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Gold "Cools Down": A Sign of a Coming Downturn?Gold "Cools Down": A Sign of a Coming Downturn? 📉🤔 Hello, investors! Gold saw a notable correction on September 24, closing at $3,762.73/oz after reaching a historic high of $3,790.82/oz just one day earlier. Gold futures also dropped 0.5% to $3,795.80/oz. Is this a sign of a deeper correction or just a short-term profit-taking before key news? Fundamental Analysis: Market "Holds Its Breath" Before the PCE Inflation Report Yesterday's drop in gold seems to have little to do with the released U.S. economic data, as the USD index only had a slight rebound and housing data wasn't strong enough to cause such a major move. Instead, the most likely reasons are: Cautious Profit-Taking: Investors are taking profits after a rapid run-up, aiming to mitigate risk before the upcoming PCE inflation report on September 26. Fed Expectations: Despite short-term volatility, the market holds firm on its expectation that the Fed will cut rates in October and December with a high probability (94% and 77%). A low-rate environment and geopolitical concerns remain the core drivers supporting gold's price in the long term. Technical Analysis: "Sell" or "Wait to Buy"? Gold had a significant correction from the $3,770 area, indicating that a large number of profit-taking sell orders were triggered. However, the downtrend has paused and is now looking for a new balance point. Outlook: With the current cautious sentiment, there's a chance gold may see further selling pressure in the short term. However, any deeper drop would be an excellent opportunity to buy back at a better price, as the long-term bullish momentum is still intact. Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): Sell Zone: Zone $3766 - $3768, SL $3776 Buy Zone: Zone $3702 - $3700, SL $3692 The market is highly sensitive. Do you think this correction is a buying opportunity or a time to step back? Share your thoughts! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #Inflation #PCE #USD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Fed Cut Hopes & Geopolitical Risks Fuel Gold Rally📊 Market View Gold is holding its bullish tone, trading firmly above 3750 USD/oz and refreshing daily highs in the European session. Investor sentiment is being lifted by rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue rate cuts into year-end, lowering borrowing costs and strengthening demand for non-yielding assets like gold. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks keep safe-haven flows alive, further reinforcing gold’s momentum. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price structure remains bullish above 3750, supported by trendline dynamics. Buy liquidity zones identified at 3742–3740 (major demand) and 3757–3755 (scalp entry). Key short-term resistance sits around 3778, with extended liquidity targets towards 3813–3815. A rejection from the 3813–3815 sell zone could trigger pullbacks into demand areas. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance: 3778 ➡️ 3813–3815 Support / Buy Zones: 3757–3755 ➡️ 3742–3740 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE (Main Setup): 3742–3740 SL: 3735 TP: 3748 ➡️ 3752 ➡️ 3756 ➡️ 3760 ➡️ 3770 ➡️ 3780 ➡️ … ✅ BUY SCALP (Aggressive Entry): 3757–3755 SL: 3750 TP: 3762 ➡️ 3766 ➡️ 3780 ➡️ … ✅ SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap): 3813–3815 SL: 3820 TP: 3810 ➡️ 3805 ➡️ 3800 ➡️ 3795 ➡️ 3790 ➡️ 3780 ➡️ … ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Watch for fake breakouts near 3813–3815 — liquidity sweeps are common before reversal. Prioritize long entries on confirmed pullbacks, avoid chasing price in the middle range. Keep position sizing modest as volatility could spike on Fed commentary or geopolitical updates. ✅ Summary Gold remains in a strong bullish phase, fueled by Fed rate cut expectations and geopolitical tensions. Strategy: buy dips at 3757–3755 or 3742–3740, targeting 3770–3780, while watching for short-term rejection at 3813–3815 for potential sells. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for live intraday updates, liquidity-based trading setups, and high-probability strategies on XAUUSD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Record Highs Under the Lens of ATAI VPA & VPRCGold Analysis Report In recent days, as gold has reached new historical highs, two analytical tools have been used to assess the market conditions: - ATAI Volume analysis with price action V 1.03 - ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA) It is important to emphasize that the gold market is heavily influenced by global economic and political events, and precise volume data is not publicly available. The only volume data considered here comes from OANDA. For this evaluation, a 70-day period has been chosen to study the broader behavioral and volume pattern of gold over the past two months. Bull Trap Risk Detection (ATAI Volume analysis with price action V 1.03) In this indicator, Bull Trap detection is based on the interaction of price behavior and order-flow volume. The logic is as follows: 1. Bull Sweep (False Breakout with Long Wick) - If price exceeds the recent high (`high_level`) but closes back below it, and the upper wick of the candle makes up a sufficiently large fraction of the total range, then a Bull Sweep is detected. - Formula: upper_wick_ratio = (high - max(open, close)) / (high - low) Condition: upper_wick_ratio >= trap_wick_threshold (e.g., 0.6) 2. Bull Break - If the close is above the breakout level without a long wick, it is treated as a Bull Break. 3. Mismatch Condition - If the candle is bullish (close > open) but delta ≤ 0 or seller ratio > 50%, then there is a mismatch between price action and order flow. - Formula (simplified): mismatchBull = (close > open) and (delta <= 0 or seller_ratio > 0.5) 4. Dominance Inversion - If buyer volume ranks highest in the lookback window, but cumulative seller volume is greater than buyer volume while the candle is bullish, a dominance inversion occurs. - Condition: domInvBull = (rank_buy == 1) and (sum_sell > sum_buy) and (close > open) 5. Low Volume Breakout - If a bullish breakout occurs with total volume less than the average total volume, then the breakout is flagged as low-volume. - Condition: lowVolBull = isBullBreak and (TF_tot < avg_tot) The module assigns scores to these conditions: - Sweep: +2 - Break: +1 - Mismatch: +2 - Dominance Inversion: +2 - Low-volume Break: +1 If total score ≥ trap_score_risk (default = 3), then a Bull Trap Risk is flagged. If, within `trap_confirm_bars`, price reverses and closes back below the breakout level, then Bull Trap Risk Confirmed is displayed. Complementary View (ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer – VPA) The VPA indicator, with its left (C→B) and right (B→A) wings and offset capability, allows a parallel evaluation of flow balance. In the current gold chart, the right wing (B→A) reflects weakness on the buyers' side, reinforcing the Bull Trap risk detected by the previous indicator. This alignment strengthens the probability of a bearish scenario. However, the extent of any downward path will depend on the pivotal price levels where the largest buy and sell volumes were registered over the past 70 days. These are represented by points B1 and S1, clustered around the 3409 USD level. Notes - On lower timeframes, accuracy in buy/sell volume calculation depends on the data window. Here, a 1-minute timeframe was selected, which provides ~74 days of buy/sell flow data. - Gold remains highly sensitive to political and economic news globally. - This analysis is based solely on mathematical calculations and volume/behavioral pattern recognition. It must not be interpreted as investment advice of any kind.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ata_sabanci
Daily Plan: What’s Next After the All-Time High Correction?📊 Market Context Gold is struggling to recover from yesterday’s pullback after hitting a record high at 3791 USD/oz. In the Asian session on Thursday, price action remains cautious as traders await U.S. mid-tier data and further speeches from Fed officials for fresh momentum. While the long-term trend remains bullish, the current pause highlights how sensitive gold is to short-term liquidity sweeps and macro catalysts. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) ATH zone sits at 3791, with sellers reacting strongly from that level. Price is currently trading below the downtrend reaction zone 3755–3757, showing near-term weakness. Buy-side liquidity remains intact at 3712 and deeper at 3688–3686 (CP + OBS Buy Zone). Sell-side liquidity zone identified at 3775–3777, likely to attract reactions if retested. Larger liquidity magnet lies at 3824–3830, but only if bulls regain momentum above 3777. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zones: 3775–3777 - 3791 - 3824–3830 Support / Buy Zones: 3712 - 3688–3686 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE (Main Setup): 3688–3686 SL: 3680 TP: 3696 - 3700 - 3705 - 3710 - 3720 - 3730 - … ✅ SELL ZONE (Liquidity Reaction): 3775–3777 SL: 3782 TP: 3770 - 3765 - 3760 - 3750 - 3740 - 3730 - … ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Stay alert for false breakouts around 3775–3777, as price may sweep liquidity before reversing. Avoid chasing entries mid-range; wait for price action confirmation in the buy/sell zones. U.S. data and Fed commentary could trigger volatility spikes — adjust risk accordingly. ✅ Summary Gold is consolidating after its record high at 3791, with traders waiting for new catalysts. The plan today: buy dips at 3688–3686, targeting a recovery towards 3720–3730, while looking for short-term sells at 3775–3777 if rejection occurs. A break above 3777 would re-open the path towards 3824–3830. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING on TradingView for real-time liquidity setups and BIGWIN strategies as gold approaches its next critical levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Price Forecast – Long Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure Gold price retraced from the 3777–3785 resistance zone and is currently consolidating during Asia Session. The chart indicates a solid support base around 3714–3723, while resistance is capped near 3777–3785. As long as price holds above support, the bullish bias remains intact, with potential to retest upper resistance. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry (Buy): 3723 Stop Loss: 3712 Take Profit: 3785 Risk/Reward (R:R): 1 : 5.62 🌍 Macro Background Gold holds firm near $3,750 in early Asian trading, supported by expectations of further Fed rate cuts and elevated geopolitical risks. The Fed has already cut rates by 25bps in September, bringing the Federal Funds Rate to 4.00%–4.25%, with projections showing two more cuts this year and one in 2026. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, boosting demand. Meanwhile, heightened geopolitical tensions — with NATO warning Russia over repeated airspace violations — continue to fuel safe-haven flows. However, Fed Chair Powell’s cautious comments about balancing labour market weakness with inflation risks may limit the upside momentum in the short term. Despite this, the medium-term structure still favours the bulls. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance (R): 3777 / 3785 / 3790 Support (S): 3723 / 3714 📝 Trade Summary Gold remains supported by rate cut expectations and safe-haven demand. A buy setup near 3723 with stops below 3712 and target at 3785 offers a favourable risk/reward profile. Sustained momentum above 3785 could open the path towards the 3800 psychological level. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
World gold prices are experiencing profit-taking. After soaring to nearly $3,800 an ounce, world gold prices are facing profit-taking. Rising US new home sales have put pressure on the precious metal. According to a report released on Wednesday by the US Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development, new home sales increased 20.5% last month to an annualized rate of 800,000 units, compared to an adjusted rate of 664,000 units in July. New home sales increased 15.4% year-on-year and are now at their highest level since February 2022. Despite the decline, world gold prices still receive positive forecasts from experts. Bart Melek - Managing Director, Head of Global Commodity Strategy at TD Securities predicts that gold prices could reach $4,000/ounce in the short term as central banks, especially China and many emerging markets, will buy millions of ounces more to increase their reserve ratios. The main reason is that the US Federal Reserve (FED) continues to loosen monetary policy as it enters 2026. There is a high possibility of another interest rate cut this year, or even two, although the FED Chairman did not confirm it clearly in his speech on Tuesday," Melek said in an interview on Tuesday.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold’s Decade Shines Less Brightly for Stocks: The New Rational Gold’s Decade Shines Less Brightly for Stocks: The New Rationale for the King Metal For over a decade, the narrative surrounding gold was one of stark contrast to the equity markets. As stock indices, powered by tech innovation and ultra-low interest rates, embarked on a historic bull run, gold was often relegated to the sidelines—a relic for the fearful, an underperforming asset in a world chasing yield. The 2010s were, without question, the decade of the stock market. Gold’s shine, by comparison, seemed dull. But a perceptible shift is underway. The latest rally in gold, which has seen it scale unprecedented nominal heights, is not the frantic, fear-driven surge of past crises. Instead, it appears to be driven by a more sober, strategic, and perhaps more durable force: the rational calculations of central banks and a fundamental rewiring of the global financial architecture. This new rationale suggests that gold’s resurgence may not spell immediate doom for stocks, as traditional wisdom would hold, but rather reflects a new, more complex macroeconomic reality where the two can coexist, albeit with gold casting a long, less brilliant shadow over the equity landscape. The Ghost of Gold Rallies Past: A Tale of Fear and Froth To understand the significance of the current rally, one must first revisit the drivers of previous gold booms. Historically, gold’s major upward moves were tightly correlated with periods of acute stress and negative real interest rates. The post-2008 financial crisis surge, which took gold from around $800 an ounce in 2008 to over $1,900 in 2011, was a classic "fear trade." The world was confronting a systemic banking collapse, unprecedented monetary experimentation in the form of Quantitative Easing (QE), and rampant fears of runaway inflation and currency debasement. Gold was the safe haven, the hedge against a collapsing system. Similarly, the spike in mid-2020, at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, was a panic-driven flight to safety as global economies screeched to a halt. These rallies shared common characteristics: they were often sharp, volatile, and ultimately prone to significant retracements. When the immediate crisis abated—when inflation failed to materialize post-2008, or when fiscal and monetary stimulus ignited a V-shaped stock market recovery in 2020—the rationale for holding a non-yielding asset weakened. Money flowed back into risk assets like stocks. Gold’s role was binary: it was the asset for when things were falling apart. In a functioning, risk-on market, it had little place. This created the perception of an inverse relationship. A strong gold price was a signal of market distress, and thus, bad for stocks. But this decade is different. The New Architects: Central Banks and Strategic Repatriation The most profound change in the gold market has been the transformation of its largest and most influential buyers: central banks. For years, the narrative was that developed Western central banks, holders of the world’s primary reserve currencies, were gradually diversifying away from gold. The modern financial system, built on the U.S. dollar, Treasury bonds, and other interest-bearing instruments, was deemed superior. That assumption has been decisively overturned. Since around 2010, but accelerating dramatically in recent years, central banks—particularly those in emerging economies—have become net purchasers of gold on a massive and sustained scale. The World Gold Council reports that central banks have been adding to their reserves for over a decade, with annual purchases hitting multi-decade records. This buying is not driven by panic. It is a calculated, long-term strategic move rooted in three key rationales: 1. De-dollarization and Geopolitical Hedging: The weaponization of the U.S. dollar through sanctions, particularly against Russia following its invasion of Ukraine, served as a wake-up call for nations not squarely in the U.S. geopolitical orbit. Holding vast reserves in U.S. Treasury bonds suddenly carried a new risk: they could be frozen or seized. Gold, by contrast, is a sovereign asset. It can be held within a nation’s own vaults, is nobody’s liability, and is beyond the reach of any other country’s financial system. For China, Russia, India, Turkey, and many nations in the Global South, accumulating gold is a strategic imperative to reduce dependency on the dollar and insulate their economies from geopolitical friction. 2. Diversification Against Fiscal Profligacy: Even for allies of the U.S., the sheer scale of U.S. government debt is a growing concern. With debt-to-GDP ratios at record levels in many developed nations and little political will to address them, the long-term value of fiat currencies is being questioned. Central banks are increasingly viewing gold as a perennial hedge against the fiscal and monetary policies of their allies—a form of insurance against the potential devaluation of the very government bonds that form the backbone of their reserves. 3. A Return to a Multi-Polar Financial World: The post-Bretton Woods era has been dominated by the U.S. dollar. There are increasing signs that the world is shifting towards a multi-polar system, with the euro, Chinese yuan, and possibly other currencies playing larger roles. In such a transitional period, gold’s historical role as a neutral, trusted store of value becomes immensely attractive. It is the one asset that is not tied to the economic fortunes or policies of a single nation. This central bank demand provides a powerful, structural floor under the gold price. It is consistent, price-insensitive buying (they are not chasing momentum but executing a strategy) that is largely divorced from the short-term sentiment swings of the stock market. This is the "more rational calculation" that makes the current rally fundamentally different and potentially longer-lasting. The Interest Rate Conundrum: Gold’s Old Nemesis Loses Its Bite For years, the primary argument against gold was simple: it offers no yield. In a world of rising interest rates, where investors can earn a attractive, risk-free return on cash or government bonds, the opportunity cost of holding gold becomes prohibitive. The theory held that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive hiking cycle from 2022 onward would crush the gold price. It didn’t. Gold not only weathered the storm but continued its ascent. This paradox reveals another layer of the new rationale. While nominal rates rose, real interest rates (nominal rates minus inflation) have been more ambiguous. Periods of high inflation meant that even with higher rates, the real return on cash and bonds was often negative or minimal. In such an environment, gold, as a traditional inflation hedge, retains its appeal. More importantly, the market’s focus has shifted from the level of rates to their trajectory. There is a growing belief that the era of structurally higher interest rates is unsustainable, given the colossal levels of global debt. Servicing this debt becomes exponentially more difficult as rates rise. Therefore, many market participants are betting that the current rate cycle represents a peak, and that central banks will be forced to cut rates sooner rather than later, regardless of the inflation fight. Gold performs well in a environment of falling rates, and this anticipation is being priced in now. Furthermore, high rates have begun to expose fragilities in the system, from regional banking crises in the U.S. to debt distress in emerging markets. In this sense, high rates haven't killed gold’s appeal; they have reinforced its role as a hedge against the consequences of high rates—namely, financial instability. A Less Bright Shine for Stocks: Coexistence in a New Reality So, what does this new, rationally-driven gold bull market mean for stocks? The relationship is no longer a simple inverse correlation. It is more nuanced, suggesting a future of coexistence rather than direct competition, but one where gold’s strength signals underlying headwinds that will dim the stellar returns equities enjoyed in the previous decade. 1. The End of the "Free Money" Era: The 2010s were built on a foundation of zero interest rates and quantitative easing. This environment was nirvana for growth stocks, particularly in the tech sector, as future earnings were discounted at very low rates, justifying sky-high valuations. The new macroeconomic order—one of higher structural inflation, larger government debt, and geopolitical fragmentation—is inherently less favorable to such valuation models. Gold’s strength is a symptom of this new order. It doesn’t mean stocks will collapse, but it does suggest that the era of effortless, broad-based double-digit annual returns is likely over. Returns will be harder won, more selective, and more volatile. 2. A Hedge Within a Portfolio, Not a Replacement: Investors are now likely to view gold not as a binary alternative to stocks, but as a critical component of a diversified portfolio. In a world of heightened geopolitical risk and uncertain monetary policy, holding a portion in gold provides stability. This means fund flows are not a simple zero-sum game between the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Institutions and individuals may increase allocations to both, using gold to mitigate the specific risks that now loom over the equity landscape. 3. Sectoral Winners and Losers: A strong gold price is a direct positive for gold mining stocks, a sector that has been largely neglected for years. This could lead to a resurgence in this niche part of the market. Conversely, the factors driving gold—higher inflation and rates—are headwinds for long-duration assets like high-flying tech stocks. The outperformance may shift towards value-oriented sectors, commodities, and industries with strong pricing power and tangible assets. The stock market’s shine may dim overall, but it will create bright spots in new areas. 4. The Signal of Sustained Uncertainty: Ultimately, a gold market driven by central bank de-dollarization and fiscal concerns is a barometer of persistent, low-grade global uncertainty. This is not the acute panic of 2008, but a chronic condition of fragmentation and distrust. Such an environment is not conducive to the explosive, confidence-driven growth that stock markets thrive on. It favors caution, resilience, and tangible value over speculative growth. Gold’s steady ascent is the clearest signal of this psychological shift. Conclusion: A Duller but More Enduring Glow The gold rally of the 2020s is not a siren call of an imminent market crash. It is the quiet, determined accumulation of a strategic asset by the world’s most powerful financial institutions. It is a vote of no confidence in the unfettered dominance of the current financial order and a bet on a more fragmented, uncertain future. For stock market investors, this does not necessarily portend a bear market. Instead, it heralds a more challenging environment where the tailwinds of globalization and cheap money have reversed. The dazzling shine of the stock market’s previous decade is likely to be replaced by a duller, more realistic glow. Returns will be more modest, risks more pronounced, and the need for prudent diversification more critical than ever. In this new era, gold and stocks will learn to coexist. The king of metals is no longer just a refuge for the fearful; it has become a strategic holding for the rational. Its decade may not shine with the same speculative brilliance as the stock market’s last bull run, but its light may well prove to be more enduring, illuminating a path through a landscape of greater complexity and risk. The lesson for investors is clear: the old rules are changing, and in this new game, gold holds a very strong hand.
SP:SPXLong
by bryandowningqln
XAUUSD GOLD OUTLOOK CHART ANALYSIS Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook Gold has been trading within an ascending channel, but recent price action suggests weakening bullish momentum near the resistance level around $3,680 – $3,700. 🔎 Key Insights: • Price rejected resistance and is showing signs of bearish momentum. • A breakdown below the channel could open the way to the first support near $3,600. • If selling pressure continues, the next downside target is $3,500. 📊 Trading Plan: • Bearish Bias below $3,680. • Watch for confirmation on the break of $3,600. • Short-term traders may look for selling opportunities toward $3,500. • A sustained move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. ⚠️ Risk management is key – always use stop losses and adjust position sizes according to your risk tolerance
TVC:GOLD
by BullBear_Expert
2
Go long on pullbacks; avoid chasing highsToday, as long as it breaks through 3780, I will stop going long and continue to monitor the market 📊. If it climbs to around 3800, we can attempt short positions and set the SL properly ⚠️ I reminded everyone multiple times yesterday to exit long positions at 3790 to avoid pullbacks 📉, and our stance remains unchanged today: we still favor looking for long opportunities during pullbacks 🐂—under no circumstances should we chase long positions at high levels ⚠️ Buy 3750 - 3755 TP 3760 - 3770 -3780 Sell 3798 - 3800 TP 3780 - 3770 - 3760 SL 3802 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Knight-1985
If the price remains below 3780, continue short selling.The daily chart closed with a long upper shadow, indicating a clear technical need for a correction. The Asian session fell as expected in the morning, repeatedly testing 3750. Those who followed the short selling could basically get nearly 150pips profit. Although a bullish structure appears in the hourly chart, the trend pressure above 3780 is still there in the short term. If gold fails to effectively break the trend pressure, it will fall back in the short term. The first support below can be seen at 3750. Once it falls below, gold will test the support of 3735. Currently, gold has rebounded again. As long as it fails to effectively break through and stabilize above 3780, we can still consider shorting gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allen_Boswell
Gold: still go long on pullbacksGold hit a high near 3790 yesterday, then retraced in the early morning. When prices rise a lot, everyone fears the high, but that’s no reason to short. Even with the pullback, yesterday’s big gains aren’t wiped out，so this isn’t weakness, but still strength. A rally followed by a pullback just means upward momentum slowed, not a top. So you can wait if you fear the high: don’t chase longs or go long, but never go against the trend to short at the top. In trends, remember: follow the trend, follow the trend, follow the trend. Today, gold tested 3750 in the morning then rebounded. Short-term momentum is still strong—no sustained pullback, and the market isn’t weak. Don’t short blindly; the bias is still long. Hold 3730, and gold will rally again. Even if 3730 breaks and it pulls back to 3700, it’s still a long chance. Buy 3750 - 3760 TP 3770 - 3780 - 3790 SL 3745 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan
Key Battlefield: Bulls vs Bears at 3700–3800Gold fluctuated in the 3780-3750 range during the day. Although gold is still in a bullish structure overall, the short-term direction is actually not very clear due to signs of gradually weakening bullish momentum. However, from the perspective of morphological structure, gold shows signs of forming an ascending triangle in the short term. Once the ascending triangle is successfully formed, gold will still have the potential to rise and touch 3800, or even continue to rise to the 3820-3830 area with the support of this structure. After all, gold is only slightly weak, but there is no clear signal of reaching the top at present. The premise for maintaining the ascending triangle structure is that gold cannot fall below the 3755 area; so if gold cannot effectively fall below the 3755 area next, it is expected that gold will rebound again. However, it should be noted that once gold falls below the area near 3755, the ascending triangle structure will not hold; it also proves that the current retracement space is insufficient and gold still needs to continue to retrace, then gold may continue the retracement trend to the 3740-3730 area. Therefore, in the current short-term trading, before gold falls below the 3755 area, we can still try to go long on gold in the 3765-3755 area; once gold falls below the area near 3755, we need to consider changing direction from long to short!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Hack Gold. Win Fast. Inside XAUUSD trading secrets. ⚡ If you just chose Gold to trade, listen up. This market doesn’t forgive. It’s fast, brutal, violent, yet equally rewarding. But if you don’t know what you are doing, it will chew you up and spit you out before you even finish your first coffee. Here are 5 Hacks to help you every single day instead of the same Mistakes that keep new traders in losses, frustrated, and blaming “manipulation” instead of fixing their own game: 🔔1. Trading Blind With Zero Knowledge Everyone wants quick cash, and most traders do not want to study. If you don’t know about liquidity, order blocks, or imbalances, you are just guessing. And Gold punishes guesses. Copying random signals online won’t save you. You need a system, discipline, and screen time. Period. 🔥HACK 1: Learn the game before you risk the money. Demo, daily chart study & repeat hundreds of times. If you treat this like a casino, you will always leave broke. ✨2. Pretending Risk Management Is Optional This one kills more accounts than anything else. No stop loss, no take profit, just “I’ll close it when it comes back.” And then the market doesn’t come back. Sometimes ever. Gold can drop 300 pips in minutes, and if you are sitting unprotected, you will blow up faster than you can blink. 🔥HACK 2: Risk max 0.3 per trade. Place your SL. Place your TP or watch profits like a hawk. And if you don’t know where to place them, you are not ready to trade real money. Find real premium help, not fake flashy plastic scams. 💥3. Loading the Gun With Too Many Trades Gold moves fast. One wrong click, and if you are stacked with five positions, you are done. I have seen traders open buys, sells, hedges, all at once, thinking they are “diversified.” No. You are just multiplying risk. A 1% move against you and XAUUSD can wipe your entire account if you are over-leveraged. 🔥 HACK 3: Stick to one clean setup, manage the size, and stop spraying bullets like you are in an arcade game. 🔴4. FOMO Buying Tops (and Selling Bottoms) Gold hits a new high. Like yesterday. Traders scream “To the moon!” You panic and click Buy. Two minutes later, your drawdown hits rock bottom. Happens all the time. FOMO is the fastest way to donate your money to smarter traders. 🔥HACK 4: Plan your trades before the price gets there. If you were not ready before the move, you missed it. Accept it. The market is not closing tomorrow or ever. 😡5. Revenge Trading Like a Maniac You take a loss. Then your brain screams: “I’ll get it back!” So you double the next position. Then triple. Guess what? XAUUSD is so volatile that it will run over your feelings and leave you in depression. You are not getting your money back, just gaining more anxiety and daily stress. 🔥HACK 5: Close the platform. Step away. One good trade tomorrow is worth more than five revenge trades today. 🖊️Homework: Memorize your hacks, stick them on a post-it by your screen, in your wallet, and read them as many times as needed; learn them like a mantra. Daily. If this article helped you today and brought you more clarity: Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more trading ideas and trading psychology. Thank you.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
2
XAUUSD – 2H Analysis OBGold is currently trading around 3764, showing a very strong bullish momentum. The move has been so sharp that price didn’t even retest minor pullback zones. Let’s map out the scenarios: 🔹 Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback (most likely) First key support sits at 3700 – 3680 (2H OB). A quick reaction here could push price towards 3780 – 3800 and later 3820. 🔹 Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback If selling pressure increases, watch 3640 – 3620 (POC) as the next strong demand. A bounce from here can target the same upside levels 3760 – 3800. 🔹 Scenario 3 – Liquidity Grab Lower If even POC fails, deeper supports are: 3560 – 3540 (Developing Daily POC) and 3500 – 3480 (Golden Daily), a major liquidity pool. ✅ Note: With such strong bullish momentum, gold may not require a deep correction. Instead, even a shallow pullback could be enough for continuation. Waiting for confirmations on lower TFs (3m–5m) around these zones will provide safer entries. 📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold setups 📚 Multi-scenario & low-risk entries
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProfitaminFX
1
XAU/USD 24 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. This is continuing. As per my analysis of yesterday, dated 22 September 2025, whereby I mentioned price could potentially continue to print higher-highs. This is how price printed, showing little to no signs of pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a horizontal blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation, price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,791,255. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Chart: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per analysis and intraday expectation of yesterday's analysis, price has printed a bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation Price is currently trading within an internal low and internal high. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,791.255. Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially continue to print higher. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
FED Chairman satisfied with current FED policy directionThe Fed Chairman is satisfied with the current policy direction of the Fed, while leaving open the possibility of further interest rate cuts if the FOMC deems it necessary to support the economy. Mr. Powell assessed that the worsening employment situation has changed the balance of risks in achieving the Fed's goals. On the other hand, the current policy stance is still tightening, giving the Fed enough room to respond to potential economic developments. Despite the slowing growth, gold prices are still receiving support from many factors. Commerzbank said in a note that strong buying from ETF investors - fueled by expectations of interest rate cuts, concerns about the independence of the Fed and geopolitical developments - could also boost gold prices. World gold prices received support as the People's Bank of China continued to buy gold regularly, despite the sharp increase in prices. According to the assessment of Société Générale Bank (France), China will still be the "dominant player" in the gold market for many years to come, despite high prices that may further limit purchasing power.v
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD is consolidating around $3,760, holding within a tight range after retreating from record highs near $3,791. The support zone sits at $3,752–3,754, while the resistance zone remains capped at $3,784–3,786. The structure suggests a possible bullish continuation if buyers defend support, targeting a retest of the highs. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,752 – $3,754 (buy near support) Stop Loss: $3,749 (below support zone) Take Profit: $3,784 / $3,786 (resistance retest) Risk/Reward: ~1 : 6.6 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $3,784 – $3,786 Support Zone: $3,752 – $3,754 Major Resistance Above: $3,791 (all-time high) 🌐 Macro Background The Federal Reserve’s recent 25 bps rate cut and expectations for two more cuts (October and December) continue to underpin gold. Fed Chair Powell acknowledged challenges with inflation and labour market weakness, but emphasized flexibility on further easing. This supports gold as lower rates reduce opportunity cost of holding bullion. Additionally, geopolitical tensions between NATO and Russia, particularly airspace violations and military escalation, further fuel safe-haven demand. However, traders are also eyeing the upcoming US PCE inflation data — a hotter reading could lift the USD and weigh on gold in the near term. 📌 Trade Summary The bias favours long positions near $3,752–3,754, aiming for a move back toward $3,784–3,786. Holding above $3,752 keeps momentum bullish, while a break below would shift focus to $3,740 support. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Gold Sets New Record: Rate Hopes Drive Price HigherHello, traders! Gold surged to a record high of $3,726.19/oz on September 22, fueled by growing investor expectations for a clearer Fed rate-cutting path. Investors are now betting on two more rate cuts this year with very high probability. The growth drivers have shifted from being primarily central bank and Asian demand to include strong buying from Western investors, as shown by increased holdings in gold ETFs. Upcoming speeches from Fed officials and the core PCE inflation data this week will be key in determining the market's next direction. Technical Analysis & Strategy Gold is in a strong uptrend and is continuously setting new highs. While there was a minor correction, the bullish momentum remains intact. Shorting near resistance levels is highly risky. Outlook: Continue to prioritize Buy positions if gold holds above $370x. Resistance: $3785, $3794, $3804 Support: $3774, $3764, $3754 Suggested Trading Strategy: Buy Scalp: Zone $3765 - $3763, SL $3759 Buy Zone: Zone $3754 - $3752, SL $3744 Sell Zone: Zone $3800 - $3802, SL $3810 The market is highly volatile. Do you think gold can hit the $3,800 mark this week? Share your thoughts! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #Inflation #ATH
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC