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U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook | Gold (XAU/USD) Correlation📈 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) at Key Support | 🪙 Gold at Record Highs 🔎 Quick Summary: • DXY holding 97.70 support inside a descending channel. • A rebound could push it back toward 98.25 – 98.50. • Meanwhile, Gold is sitting near $3,600/oz, at all-time highs, fueled by safe-haven demand and central bank buying. • The DXY’s next move will help decide if Gold keeps climbing or pauses. ⸻ 💵 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook On the 4H chart, the Dollar Index remains inside a descending channel. It has been forming lower highs and lower lows, yet the 97.70 level has repeatedly held as strong support. • 🔹 Buyers are defending this zone, showing demand. • 🔹 A rebound could take price back to the 98.25 – 98.50 supply zone. • 🔹 A breakout above 98.50 would be significant, opening room toward 99.00+. This makes the 97.70 region a critical turning point for DXY. ⸻ 🪙 Gold (XAU/USD) Context Gold is trading at record highs around $3,600/oz 🚀 — a level never seen before. • 🌍 Central banks continue to accumulate gold aggressively. • 🏦 Expectations of Fed rate cuts reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. • ⚖️ Persistent economic and geopolitical uncertainty is fueling safe-haven demand. Correlation with DXY: • 📉 If the Dollar rebounds, Gold could slow down or consolidate after its massive rally. • 📈 If the Dollar breaks below support, Gold could see further upside, possibly testing higher targets near $3,700/oz and beyond. ⸻ 📊 Conclusion The Dollar Index is sitting at make-or-break support. A bounce would show Dollar strength and may cool off Gold’s rally. But if DXY weakens further, Gold could extend its surge into new record territory. At this point, Gold remains the undisputed leader in the market, with DXY’s next move likely deciding how fast momentum continues. ⸻ ⚡ Summary in one line: 💵 DXY at critical support — 🪙 Gold shining at record highs, waiting for the Dollar’s next move.
TVC:DXYLong
by KhaleelSuliman
Gold Targets $3,600 After Strong BreakoutAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish rally after breaking above the buy zone near $3,440 and holding strong momentum. The market has recently made higher highs, with price consolidating slightly below the resistance zone. Currently, gold is trading at $3,548, with the short-term target identified at $3,600. The chart suggests potential consolidation in the highlighted area before another upward push. The SMA (9) at $3,552 is acting as dynamic support, keeping the bullish bias intact. If buyers maintain control, a clear breakout above $3,552 – $3,560 could confirm a move toward $3,600 – $3,604. However, if momentum weakens, support lies at $3,511 and $3,499, with a deeper pullback possible toward the $3,440 buy zone. Overall, the sentiment remains bullish, and gold looks positioned to test the $3,600 psychological resistance in the near term.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
XAU/USD Bullish Setup – OB Zone to $3,590 TargetChart Overview (XAU/USD – 30m): Current price: $3,534 Price is in a strong bullish channel (higher highs & higher lows). Market forming an ATH (All-Time High) and consolidating. 📌 Strategies Applied: 1. Trendline Strategy: Price respecting support & rejection lines inside ascending channel. Trend remains bullish as long as price holds above support. 2. Order Block (OB) Zone: Identified buying zone at $3,501 – $3,514. Strong support + liquidity area → possible rebound point. 3. Moving Averages (EMA): EMA 70 (3,508) and EMA 200 (3,464) both acting as dynamic support. EMA alignment confirms bullish momentum. 4. Risk–Reward Setup: Entry near OB Zone: $3,501 – $3,514 Stop-loss: below $3,500 Target: $3,590 (R:R ~ 1:3). ✅ Summary: Gold is in a strong bullish trend 🚀. The OB Buying Zone aligns with EMA support, offering a low-risk long entry. As long as $3,500 holds, price likely pushes towards the target zone $3,589 – $3,590.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_JOHN144
1
Gold Rockets Toward 3600 on NFP—How Can Shorts Escape？After the NFP market unexpectedly broke out, gold is currently testing the 3600 mark, and the bullish momentum is strong. However, when gold is facing the pressure of the 3600 psychological level, it is showing signs of stagflation at a high level. So I still think that before gold completely stands above the 3600 mark, it is still necessary for gold to retreat first. Because the gold market rose sharply under the influence of the NFP market, many investors were unable to intervene in the market in time, and even some investors who had already bought gold at high prices were not determined. Therefore, once gold experiences stagflation at a high level, some unsteady chips may first consider taking profits, thereby triggering panic selling; on the other hand, the gold market has risen sharply, and off-market wait-and-see funds dare not enter the market easily. Due to the lack of liquidity, gold may lead to weak continuity, so there is also a need for a pullback to increase liquidity! I still hold a short position in gold, with an average entry price of around 3582. Although there is a certain floating loss at present, the risk is still controllable and within expectations, so there is no need to be too nervous for the time being. I still expect gold to retreat to the 3570-3560 area before the market closes today.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
XAUUSD Forming Ascending TriangleXAUUSD has successfully broken above the strong consolidation zone around 3440–3480, confirming a bullish breakout from the ascending triangle structure. This breakout signals strong momentum, as price has been building higher lows for months and finally cleared resistance with aggressive buying. The current level around 3596 shows bullish continuation with buyers in control. From a fundamental perspective, gold is gaining support as US dollar strength eases and investors anticipate potential rate cuts from the Federal Reserve later this year. Increasing geopolitical tensions and rising demand for safe-haven assets are also fueling bullish sentiment. Market expectations of lower yields continue to drive capital flows into precious metals, reinforcing this breakout setup. The technical structure highlights that as long as price sustains above the broken resistance zone, we can expect momentum to push toward 3700–3800 levels in the coming weeks. The bullish candle structure and clean breakout signal confirm strong institutional buying. Traders should monitor pullbacks to support zones as potential re-entry opportunities. Overall, gold remains one of the most attractive assets in current market conditions. With both technical and fundamental factors aligned, this breakout on the 12H chart offers a high-probability continuation setup. Maintaining proper risk management remains essential as volatility could increase around economic releases.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
XAUUSD – Post-NFP Big Win & Key Levels to Watch | MMFLOW TRADINGNonfarm Payrolls pushed gold (XAUUSD) to a new ATH near $3600/oz. After reacting sharply at the 3593–3595 liquidity sell zone, price dropped more than 200 pips before bouncing back quickly to retest the previous ATH and climbing again towards 359x, showing strong bullish momentum still in play. Short-Term Outlook (US Session Close): Upside momentum remains dominant, but the market now stands at two critical key levels that will define the next move. Key Levels: Bullish trigger: 3592 → A clean breakout above this zone could fuel further upside towards the next liquidity area around 362x. Bearish trigger: 3575 → A break below this level may open a deeper pullback to fill the Nonfarm liquidity gap around 3550–3527. Trading Plan: BUY bias: Hold above 3592 → look for longs targeting 3610–362x. SELL scalp: Break below 3575 → shorts towards 3550–3527. Always apply strict risk management (SL just beyond the nearest key level). Summary: ✅ After a 200+ pips BIGWIN on Nonfarm, gold retains strong momentum. 👉 Watch the 3592 & 3575 zones closely – they are the decision points for the next major move. Follow MMFLOW TRADING for timely updates and trade setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Gold Trading Plan Before NFP | MMFLOW TRADINGGold (XAUUSD) has been consolidating in a sideway range (355x–354x) after several days of sharp gains. Yesterday, price reacted strongly at the 357x liquidity zone, triggering a short-term correction before stabilising back into balance. Now, the market is narrowing its range while waiting for the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) release later today — the key driver that will likely set the next directional move. 📊 Macro Context If NFP comes in better than expected, Gold could extend its correction lower, filling liquidity gaps towards 352x – 350x before offering fresh long opportunities. If NFP data disappoints, Gold may break ATH (357x) and push higher toward the next liquidity & FIBO extension levels near 3594+. 🔑 Key Resistance Levels 3560 – 3576 - 3594 🔑 Key Support Levels 3540 - 3528 – 3514 - 3502 – 3488 – 3478 📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading Plan) 🔵 BUY Zone: 3488 – 3486 🔴 SL: 3480 ✔️ TP: 3492 – 3496 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ???? 🔵 BUY Scalp: 3528 – 3526 🔴 SL: 3520 ✔️ TP: 3532 – 3536 – 3540 – 3550 – 3560 – ???? 🔴 SELL Scalp: 3574 – 3576 🔴 SL: 3580 ✔️ TP: 3570 – 3565 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ???? 🔴 SELL Zone: 3593 – 3595 🔴 SL: 3600 ✔️ TP: 3588 – 3584 – 3580 – 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – ???? 📊 MMFLOW Trading View: Gold is sideway ahead of NFP, and today’s breakout from the 3540–3565 range will decide the next major move. Liquidity remains key — watch how price reacts at 3515–3528 on the downside or 3576–3595 on the upside.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
9
Gold Price Analysis (XAUUSD 4H): Bulls Eye $3,600 but ResistanceGold has continued its impressive rally, pushing higher on the 4-hour timeframe and reaching the $3,587 zone. With momentum on the bulls’ side, the big question remains: Can XAUUSD break above the $3,600 resistance, or is a pullback on the horizon? The 4-hour chart shows a clear uptrend, with price action forming higher highs and higher lows. The recent surge took gold from the $3,250 level all the way to nearly $3,600, a gain of more than $300 within weeks. This bullish momentum is supported by strong buying volume, indicating that traders continue to see gold as a safe-haven asset in the current global environment. Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $3,600 – $3,620 Support Zone: $3,500 – $3,520 Next Upside Target: $3,700 and $3,750 if resistance breaks Potential Downside Target: $3,520 if price fails to sustain above $3,550 RSI Indicator The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trading near the 70 level, signaling that gold is approaching the overbought territory. While this confirms strong bullish momentum, it also raises the likelihood of a short-term correction or consolidation before the next big move. Market Sentiment Currently, gold is at a critical juncture. Buyers are attempting to break the $3,600 barrier, but selling pressure has been visible with upper candle wicks forming near this level. A decisive breakout above $3,600 could open the path toward $3,700+. A rejection from resistance may trigger a pullback toward $3,520–$3,500 support. Trading Outlook For swing traders, the strategy remains straightforward: Bullish Bias: Stay long as long as price holds above $3,500. Watch for confirmation above $3,600 to target $3,700 – $3,750. Bearish Bias: Short-term traders may look for pullback opportunities if price fails to hold above $3,550, aiming for $3,520 support. Conclusion Gold (XAUUSD) remains firmly in a bullish trend, but immediate resistance near $3,600 could determine the next move. Traders should closely monitor price action around this key level—either a breakout to new highs or a pullback to reset momentum. ✨ Gold’s next move could set the tone for September trading. Stay alert and manage risk carefully.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by forexinworld
all-time highs.Trend: Overall, gold has been in a strong uptrend since early 2025, following a rising support trendline. Resistance: A horizontal resistance zone was tested multiple times before being broken recently around 3,450 – 3,500. Support: The rising support trendline and the horizontal level around 3,450 now act as strong support. Current Price: Around 3,544.62 at the time of the chart. Pattern: Price formed higher highs and higher lows, respecting the trendline, then broke above resistance. Projection: A possible pullback toward the support zone (3,450 area) before continuation higher. Next target is the ATH zone (around 3,700 – 3,750) marked on the chart. In short: The chart suggests a bullish structure with potential short-term retracement before another leg up toward all-time highs.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by roundtohell
1
Upside target is around the DOL (3,580 zone).The pair is trading at 3,548.15 (current level). A stop loss hunt occurred earlier, clearing liquidity below before price pushed higher. A Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed the bullish intent. There’s a visible Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 3,500 – 3,510, which may act as a magnet for price to retrace into. The structure suggests a possible pullback to fill the FVG, grab liquidity, and then continue higher. Upside target is around the DOL (3,580 zone). Overall bias: Bullish, but expecting a retracement before continuation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by roundtohell
Gold Price Analysis – Testing Resistance near Sell ZoneAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 3,551.40, showing minor intraday losses (-0.03%). The chart indicates a strong resistance zone between 3,556–3,563, identified as the “sell zone,” with an All-Time High (ATH) slightly above at 3,578.12. Price is consolidating beneath this resistance, struggling to break higher. The Fair Value Gap (FVG) below suggests a potential retracement toward 3,511–3,520 if sellers gain momentum. The Ichimoku cloud shows mixed signals, with price hovering around the equilibrium, indicating indecision in the short term. A break above 3,563 could trigger bullish continuation toward ATH, while rejection at this level may lead to a pullback into the highlighted FVG region.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingProTrader
Gold Dips Post-Record: Trade Fed Drama & US Jobs Data!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) pulled back on Thursday (04/09/2025) as investors took profits after its record-breaking rally, with focus now shifting to the upcoming US jobs report for fresh signals on the Fed’s policy path. Spot gold closed down 0.3% at $3,547.68/oz—is this a buying dip or a reversal? Let’s dive in and uncover trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: What’s Behind Gold’s Dip & Potential Rebound? 🌟 Profit-Taking Post-Record: Gold eased after hitting an all-time high of $3,578.50/oz on 03/09, driven by weak job openings data that bolstered rate cut bets and ongoing uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand. 📉 US Jobs Report Looms: Set for release tomorrow (05/09), this key report follows early-session data showing US jobless claims rising more than expected last week, signaling a softening labor market. Fed Signals & Rate Cut Buzz: Several Fed officials on 03/09 highlighted labor market concerns, reinforcing confidence in rate cuts. Markets now see a 98% chance of a 0.25% rate cut this month, per CME FedWatch. As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-rate and uncertain environments! 🏦 Fed Drama Heats Up: Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook has sparked a serious legal challenge, raising fresh concerns about Fed independence. Coupled with tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses), this is eroding USD asset confidence and boosting gold demand. Bullish Outlook: Standard Chartered predicts further gains, citing persistent tariff uncertainty and Fed independence fears as key safe-haven drivers. Technical Analysis: Consolidation Before Big Data—Buy Dips or Wait? 📉 Gold has been trading in an uptrend channel, with early-session accumulation. After a strong Asian session push, it hit the 356x OB zone and dropped quickly. The European session may see sideways action, awaiting tonight’s critical data. If gold holds the channel, bulls could take charge—watch for breakouts! Key Resistance: 3560 - 3576 - 3586 Key Support: 3540 - 3526 - 3500 - 3490 - 3476 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3558 - 3560 SL: 3564 TP: 3555 - 3545 - 3535 Sell Zone: 3576 - 3578 SL: 3587 TP: 3568 - 3558 - 3548 - 3538 Buy Scalp: 3526 - 3524 SL: 3520 TP: 3529 - 3539 - 3549 Buy Zone: 3500 - 3498 SL: 3490 TP: 3508 - 3518 - 3518 - 3538 Gold’s in consolidation mode, but the jobs report could trigger a breakout—manage risk tightly! If it holds above supports, bulls may push for new highs post-data. 📊💡 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Pullback or trend reversal? One article gives you the answerGold fell nearly $60 in the Asian session, providing an opportunity for a pullback. It rebounded after touching the previous top and bottom conversion position of 3520-3500. The current stage is a process of gold correction, with intraday fluctuations as the main feature. A major trend change may occur after the release of NFP data tomorrow. Although there is a downward correction at present, the bullish momentum is still there and it has not effectively fallen below the previous top and bottom conversion positions. Both bulls and bears have opportunities in the short term. In the short term, focus on 3550-3560. If it fails to rebound effectively and stabilize above, it will continue to fluctuate today. Friends who execute long trades based on yesterday’s trading strategy can consider exiting the market near 3550-3560. The focus today is on the release of ADP data, which will provide a certain reference direction for the possible trend of NFP data tomorrow.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP-Halson
2
Gold Hits Record Highs: Trade Fed Drama & Jobs Data!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Rising? 🌟 New Record Highs: Gold hit an all-time high before US jobs data revealed a sharper-than-expected drop in July 2025 job openings and moderate hiring, signaling a loosening labor market. This weakness boosted gold, with the next target at $3,600/oz. 📈 Fed Rate Cut Odds Soar: Post-data, the market raised the probability of a 0.25% rate cut at the Sept 16-17 meeting from 92% to 98%, per CME FedWatch. Fed Governor Christopher Waller emphasized the need for a cut this month, with the pace depending on economic developments. 🏦 Upcoming Data in Focus: Investors are eyeing ADP employment and unemployment claims today (04/09), plus the official payrolls report on 05/09—these could shape Fed actions and gold’s trajectory. Fed Drama Intensifies: On Sept 3, Governor Lisa Cook detailed her opposition to Trump’s attempt to fire her, while Trump has repeatedly criticized Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates this year. Concerns over Fed independence are eroding confidence in USD assets, driving investors to gold. Trump is set to appeal tariffs to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses. ⚖️🇺🇸 Gold’s Ideal Environment: As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in uncertainty and low-rate settings—perfect for the current landscape! Technical Analysis: Strong Uptrend, Prioritize BUY but Watch for Pullbacks! 📉 After the Asian open, gold dipped sharply to the 351x zone before rebounding quickly above 352x. This may reflect institutions dumping to capture retail liquidity—a common move during continuous ATHs that leave large FVGs. Prioritize BUY if gold holds above 352x, but if it fails to break 365x today, consider a SELL reversal, especially with ADP Nonfarm data looming. Stay cautious for volatility! Key Resistance: 3545 - 3561 - 3578 - 3586 - 3596 Key Support: 3521 - 3508 - 3493 - 3475 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3560-3562 SL: 3566 TP: 3557 - 3552 - 3547 Sell Zone: 3594 - 3596 SL: 3604 TP: 3586 - 3576 - 3566 - 3566 - 3546 Buy Scalp: 3508 - 3506 SL: 3502 TP: 3511 - 3516 - 3521 Buy Zone: 3493 - 3491 SL: 3483 TP: 3501 - 3511 - 3521 - 3531 - Open Gold is red-hot, but today’s data could spark volatility—manage risk tightly! If it holds above 352x, bulls could push to new highs. 📊💡 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #Trump #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
1
XAUUSD Analysis – Buyers Keep Stepping InIn yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that Gold looked overstretched, with high chances of a continuation of the correction after the recent 3579 ATH. During the day, price rejected my selling zone twice, and once more overnight. However, buyers kept stepping in, forming higher lows and pushing price back toward the 3560 resistance zone. This behavior signals upward pressure. If this resistance finally breaks, the probability of seeing yet another ATH towards 3600 increases significantly. For now, I’m out of the market, with but looking to buy if buying pressure persists
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
5
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 5, 2025 ———————————— Momentum • D1: Momentum has already turned bearish, suggesting that in the coming days we could see a corrective decline. Since today is Friday, be cautious of potential liquidity sweeps before the weekly close. • H4: Momentum is still rising, but with about 1 hour left before the current H4 candle closes, it is likely to enter the overbought zone, which would increase the risk of reversal. • H1: Momentum is weakening and preparing to reverse, showing that the current upward move is losing strength. ———————————— Wave Structure • D1: No major changes. A corrective decline is likely in the coming days. The depth of this correction will help us identify the exact wave structure. For now, patience is needed until D1 momentum reaches the oversold area and new patterns form. • H4: Price still seems to be in the corrective phase of wave iv (purple). With H4 momentum about to enter the overbought zone, I still expect a downward move to complete wave iv before the market continues upward into wave v (purple). • H1: We can see an ABC (green) structure forming, as mentioned yesterday. However, because it developed quite quickly, it could also evolve into a Flat, Triangle, or Combination pattern. o Price is moving in a choppy, overlapping manner. o Combined with H4 momentum nearing overbought → it’s likely that wave B is forming, followed by a downward move to complete wave iv (purple). o If a Flat plays out, price could rise toward 3578 (or higher) before dropping back below that level. ———————————— Targets • Wave C: We need to wait for wave B to complete before setting more reliable targets. For now, keep yesterday’s target zones: 3498 – 3469. • Wave v (purple): No significant change compared to yesterday’s plan. ———————————— Trading Plan Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498 • SL: 3490 • TP1: 3524 Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469 • SL: 3459 • TP1: 3500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Rebound or Trap? Why I’m Selling RalliesYesterday’s Move After printing a fresh ATH, profit-taking started late in the New York session. This was followed by stronger selling pressure during the Asian hours, which dragged the price overnight down to 3510. Currently, we see a rebound, with price trading around 3530. Key Question Is this rebound the start of a recovery—or just a pause before another leg down? Why I Expect the Correction to Continue - The market sold off 650 pips from the new ATH, confirming a local top. - Momentum becomes fragile after 2k pips rise in just 10 days - Selling pressure could easily return, especially if buyers struggle to hold above 3550. Trading Plan I’ll be looking to sell rallies against the recent top, targeting first the 3500 psychological level, and then the 3470 technical confluence support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
12
Gold Technical Analysis (XAU/USD)# Gold Technical Analysis (XAU/USD) Gold has already broken two important trendlines (Yellow and Blue), while the **Green trendline** is still holding as the last short-term support. - Key levels marked: **3471 – 3404 – 3436 – 3323** - The price reaction around the **Green trendline** will be critical. - If broken, we could expect a deeper correction, especially considering the **last trading day of the week**, when markets usually seek balance. 🔑 Watch for possible correction waves (Elliott count on chart) with a potential drop toward the **3323–3360 zone**. ⚠️ Note: This analysis is educational only and not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357