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Rebound or Trap? Why I’m Selling RalliesYesterday’s Move After printing a fresh ATH, profit-taking started late in the New York session. This was followed by stronger selling pressure during the Asian hours, which dragged the price overnight down to 3510. Currently, we see a rebound, with price trading around 3530. Key Question Is this rebound the start of a recovery—or just a pause before another leg down? Why I Expect the Correction to Continue - The market sold off 650 pips from the new ATH, confirming a local top. - Momentum becomes fragile after 2k pips rise in just 10 days - Selling pressure could easily return, especially if buyers struggle to hold above 3550. Trading Plan I’ll be looking to sell rallies against the recent top, targeting first the 3500 psychological level, and then the 3470 technical confluence support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
11
Gold Technical Analysis (XAU/USD)# Gold Technical Analysis (XAU/USD) Gold has already broken two important trendlines (Yellow and Blue), while the **Green trendline** is still holding as the last short-term support. - Key levels marked: **3471 – 3404 – 3436 – 3323** - The price reaction around the **Green trendline** will be critical. - If broken, we could expect a deeper correction, especially considering the **last trading day of the week**, when markets usually seek balance. 🔑 Watch for possible correction waves (Elliott count on chart) with a potential drop toward the **3323–3360 zone**. ⚠️ Note: This analysis is educational only and not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357
Gold head and shoulders top appears, beware of falling risksSeveral US data released an hour ago were all bullish for gold, including the crucial ADP and initial jobless claims figures. However, gold's price hasn't seen much of a rally. I think this is because some investors are taking profits on the one hand, and on the other hand the data's impact on the September rate cut is decreasing. I believe a September rate cut is inevitable, but the hype has been excessive. Gold prices have been rising for some time, and this has already been largely priced in. In addition, the one-hour chart shows that if gold prices fall from 3550, a head and shoulders top pattern will form, with 3350 being the final shoulder. So, I believe shorting gold is a viable option as long as it fails to hold above 3550. 📣If you have different opinions, please leave a message below to discuss
TVC:GOLDShort
by Running_Golden_Bull
XAUUSD – Technical Outlook after ADP NONFARMGold (XAUUSD) attempted to recover but failed to break through the 3559 – 3561 (OBS Sell Zone – CP Down Zone). The sharp rejection from this resistance confirms that sellers remain in short-term control. At present, price is retracing towards the 3528 – 3515 support zone – a key level to watch: If buyers defend 3515, we could see a rebound back toward the 3550 – 3559 resistance zone. A clear break below 3515 would signal stronger bearish pressure, opening the path toward 3486 – 3477 (Liquidity & OBS Buy Zone) where large orders are likely waiting. Additionally, the 3537 – 3540 VPOC/Sideway Range remains a critical balance area where short-term market direction could be decided. 📌 Key Technical Levels Major Resistance: 3550 – 3559 Near-term Support: 3528 – 3515 Liquidity & BUY Zone: 3486 – 3477 📊 MMFLOW Trading View: Short-term momentum currently favours a corrective move lower after the rejection at 3559 – 3561. The reaction at 3515 will be crucial: Holding above → potential rebound to retest 3550 – 3559 Breaking lower → extended downside towards 3486 – 3477 liquidity zone
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to Watch | 04/09/25Gold dropped sharply into the Pullback Zone during the Asian session after the strong rally into the $3,584 resistance. Price is now trending near the $3,550 level, with the 50MA providing dynamic support. If buyers can reclaim momentum above $3,550, the path opens toward $3,584, and a clean break there would target $3,608. On the downside, failure to hold above $3,525 risks a deeper retracement into $3,506, with extended weakness pointing toward $3,483 and the lower support zones. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $3,550 $3,584 $3,608 Support: $3,525 $3,506 $3,483 $3,462 🔎 Fundamental Focus – Rest of the Week Markets now turn to the U.S. labor data cluster: Thursday: ADP Employment, Jobless Claims, ISM Services PMI Friday: NFP, Unemployment Rate, Wage Growth These figures are likely to be the main catalysts for gold as the week wraps up. ⚠️ Risk Note: Expect elevated volatility, false breaks, and sharp intraday reversals around data drops. Stay disciplined on risk sizing and avoid chasing moves.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Inflation is rising but countries are still pumping moneyGold rose amid rising global bond yields. In the US, the 30-year Treasury yield approached 5%, while yields on UK, Australian and Japanese bonds also rose rapidly. The sell-off reflected concerns about large government spending and the risk of inflation. According to Bloomberg, the global bond yield index fell 0.4% on September 2, indicating strong selling pressure. In addition, a series of corporate bond sales on September 2 and uncertainties related to the independence of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) increased pressure on the bond market in general. In addition, investors are also cautious about the possibility that US stocks and many other markets will enter a period of sharp decline in September-October, which has often seen large fluctuations in the past. Gold is entering a new bull run after several months of stagnation. Contrary to forecasts of a deep correction, the precious metal has maintained its strength and bounced back thanks to signals that the Fed may ease monetary policy under pressure from President Donald Trump. The Fed signaled a rate cut despite inflation remaining high, near 3% instead of the 2% target of many years ago. This means that the prices of goods and services may go up, and the USD may lose value.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
1
XAUUSD – 1H | OB / FVG Roadmap Price currently: 3539.7 🔴 1H Supply (Sell Zone): 3565 – 3575 🟩 1H OB #1: 3488 – 3470 🟩 1H OB #2: 3455 – 3440 🟦 1H FVG: 3405 – 3390 🟩 Deep 1H OB: 3382 – 3372 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation: If price holds above 3488–3470 OB, I’ll look for buys targeting 3565–3575 supply zone. Acceptance above 3575 could open doors to continuation higher (new highs). Invalidation: clean 1H close below 3470. Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback: If price fails to hold 3488–3470, next area for potential long setups is 3455–3440 OB, and then the unmitigated 3405–3390 FVG. I will look for bullish CHoCH/BOS on 3–5m TF before entering. Targets for rebound are 3530 (mid-range) and 3565–3575 (supply zone). Execution: No blind orders – confirmation required on LTF. 📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD 📚 Daily setups & educational trades
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProfitaminFX
GOLD TECHNICAL OUTLOOKGold is currently trading in the 3560 – 3565 range, marking a new all-time high in its history. The market remains in a high-volatility phase, and the next few H4 candles will be crucial in defining short-term direction. 🔹 Key Pivot Level: 3555 --- 🟢 Bullish Scenario If the H4 candle closes above 3555, this would signal continued bullish momentum. In this case, upside targets may extend towards: 3585 – Initial bullish target 3605 – Next resistance area 3620 – Major resistance zone / potential new ATH extension This scenario suggests the uptrend remains intact, with buyers controlling the market. --- 🔻 Bearish Scenario If the H4 candle closes below 3555, it may indicate a potential pullback or correction. Bearish levels to watch are: 3530 – First support 3515 – Next bearish target 3485 – Major support area and potential correction base This would suggest a short-term reversal or healthy retracement after the recent rally. 📊 Summary: Gold is at a critical decision point. A confirmed H4 close above or below 3555 will likely define the next directional move. Until confirmation, the market remains neutral with both scenarios valid. 💡 Always manage risk carefully and wait for candle confirmations before considering any positions.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by Alpha_Signalist
XAUUSD – Liquidity Gap & Key Levels Before ADP/NFPAfter yesterday’s rally, Gold (XAUUSD) pulled back over 60 points, returning to the VPOC 3537 zone. This sharp move suggests a possible short-term ATH near 357x, where many SELLs were forced out while BUYs locked in profits. Currently, Gold is in a correction phase ahead of ADP today and NFP tomorrow. With ADP expected at 73K vs. 104K prior, weaker data could support further upside if USD weakens. The 60+ point drop shows profit-taking by big players and left liquidity gaps on both sides, bringing price back into the 353x–354x range. A breakout of this range will likely dictate today’s trend. 🔑 Key Resistance Levels 3540 - 3548 - 3560 - 3576 🔑 Key Support Levels 3526 - 3515 - 3502 - 3490 - 3476 📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View) BUY Scalp: 3502 – 3500 SL: 3494 TP: 3506 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ??? BUY Zone: 3477 – 3475 SL: 3470 TP: 3485 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – 3550 – ??? SELL Scalp: 3559 – 3561 SL: 3566 TP: 3554 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 – ??? SELL Zone: 3574 – 3576 SL: 3580 TP: 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ??? 📊 MMFLOW TRADING View: Today’s market context suggests continued correction before ADP/NFP. Sideway accumulation remains dominant in 353x–354x, but a decisive breakout will guide today’s direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 4/9/2025 Momentum • D1: Currently showing bearish reversal signals. We need to wait for today’s daily candle close to confirm. If confirmed, it is likely that the recent rally has ended and the market will enter a corrective phase lasting several days. • H4: Momentum is moving into the oversold zone, suggesting that the current downward correction may be close to completion. Afterward, a rebound is expected within the next 1–2 H4 candles. • H1: Momentum is in the oversold zone and showing signs of turning upward, indicating a short-term bullish bounce is likely. Wave Structure • D1: The first bearish candle has appeared after a steep rally, suggesting a 5-wave structure. The ongoing correction will help determine whether this was the completion of a larger Wave 5 or just Wave 1 within Wave 5. • H4: After reaching 3578, price turned lower. This likely marked the completion of black Wave 5, as well as the green wave and purple Wave iii. The market is now in the corrective phase of purple Wave iv. • H1: Purple Wave iii has completed, including both black Wave 5 and green Wave v. An ABC corrective structure is currently forming, but its formation time is relatively short, which means extra caution is needed as the correction may not be fully completed or could extend further. 📍 Target zones for the completion of purple Wave iv: • Zone 1: 3498 • Zone 2: 3469 Once purple Wave iv is completed, the uptrend is expected to continue into purple Wave v with projected targets: • Target 1: 3602 • Target 2: 3667 Trading Plan • Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498 o SL: 3490 o TP1: 3524 • Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469 o SL: 3459 o TP1: 3500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD London Session Update – Sideways Before the Big MoveGold (XAUUSD) continues to consolidate within the 354x – 352x range, building a clear sideways structure after its recent strong rally. 📊 MMFLOW VIEW (London Session Focus) The market is now in accumulation mode as the London session develops – volatility is expected to increase as liquidity builds up. If price breaks above ATH 3546, momentum could quickly push gold towards the Liquidity Sell Zone 357x. On the other hand, if 3526 support fails, we may see a liquidity sweep with price retracing into the FVG & Liquidity Buy Zone 3508 – 3480 before resuming the bullish trend. 🔑 Key Levels (London Watchlist) Resistance: 3546 | 3564 | 3576 Support: 3526 | 3508 | 3494 | 3480 ⚠️ During the European session, gold often builds false breaks to collect liquidity before the real move. 👉 Stay patient and wait for a clean breakout confirmation before committing to a position. 🔥 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time plans into the New York session – don’t miss the big move!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
9/4: Short Squeeze Nearing End, Watch Key Support at 3500Good morning everyone! 🔹 Key Support Levels 30M Chart: 3547 / 3532–3528 1H Chart: 3521 / 3516–3509 2H Chart: 3541 / 3523–3480 1D Chart: 3514 / 3450 🔹 Key Resistance Levels 3563–3568 / 3578–3588 🔹 Intraday Trading Strategy Focus on selling at higher levels; avoid chasing the rally. Watch 3516–3509 / around 3500 as the main support zone. A short-term buy may be considered if tested, but positions should be taken with caution and closed quickly. Yesterday, gold’s rally exceeded expectations. Although it encountered resistance near 3562 and briefly pulled back, the bulls managed to push prices further, reaching around 3578. This marks the late stage of the short squeeze, and a counterattack from the bears is almost inevitable. Meanwhile, external buying interest will likely turn more cautious at these elevated levels. That said, the 3500 psychological level remains a critical battleground. Bulls are unlikely to give it up easily, and a rebound is very possible if prices revisit this area. However, bears will also defend aggressively, leading to a tug-of-war in the sessions ahead. Therefore, it is crucial not to chase the rally. Secure profits in time — better to miss an opportunity than to hold onto losing positions. After a rally of over $200, the market needs to consolidate, even if a fake downside move occurs. Based on this outlook, today’s core strategy remains: sell on rallies.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Positive factors for gold and silver as safe-haven assetsUS economic data released on Wednesday showed a weaker JOLTS report on job vacancies. The report (June data) showed that US job vacancies fell to 7.437 million, down slightly from the previous month and the lowest level since April. The report also showed that the labour market is slowing, with fewer people being hired. This is good for the doves in US monetary policy and also supports gold and silver bulls. Global bond yields are rising (prices are falling), mainly due to concerns about inflation, government debt sales and fiscal discipline. This is also a positive factor for gold and silver as safe-haven assets, although capital gains are not a positive factor in themselves. U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the 30-year bond now approaching 5%, while yields in the U.K., Australia and Japan also rose. The sell-off reflected traders’ concerns about large government spending and the risk of inflation, with Bloomberg’s gauge of global bond yields down 0.4% on Tuesday.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold is Ready For Bull After Forming a Strong SupportHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000
GOLD breaks above $3500 – New ATH every day! What’s next?Gold (XAUUSD) is entering its hottest phase, moving 50–60 points per day with explosive volatility. Price is now reacting at a key FIBO extension resistance, where SELL pressure has appeared but still lacks strong confirmation on higher timeframes (H1–H2). 📊 MMFLOW VIEW Sideway → Breakout → Consecutive All-Time Highs (ATH). FVG zones & Key Liquidity levels are still supporting the BUY side. SELL setups remain secondary and only valid with clear volume confirmation. Main scenario: Wait for liquidity retest → Focus on BUY setups. 🔑 KEY LEVELS Resistance: 3440–3446 (ATH) | 3564 | 3576 | 3586 | 3595 Support: 3528 | 3508 | 3494 | 3480 | 3468 🎯 MMFLOW PLAN ✅ BUY ZONE: 3481 – 3479 SL: 3474 TP: 3486 – 3490 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – ??? ✅ BUY SCALP: 3496 – 3494 SL: 3490 TP: 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ??? ❌ SELL ZONE: 3576 – 3578 SL: 3584 TP: 3570 – 3565 – 3560 – 3555 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 ⚠️ Warning: GOLD is in a high-volatility phase – wrong entries can get wiped out instantly. 👉 Be patient, wait for Key Levels, and stick to proper RISK MANAGEMENT above all. 🔥 This is the MMFLOW TRADING PLAN – follow us to stay updated and catch the next big moves in GOLD!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Don't chase the rise of gold, wait for the retracement to 3500Gold retreated to 3470 yesterday before rebounding. Driven by safe-haven funds, it surged strongly, breaking through the 3500 resistance level and reaching an all-time high of 3546. The main reason for the rise is market concerns about the UK's economic outlook. Coupled with the general rise in global bond yields, the UK's long-term borrowing costs hit their highest level since 1998 yesterday. As for gold at this point, my view remains that it's best not to chase the rally. While the current state of gold is generally bullish, the more such times are, the greater the risks. Especially with gold prices at their all-time high, you don't know where the top will be or where the pullback will begin. This creates the greatest uncertainty. When it comes to trading, my philosophy has always been to avoid uncertain trades. I prefer to wait for better opportunities, as they are free. What gold needs now is a pullback to support, which would provide momentum for further gains. However, yesterday's pullback to the crucial 3450 level wasn't reached. Currently, gold has broken through 3500, so 3500 has turned from pressure to support, so I will pay attention to 3500 next and wait to see whether it stabilizes before considering whether to enter the market. 📣If you have different opinions, please leave a message below to discuss
TVC:GOLDLong
by Running_Golden_Bull