Xauusdupdates
Gold Analysis ..I previously analyzed gold and the target was successfully hit. You can take a look and follow the previous analysis. Now we are waiting for a correction in gold and a repositioning and buying. We can take short-term selling speculations and I will update at the appropriate time. Thank you.
9/1: Be Cautious Chasing Highs, Focus on SellingGood evening, everyone!
Driven by rate-cut expectations and geopolitical tensions, gold opened today with a slight pullback but held above key support, then rallied strongly to around 3490. If the 3368–3363 support remains intact during the U.S. session, a test of the 3500 level cannot be ruled out.
However, given the sharp rally and entry into historical highs, chasing the upside is not recommended. My trading bias continues to favor selling into strength.
During a correction, the 3452–3447 support zone will be crucial; holding above it keeps the bullish trend intact.
If broken, focus shifts to the 3437–3423 support area.
At the 3500 mark, strong resistance is highly likely. A pullback from this level is almost certain — the only uncertainty lies in the extent of the retracement. This presents a relatively high-probability shorting opportunity.
Trading Strategy:
Conservative traders → Focus on short positions at higher levels.
Aggressive traders → May attempt tactical longs, but above 3488, selling remains the preferred approach.
Given the heightened volatility, risk management is critical. If you need more specific guidance, feel free to leave me a message.
Gold Jumps 1%: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Buzz!Fundamental Analysis: What’s Driving Gold’s Rally? 🌟
Gold’s Big Win: Spot gold jumped 0.9% to $3,447.09/oz on August 29, with a stellar 4.8% gain for the month. Gold futures also rose 1.2% to $3,515.70/oz, signaling strong bullish momentum. 📈
USD Stays Steady but Weakens: The USD held stable but lost 2.2% in August, making gold more affordable for foreign buyers and boosting its appeal. 📉
PCE Data Supports Rate Cuts: US PCE inflation rose 0.2% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year in July 2025, aligning with forecasts. Strong consumer spending and tariff-driven price hikes signal persistent inflation, but analysts expect the Fed to cut rates—potentially twice this year—lifting commodities like gold. The market now sees an 89% chance of a 0.25% rate cut in September 2025, up from 85%, per CME FedWatch. 🏦
Fed Drama Intensifies: A federal judge is reviewing whether to block President Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook, who’s suing to protect her position, arguing Trump lacks valid grounds. This uncertainty around the Fed’s independence is a major tailwind for gold’s safe-haven status. 🇺🇸⚖️
Why Gold Shines: As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-interest-rate environments and during economic uncertainty—perfect conditions for its current rally!
Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Continues, But Watch Key Levels! 📉
Gold kicked off the Asian session with a bang, breaking through the 3353 resistance and creating a significant FVG (Fair Value Gap) due to its strong upward push. As long as gold stays above the 343x zone, the bulls remain in control. However, with prices nearing multi-month highs, a pullback could be looming. Here’s the game plan:
Key Resistance: 3500 - 3510 - 3520
Key Support: 3472 - 3453 - 3437 - 3423 - 3404
Scalping Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3499 - 3501
SL: 3504
TP: 3496 - 3491 - 3486
Buy Scalp: 3453 - 3451
SL: 3448
TP: 3456 - 3461 - 3466
Swing Trading Opportunities:
Sell Zone: 3510 - 3512
SL: 3516
TP: 3506 - 3500 - 3490 - 3480
Buy Zone: 3436 - 3434
SL: 3430
TP: 3440 - 3450 - 3460
XAUUSD Rejection Signals Potential Pullback Toward Key SupportsGold (XAUUSD) is facing rejection around the upper boundary of its volatility bands near $3,445, signaling potential exhaustion after the recent rally. Sellers are stepping in at key resistance levels, aligning with bearish confluences that support a pullback scenario.
✅ Bearish Confluences:
Fibonacci Resistance: Price stalled around the 38.2% retracement at $3,453, unable to extend higher.
Volatility Band Pressure: Strong rejection from the upper band highlights weakening momentum and overbought conditions.
Lower Timeframe Structure: Short-term resistance formed near $3,441, reinforcing supply pressure.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – $3,421 (61.8%): Initial support test and first bearish target.
TP2 – $3,409 (100%): Full retracement aligning with key liquidity zone.
TP3 – $3,386: Deeper downside extension into lower volatility support.
SL: Above $3,446 to invalidate the bearish thesis in case of breakout continuation.
Gold (XAU/USD) 1st September 2025🔎 Market Context 
Gold continues to trade within a high-liquidity environment, driven by ongoing flows between equity risk sentiment, real yields, and dollar positioning. With the $3500 psychological level acting as a liquidity magnet above, and demand clusters building in the $3440 region, today’s structure offers both sides of opportunity.
Our institutional framework layers multiple confluences across Daily → 4H → 1H, blending Smart Money Concepts (SMC), ICT, supply/demand, VWAP, and Fibonacci arrays. This ensures only the highest-probability zones are highlighted for execution.
 🟢 Buy-Side Liquidity Zones 
Primary Buy Zone – $3438 to $3446 (Golden Zone)
Why This Matters:
Daily demand + fresh 4H Order Block.
NY session low sweep + Asia accumulation base.
Fibonacci 61.8% retracement cluster.
Hidden RSI bullish divergence + anchored VWAP support.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3440 – $3444
SL: $3432
TP1: $3476
TP2: $3490
Strength Score: 9/10 (A+ Institutional)
Secondary Buy Zone – $3410 to $3418
Why This Matters:
Deep daily demand retest.
Weekly VWAP lower band + 78.6% retracement.
Sweep of last week’s low + $3415 round magnet.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3412 – $3416
SL: $3402
TP1: $3442
TP2: $3470
Strength Score: 6/10 (Medium Zone)
 🔴 Sell-Side Liquidity Zones 
Primary Sell Zone – $3488 to $3496
Why This Matters:
4H supply aligned with 1H bearish OB.
Daily swing high liquidity resting at $3492.
Volume Profile POC + $3490 magnet.
Overbought RSI with bearish divergence on 1H.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3490 – $3494
SL: $3504
TP1: $3460
TP2: $3446
Strength Score: 8/10 (Strong Zone)
Secondary Sell Zone – $3518 to $3526
Why This Matters:
Higher-timeframe supply continuation.
Liquidity sweep of quarterly highs near $3520.
Options expiry gamma cluster in $3520s.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3520 – $3524
SL: $3532
TP1: $3490
TP2: $3465
Strength Score: 5/10 (Medium Zone)
🏆 Golden Zone of the Day
👉 Primary Buy Zone ($3438 – $3446)
Best alignment across institutional confluences.
High conviction zone with clear liquidity sweep and macro alignment.
Execution favors long positioning with SL $3432 | TP1 $3476 | TP2 $3490.
 📌 Final Bias 
Longs favored on dips into $3440 Golden Zone.
Sells only valid if liquidity sweeps extend into $3490/$3520 zones.
Maintain disciplined risk with tight stops below liquidity pockets.
“Layers of Liquidity: The Hidden Brushstrokes in XAUUSD”“Layers of Liquidity: The Hidden Brushstrokes in XAUUSD”
When I observe this chart, it feels much like studying a Renaissance painting—full of depth, contrast, and hidden meaning. Every candle tells a story, just like brushstrokes on a canvas.
The strong support zone at 3260–3300 acts like the foundation of the painting, the solid base on which the entire composition stands. Just as an artist relies on balance in structure, the market relies on this level for equilibrium.
The resistance zone near 3440–3460 resembles the sky in a painting—bright and tempting, yet out of reach for now. The fake breakout projected above this level can be compared to an illusion of light in art: it draws the eye upward, but the truth lies in the shadow beneath.
Every higher low crafted along the way mirrors the gradual layering technique used by master painters, building depth and strength in the image. It is not a random stroke—it’s deliberate, showing that buyers are stepping in consistently, giving the chart rhythm and structure.
The liquidity sweep resembles the hidden symbolism often placed in classical artworks. At first glance, it might look chaotic, but its purpose is intentional—to trap participants and prepare for the next phase of movement.
From an educational perspective, this chart demonstrates that markets, like art, are a mixture of illusion and reality. Breakouts may be false, supports may be tested, but the true skill lies in learning how to interpret these strokes. Just as art critics read the layers of paint, traders must read the layers of price action.
Go long after gold fluctuates and pulls back#XAUUSD 
Against the backdrop of the "de-dollarization" trend, gold's position as the preferred safe-haven asset has gradually become more prominent.🌈
Influenced again by news this morning, gold retreated slightly before continuing its short-term bullish trend.📈 The current gold price is consolidating around 3375, with bulls dominating the day.📊
All short-term technical indicators are overbought, and there is a need for a technical correction. The short-term upward pressure is focused on the 3490-3500 range.🥅 However, it is worth noting that the U.S. market is closed today and there is a lack of sufficient capital flow during the NY session. ⚖️If the upper resistance cannot be effectively broken through in the Asian and European sessions, there is a possibility of a shock correction during the day.📉
It encountered resistance and pressure on the upper 3490-3500 level for the first time during the day. 📉You can consider shorting with a light position and wait for a pullback.🐻 Focus on the effectiveness of the support level of 3355-3345 below. You can go long if it retraces but does not break through.🐂 
This week's data is relatively concentrated, and interest rate cuts may trigger unilateral market trends at any time. Independent traders must trade with caution, strictly follow the plan, and avoid the uncontrollable risks brought about by frequent trading.📰
Gold Surges $70+ – Extreme Volatility, Traders Stay Sharp!Market Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) has just witnessed a shocking $70+ rally, sparking intense volatility across global markets.
Rising geopolitical tensions are driving safe-haven demand to the extreme, making gold the centre of attention worldwide.
In this highly tense and unpredictable environment, every entry decision could be a make-or-break moment for traders.
🔎 Macro Outlook
🌍 Geopolitical risks → Money continues to flow into gold as a safe haven.
💵 USD & bond yields are not strong enough to halt the momentum.
📊 Upcoming PCE data & Fed policy decisions could inject even more volatility.
📊 Technical Outlook (H4)
After the explosive rally, gold consolidated within CP Zone H4 before breaking out higher.
Key Support Zones
3,462 – 3,443 → Critical levels to sustain the bullish structure.
Key Resistance Zones
3,487 – 3,518 → Possible reaction area before correction.
A breakout could open the path to 3,536 and beyond.
📌 Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 (Preferred)
✅ Price holds above 3,462 → Tests 3,511 – 3,518 and potentially breaks towards 3,536.
Scenario 2 (Deeper Pullback)
⚠️ If 3,462 fails → Price may retest 3,443 before regaining upward momentum.
🎯 Trading Plan (Reference Only)
✅ BUY ZONE 1
Entry: 3453 – 3451
SL: 3446
TP: 3460 – 3465 – 3470 – 3475 – 3480 – ???
✅ BUY ZONE 2
Entry: 3444 – 3442
SL: 3438
TP: 3450 – 3460 – 3470 – 3480 – ???
❌ SELL ZONE
Entry: 3512 – 3514
SL: 3518
TP: 3505 – 3500 – 3495 – 3490 – 3480 – 3470
💡 Final Thoughts
 Gold remains in a strong uptrend, fuelled by geopolitical risk and macro flows.
Yet after such an aggressive move, a technical correction is highly likely.
Traders should carefully monitor price action around support/resistance zones for optimal entries. 
❗ Most importantly: stick to risk management & Stop Loss discipline – in markets like this, survival comes before profit.
XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 4H timeframe I see my chart is XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 4H timeframe with volume profile and trendlines drawn.
Here’s the analysis based on my chart setup:
Current price is around 3457 USD.
You have a downtrend line (red) which has just been broken.
Price is sitting inside a low-volume zone (thin area of the volume profile), which often allows for fast moves until price reaches the next high-volume node (green shaded areas).
Target Levels:
1. First target (short-term):
Around 3485 – 3500 USD → this aligns with the next
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (01/09/2025)
Momentum
•  D1 timeframe: Momentum has been stuck in the overbought zone for the past 4 days, showing strong buying pressure. However, this also creates noise since extended overbought conditions can reverse at any time.
•  H4 timeframe: Momentum is about to turn down in the overbought zone. Once an H4 candle closes with confirmation, we can expect a correction lasting around 4–5 H4 candles.
•  H1 timeframe: Momentum is heading into the overbought zone. Within 1–2 more H1 candles, a short-term pullback is likely.
________________________________________
Wave Structure
•  D1 timeframe:
Price has risen sharply and steeply, with momentum staying overbought for a long time. This suggests that wave 4 has likely completed, and the market is entering a long-term uptrend. The minimum target is 3684 (equal to the length of wave W).
•  H4 timeframe:
Price is currently in red wave 3. We expect a correction into red wave 4, which aligns with H4 momentum preparing to turn down.
•  H1 timeframe:
o  Wave i (green) is labeled as a leading diagonal, even though wave ii (green) did not retrace as deeply as expected.
o  Price is now in an extended wave iii (green).
o  Within wave iii (green), a 5-wave structure 1-2-3-4-5 (red) is unfolding. Red wave 3 has already completed with its internal 5-wave (black).
o  The target for black wave 5 was achieved at the Fibonacci 0.618 projection of black waves 1–3 → confirming that red wave 3 has completed and price is now correcting into red wave 4.
•  Red wave 4 outlook:
Likely to take shape as a zigzag, flat, or triangle. Two retracement zones are identified:
1.  3462 – 23.6% retracement of red wave 3.
2.  3447 – 38.2% retracement of red wave 3.
Considering the guideline that wave 4 often returns to the territory of wave 4 of a smaller degree, and that H4 momentum needs more time to move into the oversold zone, we select 3447 as the primary target for a sell setup.
________________________________________
Trade Plan
•  Buy Zone: 3448 – 3446
•  Stop Loss: 3438
•  Take Profit:
o  TP1: 3485
o  TP2: 3521
Gold analysis Through the recent movement of gold and the incoming buying signals, we conclude that it will certainly continue to rise to target 3410, then 3440, and after that to our final target before the next analysis, 3485. Then we will see where gold is heading, and it is also expected to break through the 3500 areas!
Gold Price Analysis September 1✨ Gold Analysis Today
After a strong breakout at the end of Friday's session, gold is getting closer to historical milestones. However, the continuous increase also opens up the possibility of short-term corrections in today's session.
The difficulty is that most of the important resistance zones have been penetrated, showing that buying power is dominant. Therefore, instead of looking for big SELL opportunities, traders should focus on observing the Break Out zones that have been formed to monitor the new momentum of the market, with a further target towards the 3493 mark.
🔑 Reference scenario:
BUY when the price reacts positively at the support zones of 3433 - 3421.
BUY DCA if the price breaks out and closes the candle firmly above 3452.
SELL scalp should only be considered on a small timeframe, prioritize quick surfing, and need to closely monitor fluctuations.
The major trend is still in favor of the bulls, the safest strategy is to follow the mainstream money flow instead of taking risks against the wave.
𝐌𝐓𝐗 | Buy-Side Sweet Spot in Gold’s Correction📌 From previous analysis:
  
 • We anticipated corrective pullbacks and highlighted reversal zones.
 • Focus was on 436–432 as the first critical support/resistance area.
⸻
 1️⃣ Key Reversal Levels
 
There’s two scenarios in this rally:
 
 A)
 
• 436 – 432 → First potential bullish reversal zone.
 • 4H close above 435 → upside continuation toward 442 → 447 → 452.
 B)
 
 • 4H close below 432 → decline into 420.
 • 420 – 415 is the strongest weekly demand zone (high-probability bullish bounce).
⸻
 2️⃣ Continues Bullish Scenario
  • 4H close above 454 → opens the way to 467.
 • Stabilization above 467 → next major upside target 484.
 ✴️Plus Tip:
 
Daily closes above 420-415 zone supports the bullish momentum.
⸻
 ⚖️ Summary:
 Gold is starting the month at a decisive zone (436–432). Holding above 435 favors further upside toward 452, while losing 432 puts the strong 420–415 demand zone into play. A confirmed breakout above 454 could accelerate the rally toward 484.
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical OverviewPrice is currently moving within the 3445–3450 range, showing short-term bearish pressure. The area around 3430 is an important level to watch.
A sustained H4 close below 3430 could open the way toward the next support zone near 3405–3390.
If price instead shows a bullish reversal from the 3430 region, upside retests toward the 3460 resistance area may follow.
This setup highlights 3430 as a key pivot for short-term directional bias. Traders should monitor how price reacts around this zone before planning the next steps.
Gold encounters a strong pressure level, you can sellAs I said just now, the rise of gold has encountered resistance at 3450. From the previous trend, we can see that there is strong pressure near 3450. It has failed to break through here effectively for four consecutive times. It is hard to say that the gold price will not fall back again when it comes here again. Therefore, I think it is possible to consider shorting near 3450 and set a stop loss at 3460.
📣If you have different opinions, please leave a message below to discuss
Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) – 4H Analysis
🔹 Key Structure
If price respects the white line at point c, a potential Head & Shoulders formation may develop, signaling a possible bearish reversal.
However, if the orange dynamic line acts as a liquidity-driven trendline, then price could follow the red projection, pushing the market higher toward ATH (All-Time High) levels.
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🔹 Break of Descending Trendline
On Friday, the descending resistance line was broken to the upside.
This break could be interpreted as a fake breakout if the market fails to hold above it.
For confirmation of a true breakout, we need to see continuation and acceptance above the broken trendline.
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🔹 Bearish Scenario (Head & Shoulders Valid)
If the c-leg completes and rejects the white line:
Expect a Head & Shoulders pattern.
Price may retrace toward 3,360 → 3,344.
A close below 3,344 would strengthen bearish continuation.
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🔹 Bullish Scenario (Liquidity Trendline Active)
If the orange liquidity trendline holds, buyers may push price higher.
Breaking above 3,420 – 3,446 with strength could target ATH extension zone above 3,500.
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🔹 Trading Plan
Wait for confirmation: Avoid premature entries as current breakout might be fake.
Bearish bias: Valid if rejection occurs at point c with H&S pattern confirmation.
Bullish bias: Valid if orange line holds as liquidity dynamic and price sustains above 3,420.
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✅ Bias: Neutral → Waiting for confirmation (H&S vs Liquidity Push)
🎯 Key Levels: 3,344 (bearish confirmation) / 3,420–3,446 (bullish breakout)
❌ Invalidation: Strong close above ATH zone
XAUUSD Analysis Today Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold🔸Last week, the price continued its upward trend by hitting our first entry point and rejected the expected ranges.
🔹Now the price is at an important point on the 4-hour chart and since it could not close above the price of 3451.62, there is a possibility of a price reversal.
🔸If the 3451.62 break is confirmed, the new demand ranges are suitable for buying.
🔹If the price closes below the 3404 range, the trend is down and we can sell on pullbacks.
GOLD XAUUSD - Pullback Expected before the Next Leg UpGold (XAUUSD) has been on a solid bullish run, consistently pushing higher after each minor retracement. Now, we’re eyeing a potential pullback toward a key support zone at 3420–3400, where buying interest is likely to resurface.
If price action confirms a bounce from this zone, we could see a continuation of the uptrend toward 3450, and if momentum holds, possibly stretching to 3490–3500.
🔻 Trade Setup – Long Opportunity on Pullback
Entry: Buy Gold (XAUUSD) at 3420
Add-on Dip: 3400
Targets: 3450, then 3490–3500 (marked on chart)
Invalidation: Daily close below 3385
📌 Risk/Reward Outlook
This setup presents a tight risk with attractive upside potential. As always, stick to solid risk management and size your positions based on your personal trading plan.
👍 Agree with this view?
Drop a like, leave your comments, and let’s discuss this setup together!
Your feedback keeps the community sharp and growing. 🔥
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team






















