XAU/USD: Buy Gold at 4,217 or FVG 4,182!📊 Market Structure
Gold continues to maintain a strong upward structure after creating a series of BoS continuously from the 4,156 USD region.
This morning's H1 breakout pushed the price above the short-term peak, confirming that the BUY side is in full control.
The price is currently returning to retest the Demand intraday 4,217 – 4,210 USD area — this is the first support area where buyers can continue to push the upward wave.
If the pullback is deeper, gold may reach the FVG 4,182 – 4,172 USD area, coinciding with fibo 0.5 – 0.618 → the most attractive discount area in this wave.
The main trend remains bullish as long as the price stays above:
• 4,217 – Demand 1
• 4,182 – FVG Discount
• 4,156 – Key Demand Zone
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Demand Zone 1: 4,217 – 4,210
• FVG Discount: 4,182 – 4,172
• Strong Demand (structure holding bottom): 4,156
• Target Zones:
– 4,285
– 4,309
– 4,321
– 4,342
– 4,369 (liquidity above peak)
🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritize BUY
1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest Demand 4,217
When the price touches 4,217 – 4,210 with confirmation signals (long wick, H1 engulfing).
• Entry: 4,217 – 4,210
• SL: below 4,200
• TP1: 4,285
• TP2: 4,309
• TP3: 4,342
• TP4: 4,369
→ Quick setup – follow the momentum.
2️⃣ BUY 2 – Deep Pullback to FVG 4,182
In case the price shakes strongly before continuing to push the wave.
• Entry: 4,182 – 4,172
• SL: below 4,156
• TP: 4,217 → 4,285 → 4,342
→ This is the “best” price area to accumulate BUY in the session.
🧠 Vincent’s View
H1 shows a strong upward structure, clear momentum. The current adjustment is just a technical pullback before hitting the upper liquidity levels.
As long as gold stays above 4,182 – the trend remains bullish and the targets 4,285 – 4,342 are entirely feasible.
“Smart money buys the dip — not the hype.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 01/12/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Xauusdupdates
XAU/USD | Gold prices currently have a strong bullish bias📈 Current Gold Price Analysis
The current Gold price has a strong bullish bias, supported by positive oscillators on the daily chart. The next move will be determined by either a breakout of the $4,250 resistance or a decline below the $4,200 support.
1. Bullish Scenario ⬆️
Upside Trigger: Sustained strength and acceptance above the $4,250 area will be seen as a fresh trigger for the bulls.
Upside Targets: A confirmed breakout would allow Gold to:
Surpass the intermediate hurdle near the $4,277 – $4,278 region.
Aim to reclaim the $4,300 round figure.
2. Bearish Scenario ⬇️
Initial Key Support: The immediate downside is protected by the Asian session low around the $4,200 round figure.
Buy-the-Dip Opportunity: Any further weakness below $4,200 should be seen as a buy-the-dip opportunity and is expected to find decent support near the $4,155 – $4,153 region.
Sell Trigger: A convincing break below $4,153 could trigger technical selling.
Downside Targets: Technical selling could accelerate Gold's decline towards the $4,100 round figure en route to the confluence support at $4,073.
Note: The $4,073 confluence support consists of the 200-period EMA on the 4-hour chart and a long-term ascending trend line.
Gold Holds Strong Inside Trend Channel,Prepares for New ATH PushGold continues to maintain impressive bullish momentum, trading steadily within its rising trend channel. With structure firmly supported and macro sentiment leaning dovish, the market appears to be positioning for a new short-term ATH if liquidity aligns.
📊 Technical Outlook (M30 – MMF Flow)
Gold has respected the ascending channel perfectly, with each corrective leg finding buyers along channel midline and lower boundary.
The most recent impulse broke through the 4,23x region before pulling back into local liquidity.
Key Liquidity Zones
4,236 – 4,254 → Short-term supply reacting
4,218 – 4,220 → Minor demand zone
4,196 – 4,199 → Major BUY Zone (channel support + imbalance fill)
Market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above 4,196, the confluence level where:
✔️ Demand zone
✔️ Trend channel support
✔️ Fibonacci retracement
all align.
A clean bounce from this zone could trigger the next expansion leg.
🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Priority
Scenario 1 – Continuation Bounce
Entry (Buy): 4,218 – 4,220
SL: 4,210
TP: 4,254 → 4,272 → 4,281
Scenario 2 – Strong Liquidity Sweep BUY (Preferred for RR)
Entry (Buy): 4,196 – 4,199
SL: 4,188
TP: 4,236 → 4,254 → 4,281
SELL Trades
Only scalp sells at supply zones
(4,254–4,257 / 4,281–4,283)
→ Not a main strategy while trend remains bullish.
⚜️ MMF View
Gold is showing healthy bullish structure, with clear liquidity engineering and controlled corrections.
As long as price stays within the trend channel and above 4,196, the path of least resistance remains up.
A breakout toward 4,281+ is highly likely before any deeper correction.
“In bullish markets, the best trades come from buying the dip—never chasing the pump.”XAU/USD – Gold Holds Strong Inside Trend Channel, Prepares for New ATH Push
Gold continues to maintain impressive bullish momentum, trading steadily within its rising trend channel. With structure firmly supported and macro sentiment leaning dovish, the market appears to be positioning for a new short-term ATH if liquidity aligns.
📊 Technical Outlook (M30 – MMF Flow)
Gold has respected the ascending channel perfectly, with each corrective leg finding buyers along channel midline and lower boundary.
The most recent impulse broke through the 4,23x region before pulling back into local liquidity.
Key Liquidity Zones
4,236 – 4,254 → Short-term supply reacting
4,218 – 4,220 → Minor demand zone
4,196 – 4,199 → Major BUY Zone (channel support + imbalance fill)
Market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above 4,196, the confluence level where:
✔️ Demand zone
✔️ Trend channel support
✔️ Fibonacci retracement
all align.
A clean bounce from this zone could trigger the next expansion leg.
🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Priority
Scenario 1 – Continuation Bounce
Entry (Buy): 4,218 – 4,220
SL: 4,210
TP: 4,254 → 4,272 → 4,281
Scenario 2 – Strong Liquidity Sweep BUY (Preferred for RR)
Entry (Buy): 4,196 – 4,199
SL: 4,188
TP: 4,236 → 4,254 → 4,281
SELL Trades
Only scalp sells at supply zones
(4,254–4,257 / 4,281–4,283)
→ Not a main strategy while trend remains bullish.
⚜️ MMF View
Gold is showing healthy bullish structure, with clear liquidity engineering and controlled corrections.
As long as price stays within the trend channel and above 4,196, the path of least resistance remains up.
A breakout toward 4,281+ is highly likely before any deeper correction.
“In bullish markets, the best trades come from buying the dip—never chasing the pump.”
GOLD EXPLOSION: XAUUSD READY TO ACCELERATE!📰 BASIC SUMMARY (FA): PRESSURE ON USD AND SAFE HAVEN DEMAND
Gold is receiving strong support thanks to:
FED DOVISH: Recent comments from FED Governors (Waller, Williams) and information about Kevin Hassett potentially taking the position of FED Chairman (supporting strong rate cuts) are boosting expectations for rate cuts, weakening the US Dollar (USD).
GEOPOLITICS/ECONOMICS: News about conflicts in the Black Sea and weakening Chinese manufacturing data (PMI decline) reinforce Gold's safe haven role, pushing prices to a 6-week high.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (TA): MAINTAINING UPWARD STRUCTURE
The 2H chart shows Gold in a clear UPWARD trend (with multiple BOS). The optimal strategy is to wait for price adjustments to the key demand zone:
Action: ENTRY (BUY)
Price Range: $4,185 – $4,192 (Breakout/Demand zone established. Wait for confirmation here.)
STOP LOSS (SL): Below $4,160.9 (Invalidates upward structure if price breaks.)
TARGET 1 (TP): $4,244.8 (Nearest resistance.)
TARGET 2 (TP): $4,270.1 – $4,276.1 (Main growth target.)
Strategy: Patiently wait for a Pullback to the $4,185 – $4,192 zone to enter a LONG position following the trend.
⚠️ IMPORTANT ECONOMIC CALENDAR:
Pay attention to the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data and other macro reports this week to assess USD momentum.
#XAUUSD #GOLD #GoldAnalysis #FED #Dovish #Uptrend #MarketStructure #TradingView #Forex
XAUUSD: Buy on a pullback to 4190After last Friday’s strong and continuous rally, gold remains firmly in a bullish formation. However, it’s important not to overlook the potential risk of a corrective pullback.
On the 4-hour chart, prices are approaching the previous highs, and gold is currently trading near an upper-wick zone, suggesting increasing selling pressure. At this stage, chasing the upside is no longer an optimal strategy, as the risk of a near-term retracement continues to rise.
A more prudent approach would be to wait for a pullback before re-entering long positions.
From the 1-hour chart, the nearest meaningful support lies in the $4,200–$4,190 zone, which represents both a psychological round-number level and an area close to previous swing highs. If the $4,200–$4,190 support range holds, it would provide an opportunity to resume long positions in alignment with the broader uptrend.
Trading Plan:
Buy: $4,200–$4,190 zone
Take Profit 1: $4,230
Take Profit 2: $4,250
Stop-loss: Adjust based on individual capital and risk tolerance
How did gold move in the first week of December? CONCISE & COMPREHENSIVE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
1. Trend Lines
Ascending trend line (lower black line)
This is the main dynamic support of the current uptrend structure.
The price has bounced off this trend line several times → the short-term trend remains bullish as long as this line is not broken.
Major descending trend line (upper black line)
This is strong dynamic resistance on larger time frames, and the price recently touched this area.
This is an area where selling pressure frequently arises.
2. Support – Resistance
Resistance
4,243–4,245 (red zone):
This is the confluence of the previous peak and the descending trend line → selling pressure appears right in this area.
4,315–4,320 (next major resistance):
If this area is broken, the price will likely head towards 4,375–4,380.
Support
4.147–4.150 (green zone confluence):
Confluence of moving averages, the nearest swing low, and Fibonacci levels → important support that maintains the bullish structure.
4.105–4.120 (lower trendline):
If the price breaks through this area → the short-term trend has the potential to turn bearish.
3. Fibonacci
Fibonacci 0.618 = 4.194
→ Area with a high probability of a rebound if the price corrects.
Fibonacci 0.5 = 4.135
→ Confluence with strong support + trendline → potential buy zone if a deeper pullback occurs.
4. Price Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Continue Upward (Priority)
If the price remains above 4,200–4,215, there is potential for a retest:
➡️ 4,230 → 4,315 → 4,375
Scenario 2 – Downward Correction
If the price breaks through 4,190 and breaks through the green zone of 4,144–4,150, then:
➡️ Risk of a downward movement towards the 4,105–4,120 trend line
📌 Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4,148 – 4,250
Stop Loss: 4,138
Take Profit: 100–300–500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,313 – 4,315
Stop Loss: 4,325
Take Profit: 100–300–500 pip
XAU/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) pulls back toward the 4,220–4,210 support zone after briefly testing the 4,256–4,266 resistance zone, while the broader bullish structure remains intact. Price continues to respect the rising trendline, and buyers are expected to re-enter on dips as long as support holds.
The chart presents a bullish continuation structure:
Support zone: 4,220 – 4,210
Resistance zone / target area: 4,256 – 4,266
While price stays above 4,210, corrective moves into support are likely to attract buying interest, with upside potential toward 4,256–4,266. A 4H close below 4,206 would invalidate the bullish structure and expose the 4,190 region.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Buy dips into support, targeting a move toward the 4,256–4,266 resistance zone.
Entry: 4,220 – 4,210
Stop Loss: 4,206
Take Profit 1: 4,256
Take Profit 2: 4,266
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 2.52
Bias stays constructively bullish while price holds above 4,220–4,210 on a closing basis.
A break below 4,206 would signal weakening momentum and invalidate the bullish idea.
🌐 Macro Background
According to FXStreet, gold extends gains above $4,200 as expectations for a December Fed rate cut continue to build. Markets now price in an 87% probability of easing at the December 9–10 FOMC meeting, significantly higher than the previous week.
Fed & USD drivers:
Weaker US economic data and dovish remarks from policymakers boost rate-cut bets.
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, supporting upward momentum.
ISM Manufacturing PMI due later today may influence USD volatility—stronger data could weigh on gold temporarily.
Geopolitical factors:
Progress in US–Ukraine peace discussions may limit safe-haven demand.
Trump’s special envoy traveling to Moscow this week keeps geopolitical risk in focus, though the tone remains cautiously optimistic.
Overall, the macro backdrop continues to favor upside for gold while dips remain well-supported.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance zone: 4,256 – 4,266
Support zone: 4,220 – 4,210
Invalidation level (bulls): 4,206
📌 Trade Summary
XAU/USD maintains a bullish continuation structure above the 4,220–4,210 support area. As long as this zone holds, the setup favours buying dips and targeting 4,256–4,266. Fed rate cut expectations and geopolitical developments continue to provide underlying support for gold, though US data may introduce short-term volatility.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAUUSD on bullish runXauusd bullish trend is still going after the last week CME conspiracy.
What will be my stance?
Currently my 1st POI will be at 4190-4180 zone
Main target: 4245 then 4270-80(strong resistance area as Supply zone)
Important support:My 2nd POI will be at 4135–4145(good area for potential buy/reversal).
I’ll be watching the Asia session carefully for clean trade setups.
Avoid jumping in too early — the market may create fake spikes to grab liquidity first.
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation Setup Toward 4,223 After Liquidity 1. Market Structure
The chart highlights a COCH (Change of Character) followed by a BOS (Break of Structure), signaling a shift from bearish to bullish structure.
Several smaller coch points confirm internal bullish structure building.
2. Liquidity & POI Zones
There is a clear liquidity sweep near the PDL (Previous Day Low), where price dipped into a demand zone to collect orders.
An Extreme POI (Point of Interest) sits below current price — this acted as the strong reaction zone for the bullish move.
PDH (Previous Day High) is marked as an early short-term target/liquidity area.
3. Expected Move
The projection (zig-zag line) indicates bullish continuation after a pullback into the POI zone.
The target is marked around 4,223.629, matching the red horizontal resistance line.
The EMA (9) serves as dynamic support, showing price respecting the bullish trend.
4. Probability Outlook
As long as price stays above the trendline and POI, the bias remains bullish.
A break below the POI would invalidate the setup and open the lower liquidity region again.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD: Gold Wave HarmonyXAUUSD: Gold Wave Harmony
According to its wave structure, gold is completing a correction phase and preparing to form a new impulse. The chart shows a transition from sideways movement to a more dynamic wave, which could set the direction for the near term.
Main scenario: after the correction ends, a downward impulse sequence is expected to develop. Alternative scenario: if the market consolidates above recent highs, it could continue to rise, delaying the start of a new downward wave.
Idea for traders: watch for confirmation of the structure on lower timeframes and enter only after clear reversal signals appear.
Risk management: use clear stop levels and adjust the plan as new impulses emerge.
Friends, more wave analysis is available in our profile.
Subscribe to stay up to date with wave analysis!
GOLD EXPLOSION: READY TO CONQUER NEW HEIGHTS?I. HOT NEWS 💥
Gold is experiencing its 4th consecutive monthly increase, reaching $4,192.78/oz (closing on 11/28) thanks to significant changes from the Fed.
Interest Rate Reversal: Recent statements from the Fed Governor have increased the probability of a rate cut in December 2025 to 89% (up from 50% last week).
Gold Connection: A low-interest-rate environment is a paradise for Gold, propelling it to become a safe-haven asset. The fundamental momentum is EXTREMELY STRONG.
II. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📊
The price is approaching a critical supply zone. The current strategy is Buy on Dip with higher targets.
Short-term Resistance Target (PDI):
Price Range: $4,210 – $4,235
Strategy: Short-term resistance, requires a decisive Breakout to continue the upward momentum.
Ultimate Target (FVG):
Price Range: $4,260 – $4,330
Strategy: The next potential profit-taking target for Smart Money. Main Long target.
Strong Demand Zone (OB - Order Block):
Price Range: $4,046 – $4,064
Strategy: Strategic support (Demand Zone). A safe buying area if the price corrects deeply.
III. CONCLUSION & RISKS 🎯
Market Sentiment: Strongly BULLISH thanks to momentum from the Fed.
Focus: Monitor price action around $4,235. If surpassed, $4,330 is not far off.
Warning: Always manage risk (SL) tightly. Do not trade without Price Action confirmation!
#XAUUSD #GOLD #FOREX #FedDovish #RateCuts #SMC #OrderBlock #FVG #BullishTrend #TradingView
Will gold prices rise again in the new week?1️⃣ Trendline
Long-term descending trendline (upper black line)
Price has strongly broken above the long-standing descending trendline.
→ This signals a transition from a bearish phase to a medium-term bullish trend.
Short-term ascending trendline (small channel)
Price is moving inside a short-term ascending channel, consistently forming higher lows.
The recent breakout came with strong momentum → bullish strength is currently dominant.
2️⃣ Support – Resistance
Key Support Levels
4,111 – 4,108:
A confluence zone of the ascending channel’s bottom, EMA, and the 0.618 Fibonacci level → strong support if price pulls back.
4,145 – 4,150:
This is the breakout zone and will act as a retest support if price revisits it.
Key Resistance Levels
4,238 – 4,245 (Fibo 1.618 + previous structure high)
→ First major resistance zone. Price may consolidate or shake before breaking through.
4,375 – 4,380 (Fibo 2.618 + major upper zone, ATH area)
→ Large upside target if price breaks and holds above 4,245.
3️⃣ Fibonacci
The current upward swing is targeting the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at 4,238 – 4,245.
If this zone is broken and price closes above:
→ Next extension target is 2.618 Fibonacci near 4,375 – 4,380.
4️⃣ Trend Outlook
Trend: Short-term bullish → shifting to medium-term bullish after breaking the major descending trendline.
Key level to hold:
Above 4,145–4,150 = bullish continuation.
Upside targets:
4,238 – 4,245
4,372 – 4,380 (if bullish momentum continues)
Trading Plan
BUY GOLD: 4111 – 4108
Stop Loss: 4098
Take Profit: 200 – 400 – 700 pips
SELL GOLD: 4278 – 4281
Stop Loss: 4291
Take Profit: 200 – 400 – 700 pips
Gold Pullback or Breakout? Sitting at the Edge of a Bigger MoveGold Pullback or Breakout? XAUUSD Sitting at the Edge of a Bigger Move
Gold is coiling in a narrowing channel, and this kind of structure usually ends with a sharp directional break. The chart shows buyers trying to defend the mid-zone, while the broader trend still leans corrective. With macro fundamentals shifting fast and volatility picking up around U.S. data, gold is getting primed for a move that won’t stay quiet for long.
Current Bias
Short-term neutral leaning bullish.
Medium-term bullish if buyers defend the lower channel and reclaim the upper trendline.
Key Fundamental Drivers
• US inflation and labour data are softening (per recent BLS and ADP reports), reducing expectations of aggressive Fed tightening. This generally supports gold.
• US yields have eased from recent highs, reducing opportunity cost of holding gold.
• Geopolitical tensions (Middle East, Ukraine, South China Sea) are keeping a haven bid under gold.
• Strong central-bank buying continues to act as a long-term floor for gold prices.
• USD movement remains the dominant short-term driver.
Macro Context
• Interest rate expectations: Markets are pricing a slower Fed path, especially after soft labour prints and cautious speeches from Cook and other Fed officials. A stable-to-mildly-dovish Fed environment supports gold.
• Global growth trends: Europe remains in a slowdown according to Sentix, while Asia shows modest improvement. Weak global growth tends to boost gold.
• Commodity flows: No supply shocks, but ETF outflows are stabilizing—another supportive sign.
• Geopolitics: Israel–Lebanon escalation risk remains in play. Several global risk headlines recently helped gold find intraday support.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A strong USD rally—especially if driven by unexpected U.S. data strength or hawkish Fed comments—would pressure gold back into deeper corrective territory.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
• US FOMC speakers (multiple appearances)
• US CPI revisions and PPI data
• US unemployment claims and PMIs
These will decide whether yields move higher again or give gold room to rally.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
Gold is usually a lagger to:
• USD direction
• US yields
• Fed expectations
But becomes a leader during periods of heavy geopolitical risk, when it pulls safe-haven assets like CHF and JPY with it.
Right now, XAUUSD is following USD and yields more closely than risk sentiment.
Key Levels
Support Levels:
• 4,000 – 3,985 zone (major demand area)
• 3,960 (channel low / liquidity sweep potential)
Resistance Levels:
• 4,115 – 4,135 (mid-range supply)
• 4,245 (major resistance + previous high)
Stop Loss (SL):
• 3,960 (below channel structure)
Take Profit (TP):
• TP1: 4,115
• TP2: 4,245
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
Gold is building energy inside a narrowing channel, and the next macro catalyst will likely determine the breakout direction. My bias is neutral-to-bullish as long as price holds above the 4,000 zone and avoids a breakdown toward 3,960. The key drivers are weakening U.S. data, softer Fed expectations, and a stable-to-higher geopolitical risk backdrop. The biggest risk is a USD rebound powered by hotter-than-expected U.S. numbers. The most important event ahead is the cluster of U.S. inflation and labour releases, which will directly influence yields and therefore gold. Stops sit cleanly below 3,960, and the natural upside magnet remains 4,115 first, then 4,245 if momentum builds.
Weekly Gold Trend SummaryThis week, gold witnessed a remarkable transition from bottom consolidation to strong upward momentum, forming an overall oscillatory uptrend. After intense long-short battles earlier in the week, bullish forces gradually gained dominance, driving prices from around the $4,000 psychological level to above $4,200 with substantial gains. The weekly movement can be segmented as follows:
1. Early-Week Consolidation Under Pressure (November 24)
Gold extended its mild correction at the start of the week, opening at $4,065.63 during the Asian session with minor intraday declines. A sudden volatility spike occurred in late Asian trading, sending prices plunging $22 to $4,055.48 (a 0.48% drop). Pressured by a strong U.S. dollar and fading expectations of a Fed rate cut in December, gold’s safe-haven appeal remained subdued as capital flowed into dollar-denominated assets. Prices traded under pressure within the $4,000 – $4,100 range; however, buying interest emerged near the annual moving average, halting the downward trajectory.
2. Mid-Week Intensified Long-Short Dynamics (November 25 – 26)
November 25: Gold traded in a narrow range, opening at $4,129.87 (a 0.33% decline from the previous close) with a high of $4,144.04 and a low of $4,129.09. The session remained confined within a triangular consolidation pattern, with balanced bullish and bearish momentum.
November 26: Sentiment shifted to oscillatory bullishness. Following a close at $4,130.59 the prior day, gold surged to an intraday high of $4,169.20, posting a 0.82% daily gain. Escalating geopolitical tensions and rising Fed rate cut bets provided fundamental support, while technically, the MACD golden cross persisted with mild expansion of bullish momentum bars, signaling the start of bullish momentum acceleration.
3. Late-Week Strong Rally to New Highs (November 29 – 30)
Gold entered a robust upward phase in the latter part of the week:
November 29: Prices soared sharply to close at $4,218.55, gaining $61.82 (1.49%) intraday with a peak of $4,226.66.
As of 09:00 GMT on November 30: Gold hovered around $4,219 , marking significant cumulative gains from the early-week $4,060 range. Having successfully broken through previous resistance zones, the strong uptrend remained intact.
Overall Assessment
After initial pressure from a strong U.S. dollar, gold broke out of its consolidation range supported by favorable factors including Fed rate cut expectations and geopolitical risks. As bearish momentum waned, bullish forces took full control, driving a sharp weekly rally from the $4,000 support level to above the $4,200 milestone.
Bank holiday what will gold price be on 28 november 2025?1️⃣ Trendline
Ascending Trendline (red channel)
Price is moving inside a short-term ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows.
Recently touched the upper boundary → a technical pullback toward the lower boundary is likely.
Descending Trendline (red dotted)
This is a dynamic resistance from the higher timeframe.
Price has just broken above it; a retest is normal → creating a strong confluence area.
2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance
Resistance
4,240 – 4,245 (Fibo 1.618 + major supply zone)
→ This is the upside target if price continues to hold within the ascending channel.
Support 1 (nearest)
4,165 – 4,170 (trendline + MA + previous consolidation zone)
→ This zone is crucial for maintaining the bullish structure.
Support 2 (stronger)
4,095 – 4,112 (Fibo 0.5 – 0.618 + broad demand zone)
→ If Support 1 breaks, price may retrace deeply into this area.
3️⃣ Fibonacci Levels
Fibo 1.0 at 4,162 → currently the main retest point.
Fibo 0.618 at 4,111 → strong confluence with the major demand zone.
Fibo 1.618 at 4,245–4,255 → matches the top resistance → primary bullish target if the trendline holds.
4️⃣ Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (preferred)
If price holds above 4,165 – 4,170
→ it continues following the ascending channel → target 4,240 – 4,245.
Bearish Scenario
Break of the trendline + candle close below 4,165
→ confirms a correction phase → price likely moves down to 4,109 – 4,105.
Trade Ideas
BUY GOLD:
4165 – 4162
Stoploss: 4152
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD:
4240 – 4243
Stoploss: 4250
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
XAUUSD : H3 Quick Update , 4200$ Time To Back Fall Gold ??Lets Start Our Journey Of Trading Lets Learn And Grow Together Oky Guys Stay Tuned And Stay With Us
In This Anaylsis We Are Waiting For A Confirmation To Sell Xauusd Down Trend Lets Goo Gold And The Second Setup Is We Are Waiting For Bullish Setup From CISD or ORDER BLOCK to Buy Gold Target Will Same Where We Are Selling Stay Strong Be Patient
Thanks 🙏 Can Comment Your Opinion And Kindly Share This Post As Possible Boost And Follow My Account ✅
Thanksgiving volatility is limited, precise strategy is key.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
🙏Today is Thanksgiving, and the market will close early. Gold trading is likely to be quiet, and with insufficient liquidity, it is expected to continue to fluctuate within a narrow range.
📊However, as I said yesterday, core safe-haven demands such as the Fed's interest rate cut expectations and geopolitical factors continue to provide some support for gold prices, and the upward structure has not been broken. The holiday effect is simply limiting significant volatility. Pullbacks are all for building momentum for a subsequent bullish rally.
📈The short-term daily MA5 is moving upward, and the 4-hour moving average and Bollinger middle line are also around 4135, which together with 4125 below form short-term support. On the first pullback to the 4135-4125 area, you can consider a small long position. The key support level to watch remains unchanged at around 4115-4100, near the daily MA10. As long as this level holds, the market's bullish trend will remain intact.
🌈Regarding resistance, continue to focus on the 4170-4180 range, a breakout would lead to an attack on the 4195-4205 range.
✅In summary, our strategy remains unchanged: in the absence of data or news-related factors today, we will primarily focus on buying on dips and waiting for the market to provide opportunities to buy at lower prices.






















