Gold Analysis – Correction Not Yet Over (IMO)Yesterday, after printing a new ATH at 3674, Gold sold off aggressively and overnight reached a low of 3620.
Now the key question:  Is Gold done correcting? 
👉 My answer:  Not yet. 
 Here’s why: 
1.	The 550 pip drop from the top is barely scratching the surface compared to the 3500 pip rally in the last two weeks.
2.	Yesterday’s daily candle is a bearish pin bar.  While this pattern is weaker in strong uptrends, it can still trigger continuation. 
3.	Structurally, the market looks like it’s forming an ABC correction. The current rebound may be wave B, with wave C expected to target the 3570 zone.
4.	Confluence supports act like magnets once corrections begin. The zone I’m watching aligns with the 23% Fibonacci retracement, which fits perfectly with the correction scenario.
📌  Trading Plan: 
As long as 3675 holds, I remain bearish in the short term. The best strategy is to sell rallies against the ATH, targeting deeper retracement levels.
Xauusdupdates
Market Analysis: Gold Rockets to New HighMarket Analysis: Gold Rockets to New High 
 Gold price rallied to a new all-time high above $3,670. 
 Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today 
- Gold price started a major increase from $3,500 against the US Dollar.
- A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,635 on the hourly chart of gold.
 Gold Price Technical Analysis 
  
On the hourly chart of Gold, the price formed a base above $3,500. The price remained in a bullish zone and started a strong increase above $3,550.
There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,620. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,640 and $3,650 resistance levels. Finally, the price climbed to a new all-time high at $3,674 before there was a pullback. 
The price dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,511 swing low to the $3,674 high, and the RSI declined below 50. Initial support on the downside is near $3,635 and the 50-hour simple moving average. 
There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,635. The first major support is near the 50% Fib retracement at $3,592. If there is a downside break below $3,592, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward $3,575. Any more losses might push the price toward $3,510.
Immediate resistance is near $3,655. The next major hurdle for the bulls is $3,675. An upside break above $3,675 could send Gold price toward $3,688. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward $3,700.
 This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits yesterday Thanks to those who followed, trusted me, and made profits.
As I mentioned in today’s commentary session:  
• I took buy trades around 3640–3644, and I’m expecting the market to test the 3565 benchmark, with an extension towards 3575.
My strategy was to buy the dips, and I’m very happy with the profits so far –  .
My first target was (3565) ultimate was (3675) is achieved, Alhamdulillah.
Additional Tip:
Selling against the current bullish bias isn’t advisable,confirming this as a consolidation phase of the bull market.
Pay attention to 3655,there will be callback if it doesn't break#XAUUSD  OANDA:XAUUSD  
Gold tested the support level of 3630-3620 and stabilized before rebounding again, which is consistent with my previous judgment that gold must experience a correction if it wants to rise again.📉 
In the short term, the market focus is still on the basis points of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut to be announced next week. 💻Therefore, before clear data is released, the market is unlikely to experience significant fluctuations.📊
Although gold is currently fluctuating sideways around 3645,⚖️ in the short term, we should pay attention to the hourly moving average, which tends to stick together and move upward. 🌈Therefore, if gold falls back again in the short term to test the support level of 3630-3620 below, we can still consider going long. 🚀
On the upside, the first thing to watch is whether gold can effectively break through 3655. If it can effectively break through, it is expected to continue to test the short-term resistance range of 3665-3680. 📈Conversely, a failure to break above 3655 could lead to consolidation within a range.🐻
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 09.10.2025 ???Trend is friend. Gold price today is still holding on the uptrend line and has not broken out yet. Today we only need to pay attention to the following important resistance and support zones:
>> SELL SCALP: 3700 - 3710, SL 3720, TP 3600 - 3570
>> BUY SCALP: 3620 - 3625, SL 3615, TP 3645 - 3700
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3620 - 3675 - 3700 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3700 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Good luck guys!!!
Detailed Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD)Gold recently tested record highs around $3675, but prices are showing corrections as traders must have started booking profits from the extreme high level.
On the 4H chart, the price action remains within an ascending channel, suggesting that the broader trend still carries mild bullish momentum.
After touching the lower trendline of the channel, gold is showing signs of stabilization, but upside momentum is weakening.
The immediate support lies between $3636 (Fib 0.236 level) and $3620 (middle Bollinger Band) — a breakdown below this zone could trigger further correction toward $3612–$3593 (Fib 0.382–0.5 levels).
On the upside, if gold holds above the channel support, recovery toward $3675 highs cannot be ruled out, though momentum indicators suggest caution.
Overall: Gold is still in a short-term bullish structure but vulnerable to deeper pullbacks if the key $3636–3620 zone breaks.
XAUUSD – Outlook Ahead of PPI ReleaseXAUUSD – Outlook Ahead of PPI Release
Good day Traders,
Gold recently advanced towards the Fibonacci 2.618 extension before meeting resistance and reacting lower. Price has also broken through the most recent minor low within the upward structure, which, in my view, represents a violation of the prevailing bullish trend. A further leg would still be required to establish a durable reversal structure, yet the case for a bearish bias is already forming.
Fundamental Context
Later today, the US PPI data will be released. Expectations are for 0.3%, down from 0.9% previously. Should the forecast materialise, gold could extend higher in the short term. However, I believe the figure may not prove as weak as projected, and therefore it is prudent to monitor the market’s response to the data before committing to fresh positions.
Technical Levels of Interest
3660: A potential retest of this zone could provide another reaction and may represent the most attractive level to initiate short exposure.
3318: If gold confirms a lower structure in line with Dow theory and decisively breaks beneath prior support, the market could extend towards this deeper downside target.
Trading Approach
The preferred strategy for today is to seek selling opportunities:
Ideal entry: around 3660, should price retest and reject the level.
Strong confirmation: a decisive candle close beneath old support would validate further downside and provide a clear short entry.
Short-term traders may also consider scalping within the corrective range created during yesterday’s US session, as the market redistributes price action.
This is my perspective on gold for the day. Traders should use it as a guide and align it with their own analysis and risk management.
ANFIBO | I think XAUUSD on 09.09.2025 ???Currently, gold is moving within a clearly defined upward trend channel. Our strategy for today should focus on monitoring key resistance and support zones in order to identify potential entry points for both scalp trades and swing trades. The levels I consider noteworthy are as follows:
>> SELL SCALP: 3650 - 3660, SL 3670, TP 3600
>> BUY SCALP: 3598 - 3603, SL 3595, TP 3680 - 3690
>>> SWING BUY: 3560 - 3570, SL 3550, TP 3680 - 3690 - OPEN
>>> SWING SELL: 3790 - 3801, SL 2820, TP 3680 - 3570 - 3450 - OPEN
Have fun!!!
Gold - Buy or Sell this week??? (08-12/09)With the sustained accumulation over the past five months, gold has experienced a strong breakout from the $3,300 sideways range and reached a new all-time high around $3,600. The upward trend is clearly established. Therefore, we can consider buying and selling at the following price levels:
>>> SELL ZONE: 3684 - 3679
SL: 3689
TP: 3618 - 3596 - 3578 - 3565 - 3515
>>> BUY ZONE: 3560 - 3570
SL: 3550
TP: 3618 - 3678
Have a good day. Good luck buddies! :)
Gold Breaks $3,600/oz: Fed Rate Cut Hype & Trading Setups!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) soared past $3,600/oz for the first time on Monday (08/09/2025), hitting a new all-time high as weak US jobs data cemented expectations for a Fed rate cut next week. With a 38% YTD surge following a 27% rally in 2024, gold’s unstoppable—driven by a weak USD, central bank buying, easing policies, and global uncertainty. Let’s break down today’s (09/09/2025) market and uncover trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Keeps Charging? 🌟
Historic Surge: Weak US jobs data (August growth slowed, unemployment at 4.3%) has markets pricing in an 88% chance of a 0.25% rate cut and 12% for 0.5% in September, per CME FedWatch. Low rates make non-yielding gold shine! 📈
Expert Insight: Peter Grant from Zaner Metals predicts gold could hit $3,700–$3,730/oz short-term, with short pullbacks as buying opportunities. Ongoing labor market weakness and Fed easing into 2026 provide solid support.
Global Drivers: China’s central bank extended its gold-buying streak to 10 months in August. A falling USD and 10-year Treasury yields near a 5-month low boost gold’s allure.
Key Data Ahead: Watch US PPI (10/09) and CPI (11/09) for more Fed policy clues. Geopolitical and tariff tensions further fuel gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Gold’s red-hot—can it conquer new highs?
Technical Analysis: Breakout Mode with Traps—Prioritize BUY! 📉
Gold’s relentless rally smashed through 3600, showing no signs of slowing. Keep an eye on the Fibo 2.618 level at 3685 as a potential pause point. Strong bullish momentum favors BUY setups, but beware of FVG traps from rapid surges. Focus on 3641: a break below could trigger a pullback to 3600, while holding above keeps bulls in charge, targeting 3685.
Key Resistance: 3663 - 3673 - 3685 - 3690
Key Support: 3641 - 3629 - 3596 - 3581
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3673 - 3675
SL: 3679
TP: 3670 - 3665 - 3660 - 3655
Sell Zone: 3684 - 3686
SL: 3694
TP: 3676 - 3666 - 3656 - 3646 - Open
Buy Scalp: 3641 - 3639
SL: 3635
TP: 3644 - 3649 - 3654 - 3659
Buy Zone: 3605 - 3603
SL: 3595
TP: 3613 - 3623 - 3633 - 3643 - Open
Gold’s in breakout territory, but traps are lurking—wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could charge to 3685. 📊💡
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto #CentralBanks
Inflation warning is smoldering againIn the world market, the spot gold price decreased by 10.4 USD to around 3,624.6 USD/ounce. In the past 24 hours, the world gold price decreased by 0.06%, but if calculated in the past 30 days, the increase was up to 7.22%.
Notably, gold recorded strong fluctuations after the US announced employment adjustment data. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) estimated that total non-agricultural employment as of March 2025 decreased by 911,000 jobs, equivalent to a decrease of 0.6%. This is the worst figure ever recorded, three times the 10-year average.
As soon as the data was announced, the spot gold price skyrocketed to 3,674.69 USD/ounce, but less than 10 minutes later, it fell sharply to 3,643 USD/ounce. The fact that a little-noticed figure is now in the spotlight shows that the market is more sensitive than ever, especially after the sharp job cuts last quarter.
Can gold continue to rise? Where are the opportunities?Gold prices continued their upward trend yesterday, rising without a pullback. We missed out on this rally. While regretful, I have no regrets. At times like these, we must remain cautious.
The price of gold is now at a record high. Without the previous top position as a reference, it is difficult to judge from where it will pull back, so we would rather do nothing than make mistakes.
Of course, if a good trading opportunity arises, we must seize it.
Looking at the trend range on the 1-hour chart, we are currently trading above the range. Therefore, my advice is not to chase the rally; it's best to wait for a correction and stabilization before entering the market.
3630 is today's low, and 3640 is yesterday's high. Therefore, we can wait for gold prices to retest the 3630-3640 range. If it stabilizes, we can enter the market. Otherwise, if it breaks, we'll look to the 3600 mark.
Short sellers' exit strategy and outlook for the marketGold has been rising recently and has deviated from technical analysis in the short term. Out of fear of heights and to avoid the potential risks brought about by chasing high prices, I have been trying to short gold at the top recently.
Unfortunately, it is difficult for gold to get an effective pullback in the short term. Even if the account has a certain amount of funds to resist risks, the short orders held in the short term are still facing great pressure. After increasing our short positions near 3620 yesterday, we originally expected gold to at least retreat to 3605-3595, so that we can turn losses into profits in one fell swoop, reverse the temporary losses in our hands, and realize profits completely. However, gold did not give an ideal opportunity in the evening, and even rose to around 3645 at one point, which forced us to try to short gold again by touching the top. However, the pullback last night was limited and failed to effectively fall below 3633, so we can only hold positions again and wait for trading opportunities in the Asian session.
After the opening of the Asian session in the morning, there was only a slight pullback. As the gold price continued to rise, the short-term support moved up. In addition, considering that gold had difficulty falling below 3633 last night, the buying funds below were too strong. In order to better protect the safety of account funds, I had to close all short orders in my hands near 3630 and start creating long orders to execute hedging transactions.
Since we managed the number of trading lots in our account relatively properly and the number of low-level trading lots was small, it did not cause too much loss to my account. But this doesn't mean I have lost confidence in future shorts. As I said before, as long as the market remains stuck in the sentiment of buying expectations and selling facts, gold is bound to fall sharply. Just now I closed my long orders and am ready to short gold again.
The preliminary value of the benchmark change in non-farm employment in the United States in 2025 will be announced tonight. If it falls short of expectations, gold may still fall back. Although there is no good reference point for the weekly and daily lines, the monthly line is suppressed near the 3700 line. As long as it fails to break through effectively, gold will definitely fall. Therefore, in the short term, I am still optimistic about shorting gold, and I am determined to short at 3660-3700.
XAUUSD heading to 3700.00NFP week job data has fueled the long term uptrend on XAUUSD showing a possible trend continuation on GOLD. Multiple timeframe trend on XAUUSD is bullish with monthly, weekly and daily trend confirmation showing GOLD to potentially move back to the upside with a bullish channel creation. 
It is a high probability that price may reject from the support level 3645.00 could be an important level for buy entry upon break of structure. 
XAU/USD 09 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing:  Bullish.
-> Internal:  Bullish.
Price has finally printed a bullish iBOS, in-line with analysis dated 23 April 2025
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its upward trajectory printing all-time-highs. 
Price previously printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I have marked this in red. 
Price has continued with it's upward trajectory.  We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high. 
Intraday Expectation: 
Price to print bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation.   CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,659.435.
Alternative scenario:  Price could potentially print higher-highs. 
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart: 
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to analysis dated 13 June 2025 by targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375 and printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has continued with its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs.
Price is currently trading within and internal low and internal high as price has printed a bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. 
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either  M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,659.435.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially continue bullish. 
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart: 
All Time High, again?!Gold Keeps Climbing & Traders Keep Selling🚀Gold printed a new all-time high. Last Friday, now Monday and today.
You sell. You lose.
The minute it pulls back, you try again.
Same story on repeat.
Thousands of beginner traders are caught in this loop right now. 
Sell → Stop Loss → Frustration → Sell again because now for sure it will reverse, because it has to... wake up and stop this loop.
I. The Mental Bias – Why ATHs Trigger Dumb Decisions
The human brain hates “expensive”. 
Expensive feels wrong to buy, so you try to sell it,  forgetting that expensive can get even higher in price. We are wired to hunt bargains, not pay premiums, but Gold at ATH doesn’t follow shopping logic. 
“I missed the buy, so I’ll catch the drop” is Ego trading, not strategy.
People confuse exhaustion candles with reversals.
ATHs are not automatic sell signals; they are liquidity traps.
Your brain wants to be right, not profitable.
II. Why GOLD is Different – It Doesn’t Behave Like Forex Pairs
Gold = Safe Haven.
 It attracts massive capital in global political & economic uncertainty.
When XAUUSD breaks ATH, it often does so to induce sellers, not reverse.
It will breathe, drop 100 pips, trap more shorts, and rally again.
This is by design, due to the fact that the market runs on pain and liquidity.
III. So What Should You Actually Do?
    • Stop shorting just because it’s “too high”. Learn to wait or buy pullbacks.
    • Don’t trade out of regret. Trade from a solid plan.
    • Use bias on different time frames from high to low, structural zones and key levels.
    • Align with HTF bias. Intraday trades should flow with the structure.
    • Gold gives pullbacks, if you miss them, wait, don’t chase reversals until the fire in price action settles with solid confirmations.
      
🌟Conclusion to follow:
It’s not Gold that destroys accounts, but panic, ego, lack of patience and the absence of structure.
XAUUSD isn’t your enemy, but as always your emotions are. Until you learn to keep them in check, trade less and ….
Survive ATH season by following the structure and leave moods & fake hopes out of the market. 
If this article helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more trading ideas and trading psychology. Thank you.
XAU/USD Bullish Trade Setup Buy from POI Zone towards 3668TargetXAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Analysis
✅ Trend: The market is in a clear bullish trend with higher highs & higher lows. Price is trading above both EMA 70 (3,547) and EMA 200 (3,486), confirming strong upward momentum.
📌 Key Levels:
POI Buying Zone: 3,554 – 3,576 (strong support area)
Target Point: 3,668 – 3,669
Support Line: Still respected, adding confluence to the bullish setup.
📈 Strategies Applied:
Trend Following: Bullish as long as price stays above EMAs.
Support & Resistance: Buying zone aligns with strong support.
EMA Strategy: Price above EMAs = buy signal.
Price Action: Retest of POI zone before moving up.mm
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry: Around 3,555 – 3,576 (buying zone)
Stop Loss: Below 3,547 (EMA 70 / zone invalidation)
Target: 3,668 – 3,670
⚡ Summary: Market remains bullish, correction into the POI zone is a good buying opportunity aiming for new highs.
Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation📉 Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation
Posted earlier – trade progressing as planned.
As shared in the previous chart, a Sell scalp position was executed based on the trendline break followed by a pullback retest.
Three Take-Profit levels were marked and the price is moving in line with the forecast. ✅
🟢 TP1 Hit
🟢 TP2 Reached
🔵 TP3 in progress
📌 The setup remains valid, and as long as structure holds below the retested trendline, the bearish bias continues.
We will monitor price action near TP3 zone for final exit or trailing stop update.
> Analysis worked perfectly so far – let’s see if TP3 gets cleared soon. 🔍💥
Reverse Head & Shoulders Setup | Gold Spot | 15min | by Mohsen M
🔸 **Chart:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD)  
🔸 **Timeframe:** 15min  
🔸 **Method:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Pattern Recognition  
🔸 **Focus:** Reverse H&S, Order Blocks, TLQ, BOS
---
## 🔍 Market Context:
- **Market Structure:** Bearish on higher TF  
- **Short-Term Trend:** MSU (Market Structure Up)  
- **Efficiency:** ✅ Confirmed — clean price delivery  
- **Key Pattern:** Bullish **Inverse Head & Shoulders**
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. **Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder** perfectly forming within a high-value demand zone  
2. Price reacted strongly from **Order Block (OB)** + TLQ marked at the bottom wick (Head zone)  
3. BOS confirms bullish attempt to shift structure  
4. Anticipating neckline break at ~3345 level for further upside  
5. Potential resistance and liquidity resting above 3400 (HH region)
---
## 📌 Trading Plan (Pre-London Open / Monday 1:30 AM UTC+3:30):
- **Entry Idea:**  
  Watch for bullish confirmation after price stabilizes above Right Shoulder zone (~3300–3320)  
  Or re-entry on a retest of neckline after breakout
- **Stop Loss:**  
  Below "Head" and OB zone (~3260)
- **Take Profits:**  
  - TP1: Neckline break zone (~3345)  
  - TP2: 3400 – Liquidity pool  
  - TP3: Final HH sweep (~3420+)
---
## ⚠️ Alternate Bearish Case:
> If price breaks below the "Head" zone and OB fails to hold,  
> → Expect bearish continuation to the next liquidity zone near **VTA @ 3200**
---
## ✅ Summary:
This is a clean **bullish reversal setup** using SMC logic and a classic H&S pattern:
**OB + TLQ + BOS + Efficient Market + Clear Pattern ➝ High-Probability Setup**
Structure: 🟥 Bearish (macro)  
Trend: 🔼 MSU (micro)  
Efficiency: ✅ Efficient  
Pattern: 🟩 Inverse Head & Shoulders
---
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**






















