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XAUUSD on Drop Gold is under strong pressure on the daily chart, as the $3348–$3352 resistance zone rejected price action twice during the Asian session, pushing it back toward the support area near $3332. What possible scenario we have? •I'm in down side till 3330 once it's flips my target are 3323then 3315. I'm holding my sell trades at 3342-3345. • If H1-H4 candle closes above 3350-3352 selling will be postpond and our setup will be invalid. Additional Tip Below 3345 sell Above 3355 buy
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Forexmaestro121
3330 Under Pressure – New York Could Decide the MoveYesterday’s Move Yesterday, after the initial rejection from the 3370 resistance zone, Gold broke below the 3350 confluence support and tumbled toward the 3330 key support. Since then, the price has been consolidating, with low volatility — largely due to the European bank holiday. Key Question Has the market gathered enough energy for another leg down, or will buyers manage to defend 3330? Why a Bearish Continuation Is Possible - The 3330 zone is now being tested repeatedly, showing weakening buying interest - A confirmed break under 3330 would open the way toward the 3280 support zone. Trading Plan I will watch for a clear break under 3330 during the New York session, aiming for a move toward 3280. Any long position becomes interesting only if we get a daily close above 3360. Final Note The market still needs to confirm — patience is key. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
9
Oscillating downward, shorting again on rebound#XAUUSD Judging from the current market, gold tends to fluctuate and fall in the 4H. 📉After hitting the high of 3374 yesterday, the bullish momentum lacked continuity, gradually breaking down and declining to give up the previous day's gains. ⚖️ After consecutive negative closings, the Bollinger Bands opened. In the NY period, we will rely on the middle track of the Bollinger Bands to further see the room for decline. It is expected that the volume will increase after short-term consolidation. 📊 The upper pressure is focused on 3348 and 3358. 🌈The operation is mainly short-selling on rebound.🐻 The first target below is around 3330. If it breaks, it will go to 3320-3300.🎯 🚀 SELL 3348-3358 🚀 TP 3330-3320
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Halson_Winston
XAUUSD Potential Long OpportunityXAUUSD is currently in a bearish trend and is approaching the support level at $3332 which is the Asian lows for the day. Expecting a bounce form this level towards the Asian highs at $3349 which is just below the major pivot level of $3351. Price is still trading below all 3 moving averages and in the in the bearish region of the RSI thus it is a pullback trade. Not sure if Gold has enough momentum to break pass the pivot level at $3351 especially with the bearish momentum we are seeing, thus looking to take an intraday long trade and ride the wave to the Asian High before reevaluating my position.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fides_Trading
8/15: Watch Resistance at 3348–3358, Support at 3328–3323Good afternoon, everyone! Yesterday, gold’s rebound was capped at 3352–3358, failing to turn resistance into support. As anticipated, price then moved into the 3332–3323 battleground. On the 2H chart, bulls still hold a slight edge, with signs of a potential double bottom. However, if price continues to face resistance at 3348–3352 without breaking out, or loses the key 3328 support on a pullback, bullish momentum will weaken, and a bearish setup may re-emerge, increasing the likelihood of a retest near 3300. With important US session data ahead, my strategy today differs from yesterday — focusing on buying dips as the main approach, with shorting near highs as a secondary option. Manage risk carefully and feel free to reach out if you need assistance.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold prices remain volatile, waiting for direction selectionGold prices (XAU/USD) rebounded modestly during Friday's Asian trading session, recouping some of the previous day's losses, but bullish momentum was limited. The dollar's previous rally, buoyed by strong US Producer Price Index (PPI) data, lacked sustainability. Investors widely expect the Federal Reserve to resume its interest rate cut cycle in September, supporting gold. According to data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the PPI grew 3.3% year-on-year in July, exceeding market expectations of 2.5% and significantly higher than June's 2.4%. Despite this, the CME FedWatch tool shows a 90% probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, with a cumulative 50 basis points cut expected by year-end. Furthermore, market sentiment was supported by multiple positive factors, including easing trade concerns between the US and Asia and the potential for a ceasefire in the Ukrainian conflict following the US-Russia summit. These factors have boosted global risk appetite and limited further gains for gold as a safe-haven asset. Analysts point out that amidst a rebound in risk appetite, gold's short-term performance may hinge on upcoming data releases such as US retail sales, the New York Fed manufacturing index, and the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index. These indicators could influence the US dollar and, indirectly, gold prices. Daily chart analysis shows that gold prices are encountering significant resistance near the 100-hour moving average (around $3,355). Multiple rebounds have failed to break through this level, indicating that short-term selling pressure remains significant. If prices break through this level, they could test the $3,375 and $3,400 levels. However, a break below $3,330 support could trigger an accelerated decline, potentially targeting $3,300 or even lower. Technical indicators show weak daily volatility, and the short-term trend remains downward. The current rebound in gold is more of a technical correction than a trend reversal. Amidst a lack of sustained US dollar buying and lingering expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices are likely to remain range-bound in the short term. However, if market risk sentiment further heats up, gold's safe-haven properties may continue to weaken. We need to pay attention to the effectiveness of the $3,330 support. Once it is lost, the downside space will open up quickly. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
XAUUSD Bullish Trend Continuation: Potential Move to $3,400!The price action shows a higher high ("high") and a higher low ("low"), which are characteristic of an uptrend. An upward trendline has been established, connecting a series of higher lows, which is acting as a dynamic support level. A significant horizontal support zone has also been identified around the $3,260 - $3,280 price range, where the price previously found support. Recently, the price experienced a pullback and bounced off the upward trendline. The analysis anticipates a continuation of the upward momentum toward a key resistance zone. This resistance zone is located around the $3,400 - $3,420 level. A specific target price of $3,408.833 is highlighted within this zone, suggesting a potential area where the upward movement might pause or reverse. The chart includes a potential corrective wave pattern labeled with "C"s, indicating a recent three-wave pullback within the larger trend. The current price is shown at $3,353.520, positioned above both the horizontal support and the upward trendline, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
The gold market is still stuck in a solid accumulation patternWorld gold prices fell after the US's key inflation report released results that were much higher than expected. The US producer price index (PPI) in July increased by 0.9% compared to the previous month, much higher than the flat level in June and far exceeding the forecast of 0.2%. This is the strongest increase since June 2022. This report reinforces the view of the "hawks" in US monetary policy, who do not want the US Federal Reserve (FED) to cut interest rates soon. Compared to the same period last year, the total PPI increased by 3.3% - the highest level in 5 months and exceeded the forecast of 2.5%. Core PPI (excluding food and energy) also increased by 0.9%, higher than the forecast of 0.2%. On a year-on-year basis, the core PPI increased by 3.7% compared to the previous 2.6%. Hotter-than-expected PPI data in July only slightly reduced the chances of a 25 basis point Fed rate cut in September, but all but eliminated the possibility of a 50 basis point cut that a few investors had previously expected.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – August 15, 2025 1. Momentum • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse and the two lines are converging. We need to wait for the daily candle close for confirmation. At this stage, buying pressure is weak, but sudden downward spikes to sweep liquidity are still possible. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is rising, suggesting a potential rebound today. If this rebound fails to break above Wave B’s high, another downward move is likely. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is turning down, so a short-term drop is possible. If price breaks below 3331 and approaches the lower targets, it will align with H4’s upward momentum, creating the basis for a more stable rally. 2. Wave Structure • D1 Timeframe: The abcde triangle pattern may have completed. We now have a black 5-wave structure, with Wave 1 formed and price possibly in Wave 2. A break below 3270 would invalidate this 5-wave count. • H4 Timeframe: The black 12345 5-wave structure appears complete. Price may now be forming a purple ABC correction, with Waves A and B done, and price currently in Wave C. Based on Fibonacci from W12345, Wave C has two potential targets: o Target 1: 3322 (Fibo 0.618) o Target 2: 3298 (Fibo 0.782) • H1 Timeframe: Within Wave C, a black 5-wave structure seems to be developing, and price may now be in Wave 4. Wave 4 has two possible targets: 3343 and 3350, after which price could drop to complete Wave 5. 3. Key resistance zones where Wave 5 may end: • Target 1: 3322 • Target 2: 3315 • Target 3: 3299 4. Trade Plan • Scenario 1: o Buy Zone: 3322 – 3320 o SL: 3312 o TP1: 3332 o TP2: 3357 o TP3: 3381 • Scenario 2: o Buy Zone: 3300 – 3298 o SL: 3290 o TP1: 3314 o TP2: 3343 o TP3: 3381
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold (XAUUSD) 15M chartImmediate Trend – Price has rebounded from 3,330 support and is now testing the 3,341–3,343 minor resistance zone. Momentum is recovering but still corrective in nature after the recent sharp sell-off. Demand Zone Reaction – Strong buying emerged from the 3,334–3,330 green support area, showing active buyers defending this level. This remains a key invalidation point for bulls. Supply Zone Above – Major supply & liquidity trap sits at 3,352–3,357 (yellow zone); any rally into this area without strong volume is vulnerable to rejection. Key Levels to Watch – Resistance: 3,343 → 3,352 → 3,357 → 3,374 Support: 3,341 → 3,334 → 3,330 → 3,324 Trading Playbook – Bullish Scenario: Break & retest above 3,343 with volume could target 3,352–3,357. Bearish Scenario: Failure to break 3,343 or rejection from 3,352–3,357 could send price back to 3,334–3,330.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheWallstreetCapital
GOLD HOLDS 3330 LIQUIDITY ZONE – BULLISH REVERSAL IN PLAY!📌 Market Overview Gold has firmly held the 3330 liquidity support zone and bounced back strongly, now trading around 334x, forming a clean bullish structure on the M30 chart. If the current momentum continues, price is likely to target the FIB resistance & CP Zones above at 335x and 336x in the short term. On higher timeframes, the corrective wave is still present, but intraday traders must stay alert – today’s geopolitical headlines from the Trump–Putin meeting could inject volatility. Friday’s usual liquidity sweeps also add risk, so stay adaptive and avoid getting trapped by false breaks. 🧐 Key Technical Insights (MMFLOW Analysis) CP Resistance 3355 aligns with a strong OBS SELL ZONE – watch for reaction here. Further upside resistance near the 0.62 FIB level. If price reaches this early in the Asian or early London session, it’s a valid short setup. Late London or NY session tests could be false break traps due to the confluence with the downtrend line. BUY Entries are still valid from 3334–3336 for early intraday longs, with SL below 3330. If 3330 breaks, wait for deeper liquidity at 331x before buying again. 🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Strategy 🔹 BUY ZONE Entry: 3334 – 3336 SL: 3330 TP: 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3380 🔹 SELL ZONE Entry: 3355 (OBS SELL) or 0.62 FIB confluence SL: Above 3362 TP: 3350 – 3345 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330 📊 Key Levels Resistance: 3355 – 3362 – 3370 Support: 3336 – 3330 – 331x 💡 MMFLOW Comment: The best approach today is trend-following buys from liquidity zones while monitoring intraday resistance for short scalps. Geopolitical headlines and Friday liquidity sweeps may trigger traps – trade smart, not just fast.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Institutional Outlook 15 August 2025Gold continues to grind through a tight mid-$3,300 range after Thursday’s hot U.S. PPI print boosted the dollar and dented large Fed rate-cut bets. Despite the short-term pullback, the broader 4H structure remains intact — giving traders both an upside and downside opportunity today. This is not a scattergun approach. We work with only ONE Buy Zone and ONE Sell Zone with full institutional confluence. Every level here is refined using Price Action, Smart Money Concepts, ICT core principles, Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, Premium/Discount arrays, and liquidity mapping. Primary Buy Zone ($3,325–$3,330) – The Golden Zone This is today’s highest-probability trade location. Price sits in structural discount, right on top of a fresh 4H Rally-Base-Rally demand zone with a refined bullish Order Block. An unmitigated Fair Value Gap overlaps perfectly with the Optimal Trade Entry (0.705–0.79 retracement) of the last bullish leg. Liquidity is positioned just below at equal lows near $3,322, inviting a possible stop-run before reversal. Volume imbalance on the prior up-leg confirms smart-money participation. Entry: $3,325–$3,330 Stop-Loss: Below $3,318 (liquidity + swing low) Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $3,357 (local structure) TP2: $3,380 (Fib 1.272 projection) Kill Zone: London open into New York overlap Primary Sell Zone ($3,355–$3,360) Gold’s upside is capped by a 4H Drop-Base-Drop supply zone nested in premium pricing. A refined bearish Order Block aligns with a Fair Value Gap from the last impulsive sell-off. Equal highs around $3,360 offer liquidity for a potential sweep before distribution. Entry: $3,355–$3,360 Stop-Loss: Above $3,370 (EQH cluster) Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $3,330 TP2: $3,305 (Fib 1.272 extension) Fallback Zones – In Case of Manipulative Displacement Fallback Buy: $3,315–$3,320 → Demand zone + OTE + minor FVG; SL below $3,308; same TPs as Primary Buy. Fallback Sell: $3,365–$3,370 → Secondary supply + OTE + OB; SL above $3,375; same TPs as Primary Sell. Why the Golden Zone Matters Today Among all four levels, the Primary Buy Zone at $3,325–$3,330 stands out. It sits at the crossroads of structural discount, smart-money footprints, and liquidity positioning. If price sweeps the equal lows at $3,322 during the London or early NY session, the probability of a sharp, institution-led reversal increases dramatically. Institutional Consensus Market commentary from FXStreet, FXEmpire, and DailyForex all acknowledge mid-$3,320s as a key support zone, with resistance forming near $3,355–$3,400. This alignment reinforces our bias: sellers control the premium zone, but buyers are poised to defend structural discounts. Execution Reminder Trade only the defined zones with precise risk control. These are institution-level liquidity plays, not mid-range chases. If price fails to respect the primary zone, step aside or switch to the fallback. Patience is part of the edge. 💬 If you find this level-by-level breakdown useful, drop a comment below. Let’s see how the Golden Zone plays out in real time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) - 4 Hour Chart (OANDA)4-hour chart from OANDA displays the recent price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar. The current price is $3,334.075, reflecting a decrease of $21.620 (-0.64%) from the previous value. The chart shows a sell price of $3,333.800 and a buy price of $3,334.340, with a spread of 54.0. The price has fluctuated between $3,368.176 (high) and $3,323.839 (low) in recent trading, with a shaded area indicating a potential support or resistance zone around $3,340. The data covers the period from mid-August to early September 2025.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
Gold: From Bullish Bias to Bearish Shift- N.Y UpdateIn this morning's analysis, I mentioned that Gold was still in bullish territory, but the line in the sand was the 3350–3355 zone. In fact, I bought at that level — but given the choppy price action and the sharp rejection from the 3375 resistance, I kept the position size small. Good thing I did, as the stop loss was eventually hit. With price now falling below the 3350 zone and showing what can be categorized as a strong reversal from resistance, the odds have shifted decisively to the bearish side. Trading plan: Any rally above the 3350 zone should now be viewed as an opportunity to sell into strength. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
8
Gold consolidates at 3355, NY falls back to keep low and long#XAUUSD Gold surged and then retreated during the day,🚀 reaching a high near 3374 and a low near 3341. It is currently consolidating around 3355. 📊 From a medium-term perspective, the previous upward trend of gold has not been completely broken, 📈but from the 2-hour chart, the MACD indicator shows signs of forming a death cross, adding a hint of uncertainty to the market. 🎲 In the short term, gold has repeatedly tested the 3365-3375 range but has not yet been able to break through. This resistance range can be considered as a temporary resistance level.🐻 The current PPI data is significantly bearish, and the DXY technical indicator is expected to form a golden cross. A stronger US dollar may put some pressure on gold. 📉However, gold has repeatedly tested the 3340-3330 support level without breaking, demonstrating that this support level has some resilience. 🐂If the support level of 3340-3330 is touched during the NY period and is not broken, you can consider going long with a light position,📈 but be sure to set a SL.⚖️ 🚀 BUY 3340-3330 🚀 TP 3355-3365
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Halson_Winston
Gold Price Faces Key Resistance — Can Bulls Break $3,440?The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) 1-hour chart shows a strong bullish structure within an upward channel, supported by higher highs and a recent ATH (All-Time High) retest. Resistance Zone: $3,410 – $3,440 is acting as a significant supply area. Price may face selling pressure here. Support Levels: First support lies near $3,300 (supply zone), followed by the $3,225–$3,250 demand zone. Trend: The price is respecting the upward trendline, but a break below could trigger a retest of the green supply zone. Bullish Scenario: A breakout and close above $3,440 could lead to a continuation toward $3,475+. Bearish Scenario: Rejection from the resistance zone with a break below $3,300 could push price toward the $3,225 support. Overall, gold is currently in a bullish trend, but needs to overcome the $3,440 barrier for further upside momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 14, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis • D1 timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of reversal. Although price may not reverse immediately when the two momentum lines converge, this is a clear signal that the current selling pressure is weakening. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is declining and has only formed 2 H4 candles since the reversal began. It will likely take another 2–3 H4 candles to enter the oversold zone and potentially reverse upward. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is also falling, suggesting a likely downward move during the Asian session. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • On H1, price is moving in a choppy manner, indicating a corrective phase that has nearly reached its target. • However, the D1 momentum preparing to reverse upward creates two possible scenarios: Scenario 1: D1 momentum reverses upward and confirms → The uptrend could last for 4–5 days, conflicting with the current scenario of a corrective wave B. In this case, we would have an alternative scenario of an initial diagonal wave 1 as shown in the right-hand chart. Scenario 2: D1 momentum enters the oversold zone and stays there → A strong drop would be needed to confirm that the current price action is wave B. ________________________________________ 3. Two Potential Price Scenarios 1. WXY corrective pattern → Target for wave Y is around 3381. 2. Initial diagonal wave 1 → Wave 2 could decline toward 3345 before wave 3 rises again. This scenario currently aligns better with the D1 momentum signal. ________________________________________ Conclusion: At present, there is a conflict between momentum signals and wave structure. Further observation is required to determine a clearer trading plan, so no trade recommendation for today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
8/14: Watch Resistance at 3352–3358, Support at 3332–3323Good afternoon, everyone! After entering the 3372–3378 resistance zone, gold attempted two breakouts but failed, forming a double-top pattern and breaking below the 3366 support. It then found temporary support at 3358–3352, but the rebound failed to reclaim 3366, leading to a further drop to test the 3343–3337 area. This is a textbook support-to-resistance shift, worth studying for those interested in technical analysis. Currently, the structure favors the bears. In the coming moves, watch closely to see if the 3352–3358 area turns from support into resistance again. If selling pressure persists, 3332–3323 will be the next battleground. Should bulls fail to defend it, the 3300 level could be retested. For the rest of the week, trading should remain focused on these key support and resistance zones. With data coming in during the US session today, risk management is crucial — favor short positions on rebounds, with long trades as a secondary option. If caught in a losing position, and your account is safe, consider averaging down or hedging. If you need assistance, feel free to message me.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
XAUUSD analysis – 1H FVG and OB SetupsOn the 1H gold chart, price recently reacted to the FVG (red zone) at 3410, showing a clean rejection and shifting order flow to the downside. Below the current price, we have three key bullish OB zones: First green OB around 3460, acting as the closest demand zone. Second green OB around 3310, a deeper liquidity zone. Third green OB at 3287, a stronger higher-timeframe demand that may act as a swing point. If price retraces back into 3410 and rejects with confirmation in lower timeframes (3m–15m), it could provide a short setup toward the 3460–3310 demand range. Conversely, if price breaks above 3410 with strong momentum, the bias may shift to testing higher liquidity levels. 📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD & Crypto 📚 Daily setups & educational trades
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ProfitaminFX
XAU/USD 14 August 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Daily Market Momentum Analysis (Gold)Spot gold's upward momentum stalled during the Asian session on Thursday (August 14th). After hitting a three-day high near $3,375, it encountered some intraday selling and is currently trading around $3,358.52 per ounce, close to Wednesday's closing price. Global risk sentiment continues to be supported by two factors: optimistic expectations of a three-month extension of the US-China trade truce and positive signals from Friday's (August 15th) US-Russia summit aimed at ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This, in turn, has weighed on the safe-haven precious metal. However, multiple supportive factors remain favorable for bullish traders and provide a basis for potential bargain-hunting. The US dollar continues to face selling pressure due to widespread expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut borrowing costs in September. Furthermore, traders have begun betting on the possibility of two Fed rate cuts before the end of the year, which should continue to be positive for gold, a non-interest-bearing asset. Against this backdrop, it would be prudent to await further follow-through selling to confirm whether the gold price rebound from Tuesday's one-week low of $3,331 has lost momentum. Daily Market Drivers Analysis: Gold bulls hold off on aggressive bets amid rising risk appetite Except for the Nikkei 225, Asian stocks extended their recent gains, tracking the US benchmark S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, which posted record gains for the second consecutive trading day. The US dollar rebounded slightly after hitting a two-week low early Thursday, but its upside is expected to be limited as market expectations for a more aggressive Federal Reserve rate cut are more aggressive than previously. According to the CME Group FedWatch tool, the Federal Reserve is almost certain to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September policy meeting, with at least two more cuts expected before the end of the year. This expectation was reinforced by US consumer inflation data, which was largely in line with expectations on Tuesday. Furthermore, the July US non-farm payroll report showed signs of labor market weakness, bolstering the case for further policy easing. Meanwhile, US President Trump increased pressure on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to cut interest rates. Furthermore, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant said the Fed should consider a 50 basis point rate cut next month. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee said he was more concerned about last month's rise in core inflation than the unusually weak jobs report, and therefore may not support a September rate cut. Atlanta Fed President Bostic acknowledged the overall weakness in the latest round of employment data and noted the potential for structural changes due to tariffs, but he declined to comment on a rate cut. U.S. Treasury yields remained under pressure as investors assessed the potential impact of tariffs on the U.S. economy and awaited the release of the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) later in the North American session. Gold's technical structure supports the view of dip buying at lower levels. Gold broke through the $3,358-3,360 resistance level overnight, and the successful defense of the 200-period simple moving average support on the 4-hour chart earlier this week supports spot gold bulls. However, oscillators on the hourly and daily charts have yet to gain significant upward momentum, so it would be wise to wait for more follow-through buying before initiating further long positions. Currently, the Asian session high (around $3,375) may constitute near-term resistance. A break above this level could potentially push gold prices towards the $3,400 mark. This level is closely followed by last week's swing high of $3,409-3,410. A successful break above this level would pave the way for further gains towards the intermediate resistance level of $3,422-3,423. Ultimately, upward momentum could propel gold prices above the $3,434-3,435 area, potentially challenging the psychologically important $3,500 peak reached in April. On the downside, if gold prices break below support at $3,243-3,242 (the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart), they could find support near $3,331 (this week's low). If selling pressure persists, gold could accelerate its slide towards the $3,300 mark. A clear break below this level would turn bearish in the short term, opening up room for further declines. FX:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD MCX:GOLD1! FX:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
Gold – Bulls Still in Control, but Caution NeededIn yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that Gold could reverse to the upside and challenge the 3375–3380 resistance zone. Throughout the day, dips were consistently bought, and last night the price briefly tapped into that area. The overall structure remains bullish, but there are a few important notes: 1. Price action continues to be choppy. 2. Gold reversed quickly from 3375 overnight, which calls for caution from the bulls. 3. The 3350–3355 zone is the line in the sand — it is imperative for bulls to keep the price above this level. That being said, and with the caution mentioned above, I remain bullish and expect another test of 3375, and potentially even a move beyond 3380. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
5