ANFIBO | XAUUSD on my view today??? [09.18.2025]Hello traders! It’s me, Anfibo. As usual, I’d like to share my personal view on gold OANDA:XAUUSD for today’s session.
On the H4 chart, gold continues to hold firmly within the upward channel, showing no major signs of weakness. The latest H4 candle closed as a bullish hammer with a long lower wick and a strong body, indicating aggressive buying absorption and solid reactions around the trendline.
In my view, as long as price stays above 3,620 USD, the bullish structure on H4 remains intact, and buyers still maintain control.
On H1, price is currently trading around 3,671 USD, and I expect it to retest yesterday’s FOMC gap near 3,678 – 3,680 USD. This is a sensitive area because it aligns with multiple confluences:
> Fibonacci retracement 0.618.
> Trendline confluence.
> Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Together, these factors make 3,678 – 3,680 a strong short-term resistance, worth considering for a counter-trend sell scalp setup.
Here’s my personal plan today:
>>> BUY SCALP:
ENTRY: around 3.645
SL: 3,640
TP: 3,679 – 3,690
_________________
>>> SELL Scalp
(1) ENTRY: 3,670 – 3,674
SL: 3,676
TP: 3,655 – 3,650
(2) ENTRY: 3,678 – 3,680
SL: 3,685
TP: 3,650 – 3,645
My approach remains the same: buy at strong support, sell at confluence resistance, and never take trades without clear risk management in place.
Besides technicals, don’t overlook today’s Unemployment Claims data. This release could trigger volatility and potentially break through key levels. Personally, I’ll wait for the market’s reaction to the news before committing to larger positions.
>>> Final Thoughts:
- H4 trend: still bullish above 3,620.
- H1: likely retest of resistance at 3,678 – 3,680.
- Plan: BUY around 3,645 – SELL around 3,678 – 3,680.
- Stick to risk management, and stay mindful of U.S. news flow to avoid being caught off guard.
Goodluck guys! ;)
Xauusdupdates
Do you have the courage to follow me and take a long position?Gold, as expected, reached our target trading range and then fell, hitting our desired profit-taking level, resulting in good profits for our short positions. Just now, gold briefly dipped to around 3627 before rebounding quickly. If the US session tonight sees gold test the support level of 3635-3625 without breaking below it, consider going long on gold; the short-term target could be 3655-3670.
9/18: Trade Within 3674–3638 Range, Watch Resistance Near 3670Good morning, everyone!
Those who followed yesterday’s strategy should have made good profits—congratulations!
Currently, the price is hovering near the 3658 support. For today, the main resistance is around 3670–3680. If this level is broken and held, there’s potential to retest the 3700 area. If not, the bullish momentum may weaken.
On the 1H chart, if the next move forms a strong bullish candle (medium/large green candle) to break through, the probability of further upside will increase, giving bulls more opportunities. However, if the price continues to face heavy resistance without breaking, watch out for bears who may launch an attack. Key supports to watch are 3647 and 3636–3632. If these levels break, the 1D trend will show a reversal, with a drop below 3600 very likely, and deeper corrections possibly extending to the 3560 area.
Intraday strategy:
Trade within the 3674–3638 range.
If the 3680 resistance is broken strongly, look for buying opportunities on a pullback or consider selling near 3688 or higher.
If 3650 breaks, look to sell on rebounds near resistance, or consider buying opportunities below 3630.
Adjust trades flexibly according to market changes.
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits I booked profits on buying orders during Wednesday’s session, entering around 3652 and exiting near 3680+, while my medium-term longs hit the 3700 target on FOMC.
Later, I placed a sell limit at 3666, which got triggered and closed automatically at 3636 TP today's London session
Going forward, I’ll continue buying dips from my key entry zones as long as Gold holds above the 3620–3630 support area on the fractal.
Gold Analysis (XAU/USD)Two key buy levels are in play:
First level: 3613
Second level: 3591
If a valid signal forms at either level, I’ll be looking to go long ✅.
My plan remains the same:
If a level breaks, I’ll wait for a pullback and take the opposite side.
No frustration, no changing strategy.
Losses are part of the game—what matters is risk management and sticking to the plan 🎯.
📖 Remember: trading is about flowing with the market, not fighting it.
Gold's Reversal: Analyzing the Fed's Surprise MoveThe gold market's movements last night were unpredictable and far from simple. After hitting a new historical peak of $3,707.40/oz, gold unexpectedly turned around and fell to $3,681.39/oz, despite the Fed cutting interest rates by 0.25% as expected! So, what exactly happened?
Fundamental Analysis: The Fed's Decision and Powell's "Cold Shoulder"
Rate Cut as Expected: The Fed cut interest rates by 0.25%, marking the first reduction this year after three cuts in 2024. This move, along with the forecast for two more cuts this year, met market expectations and initially sent gold soaring.
USD and Bond Yields Fell: Lower interest rates weaken the USD and reduce bond yields, making gold more attractive. This was the initial reason for gold's new peak.
Powell's "Hawkish" U-Turn: Everything changed when Fed Chair Jerome Powell spoke. He made surprisingly "hawkish" comments, suggesting the Fed doesn't need to rush its rate cuts and that today's action was just a "risk management" move.
The Aftermath: This statement poured cold water on expectations for a more aggressive rate-cutting path. Powell was clever—he both met market expectations and appeased political pressure (especially from the Trump administration), but he also kept investors in a state of caution and uncertainty. As a result, bond yields and the USD bounced back, putting selling pressure on gold.
Outlook: This shock might be temporary. Fundamentally, the Fed's start to a loosening cycle is still a positive long-term signal for gold. Gold may be impacted in the short term, but the bullish trend remains intact.
Technical Analysis: Volatility and Key Levels
Gold showed unpredictable swings after the news. After a quick drop to the $363x area, it bounced back very quickly. This shows that buying power at strong support levels is still robust.
Key Support: $3624, $3612, $3600, $3584, $3569
Resistance: $3667, $3675, $3686, $3700
Today's Key Level: The $364x range. If gold holds above this level by the end of the European session, we will favor long positions for the US session.
Trading Setups (Strict Risk Management is Advised):
Buy Scalp
Zone: $3639 - $3637
SL: $3633
TP: $3642 - $3647 - $3652 - $3657 - $3667
Buy Zone
Zone: $3606 - $3604
SL: $3596
TP: $3614 - $3624 - $3634 - $3644 - $3664
Sell Scalp
Zone: $3674 - $3676
SL: $3680
TP: $3671 - $3665 - $3660 - $3655 - $3645
Sell Zone
Zone: $3686 - $3688
SL: $3696
TP: $3678 - $3668 - $3658 - $3648 - $3628
Note: The market is highly volatile. Be cautious with every trade. Will gold continue its rally or correct further? Share your thoughts below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Powell #CMEFedWatch
XAUUSD Movement and Trading Strategy todayYesterday, gold prices traded in a pattern of "first fluctuating downward then surging to break through key levels". After completing a correction during the daytime session, prices continued to rise in the evening, broke through the all-time high, and finally stabilized at the critical level of 3707.
From the current trend, although prices are in a pullback correction phase, the bullish trend has not undergone a fundamental change. After the short-term correction ends, the upward momentum is still expected to continue. On the daily chart, focus on the support zone around 3630.
Buy 3655 - 3660
TP 3670 - 3680 - 3690
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
XAUUSD on Edge: Will FOMC Spark a Breakout Above 3718?📊 Market Context & FOMC Insight
Gold is holding firm around major Fibonacci levels ahead of today’s FOMC meeting, a key event that could set the tone for monetary policy into year-end. Traders are closely watching whether the Fed will signal a confirmed rate cut path or adopt a more cautious tone.
A dovish outcome (clearer easing or stronger hints of cuts) could trigger a bullish breakout, propelling gold above 3718 toward new highs.
A hawkish surprise or less-committal Fed stance may fuel profit-taking and a deeper pullback toward key buy zones.
🔢 Technical & Fibonacci Outlook (H1)
SELL Liquidity Zones:
3690–3692 (M15 Fibo Reaction) – First reaction area where short-term sellers may step in.
3715–3718 (Major Liquidity Zone, SL 3725) – The critical resistance; a break here signals strong bullish momentum.
BUY Zones on Pullback:
3647–3645 (Fibo 0.618 Reaction Zone, SL 3640) – Primary buy zone for bullish continuation.
3630–3628 (OB Liquidity End Zone, SL 3620) – Deeper support if volatility spikes post-FOMC.
Breakdown Zone:
3674–3672 – Watching this area for structure confirmation on any downside move.
📈 Plan & Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation (Dovish Fed)
Look for a sweep of 3647–3645 or 3630–3628 to build positions.
Targets: 3690 → 3715 → Beyond 3725 for potential ATH testing.
2️⃣ Bearish Rejection (Hawkish Surprise)
Monitor 3690–3718 for reversal signals.
Downside targets: 3647–3645 first, deeper to 3630–3628 if sellers regain control.
⚠ Key Notes
Expect high volatility during and after the FOMC statement.
Manage risk with tight stops and smaller sizing around the event.
Confirmation (candlestick rejections or break/retest patterns) is crucial before committing capital.
💬 Discussion
📊 Do you see today’s FOMC as the trigger for a breakout above 3718 or a sharp retracement to reload longs? Share your view and Fibonacci levels below so we can compare strategies!
My XAUUSD Trading View for TodayToday, my stance is to go long on a pullback—I am bullish on gold but advise against chasing the rally. The key lies in observing whether the 3610 level is broken down; only a breakdown below this level will prompt me to shift my strategy.
This is not stubbornness. The end of an uptrend is always confirmed by the breach of a support level, rather than by speculating or predicting the peak.
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Gold Price Outlook – Bearish Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating near $3,657 after a sharp pullback from its recent highs. The chart shows clear resistance around $3,665–$3,667, where repeated rejections have capped upside attempts. Price is now testing below intraday trendline support, signalling bearish momentum building up. A move back into the support zone at $3,650–$3,648 looks likely if sellers maintain control.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,665 – $3,667 (near resistance rejection)
Stop Loss: $3,668 (above resistance zone)
Take Profit: $3,650 / $3,648 (support zone)
Risk/Reward: ~1 : 5.23
🗝️ Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,665 – $3,667
Support Zone: $3,650 – $3,648
🌐 Macro Background
Gold remains volatile after the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut, which was seen as less dovish than markets expected. Chair Powell struck a cautious tone, noting limited support for deeper cuts, prompting a USD rebound and a pullback in gold from record highs near $3,707. While longer-term dovish expectations (further cuts in October and December) support bullion, short-term positioning suggests further profit-taking is likely. Any stronger US data (like jobless claims) could extend downside pressure.
📌 Trade Summary
The setup favours a short entry near $3,665–$3,667, targeting the $3,650–$3,648 support zone. Momentum remains bearish below $3,668 resistance, though broader uptrend expectations remain intact as long as gold holds above $3,643.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Brief Review Yesterday, gold rallied before pulling back, fluctuating after hitting a new all-time high, as the market turned cautious ahead of the Fed policy decision. For the day, the probability of range-bound consolidation or a technical correction is high; focus on the support level of 3650-3635 and resistance level at 3710,with the short-term overbought pattern needing to be repaired.
Key attention should be paid to the interpretation of the Fed's dot plot, Powell's speech and the trend of the U.S. Dollar Index. Powell described the 25% rate cut as a "risk-management cut," aimed at addressing downside risks in the labor market. He emphasized that future policies will be "highly data-dependent" and rate cuts will be gradual and cautious.
Employment and inflation data are critical: Weak data will strengthen rate-cut expectations, boosting gold; resurgent inflation will dampen such expectations, weighing on gold.
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
World gold prices continuously reverseThe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which began on Tuesday morning, will conclude on Wednesday afternoon (US time) with a statement and press conference by US Federal Reserve (FED) Chairman Jerome Powell. The FOMC is expected to cut the key interest rate by 0.25 percentage points - the first since November last year.
The new FED forecast may also show a slowdown in US economic growth and a rise in unemployment. At the press conference, Chairman Powell will have to answer many questions not only about the economic outlook and interest rates but also about the independence of the FED.
Global stock markets generally rose slightly overnight, while US index futures forecast a mixed opening. In other developments, the Cyberspace Administration of China is said to have asked companies like Alibaba and ByteDance to cancel orders for Nvidia's RTX Pro 6000D chips - a line of chips designed to avoid restrictions on exporting AI technology to China.
The move comes as the US and China have just announced progress in trade negotiations in Madrid (Spain).
Bullish Breakout Trade Setup on XAU/USD – Targeting 3,707 After Chart Components and Analysis
1. Descending Channel
The price was previously moving within a clearly defined downtrend channel (marked in red with blue borders).
The lower and upper bounds are acting as dynamic support and resistance levels.
2. Breakout Zone
The price appears to have broken out of the descending channel to the upside, or is attempting to break out.
The breakout suggests a potential reversal or bullish momentum.
📈 Trade Setup Details
Element Level Description
Entry Point 3,654.27 Suggested level to enter a long position
Stop Loss 3,643.58 Risk management level below recent support
Target Point 3,707.38 Take profit target at the next resistance zone
Current Price 3,662.37 Price at the time of chart capture
📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
Entry: 3,654.27
Stop Loss: 3,643.58 → ~10.69 points risk
Target: 3,707.38 → ~53.11 points reward
➡️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio ≈ 1:5, which is excellent. It suggests a well-planned trade with high reward potential relative to the risk.
📉 Price Action Forecast
The black zigzag line suggests expected short-term price retracement before moving up.
This could be a bullish flag pattern or a retest of the breakout zone before continuation upward.
✅ Bullish Indicators
Channel breakout.
High RRR.
Structured trade setup with clearly defined stop loss and target.
⚠️ Risks & Considerations
False breakout: Wait for confirmation (candle close outside the channel).
Market volatility: Economic news could affect Gold prices.
Retest failure: If price fails to hold above entry zone, trade invalidates.
🧠 Conclusion
This is a bullish breakout trade with a strong risk-to-reward profile. The trade logic hinges on the assumption that Gold has ended its correction (downtrend channel) and is now beginning a new upward leg. If the price successfully holds above the breakout level and continues upward, the target around 3,707 is realistic.
XAUUSD Reversal Signs Grow – Bears Eye 3620/3570In yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out that while OANDA:XAUUSD remains technically bullish, the signs of a potential reversal were already piling up.
That view played out quickly: after spiking above 3700 on the Fed’s decision — which triggered my sell orders — gold reversed sharply, dropping all the way to a local bottom near 3645.
The market then staged a natural rebound after such a violent sell-off, and at the time of writing, price is consolidating around 3655. Interestingly, this was last week’s resistance, now acting as short-term support.
Looking ahead, I believe the correction of the nearly 4,000-pip rally in less than a month is far from over. A fresh drop could be next.
For the bears, the key levels to watch are:
• 3620 – the first checkpoint for potential downside continuation
• 3560-3670 – a stronger support zone I’ve highlighted before, aligning with the 38% Fibonacci retracement of the latest rally
A move towards these levels would still be a healthy correction within the broader bullish context — not at all an out-of-the-question scenario. 🚀
Go long before the data,be wary of a short-selling counterattackYesterday, gold retreated slightly in the Asian session, continuing the strong bull pattern. We originally expected to wait for gold to retreat to the support level of 3675-3665 to go long on gold, but the market always only gives us unattainable points. In the evening, gold rebounded directly to around 3703, which is in line with my previous judgment that gold will touch 3700 after stabilizing above 3665. As gold hit a new high and the Fed was about to cut interest rates, some buyers on the upper side chose to take profits, which gave us another opportunity to retreat to the ideal point. We also successfully seized the opportunity to go long on gold. This morning, gold rebounded again to around 3695, and the long positions we held also made a wave of profits.
Judging from the current market conditions, yesterday's daily line closed with a positive sign, and 3703 became the short-term high point. The lower moving averages MA5 and MA10 in the daily chart are around 3665 and 3635 respectively, which is exactly the middle track position of the Bollinger band. Only when it effectively falls below this point, will gold usher in a trend reversal in the short term. 3665 is the key position for the top and bottom conversion, and the market's enthusiasm for a 50 basis point interest rate cut remains unabated. If gold falls back to 3665-3655 again in the European session without breaking, then gold will rebound. Therefore, before the data is released, I choose to go long on gold again and expect a rebound, with the short-term target at 3685-3705. Bros can gradually reduce their positions during the rebound or take profits and exit at appropriate points according to their own account conditions.
Exit with short-term profit. Interest rate cuts ignite the marke#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Powell's comments and the Fed's interest rate cut will be the focus of the entire market tonight. If Powell makes dovish remarks this time or the rate cut basis point exceeds expectations, and the number of rate cuts is increased this year, gold will still have room to rise. On the contrary, if Powell makes hawkish remarks or the interest rate cut is less than expected, a technical correction may occur.
The group has reminded people to go long on gold when the price falls back below 3665-3655. Currently, the gold price has rebounded and successfully touched TP. Friends who continue to hold long positions can consider leaving the market early on the eve of the data release to avoid profit-taking caused by data uncertainty.
Resist trading before the data release and wait for the Fed's decision and Powell's speech. Support at 3660 remains. If it breaks below, the next target will be 3630-3600.
With the meeting coming, will gold prices soar or plummet?Technical analysis of gold: Judging from the current trend, gold is approaching the 3700 mark. Bulls are surrounding it but not attacking, waiting for guidance from the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Overall, gold has risen by nearly $400 since it rose from 3311. For now, it is still in a bullish trend. Don't easily say it has reached the top before the trend reverses. From a technical point of view, the intraday support point is reflected in the daily cycle. On the unilateral moving average of the H4 cycle, the lower support is in the 3660-3650 area. You can just focus on these two points and go long. In principle, we don’t guess the top of the upper space, but the visible target is expected to be around 3710-3720. If it continues to rise, it may even reach 3730. After a phased rise during the U.S. trading session, we will see whether we can keep long positions and wait for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision based on actual conditions. The Federal Reserve will definitely cut interest rates this time, but the first rate cut will not be a large-scale release of money. It is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. The market performance is to sell expectations and buy facts. The current rise in gold from the end of August to September has achieved expectations. Therefore, after the actual confirmation of the rate cut, the market is expected to move in the opposite direction because the expectations have been fulfilled, and the historical performance is the same. To sum up the above: for the lower support, first pay attention to the area around 3660, and continue to look up to the 3680-3690 area. If the support is broken strongly, you can participate in long positions in the 3630-3620 area. At present, pay attention to the area around 3685-3695 in the short term and try to short. On the whole, the short-term strategy for gold today is still to arrange long positions on dips, supplemented by light positions in short positions when it rebounds to key resistance levels. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3700-3720 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3660-3650 line of support.
Gold Next levelsThis chart analysis for XAUUSD (Gold vs USD, 1H timeframe) shows that price is currently holding above a rising trendline, indicating bullish momentum. The nearest support zone is around 3620, where price has already bounced. If the bullish structure continues, the upside targets are:
Target 1: 3657
Target 2: 3673
Target 3 / New High Zone: 3708
As long as price stays above the trendline and 3620 support, the outlook remains bullish with potential continuation towards new highs.