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Gold Testing Resistance, Compression Structure Set to Break📊 Market Structure On the H1 chart, gold is forming a compression structure between the Support 3,944 USD and Resistance 3,989 USD zones. The recent lows create a series of Higher Lows along the rising trendline – indicating buyers are quietly absorbing supply around the lower region. However, the 3,989 USD zone remains the central resistance axis , converging with the descending trendline formed from the previous peak (4,028 USD). Each time the price hits this zone, a short-term profit-taking reaction occurs, showing strong defense from sellers. Below the support zone, the Premium Zone 3,944 USD continues to be the main pivot point – where the price has previously surged strongly in the last two sessions. If this zone is breached, the short-term bullish structure will be invalidated, opening up the possibility of returning to the Liquidity Zone around 3,921 – 3,892 USD . Conversely, if the price closes above 3,989 USD , the market will confirm a Bullish Break of Structure (BoS), triggering an extended target towards 4,028 – 4,052 USD . 💎 Key Technical Zones • Resistance Zone 1: 3,989 USD → main resistance, strong reaction zone. • Resistance Zone 2: 4,028 – 4,052 USD → upper liquidity target zone. • Support Zone: 3,944 USD → dynamic support, converging with the rising trendline. • Liquidity Zone: 3,921 – 3,892 USD → the last zone protecting the bullish structure. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Await Confirmed Breakout: If the price closes above 3,989 USD and successfully retests: • Entry: 3,985 – 3,995 • SL: 3,965 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 4,028 • TP3: 4,052 2️⃣ SELL Scenario – React at Resistance: If a reversal candlestick pattern appears at 3,989 USD: • Entry: 3,985 – 3,990 • SL: 4,000 • TP1: 3,965 • TP2: 3,950 • TP3: 3,944 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is in a “compression before breakout” phase, with liquidity concentrated around the 3,989 USD zone. If this zone is broken, the price could quickly surge to the supply area above 4,028 – 4,052 USD. If it fails, a price rejection here could pull gold back to the rising trendline at 3,950 USD. “Compression breeds expansion — let price show which side holds conviction.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 06/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues to face resistance below the $3,995–$3,993 Resistance Zone, with repeated rejections suggesting weakening bullish momentum. Price action has formed lower highs near $3,990, signalling potential exhaustion. The Support Zone sits around $3,929–$3,938, which previously acted as a springboard for short-term rebounds. The current structure favours a bearish correction, particularly if price fails to reclaim $3,995 on a sustained basis. A clean break below $3,950 would confirm bearish continuation toward the $3,930 area. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Sell near resistance, target a drop toward support. Entry: $3,985 – $3,993 (Resistance Zone retest) Stop Loss: $3,996 Take Profit 1: $3,950 Take Profit 2: $3,930 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 5.2 A break above $3,996 would invalidate the short setup and could open the door to retest $4,030. 🌐 Macro Background Gold prices slipped to around $3,970 in Thursday’s Asian session, weighed down by stronger-than-expected US private payroll data and a resilient US Dollar. As FXStreet’s Lallalit Srijandorn noted, “Gold edges lower below $4,000 as private payrolls rebound in October.” 【FXStreet】 ADP Employment Data: US companies added 42,000 jobs in October, rebounding from the previous month’s contraction, suggesting stabilization in the labor market. This data supports the Fed’s cautious tone and trims expectations for near-term rate cuts. Fed Commentary: Several Fed officials, including Michael Barr, John Williams, and Christopher Waller, are scheduled to speak later today. Any hawkish remarks reinforcing the “higher for longer” narrative could further strengthen the USD and pressure gold. Government Shutdown: The US government shutdown, now at 37 days, marks the longest in history. Political gridlock could lend some safe-haven support to gold, but so far, the impact has been muted compared to stronger USD dynamics. In short, with the US labour market improving and Fed officials maintaining caution, gold’s upside remains limited, while macro bias supports near-term weakness. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,985 – $3,996 Support: $3,929 – $3,938 Psychological Level: $4,000 📌 Trade Summary Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure below $4,000 as bullish momentum fades. The setup favours a short position from the $3,985–$3,993 zone, targeting a decline toward $3,930. A sustained break above $3,996 would invalidate this bias and shift focus to $4,030 resistance. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
ElDoradoFx – XAUUSD (GOLD) (06/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)1️⃣ Market Overview Gold begins the Asia session around $3,979, showing mild weakness after repeated rejections from the $3,985–$3,990 supply zone. The metal remains trapped within a descending channel formed from the $4,046 swing high, but buyers are still defending the ascending trendline from $3,928. This setup suggests the market is coiling ahead of a potential breakout, likely during the Asia–London overlap. ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1) Gold maintains a neutral stance, holding above the 100 EMA ($3,870) but still below the 10 EMA ($3,995). RSI sits near 49, showing equilibrium between buyers and sellers. A daily close above $3,990 could reignite bullish pressure toward $4,015–$4,046, while a drop under $3,955 would open downside continuation toward $3,930–$3,915. 🔹 1H Chart The 1H structure remains bearish-to-neutral, with lower highs under the descending trendline. MACD momentum is flattening, while RSI near 46 signals loss of bullish drive. Intraday support aligns at $3,973–$3,960, with resistance between $3,985–$3,990. 🔹 15M–5M The short-term structure shows a minor BOS (Break of Structure) below trendline support. Repeated wicks around $3,978–$3,975 indicate growing selling pressure. MACD turning red and RSI rolling over from 55 confirm the fading momentum before Asia volatility pickup. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis (Last swing: 3,928 → 3,990) • 38.2% = 3,966 • 50.0% = 3,959 • 61.8% = 3,952 🎯 Golden Zone: 3,966 – 3,952 This is a potential intraday demand zone for countertrend bounces if confirmed with volume. ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📈 BUY SCENARIO (Countertrend Rebound) • Entry Zone: 3,966 – 3,952 (Fibonacci Golden Zone) • Targets: 3,975 → 3,985 → 3,990 → 4,010 • Stop Loss: Below 3,947 • Confirmation: Bullish CHoCH or engulfing pattern on 5M–15M within zone. 📉 SELL SCENARIO (Main Bias) • Entry Zone: 3,985 – 3,990 (Supply + trendline resistance) • Targets: 3,975 → 3,960 → 3,940 • Stop Loss: Above 4,000 • Confirmation: Rejection candle or RSI divergence >65. 💥 Breakout SELL Setup • Trigger: Break & close below 3,970 • Retest Zone: 3,973–3,975 • Targets: 3,955 → 3,940 → 3,915 • Stop Loss: Above 3,985 ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch • Asian session: Low liquidity, but early positioning ahead of US Jobless Claims may start to build. • DXY holding above 106 maintains short-term downside pressure on gold. • Fed members’ comments later today could inject volatility into metals. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels • Resistance: 3,985 / 3,990 / 4,010 / 4,026 • Support: 3,973 / 3,960 / 3,952 / 3,940 • Golden Zone: 3,966 – 3,952 • Break Sell Trigger: < 3,970 • Break Buy Trigger: > 4,000 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold is consolidating inside a tight compression wedge, with bears defending the 3,985–3,990 area. As long as 3,970 holds, price remains in equilibrium. However, a confirmed breakdown below 3,970 could accelerate bearish continuation toward 3,955–3,940. Conversely, only a clean break above 4,000 would confirm short-term bullish reversal. ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary 📉 Primary Bias: Bearish below 3,985 → targeting 3,960 – 3,940. 📈 Alternative Bias: Bullish breakout above 4,000 → targeting 4,015 – 4,046. ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 05/11/2025 🥇 📊 Flawless precision | GOLD & BTC domination. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🪙 XAU/USD (GOLD) 🔻 SELL +40 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +60 PIPS 🔻 SELL +60 PIPS 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 🟢 BUY +260 PIPS 🔻 SELL +80 PIPS 🟢 BUY +110 PIPS 💰 GOLD TOTAL: +670 PIPS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📱 BTC/USD TRADES 🚀 SELL +900 PIPS 💸 BTC TOTAL: +900 PIPS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 COMBINED DAILY PROFIT: +1,570 PIPS ✅ 9 Trades → 9 Wins | 0 SL | 0 BE 🎯 Accuracy: 100% ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 Both GOLD and BTC delivered textbook setups today — high accuracy, clear structure, and strong risk control. 👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by ELDORADOFX
XAU/USD – Gold Forms New Liquidity Low, Buyers Return🔍 Market Context Gold has completed a significant liquidity sweep around the 3,929 – 3,921 USD zone, clearing out the stop-losses of weak buyers before bouncing back strongly. The bullish candle reaction at this zone indicates strong absorption from large capital flows, opening the possibility of forming a technical recovery wave towards the supply zone (OB – FVG) above. In the short term, the market structure temporarily shifts to a bullish bias , as long as the price holds above this Liquidity Zone. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Liquidity Sweep Zone: 3,929 – 3,921 USD → newly swept liquidity low, acting as main support. • FVG 1: 3,951 – 3,959 USD → first target of the recovery wave. • FVG 2: 3,977 – 3,985 USD → unfilled price balance zone. • Order Block: 3,995 – 4,022 USD → strong supply resistance, expected reaction upon retest. • Resistance Zone: 4,025 – 4,045 USD → watch for candle reactions to confirm upward momentum or reversal. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Liquidity Sweep Retest • Entry: 3,932 – 3,922 USD (pullback to sweep zone) • Stop Loss: below 3,912 USD • Take Profit:  TP1: 3,965  TP2: 3,975  TP3: 3,987  TP4: 3,995  TP5: 4,022 ➡️ “Buy the discount” strategy by Smart Money: buy after liquidity sweep to catch the technical rebound. 2️⃣ SELL Reaction – OB 4,022 USD If the price approaches the OB 3,995 – 4,022 USD zone and shows reversal signals (strong rejection, bearish engulfing candle), → consider opening a short-term sell (counter-trend scalp) • Entry: 4,015 – 4,020 • SL: 4,030 • TP: 3,990 → 3,970 → 3,940 ⚙️ Market Structure • Temporary uptrend line remains intact. • Liquidity has been swept at the old low → confirming bullish ChoCH . • Confluence structure of FVG + OB + trendline creates favorable conditions for recovery momentum. 📈 Summary Gold has completed the old low liquidity sweep and is in a technical recovery phase. As long as the price stays above 3,921 USD, the short-term trend leans towards bullish retracement . Observe price reactions at the FVG 3,975 – 3,995 USD zone to determine buyer strength. 🔥 “Liquidity fuels direction — once the weak hands are out, the real move begins.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 05/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
technical analysis of your XAU/USD (Gold) chartTimeframe: 15-Minute Chart Current Price: $3,977 🔍 Chart Overview The chart shows a downward channel (yellow lines) that Gold has recently broken to the upside, indicating potential bullish momentum. There’s a support zone around $3,955 – $3,965, labeled as “SUPPORT LEVEL”. A short-term corrective move is expected before the next upward push. 📊 Key Levels Support Zone: $3,955 – $3,965 Immediate Resistance: $3,985 – $3,990 Major Target (Resistance): $4,031 🧭 Price Projection After testing or retesting the support level, price is expected to bounce upward toward the $4,031 target. The purple projection curve indicates a potential retracement followed by a bullish continuation. 💡 Trading Bias Short-Term: Bullish above $3,960 Invalidation: Break below $3,950 could signal renewed bearish pressure. LME:CA1! LME:MC1! LME:NI1! LME:SC1! LME:LH1! LME:AH1! LME:CO1! LME:CB1! LME:HC1! LME:AA1! LME:EA1! LME:HN1! LME:MD1! Target: $4,031 (upside target based on resistance and breakout structure). ⚠️ Summary Gold shows a reversal from a descending channel, now forming a support base near $3,960. If the price sustains above this zone, buyers may push it toward $4,031 in the short term.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
ElDoradoFx – GOLD PRO ANALYSIS (05/11/2025, US SESSION)1️⃣ Market Overview Gold holds steady around $3,965, consolidating after yesterday’s rebound from $3,932 lows. The US session opens ahead of ADP Employment and ISM Services PMI, which are likely to drive volatility. The current price remains in a mid-term corrective phase after the sharp rally to $4,100, and sentiment leans mildly bullish as long as the $3,950 support remains intact. ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown • Daily (D1): Gold continues its pullback after the rejection from $4,100, forming higher lows above $3,870 (100 EMA). RSI at 48 shows neutral-to-slight bullish momentum; no bearish divergence visible. • H1: Structure is consolidative between $3,950 – $3,975 with resistance at 200 EMA and ascending trendline support beneath. Bulls are defending the trendline successfully so far. • 15M–5M: Short-term compression forming a potential bullish breakout setup. MACD shows a flattening histogram with early signs of momentum reactivation to the upside. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis Last Swing: 3,987 → 3,928 • 38.2% → 3,950 • 50.0% → 3,957 • 61.8% → 3,965 🎯 Golden Zone: 3,950 – 3,965 (active reaction area aligning with trendline & 100 EMA on 15M). ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📈 Buy Scenario (Main Bias) • Entry Zone: 3,950 – 3,965 (within the Golden Zone). • Targets: 3,975 → 3,990 → 4,010 → 4,045 • Stop Loss: Below 3,940 • Confirmation: 15M bullish engulfing, RSI > 60, and MACD crossover to positive. 💥 Breakout Buy Setup • Trigger: Break and close above 3,975 • Retest Zone: 3,970 – 3,972 • Targets: 3,990 → 4,015 → 4,045 → 4,060 • Stop Loss: Below 3,960 ⸻ 📉 Sell Scenario (Countertrend) • Entry Zone: 3,975 – 3,990 (supply zone near 200 EMA). • Targets: 3,955 → 3,940 → 3,925 • Stop Loss: Above 3,995 • Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle or RSI divergence under 55. ⚡ Break & Retest Sell Setup • Trigger: Break below 3,940 • Retest Zone: 3,945 – 3,950 • Targets: 3,925 → 3,905 → 3,880 • Stop Loss: Above 3,960 ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch • US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change – early indicator of Friday’s NFP. • ISM Services PMI – potential volatility driver for DXY and XAUUSD correlation. • Fed commentary and yield direction may influence session bias. ⚠️ High volatility expected during releases – avoid over-leveraging. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels Type Level (USD) Notes Resistance 1 3,975 200 EMA + structure high Resistance 2 3,990 Key supply & fib extension Support 1 3,955 Intraday support Support 2 3,940 Breakout validation point Trendline Support 3,950 Golden Zone confluence Breakout Triggers >3,975 / <3,940 Defines session direction ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold is currently compressing within the Golden Zone ahead of US data. Market bias remains bullish above 3,950, with the possibility of a breakout toward 4,000–4,015 if resistance breaks cleanly. A failure to hold above 3,950 will shift momentum short-term bearish toward 3,925 and below. ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary 📊 BULLISH while above 3,950, targeting 3,990 – 4,015 🔻 BEARISH only if price breaks below 3,940, targeting 3,925 – 3,905 — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀 ⸻
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
GOLD How to Trade the XAUUSD Range Breakout StrategyLet's cut straight to the chase on Gold (XAU/USD). Right now, the chart isn't giving us much to work with. We are locked solid in a textbook range-bound environment. 😒 If you compare this choppy, sideways action to the clear trends we've seen previously, the difference is stark. There is simply no directional conviction in the market at the moment; we're witnessing classic accumulation/distribution—or just plain indecision. My focus is simple: Patience is your edge right now. I'm not interested in getting chopped up inside this consolidation zone. We are waiting for a concise, decisive move—a clean breakout—either above the high or below the low of this current range.. and a retest of the range. ⬆️⬇️ Bullish Scenario: A breakout above, followed by a successful re-test and fail. That's our green light for a long position, signaling momentum has shifted North. 🚀 Bearish Scenario: A breakdown and re-test of the range. That's the cue for a short opportunity, confirming bearish momentum. 📉 The breakout and re-test confirmation will be key. Until then, I'll stand aside and preserve capital. No setup, no trade. 🔥
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Sideway Channel H1 [10.29.2025]Hi traders, Anfibo's here! XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Overall Picture: At present, OANDA:XAUUSD is moving sideways within a well-defined H1 channel, showing signs of short-term consolidation after recent volatility. The market is currently lacking a clear directional bias, as both buyers and sellers are testing the upper and lower bounds of this intraday structure. Such conditions often favor range-trading strategies, where precision and timing become crucial for capturing short bursts of momentum. In this context, our plan today remains straightforward and tactical — trade directly off the trendlines of the channel. In other words, we will look to buy at the lower boundary of the range and sell near the upper boundary, while also being prepared to switch positions if a breakout occurs in either direction. Trading Plan for Today: >>> SELL ZONE: ENTRY: 4060 - 4080 SL: 4090 TP: 4000 - 3955 >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: 3940 - 3950 SL: 3930 TP: 4000 - 4045 - 4070 Risk Management: - Stick to small-to-medium positions within the range; increase size only on confirmed