“Gold Shines Bright | Bullish Momentum Targeting $3,700🔎 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Chart)
Trend: Strong bullish trend confirmed, with price making higher highs and higher lows.
Buy Zone: Around 3,590 – 3,600 USD, where buyers stepped in aggressively.
Short-Term Target 🎯: 3,650 – 3,700 USD (already highlighted on chart).
Key Support Levels:
3,561 USD (near-term support)
3,490 USD (major support, bullish structure invalidation if broken)
📌 Outlook: As long as price holds above the buy zone, momentum favors bulls with potential continuation toward 3,700+ USD.
🌍 Fundamental Drivers for Gold Bullishness ✨
Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Expectations 🏦⬇️ – If the Fed signals easing or holds a dovish stance, real yields fall → Gold strengthens.
Weakening US Dollar (DXY) 💵📉 – A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to global investors.
Geopolitical Risks 🌍⚠️ – Rising global tensions increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Central Bank Demand 🏦🔒 – Many central banks are adding gold reserves to hedge against currency risks.
Inflation Hedge 📊🔥 – Gold remains attractive when inflationary pressures stay elevated.
Xauusdupdates
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Setting Up Wave (5) ExtensionHey Traders,
Gold on the M30 chart is still holding a bullish structure, but the recent push into the upper channel line shows early signs of exhaustion. Here’s my full breakdown and trading plan:
🔍 Technical Overview
Price just completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural profit-taking zone.
The 3666–3670 range has been a key pivot/support zone multiple times; I expect a pullback into this area for Wave (4) before another rally.
3657 marks deeper support and the invalidation point for the bullish setup.
If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) targets 3720–3725.
📈 Key Levels
Type Price Level Notes
Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch rejection
Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4)
Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation
Wave (5) TP 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target
⚙️ Trading Plan
✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation)
Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a brief sweep to ~3657).
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on M30.
Targets:
TP1: 3695–3700 (prior highs)
TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection)
Stop Loss: Below ~3652.
Risk/Reward: ~1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry.
⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short
Scenario: Strong rejection again at 3695–3700.
Targets: 3670 → 3657.
Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707.
Note: This is countertrend and higher risk – take quick profits, small position sizing.
🛡 Risk & Invalidation
A close below 3656 with a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario.
Always risk ≤1–1.5% per trade, wait for confirmation, and don’t chase if price runs without you.
🧭 Final Thoughts
Gold remains in a bullish short-term channel. A healthy pullback into 3666–3670 could provide the perfect entry for the next Wave (5) leg up. Be patient for price action confirmation.
Countertrend shorts are possible on a sharp rejection at 3695–3700, but the main play is buying the dip.
Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and let the market come to you.
Intraday short position is dominant, beware of big drop#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
As I analyzed with you over the weekend, although gold prices largely fluctuated at high levels last week, the overall structure remained within an upward trend. Yesterday's daily line closed with a big positive line, breaking the box-shaped oscillation in one fell swoop. This morning, gold continued its bullish trend, reaching a high of around 3689. Judging from the market trends, the overall short-term bullish trend remains unchanged, but this does not mean the end of the short position.
First, the risk of chasing high prices is far greater than shorting, and the technical analysis suggests a potential correction.
As the price of gold rises, the previous resistance gradually turns into short-term support. If gold wants to continue to rise, it must at least fall back to 3665-3655.
Secondly, regarding the news, first, although the fourth China-US talks have not yet released any signals about tariffs, the news released by China is conducive to positive developments. Second, the court dismissed Trump's charges against Cook. Although the White House has stated that it will continue to do so, this move has effectively reduced market concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve. From the news perspective, it is conducive to the decline of gold.
Therefore, I remain optimistic about a short-term pullback in gold prices. Those without existing orders can consider continuing to short gold in batches above 3680, with a short-term target of 3665-3655. It can not only effectively raise the average price, but also occupy an advantageous position when gold experiences a sharp correction. However, it should be noted that in short trading, the number of trading lots must be strictly controlled to reduce trading risks and not let the account collapse on the eve of profit.
GOLD New High Record Break Gold New High on the Way! 🔥
Current Price: 3635
📈 Buy Entry Active — Target 3690
✨ Gold is in full bullish control.
✨ Buyers pushing strongly toward new record highs.
✨ Market confidence remains unshaken.
✨ Every dip is being bought instantly.
✨ Strong fundamentals + technicals support upside.
✨ Next resistance is ready to be tested soon.
✨ A breakout above 3690 can open doors for even higher levels.
✨ This could be the start of another major rally.
⚡ Don’t wait — secure your position now before the breakout run begins!
Gold Breaks Records: Is This the Start of a New Super Cycle?Hi traders! Gold (XAU/USD) broke out strong, gaining 1.1% on September 15, 2025, to close at $3,680.80/oz after hitting a historic peak of $3,685.39/oz. Last week, gold climbed 1.6%, supported by a weaker USD (down 0.3% to a one-week low) and falling US government bond yields. The market is almost certain the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25% on September 17, with some even anticipating a larger 0.5% move (according to the CME FedWatch Tool). Global tensions and potential gold import liberalization in China continue to fuel the rally. Let's analyze and find some trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines in Uncertainty 🌟
Fed Rate Cuts: US economic data from last week showed the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose at its fastest pace in seven months, but recent jobs data pointed to a weakening labor market. This supports the Fed’s move towards a rate cut, a first since December 2024. A lower interest rate environment weakens the US Dollar and makes non-yielding assets like gold more attractive.
Geopolitical Tensions: The upcoming Fed meeting is under unusual political pressure, with leadership disputes and President Donald Trump pushing for greater influence. The US Senate is also considering allowing his economic advisor, Stephen Miran, to join the rate-setting committee to vote on September 17. Gold typically acts as a safe haven during such instability.
China's Demand: Reports from last weekend suggest China may ease gold import/export rules and boost its purchasing activity. Strong official and private demand from a major consumer like China is a key driver for gold's upward momentum.
Technical Analysis: Breaking Records & Finding Opportunities 📉
Gold has decisively broken above the Fibo 2.618 level and established a new all-time high (ATH). Pullbacks have been shallow, typically moving only about $10 before the rally continues. This indicates strong buying pressure, making it difficult for sellers to gain ground. We should look to buy on dips and consider selling only at key resistance levels.
Resistance: $3704, $3714, $3724
Support: $3694, $3686, $3674, $3666
Trading Setups (Use Strict Risk Management):
Buy Scalp:
Zone: $3688 - $3686
SL: $3682
TP: $3691 - $3696 - $3701 - $3706
Buy Zone:
Zone: $3667 - $3665
SL: $3657
TP: $3675 - $3685 - $3695 - $3705 - $3715
Sell Scalp:
Zone: $3704 - $3706
SL: $3710
TP: $3701 - $3696 - $3691 - $3686
Sell Zone:
Zone: $3724 - $3726
SL: $3734
TP: $3716 - $3706 - $3696 - $3686 - $3676
Gold is at an all-time high—be cautious of liquidity traps around the upcoming Fed news! Above $3694, the next target is a new high; below, we could test $3666. Manage your risk tightly ahead of the September 17 volatility! Will you buy the dip or sell the top? Share your strategy below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBank
Trade cautiously and wait for a pullback to go longGood morning, my friends.
At present, gold continues to rise, and blindly chasing more will definitely lead to huge risks. We originally planned to wait for gold to pull back before going long, but the market did not give us this opportunity.
I didn't let you blindly chase the short positions yesterday. Now, are you glad that you followed my advice and didn't enter the market rashly? I know that after it hit 3675 yesterday, there must have been a lot of people shorting the market. Many brothers even held their positions until today, but found that the market did not give a good retracement point. At this time, it's even more important to avoid being manipulated by emotions and engaging in revenge trading.
In the short term, the prudent approach is still to wait for gold to pull back before going long. In the short term, focus on 3675-3665. If it does not break through the pullback, you can try to go long on gold.
Gold Facing Strong Resistance – Bearish Move Towards Support ?Analysis:
Resistance Zone: Price is struggling to break above the $3,645–$3,650 area, which has acted as a strong resistance multiple times.
Support Levels: Immediate support lies around $3,620 and $3,614, with the major support zone at $3,580.
Price Action: Repeated rejections from resistance indicate weakening bullish momentum. Sellers are gaining control near the resistance zone.
Bearish Outlook: A potential downward move is projected, with price likely to test $3,580 support if resistance continues to hold.
Risk Management: A break and close above $3,650 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation.
✅ Bias: Bearish below $3,650
🎯 Targets: $3,620 → $3,614 → $3,580
🛑 Invalidation: Above $3,650
Gold's new round of upward momentum continuesGold ushered in another new round of rallies. In the early, the price slightly touched 3674, but now rebound to around 3687. For the trend, an upward move is highly likely. As we mentioned earlier, the resistance at 3700 remains, and the current upward move is a result of traders' early bets on interest rate cuts. Maybe it’s just a matter of whether the 3700 is broken today or tomorrow. However, it’s not advisable to be too aggressive in trading operations. For the downside, we can temporarily focus on the support at 3660, which is the starting point of the accelerated upward move. We can buy when the price pulls back to this level; if the pullback doesn’t present, it’s better to wait and see for now
Buy 3660 - 3670
TP 3680 - 3690 - 3700
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
xauusd and latest growthIn my opinion, these ranges could mark the end of the rise of gold in this bullish phase, and after these ranges, it could enter a corrective and lengthy phase.
“Bearish bias confirmed by Ichimoku cloud and Elliott count. A break below key support could accelerate declines.”
“XAUUSD showing weakness as price struggles at resistance. Downside scenario remains valid unless support holds strong.”
Complacency Before the Fall? Bulls in Control, But For How Long?Yesterday, I was debating whether last week’s consolidation was a rectangle (suggesting continuation) or, in fact, a triple top (hinting at correction). I began the session with a slightly bearish bias, but the reversal from support and the subsequent breakout above the consolidation’s resistance forced me to reevaluate. The breakout was clean, momentum followed, and the market even printed a new ATH at 3689.
Unfortunately, my pending buy order wasn’t filled, so I remain flat for now—an important reminder that in trading, sometimes discipline keeps you safe, even if you miss an opportunity.
Technical outlook:
• Price broke above resistance, confirming bullish control.
• The 3660 zone now acts as key support—any dips into that area can be treated as potential buying opportunities.
• The measured target for this breakout points toward 3710, which could represent the next objective for the bulls.
But here’s the psychological twist:
The market feels euphoric and complacent at this moment. Historically, reversals from this type of mindset tend to be brutal. Traders get comfortable, start believing in endless uptrends, and that’s exactly when the trapdoor opens.
Medium-term, I still anticipate a significant correction. Timing it is always the hardest part, but acknowledging the risk helps keep emotions under control. For now, bulls clearly hold the wheel—but they may not realize they’re driving toward a cliff.
🚀 Stay sharp, trade the trend, but don’t forget that markets punish overconfidence.
World gold price today September 16, 2025New York manufacturing fell sharply in September, slipping into recession, according to the latest data from the New York Federal Reserve. The Empire State Manufacturing Index fell to -8.7, down from 11.9 in August and well below the forecast of -5.0. This is the first time the index has returned to negative territory since June.
New orders and shipments fell sharply, inventories continued to decline slightly, while employment held steady but average hours worked fell. Input prices remained high, selling prices rose moderately and spending plans remained weak.
Businesses expect conditions to improve in the coming period, but sentiment remains generally cautious. Immediately after the report was released, gold prices rebounded and then remained flat, trading around $3,642/ounce.
Global markets are awaiting the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which begins on Tuesday morning and ends on Wednesday afternoon, with a statement and press conference from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The FOMC is expected to deliver a 25 basis point interest rate cut, the first since November 2024.
9/16: Watch Support at 3668–3652, Resistance at 3700✍️Good morning, everyone!
Key Support: 3668–3656
Key Resistance: 3700
Yesterday, gold repeatedly tested the 3643–3648 resistance area. During the pullback, the trend support held, and after consolidating, the price broke through resistance strongly. The overall move was in line with expectations (if it can stay above 3643–3658, it may test around 3668 with a chance of setting new highs).
After yesterday’s breakout, the price is now consolidating at high levels. Whether the bullish trend can be maintained depends mainly on support in the 3668–3656 (3648–3643) area. As long as this support holds, bulls may remain in control until tomorrow’s interest rate decision, with the possibility of testing the psychological level of 3700.
During the consolidation, trading can be focused around the 3682–3662 area.
If the price breaks out, selling opportunities may appear near 3692–3702, while buying opportunities can be considered around 3648–3636.
XAU/USD on Fire — Next Stop $3,750?Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1H chart is currently maintaining a bullish structure, with price trading around $3,644 after bouncing from the $3,610 support zone. This area has repeatedly acted as a demand level, confirming that buyers are defending dips. The market has been forming higher lows and higher highs, which reinforces the bullish bias.
On the upside, the price faces resistance around $3,674–$3,700, which aligns with the marked take-profit zone. If bulls manage to push above $3,700 with momentum, the next extension target could be near $3,750, a psychological level and a historically reactive price point. On the downside, $3,610 remains a key invalidation level; a break below could shift momentum back toward sellers.
From a momentum perspective, recent buying signals around the lower zones confirm continued interest from institutional buyers. The recent cluster of selling signals near $3,670 reflects short-term supply pressure, but price behavior shows that demand is gradually absorbing that.
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✅ Trade Setup (Bullish)
• Entry: $3,645 – $3,650
• Stop Loss: Below $3,610
• Take Profit 1: $3,674
• Take Profit 2: $3,700
• Extended Target: $3,750
________________________________________
Risk handling is critical here. The setup offers a 1:1.5 to 1:2 risk/reward, depending on entry execution. A smart approach would be to book partial profits at $3,674, then trail the stop-loss to breakeven. If price breaks above $3,674 convincingly, use a trailing stop strategy under each new higher low on the 1H chart. This allows traders to lock in gains while still staying exposed to the larger bullish move.
In short, Gold remains poised for a bullish breakout, with strong upside potential if resistance levels are cleared. Careful trade management with partial exits and trailing stops will ensure traders maximize profit while limiting risk.
________________________________________
GOLD BULLISH TREND: Possible Buys From 3,640This week, my idea is for gold to continue pushing higher toward the all-time high liquidity. Price has recently broken structure to the upside, which confirms the bullish trend we’ve been seeing.
With this continuation, a new nearby demand zone has formed that I’ll be watching closely. Ideally, I’d like to see a pullback into that point of interest to allow proper accumulation before the next move up.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- Structure break to the upside confirms the bullish trend
- Clean, unmitigated 3hr demand zone below
- Higher and lower time frames both showing bullish control
- DXY remains bearish, which supports the bullish bias on gold
- No major news expected to disrupt the move
P.S. If gold respects the ATH and rejects it, breaking below my demand, then I’ll either look for short-term sells or wait for a deeper demand zone.
XAU/USD Stalls Slightly above 3650 – Bulls Losing Steam?Gold printed fresh all-time highs at 3674 last week, only to reverse sharply and settle into a sideways structure between 3620–3655.
The current debate: is this simply a consolidation box that will fuel another breakout, or is the market quietly building a distribution top that could resemble a triple top pattern (if we ignore the spike to ATH)?
Technically, the momentum has clearly cooled. The 3355–3360 area continues to cap the upside, turning into a stubborn barrier that bulls haven’t been able to overcome.
From a fundamental angle, the Fed’s rate cut is already baked into the price. The focus is now on Powell’s guidance. With inflation pushing higher, a cautious and balanced tone is more likely than a dovish surprise.
Cross-checking with other pairs, XAU/EUR and XAU/GBP are already pressing their support levels. That relative weakness suggests the gold complex as a whole may be closer to a downside break than to a new leg up.
For now, I’m flat. But unless bulls regain control quickly, I’ll be watching for failed rallies after London open as potential short setups.
Gold Bullish Supercycle? Key LongTerm Fibonacci Targets Revealed📰 Macro & Market Context
Gold has decisively broken its long-standing consolidation range (3,272–3,560), signaling a shift in the macro trend.
The breakout comes amid continued global uncertainty, inflation concerns, and speculation about interest rate adjustments—factors that historically favor gold as a safe-haven asset.
Daily candles show strong bullish momentum, suggesting that the market may enter a sustained rally over the coming months.
🔢 Fibonacci Outlook for the Long Term
Immediate Support Zones:
3,556–3,588 (0.786 Fibo) – Likely first retest area on any pullback.
3,521 (0.618 Fibo) – Deeper retracement zone if volatility spikes.
Upside Long-Term Targets:
3,775–3,877 – First cluster of resistance on the way up.
3,923–3,934 (1.618 Extension) – Major Fibonacci extension and potential top for the next bullish leg.
A successful break above 3,934 could open the door for new all-time highs beyond 3,950+.
📈 Strategic Outlook
The broader trend remains bullish as long as price holds above 3,556–3,521.
A pullback into these zones would be a healthy correction in a strong uptrend, potentially offering long-term buying opportunities.
Long-term traders may consider scaling in on dips while watching for confirmation candles or volume surges near these Fibonacci levels.
⚠ Risk Considerations
Global macro events (interest rate decisions, geopolitical tensions) could trigger sharp volatility.
A sustained break below 3,474 would challenge the bullish narrative and could lead to a return toward the old range (around 3,272).
💬 Discussion Prompt
📊 Are you positioning for a multi-month rally, or do you expect a deeper correction before new highs? Share your long-term Fibonacci targets in the comments!
Daily Market Analysis of XAUUSDCurrently, XAUUSD is oscillating within the range of 3626 to 3646. Volatility is expected to remain limited until the Fed makes a decision on interest rate cuts. It is advisable to conduct relatively small-scale transactions where possible to avoid losses stemming from other unofficial news related to the policy.
Buy 3625 - 3635
TP 3645 - 3655 - 3675
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Gold Price Stabilises Ahead of Central Bank DecisionsGold Price Stabilises Ahead of Central Bank Decisions
Following the ECB’s decision last week to leave interest rates unchanged, traders will closely monitor this week’s monetary policy announcements from the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, and other central banks from Toronto to Taipei.
As the XAU/USD chart shows today, the gold price has stabilised after its recent record highs, with investors adopting a wait-and-see stance. The ADX indicator is trending lower, suggesting a diminishing directional momentum.
Key Drivers Influencing Gold Prices
Market participants are almost fully convinced that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by a quarter point this week, while also pricing in the likelihood of further reductions next year amid signs of labour market weakness. Lower rates are generally seen as supportive for gold, making it a more attractive asset relative to yield-bearing US Treasuries.
Additional factors underpinning bullish sentiment include:
→ Weakness in the US dollar.
→ Persistent geopolitical tensions.
→ Pressure on the Fed from Donald Trump, who recently attempted to dismiss Board Governor Lisa Cook.
→ Central bank gold purchases.
On the other hand, profit-taking could dampen demand. Nevertheless, gold prices remain elevated.
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD
Recently, we outlined three reasons why gold’s rally might pause. Since then, the price has consolidated within the $3,610–3,660 range.
This has confirmed the assumption that the median line of the long-term ascending channel is acting as resistance. The steep upward channel (marked with orange lines) has been broken.
What Could Happen Next
→ From a bullish perspective, the resistance levels at $3,510 and $3,575 have been broken to the upside and successfully retested – a sign of strong demand.
→ From a bearish perspective, the candlestick’s long upper shadow, where gold set its record high, reflects aggressive selling pressure.
An attempt to break below the $3,575 support level and the orange dotted line (an additional support trendline plotted beneath the orange channel) could happen.
However, whether this scenario materialises will largely depend on upcoming central bank announcements. Traders should brace for heightened volatility.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.