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XAUUSD is on hunt [710 pips TP hit in last setup]Today's Buyers were dominant on both Tokyo & EU session hold the Range of 3935-4000. As we were buy from 3935-3940 zone and our Tps Hit at 4005 What are my conditions For This setup? Currently 2 buy zones we have I expecting the market has to rise from 3975-3972 area H1-H4 candle closing should be above 3975-3980. Targets: 4005- 4028 ✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 3970 our buying will be compromised & and market will again retest 3930 for bottom liquidity
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Gold: Trending downwards, 3980 is key.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD In the short term, gold is still digesting the hawkish impact of Powell's speech, and selling pressure remains heavy. From a technical perspective, yesterday's daily candlestick closed with a long upper shadow. The 4030 level has proven to be a strong resistance level for gold prices, while the daily MA5 moving average has continued to cross below the MA10 moving average, making 3980-3990 a key short-term resistance level. Only by breaking through this key resistance range can gold prices potentially test higher levels further. Otherwise, the market will remain in a weak and volatile state in the short term. On the support side, pay close attention to the double bottom support level formed on the hourly chart at 3920-3915. If this range is breached, gold prices may experience an accelerated decline, further testing 3880 or even 3850. Therefore, in the short term, European trading can try to short gold with a small position when the price rebounds to 3980-3990. The first target can be 3960-3950, and if the price falls sharply, the next target is 3920-3915.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miracle-Walker_GC
XAU/USD – Gold in Equilibrium Zone: Sell Opportunities Around...🔍 Market Context Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle structure , showing short-term accumulation before a potential breakout. Buyers are trying to maintain a minor bullish structure, but the series of lower highs indicates that sellers still hold the upper hand. At the moment, price is reacting within the FVG 3,942–3,979 USD area, staying below the descending trendline. If this zone fails to break, selling pressure may return. 💎 Key Technical Levels • Bearish Order Block: 4,022 USD → main supply zone, aligning with the descending trendline. • FVG Zone 1: 3,979 USD → short-term liquidity test area. • FVG Zone 2: 3,942 USD → potential retracement zone before further downside. • Bullish Order Block: 3,882 USD → key support aligning with long-term bullish trendline. • Liquidity Zone: 3,789 USD → extended target if main support breaks. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Sell Setup – Reaction from Resistance Zone • Entry: 4,012 – 4,022 USD • Stop Loss: 4,035 USD • Take Profit: – TP1: 3,979 – TP2: 3,942 – TP3: 3,900 – TP4: 3,882 – TP5: 3,789 ✳️ “Sell the premium” – utilise supply and FVG reactions following Smart Money flow. 2️⃣ Buy Setup – Reaction from Demand Zone • Entry: 3,882 USD • Stop Loss: 3,865 USD • Take Profit: – TP1: 3,910 – TP2: 3,942 – TP3: 3,979 – TP4: 4,012 – TP5: 4,022 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – valid when strong absorption or reversal signal forms near the lower OB. 💬 Summary Current structure remains short-term bearish , yet the market is balanced. The most efficient approach is to sell near premium zones (4,022) and buy back near discount (3,882) . Expected range in the next 24–48 hours: 3,880–4,020 USD . 💡 Tagline: “Trade where institutions act — not where retail reacts.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 30/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure TVC:GOLD Gold rebounded from the $3,931–3,937 support zone, regaining traction above $3,950. The chart shows potential upside toward the $3,981–3,988 resistance zone, though price is still within a short-term range. If buyers maintain momentum, a break above $3,988 could open the way to $4,000. Conversely, failure to hold above $3,931 may trigger renewed downside pressure. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: $3,937 – $3,931 (support retest) Stop Loss: $3,929 Take Profit: $3,981 – $3,987 Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 5.67 🌐 Macro Background Gold attracted safe-haven bids after snapping a four-day losing streak. As FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani notes: “The US Dollar drifts lower amid shutdown concerns, lending some support to Gold.” 【FXStreet】 The USD weakened despite the Fed’s hawkish stance, pressured by economic uncertainty from the prolonged U.S. government shutdown. The Trump–Xi meeting offered a softer equity market tone, reflecting lingering geopolitical caution. The Fed cut rates by 25 bps as expected, but Chair Powell rejected expectations of another December cut, limiting Gold’s upside. Traders now await FOMC member speeches for clues on the future rate-cut path. This combination leaves Gold supported by safe-haven demand but capped by Fed’s hawkish tilt. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $3,981 – $3,988 Support: $3,931 – $3,937 Psychological Level: $4,000 📌 Trade Summary Gold holds firm above $3,950 with renewed safe-haven flows, but faces resistance near $3,985. A bullish setup favours buying dips into support ($3,931–3,937) with targets at $3,987. Caution is warranted as Fed commentary could inject volatility. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
1
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context Gold continues to weaken as renewed optimism over US–China trade relations reduces safe-haven demand. Despite the Fed’s dovish tone after the latest FOMC meeting, the Dollar remains relatively capped, offering limited support to bullion. However, the technical landscape remains bearish — the decisive break below the $4,000 handle signals a continuation of the downside structure that’s been unfolding since early in the week. 📊 Technical Analysis • Structure: Clear downtrend across H1–H4, with consistent lower highs and controlled liquidity sweeps. • Key Resistance: 3,985 – 4,000 (former support now turned supply). • Short-Term Targets:  – 3,925 – 3,930 → initial liquidity pocket.  – 3,880 – 3,860 → extended bearish target aligned with Fibo 1.618 extension. • Invalidation: Only a confirmed break & hold above 4,020 – 4,030 would shift bias neutral-to-bullish. 🎯 Trading Outlook If gold retests the 3,985–4,000 zone and fails to reclaim it, sellers are likely to extend control toward 3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC-driven volatility. Momentum remains bearish as long as the market trades below the 4,000 pivot — liquidity below 3,900 may attract smart money before any meaningful rebound. ⚜️ Summary This decline isn’t random — it’s a structural reset. The market is rebalancing after months of overextended bullish sentiment. Watch how price reacts between 3,920–3,880 — this zone could define the next shift in gold’s short-term direction. 📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight: “Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Rebounds to Order Block — Downside Risk Remains🔍 Market Context After forming a Change of Character (ChoCH) and a clear Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside, gold dropped sharply from 4,080–4,100 USD, confirming a shift from bullish to bearish structure. Price is now making a technical rebound, forming Lower Highs toward the Order Block 4,012 USD — aligning with a small Fair Value Gap (FVG) , suggesting new selling pressure may emerge. This rebound is seen as a “pullback retest supply” within a completed bearish setup. If the 4,012 USD supply zone reacts strongly, price may extend its drop toward lower liquidity pools. 💎 Key Technical Structure BoS (bearish): confirms a break below prior bullish structure. Order Block (OB): 4,010–4,020 USD → main supply area confluencing with FVG. FVG zone: 3,985–4,010 USD → technical retracement zone. Supply Zone: 3,891–3,895 USD → temporary support, may be swept. Liquidity Zone: 3,850–3,860 USD → key liquidity target. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Retest OB 4,010–4,020 USD Entry: 4,010 – 4,020 SL: 4,035 Take Profit: 3,985 - 3,965 - 3,945 - 3,915 - 3,890/Open ✅ Condition: Wait for price to retest FVG–OB with clear bearish confirmation (strong rejection, bearish engulfing, or minor ChoCH on M15). ➡️ Trend-follow setup – sell after price retests supply zone. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Liquidity Zone 3,850 USD Entry: 3,850 – 3,860 SL: 3,830 TP1: 3,870 - 3,885 - 3,900 - 3,920 - 3,940/Open ✅ Condition: Wait for strong absorption or bullish reversal signal (long-tail rejection or bullish ChoCH on M15–H1). ➡️ Counter-trend scalp setup for reversal traders. ⚠️ Risk Management Prioritise SELLs below 4,035 USD. BUYs only valid with confirmation at Liquidity Zone. Avoid mid-range trading (3,920–3,970) to reduce noise. 💬 Conclusion Gold remains in a bearish trend after breaking prior bullish structure. As long as price stays below 4,035 USD , downside momentum prevails. Next major target: 3,891 – 3,851 USD . 👉 Strategic Plan: Sell 4,010–4,020 | SL 4,035 | TP 3,985 → 3,890 🎯 Buy 3,850–3,860 | SL 3,830 | TP 3,870 → 3,940 🎯 💎 Price never lies — liquidity always reveals the truth. ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 29/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (30/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)🧠 XAUUSD (GOLD) – ASIA SESSION ANALYSIS (30/10/2025) Professional Institutional Breakdown ⸻ 1️⃣ Market Overview Gold ended the NY session bearish after failing to sustain above 4,010, closing near 3,944. The market remains technically weak after a corrective bounce from 3,916, showing exhaustion under key EMAs. The current Asian range sits between 3,916 – 3,955, and the bias leans bearish unless price reclaims 3,985. The broader daily structure continues its retracement phase after the parabolic September–October rally. ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1) • Structure: Down correction within larger bullish channel. • Candle: Small-bodied candle forming near the 20EMA, signaling indecision before potential continuation lower. • Indicators: RSI at 47, below midline → bearish momentum intact. MACD histogram still negative. • Key Levels: Support 3,850–3,820 | Resistance 4,005–4,040 📉 Outlook: Daily sentiment remains corrective-bearish. Price needs daily close above 4,005 to shift back bullish. ⸻ 🔹 H1 • Structure: Lower highs and lower lows persist. • EMAs: 20/50/200 aligned bearishly; price capped under the 200EMA (~3,978). • RSI: 39 → mild recovery but still below 50 threshold. • MACD: Bearish histogram fading; potential short-term relief rally before another drop. • Zones: Overhead supply 3,955–3,965 + confluence with fib 61.8%. 📉 Outlook: Expect retracement into resistance followed by potential continuation lower. ⸻ 🔹 15M–5M • Minor bullish correction toward 3,950, but structure shows bearish compression. • Liquidity resting above 3,955, likely to be swept before new leg down. • MACD flattening; RSI approaching overbought (>60). 📊 Outlook: Watch for CHoCH or bearish engulfing in 3,955–3,965 zone to confirm re-entry short. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis Swing Reference: 3,993 → 3,916 • 38.2% = 3,946 • 50.0% = 3,955 • 61.8% = 3,964 🎯 Golden Sell Zone: 3,955 – 3,964 Confluence: H1 supply + descending EMA cluster. ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📉 SELL Setup (Main Bias) • Entry Zone: 3,955 – 3,964 (Golden Zone) • Confirmation: 5M/15M bearish engulfing or CHoCH after liquidity sweep. • TPs: 3,940 → 3,930 → 3,916 → 3,898 → 3,886 • SL: Above 3,976 💡 Rationale: Rejection from fib zone aligns with H1 structure continuation; best risk-reward short setup. ⸻ 📉 SELL Continuation (Break & Retest) • Trigger: < 3,930 confirmed break & retest • Targets: 3,916 → 3,898 → 3,886 • SL: > 3,940 💡 Rationale: Trend continuation setup below local structure, confirming dominance of sellers. ⸻ 📈 Countertrend BUY (Scalp) • Zone: 3,916 – 3,924 (Asia demand) • Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or double-bottom on 5M. • Targets: 3,940 → 3,955 → 3,964 • SL: < 3,908 ⚠️ Rationale: Pure liquidity scalp against trend; quick exits recommended. ⸻ 💥 Breakout Opportunities • Buy Breakout: > 3,985 → Targets: 4,013 / 4,030 • Sell Breakout: < 3,916 → Targets: 3,898 / 3,886 / 3,860 ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch • Asia session: Low-volume environment; volatility likely after Tokyo open. • DXY stable around 106.00 → maintains downside pressure on gold. • US GDP and unemployment claims upcoming — could impact NY sentiment. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels Type Levels Resistance 3,955 / 3,964 / 3,985 / 4,013 Support 3,930 / 3,916 / 3,898 / 3,886 Golden Zone 3,955 – 3,964 Break Buy Trigger > 3,985 Break Sell Trigger < 3,916 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold remains bearish in structure while inside a short-term corrective bounce. The 3,955–3,964 zone offers the highest probability for re-entry shorts with confirmation. Below 3,930, sellers take control again targeting 3,898–3,886. Only above 3,985 would sentiment shift bullish toward 4,013–4,030. 📈 Institutional Bias: SELL rallies toward 3,955–3,964 📉 Invalidation: Sustained hourly close > 3,985 ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary 📉 Overall Bias: Bearish 🎯 Primary Setup: Sell retracement 3,955–3,964 → Targets 3,916 / 3,886 ⚠️ Alternate Setup: Buy scalp 3,916–3,924 (low probability) 🕐 Session Focus: Asia retracement sell or breakout below 3,916 ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 29/10/2025 🥇 📊 High volatility, clean recoveries, and strong finishes. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ❌ SELL -40 PIPS 🔻 SELL +40 PIPS ⚪️ BUY LIMIT – Deleted 🔻 SELL LIMIT +40 PIPS ⚪️ BUY LIMIT – Deleted 🟢 BUY +40 PIPS 🔻 SELL +60 PIPS ❌ BUY -50 PIPS 🟢 BUY LIMIT +80 PIPS 🔻 SELL +210 PIPS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💰 GOLD TOTAL PIPS WON: +380 PIPS 📊 10 Signals → 6 Wins | 2 SL | 2 Deleted 🎯 Accuracy: 75% ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 Choppy day, but the team still closed strong — key levels respected with solid recoveries. 👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
Gold Has Entered the Fifth Wave — A Drop Below 3800 Is PossibleGold continued its Wave-4 rebound today, but following a news catalyst, Wave-5 downward momentum began, and the market structure has become clearer. In such conditions, what traders need most is patience. From the daily chart perspective, there still appears to be room for further downside. Based on my expectation, this decline may break below 3800. Of course, the market is always changing, and our outlook is based on probabilities — no one can guarantee the market will move exactly as expected. However, recent price action has been largely in line with our forecast, and I believe many of you have already secured profits from this move — that’s what matters. Additionally, I will be traveling tomorrow and won’t be able to monitor the market in real time. So during your trades, please stay alert and prioritize risk control. Protect your capital first — profits will come naturally afterward. The market never lacks opportunities, so don’t sacrifice long-term stability for short-term gains. Stay calm, stay disciplined, and trade safely!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
1
echnical analysis for your XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) chart:XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Min Chart Analysis – 29 Oct 2025 Market Structure The previous descending channel has been broken to the upside, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Price retraced back to a support level zone (≈ $3,920 – $3,940), where buyers are likely to defend. Key Levels Support Zone: 3,920 – 3,940 → Price already tested this area with strong rejection wicks, showing buyer interest. Resistance Zone: 3,980 – 4,020 → Short-term resistance; a breakout above 4,020 confirms bullish momentum. Target Level: 4,142 → As marked on your chart, this is the projected bullish target after confirmation of upward continuation. Price Action After a downward correction, gold found support and formed a double-bottom-type pattern near the 3,940 level. Price is currently consolidating above support, signaling potential accumulation before an upward push. Momentum Outlook If price holds above 3,940, expect a move towards 4,000 → 4,020, followed by a breakout to 4,142 (target). However, if 3,920 support breaks, the price may retest 3,880–3,860, resuming short-term bearish momentum. 📈 Trading Bias Bullish bias above 3,940 (target 4,142). Bearish only below 3,920 (target 3,860). EURONEXT:FTI1! EURONEXT:VM81! EURONEXT:PH6X2025 EURONEXT:PH8Z2025 EURONEXT:ZT8F2026 EURONEXT:ER8Z2025 EURONEXT:UY8F2026 EURONEXT:VC8F2026 EURONEXT:ZF8F2026 EURONEXT:ZU8F2026 EURONEXT:VJ8F2026 EURONEXT:AH7X2025
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
XAU USD Last bullish leg ?Price has broken short-term bearish structure and moved above the moving-average channel with strong momentum, indicating a shift toward bullish control. The rising trendline is holding as support, confirming structural reversal. Fibonacci levels provide clear upside targets, with 38.2% at 4040–4050 as the first objective, followed by a constrained upper target near 4070, just below the 61.8% retracement and prior supply zone. As long as price holds above the breakout zone and trendline, continuation toward 4040–4070 remains the most probable outcome.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VisionaryInsights
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Chart Analysis – Short-Term Reversal from ?Technical Overview: Gold has recently rebounded from a High Demand Zone around the $3,900–$3,910 region, showing clear signs of buyer re-entry after a prolonged bearish correction. The candle structure suggests strong bullish intent, with higher lows forming and a potential continuation toward the next liquidity area. Key Observations: 🔹 High Demand Zone: Price reacted strongly here, indicating institutional buying pressure. 🔹 High Prop POI (Point of Interest): Served as a key accumulation level before the breakout. 🔹 SMC Trap: Indicates a prior liquidity grab, trapping late sellers before the move up. 🔹 Bullish Momentum Building: Consecutive bullish candles after rejection from the demand zone strengthen the reversal bias. Target Projection: 🎯 Immediate Target: $4,080 – $4,100 (aligned with local resistance and liquidity grab zone). 🛑 Support: $3,905 (must hold to maintain bullish structure). 💎 Extended Target (if momentum continues): $4,160 – $4,180 (previous major swing high zone). Summary: Gold is showing a short-term recovery phase within a broader bullish structure. A confirmed 4H close above $4,030 would likely propel price toward the $4,100 region, while a drop below $3,900 would invalidate the bullish setup. 📊 Suggested Title: "Gold Rebounds from Key Demand Zone, Eyes $4,100 Resistance 🔥"
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
XAU/USD 29 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As expected, price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 3,886.456. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Bullish Head & Shoulder [10.29.2025]Hi traders, Anfibo's back! XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan Overall Picture: OANDA:XAUUSD recently reached a new ATH near $4,400/oz, before undergoing a healthy correction back to the $3,890 support level following an exceptionally strong rally fueled by geopolitical tensions. After this retracement, gold is now consolidating around the $4,000 zone, showing signs of breaking above the descending trendline on the H1 timeframe — a signal that short-term bullish momentum may be reemerging. From a structural standpoint, this pullback appears to be part of a technical correction within an ongoing uptrend, not a trend reversal. Currently, the market is stabilizing and setting up for a potential new wave upward. I’m personally watching for a Head & Shoulders (H&S) formation to develop — this could offer optimal Buy and Sell opportunities depending on which neckline breaks first. I still believe gold is likely to revisit the $4,200 area soon , as long as the $3,890 support holds firm and global risk sentiment continues to favor safe-haven assets. Trading Plan for Today: >>> SELL ZONE: ENTRY: 4135 - 4150 SL: 4165 TP: 4045 - 4010 - 4000 >>> BUY ZONE: ENTRY: 4000 - 4010 SL: 3990 TP: 4135 - 4150 - 4200 Risk Management: - Prioritize Buy setups following the higher-timeframe trend; Sell only for intraday scalps. - Maintain a minimum Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2. - Avoid entries during major geopolitical or economic announcements. - Monitor the Head & Shoulders pattern closely — confirmation will guide the next major move. Conclusion: Gold has completed a healthy correction after its parabolic surge to $4,400, and the market is now regrouping around the $4,000 zone, with early signs of renewed bullish momentum. As long as $3,890 remains intact, the broader trend remains bullish, and I expect a potential rebound toward $4,200 in the near term. Patience and precision are key here — waiting for the Head & Shoulders formation to confirm will provide the best entry signals for both sides of the market. Until then, the bias remains bullish with a short-term recovery underway. GOODLUCK, LOVE U GUYS!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
Focus on the Federal Reserve, short once in 4020.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Last night, I gave everyone a trading strategy to short at 3975-3990. It can be said that there were several opportunities after the Asian session opened. As long as you followed the strategy and executed the short order, I believe you will definitely have a rich return if you seize any of the opportunities. However, please note that trading is never done blindly. Price trends change over time, so please combine strategies with flexible responses. For example, since the current gold price has broken through the trendline resistance, short-term traders should be more cautious. With the trend resistance broken, the short-term bulls have strengthened further. The first resistance level to watch is 4000-4005. As a psychological barrier for previous defense, gold prices will definitely test this resistance level first if they want to rise further. If this level is broken, gold will continue its upward trend and further test yesterday's rebound high of 4020. This is also the key level that bears need to defend today. Therefore, I believe we should not rush into trading in the short term. We can patiently observe the market performance. When the gold price rebounds to the 4010-4020 resistance range and encounters resistance, we can consider shorting gold appropriately.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miracle-Walker_GC
GOLD (XAU/USD): FED ALERT! IS THE BOTTOM IN?Hello TradingView Community! Gold is standing at a critical juncture. The convergence of the US Federal Reserve (FED) decision, US-China trade talks, and geopolitical risks is setting the stage for significant market movement. 1. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis (Macro): Geopolitics vs. Rate Cuts Bearish Headwinds: Positive developments in US-China trade discussions eased comprehensive trade war fears, causing safe-haven demand to drop and pushing Gold below the $3,900 mark. Strong Support Factors: The market is heavily anticipating the FED will cut borrowing costs by 25 basis points at the conclusion of its two-day meeting (scheduled for tonight/early tomorrow). Lower rates typically support Gold (a non-yielding asset). Escalating US-Russia geopolitical tensions (new sanctions, canceled meetings) and the ongoing US government shutdown highlight internal instability, providing a continuous underlying bid for the safe-haven metal. 2. 📈 Technical Analysis: Wave C Bottom and Rebound Targets Based on the Elliott Wave structure on your chart, the technical picture is sharp: Wave C Completion: The recent drop to $3,892.152 appears to have completed the 5-wave structure of the larger corrective Wave C. This suggests a strong possibility that a major bearish cycle has ended. LONG Target: If the rebound scenario holds, Gold is targeting the crucial Fibonacci resistance zone: $4,135 - $4,180. Key Levels to Watch: Confirmation Resistance: A decisive break above $4,042 will strongly confirm the upward momentum. Stop-Loss (SL): Risk management demands a strict stop-loss placed just below the Wave C low at $3,892.152. Conclusion: The combination of geopolitical support, FED rate cut expectations, and the technical signal of a potential Wave C bottom offers an attractive Risk/Reward setup for LONG (Buy) positions. All eyes are now on the FED announcement tonight/tomorrow morning! #XAUUSD #GOLD #FED #ElliottWave #TradingView #MarketUpdate What are your thoughts? Are you going Long or Short into the FED event? 👇 Would you like me to draft a quick contingency plan for Gold in case the FED's statement is unexpectedly hawkish (less dovish than expected)?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Today's gold trading strategyLoose expectations are overpriced. The current market has already regarded a 25 basis point rate cut in October as "a done deal", and even anticipates a further rate cut in December (with a 91% probability). Under such extreme expectations, the previous gains in gold have overestimated the policy benefits. Once the Federal Reserve releases a cautious signal, it will trigger a "buy expectation, sell reality" correction. Internal divisions conceal hawkish risks. There are profound differences within the Federal Reserve regarding the subsequent policy path - Milan and others who are dovish support further easing to address employment risks, while Schmidt and others who are cautious emphasize that "the current policy is slightly tight and appropriate", and need to be vigilant about inflation fluctuations. Against the backdrop of government shutdown leading to data "vacuum", Powell is likely to retain policy flexibility and will not explicitly commit to a rate cut in December. This "vague hawkish" statement will directly suppress the gold price. Today's gold trading strategy sell：3980-3990 tp:3970-3960 sl:4000
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_Lewis1
GOLD (XAU/USD): FED ALERT! IS THE BOTTOM IN?Hello TradingView Community! Gold is standing at a critical juncture. The convergence of the US Federal Reserve (FED) decision, US-China trade talks, and geopolitical risks is setting the stage for significant market movement. 1. 🌍 Fundamental Analysis (Macro): Geopolitics vs. Rate Cuts Bearish Headwinds: Positive developments in US-China trade discussions eased comprehensive trade war fears, causing safe-haven demand to drop and pushing Gold below the $3,900 mark. Strong Support Factors: The market is heavily anticipating the FED will cut borrowing costs by 25 basis points at the conclusion of its two-day meeting (scheduled for tonight/early tomorrow). Lower rates typically support Gold (a non-yielding asset). Escalating US-Russia geopolitical tensions (new sanctions, canceled meetings) and the ongoing US government shutdown highlight internal instability, providing a continuous underlying bid for the safe-haven metal. 2. 📈 Technical Analysis: Wave C Bottom and Rebound Targets Based on the Elliott Wave structure on your chart, the technical picture is sharp: Wave C Completion: The recent drop to $3,892.152 appears to have completed the 5-wave structure of the larger corrective Wave C. This suggests a strong possibility that a major bearish cycle has ended. LONG Target: If the rebound scenario holds, Gold is targeting the crucial Fibonacci resistance zone: $4,135 - $4,180. Key Levels to Watch: Confirmation Resistance: A decisive break above $4,042 will strongly confirm the upward momentum. Stop-Loss (SL): Risk management demands a strict stop-loss placed just below the Wave C low at $3,892.152. Conclusion: The combination of geopolitical support, FED rate cut expectations, and the technical signal of a potential Wave C bottom offers an attractive Risk/Reward setup for LONG (Buy) positions. All eyes are now on the FED announcement tonight/tomorrow morning! #XAUUSD #GOLD #FED #ElliottWave #TradingViewIndia #MarketUpdate What are your thoughts? Are you going Long or Short into the FED event? 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (29/10/2025, LONDON SESSION)1. Market Overview Gold recovered strongly from 3,918 lows, printing a clean bullish reversal overnight during Asia, now trading near 3,990–3,998. The market structure has shifted short-term bullish after a clear CHoCH and BOS, but price is testing heavy resistance at the psychological 4,000 level and the H1 supply zone (3,995–4,013). London session opens at a decisive point — momentum favors buyers, but a rejection at 4,000–4,013 could trigger a short-term pullback before continuation. ⸻ 2. Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1): • Price bounced from 3,918 forming a bullish rejection candle. • RSI turning upward near 50, showing recovery strength. • Long-term uptrend intact above the 100 EMA (3,842) but short-term correction not complete. ✅ Bias: Neutral to bullish while above 3,918. 🔹 H1: • Market showing a confirmed CHoCH above 3,965 with bullish momentum candles. • Currently retesting the descending trendline and 200 EMA (4,000–4,013) zone. • RSI near 58, MACD histogram positive but slowing — possible short-term exhaustion. ⚠️ Bias: Bullish but watch for rejection at 4,000–4,013. 🔹 15M–5M: • Clear bullish wave with strong EMA alignment (8 > 20 > 50). • Structure forming higher highs and higher lows. • Minor divergence appearing near 3,998, indicating potential retracement to 3,965–3,955. 🎯 View: Buy pullbacks into key retracement zones. ⸻ 3. Fibonacci Analysis (Swing 3,918 → 3,998) • 38.2% = 3,972.6 • 50.0% = 3,958.6 • 61.8% = 3,945.0 🟩 Fibonacci Golden Zone: 3,958 – 3,945 Confluence: prior H1 resistance turned support + trendline retest zone. ⸻ 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios 🟩 Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias) • Buy Zone: 3,972 → 3,958 (Golden Zone) • Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or CHoCH on 5M • Targets: 3,991 → 4,004 → 4,013 → 4,030 • Stop Loss: Below 3,945 • Notes: Structure remains bullish as long as 3,945 holds. 🟥 Bearish Rejection (Countertrend) • Sell Zone: 4,004 – 4,013 (H1 Supply + EMA Confluence) • Confirmation: Rejection candle / Bearish divergence • Targets: 3,974 → 3,959 → 3,945 • Stop Loss: Above 4,020 ⚡ Breakout Setup • Buy Breakout: Above 4,013 (retest holds) → Target 4,030 → 4,070 • Sell Breakout: Below 3,945 → Target 3,918 → 3,904 ⸻ 5. Fundamental Watch • No major UK data early; focus remains on USD Index (DXY 106.2). • US 10-year yields stabilizing; if yields drop, gold could push above 4,000. • Market sentiment cautiously bullish ahead of mid-week U.S. news. ⸻ 6. Key Technical Levels Type Levels (USD) Resistance 3,998 / 4,004 / 4,013 / 4,030 / 4,074 Support 3,972 / 3,958 / 3,945 / 3,918 Golden Zone 3,958 – 3,945 Break Buy Trigger > 4,013 Break Sell Trigger < 3,945 ⸻ 7. Analyst Summary Gold shows strong intraday bullish momentum but faces resistance at 4,000–4,013. If London retraces to 3,972–3,958, this area becomes the Golden Opportunity Zone for continuation buys. A breakout above 4,013 confirms trend reversal to 4,030–4,074. Failure to hold 3,945 will re-expose 3,918 lows. ⸻ 8. Final Bias Summary Main Bias: Bullish Secondary Bias: Short-term sell at 4,013 only if strong rejection Golden Zone (Buy): 3,958 – 3,945 Breaking Price: Above 4,013 for buys / Below 3,945 for sells London Outlook: Expect minor dip, then bullish continuation if support holds.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX