Gold: Reach a new highGold has successfully stood firm above the key psychological level of 4000, continuing its rally to reach an all-time high. From the perspective of capital flows, although specific position data is lacking, the price-volume surge following the breakthrough,evidenced by both New York Gold and London Gold recording "rising prices with increasing trading volume" that confirms the continuous inflow of safe-haven funds. Additionally, the seasonal upward momentum of gold in October has not yet faded, and the momentum-driven uptrend continues, further strengthening the confidence of bullish investors.
The 4000-4050 range has been effectively broken through, and this former resistance level has now transformed into a short-term support level. If gold can maintain a stable position above 4050 in the subsequent sessions, the next target range can be set at 4100-4150. For short-term support, focus on the key psychological level of 4000; a breakdown below this level may trigger a pullback to the 3950-3980 range.
Buy 4010 - 4020 TP 4030 - 4040 - 4050 SL 4000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Xauusdupdates
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – US FORECAST (08/10/2025)Session Bias: Bullish continuation with controlled pullback probability
Market Structure: Still within ascending channel; bulls defending structure after rejection at 4,049
⸻
🕐 1️⃣ DAILY TIMEFRAME (D1)
• Gold continues its aggressive uptrend, with another bullish daily candle extending from 3,983 to 4,049.
• Price remains above 20 EMA (3,975) and 50 EMA (3,867) → strong bullish trend confirmation.
• RSI at 79 → extremely overbought, suggesting limited room before a short-term correction.
• MACD histogram still expanding positively, showing momentum remains active despite exhaustion risk.
• Parabolic SAR stays below price → trend intact.
Summary:
Gold is overextended but structurally bullish. As long as daily candle holds above 4,000, buyers remain in control aiming for 4,060–4,078.
⸻
⏱ 2️⃣ H1 TIMEFRAME
• Gold hit 4,049 (Weak High) and is now consolidating around 4,040–4,043, holding above short-term structure support at 4,031.
• Price remains above 20 EMA (4,031) and 50 EMA (3,984) — EMAs sharply aligned upward.
• MACD: histogram showing fading bullish momentum, though still above zero → healthy pullback possible.
• RSI (70) hovering near overbought → suggests cooling off before potential continuation.
• Channel Structure: price rejected top trendline (red), possibly retracing toward midline support 4,031–4,020.
Observation:
If 4,031–4,020 holds, we may see a continuation leg toward 4,060–4,078.
A break below 4,018 would shift short-term momentum bearish toward 4,004.
⸻
📉 3️⃣ M15 TIMEFRAME
• The intraday structure remains bullish; however, candles are printing smaller bodies → indicating exhaustion.
• Fibonacci retracement from 3,984 → 4,049:
• 38.2% = 4,024
• 50% = 4,017
• 61.8% = 4,010
→ forming a Golden Zone (4,024–4,010) — ideal pullback area for re-entry if the bullish trend resumes.
• MACD showing a flattening histogram → potential retrace before next impulse.
• RSI at 61 → mid-range, ready for either a dip or rebound depending on 4,031 support reaction.
Summary:
A healthy retracement toward 4,024–4,010 is expected. As long as the golden zone holds, trend continuation remains the main scenario.
⸻
⚡ 4️⃣ M5 TIMEFRAME (SCALPING VIEW)
• Price formed a minor double top at 4,049 and retraced to 4,033, currently ranging between 4,030–4,044.
• 20 EMA starting to flatten, while 50 EMA remains below → short-term correction developing.
• MACD histogram in red but narrowing → bears weakening as we approach support.
• RSI 48 → neutral, suggesting accumulation zone forming for next move.
Scalping Summary:
• Buy scalp zone: 4,031–4,024 (confirmation required)
• Sell scalp zone: below 4,018 (breakout and retest) → potential drop to 4,004–3,992
⸻
✨ FIBONACCI GOLDEN ZONE (Current Swing: 3,984 → 4,049)
Retracement Level Price
38.2% 4,024
50% 4,017
61.8% 4,010
Golden Zone = 4,024 – 4,010 → key support & re-entry area.
⸻
🚨 BREAKOUT LEVELS TO WATCH
Direction Breakout Zone Retest Confirmation Target Zones
Bullish Above 4,049–4,050 Retest 4,045–4,047 4,060 → 4,072 → 4,085
Bearish Below 4,018–4,010 Retest 4,015–4,012 4,004 → 3,992 → 3,970
⸻
📊 INDICATORS SUMMARY
Indicator Reading Bias
RSI (H1) 70 (Overbought) ⚠ Cooling phase
MACD (H1) Positive, flattening ✅ Still bullish
EMAs (20/50) Rising, wide gap ✅ Trend intact
Volume Normalizing ⚠ Pre-news pause
Parabolic SAR Below price ✅ Trend supportive
⸻
🧭 SESSION OUTLOOK (US SESSION)
• Base Case (60% probability):
Controlled pullback toward 4,024–4,010 (Golden Zone) before continuation to 4,060–4,078.
• Alternative (30% probability):
Extended range between 4,030–4,049 with sideways consolidation.
• Low Probability (10%):
Breakdown below 4,010 → deeper correction to 3,990–3,970.
⸻
✅ SUMMARY
Gold remains bullish overall, but short-term momentum is softening after reaching 4,049 resistance.
A pullback into 4,024–4,010 (Golden Zone) is the ideal setup for bullish continuation.
As long as price holds above 4,018, trend bias stays upward;
only a confirmed breakdown below 4,010 would signal short-term bearish correction.
Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 4,018
⚪ Neutral 4,018–4,010
🔴 Bearish below 4,010
⸻
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Channel Continuation SetupGold (XAU/USD) continues to trade within a strong ascending channel on the 30-minute chart, showing clear bullish momentum. Price action has respected the lower trendline support multiple times, confirming steady buying interest.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: Around 4031
Target: 4051
Stop Loss: 4019
Technical Outlook:
Gold maintains a solid uptrend structure with consecutive higher highs and higher lows. The price is currently consolidating near mid-channel, preparing for a potential push toward the upper boundary and target zone around 4050+. As long as price holds above 4020, the bullish bias remains valid.
Trade Idea:
Buy on minor pullbacks within the channel, aiming for the upper resistance line near 4051. A break below 4020 would invalidate the setup.
BULLLISH SENTIMENT [GOLD]We see Gold on a strong bullish spree breaking its previous ATH and getting to over $4000/oz.
So many traders are now scared as they're expecting bears to take over the market but its all FOMO.
The bullish channel leads is further up with us being at slightly above the 50% trend mark
This bullish momentum is still in play with more room for buys up to 4060's and 4070's based on this trend analysis. Note that any bearish stance is only a reentry for continued buys . We've calculated over 2500pips and still going
FOLLOW FOR MORE .....
XAUUSD Preparing for FOMC spike?GOLD with continuation of long term up trend price jumped off the support level with an extension creating multiple 1h bullish candlestick pattern. As with upcoming FOMC meeting minutes on lowetimeframe, prie is consolidating and ranging which is a sign of possible short/long term break of structure.
Waiting for entry on possible rejection of lowerprice!
XAU/USD 08 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has again printed a bearish CHoCH. However, I will apply discretion and not classify as such due to insignificant depth of pullback, relative to recent price action. I have however marked this in red once again.
Intraday Expectation:
Allow price to continue with it bullish trajectory and to show signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. This would typically be the printing of a bearish CHoCH, which would indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price continued bullish, printing further ATH's.
Price has printed several bearish CHoCH's, however, as mentioned in yesterday's analysis, I would be watching depth of pullback. Pullback on all bearish CHoCH's was insignificant, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify as such. I have however marked them in red.
Intraday expectation: Allow price to show more definitive signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. This would be for price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone.
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Analysis (XAUUSD) | 1H Timeframe
🔹 Current Status: Gold is aggressively breaking new highs and showing strong bullish moves. This suggests that we might be experiencing the best year for gold in several decades.
🔹 Scenario 1: If the price reaches 3,840 and 3,860 levels, there’s a possibility of a pullback to lower green areas (around 3,700 or 3,680). These green zones can be ideal for entering long positions with lower risk.
🔹 Scenario 2: If the price swiftly breaks through the higher levels and moves further up, it might indicate the continuation of the bullish trend. In this case, look for long positions on lower timeframes (such as 5 minutes) with confirmation from candlestick patterns and price action.
🔹 Key Points:
The price is breaking new highs and continuing the bullish trend.
Look for long positions in lower timeframes in the green zones for confirmation.
Enter long near 3,700 and 3,680 with low risk.
$4000: New Record! Correction Warning & FVG Strategy.Hello, traders!
Gold officially set a New Record by breaching the $4,000/oz mark, hitting a peak of $4,014.60/oz. Although there was an immediate pullback after hitting this psychological level, the rally remains strongly supported by:
Fundamentals & Market Conflict
Main Drivers: Expectations for two more Fed rate cuts this year (FOMC Minutes tonight are key), coupled with central bank diversification and record ETF inflows ($64B) driven by global instability and inflation fears.
Reversal Warning: Bank of America (BoA) warns that Gold is facing "trend exhaustion," which could lead to a consolidation or correction in Q4.
Technical Analysis & Clear Strategy Direction
The price was rejected at $4000, leading to a local correction. However, the overall trend remains very strong and bullish. The safest strategy is to wait for a BUY at potential support zones.
Priority Bias: BUY (Long) on Dips towards FVG (Fair Value Gap) zones to capitalize on the main trend's momentum. Limit SELL attempts unless using extremely tight SL.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $4044, $4054, $4064
Support: $4018, $3999, $3986
Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY on Dips)
BUY ZONE (FVG): $3994 - $3992
SL: $3984
TPs: $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032, $4042
SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4065 - $4067
SL: $4075
TPs: $4057, $4047, $4037, $4027, $4017
Do you believe BoA's warning, or will the FOMC Minutes break $4050? 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #4000USD #ATH #Fed #FOMC #TradingView #BUYDIPS
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – LONDON FORECAST (08/10/2025)Current Price: 4,035
Session Bias: Bullish with short-term correction potential
Market Structure: Continuation within ascending channel — bulls still dominant, but slowing momentum after reaching 4,037
⸻
🕐 1️⃣ DAILY TIMEFRAME (D1)
• Gold continues its parabolic rise, forming consecutive bullish candles since 3,940 breakout.
• Price reached 4,037, the highest level since August 2020 equivalent, before consolidating.
• 20 EMA (3,971) and 50 EMA (3,867) both trending sharply upward → strong trend momentum.
• RSI at 78, showing overbought territory → potential short-term pullback.
• Parabolic SAR below price → trend intact.
Summary:
Uptrend fully intact. A pullback toward 3,990–3,970 is possible before continuation toward 4,050+.
⸻
⏱ 2️⃣ H1 TIMEFRAME
• Price trading within an ascending channel; current range 4,015–4,037.
• Higher highs and higher lows still forming — structure unbroken.
• 20 EMA = 4,018 / 50 EMA = 3,984 → clear bullish separation.
• MACD shows fading histogram but above zero line → losing momentum, not reversal.
• RSI 65 → cooling from overbought zone.
• Volume decreasing → Asian range likely transitioning into London volatility.
Key Observation:
A retest of 4,018–4,015 (previous BOS area) may serve as next buy opportunity.
⸻
📉 3️⃣ M15 TIMEFRAME
• Recent swing high at 4,037, followed by minor pullback to 4,020–4,024 support zone.
• EMA confluence and previous CHoCH confirm bullish structure remains.
• Fibonacci retracement from 3,984 → 4,037 gives:
• 38.2% = 4,017
• 50% = 4,010
• 61.8% = 4,004
→ This forms the Golden Zone (4,017–4,004) — ideal for long re-entries.
• MACD histogram returning to equilibrium → preparing for next leg.
• RSI 55 → neutral, confirming potential continuation.
Summary:
Watch for retest of 4,017–4,004 → key support zone to reload longs before any breakout attempt above 4,037.
⸻
⚡ 4️⃣ M5 TIMEFRAME (SCALPING STRUCTURE)
• Price rejected 4,037, retracing toward 4,024–4,020 with MACD histogram turning red.
• Short-term bearish divergence seen on RSI but minimal strength.
• As long as price holds above 4,018, buyers remain in control.
• If 4,018 breaks, next liquidity zone lies at 4,010–4,005 (Golden Zone base).
Scalping Summary:
• Aggressive scalpers can look for buy scalps between 4,018–4,010 with 60-pip risk window.
• Short-term exhaustion likely followed by bullish continuation.
⸻
✨ FIBONACCI GOLDEN ZONE (CURRENT MOVE: 3,984 → 4,037)
Retracement Level Price
38.2% 4,017
50% 4,010
61.8% 4,004
Golden Zone = 4,017 – 4,004 → Key intraday buy area.
⸻
🚨 BREAKOUT LEVELS TO WATCH
Direction Breakout Zone Retest Confirmation Target Zones
Bullish Above 4,037–4,040 Retest 4,033–4,035 4,050 → 4,060 → 4,078
Bearish Below 4,018–4,010 Retest 4,015 4,004 → 3,990 → 3,970
⸻
🧭 SESSION OUTLOOK
• Base Case (60% probability):
Minor pullback to 4,018–4,010 (Golden Zone) followed by bullish continuation toward 4,037–4,050.
• Alternative (30% probability):
Range between 4,020–4,037 before breakout continuation in New York session.
• Low Probability (10%):
Drop below 4,004 leading to correction into 3,990–3,970.
⸻
✅ SUMMARY
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, consolidating near the top of its ascending channel.
A healthy pullback toward 4,018–4,010 (Golden Zone) could offer fresh bullish continuation opportunities.
Momentum is softening but trend structure remains intact.
Only a clean break below 4,004 would indicate deeper correction risk.
Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 4,010
⚪ Neutral between 4,010–4,004
🔴 Bearish only below 4,004
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 07/10/2025 💸
📊 MARKET RECAP
✅ BUY +20 pips
✅ BUY +20 pips
✅ SELL +110 pips
✅ SELL +60 pips
✅ BUY LIMIT +210 pips
🔽 SELL – BE
✅ BUY +40 pips
✅ BUY +20 pips
💸 BTC/USD BUY +800 pips
---
🏆 GOLD TOTAL PIPS WON: +480 pips
💰 BTC/USD TOTAL: +800 pips
📈 COMBINED GAIN: +1,280 pips
📊 RESULT: 9 Signals → 8 Wins | 1 BE
🎯 ACCURACY: 89 %
---
🔥 Another strong performance across Gold & BTC!
Precision entries, layered accuracy, and massive profits 🚀
👏 Congratulations if you profited ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
"Gold 'Buy the Dip' Opportunity Targeting the $4,000 Level"
Technical Analysis
This is a classic bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Prevailing Trend: The chart shows a strong bullish impulse wave, indicated by the series of large green candles. This establishes the short-term trend as upward.
Corrective Pullback: After reaching a local high (around $3,980), the price is currently in a corrective phase, pulling back towards a potential support level. This is normal and healthy price action in an uptrend.
Support Zone: The red rectangle you've highlighted from approximately $3,950.00 to $3,956.00 is a well-defined area of potential support. This zone represents a previous level of consolidation and the base of the last major push upwards, making it a likely area for buyers to step back in.
Trade Idea: The projected path you have drawn suggests an expectation that the price will dip into this support zone, find buying pressure, and then continue its upward trajectory. This is often referred to as a "buy the dip" strategy.
XAUUSD – No FOMO, No ProblemSince the beginning of October, I’ve argued that a correction in Gold should be next.
However, the market had other plans — this view didn’t materialize, and my three short trades ended with one winner, one break-even, and one stop loss, a big 0 overall...
So, am I upset for missing a 2,000-pip rally? Not at all.
This was a test of acceptance and a reminder that trading correctly matters more than catching every move.
Gold will still be here tomorrow — and if I don’t truly believe in a setup, there’s no reason to enter.
Technically speaking, Gold remains extremely bullish, but every move, no matter how strong, has an end somewhere.
Whether that top comes at 4050, 4100, or even 5000, no one can say with certainty.
For me, it’s simple:
If I don’t have a trade aligned with my conviction, I don’t trade.
As long as the upward channel remains intact, the trend stays bullish.
The key support is now around $4,000, and it will be interesting to see whether this level holds or if Gold will finally enter the much-needed correction phase.
For now, I stay out.
I don’t chase moves I don’t understand, and I don’t FOMO.
Call it caution, or even stupidit y — but a rise without correction is something I simply don’t trust. 🟡
XAU/USD Bullish Setup Targeting 4000 ATHThis analysis on XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) 1H chart highlights a bullish outlook. Price is currently trading around 3937 after a strong upward move.
Support Zone: Around 3895 – 3922, providing a key base for buyers.
Retest Level: Expected pullback near 3960, which could act as a confirmation area before continuation.
Target: A push towards the 4000 ATH (All-Time High) level if momentum sustains.
Overall, the chart suggests that gold may first retest lower levels for confirmation, then extend bullish momentum towards 4000, making the zone a major psychological and technical resistance.
Still Bullish on Gold.Gold has broke $4,000... I extended the regression channel lines and it is still trading within our trend. Expected TP is $4050 provided the momentum stays bullish throughout the week; then wait for a new entry.
Use trailing stop losses to manage position and secure some profits incase of reversals.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – ASIAN FORECAST (08/10/2025)Gold closed the US session around 3,981, consolidating within a narrow range after a strong impulsive move from 3,946 → 3,991.
The pair continues to show bullish structure on all major timeframes, but with signs of momentum fatigue at current highs.
Asian session likely to provide either a minor correction or accumulation phase before next directional move during London.
⸻
📊 1️⃣ DAILY TIMEFRAME (D1)
• Structure: Strong bullish continuation since breaking out above 3,866 (last week’s BOS).
• EMAs: Price trading well above the 20 EMA (3,918) and 50 EMA (3,837) → showing strong trend control by buyers.
• RSI: 77 → overbought, risk of a short-term correction before further upside.
• Parabolic SAR: Still below price, confirming uptrend intact.
• Immediate resistance: 3,991–4,000 (psychological zone)
• Key support: 3,918–3,914
🔹 Bias: Trend remains bullish, but watch for exhaustion near 4,000. A corrective pullback toward 3,965–3,940 would be healthy for continuation.
⸻
📉 2️⃣ 1H TIMEFRAME (H1)
• Price trading in a rising channel, currently at upper boundary (~3,981).
• Previous BOS confirmed at 3,965, turning that area into dynamic support.
• EMAs 20/50 (3,970–3,961) acting as intraday support band.
• MACD histogram slightly fading → momentum cooling, but still positive.
• RSI 64 → neutral, providing space for another push higher if buyers defend supports.
• Structure forming potential ascending triangle → breakout may target 3,991 → 4,000 zone.
🔹 Bias: Bullish above 3,961, neutral between 3,961–3,946, bearish only below 3,946.
⸻
⏱ 3️⃣ 15M TIMEFRAME (M15)
• Clear liquidity sweep below 3,961 earlier, followed by a Change of Character (CHoCH) to bullish.
• Price forming higher lows, consolidating between 3,977–3,982 → tight compression before breakout.
• MACD recovering from minor bearish phase, RSI 58 → modest bullish pressure.
• EMAs crossing upward again, aligning with structure support at 3,973–3,970.
🔹 Expect accumulation within 3,973–3,982 before breakout confirmation.
⸻
📈 4️⃣ 5M TIMEFRAME (M5 – Scalping Focus)
• Micro-structure: short-term consolidation with support at 3,970 and resistance at 3,983.
• Momentum: MACD showing flattening histogram, RSI neutral (~52) → potential low-volume Asian range.
• EMAs flatlining → ideal setup for scalpers awaiting breakout or pullback to golden zone.
⸻
✨ FIBONACCI GOLDEN ZONE (SHORT-TERM)
Measured from 3,946 (swing low) → 3,991 (swing high):
• 38.2% = 3,974
• 50% = 3,968
• 61.8% = 3,962
🔸 This forms the Golden Zone = 3,974–3,962 — high-probability buy reaction area if tested.
Aligns with trendline + EMA support, increasing confluence.
⸻
🚨 BREAKOUT LEVELS TO WATCH
Direction Breakout Zone Retest Confirmation Target Zones
Bullish Above 3,983–3,985 Retest 3,980–3,982 3,991 → 4,000 → 4,015
Bearish Below 3,961–3,958 Retest 3,962–3,965 3,946 → 3,940 → 3,927
⸻
🧭 ASIAN SESSION OUTLOOK
• Base Case (60% probability):
Sideways-to-slightly bullish consolidation above 3,970 ahead of London volatility.
Price likely to respect Golden Zone (3,974–3,962) before continuation.
• Alternative (30% probability):
Brief dip into 3,958–3,946 liquidity pocket before strong bounce upward.
• Low Probability (10%):
Sustained bearish breakdown below 3,946, invalidating intraday uptrend.
⸻
📊 SUMMARY
• Gold remains in a strong bullish uptrend, consolidating near the top of the channel.
• 3,974–3,962 (Golden Zone) remains key area for buyers to defend.
• Breakout above 3,985 will confirm continuation toward 4,000–4,015.
• Only a confirmed drop below 3,946 shifts structure bearish short term.
Bias for Asian Session:
🟢 Bullish above 3,962
⚪ Neutral between 3,962–3,946
🔴 Bearish below 3,946
⸻
🟡 Conclusion:
Expect calm range trading during Asia with bullish continuation probability if 3,970–3,962 holds.
Aggressive moves likely resume in London session.
Overall structure and indicators favor dip accumulation rather than shorting.
⸻
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Fibo 2.618 at $4000 is coming soon [10.7.2025]Hi traders, Anfibo is here!
XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
It appears that gold OANDA:XAUUSD is moving exactly according to the two projected waves outlined in yesterday’s plan. The market continues to demonstrate strong bullish momentum, steadily seeking new all-time highs .
The current uptrend shows no significant signs of weakening, with safe-haven demand still dominating price action. However, the $4,000/oz level remains a key psychological resistance, which also aligns with the Monthly Fibonacci extension target. As price approaches this zone, a technical correction or profit-taking phase is highly likely to occur.
The degree of this potential correction will depend heavily on macroeconomic data and geopolitical developments, so it’s essential to closely monitor and reassess the market as new information unfolds.
Technical Outlook:
Primary Trend: Strong bullish momentum on both Daily and Monthly timeframes.
> SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES : 3942 - 3926 - 3909 - 3900 - 3890
> RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES : 3970 - 3975 - 3984 - 3999
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
ENTRY: 3995 - 4005
SL: 4010
TP: 3900 - 3800 - ...
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3885 - 3900
SL: 3880
TP: 3940 - 3970 - 3995 - ...
Risk Management:
- Maintain a minimum Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2.
- Manage position sizing carefully; avoid overtrading at psychological highs.
- Monitor U.S. economic data and geopolitical news closely, as these could act as catalysts for corrective moves.
Conclusion:
Gold continues to follow the planned technical path, reaffirming the strength of its bullish structure. The $4,000/oz zone will serve as a key psychological milestone — a level where temporary corrections or consolidations are likely before another potential leg higher.
For now, the strategy remains clear: prioritize the bullish side, and closely observe price reactions around $4,000 to adjust accordingly. In this market, “following the trend” remains the wisest approach.
GOODLUCK GUYS!
Gold: The Higher It Flies, the Louder the Correction WhispersAs explained in my Sunday video, the new all-time high for Gold is not a question of if, but how high it can rise once it firmly breaks above 3900.
Indeed, Gold has continued its unstoppable march, printing ATH after ATH, with the latest one formed during today's Asian session at 3977 — another almost 1,000 pips gained since Friday’s close.
At this point, there are two undeniable facts every trader recognizes:
1. The trend is extremely bullish.
2. A correction is long overdue.
________________________________________
Technical Outlook
The recent rally remains contained within an aggressive rising channel, but the overlapping highs in the last few hours reveal signs of exhaustion.
A confirmation for even a minor correction — and in this case, with Gold moving vertically, a 500-pip retracement would count as minor — would come with a break below the 3955–3850 zone.
Such a move would likely open the door for a retest of the 3900 area, which now serves as a key support.
________________________________________
Trading Plan
At the time of writing, I’m holding a short position, fluctuating near entry, with small alternating gains and losses.
While I do expect a pullback, I also keep in mind Keynes’s timeless reminder:
“The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.”
That’s why my stop loss is tight, and my focus is on discipline over prediction.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – US FORECAST (07/10/2025)
Gold is trading around 3,971, showing renewed bullish strength into the early US session after rejecting the 3,955–3,946 demand zone during London.
The market continues its primary uptrend, though price is now retesting the previous supply zone 3,972–3,977, where bulls previously lost momentum.
Momentum indicators confirm intraday buying pressure but highlight overextension — signaling a possible reaction or rejection before any continuation.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily Chart (D1):
• Strong bullish trend remains dominant, with price far above 20 EMA (3,914) and 50 EMA (3,837).
• RSI (78) → extremely overbought, suggesting the market is nearing exhaustion.
• Parabolic SAR remains below price, confirming bullish structure; however, a close below 3,950 would trigger a correction signal.
• Upside targets remain 3,985 – 4,000, but limited unless US dollar weakens sharply.
1H Chart (H1):
• Structure remains bullish after a BOS (Break of Structure) above 3,965.
• Price is forming higher lows and higher highs; however, current candle shows signs of rejection at 3,972–3,977 (supply zone).
• RSI ~63 → moderate bullish momentum.
• MACD turning positive again with histogram expanding — buyers remain in control.
• 20 EMA (3,961) and 50 EMA (3,949) → immediate support levels to monitor.
15M Chart (M15):
• Strong bullish leg formed after a double-bottom at 3,946 with a confirmed CHoCH (Change of Character).
• Price now testing Fibonacci resistance and supply area 3,972–3,977.
• RSI at 70+ → overbought short term.
• MACD positive but showing early signs of slowing momentum — a retest to 3,965 before continuation is likely.
5M Chart (M5):
• Short-term bullish channel intact.
• MACD histogram remains green, RSI above 65 → intraday bullish continuation bias.
• Possible minor retracement toward 3,964–3,961 for liquidity grab before continuation.
• No bearish divergence yet; structure favors intraday buys on pullbacks.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
Drawn from 3,946 swing low → 3,977 swing high:
• 38.2% → 3,965
• 50% → 3,962
• 61.8% → 3,958
➡ The Golden Zone (3,965–3,958) aligns with strong EMAs and intraday trendline confluence.
A bounce from this zone would offer high-probability bullish setups for continuation toward 3,977 → 3,985 → 3,990.
⸻
🎯 High Probability Entries
Scalping Setups (M5–M15, ≤60 pips SL):
• Buy Setup #1: Buy at 3,965–3,958 (Golden Zone) after rejection or engulfing candle.
🎯 Targets → 3,972 → 3,977 → 3,985
🛑 SL below 3,952 (60 pips)
• Buy Setup #2: Buy above 3,977 breakout & retest.
🎯 Targets → 3,985 → 3,995 → 4,000
🛑 SL below 3,972 (50–60 pips)
• Sell Setup: Only valid if rejection occurs at 3,977–3,985 zone with bearish engulfing confirmation.
🎯 Targets → 3,965 → 3,958 → 3,946
🛑 SL above 3,985 (60 pips)
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – US Session
• Today’s main catalyst: Fed Chair Powell’s remarks (late session).
• US Dollar Index (DXY) trading around 104.90, stable but showing slight weakness — supportive for gold.
• US Treasury yields are softening, which typically fuels gold demand.
• No major data releases, so market likely to follow technical structure unless Powell’s tone shifts sentiment.
Sentiment: Cautiously bullish — intraday momentum favors dips for continuation, but rejection near 3,977 must be watched closely.
⸻
⚠ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 3,972 – 3,977 / 3,985 / 3,995 – 4,000
Support: 3,965 / 3,958 – 3,952 / 3,946 – 3,940
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold maintains bullish momentum above 3,965 but enters a critical resistance zone (3,972–3,977).
The Golden Zone (3,965–3,958) remains the best area to seek new longs on dips.
Only a confirmed breakout above 3,977 opens the path to 3,985–4,000,
while rejection here could trigger short-term pullback to 3,958–3,946 before any continuation.
Bias for US session:
➡ Bullish above 3,958
⚠ Bearish only if 3,946 breaks with strong volume
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – Deep Analysis Team
XAU/USD Short-Term Buy Opportunity Near $3,950 SupportCurrent price: around $3,949.60
Support zone: near $3,940
Resistance targets: around $3,962, $3,965, and $3,970
Setup type: A long position with a defined entry near current price, stop loss just below $3,940, and take profit around $3,962–$3,970.
The green box indicates the reward zone, while the red box shows the risk area.
✅ Interpretation: The trader anticipates a short-term bullish rebound after a corrective move down.
XAU/USD 07 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price had printed a bearish CHoCH. Where we were trading within an established internal range, however, bearish pullback was insignificant relative to recent price action, therefore, I will not classify the bullish, I have however marked this in red again.
Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's. Price has since printed a bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to dept of pullback.
Price is currently trading within and established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,977.400.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price continued bullish, printing further ATH's.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. We are now confined with an establish internal range, however, I shall continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting internal high priced at 3,977.400
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold at $397x: Record High Reveals Double Top Pattern! Hello, traders!
Gold just hit a New Record High at $3,976.3/oz. However, immediately after, the market witnessed a clear structure break and the formation of a Double Top pattern in the European session. This strongly signals a shift in strategic priority.
Fundamentals & Bias Reversal
Core Drivers: Gold is up 50% YTD due to persistent Fed rate cut expectations (two more cuts projected) and severe global political instability (US Shutdown, France crisis, rising Japanese yields).
Technical Bias: We are now prioritizing SELL due to the confirmed Double Top and structure breakdown. Only consider BUYs at deeper support zones with controlled risk.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3953, $3975, $3984, $4004
Support: $3942, $3931, $3910, $3899
Trading Strategy (Prioritize SELL):
SELL SCALP: $3957 - $3959
SL: $3963
TPs: $3953, $3948, $3943, $3938, $3933
SELL ZONE: $3975 - $3977
SL: $3985
TPs: $3967, $3957, $3947, $3937, $3927
BUY ZONE 1 (Wait): $3931 - $3929
SL: $3921
TPs: $3939, $3949, $3959, $3969, $3979
BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper): $3899 - $3897
SL: $3889
TPs: $3907, $3917, $3927, $3937, $3947
Will the Double Top send Gold back toward $3900? Let me know your thoughts! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #DoubleTop #SELL #Fed #TradingView






















