as i can see gold is trading in a Decending Triangle zone and it had tested Fibo 0.61 ratio in month of may dip as we can see gold close monthly candle above 3280 zone which is a clear sign that big players and banks are still prefer Safe haven we can see US econmey in a bad recession zone unemployment and higher inflation is a big problrm for $ and on all these things Mr. Trump Tariffs is a game changer in commodities markets if we see Geopolitical issues around the world it esculating more war in diffrent regions of the world.. Now Israiel & US have a new biggest problem Iran which is showing us a attack on Iran can be happen incoming days as we can see 6 meetings was unsucessful in Oman for a Deal to Stop Iran's Nucler Enrichment Program which is not good... other then fundamental Charts are crystal clear and showing us a clear view for a New ATH on Gold our Risk reward ratio is prefect for us have a proper research before taking any trade its just an trade idea share your thoughts with us it will help many other traders Comments are open we love your comments and support the channel so it can diliver to many other new traders Stay Tuned for new updates ..
#XAUUSD:$4200 Almost Hit, Our New Target Is $4500! Dear Traders,
Gold has been extremely bullish since our previous analysis. The US has imposed a 100% tariff on China which has caused fear within the global trading community. Our next move is to wait for the price to retest whether minor or major. Once we have confirmation, we can target our next move.
Team Setupsfx
Gold: Outlook for Next Week📈The recent strong bullish momentum in gold finally saw a technical correction on Friday. After Friday’s pullback, the previous robust upward trend has softened slightly. Gold came under pressure at the intraday high around 4379 and pulled back to a low near 4186, representing a nearly 200 downward move. This perfectly illustrates that the stronger the bullish momentum, the larger the pullback range,bulls and bears complement each other.
I have also repeatedly warned everyone against chasing long positions at high levels, as such trades carry significant risks. In practice, I also timely reminded everyone to take profits and exit positions, emphasizing that risk awareness must be a top priority.
💎Outlook for Next Week
When the market opens next week, we will first focus on the resistance around the 4280-4295 range. If this level fails to be broken, gold will likely enter a short-term technical correction phase, and the current bullish cycle will be put on hold temporarily.
we should currently focus on the short-term resistance around the 4280-4295 range, with key attention on the resistance near the 4315-4325 level. On the downside, monitor the support around the 4185-4195 range.
If the bulls fail to achieve a sustained breakthrough above these resistance levels, gold will likely enter a period of oscillating correction in the subsequent sessions.
For trading operations, prioritize seizing opportunities within the aforementioned range. Adopt a "watch more, trade less" approach for prices in the middle of the range,avoid chasing trades recklessly and wait patiently for entry points at key levels.
Gold Performance Recap for the week📝This week, the price of Gold first rose and then fell. The specific trend is as follows:
Monday: Gold broke through the 4059 mark in the Asian trading session, setting a new historical record
Tuesday- Wednesday: The price continued to rise.
Thursday: Gold reached a maximum of 4298.64.
Friday: First, the price surged after the opening, reaching a high of 4379.44, followed by a sharp decline, touching a low of 4186.17. As of now, the price of Gold is 4247.02, continuing to fall compared to the previous day's closing price.
💎The driving factors are as follows:
💡Upward factors in the early stage
1-Impact of Federal Reserve's loose policy expectations: The Federal Reserve launched a new round of interest - rate - cutting cycle in September. The market anticipates that there may be two consecutive interest - rate cuts in October and December. The expected decline in both nominal and real interest rates has increased the attractiveness of holding non - interest - bearing assets such as gold.
2-Surge in geopolitical risks and safe - haven demand: Factors such as the escalation of the China-US trade war and the US's containment of China's chip sector have intensified market panic, and funds have accelerated their inflow into gold as a safe haven.
3-Drive from global central banks’ gold purchase demand: According to data from the World Gold Council, global central banks’ gold reserves increased by 166 tons in the second quarter of 2025. The People’s Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 11 consecutive months, which has strengthened market confidence in gold.
💡Downward factors in the later stage:
1-Technical level: The 4280 - 4330 area is a key monthly - level resistance zone. On Friday, Gold broke through the important support level of 4280, triggering a large number of stop-loss orders for long positions. Program based trading triggered SL selling, forming a vicious cycle of "breakdown - SL - further decline".
2-Change in risk appetite: On Friday, US President Trump made moderate remarks on trade issues. Market safe-haven sentiment cooled rapidly, leading to a sharp sell-off of gold.
GOLD BEARISH CORRECTION TOWARDS SUPPORT ZONEChart Overview:
Timeframe: 15-minute
Price Range: 4,170 – 4,360 USD (visual scale)
Current Price: 4,240 USD
Trend Channel: Uptrend channel (yellow) with a recent breakdown from the midline.
🧠 Technical Analysis:
1. Previous Move:
Gold experienced a strong bullish run within an ascending channel, reaching the resistance zone near 4,360.
The momentum formed a rounded top pattern, signaling potential exhaustion of buyers.
2. Pattern Development:
A head-and-shoulders–like formation is visible at the top of the structure.
Price broke below the neckline and tested lower support near 4,215 before rebounding slightly.
3. Current Structure:
Price is retesting the broken support (now resistance) area near 4,260.
The black curve projection shows a potential lower high forming — a bearish continuation setup.
Watch Support at 4200–4180, Focus on Buying at LowsGold witnessed a historic level of volatility today. Setting aside the impact of the U.S. jobless claims data, the main factor behind the sharp move was the continuous price surge that built up heavy selling pressure. As prices climbed higher, market sentiment turned extremely fragile—any small piece of news triggered panic selling, causing the market to collapse rapidly.
Currently, gold is approaching the 4200 level, with an intraday drop of nearly $200. From a short-term technical perspective, there is a need for gold prices to rebound, so the immediate trading bias can lean toward buying on dips.
Pay close attention to the strong resistance near 4300, and the minor resistance around 4355, which has moved down from 4360.
Remember, profitability in trading is a long-term process—steady and consistent gains are the true path to success. The market is now extremely sensitive, like a frightened bird, where even the slightest disturbance can trigger large fluctuations. Avoid the mindset of trying to get rich from a single trade, and focus instead on patience and discipline.
Also, since it’s Friday, keep in mind that the weekend brings a high level of uncertainty in terms of geopolitical or economic news. Plan your trades wisely and ensure proper risk management.
Wish everyone a smooth weekend and successful trading!
XAUUSD EXTENDS BULLISJH MOMENTUM TOWARDS $4350 & $4450 TARGET.Technical Overview
Current Price: $4,292.85
Support Zone: $4,000 – $4,050
Resistance Zone: $4,450 – $4,500
Trend: Bullish (ascending channel)
🔹 Chart Analysis
The price is moving steadily inside the upward channel, respecting both upper resistance and lower support trendlines.
A short-term retracement may occur near the $4,350 zone (first target), aligning with mid-channel resistance before continuing toward the final target around $4,432–$4,450.
The market shows strong bullish candles, confirming buying pressure with limited corrective dips.
The support base near $4,150 remains strong — as long as this zone holds, the bullish trend is expected to continue.
🔹 Price Targets
First Target: $4,350
Final Target: $4,432 – $4,450
Stop-Loss (if trading): Below $4,200 (trendline support)
When Everyone’s Buying, I’m Watching for the TopAs we’ve grown used to by now, Gold sets a new ATH almost every day — and by the time we, in Europe, wake up, it’s already 300–400 pips higher.
Yet despite the strong bullish momentum, speculative trading remains extremely difficult. Sudden drops of hundreds of pips can easily hit your stop loss if your entry timing isn’t perfect.
From my perspective — even though I don’t have an open position — the idea remains the same: a correction is inevitable.
Since Friday’s low, the price has rallied around 3,000 pips — a fabulous move, but like any late-stage rally, it’s becoming excessive and irrational (even more than it already was).
Of course, it can always go higher, but the more it exaggerates, the faster it tends to normalize.
As I mentioned before, my approach remains focused on identifying potential tops — and while that’s the riskiest thing a trader can do, it has worked quite well during the sharp downward spikes of the last two weeks.
Technically, the move from Friday’s low is forming a rising wedge, with resistance around 4270, which is where I’ll be looking to sell.
The target zone is roughly 1,000 pips lower.
One encouraging factor — even more so than before — is the noticeable narrowing of the spread between futures and spot, now at just 0.2–0.25%, compared to the usual ~1% (and sometimes higher) during strong bullish phases.
Gold: Today's predictions and operations have been verified👏Today, our predictions and operations for gold have been verified by the market. We accurately predicted key price levels and risks, and avoided potential losses from the decline in advance:
✔1-Trend Direction Prediction: We clearly stated that "if gold breaks below $4,280 today, it will trigger a further decline". The subsequent market trend was consistent with this judgment—after touching the key support level, gold fluctuated downward as expected.
✔2-Risk Factor Prediction: We took into account the market characteristic of "traders closing positions early to exit on Fridays" in advance, and predicted that the superposition of multiple factors would make the downward trend uncontrollable. The subsequent market sentiment and fluctuation rhythm confirmed this risk.
✔3-Effectiveness of Operational Decisions: We reminded everyone early to "take profits in advance around $4,350 and stop trading", which successfully helped avoid the potential margin call losses caused by the subsequent uncontrolled trend. This decision was fully in line with the market trend.
🎉Today, we have successfully concluded this week’s trading and work. Next week, we will continue to provide you with more accurate market interpretations and operation references from a professional analytical perspective. Finally, we wish you all a relaxing and pleasant weekend in advance!
Trap Alert: Gold’s Pullback Could Fuel the Next Bounce!Gold continues to retreat in the short term, currently testing the strength of support at 4300. From the current technical perspective, although gold has repeatedly come under pressure at the 4370-4380 area, forming a multiple top structure in the short term, limiting upside potential in the short term, as gold continues to decline, the current resistance area has shifted down to 4235-4245.
Although gold is retreating under pressure, the overall bullish trend remains strong until it breaks below this key area. The current support structure after the top-bottom conversion lies in the 4290-4280 area. If gold cannot fall below this area during the pullback, then gold still has the potential to rebound to the 4230-4240 area. Therefore, even if we see gold prices continue to retreat, we should not rush to short gold during this pullback.
Instead, consider short-term trading:
We can continue to try to go long on gold with the 4290-4280 area as support. Of course, for short-term trading, the rebound target can be aimed at the 4320-4330 area!
GOLD Awaiting Sell Reaction at Peak & Buy Pullback Support🔍 Market Context
After a series of strong Break of Structure (BoS) , gold has reached a new ATH at 4,385 USD – marking a sustainable uptrend over the past 3 sessions.
However, this peak area is currently acting as a significant psychological and technical barrier . Buying momentum is temporarily slowing as the price reacts to the Liquidity Zone around 4,351 – 4,385 USD .
The market is in a phase of liquidity rebalancing .
The major trend remains upward, but the current price area may see a short-term correction before further wave expansion.
💎 Technical Analysis
ATH GOLD: 4,385 USD
Sell Liquidity Zone: 4,430 – 4,435 USD → high liquidity resistance zone, potential for short-term sell reactions.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,284 – 4,282 USD → nearby support zone, confluence with trendline.
Order Block | Fibonacci Zone: 4,226 – 4,230 USD → deep discount zone confluencing with Fibo 0.618, high reversal potential.
Overall Structure: remains bullish , but showing short-term signs of weakness as the price fails to hold above 4,360.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Rejection at peak area 4,385 – 4,433 USD
Entry: 4,430 - 4,435
SL: 4,440
TP: 4,425 → 4,420 →4,415→4,410→4405
✅ Condition: Appearance of rejection or strong bearish engulfing candles at high Liquidity zone.
➡️ This is a liquidity reaction setup – sell when the price sweeps the peak and clear sell signals from major players appear.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Pullback at 4,284 – 4,282 USD
Entry: 4,284 – 4,282
SL: 4,272
TP: 4,290 → 4,300 → 4,310/Open
✅ Condition: Strong H1 candle reaction at support or minor reversal structure.
➡️ Buy with the main trend, taking advantage of a slight pullback around the support Liquidity zone.
3️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – OB Deep Zone 4,226 – 4,230 USD
Entry: 4,226 – 4,230
SL: 4,190
TP: 4,235 → 4,240 → 4,250/Open
✅ Condition: Appearance of bullish BoS or confirming bullish engulfing candle.
➡️ This is a deep discount zone, suitable for swing orders following the main trend.
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid FOMO buying at high zones (4,360+).
Prioritize observing price behavior at 4,284 and 4,226 before entering orders.
Sell orders at 4,385–4,430 are only triggered if there is a clear confirmation signal.
Maintain moderate volume, avoid averaging down without confirmation.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is accumulating after reaching the peak of 4,385 USD , this is a crucial phase to determine the correction before the new upward wave.
The most effective strategy now is sell reaction at the high peak area 4,385 – 4,430 and buy with the trend at 4,284 – 4,226 USD when confirmation appears.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Sell Reaction: 4,385 – 4,430 → TP 4,284 – 4,226
Buy Pullback: 4,284 – 4,282
Buy OB Deep: 4,226 – 4,230
Gold: Oscillated - Plummeted - ReboundedFrom an intraday trend perspective, gold surged to near 4379 – 4380 in the early hours of the morning , the morning session saw gold oscillate between 4350 and 4370. It then experienced a sharp drop, falling to around 4280 at one point, before rebounding again.
Overall, after hitting a new all-time high, gold traded in a high-level range during the day due to technical correction needs and complex market sentiment.
For the short term, focus should be on the support zone around 4280 – 4300. If it breaks below 4280, further downside may follow. On the upside, the key resistance level to watch is 4380; a strong break above this level is expected to push gold to 4395 – 4410 during the day.
Buy 4320 - 4330
TP 4350 - 4360 - 4370
SL 4300
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
It is not a reversal callback correction to continue to buyGold gapped up at the opening, touched 4379 and then plunged nearly $100 before rebounding quickly. The fluctuations in the Asian session alone are so drastic. In addition, today is Friday and there is a risk of market closure, so intraday trading needs to be more cautious.
From the news perspective, the expectation of a Fed rate cut provides liquidity support, Sino-US trade tensions and geopolitical risks stimulate safe-haven demand, and the weakening of the US dollar and economic uncertainty amplify the appeal of gold. Many investors continue to increase their holdings of safe-haven assets in a complex macroeconomic context, providing solid and strong support for the rise of gold.
Although short-term prices fluctuate frequently, they have not fallen below the daily MA5 and MA10 moving averages. Therefore, it should not be regarded as a trend reversal, but a market shakeout. Therefore, we maintain a trading strategy that is mainly bullish and supplemented by short selling.
From a fundamental perspective, multiple rebound attempts failed to break through, making the upper 4380-4400 range a short-term resistance range. The short-term trend has the tendency to form an M top, so I will give several long trading opportunities during the day.
First of all, we should pay attention to the first support formed by 4315-4305 below, which is also the 61.8% retracement position of gold. If it repeatedly circles this position in the short term without breaking, we can try to go long on gold. For the second chance, I would give the support level of 4290-4280 below, which is near the trend suppression and the 50% dividing line, as well as the 4H MA10 moving average. I think we can try to go long on gold again within this range. The last chance I would give is around 4200, the starting point of this round of rise. Even if gold retaliates and falls, we can still maintain good trading opportunities.
During the day, we can go long on gold in batches according to the strength of gold's retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSD
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (17/10/2025, US SESSION)Prepared by: ElDoradoFx Premium 2.0 Analyst Team
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🧭 Market Overview
Gold has entered a corrective phase after failing to break and sustain above 4,379, the current weekly high. During the London session, price fell sharply to 4,305–4,313, testing the ascending trendline support and the Fibonacci Golden Zone from the latest bullish swing.
The daily chart remains bullish in structure, but intraday momentum has shifted bearish short-term, suggesting a potential retest deeper into support before a continuation to the upside.
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📊 Technical Breakdown
1️⃣ Daily Chart (D1)
• Structure: Uptrend intact — higher highs & higher lows.
• RSI: 85.0 → Overbought, signaling possible cooling phase.
• Support Zone: 4,290–4,273 (near 38.2% retracement).
• Bias: Medium-term bullish; short-term correction.
2️⃣ 1-Hour Chart (H1)
• Price broke minor structure at 4,336 and tapped the lower channel.
• Currently consolidating around 4,313, forming potential base support.
• 50EMA flattening; momentum slowing.
• Bias: Neutral to bearish short-term until 4,336 is reclaimed.
3️⃣ 15M–5M Chart
• MACD bearish, histogram red — short-term selling pressure.
• RSI rebounding from oversold (33) — early signs of intraday support reaction.
• Liquidity below 4,300 remains uncollected — could attract a final sweep before reversal.
⸻
📐 FIBONACCI ANALYSIS (Last Swing: 4,273 → 4,379)
Level Price Confluence
38.2% 4,336 EMA50 / previous structure
50.0% 4,326 Key mid-range
61.8% 4,318 Trendline & intraday liquidity
📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone → 4,318–4,336
This remains the key reaction zone for re-entry confirmation or next leg down if broken.
⸻
🎯 HIGH-PROBABILITY TRADE SCENARIOS
✅ BUY SETUP (Primary Bias – After Confirmation)
• Break & Retest: Above 4,336, confirming buyers reclaim control.
• Retest Zone: 4,330–4,336
• Targets:
• TP1 → 4,350
• TP2 → 4,363
• TP3 → 4,379
• Stop-Loss: Below 4,318
(Re-entry within Golden Zone only if we see bullish engulfing / strong volume candle.)
⸻
⚠️ SELL SETUP (Active Short-Term Bias)
• Break & Retest: Below 4,305, confirming downside continuation.
• Retest Zone: 4,305–4,313
• Targets:
• TP1 → 4,290
• TP2 → 4,273
• TP3 → 4,250
• Stop-Loss: Above 4,336
(This would confirm Golden Zone break and shift momentum bearish toward 4,273.)
⸻
🚀 BREAKOUT BUY (Aggressive)
• Trigger: Break & retest above 4,379 (previous high).
• Retest Zone: 4,372–4,379
• Targets: 4,395 → 4,410 → 4,428
• Stop-Loss: Below 4,355
⸻
🕐 FUNDAMENTAL WATCH
• DXY: Hovering around 104.90 — slight rebound causing gold weakness.
• Bond Yields: Stable; no risk-off catalyst for new gold strength yet.
• Upcoming US Data: Michigan Consumer Sentiment — could add volatility later.
• Institutional Flow: Still net-long on gold, suggesting corrections are accumulation phases.
⸻
⚙️ KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS
Type Levels
Resistance 4,336 / 4,363 / 4,379
Support 4,318 / 4,305 / 4,273
Trendline Support 4,305 (critical for maintaining bullish structure)
⸻
🧾 Analyst Summary
Gold remains bullish overall, but short-term momentum has shifted bearish following repeated rejections from 4,379.
Current retracement into 4,318–4,305 is a critical decision zone — if this holds, expect recovery toward 4,350–4,379.
However, a clean break below 4,305 confirms a deeper pullback toward 4,273–4,250 before the next major wave higher.
⸻
📈 Bias: Bullish above 4,318 – Watch for re-entry confirmation.
📉 Alternative Bias: Bearish below 4,305 – Short toward 4,273.
Gold’s Final Surge Before the Fall: The Herd Joins at the TopGold has rallied over 27% exactly as projected in the previous analysis
Now, the structure shows clear signs of exhaustion — price is approaching the end of wave 5, historically the stage where euphoria peaks and reversals are born.
Across the world, the crowd is piling into gold in a classic late-cycle buying frenzy. This kind of herd behavior — “everyone rushing to buy at once” — has always marked the final chapter of impulsive moves before major trend reversals.
The chart highlights potential trigger zones for the coming reversal:
Upper red dashed lines: triggers for aggressive traders
Lower red dashed lines: triggers for more conservative entries
Once those levels start breaking down, expect momentum to flip hard — and fast — signaling the beginning of a sharp corrective phase for gold.
GOLD (XAU/USD) BULLISH CONTINUATION SETUP AFTER RETESTChart Overview
Timeframe: 1H (Hourly)
Current Price: Around $4,338
Trend: Strong bullish trend within a rising channel
Structure: Price broke slightly above the channel top and is now retesting the resistance level as potential new support
🔍 Detailed Analysis
1. Trend Structure
Gold has been moving in a strong upward channel, showing consistent higher highs and higher lows.
The breakout above the resistance channel suggests bullish continuation, but a short-term pullback or retest is expected before another leg up.
2. Key Levels
Resistance Level: Around $4,350 – $4,370, now acting as support.
Entry Zone: Around $4,313 – $4,338 (highlighted region).
Stop Loss: Below $4,274 – $4,268 zone to protect against false breakouts.
Target Point: Around $4,509 – $4,513, which aligns with the projected move from the breakout zone.
💹 Trade Plan (Bullish Setup)
Entry: Wait for price to test and hold above $4,313 (confirmation candle or bullish rejection).
Stop Loss: $4,274 – $4,268 (below recent swing low).
Take Profit: $4,509 – $4,513.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Roughly 1:4, which is excellent for a continuation trade.
⚠️ Market Sentiment Notes
If gold fails to hold above $4,313, the move could turn into a deeper correction toward $4,250 – $4,200.
Watch for strong bullish candles near the entry zone for confirmation.
The setup remains bullish-biased, but patience for a clean entry is key.
✅ Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Setup Type: Pullback continuation
Buy Zone: $4,313 – $4,338
Target: $4,509 – $4,513
Stop: $4,268
XAUUSD To Hot to Handle ( could be last setup on Bullish)XAUUSD is still on bullish Bias and holding the consolidation zone from 4330-4370 .
Today market is creepy We have to be very careful.
What are my conditions For Today's session?
1st- Currently market is moving at previous liquidity Gap at 4330-4325 area and I took multiple buys at 4320 and My stoploss are at my Breakeven.
2nd- if Market remains low and H1 candle closes below 4325 then we'll have Retracement towards 4290- 4270.
Additional Tip:
-BUY the Dips with stoploss my Ultimate next Perfect buy will be 4230-4240 Zone .






