breakouts. - Keep stops tight, as sideways phases tend to trigger false signals. - Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid overtrading in choppy conditions. - Reassess bias once the H1 channel is clearly broken. Conclusion: Gold is currently in a sideways consolidation phase within its H1 channel, awaiting fresh catalysts to determine direction. Until a decisive breakout occurs, the most effective approach is range trading — buying near support, selling near resistance, and reacting dynamically to any confirmed breakout. The plan today is simple yet strategic: “Buy at the trendline, sell at the trendline — and flip when the channel breaks.” Patience and discipline will be key to capitalizing on this quiet yet potentially explosive setup. GOODLUCK GUYS!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
Gold Rebuilds Structure Above $3940, Eyeing $4030 Liquidity Pool 🔍 Market Context Gold is attempting to regain bullish momentum as safe-haven demand remains supported by rising geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around the upcoming US ADP employment data. The market continues to oscillate between risk aversion and rate expectations — with the Fed’s hawkish tone keeping the Dollar capped but steady. At the same time, capital flow rotation from equities into defensive assets is quietly supporting the metal’s structural recovery, with gold holding above key liquidity levels despite intraday volatility. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1–H4) After forming a double-bottom structure near $3,938, XAU/USD has reclaimed the 38.2% retracement zone (3,974–3,975) from its previous bearish leg. This area now acts as a pivot zone, separating short-term bullish continuation from potential retracement. The chart reveals a classic liquidity cycle shift: Phase 1: Sweep of downside liquidity below 3,930, marking an internal structural low. Phase 2: Expansion leg reclaiming short-term FVGs, signaling a potential smart money accumulation phase. Phase 3: Repricing toward upper liquidity targets aligned with Fibonacci extensions. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Liquidity Base: 3,938 – 3,950 (recent demand re-entry area) • 🎯 Rejection Zone 1: 3,974 – 3,999 (previous inefficiency block) • ⚙️ Target Zone: 4,033 – 4,045 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extensions, liquidity pool) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,920 would shift structure back to distribution. 🎯 MMFLOW Scenario If gold sustains above the 3,950 support cluster, buyers are likely to extend the retracement toward 3,999–4,033 where resting liquidity sits. A clean rejection from 4,000 could trigger an intraday pullback — but as long as price holds above the 3,938 OB base, the bullish recovery structure remains intact. The short-term narrative favors controlled accumulation, suggesting that smart money is building positions into liquidity zones before the next impulsive move. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity isn’t random — it’s engineered. Every move leaves a footprint, and gold is tracing its next one above $3,950.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Another Volatile Day for Gold: Is the Next Leg Down Loading?Yesterday was just another volatile session for Gold... After testing the waters above $4,000, price reversed sharply during the New York session, dropping to around $3,930. A brief consolidation followed, and by the time of writing, Gold already rebounded toward $3,970, reclaiming the $3,960 support area. Despite this recovery, the overall structure remains bearish — as long as price fails to stabilize above $4,000, sellers maintain control. 📉 Outlook: I continue to expect another leg down, with $3,915 as my next focus, followed by the recent low around $3,885.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
16
Gold Accumulates on Support, 3,952 USD is the Gateway for a New🔍 Market Context Gold is oscillating within a symmetrical triangle pattern , reflecting price compression and waiting for a breakout signal. Buyers still maintain a short-term bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates increasing selling pressure. The 3,959–3,964 USD zone is currently the “balance point” — if this area is breached, the downtrend could extend to the lower liquidity zone around 3,929–3,921 USD . 💎 Key Technical Zones • Resistance Zone: 4,020 – 4,040 USD → the main resistance area of the triangle, where strong reactions are likely. • Support Zone: 3,959 – 3,964 USD → the support area maintaining the bullish structure. • Liquidity Zone: 3,929 – 3,921 USD → low liquidity area, potential to attract price stop sweeps before reversing. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritize when price holds above support • Entry: 3,959 – 3,964 USD • Stop Loss: 3,940 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,985  – TP2: 4,020  – TP3: 4,040  – TP4: 4,096 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – Buy at the trendline convergence support area when confirmation signals appear (rejection or bullish ChoCH). 2️⃣ SELL Setup – Scenario if support breaks • Entry: 3,950 – 3,955 USD (after candle closes below support zone) • Stop Loss: 3,970 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,935  – TP2: 3,925  – TP3: 3,912 ✳️ “Sell the breakdown” – Sell when support is clearly breached, targeting the lowest liquidity zone (3,921 USD). 💬 Summary Gold is in a phase of accumulation before major volatility . If it holds above the 3,952 USD zone → prioritize BUY following the bullish structure . If it breaks below 3,952 USD → SELL following the breakout towards the Liquidity Zone. The scenario will be clearly confirmed when the current symmetrical triangle is broken. 💡 Today's Tagline: “Liquidity defines direction — follow where the money hides.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 11/04/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) rebounded from the Support Zone ($3,929–$3,938), aligning with the ascending trendline drawn from late October lows. The price is attempting to recover toward the Resistance Zone ($3,985–$3,994) but remains within a broader corrective structure. The bullish momentum looks corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting that unless gold breaks above $3,995 convincingly, sellers may re-emerge near resistance. The rising trendline remains a short-term guide; holding above $3,940 keeps the rebound bias valid. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,929 – $3,938 Stop Loss: $3,925 Take Profit 1: $3,985 Take Profit 2: $3,994 Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.95 🌐 Macro Background Gold is stabilizing near $3,950 after a sharp 1.8% sell-off on Tuesday, following renewed USD strength. As FXStreet’s Dhwani Mehta notes, “Gold is licking its wounds near $3,950... but downside risks remain intact ahead of U.S. data.” 【FXStreet】 USD Dynamics: The Dollar entered a bullish consolidation phase after the risk-off rally, with traders reducing bets on further Fed cuts this year. The CME FedWatch Tool shows less than a 70% chance of a December rate reduction. Market Sentiment: The global tech-led equity sell-off drove risk aversion, causing investors to cover equity losses by selling gold positions. Upcoming Data: Traders now focus on U.S. ADP employment and ISM Services PMI, both of which could reshape expectations for Fed policy. Strong readings could strengthen the USD and weigh on gold; weak figures might lift gold on renewed rate-cut bets. Overall, gold’s short-term recovery remains fragile. A rebound toward $3,985–$3,995 could face resistance unless U.S. data disappoints. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,985 – $3,994 Support: $3,929 – $3,938 Trendline Support: $3,940 Psychological Level: $3,950 📌 Trade Summary Gold (XAU/USD) is showing a corrective bounce after finding support near $3,930. While the setup allows for a short-term long trade toward $3,985–$3,994, traders should remain cautious as the broader sentiment stays bearish. A break below $3,925 would invalidate the rebound and reopen the path toward $3,900. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
ElDoradoFx – GOLD SESSIONS ANALYSIS (05/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold closed the US session bearish at 3,932, extending its downside move under the descending trendline and rejecting from the key supply area at 3,953–3,960. The structure, momentum, and RSI alignment all confirm a continuation bias to the downside — the market remains in a controlled sell-off phase unless bulls reclaim 3,954 with volume. ⸻ 📊 Technical Outlook 🔹 D1: Gold is in the second leg of a corrective pullback after peaking at 4,046. The RSI at 46 and fading MACD histogram show room for continuation toward the 100EMA near 3,870. 🔹 H1: Price has consistently printed lower highs and lower lows. All EMAs (20 < 50 < 200) slope downward. The most recent break below 3,940 confirms renewed seller strength. 🔹 15M–5M: Consolidation inside a tight bearish channel, forming minor liquidity traps above 3,940–3,946 before further declines. Momentum is stable to the downside, with no bullish divergence detected. ⸻ ✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone (Swing 3,953 → 3,932) • 38.2% = 3,940 • 50.0% = 3,943 • 61.8% = 3,946 🎯 Golden Zone: 3,940 – 3,946 (Rejection zone for re-entry shorts) ⸻ 🎯 High Probability Trade Setup (Chosen Bias: SELL) 📉 SELL SCENARIO (High Probability) ✅ Sell Entry Zone: 3,940 – 3,946 (Golden Zone retest) 🎯 Targets: 1️⃣ 3,925 2️⃣ 3,915 3️⃣ 3,900 4️⃣ Extended target 3,880 (swing projection) 🛑 Stop Loss: Above 3,954 ⚡ Confirmation: – Price rejection at 3,946 or bearish engulfing candle – RSI stays below 45 – MACD momentum bars remain red 💡 Rationale: Structure, EMAs, and momentum fully aligned to downside; the 3,940–3,946 area is a low-risk, high-probability retest before the next leg down. ⸻ 📈 BUY SCENARIO (Low Probability) ⚠️ Buy Zone: 3,910 – 3,900 (strong low zone / liquidity pool) 🎯 Targets: 3,932 → 3,940 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3,890 ⚡ Only if: Strong bullish divergence forms with RSI <30 and MACD crossover. ⸻ 📰 Fundamental Watch • Asia: Low volatility expected early session; traders waiting for European cash flow. • DXY: Holding above 106 supports bearish gold momentum. • No major news, but volatility could spike from dollar liquidity flows ahead of midweek positioning. ⸻ 📌 Key Levels Type Levels Notes Resistance 3,940 / 3,946 / 3,954 Golden Zone / Rejection Area Support 3,928 / 3,915 / 3,900 Short-term targets Break Sell Trigger < 3,928 Confirms continuation Break Buy Trigger > 3,954 Invalidates bearish setup ⸻ ✅ Expert Summary (Final Bias) Gold remains in bearish continuation mode, with clean confluence between structure, EMAs, and momentum. 🎯 Expect short opportunities from 3,940–3,946 aiming toward 3,915–3,900. 📉 Bias: Bearish continuation until proven otherwise. ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 04/11/2025 🥇 📊 Live precision | Consistent gains. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💎 GOLD RESULTS 🔻 SELL +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +70 PIPS 🔻 SELL +30 PIPS 🟢 BUY +20 PIPS 🟢 BUY +20 PIPS 🔻 SELL +240 PIPS --- ▶ LIVE TRADING SESSION 🔻 SELL +20 PIPS 🔻 SELL +20 PIPS 🔻 SELL +170 PIPS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +610 PIPS 📊 9 Trades → 9 Wins | 0 SL | 0 BE 🎯 Accuracy: 100% ✅ ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 Clean, disciplined setups both pre-market and live. Another powerful session for our traders! 👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Support and trend line coincide, pullback to buy.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD So far, gold has failed to break out of the converging triangle boundary to choose a clear trading direction, but as time goes on, the price is gradually approaching the end of the triangle, and the battle between bulls and bears may come to a critical decision during the NY session. Looking at the hourly chart, multiple attempts to break through the 4000 resistance level have failed, confirming the pressure above, and gold prices may see further pullback in the short term. The support zone below coincides with the upward trend line, which may be the key area for gold to test during a pullback. Therefore, continue to pay attention to the support level of 3970-3960. If the price retraces to the support level during the NY session and does not break down, you can try to go long on gold with a small position.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
XAU/USD Technical Analysis – Bearish Rejection at ResistanceXAU/USD) is currently trading around the $4,009 level after rebounding from a recent intraday low. The price action shows a clear rising channel structure, with the upper boundary acting as a significant resistance zone near $4,040 – $4,050. The chart highlights a resistance level where price has repeatedly failed to sustain upward momentum, indicating a potential double-top or distribution pattern forming in this area. If price fails to break and hold above the $4,020 – $4,040 resistance zone, bearish momentum may resume, potentially pushing gold toward the $3,950 area initially, followed by a deeper correction to the target level near $3,913. Conversely, a decisive breakout and close above $4,050 could invalidate the bearish outlook, opening the way for further bullish continuation. Key Levels: Resistance Zone: $4,020 – $4,050 Immediate Support: $3,990 Target Level: $3,913 Trend Bias: Short-term bearish under resistance Conclusion: Gold is approaching a critical resistance area, and a rejection could confirm a short-term bearish reversal pattern. Traders should watch for confirmation near $4,020–$4,040 for potential short entries targeting $3,913. CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NYMEX:CL1! CME:BTC1! COMEX:SI1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! CME_MINI:RTY1!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS