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Fed Cuts Could Ignite a Breakout Above $3,700？📊 Technical Structure Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $3,682 after bouncing from the support zone at $3,678 – $3,679. The chart highlights a bullish setup, with potential continuation towards the resistance zone $3,691 – $3,695. The short-term trendline break also supports renewed upside momentum, while buyers remain in control above the support base. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,678 – $3,679 (near support zone) Stop Loss: $3,677 (below support) Take Profit: $3,691 / $3,695 (resistance zone) Risk/Reward: ~1 : 7.17 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $3,691 – $3,695 Support Zone: $3,678 – $3,679 Major Resistance Above: $3,700 psychological barrier Key Support Below: $3,674 🌐 Macro Background Gold is firming up as markets await the FOMC decision, with traders widely expecting a 25 bps Fed rate cut—the first in 2025. The prospect of further cuts later this year supports gold as a non-yielding asset. However, easing US-China trade tensions and improved risk sentiment could limit haven flows in the short run. 📌 Trade Summary The technical setup favours a long entry near $3,679, targeting the $3,691–$3,695 resistance area. The bias remains bullish while gold holds above $3,678 support. Watch for volatility around the Fed decision later today. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
Scenario of Fed cutting interest rates stronglyGold prices are hovering at record highs and all eyes are on the US Federal Reserve. A surprise decision – even a “dramatic cut” as President Donald Trump has suggested – could be the catalyst for a new wave of price increases. Although the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by another 0.25 percentage points after its meeting on September 17, it is the language and tone of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech that will determine the next move for gold prices, according to the World Gold Council’s (WGC) weekly market report. Last week’s gold price action reflected a mix of inflation data and political turmoil. In the US, mixed inflation, a cooling labor market and weak consumer confidence kept expectations of interest rate cuts high.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold Bulls Walking on Thin Ice1. Yesterday’s action In yesterday’s analysis I said that although the chart looks bullish, Gold bulls should be very careful. After all, price had already climbed 4,000 pips in less than a month, and such complacency usually doesn’t end well. During yesterday’s session, XAUUSD spiked above 3700, quickly reversed, and touched the newly formed support at 3675. From there, price attempted another push higher. Now we are once again back at support. 2. Key question Will the 3670 zone hold, or are bulls about to lose control of the market? 3. Why caution is needed • The chart is still bullish overall, but the structure is becoming increasingly concerning. • If bulls lose the 3670 zone, I don’t expect a quick rebound from 3650. • Instead, the market is more likely to continue lower, with at least a move toward 3620. 4. Trading plan • From my perspective, buying here is very risky, even riskier than selling. • I remain out of the market, waiting for a GOOD entry to sell. • My target is a 700–1000 pip as usual, which I believe will come to the downside, not the upside. 5. Conclusion Gold’s chart may still look bullish, but risk is shifting quickly. Chasing longs here could be dangerous — patience and discipline are key until the right sell opportunity appears 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
16
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Strategy for TodaySharing my personal outlook on gold for the day. The primary trend in XAUUSD remains extremely strong, with price posting successive new highs over the past two weeks. Notably, buying pressure has been consistently robust across sessions, while pullbacks have been brief and limited to the lower M15–M30 timeframes. Yesterday, gold broke out of a Pennant pattern to the upside and is now consolidating around 3,680. On the H4 chart, this level coincides with a key Fibonacci area, adding confluence to the technical picture. From an Elliott Wave perspective, I expect Wave 3 to complete around 3,700, followed by a corrective Wave 4 towards 3,660 – a zone that has previously acted as solid support. Thereafter, gold could enter its final Wave 5, with potential to extend towards the 3,740+ region. Trade ideas (for reference): Buy 3658 – 3656, SL 3651, TP 3674 – 3688 – 3700 – 3715 – 3730 – 3744 Sell 3697 – 3700, SL 3705, TP 3688 – 3672 – 3660 – 3650 Sell 3740 – 3744, SL 3748, TP to be assessed based on price structure at that time Key additional levels to monitor: 3673 – 3663 – 3635 and 3721, as these zones may trigger reactions and offer opportunities for scalping. This represents my personal view on gold for today – I hope it proves useful in your trading decisions. Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
9/17: Ahead of Rate Decision, Trade Within 3668–3706 RangeGood morning, everyone! Yesterday, after breaking above 3682, the price reached the 3692–3702 area before pulling back. Those of you who carefully followed the strategy should have caught this move. At the moment, the price is near support. Ahead of the interest rate decision, the main support lies around 3670–3658, while resistance is in the 3700–3706/3712 area. Trading can be focused within the 3706–3668 range. The key today is the interest rate decision. If the price falls before the news, then buying opportunities may arise during the announcement. If the price rises beforehand, look for selling opportunities after the news. I’ve marked today’s intraday trading range on the chart for reference. You can plan trades based on the price area. If anything is unclear, feel free to leave me a message.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
The trend after 3700 mark is more worth looking forward to!Gold has been hitting new highs recently. Yesterday, it broke through the previous high of 3674 in the US market and surged towards 3685. Despite a brief pullback in early trading, it surged back to 3698 in the European session and even broke through 3703 in the US market, maintaining a clear bullish trend. The current pullback is a normal technical correction and has little impact on the overall uptrend, but instead builds momentum for a subsequent surge. The key support level at 3670 is currently under consideration. This level has become a short-term dividing line between bulls and bears. A break below this level will clearly indicate a bullish advantage, but a potential decline should be viewed with caution. Above this, focus on the 3705 level. A break above this level could test the 3710-3720 area, and a strong breakout could open up further upside potential. Trading strategies should include a light short position near 3705 to capture profits on pullbacks, waiting for a pullback to the 3685-3675 area to stabilize before entering a long position. The bullish trend continues to target the 3700-3705 area. The overall strategy remains to prioritize buying on dips, with a secondary focus on selling on higher levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
ANFIBO | XAUUSD got ATH on 09.16.2025 and what?Gold has made a new breakout by breaking through the sizeway zone and rising to a new ATH. The plan is that we need to pay attention to the price zone around the 3700 resistance. Today's plan is as follows: 💚 SUPPORT ZONES: 3675 - 3655 ❤️ RESISTANCE ZONES: 3700 - 3705 - 3745 ✅ BUY SCALP: around 3675, SL 3670, TP 3700 - 3745 ❌ SELL SCALP: 3700 - 3705, SL 3710, TP 3675 - 3655 ✅ SWING BUY: 3550 - 3560, SL 3540, TP 3625 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN ❌ SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN Hope is right!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
The opportunity is right in front of you, don’t miss it!Yesterday, the technical analysis of gold showed a rapid downward retreat in the Asian session, breaking through the 3630 mark and stabilizing and rebounding. It fluctuated and consolidated around the 3630 mark in the European and US sessions, and finally ushered in a strong rise by bulls. The price of gold accelerated to break through and stand above the 3670 mark to set a new historical high. The gold bulls rose as expected, and there are still new highs above, so we are patiently waiting for gold to continue to rise. When it falls back, we will continue to look for opportunities to enter the market and go long. Yesterday, we responded flexibly around the key points, and made precise arrangements with two-way thinking to achieve a double kill of long and short, a steady harvest, and perfectly reach our goals. Today we continue to wait for further declines. After all, all indicators are bullish. Don’t guess the top if the bulls are strong. If the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is on Thursday, then the line around 3700 will also be within reach. At present, don’t blindly chase the longs above the 3680 line. If your current trading is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid investment pitfalls. Welcome to communicate with us! From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3670-3360. If it pulls back to this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3650. As long as the daily closing level does not fall below this position, any pullback is an opportunity to go long, and the main tone of participating in the trend will remain unchanged. I will provide you with the specific operation strategies at the bottom, please pay attention to them in time. Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3675-3360, target 3690-3695. If it breaks, look at the 3700 line.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
1
Gold Price Analysis: Sideways Now, Big Move After Fed Rates?Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading near 3645 levels, consolidating inside a contracting wedge after its recent strong bullish rally. The overall trend remains positive, but momentum has slowed as markets await the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision on Wednesday, which is expected to bring volatility. If the Fed signals further easing or a dovish stance, gold could attempt another push higher, breaking the 3675 resistance and aiming toward 3700–3730. However, if the Fed maintains a cautious or less dovish tone, profit-taking may accelerate and trigger a pullback. The key level to watch on the downside is the 3625–3600 support zone; a clear break below this area could open the door toward 3565 and 3531, with deeper correction possible to 3498. Traders should stay cautious and wait for confirmation: a break above 3675 would confirm bullish continuation, while a drop below 3600 would favor short setups targeting lower support levels. Until then, gold remains in a neutral-to-bearish consolidation phase, with the Fed decision likely to provide the breakout trigger. 📊 Trend Analysis - Overall trend since late August has been strong bullish, but momentum has slowed in the past few sessions. - Price is now consolidating in a wedge/triangle formation. - Current price action is sideways-to-bearish within consolidation, indicating possible pullback/reversal setup if support breaks. - As long as 3675 isn’t broken decisively, risk of retracement remains toward 3565 – 3530 area. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch - Resistance: 3670 – 3680 - Support: 3625 – 3600 🎯 Trade Setup - Sell Bias (Short-Term): - If price fails to break 3645–3650 resistance and breaks below 3625–3600 support zone, it can trigger a sell trade. - Sell Trigger: Break & close below 3600. - Targets: 3565 → 3531 → 3498. 👉 Trend Right Now: Gold is in a short-term consolidation / bearish bias inside the wedge. The major bullish rally has already slowed down, and price is struggling to break above 3645–3650 resistance. Unless gold decisively breaks 3675, the current move looks more like a distribution phase before a pullback. - So, near-term trend = sideways-to-bearish (towards 3600 → 3565 → 3530) - Long-term trend = still bullish, as long as price holds above 3530–3498 support. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
“Gold Shines Bright | Bullish Momentum Targeting $3,700🔎 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Chart) Trend: Strong bullish trend confirmed, with price making higher highs and higher lows. Buy Zone: Around 3,590 – 3,600 USD, where buyers stepped in aggressively. Short-Term Target 🎯: 3,650 – 3,700 USD (already highlighted on chart). Key Support Levels: 3,561 USD (near-term support) 3,490 USD (major support, bullish structure invalidation if broken) 📌 Outlook: As long as price holds above the buy zone, momentum favors bulls with potential continuation toward 3,700+ USD. 🌍 Fundamental Drivers for Gold Bullishness ✨ Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Expectations 🏦⬇️ – If the Fed signals easing or holds a dovish stance, real yields fall → Gold strengthens. Weakening US Dollar (DXY) 💵📉 – A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to global investors. Geopolitical Risks 🌍⚠️ – Rising global tensions increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Central Bank Demand 🏦🔒 – Many central banks are adding gold reserves to hedge against currency risks. Inflation Hedge 📊🔥 – Gold remains attractive when inflationary pressures stay elevated.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Setting Up Wave (5) ExtensionHey Traders, Gold on the M30 chart is still holding a bullish structure, but the recent push into the upper channel line shows early signs of exhaustion. Here’s my full breakdown and trading plan: 🔍 Technical Overview Price just completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural profit-taking zone. The 3666–3670 range has been a key pivot/support zone multiple times; I expect a pullback into this area for Wave (4) before another rally. 3657 marks deeper support and the invalidation point for the bullish setup. If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) targets 3720–3725. 📈 Key Levels Type Price Level Notes Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch rejection Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4) Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation Wave (5) TP 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target ⚙️ Trading Plan ✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation) Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a brief sweep to ~3657). Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on M30. Targets: TP1: 3695–3700 (prior highs) TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection) Stop Loss: Below ~3652. Risk/Reward: ~1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry. ⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short Scenario: Strong rejection again at 3695–3700. Targets: 3670 → 3657. Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707. Note: This is countertrend and higher risk – take quick profits, small position sizing. 🛡 Risk & Invalidation A close below 3656 with a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario. Always risk ≤1–1.5% per trade, wait for confirmation, and don’t chase if price runs without you. 🧭 Final Thoughts Gold remains in a bullish short-term channel. A healthy pullback into 3666–3670 could provide the perfect entry for the next Wave (5) leg up. Be patient for price action confirmation. Countertrend shorts are possible on a sharp rejection at 3695–3700, but the main play is buying the dip. Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and let the market come to you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Intraday short position is dominant, beware of big drop#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD As I analyzed with you over the weekend, although gold prices largely fluctuated at high levels last week, the overall structure remained within an upward trend. Yesterday's daily line closed with a big positive line, breaking the box-shaped oscillation in one fell swoop. This morning, gold continued its bullish trend, reaching a high of around 3689. Judging from the market trends, the overall short-term bullish trend remains unchanged, but this does not mean the end of the short position. First, the risk of chasing high prices is far greater than shorting, and the technical analysis suggests a potential correction. As the price of gold rises, the previous resistance gradually turns into short-term support. If gold wants to continue to rise, it must at least fall back to 3665-3655. Secondly, regarding the news, first, although the fourth China-US talks have not yet released any signals about tariffs, the news released by China is conducive to positive developments. Second, the court dismissed Trump's charges against Cook. Although the White House has stated that it will continue to do so, this move has effectively reduced market concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve. From the news perspective, it is conducive to the decline of gold. Therefore, I remain optimistic about a short-term pullback in gold prices. Those without existing orders can consider continuing to short gold in batches above 3680, with a short-term target of 3665-3655. It can not only effectively raise the average price, but also occupy an advantageous position when gold experiences a sharp correction. However, it should be noted that in short trading, the number of trading lots must be strictly controlled to reduce trading risks and not let the account collapse on the eve of profit.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP-Halson
GOLD New High Record Break Gold New High on the Way! 🔥 Current Price: 3635 📈 Buy Entry Active — Target 3690 ✨ Gold is in full bullish control. ✨ Buyers pushing strongly toward new record highs. ✨ Market confidence remains unshaken. ✨ Every dip is being bought instantly. ✨ Strong fundamentals + technicals support upside. ✨ Next resistance is ready to be tested soon. ✨ A breakout above 3690 can open doors for even higher levels. ✨ This could be the start of another major rally. ⚡ Don’t wait — secure your position now before the breakout run begins!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
26
Gold Breaks Records: Is This the Start of a New Super Cycle?Hi traders! Gold (XAU/USD) broke out strong, gaining 1.1% on September 15, 2025, to close at $3,680.80/oz after hitting a historic peak of $3,685.39/oz. Last week, gold climbed 1.6%, supported by a weaker USD (down 0.3% to a one-week low) and falling US government bond yields. The market is almost certain the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25% on September 17, with some even anticipating a larger 0.5% move (according to the CME FedWatch Tool). Global tensions and potential gold import liberalization in China continue to fuel the rally. Let's analyze and find some trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines in Uncertainty 🌟 Fed Rate Cuts: US economic data from last week showed the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose at its fastest pace in seven months, but recent jobs data pointed to a weakening labor market. This supports the Fed’s move towards a rate cut, a first since December 2024. A lower interest rate environment weakens the US Dollar and makes non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. Geopolitical Tensions: The upcoming Fed meeting is under unusual political pressure, with leadership disputes and President Donald Trump pushing for greater influence. The US Senate is also considering allowing his economic advisor, Stephen Miran, to join the rate-setting committee to vote on September 17. Gold typically acts as a safe haven during such instability. China's Demand: Reports from last weekend suggest China may ease gold import/export rules and boost its purchasing activity. Strong official and private demand from a major consumer like China is a key driver for gold's upward momentum. Technical Analysis: Breaking Records & Finding Opportunities 📉 Gold has decisively broken above the Fibo 2.618 level and established a new all-time high (ATH). Pullbacks have been shallow, typically moving only about $10 before the rally continues. This indicates strong buying pressure, making it difficult for sellers to gain ground. We should look to buy on dips and consider selling only at key resistance levels. Resistance: $3704, $3714, $3724 Support: $3694, $3686, $3674, $3666 Trading Setups (Use Strict Risk Management): Buy Scalp: Zone: $3688 - $3686 SL: $3682 TP: $3691 - $3696 - $3701 - $3706 Buy Zone: Zone: $3667 - $3665 SL: $3657 TP: $3675 - $3685 - $3695 - $3705 - $3715 Sell Scalp: Zone: $3704 - $3706 SL: $3710 TP: $3701 - $3696 - $3691 - $3686 Sell Zone: Zone: $3724 - $3726 SL: $3734 TP: $3716 - $3706 - $3696 - $3686 - $3676 Gold is at an all-time high—be cautious of liquidity traps around the upcoming Fed news! Above $3694, the next target is a new high; below, we could test $3666. Manage your risk tightly ahead of the September 17 volatility! Will you buy the dip or sell the top? Share your strategy below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBank
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Trade cautiously and wait for a pullback to go longGood morning, my friends. At present, gold continues to rise, and blindly chasing more will definitely lead to huge risks. We originally planned to wait for gold to pull back before going long, but the market did not give us this opportunity. I didn't let you blindly chase the short positions yesterday. Now, are you glad that you followed my advice and didn't enter the market rashly? I know that after it hit 3675 yesterday, there must have been a lot of people shorting the market. Many brothers even held their positions until today, but found that the market did not give a good retracement point. At this time, it's even more important to avoid being manipulated by emotions and engaging in revenge trading. In the short term, the prudent approach is still to wait for gold to pull back before going long. In the short term, focus on 3675-3665. If it does not break through the pullback, you can try to go long on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
Gold Facing Strong Resistance – Bearish Move Towards Support ?Analysis: Resistance Zone: Price is struggling to break above the $3,645–$3,650 area, which has acted as a strong resistance multiple times. Support Levels: Immediate support lies around $3,620 and $3,614, with the major support zone at $3,580. Price Action: Repeated rejections from resistance indicate weakening bullish momentum. Sellers are gaining control near the resistance zone. Bearish Outlook: A potential downward move is projected, with price likely to test $3,580 support if resistance continues to hold. Risk Management: A break and close above $3,650 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation. ✅ Bias: Bearish below $3,650 🎯 Targets: $3,620 → $3,614 → $3,580 🛑 Invalidation: Above $3,650
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Pipshunter27
Gold's new round of upward momentum continuesGold ushered in another new round of rallies. In the early, the price slightly touched 3674, but now rebound to around 3687. For the trend, an upward move is highly likely. As we mentioned earlier, the resistance at 3700 remains, and the current upward move is a result of traders' early bets on interest rate cuts. Maybe it’s just a matter of whether the 3700 is broken today or tomorrow. However, it’s not advisable to be too aggressive in trading operations. For the downside, we can temporarily focus on the support at 3660, which is the starting point of the accelerated upward move. We can buy when the price pulls back to this level; if the pullback doesn’t present, it’s better to wait and see for now Buy 3660 - 3670 TP 3680 - 3690 - 3700 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan