rally back up to sweep the BSL again.POI (Point of Interest): Highlighted in purple around the 3,780 – 3,790 level, where price is expected to react.
BSL (Buy Side Liquidity): Marked in blue near the 3,860 – 3,880 zone, suggesting liquidity resting above recent highs.
SSL (Sell Side Liquidity): Marked in red near the 3,710 – 3,720 zone, showing liquidity below recent lows.
Price Action: Price made a strong bullish move upward, tapped into the BSL zone, then rejected sharply down toward the POI area.
Projection: The dotted arrow suggests a bullish expectation — price may retrace to the POI and then rally back up to sweep the BSL again.
Xauusdupdates
XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEGold (XAU/USD) Sell Setup 📉
Gold is showing bearish momentum from resistance levels. Sellers are gaining control, and price is likely to move further down if the pressure continues.
📍 Entry: Sell from 3802
🎯 Target: 3740
🛡 Stop-loss: Above recent resistance
This setup provides a clear short opportunity with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. If momentum sustains, Gold can hit the 3740 target zone.
Gold is Ready For Bull From Support Hello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – GOLD FORECAST (30/09/2025)
📊 XAUUSD Deep Analysis (30/09/2025 – London Session)
Daily (D1):
	•	Gold rejected the 3,871 high, forming a strong bearish rejection candle.
	•	Structure remains bullish above 3,769–3,770, but today’s move shows correction pressure.
	•	Trend is intact while above the 10EMA (~3,769), with next support at 3,733–3,740.
1H Chart:
	•	Clear breakdown from 3,863–3,871 resistance.
	•	Price is now sitting around 3,802, testing 200 EMA + Fib retracement zone.
	•	Momentum indicators (MACD & histogram) show increasing bearish pressure, RSI cooling off from overbought.
15M & 5M Charts:
	•	Strong bearish momentum with BOS (break of structure) confirmed.
	•	15M shows a descending channel, short-term support at 3,797–3,800.
	•	5M chart oversold but still pressing lower, confirming short bias unless a sharp reversal forms.
⸻
🟡 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Using swing low 3,769 → swing high 3,871:
	•	38.2% = 3,833
	•	50% = 3,820
	•	61.8% = 3,807
➡️ This zone (3,833–3,807) is now active support — price is inside it. If it fails, deeper retracement toward 3,782–3,769 is likely.
⸻
⚡ Scalping Opportunities (5M & 15M, 60 pip SL max)
🔹 Sell Scalps (preferred while below 3,833–3,840):
	•	Entry: 3,832–3,838 rejection
	•	TP: 3,820 → 3,812
	•	SL: ~3,844 (60 pips)
🔹 Buy Scalps (counter-trend, only if Fib support holds):
	•	Entry: 3,804–3,801 zone
	•	TP: 3,820 → 3,828
	•	SL: ~3,795 (55–60 pips)
⸻
📌 Breakout Levels to Continue Trend
	•	Bullish: Break & hold above 3,842 → recovery toward 3,858–3,871.
	•	Bearish: Break below 3,797 → opens 3,782–3,769.
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold is correcting inside the Fib golden zone (3,833–3,807). Short-term momentum favors sells on bounces, but buyers may defend 3,807–3,797. Scalpers can sell rejections under 3,833 or look for countertrend bounces from 3,807–3,810 with tight SLs.
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits Thanks to those traders who followed us and made profits 📈 🙏  keep grinding 💪. 
I booked profits on  -buying orders during Mondays session, entering around 3800 and exiting near 3835 , while my shorter term longs hit the 3845 target on today's Tokyo session hike.
Later, I placed a sell limit at 3865 which got triggered and closed automatically at 3845 TP.
Going forward, I’ll continue buying dips from my key entry zones as long as Gold holds above the 3780  support area and major supply at 3730 on the fractal.
More Bullish On Gold (XAUUSD)Gold on the 4H timeframe is still showing strong bullish momentum. Since mid-September, price has been consistently forming higher highs and higher lows, which is the classic sign of an uptrend. Even though a recent “Sell” signal has appeared near the top, the overall structure has not broken down. What we’re seeing here is likely a short-term correction or profit-taking phase rather than a reversal. The important thing is that the price continues to hold above the $3,820–$3,830 area, which is acting as immediate support. If this zone holds, it gives the bulls a solid base to push higher.
The broader picture also favors the upside because gold has been trading well above the TDH bands, indicating momentum is intact. The reward-to-risk setup currently leans bullish, with the potential upside target near $4,100 compared to a stop level around $3,640. The recent candles suggest some hesitation, but as long as the market doesn’t fall below $3,640, the trend remains bullish. A decisive break above $3,900 would likely accelerate the move toward $4,100, while holding above $3,825 on dips will keep buyers confident.
Trade Setup (Bullish Bias)
•	Entry: Around $3,825–$3,835 or on small dips
•	Stop-Loss: Below $3,640 (swing low support)
•	Take-Profit: $4,100 and beyond if momentum holds
•	Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:1.5 (favorable for long positions)
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) has extended its rally to a new all-time high above $3,870, but short-term charts show slight profit-taking pressure. Price action is consolidating within a narrow range between Support Zone $3,842–$3,846 and Resistance Zone $3,869–$3,873. As long as the support holds, the bias remains bullish with potential continuation towards higher resistance levels.
The  ascending trendline is intact, suggesting the trend remains strongly upward. A decisive close above $3,873 could open the door to $3,900–$3,910 levels in the near term.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,846–$3,842 (Support Zone retest)
Stop Loss: $3,840
Take Profit 1: $3,873
Take Profit 2: $3,900
R:R Ratio: ~1 : 4.04
🌍 Macro Background
Gold’s rally is supported by geopolitical tensions, US government shutdown risks, and dovish Fed expectations. The USD remains under pressure as markets price in a 90% probability of a Fed rate cut in October and a 70% chance of another cut in December (CME FedWatch). Additionally, escalating geopolitical risks—Russia’s warning over US missile supplies to Ukraine and heightened Middle East tensions—are fuelling safe-haven flows into gold.
Meanwhile, US political uncertainty continues as President Trump’s last-minute negotiations with Congress failed to yield a budget agreement, keeping the government shutdown threat alive. This adds another layer of support for gold’s safe-haven demand.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,869 / $3,873 / $3,900
Support: $3,846 / $3,842 
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains in a bullish structure, with strong fundamental backing from Fed rate cut bets and geopolitical risks. Dips into the support zone near $3,846–$3,842 are likely to attract buyers, targeting $3,873 and potentially $3,900+. Only a break below $3,840 would weaken the bullish bias.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
(XAU/USD) Daily Analysis – Bullish Continuation Setup Toward $4,(Gold Daily - as of Sep 30, 2025)
Current Price: ~$3,851.68
Trend: Strong uptrend with price following a rising channel
Timeframe: Daily candles
Tool Used: TradingView
🧩 Key Chart Elements
Support Level Buy Zone (Blue Box)
Range: $3,459.10 – $3,625.44
This is the planned re-entry/buy zone.
Coincides with a previous resistance zone turned support, and the lower bound of the channel.
Trade Entry Point
Suggested entry near $3,625.44
Aligned with the lower edge of the blue support zone.
Stop Loss
Placed slightly below the blue zone at $3,459.10
This protects against a breakdown from the channel and invalidation of the setup.
Price Action Forecast (Pink Line)
Expectation of a short-term pullback into the buy zone.
Followed by a strong bullish continuation toward the target.
Target Point
$4,452.425 marked as the LABA TARGET POINT
Suggests a long-term upside potential of around +17% from current price levels.
Trend Channel
Price is respecting an upward sloping parallel channel.
This provides structure and validation for the projected bullish move.
📈 Strategy Summary
Element	Value
Buy Zone	$3,459 – $3,625
Target	$4,452
Stop Loss	~$3,459
Risk/Reward	Favorable
Trend	Bullish
🔍 Final Thoughts
This is a momentum-based trend-following strategy:
Wait for a retracement into the support zone.
Look for bullish reversal confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing, RSI bounce, etc.).
Enter long with stop just below the zone.
Hold for the move toward ~$4,450.
No Room for SELL, Only BUY with Strong Market Flows📊 Market Context
Talks between Trump and US congressional leaders ended with no clear agreement, leaving the threat of a US government shutdown hanging over the market. Both sides continue to blame each other with no common ground in sight.
On the last trading day of the month, focus shifts to the upcoming JOLTS job openings data and speeches from three Fed officials. Combined with political uncertainty and strong safe-haven flows, gold remains heavily supported. For now, there’s no space for SELL setups — the primary direction is still BUY.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price has broken higher, continuing to print fresh ATHs with strong bullish momentum.
Main BUY Zone sits at 3846–3844 (confluence of FIB + CP zone).
Secondary support at 3827–3825 (volume zone) where strong reactions are expected.
If momentum persists, medium-term upside targets lie toward the 3923–3930 liquidity zone.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
BUY Zones: 3846–3844, 3827–3825
SELL Zone (Observation only – potential liquidity trap): 3923–3930
📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan
BUY ZONE 1: 3846–3844
SL: 3840
TP: 3850 - 3855 - 3860 - 3870 - 3880 - ???
BUY ZONE 2: 3827–3825
SL: 3820
TP: 3835 - 3840 - 3850 - 3860 - 3870 - 3880 - ???
⚠️ Risk Notes
Expect volatility with JOLTS data and Fed speeches today.
Avoid FOMO buying at highs — wait for price action confirmation at key zones.
Manage position size carefully as end-of-month trading can bring unexpected swings.
✅ Summary
Gold remains firmly in bullish territory, supported by political risks and macroeconomic uncertainty. Plan of the day: prioritize BUY entries at 3846–3844 and 3827–3825, with extended targets at 3880+ and potentially 3920+. Momentum is strong, and following the BUY side remains the higher-probability path.
📢 Stay tuned with MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and BIGWIN setups!
XAU/USD – Bulls Eyeing Breakout Toward 3,820From my point of view, Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of strength after rejecting support levels multiple times. The chart highlights a clear horizontal range where buyers have consistently stepped in around the 3,713 – 3,720 zone. This area is acting as a strong base, signaling that demand is present whenever price dips lower.
On the other side, resistance near 3,780 has been tested several times, and each rejection has been weaker than the last – which often signals that sellers are losing control. A breakout above this zone could unleash a strong impulsive rally.
GOLD H1 Chart Update for 30 Sep 25Hello guy, 
GOLD H1 Zonal chart just shared with you, as you can see that there multiple psychological zones appear there 
Try to go with Psychological zones in Long direction, Trend remains bullish in GOLD 
we might see 4000 Giant Psychological zone in the near term 
Today is monthly closing, Stay Active
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
 Gold Market Analysis & Trading Plan
📌 Macro Context
Gold prices continue to receive support from declining US interest rates and a weakening USD.
The DXY index dropped 0.27% to 97.91, reducing the strength of the greenback.
The 10-year US Treasury yield fell 3 basis points to 4.141%.
Real yield decreased to 1.761%, providing a boost for gold as the opportunity cost of holding gold is lower.
These factors strengthen the upward trend, although in the short term, gold may experience adjustments to attract more capital inflow.
📈 Technical Structure
The H4 chart shows gold maintaining a strong uptrend, however, the RSI has moved deeply into the overbought zone.
⚖️ Trading Scenarios
🔴 Scenario 1 – Sell Scalping
Entry: 3,879 – 3,882
SL: 3,890
TP: 3,865 → 3,850 → 3,836 → 3,810
👉 Suitable for short-term orders when price reacts at high resistance.
🟢 Scenario 2 – Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,805 – 3,808
SL: 3,799
TP: 3,822 → 3,840 → 3,873 → 3,898
👉 Buy in line with the main trend when the price adjusts to the nearby support zone.
🟢 Scenario 3 – Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Support)
Entry: 3,745 – 3,742
SL: 3,735
TP: 3,765 → 3,780 → 3,798 → 3,820 → 3,850
👉 This is a value buying zone if the market adjusts strongly, suitable for short swings.
📊 Summary
The major trend for gold remains bullish, supported by a weakening USD and declining US yields.
In the short term, be aware of potential technical adjustments from the 3,879 – 3,882 resistance.
Priority Strategy: Buy on dips, Sell only for quick scalping.
📌 Note: Strict capital management, adhere to stop-loss to preserve profits when unexpected US news volatility occurs.
3820 Breakout:Chase It or Fade It?After our long position hit the TP, we just profited from our short position near 3830 by hitting the TP at 3815. This is a very good short-term trade.
Judging from the current structural form of gold, the low point of gold retracement is gradually shifting upward, and the short-term support below is moving up to the 3810-3800 area; if gold rebounds again with the help of this support area and stands above 3825, under the resonance of technical level and positive news, gold may hit the 3840-3850 area in the short term, or even reach the extreme area near 3860. The current market is bullish and it is difficult to see a reversal in the short term. At best, there will only be a short-term pullback. Therefore, in short-term trading, we mainly follow the trend trading; only after gold touches the key resistance area can we try to short gold. It should be noted that due to the limited retracement space, a reasonable TP must be set.
1. Consider going long on gold in the 3810-3800 range, initially targeting the 3835-3845 range.
2. When gold first reaches the 3840-3850 range, consider going short on gold, initially targeting the 3825-3815 range.
Gold Breaks Above $3,800 per OunceXAU/USD started the week with a strong bullish bias, posting a gain of about 1.8% in the first session and maintaining solid upward momentum. Buying pressure has held firm as political uncertainty in the United States grows amid the risk of a potential government shutdown if Congress fails to approve essential budget legislation. This has triggered continued weakness in the U.S. dollar and boosted demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, a trend that could persist in the short term if political risks remain and lead to a broader paralysis.
 Unstoppable Uptrend 
Since late August, gold has been following a marked bullish trend, consistently driving prices to new all-time highs in the short term. At the moment, there are no clear signs of exhaustion in this trend, and in the absence of significant bearish corrections, the technical structure is likely to remain dominant in the coming sessions, provided that buying pressure holds steady. However, given the speed of the recent rally, the market may soon see a phase of technical pullbacks in the short term.
 RSI 
The RSI continues to hover above the 70 level, firmly in overbought territory. At the same time, the indicator has begun showing lower highs while gold prices continue to post higher highs, creating a clear divergence signal in the short term. Together, these factors suggest that the speed of recent buying activity has caused a market imbalance, which could eventually pave the way for steady corrective pullbacks.
 MACD 
The MACD histogram remains in positive territory but is moving closer to the zero line, which represents price equilibrium. As long as the histogram fails to recover decisively, indecision is likely to become a feature of gold’s short-term price action.
 Key Levels to Watch: 
 
 $3,900 – Psychological Resistance:  In the absence of historical references, this is the most immediate level to monitor as resistance. Sustained buying above this zone would reinforce the current uptrend and consolidate a dominant bullish bias.
 $3,800 – Nearby Barrier:  A recent neutrality level that may act as immediate support against potential short-term corrections.
 $3,640 – Key Support:  Corresponds to the most recent lows. A break below this level would put the ongoing uptrend at risk and could open the door to a more relevant bearish bias in the short term.
 
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
H1 bullish momentum intact | Buy 3,792–3,765, target 3,821🟡 XAU/USD – 29/09/2025 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎  Captain’s Log – Structure & Trend 
H1 continues to print consecutive  BoS  → bullish trend sustained.
Price broke the long-term downtrend line and surged to new highs.
 EMA 34 & EMA 89  both pointing up and below price → confirming short-to-mid-term bullish momentum.
📈  Captain’s Chart – Key Zones 
 Storm Breaker (Sell Zone / ATH test) : 3,818 – 3,821
 Golden Harbor (FVG – Buy Zone) : 3,792 – 3,779
 OB Harbor 1 : 3,772 – 3,765
 OB Harbor 2 (deeper) : 3,731 – 3,724
Core Idea:  3,792 – 3,765  is the main support “cushion” for trend-follow Buys;  3,818 – 3,821  is the wave edge where profit-taking may occur.
🎯  Captain’s Map – Trade Plan 
✅  Golden Harbor (BUY – main priority) 
Buy Zone 1 – FVG (3,792 – 3,779)
Entry: 3,792 – 3,779
SL: 3,765
TP: 3,805 – 3,818 – 3,821+
Buy Zone 2 – OB1 (3,772 – 3,765)
Entry: 3,772 – 3,765
SL: 3,758 (below 3,765)
TP: 3,792 – 3,805 – 3,818 – 3,821
Buy Zone 3 – OB2 deep (3,731 – 3,724)
Entry: 3,731 – 3,724
SL: 3,714
TP: 3,745 – 3,765 – 3,792 – 3,805
⚡  Quick Boarding (SELL – scalp only) 
Sell Zone – Storm Breaker (3,818 – 3,821)
Entry: 3,818 – 3,821
SL: 3,828
TP: 3,805 – 3,796 – 3,792
Breakdown Short (conditional)
Only consider Short if H1 closes below 3,724
SL: 3,735
TP: 3,710 – 3,700 – 3,690
⚓  Captain’s Note 
“The Golden sails remain filled after consecutive  BoS .  Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,792 → 3,765)  is the anchor dock to board in trend’s direction.  Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,818 – 3,821)  may trigger profit-taking waves – only go  Quick Boarding 🚤  if clear signals appear. If the tide drags below 3,724, let the ship retreat to  OB2  to gather strength before resuming the northbound voyage.”
Plan day: 29-sep 2025      Related Information:!!!
      U.S. inflation, as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, rose to 2.7% year-on-year in August from 2.6% in July, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported on Friday. The figure was in line with market consensus. Meanwhile, the core PCE Price Index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 2.9% year-on-year in August, matching both the July pace and analysts’ estimates. On a monthly basis, headline PCE and core PCE rose 0.3% and 0.2%, respectively.
      Markets are currently pricing in nearly an 88% probability of a Fed rate cut in October and a 65% chance of an additional cut in December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, thereby supporting the non-yielding precious metal.
      personal opinion:!!!
Gold extends gains, targeting $3,850.
Bulls Charge Ahead—Gold’s Path to 3835–3845Brothers, it seems that we were too conservative in setting the TP. Now gold has broken through 3810, far exceeding the TP: 3785 set in our last long transaction.
Because a large amount of safe-haven buying funds poured into the gold market, it continued to set new historical highs, stimulating gold to break through 3800 and continue its rise to above 3810, fully highlighting the strong bullish sentiment in the market. At present, with the support of fundamental factors that are bullish for gold, it is difficult for the gold market to reverse in a short period of time. At best, it is just a short-term adjustment.
In addition, we can look for wave patterns from the candlestick chart. From the previous trend, it is not difficult to see that after a short-term consolidation, gold will pull up and retrace to form a secondary low point, and then it will wave again to $75-80 to reach a new high. Then according to this rule, after the volatile rise, gold formed a secondary low near 3760 on Friday. If we look up to the fluctuation range of $75-80, gold is likely to continue to rise to the 3835-3845 area.
So, for current short-term trading. First of all, we still consider going long on gold.
1. If gold first retreats to the 3800-3790 area, we can prioritize going long on gold.
2. If gold continues its upward trend and first reaches the 3835-3845 area, we can consider going short on gold.
Gold Trade Set Up Sep 29 2025Price pushed well above PDH an made ATH again creating HH/HL so price is bullish as of now but if price breaks and closes under the most recent support and demand i will look for sells but if price respects the 15m demand and bounces i will look for a continuation higher
www.tradingview.com
XAU/USD: When Common Sense Beats Hype1. Market Recap 
Gold’s rally looks unstoppable. Fundamentals are clearly supportive and technically, the chart  screams bullish .
But here comes the trader’s problem: just saying  “Gold is bullish”  doesn’t make a trade. Everyone knows that already. What matters is not the direction, but the structure of the trade itself.
 2. The Educational Point – The 3 Pillars of Every Trade 
No matter what market you trade, a professional trader always defines three things before taking a position:
1.	Entry Point – where you get in.
2.	Exit Point (Target) – where you aim to take profit.
3.	Negation Point (Stop-Loss) – where you admit you’re wrong and cut the trade.
 Without all three, you don’t have a trade — you just repeating what everyone knows. 
 
3. The Current Problem With Gold 
•	If you buy at market (3816), your nearest stop is today’s low (3758). That’s ~600 pips risk, and with a 1:2 ratio, you need 3950 just to make sense of it. Not impossible, but not elegant either.
•	If you wait for a dip to support at 3785, risk improves to ~300 pips. But this setup is already a 450 pip fail from the ATH — and failures at highs are not to be ignored and not very bullish either.
•	Selling at market? Again tricky, because spikes in bullish trends can wipe out shorts before the market even breathes.
In short: at current levels, both long and short lack a clear, controlled setup.
 4. My Trading Approach 
Here’s where I apply common sense:
•	Gold is already +1.5% since Friday’s close.
•	If it extends to 3850, that’s where I’ll look to fade the move.
•	Even if it’s not a major correction, an intraday drop is realistic. From 3850, a 500 pip move back to 3800 is enough to structure a 1:2 trade.
•	If stop-loss gets hit, so be it — that’s trading.
 5. Conclusion 
At current price (3816), I don’t see a clean entry and I don’t have a favorite scenario. However, if Gold pushes into 3850, the most probable outcome in my view is at least a short-term correction.
This should be a trader’s mindset: not chasing every move, but waiting until risk, reward, and probability align. 🚀






















