The Yo-Yo Market: Gold Swings Wildly but Goes NowhereRecently, Gold’s volatility has been extreme — with over 1,000+ pip swings up and down. Yet, despite all the loud noise , if we look closer, nothing truly significant has happened since the drop from the 4400 zone to below 4,000.
For most retail traders using stop losses, this type of environment has been extremely challenging — whipsaws in both directions.
However, if we step back and filter out the noise, a clearer structure begins to appear:
________________________________________
🔍 Key Observations
1. Normal Correction Behavior
The sharp drop from the all-time high actually stopped right at the previous ATH from early October — a very common technical behavior, where price retraces into prior calendar-based resistance zones.
2. Below 4K, But Not Broken
Although Gold is currently trading below 4,000, the move under that level is not yet a confirmed breakdown.
3. Strong Rebounds from 3920
Yesterday, price bounced aggressively from the 3920 zone, and this exact reaction repeated twice overnight — showing that buyers are still defending this area.
4. Correction Within the Golden Zone
Despite the dramatic fall, the current retracement sits just above the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the strong bullish leg from late August — technically, a textbook “golden zone” correction.
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🎯 Trading Outlook
If we connect all the dots, Gold appears to be finishing a much-needed correction rather than starting a downtrend.
• Short term:
Resistance is found around 3975–3980. A clean break above could open the way to 4030.
• Medium term:
If Gold manages to stabilize above 4,000, the next upside targets are 4050, and possibly 4150 as we move into November.
________________________________________
⚖️ Final Thoughts
Yes, volatility is high — but beneath the surface, Gold is simply completing a natural corrective phase.
As long as 3900-3920 zone holds, the medium-term focus shifts back toward 4150.
🚀
Xauusdupdates
XAU/USD – Gold Maintains Short-Term Uptrend, Target $4,108🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to uphold a short-term bullish structure after forming a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) around the 3,926 USD area.
Buyers are in control as prices consistently create higher lows and react positively at the Order Block + Support Trendline zone.
As long as prices remain above the 3,940–3,926 USD range, the bullish structure is preserved.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Order Block Bullish: 3,926 USD → main support zone, confluence with rising trendline.
• Fair Value Gap (FVG): 3,942 – 3,972 USD → potential liquidity absorption zone.
• Resistance Zone: 4,032 USD → short-term barrier, needs to break to confirm continued upward momentum.
• Liquidity Zone: 4,108 USD → extended target if the above resistance is breached.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritize catching the retracement from the support zone
• Entry: 3,942 – 3,926 USD
• Stop Loss: 3,910 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,972
– TP2: 4,032
– TP3: 4,064
– TP4: 4,108
✳️ “Buy the discount” – Prioritize entries at the confluence of OB + FVG to follow Smart Money flow.
2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Short-term at resistance zone
• Entry: 4,032 – 4,048 USD
• Stop Loss: 4,060 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 4,010
– TP2: 3,972
– TP3: 3,942
✳️ “Sell the premium” – Only activate if a clear price rejection signal appears at resistance.
💬 Summary
The current structure remains bullish short-term with the 3,926 USD area as the key invalidation zone .
As long as prices stay above the trendline, the immediate target is the 4,108 USD liquidity zone.
Optimal strategy: Buy on dip – Sell on reaction.
💡 Today's Tagline:
“Smart Money buys fear, sells greed — follow the footprints, not the noise.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 31/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
XAU/USD – Gold Eyes 4,100$ as Safe-Haven Demand Holds Firm🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to attract buyers for the second consecutive day, as renewed safe-haven demand supports a modest recovery from last week’s lows near 3,890$.
While the Fed’s hawkish stance keeps the Dollar firm, concerns over a prolonged US government shutdown and weaker macro sentiment have limited further USD gains — allowing gold to stabilize above the 3,970–3,990$ zone.
Still, with mixed fundamentals in play, traders remain cautious ahead of next week’s US data releases and policy speeches.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4)
Gold has successfully broken its short-term downtrend, reclaiming momentum from the 3,933–3,973$ liquidity zone.
Price is now consolidating below the psychological 4,000$ handle, forming a clean breakout–retest structure.
Key Levels:
• Immediate Support: 3,973$ – 3,933$ (Breakout & Retest Zone)
• Resistance 1: 4,035$ – 4,050$
• Resistance 2 / Target: 4,114$ – 4,127$ (Fibo 1.618 extension)
• Extended Bull Target: 4,148$+ if momentum sustains
Invalidation: A breakdown below 3,930$ would invalidate the bullish scenario and re-open short-term downside liquidity toward 3,890$.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold holds the breakout above 3,970$, the bias remains bullish —
buyers may continue driving price toward 4,100$+, aligned with fib extensions and prior supply structure.
However, any hawkish narrative from Fed speakers could trigger intraday pullbacks before continuation.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Smart money never rushes the breakout — it builds conviction where liquidity confirms direction.”
Is Gold Setting Up for a Bearish Move?Gold has faced rejection from the 30-minute resistance area near 4,012, followed by a break of structure to the downside indicating renewed bearish momentum. The market structure suggests a potential short-term continuation toward the 3,968 support zone as sellers regain control.
Key Levels:
Sell Entry: 4,000
Take Profit: 3,968
Stop Loss: 4,012
Reasoning:
Technically, XAUUSD has rejected the resistance zone and confirmed a break of the structure, suggesting sellers are stepping in after a failed attempt to push higher. Lower highs and increasing bearish candles reflect momentum shifting in favor of the downside.
Fundamentally, gold remains under mild pressure as investors await upcoming U.S. economic data, while a slightly firm U.S. dollar limits bullish extension in the short term.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan before executing any trade.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating near $4,000, following a rebound from the $3,948–3,957 support zone. The price faces strong resistance between $4,008–4,016, where there is a possibility to retrace back to the trendline. A rejection from this zone could confirm a short-term pullback toward support, while a decisive breakout above $4,023 may open the door to $4,050 and beyond.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $4,008 – $4,016 (resistance retest)
Stop Loss: $4,023
Take Profit: $3,957 / $3,948
Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.8
🌐 Macro Background
Gold extended its recovery for the second consecutive day amid renewed safe-haven demand, but the upside remains capped by the Fed’s hawkish stance. As FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani noted: “Gold trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, though remains capped below $4,050 amid mixed fundamental cues.” 【FXStreet】
The U.S. government shutdown concerns continue to weigh on sentiment, softening the Dollar slightly and supporting gold’s defensive bid. However, Fed Chair Powell’s hawkish tone—stating that another December rate cut “is not a foregone conclusion”—keeps the USD underpinned and limits further gold gains.
In addition, the de-escalation in U.S.–China trade tensions has improved risk appetite, reducing safe-haven flows. This mixed backdrop leaves gold oscillating within a tight range ahead of key FOMC member speeches and month-end flows.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,008 – $4,016
Support: $3,948 – $3,957
Psychological Level: $4,000
📌 Trade Summary
Gold trades near $4,000, balancing safe-haven support and Fed-driven headwinds. The short-term bias favours selling near resistance ($4,008–4,016) targeting the $3,957 zone, with stops above $4,023. A sustained close above $4,023 would invalidate this bearish bias.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits [ 1500 pips in single Day ]
Today I gave 2 Buy setups on mine in Early EU session and 2nd on N.y session.
As I mentioned in today’s commentary session:
• I took buy trades around 3930 & 3940 area
My Tp was 3990 & 4010 , Both Targets went successfull.
Secondly I gave another setup As always ,My strategy was to buy the dips, I took buy trades from 3967-3972 area and hold it 4010 - 4020.
I’m very happy with the profits so far – .
My medium-term target 4120 is achieved, Alhamdulillah. And I'm looking for new setup now towards ATH.
Thanks to those who followed, trusted me, and made profits.
What is the purpose of this back-and-forth market manipulation?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold prices have broken through short-term resistance due to news, and the hourly and 4-hour charts show prices above the middle Bollinger Bands. Therefore, we need to adjust our strategies accordingly. However, the market is currently fluctuating rapidly, and entering the market rashly in the short term still carries significant risks. Therefore, the wise choice is to wait and see, and enter the market only after the market stabilizes. In the short term, the upside resistance level to watch remains at 4030. If gold breaks through this level strongly during the US session, the price may test 4050. The initial support level to watch is 3980-3960. If the price retraces but does not break through this level, consider taking small long positions in gold in batches, with a target of 4010-4030. Temporary adversity is the best test for traders; setbacks only make us stronger. Success belongs to the confident, opportunity belongs to the pioneers, and miracles belong to the persistent! 💪💪💪
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Soboring today [10.30.2025]Hi traders, I'm here, Anfibo.
XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
ENTRY: 4135 - 4150
SL: 4165
TP: 4045 - 4010 - 4000
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: around 3935
SL: 3915
TP: 4020 - 4080 - 4135 - ...
Risk Management:
- Prioritize Buy setups following the higher-timeframe trend; Sell only for intraday scalps.
- Maintain a minimum Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2.
- Avoid entries during major geopolitical or economic announcements.
- Monitor the Head & Shoulders pattern closely — confirmation will guide the next major move.
Conclusion:
Gold has completed a healthy correction after its parabolic surge to $4,400, and the market is now regrouping around the $4,000 zone, with early signs of renewed bullish momentum. As long as $3,890 remains intact, the broader trend remains bullish, and I expect a potential rebound toward $4,200 in the near term.
GOODLUCK, LOVE U GUYS!
Gold Price Analysis – Will Bears Drag XAUUSD Below 3900?Gold continues to trade within a clear downward structure facing consistent resistance near the 4040–4060 zone while maintaining pressure below key descending trendlines. Price recently confirmed another Change of Character (ChoCH) near the 3972 level suggesting bearish continuation. The projection shows potential short-term pullbacks toward 3980–4000 followed by a deeper drop toward targets at 3901 and 3857.
Unless bulls reclaim the 4063–4128 resistance the overall bias remains bearish with expectations of further downside toward the $3,816–$3,850 support range.
Regarding the Fed meeting tomorrow markets widely expect a 25 bps rate cut which is already priced in. The real impact will come from the Fed speech if the Fed hints at further easing (a dovish stance) gold may bounce higher as the dollar weakens. But if the Fed sounds cautious or signals a pause gold could drop sharply as yields and dollar strength return. Overall trend remains bearish traders should stay alert to post Fed volatility as it could temporarily disrupt or confirm the next major move.
🔴 Sell Zone:
The main sell zone is between 4150-4200 which aligns with the upper resistance range and the top boundary of the descending channel. This area has repeatedly acted as a rejection point where sellers step in aggressively. If price retraces into this zone and forms bearish confirmation candles it becomes a strong region to look for short entries.
⚡ Sell Trigger Area:
The sell trigger area lies around 4000 which is a key psychological and structural level. A confirmed break and candle close below 4000 would likely trigger renewed bearish momentum opening the way toward 3901-3857 as next downside targets. This break would confirm continuation of the bearish wave and strengthen the short bias.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
GOLD ; How far down?Hello friends
Well, after the good rise we had, the price needed a correction, which happened with a double top pattern.
Now the main question is, how far will the fall go?
Well, in the short term, the price can fall to the specified limits, and if the support areas are broken, the fall will continue, and on the other hand, an important resistance has been created, which the price needs to break for the new ATH.
With this decline, it is unlikely that the price will suffer for a while and correct because it has grown a lot and everything will end one day...
Support levels can be good points for buying, of course with capital and risk management.
*Trade safely with us*
Gold Trade Set Up Oct 30 2025Price pushed up after failing to break and close below 4h swing lows and is making 1h and 15m HH/HL so internally i am bullish. If price can break and close above 15m LH and sweep 5m SSL i will look for buys to London highs and PDH but if price fails to close above 15m highs and closes below 15m and 1h swing low i will wait for a BSL sweep on the 5m to target PDL
XAUUSD is on hunt [710 pips TP hit in last setup]Today's Buyers were dominant on both Tokyo & EU session hold the Range of 3935-4000.
As we were buy from 3935-3940 zone and our Tps Hit at 4005
What are my conditions For This setup?
Currently 2 buy zones we have
I expecting the market has to rise from 3975-3972 area
H1-H4 candle closing should be above 3975-3980.
Targets: 4005- 4028
✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3970 our buying will be compromised & and market will again retest 3930 for bottom liquidity
Gold: Trending downwards, 3980 is key.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
In the short term, gold is still digesting the hawkish impact of Powell's speech, and selling pressure remains heavy.
From a technical perspective, yesterday's daily candlestick closed with a long upper shadow. The 4030 level has proven to be a strong resistance level for gold prices, while the daily MA5 moving average has continued to cross below the MA10 moving average, making 3980-3990 a key short-term resistance level. Only by breaking through this key resistance range can gold prices potentially test higher levels further. Otherwise, the market will remain in a weak and volatile state in the short term.
On the support side, pay close attention to the double bottom support level formed on the hourly chart at 3920-3915.
If this range is breached, gold prices may experience an accelerated decline, further testing 3880 or even 3850.
Therefore, in the short term, European trading can try to short gold with a small position when the price rebounds to 3980-3990. The first target can be 3960-3950, and if the price falls sharply, the next target is 3920-3915.
XAU/USD – Gold in Equilibrium Zone: Sell Opportunities Around...🔍 Market Context
Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle structure , showing short-term accumulation before a potential breakout.
Buyers are trying to maintain a minor bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates that sellers still hold the upper hand.
At the moment, price is reacting within the FVG 3,942–3,979 USD area, staying below the descending trendline.
If this zone fails to break, selling pressure may return.
💎 Key Technical Levels
• Bearish Order Block: 4,022 USD → main supply zone, aligning with the descending trendline.
• FVG Zone 1: 3,979 USD → short-term liquidity test area.
• FVG Zone 2: 3,942 USD → potential retracement zone before further downside.
• Bullish Order Block: 3,882 USD → key support aligning with long-term bullish trendline.
• Liquidity Zone: 3,789 USD → extended target if main support breaks.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Sell Setup – Reaction from Resistance Zone
• Entry: 4,012 – 4,022 USD
• Stop Loss: 4,035 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,979
– TP2: 3,942
– TP3: 3,900
– TP4: 3,882
– TP5: 3,789
✳️ “Sell the premium” – utilise supply and FVG reactions following Smart Money flow.
2️⃣ Buy Setup – Reaction from Demand Zone
• Entry: 3,882 USD
• Stop Loss: 3,865 USD
• Take Profit:
– TP1: 3,910
– TP2: 3,942
– TP3: 3,979
– TP4: 4,012
– TP5: 4,022
✳️ “Buy the discount” – valid when strong absorption or reversal signal forms near the lower OB.
💬 Summary
Current structure remains short-term bearish , yet the market is balanced.
The most efficient approach is to sell near premium zones (4,022) and buy back near discount (3,882) .
Expected range in the next 24–48 hours: 3,880–4,020 USD .
💡 Tagline:
“Trade where institutions act — not where retail reacts.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 30/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
TVC:GOLD Gold rebounded from the $3,931–3,937 support zone, regaining traction above $3,950. The chart shows potential upside toward the $3,981–3,988 resistance zone, though price is still within a short-term range. If buyers maintain momentum, a break above $3,988 could open the way to $4,000. Conversely, failure to hold above $3,931 may trigger renewed downside pressure.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,937 – $3,931 (support retest)
Stop Loss: $3,929
Take Profit: $3,981 – $3,987
Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 5.67
🌐 Macro Background
Gold attracted safe-haven bids after snapping a four-day losing streak. As FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani notes: “The US Dollar drifts lower amid shutdown concerns, lending some support to Gold.” 【FXStreet】
The USD weakened despite the Fed’s hawkish stance, pressured by economic uncertainty from the prolonged U.S. government shutdown.
The Trump–Xi meeting offered a softer equity market tone, reflecting lingering geopolitical caution.
The Fed cut rates by 25 bps as expected, but Chair Powell rejected expectations of another December cut, limiting Gold’s upside.
Traders now await FOMC member speeches for clues on the future rate-cut path.
This combination leaves Gold supported by safe-haven demand but capped by Fed’s hawkish tilt.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,981 – $3,988
Support: $3,931 – $3,937
Psychological Level: $4,000
📌 Trade Summary
Gold holds firm above $3,950 with renewed safe-haven flows, but faces resistance near $3,985. A bullish setup favours buying dips into support ($3,931–3,937) with targets at $3,987. Caution is warranted as Fed commentary could inject volatility.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to weaken as renewed optimism over US–China trade relations reduces safe-haven demand.
Despite the Fed’s dovish tone after the latest FOMC meeting, the Dollar remains relatively capped, offering limited support to bullion.
However, the technical landscape remains bearish — the decisive break below the $4,000 handle signals a continuation of the downside structure that’s been unfolding since early in the week.
📊 Technical Analysis
• Structure: Clear downtrend across H1–H4, with consistent lower highs and controlled liquidity sweeps.
• Key Resistance: 3,985 – 4,000 (former support now turned supply).
• Short-Term Targets:
– 3,925 – 3,930 → initial liquidity pocket.
– 3,880 – 3,860 → extended bearish target aligned with Fibo 1.618 extension.
• Invalidation: Only a confirmed break & hold above 4,020 – 4,030 would shift bias neutral-to-bullish.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the 3,985–4,000 zone and fails to reclaim it, sellers are likely to extend control toward 3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC-driven volatility.
Momentum remains bearish as long as the market trades below the 4,000 pivot — liquidity below 3,900 may attract smart money before any meaningful rebound.
⚜️ Summary
This decline isn’t random — it’s a structural reset.
The market is rebalancing after months of overextended bullish sentiment.
Watch how price reacts between 3,920–3,880 — this zone could define the next shift in gold’s short-term direction.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
Gold Rebounds to Order Block — Downside Risk Remains🔍 Market Context
After forming a Change of Character (ChoCH) and a clear Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside, gold dropped sharply from 4,080–4,100 USD, confirming a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
Price is now making a technical rebound, forming Lower Highs toward the Order Block 4,012 USD — aligning with a small Fair Value Gap (FVG) , suggesting new selling pressure may emerge.
This rebound is seen as a “pullback retest supply” within a completed bearish setup.
If the 4,012 USD supply zone reacts strongly, price may extend its drop toward lower liquidity pools.
💎 Key Technical Structure
BoS (bearish): confirms a break below prior bullish structure.
Order Block (OB): 4,010–4,020 USD → main supply area confluencing with FVG.
FVG zone: 3,985–4,010 USD → technical retracement zone.
Supply Zone: 3,891–3,895 USD → temporary support, may be swept.
Liquidity Zone: 3,850–3,860 USD → key liquidity target.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Retest OB 4,010–4,020 USD
Entry: 4,010 – 4,020
SL: 4,035
Take Profit: 3,985 - 3,965 - 3,945 - 3,915 - 3,890/Open
✅ Condition:
Wait for price to retest FVG–OB with clear bearish confirmation (strong rejection, bearish engulfing, or minor ChoCH on M15).
➡️ Trend-follow setup – sell after price retests supply zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Liquidity Zone 3,850 USD
Entry: 3,850 – 3,860
SL: 3,830
TP1: 3,870 - 3,885 - 3,900 - 3,920 - 3,940/Open
✅ Condition:
Wait for strong absorption or bullish reversal signal (long-tail rejection or bullish ChoCH on M15–H1).
➡️ Counter-trend scalp setup for reversal traders.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELLs below 4,035 USD.
BUYs only valid with confirmation at Liquidity Zone.
Avoid mid-range trading (3,920–3,970) to reduce noise.
💬 Conclusion
Gold remains in a bearish trend after breaking prior bullish structure.
As long as price stays below 4,035 USD , downside momentum prevails.
Next major target: 3,891 – 3,851 USD .
👉 Strategic Plan:
Sell 4,010–4,020 | SL 4,035 | TP 3,985 → 3,890 🎯
Buy 3,850–3,860 | SL 3,830 | TP 3,870 → 3,940 🎯
💎 Price never lies — liquidity always reveals the truth.
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 29/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (30/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)🧠 XAUUSD (GOLD) – ASIA SESSION ANALYSIS (30/10/2025)
Professional Institutional Breakdown
⸻
1️⃣ Market Overview
Gold ended the NY session bearish after failing to sustain above 4,010, closing near 3,944. The market remains technically weak after a corrective bounce from 3,916, showing exhaustion under key EMAs. The current Asian range sits between 3,916 – 3,955, and the bias leans bearish unless price reclaims 3,985. The broader daily structure continues its retracement phase after the parabolic September–October rally.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Structure: Down correction within larger bullish channel.
• Candle: Small-bodied candle forming near the 20EMA, signaling indecision before potential continuation lower.
• Indicators: RSI at 47, below midline → bearish momentum intact. MACD histogram still negative.
• Key Levels: Support 3,850–3,820 | Resistance 4,005–4,040
📉 Outlook: Daily sentiment remains corrective-bearish. Price needs daily close above 4,005 to shift back bullish.
⸻
🔹 H1
• Structure: Lower highs and lower lows persist.
• EMAs: 20/50/200 aligned bearishly; price capped under the 200EMA (~3,978).
• RSI: 39 → mild recovery but still below 50 threshold.
• MACD: Bearish histogram fading; potential short-term relief rally before another drop.
• Zones: Overhead supply 3,955–3,965 + confluence with fib 61.8%.
📉 Outlook: Expect retracement into resistance followed by potential continuation lower.
⸻
🔹 15M–5M
• Minor bullish correction toward 3,950, but structure shows bearish compression.
• Liquidity resting above 3,955, likely to be swept before new leg down.
• MACD flattening; RSI approaching overbought (>60).
📊 Outlook: Watch for CHoCH or bearish engulfing in 3,955–3,965 zone to confirm re-entry short.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis
Swing Reference: 3,993 → 3,916
• 38.2% = 3,946
• 50.0% = 3,955
• 61.8% = 3,964
🎯 Golden Sell Zone: 3,955 – 3,964
Confluence: H1 supply + descending EMA cluster.
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 SELL Setup (Main Bias)
• Entry Zone: 3,955 – 3,964 (Golden Zone)
• Confirmation: 5M/15M bearish engulfing or CHoCH after liquidity sweep.
• TPs: 3,940 → 3,930 → 3,916 → 3,898 → 3,886
• SL: Above 3,976
💡 Rationale: Rejection from fib zone aligns with H1 structure continuation; best risk-reward short setup.
⸻
📉 SELL Continuation (Break & Retest)
• Trigger: < 3,930 confirmed break & retest
• Targets: 3,916 → 3,898 → 3,886
• SL: > 3,940
💡 Rationale: Trend continuation setup below local structure, confirming dominance of sellers.
⸻
📈 Countertrend BUY (Scalp)
• Zone: 3,916 – 3,924 (Asia demand)
• Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or double-bottom on 5M.
• Targets: 3,940 → 3,955 → 3,964
• SL: < 3,908
⚠️ Rationale: Pure liquidity scalp against trend; quick exits recommended.
⸻
💥 Breakout Opportunities
• Buy Breakout: > 3,985 → Targets: 4,013 / 4,030
• Sell Breakout: < 3,916 → Targets: 3,898 / 3,886 / 3,860
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asia session: Low-volume environment; volatility likely after Tokyo open.
• DXY stable around 106.00 → maintains downside pressure on gold.
• US GDP and unemployment claims upcoming — could impact NY sentiment.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
Resistance 3,955 / 3,964 / 3,985 / 4,013
Support 3,930 / 3,916 / 3,898 / 3,886
Golden Zone 3,955 – 3,964
Break Buy Trigger > 3,985
Break Sell Trigger < 3,916
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
Gold remains bearish in structure while inside a short-term corrective bounce. The 3,955–3,964 zone offers the highest probability for re-entry shorts with confirmation.
Below 3,930, sellers take control again targeting 3,898–3,886. Only above 3,985 would sentiment shift bullish toward 4,013–4,030.
📈 Institutional Bias: SELL rallies toward 3,955–3,964
📉 Invalidation: Sustained hourly close > 3,985
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📉 Overall Bias: Bearish
🎯 Primary Setup: Sell retracement 3,955–3,964 → Targets 3,916 / 3,886
⚠️ Alternate Setup: Buy scalp 3,916–3,924 (low probability)
🕐 Session Focus: Asia retracement sell or breakout below 3,916
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 29/10/2025 🥇
📊 High volatility, clean recoveries, and strong finishes.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
❌ SELL -40 PIPS
🔻 SELL +40 PIPS
⚪️ BUY LIMIT – Deleted
🔻 SELL LIMIT +40 PIPS
⚪️ BUY LIMIT – Deleted
🟢 BUY +40 PIPS
🔻 SELL +60 PIPS
❌ BUY -50 PIPS
🟢 BUY LIMIT +80 PIPS
🔻 SELL +210 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 GOLD TOTAL PIPS WON: +380 PIPS
📊 10 Signals → 6 Wins | 2 SL | 2 Deleted
🎯 Accuracy: 75%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Choppy day, but the team still closed strong — key levels respected with solid recoveries.
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
echnical analysis for your XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) chart:XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Min Chart Analysis – 29 Oct 2025
Market Structure
The previous descending channel has been broken to the upside, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
Price retraced back to a support level zone (≈ $3,920 – $3,940), where buyers are likely to defend.
Key Levels
Support Zone: 3,920 – 3,940
→ Price already tested this area with strong rejection wicks, showing buyer interest.
Resistance Zone: 3,980 – 4,020
→ Short-term resistance; a breakout above 4,020 confirms bullish momentum.
Target Level: 4,142
→ As marked on your chart, this is the projected bullish target after confirmation of upward continuation.
Price Action
After a downward correction, gold found support and formed a double-bottom-type pattern near the 3,940 level.
Price is currently consolidating above support, signaling potential accumulation before an upward push.
Momentum Outlook
If price holds above 3,940, expect a move towards 4,000 → 4,020, followed by a breakout to 4,142 (target).
However, if 3,920 support breaks, the price may retest 3,880–3,860, resuming short-term bearish momentum.
📈 Trading Bias
Bullish bias above 3,940 (target 4,142).
Bearish only below 3,920 (target 3,860). EURONEXT:FTI1! EURONEXT:VM81! EURONEXT:PH6X2025 EURONEXT:PH8Z2025 EURONEXT:ZT8F2026 EURONEXT:ER8Z2025 EURONEXT:UY8F2026 EURONEXT:VC8F2026 EURONEXT:ZF8F2026 EURONEXT:ZU8F2026 EURONEXT:VJ8F2026 EURONEXT:AH7X2025
XAUUSD Ideathis pair has formed a valid ascending channel and a valid ascending trendline
in my opinion this would be the move of the gold
but first gold need to break the red trendline with a candle that close under the touch of the trendline
dont forget today there is very affective news about the interest rate
so be careful with your risk management
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