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Inflation warning is smoldering againIn the world market, the spot gold price decreased by 10.4 USD to around 3,624.6 USD/ounce. In the past 24 hours, the world gold price decreased by 0.06%, but if calculated in the past 30 days, the increase was up to 7.22%. Notably, gold recorded strong fluctuations after the US announced employment adjustment data. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) estimated that total non-agricultural employment as of March 2025 decreased by 911,000 jobs, equivalent to a decrease of 0.6%. This is the worst figure ever recorded, three times the 10-year average. As soon as the data was announced, the spot gold price skyrocketed to 3,674.69 USD/ounce, but less than 10 minutes later, it fell sharply to 3,643 USD/ounce. The fact that a little-noticed figure is now in the spotlight shows that the market is more sensitive than ever, especially after the sharp job cuts last quarter.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Can gold continue to rise? Where are the opportunities?Gold prices continued their upward trend yesterday, rising without a pullback. We missed out on this rally. While regretful, I have no regrets. At times like these, we must remain cautious. The price of gold is now at a record high. Without the previous top position as a reference, it is difficult to judge from where it will pull back, so we would rather do nothing than make mistakes. Of course, if a good trading opportunity arises, we must seize it. Looking at the trend range on the 1-hour chart, we are currently trading above the range. Therefore, my advice is not to chase the rally; it's best to wait for a correction and stabilization before entering the market. 3630 is today's low, and 3640 is yesterday's high. Therefore, we can wait for gold prices to retest the 3630-3640 range. If it stabilizes, we can enter the market. Otherwise, if it breaks, we'll look to the 3600 mark.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Running_Golden_Bull
Short sellers' exit strategy and outlook for the marketGold has been rising recently and has deviated from technical analysis in the short term. Out of fear of heights and to avoid the potential risks brought about by chasing high prices, I have been trying to short gold at the top recently. Unfortunately, it is difficult for gold to get an effective pullback in the short term. Even if the account has a certain amount of funds to resist risks, the short orders held in the short term are still facing great pressure. After increasing our short positions near 3620 yesterday, we originally expected gold to at least retreat to 3605-3595, so that we can turn losses into profits in one fell swoop, reverse the temporary losses in our hands, and realize profits completely. However, gold did not give an ideal opportunity in the evening, and even rose to around 3645 at one point, which forced us to try to short gold again by touching the top. However, the pullback last night was limited and failed to effectively fall below 3633, so we can only hold positions again and wait for trading opportunities in the Asian session. After the opening of the Asian session in the morning, there was only a slight pullback. As the gold price continued to rise, the short-term support moved up. In addition, considering that gold had difficulty falling below 3633 last night, the buying funds below were too strong. In order to better protect the safety of account funds, I had to close all short orders in my hands near 3630 and start creating long orders to execute hedging transactions. Since we managed the number of trading lots in our account relatively properly and the number of low-level trading lots was small, it did not cause too much loss to my account. But this doesn't mean I have lost confidence in future shorts. As I said before, as long as the market remains stuck in the sentiment of buying expectations and selling facts, gold is bound to fall sharply. Just now I closed my long orders and am ready to short gold again. The preliminary value of the benchmark change in non-farm employment in the United States in 2025 will be announced tonight. If it falls short of expectations, gold may still fall back. Although there is no good reference point for the weekly and daily lines, the monthly line is suppressed near the 3700 line. As long as it fails to break through effectively, gold will definitely fall. Therefore, in the short term, I am still optimistic about shorting gold, and I am determined to short at 3660-3700.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP-Halson
XAU/USD 09 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has finally printed a bullish iBOS, in-line with analysis dated 23 April 2025 As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its upward trajectory printing all-time-highs. Price previously printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I have marked this in red. Price has continued with it's upward trajectory. We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,659.435. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to analysis dated 13 June 2025 by targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375 and printing a bullish iBOS. Price has continued with its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. Price is currently trading within and internal low and internal high as price has printed a bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,659.435. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially continue bullish. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
All Time High, again?!Gold Keeps Climbing & Traders Keep Selling🚀Gold printed a new all-time high. Last Friday, now Monday and today. You sell. You lose. The minute it pulls back, you try again. Same story on repeat. Thousands of beginner traders are caught in this loop right now. Sell → Stop Loss → Frustration → Sell again because now for sure it will reverse, because it has to... wake up and stop this loop. I. The Mental Bias – Why ATHs Trigger Dumb Decisions The human brain hates “expensive”. Expensive feels wrong to buy, so you try to sell it, forgetting that expensive can get even higher in price. We are wired to hunt bargains, not pay premiums, but Gold at ATH doesn’t follow shopping logic. “I missed the buy, so I’ll catch the drop” is Ego trading, not strategy. People confuse exhaustion candles with reversals. ATHs are not automatic sell signals; they are liquidity traps. Your brain wants to be right, not profitable. II. Why GOLD is Different – It Doesn’t Behave Like Forex Pairs Gold = Safe Haven. It attracts massive capital in global political & economic uncertainty. When XAUUSD breaks ATH, it often does so to induce sellers, not reverse. It will breathe, drop 100 pips, trap more shorts, and rally again. This is by design, due to the fact that the market runs on pain and liquidity. III. So What Should You Actually Do? • Stop shorting just because it’s “too high”. Learn to wait or buy pullbacks. • Don’t trade out of regret. Trade from a solid plan. • Use bias on different time frames from high to low, structural zones and key levels. • Align with HTF bias. Intraday trades should flow with the structure. • Gold gives pullbacks, if you miss them, wait, don’t chase reversals until the fire in price action settles with solid confirmations. 🌟Conclusion to follow: It’s not Gold that destroys accounts, but panic, ego, lack of patience and the absence of structure. XAUUSD isn’t your enemy, but as always your emotions are. Until you learn to keep them in check, trade less and …. Survive ATH season by following the structure and leave moods & fake hopes out of the market. If this article helped you today and brought you more clarity: Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more trading ideas and trading psychology. Thank you.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
4
XAU/USD Bullish Trade Setup Buy from POI Zone towards 3668TargetXAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Analysis ✅ Trend: The market is in a clear bullish trend with higher highs & higher lows. Price is trading above both EMA 70 (3,547) and EMA 200 (3,486), confirming strong upward momentum. 📌 Key Levels: POI Buying Zone: 3,554 – 3,576 (strong support area) Target Point: 3,668 – 3,669 Support Line: Still respected, adding confluence to the bullish setup. 📈 Strategies Applied: Trend Following: Bullish as long as price stays above EMAs. Support & Resistance: Buying zone aligns with strong support. EMA Strategy: Price above EMAs = buy signal. Price Action: Retest of POI zone before moving up.mm 🎯 Trade Idea: Entry: Around 3,555 – 3,576 (buying zone) Stop Loss: Below 3,547 (EMA 70 / zone invalidation) Target: 3,668 – 3,670 ⚡ Summary: Market remains bullish, correction into the POI zone is a good buying opportunity aiming for new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_JOHN144
1
Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation📉 Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation Posted earlier – trade progressing as planned. As shared in the previous chart, a Sell scalp position was executed based on the trendline break followed by a pullback retest. Three Take-Profit levels were marked and the price is moving in line with the forecast. ✅ 🟢 TP1 Hit 🟢 TP2 Reached 🔵 TP3 in progress 📌 The setup remains valid, and as long as structure holds below the retested trendline, the bearish bias continues. We will monitor price action near TP3 zone for final exit or trailing stop update. > Analysis worked perfectly so far – let’s see if TP3 gets cleared soon. 🔍💥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357
1
Reverse Head & Shoulders Setup | Gold Spot | 15min | by Mohsen M 🔸 **Chart:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) 🔸 **Timeframe:** 15min 🔸 **Method:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Pattern Recognition 🔸 **Focus:** Reverse H&S, Order Blocks, TLQ, BOS --- ## 🔍 Market Context: - **Market Structure:** Bearish on higher TF - **Short-Term Trend:** MSU (Market Structure Up) - **Efficiency:** ✅ Confirmed — clean price delivery - **Key Pattern:** Bullish **Inverse Head & Shoulders** --- ## 🧠 Technical Breakdown: 1. **Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder** perfectly forming within a high-value demand zone 2. Price reacted strongly from **Order Block (OB)** + TLQ marked at the bottom wick (Head zone) 3. BOS confirms bullish attempt to shift structure 4. Anticipating neckline break at ~3345 level for further upside 5. Potential resistance and liquidity resting above 3400 (HH region) --- ## 📌 Trading Plan (Pre-London Open / Monday 1:30 AM UTC+3:30): - **Entry Idea:** Watch for bullish confirmation after price stabilizes above Right Shoulder zone (~3300–3320) Or re-entry on a retest of neckline after breakout - **Stop Loss:** Below "Head" and OB zone (~3260) - **Take Profits:** - TP1: Neckline break zone (~3345) - TP2: 3400 – Liquidity pool - TP3: Final HH sweep (~3420+) --- ## ⚠️ Alternate Bearish Case: > If price breaks below the "Head" zone and OB fails to hold, > → Expect bearish continuation to the next liquidity zone near **VTA @ 3200** --- ## ✅ Summary: This is a clean **bullish reversal setup** using SMC logic and a classic H&S pattern: **OB + TLQ + BOS + Efficient Market + Clear Pattern ➝ High-Probability Setup** Structure: 🟥 Bearish (macro) Trend: 🔼 MSU (micro) Efficiency: ✅ Efficient Pattern: 🟩 Inverse Head & Shoulders --- 📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mmozafari1357
8
Gold - Intraday Long Setup (5M TF) | Smart Money + Elliott Struc# 🟢 Gold - Intraday Long Setup (5M TF) | Smart Money + Elliott Structure **Pair:** Gold Spot / USD **Timeframe:** 5M **Session:** London / NY Overlap **Type:** Intraday Long Idea **Concepts:** Smart Money, Supply & Demand, Wave Analysis, SSL Confirmation --- ## 🔍 Market Context The market is currently reacting inside a **key Demand Zone** on the 5-minute timeframe, following a strong bearish move during the London session. The structure suggests a corrective **ABC wave formation**, where the **(c) point** appears to be forming a potential higher low at demand. - Point **(a)**: Marked the first impulse down - Point **(b)**: Rejection at minor **Supply Zone** - Point **(c)**: Retest of **POI at Demand**, showing signs of exhaustion in selling pressure --- ## 📈 Technical Confluences - 🟦 **Demand Zone** active and respected - 📏 Potential BOS (Break of Structure) upon break of the recent high - 📊 **Vol %ile** = 83% → Above average participation - ⚠️ Risk Level: High (tight structure, requires confirmation) - 🧭 Entry Distance: Near --- ## 🔧 Indicators Status (SSL Hybrid) | Indicator | Status | |--------------------------|----------| | SSL Channel | ✅ Bullish cross (supporting reversal) | RSI (50) | ✅ Holding above midpoint | MACD | ✅ Bullish crossover (early signal) | BB Oscillator / HT / RQK | ❌ Still bearish (lagging) --- ## 🎯 Trade Idea **Bias:** Long **Trigger:** Break above **minor Supply** and formation of BOS **Target Zones:** 1. **TP1:** 3,370 2. **TP2:** 3,378 (supply edge) 3. **TP3:** 3,385 (upper supply zone) **SL:** Below point (c) @ **~3,357** --- ## 🧠 Notes This setup is valid as long as price holds above the Demand Zone and confirms a bullish shift via BOS. Wait for clear confirmation before entering. _This is an educational idea based on Smart Money + Elliott Wave principles – not financial advice._ --- #gold #smartmoney #supplydemand #elliottwave #sslhybrid #intraday #5mtf #tradingview
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mmozafari1357
2
XAUUSD – Breakout in Action, Next Liquidity Zones AheadMarket View: Gold (XAUUSD) has just broken out of consolidation, confirming bullish momentum. After the accumulation phase, price surged strongly, showing buyers remain in control. The focus now shifts to the next liquidity zones above, with upside momentum still dominant. Key Levels (H1/H15): Immediate Resistance: 3621 – 3633 Next Liquidity Sell Zone: 3649 – 3650 Extended Target: 3669 – 3678 Support: 3595 – 3580 – 3572 Technical Outlook: Breakout confirms continuation of the bullish trend. As long as price holds above 3595, the structure stays intact. A clean break through 3621–3633 opens the path towards 3649–3669. Trading Plan: BUY (preferred): Buy on retest around 3595–3600 SL: 3580 TP: 3621 → 3633 → 3649 → 3669+ SELL scalp (alternative): Only if strong rejection occurs at 3632 – 3634 SL: 3640 TP: 3625 → 3630 → 3620 Summary: ✅ Breakout confirmed, bullish momentum remains strong. 👉 Watch 3621–3633 and 3649–3650 closely for the next trading opportunities. Follow MMFLOW TRADING for more updates and execution setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Weekly Plan: Bullish Bias with Key Levels Ahead MMFLOW TRADING PLAN XAUUSD Market View: Gold (XAUUSD) is moving exactly as projected in our weekly plan. After Nonfarm pushed price close to $3600/oz ATH, gold has been consolidating around the 357x–358x zone while holding the ascending trendline. Both the Daily and Weekly charts remain strongly bullish, showing no signs of profit-taking. This confirms that buyers are still in control, and the upside bias remains intact. 👉 However, with key US data (Core PPI, CPI, Jobless Claims, UoM Sentiment) coming up this week, short-term volatility is expected. Traders should watch closely how gold reacts around critical support and resistance zones. Technical Outlook (H1 Chart): Price is consolidating sideways, respecting the bullish structure. Holding above 3574–3550 keeps the bullish momentum alive, targeting higher liquidity zones at 3620–3640+. A break below 3530 could trigger a deeper pullback before buyers step back in. Trading Plan: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3552 – 3550 SL: 3544 TP: 3556 → 3560 → 3565 → 3570 → 3575 → 3580 → ???? 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3573 – 3571 SL: 3567 TP: 3578 → 3582 → 3586 → 3590 → ???? 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3598 – 3600 SL: 3604 TP: 3595 → 3590 → 3585 → 3580 → 3570 → 3560 → ???? 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3631 – 3633 SL: 3638 TP: 3626 → 3622 → 3618 → 3614 → 3610 → 3600 → ???? Summary: ✅ Gold is respecting the bullish outlook from our weekly plan. 👉 Key levels to watch: 3592 (bullish trigger) and 3575 (bearish trigger). As long as price holds above 3550, the bias remains to the upside. Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily updates and execution setups.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Fearless Bulls, Straight-Line Rise – But Mean Reversion CallsLast week Gold bulls were fearless – we witnessed three all-time highs within a single trading week. The market closed on Friday just below 3600, locking in an impressive 1,500 pips weekly gain. There is no doubt: the trend remains firmly bullish. But let’s add some perspective. Even if XAUUSD were to drop 1,000 pips from current levels, that move would count as a minor correction within the dominant bullish trend. That’s how extended this rally has become. 📌 Another element supporting the correction scenario is the parabolic nature of the latest move. From the 3300 zone, the rally has been almost a straight vertical line, leaving gold strongly overextended and far away from the mean. Markets rarely sustain such deviation without at least a temporary pullback. 🔑 Trading Plan: While acknowledging the risks of counter-trend setups, I will look for short opportunities. In my view, there is more room to the downside than upside in the short term. Target for correction: 3530 confluence support zone. As always, the trend is still bullish, but corrections are part of the game. A disciplined trader must know when to step aside – and when to take the contrarian shot. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
22
Gold can continue to rise if it retraces support levelGold has been hitting new highs recently, primarily driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and risk aversion stemming from tariffs and the US economic outlook. Last Friday, the unexpected NFP data pushed gold prices above the 3,600 mark. Overall, we still underestimated the upward potential of gold and the impact of multiple data that are bullish for gold. Because of the surprise of NFP data, the market is now evaluating whether the interest rate cut in September will be 25 basis points or 50 basis points, which will inevitably intensify the bullish sentiment. Therefore, in terms of strategy, we are mainly long, and the pullback support is an opportunity. Gold re-entered the 3,600 level at the open today, trading around 3,620. Next, we will focus on two key levels: 3,600 and 3,580. The Fibonacci retracement of the 3,510-3,622 uptrend shows that 3,600 is at 0.786, while 3,580 is at 0.618, both of which represent previous highs and support levels. Therefore, as long as it falls back to these two positions and stabilizes today, you can enter the market and go long on gold. However, remember one thing, once it falls below 3580, don't go long.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Running_Golden_Bull
Gold Soars 37% YTD: Fed Cuts, Jobs Woes & Trade Setups!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has surged 37% from the start of 2025, following a 27% rally in 2024 – fueled by a weakening USD, central bank buying, easing monetary policies, and broader economic/geopolitical uncertainty. With US jobs growth slowing sharply in August 2025 and unemployment rising to 4.3%, markets are heavily betting on Fed rate cuts: 90% chance of 0.25% and 10% for 0.5% in September. Let's analyze today's (08/09/2025) volatile market and spot trading opportunities! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold's Rally Isn't Slowing Down? 🌟 Impressive Growth: Gold is thriving in a low-rate environment amid uncertainty – non-yielding assets like this shine when rates drop and risks rise! 📈 US Jobs Factor: August data confirms a cooling labor market, bolstering Fed easing expectations and safe-haven demand. Fed Independence Drama: Trump's pressure to oust Governor Lisa Cook and push for rate cuts has triggered legal disputes, eroding USD confidence and elevating gold as a hedge against Fed interference. Standard Chartered forecasts more upside from tariff tensions and central bank concerns. Global Demand Slowdown: Top consumers China and India saw physical gold demand ease this week due to record prices – but overall sentiment stays bullish. Gold is the ultimate safe haven in this volatile setup – will the Fed deliver the cuts the market craves? Technical Analysis: Breakouts & Liquidity Sweeps – Avoid FOMO! 📉 In the early Asian session today, gold dipped to the 358x zone before a quick rebound, breaking last week's ATH resistance at 3600 and advancing to 361x. No major news drove this surge, but continuous ATHs signal rapid liquidity sweeps – watch for traps! Avoid FOMO: Target broken round levels for BUY opportunities, or structure breaks at round numbers for SELL, but be cautious of fakeouts. Key Resistance: 3614 - 3624 - 3634 - 3644 Key Support: 3597 - 3581 - 3574 - 3566 - 3560 - 3550 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3624 - 3626 SL: 3630 TP: 3621 - 3616 - 3611 - 3606 Sell Zone: 3634 - 3636 SL: 3644 TP: 3626 - 3616 - 3606 - 3596 Buy Scalp: 3596 - 3594 SL: 3591 TP: 3599 - 3604 - 3609 - 3614 Buy Zone: 3581 - 3579 SL: 3571 TP: 3589 - 3599 - 3609 - 3619 Gold is in breakout mode, but traps lurk – wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could target new highs. 📊💡 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto #Trump #CentralBanks
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC