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Complacency Before the Fall? Bulls in Control, But For How Long?Yesterday, I was debating whether last week’s consolidation was a rectangle (suggesting continuation) or, in fact, a triple top (hinting at correction). I began the session with a slightly bearish bias, but the reversal from support and the subsequent breakout above the consolidation’s resistance forced me to reevaluate. The breakout was clean, momentum followed, and the market even printed a new ATH at 3689. Unfortunately, my pending buy order wasn’t filled, so I remain flat for now—an important reminder that in trading, sometimes discipline keeps you safe, even if you miss an opportunity. Technical outlook: • Price broke above resistance, confirming bullish control. • The 3660 zone now acts as key support—any dips into that area can be treated as potential buying opportunities. • The measured target for this breakout points toward 3710, which could represent the next objective for the bulls. But here’s the psychological twist: The market feels euphoric and complacent at this moment. Historically, reversals from this type of mindset tend to be brutal. Traders get comfortable, start believing in endless uptrends, and that’s exactly when the trapdoor opens. Medium-term, I still anticipate a significant correction. Timing it is always the hardest part, but acknowledging the risk helps keep emotions under control. For now, bulls clearly hold the wheel—but they may not realize they’re driving toward a cliff. 🚀 Stay sharp, trade the trend, but don’t forget that markets punish overconfidence.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
21
World gold price today September 16, 2025New York manufacturing fell sharply in September, slipping into recession, according to the latest data from the New York Federal Reserve. The Empire State Manufacturing Index fell to -8.7, down from 11.9 in August and well below the forecast of -5.0. This is the first time the index has returned to negative territory since June. New orders and shipments fell sharply, inventories continued to decline slightly, while employment held steady but average hours worked fell. Input prices remained high, selling prices rose moderately and spending plans remained weak. Businesses expect conditions to improve in the coming period, but sentiment remains generally cautious. Immediately after the report was released, gold prices rebounded and then remained flat, trading around $3,642/ounce. Global markets are awaiting the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which begins on Tuesday morning and ends on Wednesday afternoon, with a statement and press conference from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The FOMC is expected to deliver a 25 basis point interest rate cut, the first since November 2024.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
9/16: Watch Support at 3668–3652, Resistance at 3700✍️Good morning, everyone! Key Support: 3668–3656 Key Resistance: 3700 Yesterday, gold repeatedly tested the 3643–3648 resistance area. During the pullback, the trend support held, and after consolidating, the price broke through resistance strongly. The overall move was in line with expectations (if it can stay above 3643–3658, it may test around 3668 with a chance of setting new highs). After yesterday’s breakout, the price is now consolidating at high levels. Whether the bullish trend can be maintained depends mainly on support in the 3668–3656 (3648–3643) area. As long as this support holds, bulls may remain in control until tomorrow’s interest rate decision, with the possibility of testing the psychological level of 3700. During the consolidation, trading can be focused around the 3682–3662 area. If the price breaks out, selling opportunities may appear near 3692–3702, while buying opportunities can be considered around 3648–3636.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
XAU/USD on Fire — Next Stop $3,750?Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1H chart is currently maintaining a bullish structure, with price trading around $3,644 after bouncing from the $3,610 support zone. This area has repeatedly acted as a demand level, confirming that buyers are defending dips. The market has been forming higher lows and higher highs, which reinforces the bullish bias. On the upside, the price faces resistance around $3,674–$3,700, which aligns with the marked take-profit zone. If bulls manage to push above $3,700 with momentum, the next extension target could be near $3,750, a psychological level and a historically reactive price point. On the downside, $3,610 remains a key invalidation level; a break below could shift momentum back toward sellers. From a momentum perspective, recent buying signals around the lower zones confirm continued interest from institutional buyers. The recent cluster of selling signals near $3,670 reflects short-term supply pressure, but price behavior shows that demand is gradually absorbing that. ________________________________________ ✅ Trade Setup (Bullish) • Entry: $3,645 – $3,650 • Stop Loss: Below $3,610 • Take Profit 1: $3,674 • Take Profit 2: $3,700 • Extended Target: $3,750 ________________________________________ Risk handling is critical here. The setup offers a 1:1.5 to 1:2 risk/reward, depending on entry execution. A smart approach would be to book partial profits at $3,674, then trail the stop-loss to breakeven. If price breaks above $3,674 convincingly, use a trailing stop strategy under each new higher low on the 1H chart. This allows traders to lock in gains while still staying exposed to the larger bullish move. In short, Gold remains poised for a bullish breakout, with strong upside potential if resistance levels are cleared. Careful trade management with partial exits and trailing stops will ensure traders maximize profit while limiting risk. ________________________________________
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SupertradeOfficial
GOLD BULLISH TREND: Possible Buys From 3,640This week, my idea is for gold to continue pushing higher toward the all-time high liquidity. Price has recently broken structure to the upside, which confirms the bullish trend we’ve been seeing. With this continuation, a new nearby demand zone has formed that I’ll be watching closely. Ideally, I’d like to see a pullback into that point of interest to allow proper accumulation before the next move up. Confluences for GOLD Buys: - Structure break to the upside confirms the bullish trend - Clean, unmitigated 3hr demand zone below - Higher and lower time frames both showing bullish control - DXY remains bearish, which supports the bullish bias on gold - No major news expected to disrupt the move P.S. If gold respects the ATH and rejects it, breaking below my demand, then I’ll either look for short-term sells or wait for a deeper demand zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
XAU/USD Stalls Slightly above 3650 – Bulls Losing Steam?Gold printed fresh all-time highs at 3674 last week, only to reverse sharply and settle into a sideways structure between 3620–3655. The current debate: is this simply a consolidation box that will fuel another breakout, or is the market quietly building a distribution top that could resemble a triple top pattern (if we ignore the spike to ATH)? Technically, the momentum has clearly cooled. The 3355–3360 area continues to cap the upside, turning into a stubborn barrier that bulls haven’t been able to overcome. From a fundamental angle, the Fed’s rate cut is already baked into the price. The focus is now on Powell’s guidance. With inflation pushing higher, a cautious and balanced tone is more likely than a dovish surprise. Cross-checking with other pairs, XAU/EUR and XAU/GBP are already pressing their support levels. That relative weakness suggests the gold complex as a whole may be closer to a downside break than to a new leg up. For now, I’m flat. But unless bulls regain control quickly, I’ll be watching for failed rallies after London open as potential short setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
21
Daily Market Analysis of XAUUSDCurrently, XAUUSD is oscillating within the range of 3626 to 3646. Volatility is expected to remain limited until the Fed makes a decision on interest rate cuts. It is advisable to conduct relatively small-scale transactions where possible to avoid losses stemming from other unofficial news related to the policy. Buy 3625 - 3635 TP 3645 - 3655 - 3675 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan
Gold Price Stabilises Ahead of Central Bank DecisionsGold Price Stabilises Ahead of Central Bank Decisions Following the ECB’s decision last week to leave interest rates unchanged, traders will closely monitor this week’s monetary policy announcements from the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, and other central banks from Toronto to Taipei. As the XAU/USD chart shows today, the gold price has stabilised after its recent record highs, with investors adopting a wait-and-see stance. The ADX indicator is trending lower, suggesting a diminishing directional momentum. Key Drivers Influencing Gold Prices Market participants are almost fully convinced that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by a quarter point this week, while also pricing in the likelihood of further reductions next year amid signs of labour market weakness. Lower rates are generally seen as supportive for gold, making it a more attractive asset relative to yield-bearing US Treasuries. Additional factors underpinning bullish sentiment include: → Weakness in the US dollar. → Persistent geopolitical tensions. → Pressure on the Fed from Donald Trump, who recently attempted to dismiss Board Governor Lisa Cook. → Central bank gold purchases. On the other hand, profit-taking could dampen demand. Nevertheless, gold prices remain elevated. Technical Analysis of XAU/USD Recently, we outlined three reasons why gold’s rally might pause. Since then, the price has consolidated within the $3,610–3,660 range. This has confirmed the assumption that the median line of the long-term ascending channel is acting as resistance. The steep upward channel (marked with orange lines) has been broken. What Could Happen Next → From a bullish perspective, the resistance levels at $3,510 and $3,575 have been broken to the upside and successfully retested – a sign of strong demand. → From a bearish perspective, the candlestick’s long upper shadow, where gold set its record high, reflects aggressive selling pressure. An attempt to break below the $3,575 support level and the orange dotted line (an additional support trendline plotted beneath the orange channel) could happen. However, whether this scenario materialises will largely depend on upcoming central bank announcements. Traders should brace for heightened volatility. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
The support is not broken,continue to go long when it falls backThe overall gold price is currently fluctuating and consolidating at a high level. Although gold has a slight correction in the Asian session this morning, it has not fallen out of the upward channel. The market focus is still on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. In addition to this news, the fourth US-China meeting in Spain today is also worthy of our attention. If the two sides can reach a good negotiation on the tariff issue this time, then gold may fall. Otherwise, the price of gold will continue to rise. Currently, gold has rebounded again and is consolidating around 3645. The short-term pressure from 3655-3665 is still there. If it fails to effectively break through this resistance area, then gold still has room for a short-term correction. Pay attention to the short-term support of 3635-3625 below. If the support is not broken, you can still consider going long on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cuts & Geopolitics Spark Trades!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) reversed an early Asian session dip from $3,626-$3,627 on Monday (15/09/2025), holding strong near record highs as markets price in a 100% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17/09, with two more expected in October and December (CME FedWatch). Geopolitical tensions, from Ukraine’s strikes on Russian energy to Iran’s call for Qatar to counter Israel, boost gold’s safe-haven appeal. With major central bank events looming, let’s analyze the market and find trade setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines Amid Uncertainty 🌟 Rate Cut Expectations: Weak US labor data (surging jobless claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) keeps USD near its 24/07 low and Treasury yields soft, driving gold’s 39% YTD rally. The Fed is set to cut rates three times in 2025, starting 17/09. Geopolitical Support: Ukraine’s attacks on Russian energy, US pressure on NATO for tougher Russia sanctions, and Iran’s missile proposal in Qatar ahead of the Arab-Islamic summit fuel gold’s safe-haven status. Key Events: Watch Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments (17/09), decisions from Bank of Canada, Bank of England (18/09), and Bank of Japan (19/09). Weak CPI and labor data suggest shallow dips—prime for buying! Technical Analysis: Broad Sideways Consolidation – Buy Dips 📉 Gold is consolidating in a wide sideways range on M30, H1, and H2 timeframes around 3650. If rate cut news triggers a sharp drop, FVG zones (3608-3598) offer buying opportunities. Monitor volume to confirm entries and avoid liquidity traps near round levels. Resistance: 3646 - 3655 - 3666 Support: 3623 - 3615 - 3608 - 3598 Trade Setups (Tight RR): Buy Scalp: Range: 3623 - 3621 SL: 3617 TP: 3626 - 3631 - 3636 - 3641 Buy Zone: Range: 3608 - 3606 SL: 3598 TP: 3616 - 3626 - 3636 - 3646 Sell Scalp: Range: 3654 - 3656 SL: 3660 TP: 3651 - 3646 - 3641 - 3636 Sell Zone: Range: 3665 - 3667 SL: 3675 TP: 3657 - 3647 - 3637 - 3627 Gold holds near highs—watch for liquidity traps around Fed news! Above 3623, bulls target new highs; below, test 3608/3598. Manage risk tightly with central bank volatility ahead! Will you buy dips or sell highs? Share your strategies below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBanks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
9/15: Ahead of Rate Decision, Market Enters ConsolidatioGood afternoon, everyone! Key Resistance: 3643–3652 Key Support: 3633–3623 / 3616–3607 Trading Strategy Focus on selling at highs and buying at lows within 3658–3628; This week will be anything but calm — Wednesday’s rate decision is expected to spark another wave of volatility. Whether it turns into big profits or losses depends entirely on risk management, so make sure you’re prepared. On the 30M chart, price remains capped below the 3643–3648 (extended to 3652–3658) resistance zone. This level is crucial: A sustained breakout above could trigger another push toward 3668, with room for fresh highs; Failure to break higher will likely lead to a pullback toward the 3600 area. Regarding the FOMC decision: the market consensus is for a 25bp move. Any result above or below that would be considered a “surprise.” After the announcement, gold is more likely to follow a spike-and-reversal path — either a brief rally followed by decline, or a direct drop with a rebound later, entering a consolidation phase with a bearish tilt. ⚠️ Reminder: With such a key event ahead, keep positions light and always use stop-loss orders.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
3655-3625 oscillation structure, sell high and buy low#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD Over the weekend, I reminded everyone to pay attention to a hidden piece of news.💻 China and the United States are currently holding their fourth round of talks in Spain on economic and trade issues, which involves tariffs. The outcome of the game between the two major powers will also affect the trend of gold. 📊The two sides are still negotiating, so please continue to pay attention.👀 Gold continued to fluctuate in the box at the opening today, fell slightly during the day and rebounded after testing the support below again. 🌈The short-term upward pressure still remains at 3655-3665. 📉I have repeatedly emphasized that only by breaking through and stabilizing above can gold continue to open up upward space. If it is difficult to break through during the day, gold will continue to fluctuate and pull back. The price of gold is still in an upward channel. The correction range of gold at high levels is limited. The short-term support below is 3635-3625.🥅 Before it effectively falls below the support, it is difficult for gold to change the volatile pattern. However, if the price breaks below support and breaks the box structure, it is very likely to test the 3600 mark, or even the important support level of 3580.🐻 If the 3655-3625 box is not broken during the day, the buy low-sell high strategy will be maintained. 📊If it falls back to 3635-3625, you can continue to go long on gold, with the target at 3655-3665. If the upper resistance is touched, you can short gold with a light position.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP-Halson
XAUUSD potential drop to 3600.00, FOMC reflection?with the upcoming FOMC started relect in GOLD as the price opened with sharp rejection with 2 back to 1h candles formed with liquidity grab. Though it is a long term bull market, a deeper pullback may come in play with potentially ranage bound since the FOMC as rate cut may ahead. Until FOMC, we may see the market range 3657 to 3600 before it start to bounce of to the major direction of the trend or depending on the Fed decision, even could see dropping back to monthly support
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ForexWizard01
Gold is Ready For Bull After Forming a Strong SupportHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000
ANFIBO | XAUUSD Plan [15.10.2025 - 19.10.2025]Here is my XAUUSD plan for next week: 💚 SUPPORT ZONES : 3625 - 3595 - 3580 - 3575 ❤️ RESISTANCE ZONES : 3665 - 3670 - 3700 ✅ BUY SCALP : around 3595, SL 3580, TP 3625 - 3645 - 3670 ❌ SELL SCALP : (1) 3673 - 3675, SL 3678, TP 3645 - 3600 (2) 3700 - 3705, SL 3710, TP 3675 - 3610 ✅ SWING BUY : 3550 - 3560, SL 3540, TP 3625 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN ❌ SWING SELL : 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN Enjoy it guys! 😊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_