Gold hits resistance, Sell nowShort-term factors impacting the decline in gold prices:
1: The Russia-Ukraine situation has returned to the negotiating table under Trump's leadership.
2: At the Jackson Hole annual meeting, the market is almost unanimous in its belief that Powell will deliver hawkish remarks.
3: Both gold and silver ETFs have seen reductions in holdings.
4: Gold is under obvious technical pressure.
From the 1-hour chart, we can clearly see a downward trend line for gold prices. After repeatedly touching this trend line, gold prices have fallen. Now that it's near this trend line again, I believe it's a good time to sell.
🏆The operation settings are as follows:
📉📉📉Sell around 3345-3350
✅Target 1: 3330
✅Target 2: 3320
✅Target 3: 3310
📣If you have different opinions, please leave a message below to discuss
Xauusdupdates
Bullish bias toward 3,370–3,410 as long as 3,320 POI holds. XAUUSD (Gold 4H) Analysis
• Current Structure: Price is rebounding from the yellow POI demand zone, showing bullish reaction.
• Liquidity Areas:
• Below: SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity) marked in red – if price breaks POI, downside sweep is possible.
• Above: BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity) in blue is the first liquidity grab target.
• Higher: Major BSL in red is the extended bullish target.
• Scenario:
• As long as price holds above the POI, bias remains bullish.
• Expectation: Liquidity grab at blue BSL → continuation toward red Major BSL.
• If POI fails, market may drop lower to sweep the SSL zone.
➡ Summary: Bullish bias toward 3,370–3,410 as long as 3,320 POI holds. Break below opens room for 3,280 SSL.
XAUUSD | Gold awaits news from the FedThe market is waiting for the Federal Reserve to release its report. The minutes of the latest meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will be released and investors will analyze carefully for signals on upcoming monetary policy.
Financial markets are relatively quiet this week ahead of the annual Jackson Hole conference organized by the Kansas City branch of the Federal Reserve, which begins on Thursday.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will speak on Friday morning, expected to provide an update on monetary policy, including a possible new hint that the Fed could cut interest rates as early as September.
Gold (XAU/USD) 21st August 2025Gold continues to trade within a critical range, where institutional footprints are leaving clear supply and demand imbalances. Today’s outlook blends the Daily (macro bias), 4H (swing structure), and 1H (execution refinement) to deliver execution-ready trading zones.
🔵 Demand Side (Buy Zones)
Primary Buy Zone: $3325 – $3332
This zone represents the highest-probability demand for bulls. On the 4H chart, a fresh bullish order block was created after a clean break of structure, and the 1H confirms liquidity sweeps of prior lows alongside a fair value gap. Momentum indicators add confluence, with RSI resetting near 40 and OBV spiking during the last rally.
Execution Plan: Buy around $3330 with stops below $3320. Targets are $3362 and $3380.
Secondary Buy Zone: $3300 – $3308
If the first demand fails, deeper liquidity pools sit near $3300. This level coincides with discount pricing of the recent impulse leg and untapped demand on the Daily chart. Equal lows and a large liquidity cluster make this zone attractive for a potential accumulation before any further rally.
Execution Plan: Buy around $3305 with stops below $3292. Targets are $3340 and $3360.
🔴 Supply Side (Sell Zones)
Primary Sell Zone (Golden Zone): $3365 – $3372
This is today’s strongest supply area and the nominated Golden Zone. A fresh 4H bearish order block, aligned with a fair value gap and liquidity above recent highs, creates a high-probability rejection point. On lower timeframes, bearish divergence on MACD and expanding ATR volatility confirm the risk of a downside move.
Execution Plan: Sell around $3368 with stops above $3378. Targets are $3342 and $3328.
Secondary Sell Zone: $3388 – $3395
Should momentum overshoot the primary supply, $3390 offers another key resistance. This area represents extreme premium pricing of the current leg and overlaps with an untested supply block. Liquidity from prior double tops rests above this zone, while RSI shows signs of overbought conditions.
Execution Plan: Sell around $3392 with stops above $3402. Targets are $3360 and $3340.
🟡 Executive Summary – Golden Zone
The Primary Sell Zone ($3365 – $3372) stands out as the highest-probability setup of the day. With strong alignment across Daily, 4H, and 1H charts, this area combines:
Fresh institutional supply,
Liquidity resting above highs,
Fair value gap imbalance,
Bearish divergence on momentum indicators.
The structure favors a controlled short with a tight invalidation point at $3378.
Plan of the Day: Short from $3368 with targets at $3342 and $3328.
Final Note: Always manage risk with discipline. Zones highlight institutional footprints, but execution must adapt to live order flow and market conditions.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (21/8/2025)
1. Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Yesterday’s daily candle closed bullish, confirming upward momentum. This suggests that the dominant trend could remain bullish for the next 4–5 days.
• H4 timeframe: Currently in a corrective move with only 2 bearish candles formed so far. This decline may need another 2–3 candles to complete. A potential bullish reversal could occur during the US session tonight.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish, signaling a short-term upward move. However, since H4 is still in a corrective phase, it is better to observe for now rather than take immediate action.
2. Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
With the bullish confirmation on D1, the corrective a–b–c–d–e triangle scenario remains valid. At present, the market is forming wave 1 and wave 2 in blue. This view will be further confirmed once price breaks above the top of wave 1 (blue).
• H4 timeframe:
Previously, I anticipated a possible ending diagonal for wave C in purple. However, with yesterday’s strong rally and the bullish confirmation on D1, the updated structure is more consistent with:
o Wave B (purple) forming a triangle.
o Wave C (purple) already completed.
This suggests the market has entered wave 1 (yellow) and we are now waiting for wave 2 (yellow) to complete in order to look for buy opportunities.
If price drops below 3314, the extended scenario remains valid with a target around 3298. But since D1 momentum supports the bullish case, I will prioritize the bullish scenario for trading.
• H1 timeframe:
H1 momentum indicates a possible pullback. Typically, wave 2 forms as a zigzag or flat correction, retracing to the Fibonacci levels of 0.5 – 0.618 – 0.782.
I believe wave 1 (yellow) may already be complete. However, if H1 momentum continues to push higher, price could reach around 3362 before finalizing wave 1. In that case, traders can use Fibonacci retracement levels to identify entry points for a buy on wave 2.
Potential retracement zones for wave 2: 3333 – 3327 – 3315.
3. Trading Plan
• Buy Zone: 3333 – 3330
• Stop Loss: 3323
• Take Profit 1: 3350
• Take Profit 2: 3381
• Take Profit 3: 3409
Gold (XAU/USD) Short-Term Bearish Setup1. Well-Defined Resistance Zones
Two horizontal shaded areas labeled Resistance R1 and Resistance R2 mark zones near $3,360–$3,380, where price repeatedly failed to break higher.
Trading ideas from analysts on TradingView reinforce that the immediate resistance lies around $3,364–$3,370. As long as price stays below that, sellers remain in control
2. Descending Channel & Bearish Momentum
The chart highlights a shift from an earlier ascending channel (green), followed by breakdown and decline — a classic reversal from bullish to bearish.
In line with this, there’s also mention of a bearish flag pattern forming on the 30-minute (M30) timeframe, offering a potential shorting opportunity
3. Key Support Levels & Targets
Multiple support levels annotated: Support S2 (at two levels) and Support S3, with notable levels around $3,315, $3,301–$3,302, and $3,300.
The annotated price action indicates projected declines toward those levels—especially highlighting $3,314.94, $3,301.55, and $3,300.96 as intermediate and key targets.
Ultimately, the red “High support area” below suggests a broader demand zone, perhaps around $3,280–$3,300, where stronger support may emerge.
4. Trading Plan Illustrated
White arrows depict a descending trajectory: from current levels down to each support, suggesting a sell-on-rally approach.
Blue markers denote possible bounce points for pullbacks before continuation lower.
Broader Market Context
Gold prices have recently been tracking in the $3,330–$3,350 range, facing resistance near $3,350–$3,360 and support near $3,300. Analysts caution that a break below that could push it toward $3,245 or $3,150–$3,120
Overall momentum has turned cautious or bearish—bearish engulfing patterns, weakening rally strength, and below-average technical indicators emphasize the risk of further declines
Weak U.S. economic indicators or dovish signals from Fed officials (like Powell) could offer brief relief rallies; but failure to reclaim resistance may extend the slide
Key Levels at a Glance
Level Type Price Range Notes
Resistance ~$3,350–$3,360+ Strong ceiling—decline confirms bearish bias
Support S1 ~$3,315–$3,320 First potential reaction zone
Support S2 ~$3,301 Intermediate target for sellers
Support S3 ~$3,300 Psychological barrier; near high support zone
High Support Area ~$3,280–$3,300 Zone where bullish buyers might regroup
Conclusion
chart effectively captures a short-term bearish trend in gold (XAU/USD), showing:
Failed attempts to overcome resistance near $3,360.
A bearish flag breakout signaling potential continuation downward.
Clearly plotted support targets, with bounce zones drawn out.
A visual trade plan suggesting sell-on-rallies targeting declining support levels until reaching a strong demand zone.
To succeed with this setup, traders might wait for a brief rally into one of the identified sell zones (e.g. ~$3,314 or $3,325) before entering shorts, with stop-loss placements above the resistance areas and profit objectives aligned with support levels ($3,301 or near $3,300).
Gold/Bitcoin → Latest Trading StrategiesGold prices, Bitcoin, and foreign exchange all fell to varying degrees yesterday. Our sell orders all saw profits, which is cause for celebration.
With the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision imminent, the Swing Trading Center's trading outlook is to position long positions in advance, anticipating a significant rise after the decision. Gold prices are currently at a new low this month, hitting 3311, and are currently quoted at 3322. A tentative target for a short-term rebound could be around 3345. Buy below this level for preemptive trading.
BTCUSD also experienced a significant decline during the US dollar's rise. This may be related to Trump. This is a game between safe-haven assets. Before the US dollar experienced a significant decline, gold and Bitcoin would have to take a back seat, as the US dollar remains the primary safe-haven asset.
The downward trend in gold and BTCUSD requires significant news to revive and break the trend. Therefore, short-term traders can place buy orders in advance and wait for the market to rise.
Gold Break Strong After Liquidity Sweep Next Target Before FOMCXAUUSD Update | Gold Breaks Strong After Liquidity Sweep – Next Target Before FOMC
Gold has made a powerful bullish comeback, exactly as anticipated in the MMFLOW Trading Plan. After clearing liquidity below, price quickly reversed and is now showing strong buying pressure. This move was no surprise, as the current market structure clearly supports a bullish breakout – and today we may even see price break above the H1 downtrend line ahead of the FOMC statement.
📈 Active Buy Entries from Plan:
✅ Buy 3314 → Now +340 PIPS
✅ Buy 3318 (DCA) → Now +300 PIPS
✅ Buy 3325 (DCA) → Now +230 PIPS
👉 For now, traders should stick with the bullish momentum. Short positions should only be considered if there is confirmed sell volume.
🔑 Key Trading Levels:
📍 3370 – Major level to watch for potential SELL setups.
Market reaction around this zone will be crucial, especially before FOMC, which is expected to bring high volatility.
⚡️ Trading Tip: Follow the trend, respect KeyLevels, and manage risk carefully. With FOMC around the corner, the market could deliver explosive opportunities.
✨ Once again – KeyLevels = Profits ✅
XAUUSD Daily Plan | Gold Awaits FOMC – Liquidity Hunt in ActionXAUUSD Daily Plan | Gold Awaits FOMC – Liquidity Hunt in Action
Gold continued to move lower into liquidity during the late US session yesterday and reacted strongly at the BUY ZONE 3314 – 3316 (MMFLOW Entry), already giving more than +70 pips profit so far ✅.
On the M5 – M15 short-term structure, Gold is showing a mild recovery. However, for buyers to take control, price must break the resistance at 3320 – 3322 with strong volume. A confirmed breakout here can trigger further upside momentum and retest higher KeyLevels.
📈 Upside Targets (Intraday): 333x and 334x – these levels may act as Take-Profit zones for longs or potential SELL opportunities in line with the corrective channel on M30 – H1.
🔔 Fundamental Focus – FOMC Meeting Ahead
Today, the FOMC meeting will be the key event during the US session. Traders are waiting for clues about the Fed’s rate decision. Any dovish signals about a possible rate cut in September could be the catalyst for a strong Gold rally, breaking the current bearish channel.
👉 During the Asia – Europe sessions, intraday bias remains bullish towards 333x – 334x, where we will also watch for selling opportunities.
⚠️ During the US session, expect high volatility with FOMC, so manage risk carefully.
📉 Technical Trading Plan
🔹 BUY Scalp Setup
Entry: 3311 – 3309
SL: 3305
TP: 3315 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360+
🔹 BUY Zone (FOMC Plan)
Entry: 3290 – 3288
SL: 3282
TP: 3295 → 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370+
🔸 SELL Scalp Setup
Entry: 3342 – 3344
SL: 3348
TP: 3338 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320
🔸 SELL Zone (FOMC Plan)
Entry: 3360 – 3362
SL: 3368
TP: 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330
⚠️ Trading Notes
FOMC will bring high-impact volatility – stay alert.
Stick to TP/SL discipline and risk management to protect capital.
Remember: KeyLevels = Profits ✅
XAUUSD Safe-Haven Flows Could Trigger Bullish Move in GoldI’m currently analyzing XAUUSD (Gold) 🪙✨, which appears to be significantly oversold 📉 and now trading into a prior bullish imbalance zone ⚖️ — an area where price could begin to rebalance. This level is particularly important, as it has acted as a key reaction point multiple times in the past 📊. With gold being overextended and signs of weakness emerging in the stock markets 📉📉, my view is that capital could rotate into safe-haven assets 🛡️, potentially fueling a gold rally 🚀. I’ll be watching for a bullish break of structure 🔍 as a signal to enter long. (Not financial advice.)
XAUUSD: Possible Bearish Point Of ViewGold in 4 Hours Time Frame has not moved significantly, currently we have not got ample volume to decide a clear trend. However, with the data that we have we can predict a possible ab=cd pattern where A to B is completed and we are yet to see c to d pattern.
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Team Setupsfx
XAUUSD – Waiting for the Market to Show Its Hand1. Yesterday’s Setup
In my yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that while I am bullish overall, I could not ignore the pressure Gold was putting on the 3330 support. I also noted that for bulls to regain control, a break above 3345 was needed.
The market reacted with textbook precision: price rallied exactly to 3345 before breaking down through 3330, reaching a low of 3311. Currently, we see a normal rebound, but inside a bearish short-term structure.
________________________________________
2. The Key Question
Is this just a continuation of the downtrend, or a trap before the real bullish move?
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3. Why I’m Not Convinced by the Bears
• The recent drop doesn’t look impulsive—it’s overlapped and choppy, more like a stepway accumulation phase.
• The pattern is contained inside a falling wedge, a structure that usually favors upside breaks.
• Bears had their chance yesterday, but the follow-through looks weak.
________________________________________
4. Trading Plan
At this moment, I’m out of the market, waiting for confirmation.
• Buy zone: around 3300–3305 for a potential re-entry long.
• Bullish confirmation: if price climbs back above yesterday’s high (3345), it would negate the breakdown and confirm a false break.
• With price now at 3322, I prefer to stay patient, watching how it reacts at the key levels.
________________________________________
5. Final Note 🚀
Gold is now right in the middle of my interest range. For me, it’s not about predicting—it’s about waiting for the market to reveal the next high-probability setup.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold: Correction & Retest of Broken Level1. Fundamental Outlook
Gold is trading close to $3,300, its lowest level in the past three weeks, as market participants remain cautious ahead of key U.S. monetary policy signals. The current weakness is not only tied to technical flows but also to expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s policy stance. Despite signs of a slowing labor market and softer inflation figures, investors believe that the Fed may resist adopting an overly aggressive easing cycle.
The upcoming release of the Fed minutes and, more importantly, Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium, will likely determine the next big move for gold. Until then, sentiment remains defensive, and investors are reluctant to commit to large positions.
2. Dollar Dynamics
The U.S. dollar has been strengthening, exerting downward pressure on gold. Several factors are contributing to this:
Policy Expectations: Markets still assign around an 85% probability of a September rate cut, but traders expect Powell to signal caution and avoid endorsing steep or rapid cuts.
Housing Market Resilience: Strong housing data has reinforced confidence in the U.S. economy, giving further support to the dollar.
Geopolitical Headlines: News of potential Ukraine negotiations added a layer of optimism for risk sentiment, while also supporting the dollar as investors adjust safe-haven allocations.
As long as the dollar maintains this upward momentum, gold is likely to face headwinds, with upside moves limited to corrective rallies.
3. Technical Setup
From a technical standpoint, gold is in the process of a correction following a bearish rally. This corrective phase is characterized by short-term rebounds toward local resistance zones, but without a confirmed breakout, the overall bias remains negative.
Resistance Levels: 3328, 3331, 3345
Support Levels: 3314, 3300, 3270
The correction could bring gold to test the 3328–3345 resistance zone. However, if the price fails to sustain above these levels, the risk of renewed selling pressure increases. A confirmed breakdown below 3300 would expose the 3270 area, which serves as the next major downside target.
In short, unless gold can establish firm support above 3345, the path of least resistance remains lower.
4. Key Events to Watch
The most critical driver for gold in the near term is Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole on Friday. Investors will focus on whether Powell signals a cautious approach—supporting the dollar—or hints at policy flexibility, which could provide temporary relief for gold.
Additionally, the Fed minutes release will be analyzed for any details on how policymakers view the balance between inflation risks and economic weakness. Beyond monetary policy, continued monitoring of U.S. economic data releases and geopolitical developments (particularly around Ukraine) will remain essential for short-term positioning in gold.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold remains under pressure, weighed down by a stronger dollar and uncertainty around Fed policy. While technical corrections may push prices higher in the short term, the broader outlook remains cautious. The 3300 level is pivotal—holding above it could allow for a corrective bounce, while a break below may accelerate declines toward 3270. The decisive trigger, however, will come from Powell’s comments at Jackson Hole, which are likely to set the tone for gold’s direction into September.
8/19: Watch Support at 3328-3323 and Look for Buying OpportunitiGood evening, everyone!
Gold remains range-bound between 3323–3348. On the 30M chart, the key resistance is clustered at 3337–3343, while support stays at 3328–3323.
On the 2H chart, the structure remains suppressed, but the bullish divergence on indicators hasn’t been fully corrected yet. Two possible scenarios may unfold:
1️⃣ Price breaks below 3323 first, triggering a stronger rebound;
2️⃣ Support holds, leading to an immediate push higher toward the 3348–3352–3358 resistance zone.
Either way, the medium-term bias favors the upside.
Trading strategy: prioritize buying on dips, selling on highs as secondary.
⚠️ Note: If your account is under pressure, it’s safer to wait for clearer signals rather than rushing in. For detailed guidance, feel free to reach out.
XAUUSD:Continue shorting at high levels to profit.Gold prices did not significantly break through their upper limits yesterday. The London market began its downward trend. New York markets extended their decline after opening, hitting a low of 3326. The meeting is almost over, but there has been no progress. The market has digested the expected gold price trend and is currently rebounding. However, if further news is released, gold prices may fall further. Consider selling between 3345 and 3340.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
The dividing line 3330-3340 is not broken and rebounds to short#XAUUSD
After repeated fluctuations in the white session last night, gold fell below 3320 in the NY session and closed with weak fluctuations. 📊This morning, gold hit a low near 3311,📉 which aligns with our short-term outlook.✅
Judging from the monthly chart, the decline of gold in recent weeks has not been smooth, and each time it has been accompanied by a relatively strong rebound. 📈Today, there is a rebound near the 3311 line below. This point deserves our attention.👀 Previously, NFP achieved a big rise after breaking through here.🚀 At the same time, this point is also the area of the daily 100-day moving average.🐂
The first time it hits this point, it is bound to usher in a bullish resistance, and this is indeed the case.⚖️ Once it falls below this point, the next step will be the 3300 integer mark, 🥅and it may even hit the previous low, which is also the lower track of the daily line around 3280.↘️
Although the current market is relatively strong in short-term selling, we should not be overly bearish in the short term.↘️ After all, the impact of the news has not completely dissipated. The Federal Reserve will also release the meeting minutes in the evening NY session, 📰so we still need to be vigilant that the bulls may counterattack at any time.📈
In the short term, pay attention to the upper 3330-3340 bull-bear dividing line. If you encounter resistance and pressure in this range, you can consider shorting in batches with light positions, looking towards 3315-3300, and defending 3345. If the rebound effectively breaks through 3345, gold may fluctuate again.📊
🚀 SELL 3330-3340
🚀 TP 3315-3300
Gold, silver and stock prices plummetThe simultaneous plunge in precious metals and tech stocks underscored the growing risk-off sentiment as investors adjust their positions ahead of key economic data and the Federal Reserve’s policy guidance. The sell-off in gold, often seen as a safe-haven asset, underscored concerns about the economic outlook and inflation. The reason was clearly cautious ahead of the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole meeting tomorrow, where investors are eagerly awaiting clues on the future direction of interest rates.
“In recent weeks, some U.S. economic data has surprised on the downside. While stronger-than-expected producer price index (PPI) numbers have reminded markets that inflationary pressures may still be looming from Donald Trump’s tariff policies. That data has temporarily tempered expectations for a series of rapid and aggressive rate cuts, but markets are still pricing in a 25 basis point cut at the September FOMC, although the path beyond that remains uncertain.”