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XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 03.11.25🟩 Technical Summary: Structure: Price has broken out of a 1H downtrend line, signaling a potential bullish reversal. Pattern Confirmation: A Bullish Engulfing candle confirms buying momentum. Zones Marked: Resistance R1: Around 4,020 zone Resistance R2: Around 4,030–4,035 zone 4H Target Price: ~4,075–4,080 zone Support Zone: Near 3,995–4,000 (Stoploss area). 📈 Projection Logic: Price breaks 1H downtrend. Retests near the trendline breakout zone (~4,000–4,010). Pushes towards R1 and R2. Final 4H target projected near 4,075–4,080. 🎯 Buy Setup Example: Buy Entry: 4,005 – 4,010 (after retest) Stoploss: 3,985 – 3,990 Target: 4,075 – 4,080 Risk–Reward: Roughly 1:3+
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
GOLD (XAU/USD): SELL/BUY Zones Await ISM Data!I. MACRO OVERVIEW (The Tug-of-War): Gold is currently in a tight consolidation, caught between two powerful macro narratives: ⬆️ BULL CASE (Buy Pressure): Safe-Haven demand is buoyed by US Political Risk (government shutdown concerns) and global uncertainty (e.g., Nvidia chip export curb). ⬇️ BEAR CASE (Sell Pressure): Persistent USD Strength as hawkish Fed commentary continues to push back on rate cut expectations, capping Gold's upside. 🔥 CATALYST: All eyes on the US ISM Manufacturing PMI release tonight. This data point will be the decisive trigger for Gold's next short-term direction. II. TRADING PLAN (Actionable Zones): We are zoning in on two high-probability Liquidity Zones where we will await a Price Action Confirmation before entry: 🔴 SELL SCENARIO SELL ZONE (Supply/FVG): $4,050 - $4,055 Rationale: Targeting a strong rejection where Smart Money is likely to distribute. SL: $4,065 TP Targets: $4,045 - $4,035 - $4,025 - $4,015 🟢 BUY SCENARIO BUY ZONE (POI/Demand): $3,952 - $3,948 Rationale: Looking for sustained support and reaction at a major Point of Interest. SL: $3,940 TP Targets: $3,958 - $3,968 - $3,978 - $3,988 🚨 FINAL CHECK: Risk Management is Paramount. Always wait for a strong Price Action Confirmation (e.g., strong rejection candles) within the designated zones before triggering an entry. DO NOT trade the news. #XAUUSD #Gold #ISM #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #TradingPlan #SmartMoneyConcept #USD #SafeHaven #TradingSignals
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD is on Rangebound currently market is bullish biased and Rangebound from 3995-4040 -zone. Although it's upside at 3998 was to quick. What are my conditions For This setup? - I'm waiting for buy from 3990-3980 area & expecting the reversal move towards 4028- 4047 target although currently I took bu6 from 3995-3990 area and holding till my Targets - Second if H1-H4 candle closes above 4045 area I will straight Buy and target 4070-4090 . ✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3975-3970 our buying will be compromised
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
XAUUSD- Trend reversal - New ATH incoming?OANDA:XAUUSD has turned bullish on the daily timeframe after holding key dynamic support and reclaiming the volatility ribbon. The structure now supports continuation toward higher Fibonacci levels, provided price remains above the $3,940 support zone. Momentum is shifting in favor of buyers, and with strong absorption of previous selling, the bias now leans toward further upside movement. Bullish Confluences: Structure Shift: Price has broken above the short-term descending channel, confirming a bullish structure change after forming a higher low near the mid-band support. EMA / Volatility Ribbon Reclaim: Candles have closed back inside the green volatility ribbon, signaling renewed bullish momentum and a shift in trend sentiment. Strong Daily Rejection: The recent candle shows a clear rejection wick from the lower volatility band (blue zone), indicating that buyers absorbed selling pressure and stepped back in. Momentum Turn: Oscillators and momentum tools (if used) confirm upward acceleration, consistent with previous bullish continuation setups. Support Confirmation: The previous base around $3,920 – $3,940 held firmly as support, creating a foundation for an upward leg. 🎯 Fibonacci Extension Targets (Upside) Measured from the latest swing low to swing high: Target 1 (38.2%) → $4,091 Target 2 (61.8%) → $4,143 Target 3 (100%) → $4,210
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VisionaryInsights
ElDoradoFx – GOLD SESSIONS ANALYSIS (03/11/2025, LONDON)1️⃣ Market Overview Gold continues its bullish momentum from the 3,962 weekly low, now trading around 4,018–4,020, with clear signs of accumulation above the 200 EMA. The market remains in an upward correction phase, with intraday structure showing strong recovery and possible breakout above key resistance. London session focus: whether gold can sustain above 4,023 to confirm a continuation toward 4,036–4,046. ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🟢 Daily (D1) • The daily candle remains bullish, holding above the 10EMA (≈4,010) and approaching resistance near 4,036. • RSI at 61, signaling sustained recovery momentum. • MACD histogram decreasing red volume, hinting at reversal continuation potential. 🟡 H1 (Hourly) • Price structure: higher lows from 3,962 → 3,985 → 4,000, forming a bullish channel. • Break of structure at 4,015 with RSI 56+, confirming bullish control. • Price testing the descending trendline and 200EMA (4,022–4,026 zone). • MACD momentum positive, suggesting strength for a potential London breakout. 🔵 15M–5M (Intraday) • Bullish BOS (Break of Structure) confirmed at 4,010; price consolidating below 4,023 liquidity zone. • RSI 65 → near breakout threshold. • EMAs aligned bullishly (50EMA > 100EMA > 200EMA). • MACD showing continued bullish histogram expansion. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis Last swing: 3,962 → 4,036 Level Price 38.2% 4,017 50.0% 3,999 61.8% 3,982 🎯 Golden Zone: 3,999 – 3,982 → Ideal retracement zone for continuation buys if price corrects. ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios ✅ BUY SCENARIO (Main Bias) Buy Zone: 3,999 – 3,982 (Golden Zone) Confirmation: 5M–15M bullish CHoCH + RSI >55 🎯 Targets: • TP1 → 4,023 • TP2 → 4,036 • TP3 → 4,046 • TP4 → 4,060 🛑 SL: Below 3,975 Breakout Buy: Trigger: Break & retest above 4,023 🎯 Targets: 4,036 → 4,046 → 4,060 🛑 SL: Below 4,010 ⸻ ⚠️ SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend) Sell Zone: 4,023 – 4,036 (Liquidity trap + 200EMA rejection) Confirmation: RSI divergence + rejection candle on 15M 🎯 Targets: • TP1 → 4,008 • TP2 → 3,995 • TP3 → 3,982 🛑 SL: Above 4,046 Breakout Sell: Trigger: Break below 3,975 🎯 Targets: 3,962 → 3,945 🛑 SL: Above 3,990 ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch • UK Manufacturing PMI early volatility may drive session movement. • US ISM Manufacturing PMI and Fed Williams speech later today could bring sharp USD reactions. • DXY hovering near 106.10, slightly weakening — bullish bias for gold if this continues. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels Type Levels Resistance 4,023 / 4,036 / 4,046 / 4,060 Support 4,008 / 3,995 / 3,982 / 3,962 Golden Zone 3,999 – 3,982 Break Buy Trigger > 4,023 Break Sell Trigger < 3,975 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold continues its bullish recovery from the 3,960 zone and is currently testing structural resistance at 4,023. A confirmed breakout and retest above 4,023 would open the path to 4,036–4,046, while a failure at this level could lead to short-term retracement toward 3,995–3,982 (Golden Zone) before continuation. ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary • Primary Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 4,008 → Target 4,036–4,046 • Secondary Bias: 🔴 Bearish below 3,975 → Target 3,962–3,945 • Volatility: Moderate → may increase around PMI data. ⸻ — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Gold Congestion: Clear Levels, Unclear DirectionAfter forming a local low at 3887 last week — a level perfectly aligned with the October ATH area — OANDA:XAUUSD started to recover from the recent 5k pips decline, retesting the 4050 resistance zone, which previously acted as strong support. Since mid-last week, price action has entered a consolidation phase. Despite high intraday volatility, the structure is beginning to compress into a clear congestion pattern. This range, roughly 1k pips wide, provides traders with well-defined reference points: - Support: 3950–3960 zone – a break below this area would likely reopen the path toward the recent 3887 low. - Resistance: 4040–4050 zone – a confirmed breakout above could trigger a continuation toward 4150. At this stage, I am slightly bullish, given the sharp rejections from 3920 last week and the emerging ascending triangle structure, which often precedes upward continuation. Still, confirmation is required — the market must decide whether this congestion is accumulation or distribution.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
9
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure Gold extends its decline toward $3,965, remaining under pressure below the $4,008–4,012 resistance zone. The $3,958–3,963 support area now acts as the next line of defence, with price hovering just above this key level. A rejection from resistance could trigger a continuation lower toward $3,945, while a sustained break above $4,012 would invalidate the bearish bias and shift focus toward $4,030. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $4,008 – $4,012 (resistance retest) Stop Loss: $4,017 Take Profit: $3,963 / $3,958 Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 5.33 🌐 Macro Background Gold prices fell to around $3,965 in early Asian trading as U.S.–China trade optimism and hawkish Fed remarks weighed on safe-haven demand. According to FXStreet’s Lallalit Srijandorn, “A constructive U.S.–China outcome reinforces risk appetite, pressuring Gold prices lower.” 【FXStreet】 Trade Relief: U.S. President Donald Trump reduced tariffs on China to 47% (from 57%) after an agreement with Chinese President Xi Jinping to suspend rare earth export controls and boost American soybean purchases. Fed Stance: Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that further rate cuts are “not a foregone conclusion”, signalling a cautious stance. Markets still price in a 63% chance of a December rate cut. Next Data: Traders now eye the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI for October, which could affect short-term USD direction and provide cues for XAU/USD’s next move. Overall, a combination of risk-on sentiment and Fed’s hawkish tone continues to limit gold’s upside momentum. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,008 – $4,012 Support: $3,958 – $3,963 Psychological Level: $3,950 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains below the key $4,008–4,012 resistance, maintaining a bearish short-term bias. The strategy favours selling near resistance for potential downside toward $3,950, while a close above $4,012 would neutralize the setup. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
XAUUSD Weekly Analysis (03 – 07 Nov 2025)This chart is a technical market outlook for XAUUSD (Gold/USD) — specifically for the first week of November — prepared by B RED FX. Let’s break it down step by step 👇 🧭 Overall View The market currently has a short-term bearish bias (downtrend). However, a temporary upside pullback (short-term upward correction) is expected during the week. 📈 Key Level – 4025 This level acts as a critical pivot point for the week — meaning price behavior around 4025 decides whether the trend continues down or reverses upward. If price breaks and sustains above 4025: Bullish scenario activates. Upside targets: 4096 4158 4160 These areas are marked as Supply Zones (where selling pressure might return). If price fails to hold above 4025 and breaks below 3961: Bearish continuation expected. Downside targets: 3880 3850 3840 These are previous weekly lows / Demand Zone — potential buying interest area. 🧩 Zones Highlighted Supply Zone 1: 4115 – 4096 → Possible short-term resistance / selling area. Supply Zone 2: 4220 – 4185 → Stronger resistance zone for higher upside target. Demand Zone: 3854 – 3819 → Potential rebound area if price drops further. 🔍 Text Annotations on Chart “SHORT TERM PULLBACK EXPECTED FROM HERE” — Indicates a possible small bounce upward before further direction is decided. 🔥 and 🌊 icons — Represent bullish and bearish reaction zones (buy/sell points). “BUY” and “SELL” icons — Visual clues for potential trade directions based on breakout or rejection zones. 🧠 Summary Scenario Key Trigger Target Levels Bias Bullish Break above 4025 4096 → 4158 → 4160 Short-term bullish Bearish Break below 3961 3880 → 3850 → 3840 Continuation bearish 💬 Conclusion The chart suggests: Market is bearish overall but could see a short-term pullback. 4025 is the make-or-break level for this week’s direction. Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout or rejection near this zone before taking positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Bilalxau
XAU/USD Market Structure Reveals Potential Upside Move!🥇 XAU/USD: "Gold Heist Wealth Map" - Swing/Day Trade Blueprint 🚨 🎉 Ladies & Gentlemen, Thief OGs! Welcome to the Gold Heist Wealth Map for XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) — a cheeky, calculated swing/day trade plan to snatch profits from the metals market! 😎 This setup is designed with a thief-style layered entry strategy, bullish vibes, and a pro-level escape plan to dodge the "police barricades" (resistance zones). Let’s dive into this shiny opportunity with a fun yet professional edge! 💰 📈 Trade Setup: The Gold Heist Plan Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) Outlook: Bullish 📈 Strategy: Thief-Style Layered Limit Orders — multiple buy limit entries to maximize your loot! 🕵️‍♂️ Entry Levels: 🔔 Buy Limit @ 3850 🔔 Buy Limit @ 3880 🔔 Buy Limit @ 3900 🔔 Buy Limit @ 3930 Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those entries like a master thief. 😜 Stop Loss (SL): Set at 3800 (the "Thief’s Exit Door"). 🚪 Note: This SL is my suggestion, but you’re the boss of your heist! Adjust based on your risk tolerance. 💸 Take Profit (TP): Aim for 4100 — a juicy target where a police barricade (strong resistance + overbought zone) might set a trap. Escape with profits before the market cuffs you! 👮‍♂️ Note: TP is my call, but take your loot when you feel the heat! Your trade, your rules. 😎 🛠️ Strategy Breakdown: Why This Setup? Thief-Style Layering: Using multiple buy limit orders spreads your entry risk across price levels, letting you sneak into the market like a pro. 🕵️‍♀️ Bullish Momentum: Gold’s been shining bright with macroeconomic tailwinds (USD weakness, inflation hedges). 📡 Resistance Watch: The 4100 zone is a psychological and technical barricade. Overbought signals + potential traps mean it’s time to cash out smartly. 🏦 Risk Management: The 3800 SL keeps your downside locked, but always tailor it to your account size and risk profile. ⚖️ 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD) Keep an eye on these correlated assets to boost your market awareness: OANDA:XAUUSD (Silver vs. U.S. Dollar): Silver often moves in tandem with gold. Watch for similar bullish setups or divergences. USD Index ( TVC:DXY ): A weaker USD typically fuels gold rallies. Monitor DXY for inverse correlation signals. 📉 OANDA:AUDUSD : Gold prices often align with the Aussie dollar due to Australia’s gold exports. A rising AUD/USD could support our bullish XAU/USD bias. 🇦🇺 Key Correlation Insight: Gold thrives in low-rate environments or when USD weakens. Check economic calendars for Fed rate decisions or inflation data (CPI, PPI) to time your entries. 📅 ⚠️ Disclaimer This Thief-Style Trading Strategy is for fun and educational purposes only! Trading involves risks, and you’re responsible for your own decisions. Always do your own research (DYOR) and manage risk wisely. No financial advice here — just a playful map to navigate the markets! 😄 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #XAUUSD #Gold #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #Forex #MetalsMarket
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
1
GOLD: HAWKISH FED Pushing the Market? $4,085 is the Test!Hey community, Gold is sitting at a critical junction. The alignment of the Fed’s pressure and a key Supply Zone is creating a high-conviction trade setup. Let's break it down. I. FUNDAMENTALS: The Macro Headwinds 📰 Key Driver (The Bears' Argument): The Fed’s latest "hawkish" signals, with regional Presidents opposing further rate cuts, have significantly cooled market easing expectations. This solidifies the strong USD, creating heavy short-term pressure on non-yielding Gold. Performance & Record High: Despite the immediate pressure, Gold surged 53% this year, hitting an all-time high of $4,381.21/oz on October 20th, showcasing underlying bullish demand. Long-Term View: Morgan Stanley still supports Gold’s long-term climb (targeting $4,300/oz average by H1 2026), driven by expected rate cuts and economic instability. Geopolitics: Trade news (e.g., discussions on US-China tariffs) adds noise, but the Fed's interest rate stance remains the dominant factor. II. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The Supply & Demand Zones 🎯 The prevailing structure on the H4 chart confirms a strong DOWNTREND (Bearish Bias). The recent rally is a correction, necessary to retest key supply before the next decline. 1. The Primary SELL Setup (Following the Trend) Optimal Supply Zone: $4,059 - $4,085. This is the key reversal zone where smart money is likely waiting to fill sell orders (discount zone for shorts). Strategy: Wait for price to reach the $4,059 - $4,085 zone. Look for a strong rejection or pattern shift on lower timeframes to confirm the SHORT entry. Ultimate Target (TP): The strong Demand Zone at $3,939 - $3,952. 2. The Counter-Trend BUY Zone (Bounce Potential) Strong Demand Area: $3,939 - $3,952. This is a major structural level where Gold is likely to find strong support. Strategy: If Gold sells off into this area, watch for buying pressure to catch a potential bounce. 🔑 FINAL TRADE CONCLUSION Best Strategy: Wait and SHORT at the $4,059 - $4,085 Supply Zone. This is where fundamental pressure (Fed) and technical resistance perfectly align. What's your take? Will the strength of the USD hold Gold down from here? Drop a comment! 👇 #XAUUSD #GOLD #FED #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #SupplyAndDemand #Bearish #TradingStrategy #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Next week's trading strategy and analysisPolicy aspect: The loose tone of the Federal Reserve remains unchanged, and the liquidity dividend continues to be released. The expectation for interest rate cuts remains flexible: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% as scheduled in October. Although Powell stated that an interest rate cut in December is "not inevitable", the CME FedWatch tool shows that the probability of a 25 basis point cut in December still reaches 67.8%, which is a decrease from 95.3% before Powell's speech, but the general direction of easing has not reversed. It is worth noting that the internal hawkish and dovish differences within the Federal Reserve