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3780-3790: A potential price reversal point; buy on dips.On Friday night, we expect gold to hit a new high of 3800-3810 after holding the key support of 3765-3755. At present, gold has broken through the expected target and is expected to move towards 3830. The current geopolitical situation has worsened, and the new round of tariffs that came into effect on October 1st has continuously stimulated the market's risk aversion sentiment, causing investors to flock to the gold market to seek risk shelter. Today's news needs to focus on the U.S. trading session. Members of the U.S. Congress from both parties are negotiating on avoiding a government shutdown. The U.S. government faces the risk of shutdown. If it is not effectively resolved, this will affect the subsequent release of key data such as NFP CPI. With the rising gold price, it has broken through previous resistance and reached a new high. The previous high of 3780-3790 has become a key level for a potential trend reversal. During the European session, if gold retraces to this range, we can consider buying gold with a target of 3820-3830.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
Gold Soars Past $3,800: Can Shutdown Fears Push Gold to $3,900?📊 Technical Structure Gold (XAU/USD) has surged to a record high above $3,800, confirming strong bullish momentum within a rising channel. Price action is currently holding above the support zone at $3,774–3,786, while eyeing the next resistance cluster at $3,837–3,848. Beyond this, extended targets sit near $3,910–3,922, aligned with Fibonacci 1.618–2.618 extensions. The structure remains buy-the-dip as long as the channel support holds. 🎯 Trade Setup (Long) Entry: $3,786–3,774 (on retest of support zone) Stop Loss: $3,768 Take Profit 1: $3,837 Take Profit 2: $3,910 Take Profit 3: $3,922 Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 7.71 🌍 Macro Background Gold’s rally is fuelled by safe-haven flows as the US government shutdown risk looms. Investors are moving into gold amid uncertainty over budget negotiations in Washington, with shutdowns historically boosting demand for safe-haven assets. At the same time, the Fed’s recent 25 bps cut and market pricing of another cut in October (88% probability) and December (65%) lower the opportunity cost of holding gold. The August PCE inflation came in line with expectations (core +2.9% YoY, headline +2.7%), reinforcing the view that the Fed remains on a gradual easing path. However, hawkish commentary from Fedspeak later today could inject short-term volatility into the USD and cap gold’s momentum. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone 1: $3,837 – $3,848 Resistance Zone 2: $3,910 – $3,922 Support Zone: $3,774 – $3,786 📌 Trade Summary Gold maintains a strong bullish structure, underpinned by Fed rate cut expectations and geopolitical + political risks. As long as $3,774–3,786 support holds, the bias remains long, targeting $3,837 initially and potentially $3,910–3,922 if momentum extends. Caution is warranted during Fed speeches, as hawkish tones could trigger short-lived pullbacks. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
XAUUSD – Prioritize buying after gold sets ATHXAUUSD – Prioritize buying after gold sets ATH, target 3840 Hello Trader, Right at the start of the week, gold established a new ATH, affirming that the upward trend remains dominant. The price structure on H1 shows that buying pressure remains quite strong, while adjustments are mainly to balance liquidity. Given the current context, the preferred trading strategy is still to wait for buying opportunities at key support areas, with a target towards 3840. Fundamental Context This week, the usual focus would be on the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. However, the risk of a U.S. Government shutdown might delay this crucial report. The U.S. fiscal year runs from 10/1 to 9/30. If Congress does not pass all 12 spending bills, agencies without allocated budgets will have to cease operations. In the absence of significant economic information, gold continues to benefit from safe-haven sentiment and fiscal policy uncertainty. Technical Perspective The price has broken out and set an ATH, with the 3837 – 3840 area currently being a strong resistance (Fibonacci + market psychology). The 3770 – 3773 area is a nearby support, coinciding with the trendline and previous liquidity, suitable for buying. The MACD on H1 indicates that buying momentum is still maintained, but a correction is needed for the price to balance before breaking higher. Trading Strategy Short-term Sell (at resistance): Entry: 3837 – 3840 SL: 3844 TP: 3830 – 3800 – 3770 Note: This is merely a reactive order at resistance, going against the main trend, so manage risk tightly. Preferred Buy (trend-following): Entry: 3770 – 3773 SL: 3766 TP: 3784 – 3799 – 3810 – 3838 Conclusion This week, gold still prioritizes the Buy strategy at support areas. The main target is towards 3840, a significant resistance area and a benchmark for trend strength. The Sell order is only short-term at resistance, while the main scenario is still to wait for a correction to buy up. Follow me for updates on short-term scenarios throughout the week, especially as fluctuations from U.S. news and fiscal policy can strongly impact gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
"XAUUSD Bullish Setup Toward 3800–3810"This chart shows the XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) 1-hour analysis. Price is currently trading around 3769 after a bullish move. A support trend line is holding price momentum, suggesting buyers are still active above this level. Immediate support is seen near 3753, while the trendline also aligns with this support zone. If price respects the support trend line, a bullish continuation is expected. The upside targets are marked at 3800 as the next key level, and 3810 as a potential new all-time high (ATH). The projection indicates a possible short-term pullback to the trend line before resuming upward movement. Overall, the setup suggests a bullish outlook, as long as price stays above the support and trend line.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
31
New ATH Above 3800 & FOMO Buying Still Driving the MarketXAUUSD – Daily Plan| MMFLOW TRADING 📊 Market Context Gold has once again set a new all-time high above 3800 USD/oz, showing no signs of losing bullish momentum. The surge is fueled by strong FOMO buying flows, as traders continue to pile into safe-haven assets. Concerns about a possible US government shutdown and renewed discussions around tariff policies have weighed on the dollar, while expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts keep gold supported. Meanwhile, Fed speeches and incoming US data remain key drivers that could inject short-term volatility, but the broader bullish narrative remains intact. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price is firmly holding above the 3800 psychological level, confirming the breakout. Buy zones remain intact at 3790–3792 and 3784–3782, with solid demand expected on any dip. Sell liquidity sits around 3823–3825, where short-term profit-taking or traps may emerge before the next leg higher. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zone: 3823–3825 Support / Buy Zones: 3790–3792, 3784–3782 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan BUY ZONE 1: 3790–3792 SL: 3786 TP: 3795 - 3800 - 3810 - 3820 - 3830 - ??? BUY ZONE 2: 3784–3782 SL: 3778 TP: 3790 - 3795 - 3800 - 3810 - 3820 - 3830 - 3840 - ??? SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap Zone): 3823–3825 SL: 3830 TP: 3818 - 3814 - 3810 - 3805 - 3800 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Notes Beware of liquidity sweeps near 3823–3825 before continuation higher. Fed comments and macro data may cause sudden spikes — adjust risk accordingly. Stick to confirmation entries around zones to avoid being trapped by false moves. ✅ Summary Gold is riding strong FOMO-driven bullish momentum, printing new highs above 3800. Main bias: buy on dips at 3790–3782, while monitoring short-term sell liquidity at 3823–3825 for potential pullbacks. The broader trend remains bullish, so patience and disciplined entries will be key. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for live updates, liquidity insights, and high-probability setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD approaching buy zone!GOLD open with a gap, as past week it has broken out of the intial structure, with new market open has sown significant bullish price action. From daily price action, it is in long term uptrend. Current 15minute price is about to cross the daily support and 4h support which in turn could lead the price to bouce off and a good area for potential buy entry, however, would like to see the support been tested with longer ATR candle. My SL in this entry would be 1.5ATR which is 91 pip in 15min which is well below the intraday support level.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ForexWizard01
Plan 28-sep-2025Related Information:!!! Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran told Fox Business on Thursday that there is no clear evidence of tariff-driven inflation, but it appears to be holding back policymakers. The economy is more vulnerable to downside shocks because Fed policy is too tight, and that policy is restraining by 200 basis points, Miran added. Separately, Chicago Fed Governor Austan Goolsbee noted that the labor market seems to be cooling, but inflation is rising, and relying on inflation being temporary makes him uneasy. Goolsbee said interest rates could come down a bit further if inflation moves toward 2%, but he is also cautious about cutting rates too soon, stressing that inflation must be brought back to the 2% target. personal opinion:!!! XAUUSD sideway 3750-3780, breakeven 3780 then 3800(ATH)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JJainy
1
XAUUSD Weekly Scenarios⚙ Weekly Scenarios Bullish Scenario: The price holds above support at ~$3,660 and breaks resistance at ~$3,760–3,800. Then, a rally to $3,900 and beyond is possible, especially with support from rate and geopolitical news. Consolidation: The price may move sideways between $3,660 and $3,760 until a strong signal (from news or volume) breaks the range. Bearish Scenario: A break below $3,660 with volume confirmation could lead to a correction to $3,600 or even lower. In this case, it's important to watch whether lower support levels hold, otherwise a deeper pullback is possible. 🔎 Conclusion The overall picture for the week is bullish, but with the risk of a pullback or consolidation due to overbought conditions and resistance. Key: Watch for a reaction in the resistance zones of ~$3,760–3,800 and for support to hold at ~$3,660. For traders: consider buying on dips near support zones and shorting (or taking profits) as the price approaches strong resistance if it fails to break through.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Trade_Hive_Signals
XAUUSD | First Line of DefenseXAUUSD | Watching the First Support On XAUUSD, I see the first major support around the blue box. That’s where I’ll be paying attention as price drifts lower. When we get there, I’ll be watching the 1-hour CDV closely. A positive divergence would suggest buyers are absorbing and could set up a tactical bounce. My track record speaks for itself: the win rate of my trades is listed below. Trading with me costs nothing. You can check my profile. I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UmutTrades
Holding on to 3755, there will be new highsAfter gold broke through the triangle boundary, it meant that the short-term downward adjustment was over. After falling back to 3755, it rebounded again. Everything was in line with our expectations. The morning trend chart also confirmed our advanced trading vision. In the short term, gold will rise rapidly. Don't chase the rise easily at high levels. It is possible that the main funds want to push up the price to sell. On the upside, pay attention to the suppression brought by the previous highs of 3780-3790. As gold prices rise, short-term resistance also turns into support. Judging from the hourly and 4H charts, the middle track support has also come to around 3755, and the MA5 moving average has also moved up to around 3755. Under multiple conditions, 3755 has become a solid short-term support level. If the support of 3765-3755 can be held, gold may hit a new high and reach 3800-3810. Therefore, if gold rises and reaches 3780-3790 in the evening, I may consider shorting gold with a light position. If gold retreats directly to the 3765-3755 range, we can consider going long on gold to target new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
Gold (XAU/USD at Critical Decision Zone - Breakout or Rejection?📊 XAU/USD (Gold) Analysis - Decision Point at 3750–3760 Quick Summary: Hello, traders! I've been watching the FX:XAUUSD chart for a while now, it clearly observed that TVC:GOLD has been climbing in a well-defined bullish channel, with every dip quickly absorbed by buyers. That larger structure is still intact, reinforced by a sequence of consolidations and breakouts, each pushing price higher and respecting the channel structure. Right now, however, price action is stalling inside a short-term descending flag pattern just below the 3750–3760 resistance zone which is a textbook bullish continuation pattern. This level is a true pivot. It has rejected price twice already and lines up with key Fib retracement levels. The market is hesitating here but also strongly rejecting lower prices, as seen in the multiple rejection around the 38.2% fib levels. I believe this is a clear tension building phase for the next major move. There are two paths i see: Path A: A confirmed breakout would fuel another impulsive wave higher✅. Path B: A failure could drag price back toward Fibonacci supports❌. My base case leans bullish: continuation toward 3790–3820 if resistance gives way. But if rejection holds, we could see a retracement back into 3728 or even 3709–3690 before buyers step back in. 1. Market Structure Main Trend: Price is moving inside a well-defined ascending channel. Pattern: Repeated cycle of descending consolidation → breakout → continuation. Current price is again consolidating in a small descending channel within the bigger bullish structure. 2. Key Levels Order Block: Around 3752–3760 zone (highlighted in red). Fib Levels: 0.236 retrace → ~3752 (current resistance) 0.382 → ~3728 0.5 → ~3709 0.618 → ~3690 (stronger support) Upside Targets: 3790 → 3820 🎯 aligns with Fib extension. 3. RSI & Momentum RSI at 54.5 — mid-zone, neither overbought nor oversold. RSI is forming a small wedge/triangle , suggesting potential breakout soon (momentum building). 4. Volume Context Previous breakouts backed by strong volume surges. Current consolidation is on reduced volume , which is typical before expansion. 5. Scenarios 🟢Bullish Case If price clears 3752–3760 order block, breakout confirmation could push towards 3790–3820 (channel top + Fib extension). 🔴Bearish Case If price rejects order block, we could see pullbacks to 3728 → 3709 → 3690 (layered Fib supports + mid-channel). A deeper rejection could test the lower channel ~3660–3680. Patience is the real edge here. Wait for confirmation-discipline and timing always outlast impulse.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by niclaxfx
Gold May Retest 3800 — How to Trade It?Today, gold pulled back to the 20 area and formed a short-term bottom confirmation on the 30M chart with several long lower wicks. Next, watch the 58 resistance. If price breaks and holds above, bulls will gain a clear advantage, with a likely move to test 3800. During this move, the 72–77 zone may provide resistance, but strong bullish momentum is likely to break through it. If gold reaches around 3800 and pulls back, this level will become a new support zone.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold Pauses: PCE Inflation Report is the Next Battleground.Hello, investors! Gold saw only a slight 0.1% gain, closing at $3,739.42/oz on September 25, after encountering resistance from better-than-expected US jobs data (weekly jobless claims dropped sharply). This news slightly pared back expectations for a Fed rate cut in October (down to 85%). However, gold remains supported by dovish Fed comments and potential political instability (like Trump's proposed 100% drug tariff). The market's focus is now entirely on today’s (Sept 26) PCE Inflation Report. Expert Warning: If PCE is hotter than expected, gold could face sharp, temporary downward pressure. Technical Analysis & Strategy Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle pattern and has yet to break the $375x resistance. While further selling pressure is possible before the PCE data, the long-term trend remains bullish. Outlook: Prioritize Buy positions if the price stays above the Key Level $373x. If the news causes the price to break $373x, be ready to flip the strategy to Sell. Key Resistance: $3755, $3768, $3778 Key Support: $3738, $3727, $3712 Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): BUY SCALP Zone: $3739 - $3737 SL: $3733 TP: $3742 - $3747 - $3752 - $3757 - $3767 BUY ZONE Zone: $3704 - $3702 SL: $3694 TP: $3712 - $3722 - $3732 - $3742 - $3762 SELL ZONE Zone: $3776 - $3778 SL: $3786 TP: $3768 - $3758 - $3748 - $3728 - $3708 The market is at a crossroads. What's your strategy today? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #PCE #Fed #Inflation #TradingView #ATH
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC