Xauusdupdates
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Channel Breakout & Retest Strategy 1H ANAChart Overview
Trend: Strong bullish trend within a rising channel.
Current Price: Around 4183.81 USD
Resistance Zone: 4185 – 4200
Support Zone: 4125 – 4150
Next Key Level / Target: 4235 USD
The price has been respecting the ascending channel very well — bouncing from support and rejecting resistance repeatedly.
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📈 Bullish Scenario (Main Bias)
If price breaks and closes above the resistance zone (≈4200):
It confirms continuation of the uptrend.
Expect price to rally toward the next target at 4235–4250.
This breakout would show buyers’ dominance.
✅ Buy Strategy (Breakout Play):
1. Wait for a 1H candle close above 4200.
2. Enter a buy position near 4205–4210.
3. Stop-loss: Below 4170 (previous swing low).
4. Take-profit:
TP1 → 4235
TP2 → 4250
📉 Bearish Scenario (Pullback Play)
If price rejects from resistance zone (4200):
Expect a short-term pullback toward the support zone (4125–4150).
This will be a retest of the lower channel area before another bullish move.
✅ Buy Strategy (Retest Play):
1. Wait for price to fall back into the support zone (4125–4150).
2. Enter a buy once a bullish reversal candle (pin bar / engulfing) forms.
3. Stop-loss: Below 4100.
4. Take-profit:
TP1 → 4185
TP2 → 4235
⚠ Risk Management
Use 1–2% risk per trade.
Avoid entering if price stays between resistance & support (no-man’s-land).
Confirm breakouts with volume increase or strong candle bodies.
🧠 Summary
Bias Entry Stop Loss Take Profit Notes
Buy (Breakout) Above 4200 <4170 4235–4250 Strong continuation setup
Buy (Retest) 4125–4150 <4100 4185–4235 Safer entry after pullback
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish momentum, trading near $4,165 in the Asian session. The chart highlights a support zone at $4,157–$4,163 and a resistance zone at $4,216–$4,221. As long as price holds above support, bulls could attempt another push toward resistance. A breakout above $4,221 would signal continuation of the rally, while a break below $4,154 could trigger a pullback.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $4,157–$4,163 (buy near support)
Stop Loss: $4,154
Take Profit 1: $4,184
Take Profit 2: $4,216
Take Profit 3: $4,221
Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 6.82
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: $4,157–$4,163
Resistance Zone: $4,216–$4,221
Trend Bias: Bullish above $4,157
🌍 Macro Background
Gold (XAU/USD) extends its rally above $4,150, supported by renewed US–China trade tensions and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer warned that President Trump could impose 100% tariffs on China as early as November 1, escalating the trade war. Meanwhile, both countries announced additional port fees on ocean shipping, turning maritime logistics into another battleground.
On the monetary front, Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed that the Fed is on track to deliver another 25 bps rate cut in October, with markets pricing in an additional December cut. Lower rates continue to reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. Traders will closely watch today’s Fed speakers, including Stephen Miran, Christopher Waller, and Jeff Schmid, for further guidance. Any hawkish surprise could lift the USD and weigh on gold temporarily, but the broader backdrop remains supportive for safe-haven demand.
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains bullish above $4,157 support zone. Pullbacks into this zone may offer attractive buying opportunities, with upside targets at $4,184–$4,221. A break below $4,150 would invalidate the bullish setup and risk a correction.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – (15/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)
Gold remains steady around 4,143, consolidating after Monday’s correction from 4,179 → 4,097.
The broader trend is still bullish, but we are now in a tight accumulation phase below 4,155 resistance — typically a sign of an upcoming breakout.
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🔍 Technical Outlook
D1 (Macro Trend)
• Structure: Higher highs, higher lows – uptrend intact.
• RSI ≈ 82 → overbought but stable.
• MACD: Still bullish but showing early loss of momentum.
• Support Zone: 4,086–4,063
➡️ Daily bias remains bullish above 4,085.
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H1 (Intraday Structure)
• Price moving inside ascending channel.
• 20EMA & 50EMA provide confluence at 4,129–4,131.
• RSI 58 = neutral.
• MACD starting to recover after brief bearish phase.
➡️ Price building energy for a breakout.
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15M–5M (Execution Zone)
• Micro BOS at 4,136 confirms short-term accumulation.
• Liquidity above 4,155–4,165, below 4,125–4,110.
• Compression visible on Heikin Ashi – volatility incoming.
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📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone
🌀 Swing Low → 4,097
🌀 Swing High → 4,155
📈 Golden Zone = 4,125 – 4,136
Ideal buy zone aligned with EMA and structural retest.
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🎯 High-Probability Trade Scenarios
✅ Bullish Breakout Setup
• Breakout Price → Above 4,155
• Entry → Retest 4,150–4,155
• Targets → 4,165 → 4,179 → 4,200
• SL → Below 4,136
📗 Continuation of major bullish trend.
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🟡 Golden Zone Buy (Re-entry)
• Entry → 4,125–4,136
• Targets → 4,144 → 4,155 → 4,165
• SL → Below 4,110
📗 Best low-risk intraday buy opportunity.
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⚠️ Bearish Breakout (Correction)
• Breakout Price → Below 4,110
• Entry → Retest 4,110–4,115
• Targets → 4,097 → 4,085 → 4,072
• SL → Above 4,125
📕 Short-term sell for liquidity sweep or pullback.
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📅 Fundamental Watch
• No high-impact Asian data.
• U.S. CPI tomorrow – major volatility expected.
• DXY steady near 105.10, capping short-term gold upside.
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🧩 Key Levels
Resistance: 4,155 / 4,165 / 4,179
Support: 4,136 / 4,125 / 4,110 / 4,097
Breakout Zones:
🔼 Buy above 4,155
🔽 Sell below 4,110
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🧠 Summary
Gold is coiling under resistance – a breakout is imminent.
Watch 4,155 for bullish continuation or 4,110 for bearish extension.
Stay patient — next impulse move likely starts from the Golden Zone (4,125–4,136).
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✍️ Follow for more institutional-grade XAUUSD breakdowns.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team 🚀
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🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 14/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADES RECAP:
🟢 BUY (Swing) +950 pips (from 13/10)
🟢 BUY +50 pips
🟢 BUY +210 pips
🔻 SELL +20 pips
🔻 SELL LIMIT +160 pips
🟢 BUY +20 pips
🟥 BUY –40 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY LIMIT +40 pips
🔻 SELL +110 pips
🔻 SELL +60 pips
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💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: +1,580 pips
📈 RESULT: 10 Signals → 9 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 ACCURACY: 90 %
XAUUSDGold hit a high of 4180 before plummeting 90 points in a remarkably short period of time, a clear sign of a major market manipulation. September's gains were very stable, with limited room for pullbacks. We must be wary of a sharp and rapid decline in October. Excessive gains will inevitably lead to a market shakeout, a risk we've repeatedly discussed.
After breaking through yesterday's high, the daily chart suggests a continuation of the trend today, with an intraday surge. However, after the sharp drop, a return to strength may not be imminent; a period of consolidation is needed. Therefore, the US market is expected to see volatility initially. With prices deviating significantly from the short-term moving average, a correction is needed to bring prices closer. An uncorrected rise is unhealthy. A return to bullish strength after a correction indicates the trend is continuing.
Is This the End of the Insane Rally? (read before comment!)In my Sunday video, I argued that after Friday’s close it seemed likely that 4100 could be next for Gold — and indeed, Gold didn’t just stop there, it printed a new all-time high at 4180.
Yesterday, as usual, when I woke up Asia had already done its job — we’re used to that by now — and I found the price 400 pips higher. So, I simply watched.
However, last night, considering that after a 1500+ pip rally at least a correction could follow, I decided to take a short position — a very risky one, to be fair.
Luck (and timing) were on my side, and by the time of writing this post, the price already dipped under 4100, and my trade was closed with a +600 pip take profit.
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The Big Question:
Is Gold done with this insane rise?
In my opinion — yes, at least temporarily.
There’s no secret that the price is overstretched, and if we look carefully at the chart, the recent 4,000-pip rise is contained within an expanding triangle.
We saw a short-lived spike above the resistance of that triangle — and also above the ascending channel — followed by a strong 1,000-pip reversal in just two hours, clearly signaling heavy profit-taking.
At this moment, the price has stopped its descent around the horizontal level below 4100, and we’re seeing a technical rebound.
I plan to use this rebound as a new selling opportunity.
While my first short targeted the 4100 area, my second trade will aim for the 4050 zone, which coincides with last week’s all-time high and now acts as a key confluence support.
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Final Thoughts
Markets often humble us — and they do it with irony.
Although I'm very bullish on Gold overall, my last five trades have all been shorts.
And the irony? The results are more than satisfying:
✅ +550 pips
❌ -200 pips
➖ Break-even
✅ +350 pips
✅ +600 pips
That’s +1,300 pips profit from trading drops in a bullish market.
The market truly has a sense of humor. 😄
GOLD: Short-term testing of the 4080 support levelRecently, due to the ongoing deadlock between the U.S. Democratic and Republican parties, the government has remained in a shutdown. Concerns over economic downturn have intensified, while expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates within the year have continued to rise. Additionally, trade frictions have escalated again—all these factors have driven gold prices to keep surging, making gold once again the darling of the global economy.
However, in the afternoon, as Trump repeatedly emphasized peace in the Middle East, gold experienced a sharp drop of nearly $90 after hitting the all-time high around the 4179 level. It then rebounded to a high of around 4145, and a platform resistance has formed at this level in the short term. Currently, long-position traders are jittery at high levels. For short-term trading, the risks and profits for both long and short positions are basically balanced.
We also reminded everyone in the afternoon to exit long positions in a timely manner, and any level above 4130 is a good entry point for short positions. Gold is now testing the support around the 4080 mark again. For short-term trades, it is advisable to go short on rebounds; for medium-to-long-term positions, we still expect gold to continue surging to new all-time highs after a pullback.
💎
Sell 4120 - 4125 TP 4100 - 4080 SL 4130
Buy 4075 - 4080 TP 4090 - 4100 SL 4070
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
#XAUUSD: Price Is Likely To Hit $4200 Before Bearish CorrectionDear Traders,
Gold is likely to reach $4200 before experiencing a significant decline. We anticipate a final push potentially exceeding $4000. The current market sentiment is strong and is likely to drive the price to our target region. However, we require confirmation in a shorter timeframe and recommend employing appropriate risk management.
If you find our analysis valuable please engage with it. Follow us for further insights.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx
#XAUUSD: Targeting $4200, An 1800+ Pips Swing ViewDear traders,
Since we posted our previous idea on the gold price has reversed as we had anticipated. However, when we examine smaller time frames we gain greater clarity on the price’s progression. As of now, the price is trading at 4015 and may open with a positive gap on Monday. Our primary objective should be to allow the market to open on Monday. Once the price has settled, we can execute a more secure and well-managed RR trade.
Please do not consider this as a guarantee. Instead, use it as an educational perspective or bias. Conduct your own analysis and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx_
plan day 14-oct-2025 Related Information:!!!
USD investors appear reluctant to place strong bets as more market participants accept that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to cut interest rates twice this year. Moreover, economic uncertainties stemming from a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, renewed U.S.-China trade tensions, and rising geopolitical risks could continue to act as a tailwind for the safe-haven gold. This, in turn, calls for caution among XAU/USD sellers.
personal opinion:!!!
After several days of continuously hitting new highs, gold prices have started to correct toward $4000 and move sideways.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Resistance zone point: 4000 zone
XAUUSD | m15 frame gold drops sharply by 50 points ? 🔍 Market Context
Gold prices have just set a historical peak (ATH GOLD) around the 4,180 USD region, following a steep upward trend over multiple sessions.
Immediately after, the market witnessed the first break of upward structure (BoS) – a sign indicating that bullish momentum is weakening .
Currently, prices are returning to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 4,125 – 4,145 USD , which is likely a liquidity rebalancing phase before prices choose the next direction.
💎 Technical Analysis
ATH GOLD: 4,180 – 4,185 USD
Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4,125 – 4,145 USD → an empty price area that needs to be filled.
Order Block Buy Zone 1: 4,050 – 4,060 USD → the nearest demand zone, potentially creating the first technical reaction.
Order Block Buy Zone 2: 3,980 – 3,985 USD → a deep demand zone with large liquidity confluence, likely to become the main "accumulation point."
Overall Structure: After breaking the upward channel, the market is in a retracement phase – the medium-term structure remains bullish .
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario – filling FVG and technical adjustment
If prices continue to test the FVG 4,125 – 4,145 USD region without breaking through,
→ consider a short-term sell to catch the technical retracement phase.
Target: the first OB Buy Zone 4,050 USD .
Stop Loss: above 4,155 USD (to avoid being swept above the FVG peak).
➡️ This scenario is suitable for short-term traders following corrective waves – only enter when there is a clear reversal candle confirmation.
2️⃣ Trend-following Buy Scenario – catching the rebound from OB Zone
If prices adjust to the 4,050 – 4,060 USD region, observe reaction signals such as Bullish Engulfing or strong Rejection .
Upon confirmation, open a trend-following buy order .
Target: the 4,125 → 4,145 USD region or the old peak of 4,180 USD.
Stop Loss: below 4,030 USD.
If the first OB zone doesn't hold, the 3,980 – 3,985 USD area will be an ideal zone for long-term "accumulation."
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid FOMO buying at high prices when the FVG is not yet filled.
Prioritize trading at clear reaction zones (OB, FVG edge).
Reduce volume when entering counter-trend orders to preserve capital.
💬 Conclusion
After a steep rise, gold is entering a value rebalancing phase .
The current market structure leans towards a short-term technical retracement before continuing the main upward trend.
If the 4,050 – 4,060 USD region reacts well, gold may soon rebound and aim for the 4,150 – 4,180 USD region.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Short-term sell when prices react at FVG.
Wait to buy at OB Buy Zone when there is a confirmed upward signal.
Gold Trade Set Up Oct 14 2025Gold made a LH in London session and is now approaching London lows as liquidity. For me to look for buys back to BSL levels i will want to see aa 15m candle close above London lows or the swing low at 4090, but if price closes under i will look for possible sells to a support
XAUUSD Bull and Bear Game1. Solid safe-haven demand: The ongoing US government shutdown, heightened global trade tensions, and escalating geopolitical risks all contribute to gold's safe-haven fundamentals.
2. Favorable Federal Reserve Policy: Market expectations for an October rate cut by the Fed are extremely high (with a 97% probability), which continues to suppress the US dollar and is bullish for gold.
3. Technical Correction Needs: The RSI indicator has shown an overbought signal. The rapid price increase has accumulated profit-taking pressure, raising the possibility of a short-term technical correction.
Long Strategy:
· Ideal Entry: After the support range of $4060-4050 stabilizes (e.g., a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern or a hammer candlestick pattern appears), you can place long orders in batches.
· Target: Retest of the $4130-4150 area.
· Stop-loss: A break below $4050.
· Short Strategy (Short-Term):
· Suitable only for aggressive traders. Try a small short position when the price rebounds to $4130-4150 and a stagflation signal (e.g., a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern or a dark cloud cover pattern) appears.
· Target: $4080-4060.
· Stop-loss: A breakout of $4170.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – (14/10/2025, U.S. SESSION)Gold continues to consolidate after a strong intraday rebound from 4,090. The market is showing compression between 4,125–4,144, forming a temporary equilibrium structure after Friday’s impulsive rejection from 4,179. Volatility is expected to increase as liquidity builds ahead of U.S. CPI data tomorrow.
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🧭 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW
• Trend Context: Macro bias remains bullish (D1 uptrend intact), but short-term distribution structure is visible below 4,144–4,150.
• Liquidity Zones:
• Buy-side liquidity resting above 4,150–4,165.
• Sell-side liquidity below 4,093–4,072.
• Market Cycle Stage: Reaccumulation or pre-breakout compression.
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🔍 MULTI-TIMEFRAME TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
D1 – Macro Trend Context
• Price action: Successive bullish candles above 20EMA and 50EMA.
• RSI (81.9): Overbought but still supportive — structure points to controlled retracement before continuation.
• MACD: Bullish momentum moderating, suggesting potential pause before trend expansion.
• Key level: Daily resistance at 4,179.70 (weak high), immediate support 4,084–4,063.
H1 – Intraday Structure
• Clean Break of Structure (BOS) from 4,090 → 4,137, followed by consolidation.
• Minor lower high confirmed at 4,144, forming temporary range.
• RSI at 57 — neutral, showing balanced order flow.
• MACD histogram contracting, indicating loss of bullish momentum.
• Current structure favors a pullback toward the Golden Zone before next directional move.
15M–5M – Short-Term Precision View
• Clear CHoCH observed below 4,132.
• EMA cluster flattening (20EMA ≈ 4,130, 50EMA ≈ 4,125).
• Short-term buyers defending 4,125–4,120, but volume divergence showing early exhaustion.
• A break below 4,125 would confirm liquidity sweep and open the door for 4,093–4,072 retracement.
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📊 FIBONACCI GOLDEN ZONE ALIGNMENT
• Swing High: 4,179
• Swing Low: 4,090
➡️ Golden Zone = 4,124 – 4,136
This zone coincides with the 1H resistance confluence, trendline touchpoint, and intraday imbalance fill. It serves as the key decision zone for U.S. session traders.
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🎯 HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE SETUPS
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Scenario
• Confirmation: Break & retest above 4,144.
• Entry: Buy on retest of 4,144–4,147 zone.
• Targets: 4,165 → 4,179 → 4,200
• Stop-loss: Below 4,125 (structure invalidation).
• Rationale: Reclaiming prior supply + momentum expansion expected if DXY weakens.
2️⃣ Bearish Corrective Scenario
• Confirmation: Rejection from 4,136–4,144 (Golden Zone).
• Entry: Sell from 4,136–4,140 range with candle confirmation.
• Targets: 4,110 → 4,093 → 4,072
• Stop-loss: Above 4,150.
• Rationale: RSI divergence + MACD histogram contraction + liquidity sweep above previous highs.
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📅 FUNDAMENTAL CATALYSTS
• 🕐 No major U.S. economic data today, but traders are positioning ahead of tomorrow’s CPI report, which will define midweek volatility.
• 🕐 DXY remains stable near 104.90, keeping gold capped intraday.
• 🕐 Treasury yields flat; risk sentiment mixed — aligning with gold’s consolidation.
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⚠️ KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS
• Major Resistance: 4,144 / 4,165 / 4,179
• Intraday Support: 4,125 / 4,110 / 4,093 / 4,072
• Extreme Levels: 4,050 support pivot / 4,200 macro extension.
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🧩 SENTIMENT & SUMMARY
Gold is currently in a compression phase between intraday supply (4,136–4,144) and demand (4,110–4,125).
Expect low volatility until a clear break of structure occurs.
📈 Above 4,144 → momentum resumes toward 4,165–4,179.
📉 Below 4,110 → corrective wave extends into 4,093–4,072 before potential bounce.
The safest approach for institutional-style execution is to wait for confirmation at the boundaries of the Golden Zone rather than pre-positioning.
Gold continues to go longAfter hitting a record high of $4,179.47 per ounce on Tuesday, gold prices retreated sharply, currently fluctuating around $4,130. This pullback was primarily driven by two factors: first, Trump's shift in tariff stance boosted market risk appetite and weakened safe-haven demand; second, a technical rebound in the US dollar prompted profit-taking in gold, which was already heavily overbought. However, market expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts this year have limited the dollar's upside. Coupled with ongoing US political uncertainty, trade tensions, and geopolitical conflict risks, gold's safe-haven status remains solid, and downside is expected to be limited.
From a technical perspective, gold closed with another large bullish candlestick on the daily chart, demonstrating strong bullish momentum.
Today's pullback low near $4090 has become key support, and 4090 could be considered a near-term bull-bear watershed. Trading strategies recommend buying on dips following pullbacks.
Gold Recommendation: Buy lightly at the current price of 4129, and add to your long position if the price dips to 4118-4112. Stop loss at 4000, target at 4170.
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits [ 1600 pips ]Thanks to those traders who followed us and made profits 📈🙏 keep grinding 💪.
I booked profits on buying orders during last 2 days session, entering around 4060-and exiting near 4120, while my shorter-term longs hit the 4130 target on today’s Tokyo session hike.
Going forward, I’ll continue buying dips from my key entry zones as long as Gold holds above the bullish trend till 4400
Also I took buy 3980 and exit 4130.
XAU/USD 14 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to yesterday's intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH.
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,179.935
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's.
During the bullish run, price has printed two very insignificant bearish CHoCH's before price continued bullish.
Due to the insignificance of the bearish CHoCH's I have left them unmarked.
Price has since printed a further bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
We are now trading within an established internal range, however, I shall continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,179.135.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Analsis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Bulls Triumph — How Can Trapped Bears Escape?Good afternoon, everyone!
Driven by multiple macroeconomic and geopolitical factors, gold prices have continued to climb, reaching a new all-time high near 4180/oz today.
The recent rally has been supported by:
Rising global trade tensions;
Market expectations of two Fed rate cuts this year;
Economic uncertainty from the U.S. government shutdown;
Escalating risks in the Russia–Ukraine conflict.
However, as the price extended higher, technical indicators show extreme overbought conditions, while renewed dollar buying triggered profit-taking near 4180, causing a sharp pullback to around 4090 (30M lower band) before rebounding.
Currently, gold is trading near the mid-band, and after a bearish divergence on the 30M chart, a similar divergence has appeared on the 1H chart, suggesting that further downside pressure may follow after the rebound.
Despite this, the weekly structure remains bullish, and given the ongoing geopolitical instability, any meaningful technical correction could still be viewed as a buying opportunity.
Key Support Levels:
4060–4050/4045 zone — primary short-term support;
A confirmed break below this level could trigger technical selling, leading to a potential retest of the 4000 psychological level or even the 3986 daily trendline support.
For medium-term long positions established earlier, consider partial profit-taking this week to manage risk, as a broader daily or weekly correction could see a pullback of up to $200.
Short-Term Technical Structure:
Current price near 4140 support, with secondary support around 4128 and key support at 4107-01;
Resistance levels are at 4146 / 4159 / 4168.
Trading Strategy:
Use a scalping or short-term trading approach during volatile sessions;
Conservative traders can focus on range trading between key support and resistance;
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Support Retest and Bullish Breakout ExpectedCurrent Market Overview
Current Price: 4,140.65
Trend: Bullish short-term structure within an ascending channel.
The market has been forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating ongoing momentum to the upside.
📊 Chart Analysis
Ascending Channel:
Price has respected the upward channel with clean touches on both upper and lower boundaries — suggesting strong bullish control.
Support Zone (4,070–4,103):
A clearly marked support level where buyers are likely to step in again.
Entry Point: 4,103.074
Stop Loss: 4,070.469
This zone aligns with previous consolidation and channel midline support.
Target Level:
Target: 4,238.934
Expected Gain: ~3.39% (+139 points)
This target aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel and previous resistance zone.
📈 Trade Plan Summary
Parameter Level (USD) Notes
Entry Point 4,103.074 Wait for price to retest support
Stop Loss 4,070.469 Below support zone
Target 4,238.934 Near resistance area
Risk–Reward Ratio ≈ 1:4 Very favorable setup
⚙️ Projection
Expect a minor pullback to the support area before continuation upward.
If the price holds above 4,070, buyers may regain momentum.
A break below 4,070 could invalidate the bullish setup and open downside risk.
🧭 Conclusion
Gold remains bullish above 4,070 with a potential move toward 4,238.
Watch for a retest and rejection confirmation at the support zone before entry to validate bullish continuation.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – (14/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)
Gold rejected 4,179 after forming a double-top structure and has entered a short-term correction phase.
The 1H chart shows a Break of Structure to the downside, and price is now retesting the 4,125–4,134 supply area.
The overall trend remains bullish, but this pullback is healthy after an extended rally.
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🔸 BREAKING PRICE:
Below 4,093 confirms continuation toward 4,073 → 4,050
Above 4,150 reopens bullish momentum toward 4,179 → 4,200
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🔸 FIBONACCI GOLDEN ZONE (4,085 → 4,179):
🎯 4,106 – 4,118 → Current decision zone.
If price holds above, buyers may re-enter.
If it fails, expect deeper correction.
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🔸 HIGH PROBABILITY AREAS:
🔻 SELL Zone: 4,125–4,134
🎯 Targets: 4,090 → 4,073 → 4,050
🛑 SL: Above 4,150
🔹 BUY Zone (Reversal Confirmation):
Break above 4,150 → Targets: 4,165 → 4,179 → 4,200
🛑 SL: Below 4,125
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🔸 FUNDAMENTAL WATCH:
• No major UK data today.
• DXY holding near 104.90, applying pressure on gold.
• Market focus remains on upcoming U.S. CPI → expect volatility spikes.
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🔸 SUMMARY:
Gold is correcting after rejection at 4,179.
Focus on 4,125–4,134 for possible short re-entries.
Break below 4,093 = confirmation of deeper correction.
Above 4,150, buyers take control again.
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💎 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – Session Analysis
#XAUUSD #Gold #ElDoradoFx #LondonSession #Analysis
Gold shows strength again on Monday💎Gold has broken through the previous high of 4059, and the strong bullish momentum continues. Every Monday sees a sharp rise,those who review historical market data will notice this cyclical pattern.
📈Today, as a Monday, gold is surging toward the key 4100 level. Amid such a strong bull trend, any attempt to predict the peak will be crushed by the trend itself. Investors who fail to understand the principle of "trading with the trend" are bound to end up with disastrous results.
📈After breaking above 4080 today, the upward room has opened up again. Focus on the 4125-4170 range on the upside, as this is the extended target zone following the breakout. Given the current volatility, gold may even reach this range in a single trading day. The market is currently in a state of bullish enthusiasm, and we remain bullish on the trend. However, we must also guard against correction risks and adhere to the strategy of "being bullish but not blindly chasing upward moves." It is advisable to let the market develop further; a pullback to form a low will also provide a defensive entry point.
Buy 3080 - 3085
TP 4000 - 4010
SL 3075
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
XAUUSD – Sharp Pullback After Hitting New ATHMarket Context:
Gold has seen a steep intraday drop after hitting a fresh all-time high at 4,179 USD/oz, extending beyond the morning target of 4,170–4,172.
The move likely reflects profit-taking amid broader market caution, as the US Dollar strengthened and GBP fell sharply, indirectly weighing on XAUUSD.
Silver also followed the correction, down over 2%, trading near 51 USD/oz after peaking at 53.60 earlier.
Despite this drop, the overall market sentiment remains defensive — both metals are still up about 2% for the week, suggesting this is a technical retracement, not a full trend reversal.
Technical Outlook (M30):
Price has broken below the short-term rising channel and is now retesting key liquidity areas.
Watch the 4,134 – 4,135 zone for a potential retest (50% pullback) before continuation toward lower buy zones.
End Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,165 – 4,170
Retest Zone (50% Down): 4,134 – 4,135
CP Buy Zone / Fibo 0.618: 4,052 – 4,054
OBS Buy Zone: 4,000 – 4,005
Trading Plan:
🔹 Sell Setup (Correction Play):
Entry: 4,134 – 4,136
Stop Loss: 4,142
Take Profit: 4130 - 4125 - 4120 - 4110 - 4100 - ???
🔹 Buy Setup (Reaction Zone):
Entry 1: 4,052 – 4,054 (Fibo 0.618 Confluence)
Stop Loss: 4,044
Take Profit: 4056 - 4060 - 4065 - 4070 - 4080 - 4090 - ????
Summary:
Gold’s sharp drop after a new ATH signals a short-term correction phase while the broader bullish trend stays intact.
A pullback toward 4,052 or even 4,000 could attract buy-side liquidity before any recovery.
Keep an eye on 4,135 for a potential retest before continuation.
📊 What’s your view — is this just a healthy retracement or the start of a deeper correction?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for precise intraday setups and structure-based analysis.






