have intensified (Milan advocates a 50 basis point cut, Schmid opposes a cut), and the meeting minutes of November may reveal more clues on easing, providing expected support for gold prices. The termination of balance sheet reduction is a definite positive factor: The Federal Reserve clearly stated that it would end the reduction of the balance sheet on December 1 and fully reinvest the maturing bonds, releasing approximately 60 billion US dollars of liquidity to the market each month, equivalent to "implicit QE", directly reducing the holding cost of gold, and this policy dividend has not been fully priced. There is room for economic data disturbances: The US government shutdown has led to the postponement of the release of several key data. Market judgments on the economic fundamentals are divided. If the ISM manufacturing PMI, non-farm payrolls, etc. data in the next week are not up to expectations (current expectations are PMI 49.2, non-farm payroll increase 170,000), it will further strengthen the expectation of easing. Next week's trading strategy and analysis buy：4000-4010 tp:4025-4035-4100 sl:3995
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
XAUUSD Forming Ascending TringleXAUUSD has recently completed a breakout from a long-term ascending triangle, showing strong bullish momentum that pushed prices above the key resistance area near 2,400, turning it into a solid support zone. After reaching a new high near the 4,300 level, gold has started a corrective phase, which appears to be a healthy retracement within the broader bullish trend. The market structure remains positive as long as price stays above the 3,900–3,950 demand zone, where fresh buying interest is expected to emerge. This correction could be the final consolidation phase before the next bullish wave targeting the 4,500–4,700 levels in the coming weeks. From a fundamental perspective, gold remains supported by global macro uncertainty and central bank demand. Weakening U.S. dollar sentiment, persistent geopolitical tensions, and increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve may initiate rate cuts in early 2026 continue to fuel investor interest in safe-haven assets like gold. In addition, strong accumulation from emerging market central banks and inflation concerns sustain the bullish outlook for precious metals. Technically, as long as XAUUSD holds above 3,900, the bias stays strongly bullish. Traders are watching for a potential retest of broken resistance turned support before continuation higher. A clear bullish rejection from these levels would confirm renewed momentum toward new record highs, offering a favorable risk-to-reward setup for long-term buyers.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
4
Gold - The most obvious top!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will reverse soon: 🔎Analysis summary: After we witnessed a major breakout back in 2024, Gold has been rallying about +120% ever since. However, Gold is now approaching a monster resistance trendline of the long term rising channel. It is really just a matter of time until Gold will create its official top. 📝Levels to watch: $4,500 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:GOLDShort
by SwingTraderPhil
31
XAU/USD Short to Longs idea Yes — I still believe Gold remains bullish overall. The recent downside movement looks like a healthy correction before price continues its rally upward. I’m noticing price building liquidity, so I’ll wait for a breakout and a clean tap into one of my key POIs. Currently, price is sitting in a 30min demand zone near a 2hr supply, where I expect a possible short-term reaction. After that, I’ll be waiting for the next solid buying opportunity — ideally from the 3hr demand around 3,860, or from a new demand that may form closer to current price this week. Confluences for Buys: - Price broke major structure to the upside and is now retracing - Liquidity above (trendline + Asia highs) waiting to be taken - 3hr demand around 3,860 could fuel the next rally - Bullish candlestick momentum remains strong - Higher time frames still show clear bullish structure P.S.If price breaks below 3,850 with clear bearish structure, I’ll consider a short-term bearish phase. Until then, I’ll stay focused on long opportunities in line with the dominant trend. Have a great trading week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx
1
XAUUSD BEARISH REVERSAL SETUP FROM SUPPLY ZONE🔍 Key Observations: 1. Market Structure Shift: A Change of Character (CHoCH) has occurred near the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This indicates a potential shift from bullish to bearish momentum. 2. Liquidity & Supply Zone: The red zone near $4,044 – $4,018 acts as a supply zone or bearish order block. Price has reacted from this level, rejecting higher prices. 3. Entry & Targets: Entry: Around $4,011 – $4,018 (current zone) Stop Loss: Above the recent high near $4,044 First Target (TP1): $3,977 – local liquidity zone Second Target (TP2): $3,930 – $3,915 major demand area / imbalance fill zone 4. Channel Breakdown Potential: If the price closes below the lower trendline of the ascending channel, a strong bearish continuation toward the lower targets is expected. 5. Smart Money Concept (SMC) View: The chart aligns with liquidity grab above highs, followed by CHoCH, suggesting smart money selling pressure. A retracement to premium zones has already happened, and distribution is likely underway. 📉 Bearish Outlook Summary: Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: 4,011 – 4,018 Stop Loss: 4,044 Target 1: 3,977 Target 2: 3,930 – 3,915 Invalidation: Break and close above 4,045 would negate bearish setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Zickey_11
2
How to trade gold stably as the weekly and monthly charts close?#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD As we expected, gold broke through the previous strong resistance at 4030 and continued its bullish trend, reaching a high of 4046, very close to our target of 4050. Although the price of gold retreated somewhat after the brief surge, from the daily chart, the short-term price of gold is still above the MA5 moving average, while from the 4-hour chart, the middle band coincides with the MA20. Therefore, I don't think this means the bulls have given up; on the contrary, it's more like a way to better accumulate momentum at the bottom. This strategy remains effective, and we can still consider going long on gold when the price retraces to the 3985-3975 range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
GOLG BULLISH BREAKOUT SETUP TARGETING 4030 AFTER STRUCTURAL SHIFEntry Point: Around 3,994 – 4,000 USD — where price retested the demand zone after BOS. Stop Loss: Below 3,978 USD, just under the last higher low to protect from fakeouts. Target Zone 1: Around 4,011 USD — short-term resistance and first liquidity area. Target Zone 2: Around 4,034 USD — strong supply zone and next liquidity pool (EQH zone). Smart Money Concept (SMC) Insights: Liquidity Sweep: The chart shows that equal lows (EQL) were swept before bullish structure formed — a common SMC pattern indicating accumulation. Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price may fill a small imbalance before continuing higher. Strong High Zone: Around 4,034, which could act as the final liquidity target before a potential pullback. Trade Idea: Setup: Bullish continuation after market structure shift. Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:3 R/R ratio. Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above 3,978 – 3,980 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Zickey_11
Today's gold trading strategyLow-buying and long-positioning during the oscillation recovery, seizing the technical rebound window The core driving force for the bulls: oversold recovery + expected support. The rebound demand after technical oversold: The RSI indicator on the hourly chart has risen from 23 after the sharp decline to 42, but the 4-hour chart is still not out of the oversold range (＜30). There is a short-term technical recovery momentum. The gold price has been supported twice at the 4000-dollar integer level, forming a "double-bottom" pattern, and the fluctuation range in the past three trading days has gradually narrowed, indicating that after the oscillation, there is a high probability of breaking through the upper limit of the range. The bottom support of the expectation of Fed easing: The probability of a 12-month interest rate cut is still maintained at 89% in the market, and it has not completely reversed due to the easing of the geopolitical situation. The policy of the tapering of balance sheet will officially end on December 1st, and the implementation of this certain easing event provides "safety margin" for short-term funds, avoiding another deep correction of the gold price. Structural support of the oscillation range: The 4000-4050 dollar range has become the core area of short-term buying and selling. The 4000-dollar level is both an integer boundary and the lower boundary of the previous oscillation platform, and it has been tested multiple times without effectively breaking through, indicating that there is a concentrated buying demand at this position; the 4050-dollar level is the recent rebound high point, and after the breakthrough, it will open up the short-term upward space. Today's gold trading strategy buy：4005-4015 tp:4035-4045 sl:3995
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Today's gold trading strategyThe foundation for a rebound after negative news fades: The core policies of the Federal Reserve, including the 25BP interest rate cut in October and the termination of quantitative tightening in December, have been implemented. Previously, the market's divergent reactions to the "hawkish actions + dovish guidance" gradually subsided. Powell emphasized that the 12-month interest rate cut "is not a certainty" and although this dampened expectations for aggressive easing, the liquidity easing brought about by the termination of quantitative tightening (full re-investment of maturing bonds) is a definite positive factor. Currently, the gold price has not fully priced in this long-term support, and there is short-term room for expectation correction. Dual support from interest rates and liquidity: The federal funds rate has dropped to the range of 3.75%-4.00%, coupled with the easing of liquidity pressure in the money market after the termination of QT in December, the holding cost of non-interest-bearing assets has further decreased. Historical data shows that within 1-2 weeks after the Fed's first rate cut, the probability of gold rising was 68%. This time, in addition to the rate cut, the termination of quantitative tightening also occurred, and the easing intensity was greater than that in the same period in 2019, providing stronger support. The rational return of market expectations: The expectation of a December interest rate cut has narrowed from over 90% to 60%-70%. Excessive optimistic expectations have been corrected. The current expectation level is more in line with the policy orientation of the Federal Reserve based on "data dependence". After the negative news is cleared, funds will once again focus on the substantive positive impact of the termination of quantitative easing, driving the gold price to rebound. Today's gold trading strategy buy：4005-4015 tp:4035-4045 sl:3995
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (31/10/2025, US SESSION) 1️⃣ Market Overview Gold is consolidating near $4,009 ahead of the US Core PCE release — a key inflation figure likely to inject high volatility. After testing the Golden Zone (4,023–4,008) multiple times, bulls remain in control above 3,995, but momentum has slowed. Overall structure shows accumulation within a rising channel — suggesting a potential bullish continuation if price breaks above 4,026. ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🟢 D1: Gold remains above the 100 EMA (3,860), showing long-term strength. Short-term retracement from 4,046 with RSI ~51 = neutral pressure. 🟡 H1: Consolidation range 3,995–4,026 forming; 50EMA at 4,008 acting as dynamic support. Price is compressing between EMAs and trendlines. 🔵 15M–5M: RSI climbing from 40→55; MACD showing early bullish histogram; price coiling under 4,014 — ready for expansion. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis Last swing: 3,985 → 4,046 • 38.2% ➤ 4,023 • 50.0% ➤ 4,016 • 61.8% ➤ 4,008 🎯 Golden Zone: 4,023 – 4,008 (currently active) ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📈 BUY SCENARIO (Main Bias) ✅ Entry Zone: 4,023 – 4,008 (Golden Zone Re-entry) 🎯 Targets: 4,026 → 4,046 → 4,060 → 4,082 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3,995 ⚡ Confirmation: Bullish CHoCH or engulfing on 5M/15M timeframe. 💥 BREAKOUT BUY Trigger: Break & close above 4,026 Retest: 4,022–4,024 🎯 Targets: 4,046 → 4,060 → 4,082 → 4,100 🛑 SL: Below 4,010 ⸻ 📉 SELL SCENARIO (Countertrend) ⚠️ Sell Zone: 4,026 – 4,046 (Strong liquidity / supply area) 🎯 Targets: 4,016 → 4,008 → 3,985 → 3,965 🛑 SL: Above 4,050 ⚡ Confirmation: RSI divergence or bearish engulfing on rejection. 🚨 BREAKOUT SELL Trigger: Clean break below 3,985 Retest: 3,995–3,990 🎯 Targets: 3,965 → 3,945 → 3,920 🛑 SL: Above 4,005 ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch 📊 Key Event: US Core PCE (High Impact) • If inflation prints higher → USD strengthens → possible gold pullback. • If weaker → USD drops → gold rallies above 4,046. 💵 DXY near 106.20, limiting upside pressure for now. ⚠️ Month-end flows may cause whipsaws and liquidity grabs before direction confirms. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels Resistance: 4,026 / 4,034 / 4,046 / 4,060 Support: 4,016 / 4,008 / 3,995 / 3,985 Golden Zone: 4,023 – 4,008 Break Buy Trigger: > 4,026 Break Sell Trigger: < 3,985 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold continues to respect the Golden Zone (4,023–4,008) while coiling within a narrowing range. If buyers defend 4,008–3,995, we can expect continuation toward 4,046–4,060. Only a confirmed break below 3,985 will flip the bias bearish. ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary Primary Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 4,008 → Target 4,046–4,060 Secondary Bias: 🔴 Bearish below 3,985 → Target 3,965–3,945 Volatility: ⚡ High (due to US PCE + month-end rebalancing) ⸻ — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀 ⸻
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX