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Gold's Reversal: Analyzing the Fed's Surprise MoveThe gold market's movements last night were unpredictable and far from simple. After hitting a new historical peak of $3,707.40/oz, gold unexpectedly turned around and fell to $3,681.39/oz, despite the Fed cutting interest rates by 0.25% as expected! So, what exactly happened? Fundamental Analysis: The Fed's Decision and Powell's "Cold Shoulder" Rate Cut as Expected: The Fed cut interest rates by 0.25%, marking the first reduction this year after three cuts in 2024. This move, along with the forecast for two more cuts this year, met market expectations and initially sent gold soaring. USD and Bond Yields Fell: Lower interest rates weaken the USD and reduce bond yields, making gold more attractive. This was the initial reason for gold's new peak. Powell's "Hawkish" U-Turn: Everything changed when Fed Chair Jerome Powell spoke. He made surprisingly "hawkish" comments, suggesting the Fed doesn't need to rush its rate cuts and that today's action was just a "risk management" move. The Aftermath: This statement poured cold water on expectations for a more aggressive rate-cutting path. Powell was clever—he both met market expectations and appeased political pressure (especially from the Trump administration), but he also kept investors in a state of caution and uncertainty. As a result, bond yields and the USD bounced back, putting selling pressure on gold. Outlook: This shock might be temporary. Fundamentally, the Fed's start to a loosening cycle is still a positive long-term signal for gold. Gold may be impacted in the short term, but the bullish trend remains intact. Technical Analysis: Volatility and Key Levels Gold showed unpredictable swings after the news. After a quick drop to the $363x area, it bounced back very quickly. This shows that buying power at strong support levels is still robust. Key Support: $3624, $3612, $3600, $3584, $3569 Resistance: $3667, $3675, $3686, $3700 Today's Key Level: The $364x range. If gold holds above this level by the end of the European session, we will favor long positions for the US session. Trading Setups (Strict Risk Management is Advised): Buy Scalp Zone: $3639 - $3637 SL: $3633 TP: $3642 - $3647 - $3652 - $3657 - $3667 Buy Zone Zone: $3606 - $3604 SL: $3596 TP: $3614 - $3624 - $3634 - $3644 - $3664 Sell Scalp Zone: $3674 - $3676 SL: $3680 TP: $3671 - $3665 - $3660 - $3655 - $3645 Sell Zone Zone: $3686 - $3688 SL: $3696 TP: $3678 - $3668 - $3658 - $3648 - $3628 Note: The market is highly volatile. Be cautious with every trade. Will gold continue its rally or correct further? Share your thoughts below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Powell #CMEFedWatch
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD Movement and Trading Strategy todayYesterday, gold prices traded in a pattern of "first fluctuating downward then surging to break through key levels". After completing a correction during the daytime session, prices continued to rise in the evening, broke through the all-time high, and finally stabilized at the critical level of 3707. From the current trend, although prices are in a pullback correction phase, the bullish trend has not undergone a fundamental change. After the short-term correction ends, the upward momentum is still expected to continue. On the daily chart, focus on the support zone around 3630. Buy 3655 - 3660 TP 3670 - 3680 - 3690 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan
My XAUUSD Trading View for TodayToday, my stance is to go long on a pullback—I am bullish on gold but advise against chasing the rally. The key lies in observing whether the 3610 level is broken down; only a breakdown below this level will prompt me to shift my strategy. This is not stubbornness. The end of an uptrend is always confirmed by the breach of a support level, rather than by speculating or predicting the peak. Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan
Gold Price Outlook – Bearish Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure Gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating near $3,657 after a sharp pullback from its recent highs. The chart shows clear resistance around $3,665–$3,667, where repeated rejections have capped upside attempts. Price is now testing below intraday trendline support, signalling bearish momentum building up. A move back into the support zone at $3,650–$3,648 looks likely if sellers maintain control. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,665 – $3,667 (near resistance rejection) Stop Loss: $3,668 (above resistance zone) Take Profit: $3,650 / $3,648 (support zone) Risk/Reward: ~1 : 5.23 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $3,665 – $3,667 Support Zone: $3,650 – $3,648 🌐 Macro Background Gold remains volatile after the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut, which was seen as less dovish than markets expected. Chair Powell struck a cautious tone, noting limited support for deeper cuts, prompting a USD rebound and a pullback in gold from record highs near $3,707. While longer-term dovish expectations (further cuts in October and December) support bullion, short-term positioning suggests further profit-taking is likely. Any stronger US data (like jobless claims) could extend downside pressure. 📌 Trade Summary The setup favours a short entry near $3,665–$3,667, targeting the $3,650–$3,648 support zone. Momentum remains bearish below $3,668 resistance, though broader uptrend expectations remain intact as long as gold holds above $3,643. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
Brief Review Yesterday, gold rallied before pulling back, fluctuating after hitting a new all-time high, as the market turned cautious ahead of the Fed policy decision. For the day, the probability of range-bound consolidation or a technical correction is high; focus on the support level of 3650-3635 and resistance level at 3710,with the short-term overbought pattern needing to be repaired. Key attention should be paid to the interpretation of the Fed's dot plot, Powell's speech and the trend of the U.S. Dollar Index. Powell described the 25% rate cut as a "risk-management cut," aimed at addressing downside risks in the labor market. He emphasized that future policies will be "highly data-dependent" and rate cuts will be gradual and cautious. Employment and inflation data are critical: Weak data will strengthen rate-cut expectations, boosting gold; resurgent inflation will dampen such expectations, weighing on gold. Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan
World gold prices continuously reverseThe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which began on Tuesday morning, will conclude on Wednesday afternoon (US time) with a statement and press conference by US Federal Reserve (FED) Chairman Jerome Powell. The FOMC is expected to cut the key interest rate by 0.25 percentage points - the first since November last year. The new FED forecast may also show a slowdown in US economic growth and a rise in unemployment. At the press conference, Chairman Powell will have to answer many questions not only about the economic outlook and interest rates but also about the independence of the FED. Global stock markets generally rose slightly overnight, while US index futures forecast a mixed opening. In other developments, the Cyberspace Administration of China is said to have asked companies like Alibaba and ByteDance to cancel orders for Nvidia's RTX Pro 6000D chips - a line of chips designed to avoid restrictions on exporting AI technology to China. The move comes as the US and China have just announced progress in trade negotiations in Madrid (Spain).
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Bullish Breakout Trade Setup on XAU/USD – Targeting 3,707 After Chart Components and Analysis 1. Descending Channel The price was previously moving within a clearly defined downtrend channel (marked in red with blue borders). The lower and upper bounds are acting as dynamic support and resistance levels. 2. Breakout Zone The price appears to have broken out of the descending channel to the upside, or is attempting to break out. The breakout suggests a potential reversal or bullish momentum. 📈 Trade Setup Details Element Level Description Entry Point 3,654.27 Suggested level to enter a long position Stop Loss 3,643.58 Risk management level below recent support Target Point 3,707.38 Take profit target at the next resistance zone Current Price 3,662.37 Price at the time of chart capture 📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) Entry: 3,654.27 Stop Loss: 3,643.58 → ~10.69 points risk Target: 3,707.38 → ~53.11 points reward ➡️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio ≈ 1:5, which is excellent. It suggests a well-planned trade with high reward potential relative to the risk. 📉 Price Action Forecast The black zigzag line suggests expected short-term price retracement before moving up. This could be a bullish flag pattern or a retest of the breakout zone before continuation upward. ✅ Bullish Indicators Channel breakout. High RRR. Structured trade setup with clearly defined stop loss and target. ⚠️ Risks & Considerations False breakout: Wait for confirmation (candle close outside the channel). Market volatility: Economic news could affect Gold prices. Retest failure: If price fails to hold above entry zone, trade invalidates. 🧠 Conclusion This is a bullish breakout trade with a strong risk-to-reward profile. The trade logic hinges on the assumption that Gold has ended its correction (downtrend channel) and is now beginning a new upward leg. If the price successfully holds above the breakout level and continues upward, the target around 3,707 is realistic.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
2
XAUUSD Reversal Signs Grow – Bears Eye 3620/3570In yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out that while OANDA:XAUUSD remains technically bullish, the signs of a potential reversal were already piling up. That view played out quickly: after spiking above 3700 on the Fed’s decision — which triggered my sell orders — gold reversed sharply, dropping all the way to a local bottom near 3645. The market then staged a natural rebound after such a violent sell-off, and at the time of writing, price is consolidating around 3655. Interestingly, this was last week’s resistance, now acting as short-term support. Looking ahead, I believe the correction of the nearly 4,000-pip rally in less than a month is far from over. A fresh drop could be next. For the bears, the key levels to watch are: • 3620 – the first checkpoint for potential downside continuation • 3560-3670 – a stronger support zone I’ve highlighted before, aligning with the 38% Fibonacci retracement of the latest rally A move towards these levels would still be a healthy correction within the broader bullish context — not at all an out-of-the-question scenario. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
17
Go long before the data,be wary of a short-selling counterattackYesterday, gold retreated slightly in the Asian session, continuing the strong bull pattern. We originally expected to wait for gold to retreat to the support level of 3675-3665 to go long on gold, but the market always only gives us unattainable points. In the evening, gold rebounded directly to around 3703, which is in line with my previous judgment that gold will touch 3700 after stabilizing above 3665. As gold hit a new high and the Fed was about to cut interest rates, some buyers on the upper side chose to take profits, which gave us another opportunity to retreat to the ideal point. We also successfully seized the opportunity to go long on gold. This morning, gold rebounded again to around 3695, and the long positions we held also made a wave of profits. Judging from the current market conditions, yesterday's daily line closed with a positive sign, and 3703 became the short-term high point. The lower moving averages MA5 and MA10 in the daily chart are around 3665 and 3635 respectively, which is exactly the middle track position of the Bollinger band. Only when it effectively falls below this point, will gold usher in a trend reversal in the short term. 3665 is the key position for the top and bottom conversion, and the market's enthusiasm for a 50 basis point interest rate cut remains unabated. If gold falls back to 3665-3655 again in the European session without breaking, then gold will rebound. Therefore, before the data is released, I choose to go long on gold again and expect a rebound, with the short-term target at 3685-3705. Bros can gradually reduce their positions during the rebound or take profits and exit at appropriate points according to their own account conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
1
With the meeting coming, will gold prices soar or plummet?Technical analysis of gold: Judging from the current trend, gold is approaching the 3700 mark. Bulls are surrounding it but not attacking, waiting for guidance from the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Overall, gold has risen by nearly $400 since it rose from 3311. For now, it is still in a bullish trend. Don't easily say it has reached the top before the trend reverses. From a technical point of view, the intraday support point is reflected in the daily cycle. On the unilateral moving average of the H4 cycle, the lower support is in the 3660-3650 area. You can just focus on these two points and go long. In principle, we don’t guess the top of the upper space, but the visible target is expected to be around 3710-3720. If it continues to rise, it may even reach 3730. After a phased rise during the U.S. trading session, we will see whether we can keep long positions and wait for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision based on actual conditions. The Federal Reserve will definitely cut interest rates this time, but the first rate cut will not be a large-scale release of money. It is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. The market performance is to sell expectations and buy facts. The current rise in gold from the end of August to September has achieved expectations. Therefore, after the actual confirmation of the rate cut, the market is expected to move in the opposite direction because the expectations have been fulfilled, and the historical performance is the same. To sum up the above: for the lower support, first pay attention to the area around 3660, and continue to look up to the 3680-3690 area. If the support is broken strongly, you can participate in long positions in the 3630-3620 area. At present, pay attention to the area around 3685-3695 in the short term and try to short. On the whole, the short-term strategy for gold today is still to arrange long positions on dips, supplemented by light positions in short positions when it rebounds to key resistance levels. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3700-3720 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3660-3650 line of support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Gold Next levelsThis chart analysis for XAUUSD (Gold vs USD, 1H timeframe) shows that price is currently holding above a rising trendline, indicating bullish momentum. The nearest support zone is around 3620, where price has already bounced. If the bullish structure continues, the upside targets are: Target 1: 3657 Target 2: 3673 Target 3 / New High Zone: 3708 As long as price stays above the trendline and 3620 support, the outlook remains bullish with potential continuation towards new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
33
Don’t blindly shortFrom the 4-hour chart analysis, the support level remains solid. Today if prices pull back, stick to this level for bullish trades. As we mentioned earlier, it is advisable not to blindly follow short positions; wait for the Fed to confirm the interest rate cut. Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan
ANFIBO | XAUUSD on 09.17.2025 and is this a major breakthrough?Here's Anfibo. With my yesterday's plan, our sell OANDA:XAUUSD order reached more than 200 pips, the buy order was 30 pips short of matching the entry and missed 150 pips short. But that's okay, I have a new plan today for everyone to follow: 💚 SUPPORT ZONES: 3676 - 3660 ❤️ RESISTANCE ZONES: 3694 - 3700 - 3705 - 3719 - 3745 ✅ BUY SCALP: 3675 - 3677, SL 3674, TP 3694 - 3700 - 3719 ❌ SELL SCALP: 3719 - 3721, SL 3723, TP 3700 - 3675 - 3660 - - - - - - - - - - - - - ✅ SWING BUY: 3550 - 3560, SL 3540, TP 3625 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN ❌ SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN Hope is right lol! xoxo
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
Money, Time and Emotions – The Trio before Balance in Trading Gurus love to tell traders: “You just need to find your balance.” But to be honest, balance doesn’t exist when Gold just ripped through your stop loss for the second time today, and you do a sneak charts check on your phone while pretending to work. For sure, you are not calm or zen. At least in the first 2 years... more like frustrated, scattered, and asking yourself if this whole thing is even worth it. But you’re not broken. Just carrying the wrong kind of weight, and it usually shows up in three ways combined. ⏳ The Time Pressure Trading doesn’t fail because you cannot read the charts when you put a bit of an effort into it. But your life is already so full. Work, family, bills, endless noise, and you’re trying to squeeze trading into the cracks for the sake of a better financial outcome. So you start chasing candles and force trades into the tiny windows you’ve got. Plus stare at the screen longer, hoping focus & hidden entries will magically appear. But Gold does not bend to your schedule. And that mismatch wrecks your decisions. 🔑Shift: Don’t out-stare the chart. Get rid of some stress levels by: Set alerts near the key reaction zones. Create focus slots. Let price knock on your door by doing homework in advance. 💰 The Money Illusion Every trader has tried it: opening a tiny 200 USD account and hoping it’ll explode into freedom. But pressure makes that account heavier than it really is. Instead of freedom, you get fear. So your clarity goes away. And suddenly every single candle feels like it’s deciding your future. So in the end, that little account gets blown several times. 🔑Shift: Lower the stakes. Trade smaller than you think you should. ALWAYS. Track everything, especially your state of mind, keep a journal, and do not be ashamed to put down some thoughts. The game isn’t about miracles, but making repetition boringly consistent like gym reps. 🐺 The Lone Wolf Spiral The hardest part isn’t the losses but the silence that surrounds when you choose trading. When you do it alone, every mistake feels like proof that you are bad at this in the beginning. Every win feels like dumb luck, or it blinds you further more. There’s no feedback loop, no outside voice to ground you. And that silence eats at you until you are second-guessing everything you do. 🔑Shift: Find real traders to connect with. Not 15 channels and 10 Discords, they will eat your time alive. Not fake hype. Actual humans who talk about process, not just profits. The right community cuts through the spiral faster than any indicator ever will. One group that gives you a direction and you can learn from, or gives you the secrets to the ropes ‘til you catch them. 🧭 And The Good News Is... Stress doesn’t mean you’re doomed. It just means the game is heavy in the wrong places: your time, your money, your isolation. And all three are fixable in time with patience and the right support. Balance isn’t about meditating after a loss, even though that can be good too:) Start building a structure in your daily trading schedule bit by bit. And by putting systems around your weak spots. About letting caring trading mentors who guide you well, in your life, instead of doing all of the thinking by yourself. If this article helped you today and brought you more clarity: Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more trading ideas and trading psychology. Thank you.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
4