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Gold – Madness in MotionGold rose this week — so far (and I really want to stress so far ) — by around 10%. That’s massive by any standard. On Monday, I tried to catch a dip and missed it. Since Tuesday, I’ve been on the sell side — completely wrong on direction , yet somehow still managed to finish positive overall. Yesterday my stop got hit, but after what happened overnight, it turned out to be just a scratch. With this kind of volatility, a recovery of 250pips can happen in ten minutes. Looking at the chart — it’s bullish, no question. Should it be bought? Hmmmm... Looking at the volatility… for me, it’s become untradeable. Can it keep going higher? Of course. How high? Nobody knows. At this point, any prediction is just throwing numbers in the air. Trading corrections, as I’ve tried to do, is a guessing game. I’ve had some luck so far, but after yesterday's stop loss, I’m stepping aside. My take: stay out. Let others make money if they can. A 1,000-pip rise and an equal reversal — all while I was asleep (and trust me, I sleep very little) — is too crazy. Stops can be wiped for bulls just as easily as for bears. At some point, it will settle down and define its levels. Until then — it’s not for me anymore.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
21
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold surged to a fresh record near $4,380 before retracing lower, now consolidating around $4,320–$4,330. The support zone sits at $4,301–$4,290, while the resistance zone is located at $4,368–$4,377. Price action shows a sharp pullback from highs, but bulls still hold ground above the key support. A rebound scenario could see a push back toward the resistance, while a decisive break below $4,285 would invalidate the bullish setup. 🎯 Trade Setup (Bullish Scenario) Entry: $4,301–$4,290 (near consolidation & above support) Stop Loss: $4,285 Take Profit 1: $4,350 Take Profit 2: $4,368 Take Profit 3: $4,377 Risk/Reward: ≈ 1 : 4.91 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,350 / $4,368 / $4,377 Support: $4,301 / $4,290 🌍 Macro Background Gold remains supported by Fed rate cut bets, US-China trade frictions, and prolonged US government shutdown fears. Fed Policy: Powell and Waller signalled two more cuts this year, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold. US-China Tensions: Additional port fees and tariff threats fuel safe-haven demand. US Government Shutdown: Entering its third week, weighing on the USD and indirectly boosting gold. Geopolitics: Some easing in Ukraine risks could cap upside, but macro drivers remain gold-positive. 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains in a strong uptrend despite intraday corrections. A long setup near $4,301–$4,290 with stops under $4,285 offers a favourable risk-reward toward $4,368–$4,377. Safe-haven demand and dovish Fed expectations continue to support bullish momentum. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits [1320 PIPs] Thanks to those who followed, trusted me, and made profits. As I mentioned in today’s commentary session: • I took buy trades around 4222 - ( 4234×2)& 4245 My strategy was to buy the dips, and I’m very happy with the profits so far – . My first target 42o0. is achieved, Alhamdulillah. And I'm looking for 4500 now **Additional Tip:** Selling against the current bullish bias isn’t advisable and buy the dips only ,wait and watch for new setup
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – GOLD (17/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold is currently trading around 4,362, maintaining strong bullish momentum after breaking the 4,350 psychological level. The market remains in an extended uptrend, but RSI and structure show overbought signs, so a short-term correction or retest may occur before continuation. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook D1: Strong bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. RSI (88.1) indicates extreme overbought — possible short-term pullback. H1: Price reached the top of the ascending channel at 4,379 (new high) and is now consolidating below. Momentum remains positive above 4,340, but divergence is forming. 15M–5M: Minor rejection from 4,379–4,380 resistance zone; MACD showing slowing bullish histogram — suggesting potential retest before next leg up. ⸻ 📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone (Latest Swing) Swing Low → 4,291 Swing High → 4,379 🎯 Golden Zone = 4,324–4,338 This aligns with 50EMA + channel midline — ideal retracement area for new buy entries if price dips. ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Entry Zones (Break & Retest) ✅ BUY SETUP (Main Bias) • Break & Retest: Above 4,363 → Retest zone 4,350–4,355 🎯 TP1 → 4,379 TP2 → 4,395 TP3 → 4,410 🛑 SL below 4,338 ⚠️ SELL SETUP (Short-Term Countertrend) • Break & Retest: Below 4,338 → Retest zone 4,338–4,345 🎯 TP1 → 4,324 TP2 → 4,310 TP3 → 4,294 🛑 SL above 4,355 🚀 BREAKOUT BUY (Aggressive Setup) • Break & Retest: Above 4,379 (new high) → Retest 4,372–4,379 🎯 TP1 → 4,395 TP2 → 4,410 TP3 → 4,428 🛑 SL below 4,355 ⸻ 🕐 Fundamental Watch • DXY slightly weaker near 104.85, favoring gold’s bullish continuation. • Yields remain capped — positive for metals. • No major Asia-session news expected — technicals will drive price action. ⸻ ⚠️ Key Levels Resistance → 4,379 / 4,395 / 4,410 Support → 4,338 / 4,324 / 4,310 ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold remains bullish while above 4,338 (Golden Zone support). A break & retest above 4,363 opens room for continuation toward 4,395–4,410. Failure to hold above 4,338 may trigger a healthy pullback to 4,310–4,294 before new buyers step in.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Gold Broke The ceiling of the Bullish Flag to claim $4K Pivot The price of gold has consecutively surge in price for the past 2 months to break the ceiling of the bullish flag pattern formed based on the 4-hour chart. The asset has gained 35% so far earning almost $1200 prior the surge. With investors sentiment shifting to the asset Gold might claim the 4k resistant this last quarter. With the RSI at 83, the asset is currently overbought with possible retracement to the $4200 Zone before the next legged up.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by DEXWireNews
Gold: Full verification of today's trend prediction👏Our prediction for today's gold trend has been validated by the market: 1.Key Level Prediction: We previously indicated that after consolidating with oscillations during the daytime, gold would require close attention to the breakthrough and stabilization of the 4250 level, a break above this level was expected to sustain an upward momentum. The actual market movement showed that after completing its daytime fluctuations, gold successfully broke through 4250, stabilized above it, and immediately initiated an upward rally. 2.Target Range Achievement: Based on the breakthrough logic, we set the preset upward target range at 4280 – 4300. By the end of today’s trading session, gold had successfully reached this range, peaking at 4298.64. The accurate realization of the target validates the effectiveness of our judgment on bullish momentum and resistance levels. 💡Our today’s prediction for gold was built on the core framework of "technical key level breakthrough + trend continuity": it focused on the "sustained bullish momentum following a breakthrough of key resistance", and incorporated an analysis of market sentiment and volume logic. Ultimately, this resulted in a high degree of alignment between the prediction and the actual market trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
4300 is just the beginning, it is expected to reach 4500Affected by the continued impact of the US government shutdown, gold in the US market rose strongly. After hitting a high of 4292, it quickly fell back and rebounded, setting a new historical high of 4298. But judging from the current trend, this is obviously not the peak of gold prices. If the short-term rise continues, it is expected to test the pressure of the 4,300 integer mark. As the short-term trend line is broken, the previous resistance is gradually transformed into support. Pay attention to the short-term support range of 4275-4260 below. If this range can be held, gold will set a new high. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Perfect_Allen
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout Rally Toward New Highs!Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD) continues its strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, confirming a sustained uptrend. The recent breakout above the resistance zone near $4,150–$4,170 indicates renewed buying interest and momentum buildup. After a brief retest of the breakout area, price has started climbing again — a sign of trend continuation supported by bullish candle formations and strong market sentiment. Technical Outlook: Support Zone: $4,140 – $4,170 (previous resistance turned support) Bullish Confirmation: Continuation pattern with clean structure and volume support Momentum Bias: Strongly bullish while above $4,150 🎯 Target: $4,300 – $4,320 zone 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $4,140 to limit downside risk 📈 Summary: As long as gold stays above the breakout level of $4,170, the market remains bullish, with upside potential toward $4,300–$4,320, aligning with the next major resistance area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold: Keep an eye on the 4280–4300 rangeAs we predicted for today’s target range, gold is currently fluctuating between 4230 and 4250. After stabilizing above 4230, it once again staged a strong rally, peaking at 4250.91 before pulling back with a certain decline — this also confirms the resistance effect at the 4250 level today. However, we confirm that a break above 4250 can be achieved in an instant. After breaking through and stabilizing above 4250 next, we will focus on the resistance zone around 4280–4300. For short-term support below, the key focus remains on the range of 4200–4175.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
2
Gold’s Next Play: Liquidity Sweep or Smart Money Reaccumulation?> Gold has been in a clear premium zone, engineering multiple liquidity pools at the highs ($$$). A clean FVG and valid OB remain below — potential footprints of institutional rebalancing. The current structure may hint toward an inducement move (IDM) before price seeks deeper liquidity and possible reaccumulation. Smart Money often plays its hand quietly — the key is to observe reaction, not prediction. This setup is built purely for educational and analytical purposes, focusing on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Liquidity Theory, and Institutional Order Flow. Patience defines precision. Let the market unfold its intent — not every move deserves a chase. Stay tuned — I’ll continue sharing SMC-based trade ideas, educational breakdowns, and gold analysis on this profile 🔥 💬 Comment your view below — let’s build a strong community of smart money traders! #InsideTradeVision | #XAUUSD | #SMC | #LiquiditySweep | #PriceAction | #SmartMoney
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InsideTradeVision
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD (16/10/2025, US SESSION)Professional Technical & Fundamental Breakdown by ElDoradoFx Gold is currently trading near 4,241, consolidating below the resistance zone 4,246–4,250, after a strong bullish rally in the London session. The market structure remains bullish, but there are signs of temporary exhaustion at the top of the ascending channel. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily (D1): • Price continues forming higher highs, maintaining strong bullish momentum. • RSI remains extremely overbought (85.4), suggesting limited upside before a corrective move. • MACD still bullish but starting to flatten — showing early divergence risk. 1H (H1): • Price touched the upper channel trendline at 4,247 and rejected slightly, forming a weak high. • EMAs (50 & 100) are below price supporting structure; however, bullish momentum is slowing down. • RSI at 64.7 — healthy but approaching overbought intraday conditions. 15M–5M: • Multiple BOS confirmations and minor pullbacks indicate bulls still in control. • MACD shows positive momentum but histogram is flattening — suggesting a possible short-term retracement before continuation. • Immediate intraday support located at 4,228–4,230 zone. ⸻ 📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone (Latest Swing) Swing Low → 4,203 Swing High → 4,247 🎯 Golden Zone = 4,223–4,230 This zone aligns with 50EMA and channel mid-support — ideal re-entry point if price pulls back before resuming the uptrend. ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Entry Zones ✅ BUY SETUP (Main Bias) Entry Zone: 4,223–4,230 (Golden Zone) 🎯 TP1 → 4,242 TP2 → 4,255 TP3 → 4,268 🛑 SL below 4,210 ⚠️ SELL SETUP (Short-Term Countertrend) Entry only if price fails again to break 4,247 and closes below 4,228 🎯 TP1 → 4,215 TP2 → 4,203 TP3 → 4,185 🛑 SL above 4,250 🚀 BREAKOUT BUY (Aggressive Setup) Buy above 4,247 (Clean Breakout) 🎯 TP1 → 4,260 TP2 → 4,275 TP3 → 4,290 🛑 SL below 4,228 ⸻ 🕐 Fundamental Outlook • DXY trading flat around 105.05, failing to extend upside — mildly supportive for gold. • Yields remain steady, adding temporary equilibrium to the market. • Fed speakers later today could trigger intraday volatility; trade with caution near resistance zones. ⸻ ⚠️ Key Levels to Watch Resistance → 4,246 / 4,255 / 4,268 Support → 4,230 / 4,223 / 4,210 / 4,203 ⸻ ✅ Summary Gold remains in a strong bullish structure. If 4,223–4,230 holds, expect continuation toward 4,255–4,268. Failure to hold 4,228 could open retracement toward 4,203–4,185 before resuming upside.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
XAUUSD have two zones of BUYXAUUSD is still on bullish Bias and holding rising wedge pattern although consolidation zone from 4190-4230 What are my conditions For Today's session? ✳️ Currently market is bit tricky for scalpers and retailers - if H1-H4 candle closes above the mentioned upper zone 4235-4245 then My target will be $4274 & 4290 In extension !! ✳️ if Market remains low 4235 then we'll have Retracement towards 4190 in the Rangebound market Additional Tip: -BUY the Dips OR
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
XAU/USD 16 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis, however CHoCH positioning has moved closer to more recent price action. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify it as such due to the insignificant depth of pullback relative to recent price action. At the time of this analysis price is continuing to print bullish without pause, which, as a result, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's. Price has printed a bullish iBOS and has reacted from discount of 50% EQ. Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, priced at 4,242.380. Alternative scenario: As all higher timeframes are requiring a pullback, and we are seeing a narrowing of internal structure, price could target strong internal low. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Plan | Where will gold drop today?🔍 Market Context Gold continues to maintain a short-term upward trend following a series of Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming active buying from lower zones. Currently, the price is approaching the ATH GOLD zone and heading towards the Liquidity Sell Zone 4,281 USD – a densely liquid area where short-term sell reactions from major players may occur. After a hot rise, technical correction risks are starting to increase. Lower zones like 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD will be potential “accumulation zones” for institutional buyers in the upcoming pullback. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,275 – 4,280 USD Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,281 – 4,285 USD → high liquidity resistance area, may trigger short-term reversal reactions. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,186 – 4,152 USD → crucial support area in the uptrend, where technical reactions are expected. FVG – BoS Zone: 4,152 – 4,148 USD → “price balance” zone yet to be filled, likely to be retested. OB Deep Zone: 4,130 – 4,120 USD → deep demand zone converging with Fibo 0.786 – ideal area for large capital to re-accumulate. Overall structure remains bullish , but in the premium zone – an area where institutions typically distribute orders to gain liquidity before adjusting. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Sell reaction at Liquidity Zone 4,281 USD When the price hits the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone and clear reversal signals appear (rejection candles, bearish engulfing, or minor structure break), → open short-term sell orders (scalp/intraday). Target: 4,186 → 4,152 USD. Stop Loss: above 4,285 USD. ➡️ This is a typical “liquidity sweep – technical reaction” scenario, capitalising on short-term sell-offs at high liquidity peaks. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Buy back following the main trend after correction When the price corrects to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone or deeper to OB Deep 4,130 USD , and clear upward confirmation signals appear (strong rejection or minor BoS increasing again), → open buy orders in line with the main trend. Target: 4,230 → 4,275 USD. Stop Loss: below 4,120 USD. ➡️ Trend-following scenario – waiting for price correction to discount zones to accumulate in line with the larger trend. ⚠️ Risk Management Do not FOMO buy when the price is hitting the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone. Prioritise short-term sells with clear confirmations or buys at lower OB zones. Keep light volume when trading against the main trend. Observe reactions at the 4,186 zone – this is the key level of the day. 💬 Conclusion Gold is at the peak of the current rise , short-term profit-taking pressure may appear around the 4,281 USD zone. If strong reactions occur, a correction to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone is reasonable for market rebalancing. The larger trend remains upward , so lower OB zones will be reasonable buy opportunities for the next wave. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Sell reaction at 4,281 USD when reversal signals appear. Buy back at 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD when confirmation signals appear.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold: Go long around the 4205–4210Gold has risen for the fifth consecutive day, briefly breaking through the all-time high of 4241.99, before pulling back to around 4210 as the U.S. Dollar Index regained lost ground. From the 4-hour chart perspective, focus on the short-term support range of 4196–4200 in the near term, with key emphasis on the critical support zone of 4160–4180. Based on its recent performance, all pullbacks are traps set by bulls. Currently, bullish momentum remains intact as prices consolidate above 4230. The only viable approach is to wait patiently for retracements before entering long positions. For intraday gold trading, we recommend entering long positions around the 4205–4210 range, with targets set near 4230 and 4250. Given the strong bullish trend, there is no clear top in sight. Operationally, prioritize buying on dips; avoid trading in the middle range and refrain from chasing rallies recklessly. Exercise patience and wait for entries at key levels. Buy 4205 - 4210 TP 4230 - 4250 SL 4195 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis
Don't miss any opportunity to go long on a pullbackAfter we gave our trading ideas last night, gold touched the upper pressure level as expected. After we tried to arrange short orders as planned, we left the market safely in the early morning. At present, gold continues its strong upward trend, with daily lines closing positively for consecutive days, and the bull-dominated pattern is further consolidated. I have pointed out many times before that the current gold price deviates greatly from the moving average, and the indicators show overbought divergence characteristics. We need to be vigilant about possible short-term correction needs, which has also been verified many times. In the short term, gold continues to rise again. The upper pressure can be focused on 4260-4270, which is also the channel suppression level. When it is touched for the first time, you can try to short with a light position. But remember, our core trading ideas remain unchanged and we remain bullish in the medium to long term. Short selling is only an auxiliary trading strategy. Any downward adjustment before effectively breaking through the key support point can be regarded as a short-term technical correction, thus providing a better entry opportunity for bulls. Pay attention to the support of 4205-4190 below. If it retreats to here, you can continue to go long on gold. The important strong support is still 4140. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Perfect_Allen
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits [600 PIPS] Thanks to those who followed, trusted me, and made profits. As I mentioned in today’s commentary session: • I took buy trades around 4190-4180, and I’m expecting the market to test the 4240 benchmark, with an extension towards 4275. My strategy was to buy the dips, and I’m very happy with the profits so far – . My first target (4240) is achieved, Alhamdulillah. **Additional Tip:** Selling against the current bullish bias isn’t advisable, I will buy the dips and wait for the new Setup
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Gold: Breaks through 4200 to hit a new all-time high📈Gold has once again refreshed its all-time high, supported by escalating concerns over U.S.-Asia trade and expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates twice more within the year. 📝The strong rally of gold this time is mainly driven by two key factors: First, global trade worries have intensified. U.S. President Trump stated on Tuesday that he might suspend edible oil trade with Asian countries—a move that triggered a sharp surge in market safe-haven demand. In response, Asian countries have warned of retaliatory measures, further worsening trade tensions. Second, expectations for Fed rate cuts have heated up. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted at another 0.25-percentage-point interest rate cut this month, and the market generally expects two rate cuts to be implemented within the year. The low-yield environment has significantly reduced the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets, providing sustained support to the precious metals market. In today’s early session, gold bulls stabilized in the 4140 zone and gained momentum again. As of now, gold has broken through the $4,200 mark to reach a new all-time high. For gold’s current trend, we remain bullish, with upside targets at 4,300 and 4,500. Do not attempt to predict the top until there are clear signs of a peak. Undoubtedly, the primary trading strategy remains "buying on dips." Key support levels to watch include today’s intraday low and the short-term uptrend support that has been in place since 4,090. If this support holds, the bullish momentum will remain strong and gold will continue to hit new highs. Key resistance zones to focus on above are 4,210–4,215, followed by 4,245–4,240. Nevertheless, investors must closely monitor changes in geopolitical situations and signals from the Federal Reserve, adjust strategies flexibly, and strictly control risks. 💎Buy 4160 - 4165 TP 4180 - 4190 - 4200 SL 4150 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Clarke_analysis