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Pullback to 3900 expected next weekGold showed an overall upward trend last week. Currently, a pattern has formed where it rises significantly during the Asian session but pulls back sharply in the US session. Next week, it is expected to continue rising to around 4200 after the opening, encounter obvious resistance at 4220, then stage a sharp pullback to near 3900 again, and resume a rebound on Friday Accurate signals updated daily. They serve as a reliable guide for trading issues – feel free to refer to them. Hope they help!
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by SilasMercer
25
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) has stabilized near $4,077 after retracing from last week’s highs above $4,200. The short-term chart shows a range-bound consolidation, with support at $4,068–$4,078 and resistance at $4,145–$4,156. Price action suggests a potential recovery setup if the support zone holds firm. A sustained move above $4,090 could open the door for a short-term rebound toward the $4,150 zone, though sellers may reappear near resistance. A close below $4,060 would invalidate this bullish scenario, signalling the potential for a deeper pullback toward $4,030. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Buy near support for potential rebound toward resistance zone. Entry: $4,068 – $4,078 Stop Loss: $4,064 Take Profit 1: $4,145 Take Profit 2: $4,155 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.82 Bias remains cautiously bullish as long as gold sustains above the $4,068–$4,078 level. 🌐 Macro Background Gold started the week with a modest rebound near $4,105, supported by a softer U.S. Dollar as traders awaited fresh macro data and commentary from key Federal Reserve officials. FXStreet’s latest analysis highlights that “Gold price recovers some lost ground to near $4,105, snapping the two-day losing streak as the softer USD provides a tailwind.” 【FXStreet】 Fed Commentary: Several Fed members — John Williams, Neel Kashkari, Philip Jefferson, and Christopher Waller — are scheduled to speak later today. Their tone will be crucial for shaping rate-cut expectations into December. Government Reopening: Following President Donald Trump’s approval of the funding bill, the U.S. government officially reopened after a 43-day shutdown, the longest in U.S. history. This event has improved sentiment, weighing slightly on safe-haven demand. Economic Data Uncertainty: Analysts warn that once delayed data resumes, it will likely reveal labor market weakness and signs of a slowdown, which could renew rate-cut speculation and underpin gold. Fed Stance: Meanwhile, Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid struck a hawkish tone, saying policy should “lean against demand growth,” describing current settings as “modestly restrictive.” Market Pricing: According to CME FedWatch Tool, markets now price a 54% chance of a 25bps cut in December, down from 62.9% last week — signaling reduced near-term dovishness. Overall, gold’s direction this week hinges on Fed communication and data resumption signals — with broader bias remaining constructively bullish on economic uncertainty. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,145 – $4,156 Support: $4,064 – $4,078 Psychological Level: $4,100 📌 Trade Summary Gold holds above short-term support at $4,068, suggesting buyers may defend this zone. The structure favours a rebound toward $4,145–$4,155, especially if Fed remarks today are not overtly hawkish. However, continued strength in the USD or firmer Fed rhetoric could cap upside momentum near resistance. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
XAUUSD PLAN & IMPORTANT LEVELS FOR INTRADAY ( 17 NOV 25 )This chart shows the important support and resistance levels for OANDA:XAUUSD on the 30-minute timeframe. The price recently made a sharp fall from the upper resistance zone, and it is now holding above a minor support area. The market is trying to pull back, but the overall structure still looks bearish. My plan is simple. If the price moves back into FX:XAUUSD the highlighted supply zone, I will wait for signs of rejection. If a clear bearish signal appears, I expect the market to continue falling towards the lower support near the green line. However, if the price breaks above the supply zone with strong momentum, then the bearish idea will be invalid for the moment. Lets wait for a cleaner entry instead of rushing into trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by rayhanrafi7
XAU/USD Market Outlook — Bullish Move From 4,058.36 ZoneGold has retraced into a major demand zone around 4,058.36, where price has shown the first signs of bullish reaction after clearing liquidity below previous lows. This zone aligns with a prior accumulation block and serves as the origin of the last major bullish swing. As long as price holds above this level, I expect a bullish continuation toward the upper liquidity region, with targets around 4,244.86, and ultimately the major high at 4,381.73. My stop loss is positioned at 3,887.60, below the deeper demand zone and previous structural low, ensuring safety from intraday volatility while maintaining the bullish structure.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Actualjustice
Weekly Gold SummaryThis week, Gold exhibited sharp volatility, first fluctuating upward and hitting a recent high on Thursday, followed by a sudden precipitous plunge on Friday. The overall trend shifted sharply from an upward trajectory to a significant pullback. 1.Early Week Strong Rally During the European session on November 10th, gold initiated an upward movement, with a daily gain of 2.06% and a intraday high of 4084.84 USD/oz. In the European session the next day, it traded above the 4123 level and later climbed further to 4134.63 USD/oz, extending the upward momentum. 2.Mid-Week High Volatility Consolidation In the middle of the week, gold maintained a high-level fluctuating pattern. On November 13th, the gold price performed strongly, not only breaking above the 4200 level but also hitting a recent new high of 4244 intraday, before retracing sharply afterward. On the morning of November 14th, the gold price continued to rise, maintaining a volatile rebound driven by multiple technical supports. However, hourly indicators such as RSI showed overbought signals, revealing short-term correction risks. 3.Weekend Precipitous Plunge A sharp reversal occurred in the market on November 15th, with London Gold plummeting over 105 in a single day, touching an intraday low of 4032. This plunge was triggered by the confluence of multiple short-term bearish factors, including the shift in stance by Fed dovish officials, concentrated profit-taking by holders, and a cooling of safe-haven sentiment. Nevertheless, the market generally views this as a short-term fluctuation rather than a reversal of the long-term upward trend.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by KingArthur_
XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11💛 XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬 The new week begins with a narrowing trading range on the H4 chart, signaling that gold is gearing up for a stronger move. The current medium-term trend needs to break the descending trendline above to confirm the buyers' return. 💹 Technical Analysis 📉 The end-of-week downtrend is entering a technical rebound phase, and there's a high possibility it still has room to continue declining around the 4000 trendline – where it converges with a strong liquidity zone. 🟣 Key price levels to watch include: 4138 – 4200 – 4212 – 4037. These are liquidity concentration points, expected to have clear reactions based on market sentiment. 🔹 Traders can use Fibonacci retracement to time their sell entries, combined with confirmation signals on smaller time frames (M15–M30). 🌐 Macro Context The financial market is facing difficulties as U.S. tax policies change continuously, putting pressure on both Gold and Bitcoin. The end of the year is also a characteristic phase of the economic slowdown cycle, where the market tends to adjust more strongly. 🎯 Reference Trading Scenario (Reference Trading View) Prioritize selling according to the technical rebound, especially when the price enters confluence zones of Fibo + liquidity. Consider buying only when the price reacts strongly at the 4000 trendline or the 4037 area. 🌷 6. Conclusion with LanaM2 Gold is in a zone preparing for a big move 💛 Be patient and wait for reactions at key liquidity zones to have a better and safer entry point. If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to receive daily gold analysis! ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
4
XAU/USD Key Support Test & Probable Trend ReversalTrend Duration Analysis From the Trend Duration markings: Recent Trend Durations Noted Previous uptrend: 21 candles Prior downtrend: 10 candles Earlier uptrend: 37 candles Your indicator suggests the probable length of the current downtrend may also approximate 21 candles, similar to the previous major cycle. Right now, the downtrend is in early stages and may continue slightly lower into your SUPPORT LEVEL before reversing. 3. Key Levels (from chart) Support Zone 4,035 – 4,000 (largest highlighted accumulation zone) This is the critical support on the chart. Price has touched the upper area already. Secondary Demand Zones 3,980 3,950 3,900 These represent deeper liquidity pockets if the support breaks. Upside Targets After Reversal Based on your projection lines: 4,150 4,200 4,300 4,350+ (max extension on dotted projections) These levels match the Fibonacci-style structure visible on the right side. 4. Price Structure Analysis ✔ Bullish structure before drop Price formed a strong 37-candle trend up, creating a higher high. ✔ Sharp correction now The drop into support appears to be a classic liquidity sweep before a trend continuation. ✔ Support Reaction Expected Your chart clearly shows the expected bounce path marked with a blue dotted diagonal. If the support holds, we are likely to see: A higher low formation Trend reversal back into the projected targets 5. Probable Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Scenario (High probability) If price holds above 4,035 – 4,000, expect: Trend reversal up Recovery into 4,150 → 4,200 → 4,300 A full potential extension toward 4,350 – 4,400 This matches the indicator’s “Probable Length” of the next uptrend. 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Low probability but possible) If price breaks below 3,980, then: Market will target 3,950 and 3,900 demand Trend duration may extend beyond the predicted cycle But the chart suggests this is a less likely path. 6. Final Summary Gold is now in a bullish accumulation zone. Current downtrend is likely near completion (based on the 21-candle forecast). Support at 4,035 – 4,000 is the critical pivot zone. A bullish reversal toward 4,200–4,350 is the most probable move if support holds. Your chart essentially forecasts a buy-the-dip setup with upward continuation. CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NYMEX:CL1! CME:BTC1! COMEX:SI1! CME_MINI:RTY1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
XAUUSD Breakdown After Trendline Violation –Bearish ContinuationGold has broken below a long-held ascending trendline and slipped under the Ichimoku cloud, confirming a shift in market structure. After the breakdown, price is now forming potential pullback zones near 4130–4155, where sellers may re-enter. The chart highlights previous consolidation blocks, the trendline retest area, and projected bearish continuation levels. This setup suggests: Trendline break = bearish momentum shift Retest zones identified for possible short entries Lower targets likely if price rejects from resistance zones Ichimoku showing cloud resistance + bearish sentiment XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Strong Bearish Momentum After Trendline Breakdown 1. Major Trendline Break (Key Event) The chart shows gold breaking below a long-term rising trendline that had been respected for several sessions. This is the strongest signal of a trend reversal from bullish → bearish. Once price broke the trendline, momentum increased sharply to the downside. --- 2. Ichimoku Confirms Bearish Shift Price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, meaning bearish momentum dominates. The cloud ahead is thin and declining, suggesting weak future support. Trend bias = Downtrend. --- 3. Key Pullback (Rejection) Zones Two major resistance areas are marked on your chart: Zone 1: 4130 – 4140 A shallow pullback zone where early sellers may enter. If price retests here and rejects, expect continuation downward. Zone 2: 4148 – 4155 The higher, stronger resistance zone. This aligns with: Broken trendline retest Ichimoku cloud edge Previous structure zone This is the ideal short-entry zone for institutional/smart money traders. --- 4. Structure Breaks Confirm Bearish Bias Market broke: Previous consolidation blocks Higher lows Support levels around 4080–4100 This indicates clear displacement and strong bearish intent.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Mira_Clara
17
The bullish structure remains intact, we remain bullish.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD Looking at the hourly chart, the short-term resistance level is at 4210, which is also the high point of yesterday's NY session rebound. Although gold encountered resistance and pressure again during the day, as long as this resistance is broken, it will continue to test the 4245-4260 level. Gold has fallen back again, but the bullish structure has not been broken in the short term. The current pullback can be regarded as a technical correction, so I am still inclined to be bullish on gold. The daily MA5 has also risen to around 4160, which is exactly the important support level I emphasized yesterday. Therefore, if the price retraces to 4160-4145 again during the European session, we can continue to go long on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
Gold faces a test at 4100; time to prepare for positioningGold’s Downtrend Intensifies: The decline in gold has accelerated, with the previous support at $4,150 now decisively broken. Based on prior price action, the next key support is located near $4,100, a level that the market tested twice during the earlier consolidation phase but failed to break, indicating strong structural support. At the same time, the ascending trendline also converges near this area, adding further reinforcement to the support zone. Therefore, $4,100 can be considered the key pivot level going forward. Should this level be breached, gold could face deeper downside risk, with a potential move back toward the $4,000 psychological level not out of the question. However, as noted, the $4,100 area carries significant support, so monitoring the price reaction closely will be crucial. If this level holds, long positions may be considered. If $4,100 breaks decisively, I believe momentum shorts (trend continuation trades) become viable.
TVC:GOLDLong
by James_AU
Gold: Deploy based on key levelsGold exhibited a fluctuating and weakening trend today, with a pullback after a morning rally. It hit a high in the early session before gradually declining, closing slightly lower intraday, as bullish momentum waned in the tug-of-war between long and short positions. The 4-hour chart shows that the 20-period SMA is around 4150, and this average has moved above both the 100-period and 200-period SMAs, providing a degree of dynamic support for gold prices. This has limited the extent of the intraday pullback, preventing a sharp plunge. On the daily chart, the 20-day SMA sits at 4076, and current gold prices remain above all major moving averages, with the long-term bullish technical pattern still intact. As long as the support at the 20-day SMA holds, bulls are likely to retain control. A subsequent breakthrough above the 4220 high could see prices advance toward the 4300 level; conversely, a breach below key moving average support may trigger a deeper pullback. The primary support remains in the 4150-4160 range,holding this zone could avert further pullback, while a break of this short-term support would shift focus to the key 4100 level. For upward momentum today, a short-term rebound needs to first clear the 4180-4186 range to reignite upward drive. The critical resistance zone to watch is 4211-4215, which marks today’s intraday high and a key level for recent bullish attacks; a breakout here could pave the way for a move toward 4300. Trading Strategy: Buy 4150 - 4160 SL 4140 TP 4210 - 4215 - 4220 Sell 4210 - 4220 SL 4230 TP 4190 - 4180 - 4170 Avoid blindly chasing long positions at the high level of 4211-4215, and also refrain from random bottom-fishing near 4150. Wait for the market to give a clear direction before taking action.If no clear breakthrough signal emerges on the day, one may abandon the trade to avoid frequent operations.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by KingArthur_
XAUUSD: Focus on trading opportunities at these two levels todayMarket Review: Yesterday, the U.S. government struggled back into operation, and gold reacted with a sharp spike followed by an equally sharp reversal. During the U.S. session, prices once again tested the $2,240–$2,250 resistance zone, but failed to break through and subsequently plunged, giving back the entirety of the day’s gains. In yesterday’s trading strategy, I highlighted the $2,240–$2,250 resistance area, noting that failure to break above would provide a short opportunity. The nearly $100 price drop that followed should have allowed anyone who followed the strategy to secure substantial profits. Market Analysis: On the 1-hour chart, the key short-term resistance for gold is around $2,210—the rebound high from last night and also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. As long as $2,210 fails to break, gold is likely to maintain a range-bound to bearish bias today, offering opportunities to position on the short side. Key support lies at $2,150, which coincides with a previous swing high and the lowest point of yesterday’s retracement rebound. If prices pull back to this level without breaking below, it provides a potential long entry setup. Trading Strategy: The strategy is straightforward $2,210 and $2,150 are today’s critical levels. As long as these levels hold, each offers an entry opportunity. It’s best to avoid chasing breakouts; instead, focus on selling high and buying low within the defined range. Overall, short setups from higher levels appear more favorable for today’s market conditions.
TVC:GOLDShort
by James_AU
ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS(14/11/2025, LONDON SESSION)1️⃣ Market Overview Gold begins the London session trading around $4,178–$4,183, recovering after an early sweep toward $4,159 and bouncing back into the intraday structure. Despite this recovery, price remains below the broken ascending trendline, which now acts as resistance, and under the broader descending trendline from $4,245. The current movement suggests a corrective pullback, with sellers defending the $4,183–$4,192 zone, as gold forms lower highs intraday. London volatility will determine whether the market rejects this retest (bearish continuation) or breaks above it (bullish reversal attempt). ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1) • Gold maintains a mid-recovery structure, holding above the 100EMA and trying to build above the 10EMA. • RSI ~61 shows mild bullish momentum but not strong enough to break the long-term descending trendline. • Major support remains at $4,028–$4,090, with resistance at the compression ceiling near $4,192–$4,209. 🔹 1H Chart • Structure remains bearish-to-neutral, following a clean BOS down from $4,209 into $4,159. • Current bounce is just a retest of the broken trendline. • RSI around 46 and MACD red but flattening → early signs of indecision, not reversal. • Critical resistance sits at $4,183–$4,192, aligned with retest structure + EMA cluster. 🔹 15M–5M • Intraday shows a BOS to the downside, then a corrective pullback. • Price is reacting inside a tight compression wedge between trendline resistance and EMAs. • Momentum on lower timeframes suggests sellers are waiting for rejection confirmation at $4,183–$4,192. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis Last swing: 4,245 → 4,159 • 38.2% = 4,192 • 50.0% = 4,202 • 61.8% = 4,212 🎯 Golden Zone: 4,192 – 4,212 This is the primary high-probability sell interest area. ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📉 SELL SCENARIO (Main Bias) Sell Zone: 4,183 – 4,192 (Trendline retest + EMA cluster + FVG alignment) Targets: → 4,172 → 4,160 → 4,145 Stop Loss: Above 4,200 Confirmation Needed: • Bearish engulfing • BOS below 4,176 • RSI divergence on 5M–15M ⸻ 💥 BREAKOUT SELL SETUP Trigger: Break & close below 4,172 Retest: 4,174–4,176 Targets: → 4,160 → 4,145 → 4,130 Stop Loss: Above 4,185 ⸻ 📈 BUY SCENARIO (Countertrend) Buy Zone: 4,159 – 4,165 (Morning sweep demand + liquidity grab) Targets: → 4,176 → 4,183 → 4,190 Stop Loss: Below 4,154 Confirmation: • Bullish CHoCH • Strong wick rejection • MACD flip ⸻ 💥 BREAKOUT BUY SETUP Trigger: Break & close above 4,200 Retest: 4,192–4,195 Targets: → 4,209 → 4,225 → 4,245 Stop Loss: Below 4,188 ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch • London session opens with higher volatility following overnight sweeps. • US PPI and consumer sentiment later today may set the direction for the next leg. • DXY stabilizing near 105.8, keeping pressure on gold until broken. • Markets remain sensitive to Fed tone and bond yield fluctuation. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels Resistance Zones: • 4,183 • 4,192 • 4,200 • 4,209 Support Zones: • 4,172 • 4,165 • 4,159 • 4,145 Golden Zone: ➡️ 4,192 – 4,212 Break Levels: • Sell Break Trigger: < 4,172 • Buy Break Trigger: > 4,200 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold is forming a corrective pullback into a major confluence zone. As long as gold remains below 4,190, the market favors bearish continuation toward 4,160 → 4,145. A breakout above 4,200 would invalidate the bearish structure and drive the market toward the 4,225–4,245 imbalance. This is a classic London-session compression → expansion setup. ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary 📉 Primary Bias: Bearish below 4,190, targeting 4,160 – 4,145. 📈 Alternative Bias: Bullish only above 4,200, targeting 4,225 – 4,245. ⸻
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by ELDORADOFX
ANFIBO | Gold XAUUSD - BUY until Uptrend breaks [11.14.2025]Hi guys, Anfibo's here! GOLD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Overall Picture: Yesterday’s buy plan at 4185 worked perfectly, giving us a clean 250 pips almost immediately. With this momentum, our weekly target of 2000 pips is clearly achievable — as long as we stay disciplined and follow the plan without letting market noise disrupt our strategy. At the moment, price action shows gold holding firmly above a strong support at 4130, while the nearest resistance zones are forming at 4240 and 4255. These levels will define today’s trading opportunities as the market prepares for its next move within the ongoing bullish structure. Trading Plan for Today: >>> BUY ZONE: (1) ENTRY: 4130 – 4145 SL: 4120 TP: 4205 – 4240 (2) ENTRY: 4180 – 4165 (Trend continuation entry) SL: 4155 TP: 4235 – 4255 >>> SELL ZONE (Scalp Only): ENTRY: 4255 – 4265 SL: 4270 TP: 4200 – 4130 Risk Management: - Stick to small–medium positions while gold remains in a compression phase. - Buy setups should be prioritized as long as 4130 holds. - Keep Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid chasing candles near resistance. - Reassess bias only if price breaks and closes below 4130 with strong momentum. Conclusion: Gold continues to respect our levels beautifully, and the bullish structure remains intact above 4130 support. As long as this area holds, we maintain the bias of buying dips and targeting the upper resistance zones at 4240–4255. Stay patient, follow the plan, and let the setups come to you — consistency is what delivers weekly gains. HAVE A NICE DAY, GUYS!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
2
Gold Near Breakout Point — The Next Move Will Be BigGold is holding firmly inside a tight compression zone, and the market is signalling that a major breakout is loading. Despite yesterday’s pullback, buyers defended key demand levels, showing that bullish momentum is still alive as we approach the weekend session. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1) Price is currently moving inside a symmetrical triangle, with volatility compressing and liquidity building on both sides. Key observations from MMFlow structure: • Zone 1 – Support (Potential Reversal Area) 4,174 – 4,159 → Strong confluence of trendline support + Fibonacci 38.2% + liquidity sweep potential. → If price taps this zone, it's a high-probability long setup. • Zone 2 – Resistance / Breakout Line 4,207 – 4,212 → This is the key breakout ceiling. → A clean break and retest opens the door toward the next expansion wave. • Measured Move Target (MMF Expansion Target) 4,244 – 4,252 → Aligns with Fib 1.618 extension and previous liquidity pocket. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (MMFlow Style) 🟢 BUY Scenario (Primary Bias) Buy Zone 1: 4,174 – 4,159 SL: below 4,150 TP: 4,205 → 4,212 → 4,228 → 4,244+ Why? This zone carries the strongest confluence for a bullish reaction before the breakout. Ideal spot for Market Makers to reload. 🔵 BUY Scenario 2 (Break & Retest) Trigger: Break above 4,207 – 4,212 Entry: Retest of 4,207 SL: below retest wick TP: 4,228 → 4,244 → 4,252 Why? Breakout from triangle compression usually leads to fast displacement toward untested liquidity highs. 🔴 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Only — Not Preferred) Only valid if price fails to break 4,207 and forms a clear rejection. Entry: 4,207 – 4,212 SL: above 4,220 TP: 4,174 → 4,159 Note: This is a counter-trend micro-play. Primary bias remains bullish. 🧠 MMFlow Insight The market has been accumulating for multiple sessions, and every dip into demand is being bought aggressively. As long as price stays above 4,159, the bullish structure is intact. A breakout above 4,212 could be the ignition point for the next impulsive expansion toward 4,244 – 4,252.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold price developments today, November 141. Trendline Descending trendline (upper red): Price is repeatedly rejected here → a strong dynamic resistance. Ascending trendline (lower red): Price has bounced multiple times → an important dynamic support, forming a confluence with the 0.618 Fibonacci level. 2. Resistance 4,215 – 4,225: Supply zone + confluence with the descending trendline → a high-probability selling area. If price breaks strongly above 4,225, the next expansion target is 4,244. 3. Support 4,172 – 4,155 (Fibo 0.5 – 0.618): Nearest support, likely to see a reaction. 4,127 – 4,130: The strongest support zone, aligned with the ascending trendline → a potential buying area. 4. Price Scenarios Scenario 1 (primary): Price retraces to retest 4,215–4,225, gets rejected → declines toward 4,155 or deeper to 4,127. Scenario 2: If the descending trendline breaks, price could rally strongly toward 4,244. BUY GOLD : 4127 - 4130 Stoploss : 4113 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips SELL GOLD : 4221-4224 Stoploss : 4233 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) has regained upward momentum, bouncing back above $4,200 after briefly pulling back from a three-week high. The metal remains within a broad bullish structure, supported by risk-off sentiment and a softer USD. The Resistance Zone lies between $4,207–$4,214, which coincides with recent swing highs. The Support Zone is established around $4,166–$4,174, representing the demand base from earlier this week. A short-term pullback toward the support zone could offer a buy-on-dip opportunity, with price likely to retest the $4,210 resistance area if momentum holds. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Buy on retracement near support, targeting a retest of $4,210 resistance. Entry: $4,167 – $4,174 Stop Loss: $4,166 Take Profit 1: $4,207 Take Profit 2: $4,214 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.88 If gold breaks below $4,165, the bullish bias would weaken, potentially opening room for deeper correction toward $4,150. 🌐 Macro Background Gold climbed above $4,200 on Friday amid renewed risk aversion and a weaker U.S. Dollar, as markets digest ongoing fallout from the U.S. government shutdown and signs of slowing growth. FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani noted that “Gold retakes $4,200 as USD weakens on economic concerns and a risk-off mood boosts demand.” 【FXStreet】 Economic Concerns: Investors remain worried that the prolonged U.S. government closure shaved 1.5–2.0% off quarterly GDP growth, reinforcing expectations of weaker economic activity ahead. USD Under Pressure: The U.S. Dollar trades near a two-week low, as markets anticipate softer data once official reports resume. Fed Rate-Cut Bets: While some Fed officials, including Susan Collins and Neel Kashkari, warned against hasty easing, the CME FedWatch Tool still shows a 50% chance of a 25bp rate cut in December, and 75% odds for January. Data Delays: A senior White House official confirmed that key October data (employment and inflation) might not be released, adding uncertainty to policy projections. Risk Sentiment: Weaker equities and global risk aversion continue to support gold as investors seek safety amid limited U.S. macro visibility. Despite the reduced odds of an immediate December cut, the medium-term narrative remains gold-positive, with the Fed leaning toward eventual easing once data returns. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,207 – $4,214 Support: $4,167 – $4,174 Psychological Level: $4,200 📌 Trade Summary Gold’s short-term structure favours buying dips toward $4,167–$4,174, supported by risk-off sentiment and a fragile U.S. Dollar. As long as price stays above $4,165, the bullish outlook remains valid with potential retest of the $4,207 area. However, uncertainty around delayed U.S. data may keep volatility elevated into next week. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Gold Slightly Adjusts, Monitoring Pullback to 4,151 USD Support📊 Market Structure After the Break of Structure (BoS) at the 4,208 USD zone, gold confirms the continuation of the upward trend and is forming a technical adjustment. The price has touched the Resistance Zone of 4,208 – 4,237 USD and is currently adjusting as expected, heading towards the Support Zone of 4,151 USD – this is where a previous impulsive move originated. Below the 4,151 Support, there is a strong OB at 4,104 USD. As long as the price does not break deeply below 4,104 USD, the bullish structure remains intact. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Resistance Zone: 4,208 – 4,237 USD → supply zone + area of bearish reaction • Support Zone: 4,151 USD → area awaiting bullish reaction • Strong OB + Support: 4,104 – 4,110 USD → base of bullish structure • Liquidity Zone (Target): 4,260+ USD → area for the next wave expansion 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend Following If the price adjusts correctly to the discount zones: • Entry 1: 4,151 USD • Entry 2: 4,104 USD (most attractive zone – confluence OB) SL: below 4,090 USD TP1: 4,208 TP2: 4,237 TP3: 4,260 → Main strategy: wait for pullback → re-enter the upward wave → follow the strong trend. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at Resistance (counter-trend) If the price retests the 4,208 – 4,237 zone and creates a clear rejection: Entry: 4,218 – 4,230 SL: 4,245 TP1: 4,180 TP2: 4,151 → Setup only for flexible traders, short trades, no holding positions. 🧠 Vincent’s View The current structure is very precise: Impulsive Move → Short-term Distribution → Pullback to Support → Continuation of the upward wave. The 4,151 USD zone is the focal point to observe. The 4,104 USD zone is the most attractive BUY area if the market seeks deeper liquidity. As long as the price does not break 4,104 USD, the buyers maintain complete advantage. “Let the pullback come to you — structure always tells the truth.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 14/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Technical Retracement Before Continuing Main Uptrend⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/14/2025 🔍 Market Context After establishing a short-term peak around 4,239 USD, gold is undergoing a technical retracement to rebalance its structure. The most recent decline formed a Break of Structure (BOS), but the Support Zone around 4,145–4,174 USD continues to serve as a foundation for the medium-term uptrend. The current price structure indicates the market is re-accumulating momentum before expanding again. 📊 Technical Structure Order Block (4,239 USD): a short-term resistance zone where the price may react slightly before continuing upward. Support Zone (4,145–4,174 USD): a confluence zone with Fibo 0.236–0.382, playing a balancing role in the current cycle. Liquidity Targets:  • 4,261 USD – intermediate liquidity zone.  • 4,293 USD – main expansion target if the uptrend is maintained. 🎯 Market Outlook High probability scenario: 1️⃣ The price may retrace to the Support Zone or form a higher low around 4,174 USD, then recover to the OB zone at 4,239 USD. 2️⃣ If the uptrend structure breaks, the market may test deeper towards 4,145 USD before bouncing back. As long as the price holds above this support zone, the primary trend remains bullish continuation. 🧠 Analyst’s View This is a phase of market re-accumulation after a rapid increase. Maintaining a higher low structure will be a confirmation signal for the next expansion phase towards 4,261–4,293 USD. Buyers are still controlling the cash flow, while sellers mainly participate in the short-term resistance zone. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is in a slight correction phase – avoid impulsive actions when the price has not completed the accumulation zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
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