XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 4H timeframe I see my chart is XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 4H timeframe with volume profile and trendlines drawn.
Here’s the analysis based on my chart setup:
Current price is around 3457 USD.
You have a downtrend line (red) which has just been broken.
Price is sitting inside a low-volume zone (thin area of the volume profile), which often allows for fast moves until price reaches the next high-volume node (green shaded areas).
Target Levels:
1. First target (short-term):
Around 3485 – 3500 USD → this aligns with the next
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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (01/09/2025)
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum has been stuck in the overbought zone for the past 4 days, showing strong buying pressure. However, this also creates noise since extended overbought conditions can reverse at any time.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is about to turn down in the overbought zone. Once an H4 candle closes with confirmation, we can expect a correction lasting around 4–5 H4 candles.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is heading into the overbought zone. Within 1–2 more H1 candles, a short-term pullback is likely.
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Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
Price has risen sharply and steeply, with momentum staying overbought for a long time. This suggests that wave 4 has likely completed, and the market is entering a long-term uptrend. The minimum target is 3684 (equal to the length of wave W).
• H4 timeframe:
Price is currently in red wave 3. We expect a correction into red wave 4, which aligns with H4 momentum preparing to turn down.
• H1 timeframe:
o Wave i (green) is labeled as a leading diagonal, even though wave ii (green) did not retrace as deeply as expected.
o Price is now in an extended wave iii (green).
o Within wave iii (green), a 5-wave structure 1-2-3-4-5 (red) is unfolding. Red wave 3 has already completed with its internal 5-wave (black).
o The target for black wave 5 was achieved at the Fibonacci 0.618 projection of black waves 1–3 → confirming that red wave 3 has completed and price is now correcting into red wave 4.
• Red wave 4 outlook:
Likely to take shape as a zigzag, flat, or triangle. Two retracement zones are identified:
1. 3462 – 23.6% retracement of red wave 3.
2. 3447 – 38.2% retracement of red wave 3.
Considering the guideline that wave 4 often returns to the territory of wave 4 of a smaller degree, and that H4 momentum needs more time to move into the oversold zone, we select 3447 as the primary target for a sell setup.
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Trade Plan
• Buy Zone: 3448 – 3446
• Stop Loss: 3438
• Take Profit:
o TP1: 3485
o TP2: 3521
Gold analysis Through the recent movement of gold and the incoming buying signals, we conclude that it will certainly continue to rise to target 3410, then 3440, and after that to our final target before the next analysis, 3485. Then we will see where gold is heading, and it is also expected to break through the 3500 areas!
Gold Price Analysis September 1✨ Gold Analysis Today
After a strong breakout at the end of Friday's session, gold is getting closer to historical milestones. However, the continuous increase also opens up the possibility of short-term corrections in today's session.
The difficulty is that most of the important resistance zones have been penetrated, showing that buying power is dominant. Therefore, instead of looking for big SELL opportunities, traders should focus on observing the Break Out zones that have been formed to monitor the new momentum of the market, with a further target towards the 3493 mark.
🔑 Reference scenario:
BUY when the price reacts positively at the support zones of 3433 - 3421.
BUY DCA if the price breaks out and closes the candle firmly above 3452.
SELL scalp should only be considered on a small timeframe, prioritize quick surfing, and need to closely monitor fluctuations.
The major trend is still in favor of the bulls, the safest strategy is to follow the mainstream money flow instead of taking risks against the wave.
𝐌𝐓𝐗 | Buy-Side Sweet Spot in Gold’s Correction📌 From previous analysis:
• We anticipated corrective pullbacks and highlighted reversal zones.
• Focus was on 436–432 as the first critical support/resistance area.
⸻
1️⃣ Key Reversal Levels
There’s two scenarios in this rally:
A)
• 436 – 432 → First potential bullish reversal zone.
• 4H close above 435 → upside continuation toward 442 → 447 → 452.
B)
• 4H close below 432 → decline into 420.
• 420 – 415 is the strongest weekly demand zone (high-probability bullish bounce).
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2️⃣ Continues Bullish Scenario
• 4H close above 454 → opens the way to 467.
• Stabilization above 467 → next major upside target 484.
✴️Plus Tip:
Daily closes above 420-415 zone supports the bullish momentum.
⸻
⚖️ Summary:
Gold is starting the month at a decisive zone (436–432). Holding above 435 favors further upside toward 452, while losing 432 puts the strong 420–415 demand zone into play. A confirmed breakout above 454 could accelerate the rally toward 484.
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical OverviewPrice is currently moving within the 3445–3450 range, showing short-term bearish pressure. The area around 3430 is an important level to watch.
A sustained H4 close below 3430 could open the way toward the next support zone near 3405–3390.
If price instead shows a bullish reversal from the 3430 region, upside retests toward the 3460 resistance area may follow.
This setup highlights 3430 as a key pivot for short-term directional bias. Traders should monitor how price reacts around this zone before planning the next steps.
Gold encounters a strong pressure level, you can sellAs I said just now, the rise of gold has encountered resistance at 3450. From the previous trend, we can see that there is strong pressure near 3450. It has failed to break through here effectively for four consecutive times. It is hard to say that the gold price will not fall back again when it comes here again. Therefore, I think it is possible to consider shorting near 3450 and set a stop loss at 3460.
📣If you have different opinions, please leave a message below to discuss
Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) – 4H Analysis
🔹 Key Structure
If price respects the white line at point c, a potential Head & Shoulders formation may develop, signaling a possible bearish reversal.
However, if the orange dynamic line acts as a liquidity-driven trendline, then price could follow the red projection, pushing the market higher toward ATH (All-Time High) levels.
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🔹 Break of Descending Trendline
On Friday, the descending resistance line was broken to the upside.
This break could be interpreted as a fake breakout if the market fails to hold above it.
For confirmation of a true breakout, we need to see continuation and acceptance above the broken trendline.
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🔹 Bearish Scenario (Head & Shoulders Valid)
If the c-leg completes and rejects the white line:
Expect a Head & Shoulders pattern.
Price may retrace toward 3,360 → 3,344.
A close below 3,344 would strengthen bearish continuation.
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🔹 Bullish Scenario (Liquidity Trendline Active)
If the orange liquidity trendline holds, buyers may push price higher.
Breaking above 3,420 – 3,446 with strength could target ATH extension zone above 3,500.
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🔹 Trading Plan
Wait for confirmation: Avoid premature entries as current breakout might be fake.
Bearish bias: Valid if rejection occurs at point c with H&S pattern confirmation.
Bullish bias: Valid if orange line holds as liquidity dynamic and price sustains above 3,420.
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✅ Bias: Neutral → Waiting for confirmation (H&S vs Liquidity Push)
🎯 Key Levels: 3,344 (bearish confirmation) / 3,420–3,446 (bullish breakout)
❌ Invalidation: Strong close above ATH zone
XAUUSD Analysis Today Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold🔸Last week, the price continued its upward trend by hitting our first entry point and rejected the expected ranges.
🔹Now the price is at an important point on the 4-hour chart and since it could not close above the price of 3451.62, there is a possibility of a price reversal.
🔸If the 3451.62 break is confirmed, the new demand ranges are suitable for buying.
🔹If the price closes below the 3404 range, the trend is down and we can sell on pullbacks.
GOLD XAUUSD - Pullback Expected before the Next Leg UpGold (XAUUSD) has been on a solid bullish run, consistently pushing higher after each minor retracement. Now, we’re eyeing a potential pullback toward a key support zone at 3420–3400, where buying interest is likely to resurface.
If price action confirms a bounce from this zone, we could see a continuation of the uptrend toward 3450, and if momentum holds, possibly stretching to 3490–3500.
🔻 Trade Setup – Long Opportunity on Pullback
Entry: Buy Gold (XAUUSD) at 3420
Add-on Dip: 3400
Targets: 3450, then 3490–3500 (marked on chart)
Invalidation: Daily close below 3385
📌 Risk/Reward Outlook
This setup presents a tight risk with attractive upside potential. As always, stick to solid risk management and size your positions based on your personal trading plan.
👍 Agree with this view?
Drop a like, leave your comments, and let’s discuss this setup together!
Your feedback keeps the community sharp and growing. 🔥
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – Bullish Breakout or Healthy Pullback?OANDA:XAUUSD continues to trade within a strong long-term bullish channel, currently hovering around $3,450. Price action is compressing between the ascending green channel and the red resistance trendline, suggesting that a decisive move is near. The weekly close will be the main trigger to validate one of two scenarios.
🔶 Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout
If gold secures a weekly close above the red resistance line, bullish momentum is likely to continue with buyers regaining control. This would confirm a breakout from consolidation and align with the broader bullish trend.
First upside target: $3,600 – $3,650 (upper channel resistance)
Next extension target: $3,750 – $3,800, if momentum remains strong and buyers sustain pressure
This scenario would confirm the continuation of the strong uptrend that started in 2023.
🔶 Scenario 2 – Rejection & Correction
If next week’s candle closes below the red resistance line, then rejection is confirmed and a corrective phase becomes more probable. This would signal that sellers are still defending the resistance zone and gold may retrace toward lower support levels.
First downside target: $3,320 – $3,305 (major horizontal + EMA support)
Deeper correction zone: $3,160 – $3,100 (aligned with EMA cluster and channel midline)
Extreme support: $3,025 if bearish pressure accelerates
This would represent a healthy correction within the long-term bullish structure, offering potential re-entry zones for swing traders.
The weekly close is critical. A confirmed breakout above resistance will likely push gold into new highs, while a rejection sets up a pullback toward deeper support levels.
Which scenario will play out ? 1 or 2 ? Let me know with a comment !
Gold (XAUUSD) Testing Support Before Potential Move HigherAnalysis:
The chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a strong uptrend within a rising channel, supported by higher lows.
Support Level: Price is currently testing a key support around 3,404–3,405. This level also aligns with the trendline, making it an important zone to hold.
Resistance Zone: The next major resistance lies between 3,430–3,445, where selling pressure could emerge.
Trend Outlook: As long as the support level holds, the bullish momentum remains intact, with potential for price to continue higher toward the resistance zone.
Risk Factor: A breakdown below the support and trendline could weaken the bullish structure and may trigger a pullback toward 3,390.
📈 Bias: Bullish above support, targeting resistance at 3,430–3,445.
📉 Invalidation: Bearish pressure may come into play if price closes below 3,390.
8/29: Sell in the 3446–3458 ZoneGood evening, everyone!
After testing the 3419–3427 resistance zone, gold pulled back briefly, then found support and broke higher, keeping the 1D uptrend intact. However, after such a sharp short-term rally, a pullback is likely.
📌 Key Supports: 3433–3428–3423
📌 Trading Plan: Short first, then buy
Main sell zone: 3446–3463
Look for short-term buys near support retests
Watch resistance reaction at 3438–3448
Heading into the weekend, news-driven uncertainty may increase — risk management is essential.
Gold retreats, buying opportunity reappearsAfter stabilizing at 3400 yesterday, gold prices continued their upward trend, reaching a high of 3423. This is very consistent with my view yesterday. The only regret is that gold prices did not return to 3400 after the article was published, and we missed this wave of gains.
Yesterday, in his speech on monetary policy, Waller expressed support for a 25 basis point interest rate cut in September and predicted further rate cuts within the next three to six months. If the employment data shows "significant weakness" in the US economy, he may support a larger rate cut (which is bullish for gold).
Based on gold's trend, 3400 OANDA:XAUUSD is definitely a key level. After yesterday's breakthrough, it has clearly become strong support. Therefore, I believe that as long as gold prices remain above 3400, the range of gold prices will likely be between 3400 and 3450.
Gold prices just retreated again. Not wanting to miss out, I bought around 3405, with a take-profit of $10-30 depending on the situation, and a stop-loss of $3395-3390.
If the 3395-3390 range is broken, don't go long on gold.
Gold at a Turning Point: Will PCE Data Trigger the Next Breakout🟡 XAUUSD PLAN UPDATE – MMFlow Trading
📰
Fundamental Context
Later today, traders are watching the US PCE Price Index – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.
Forecast: unchanged from the previous reading, which means no major inflation pressure.
If the data comes in slightly stronger for the USD, gold could face short-term downside pressure before bouncing.
Pre-news behaviour often includes liquidity grabs around key levels before the real move begins.
📊 Technical Outlook (M15)
Gold is trading inside a descending channel with several important zones:
Resistance / Supply:
3414.3 → short-term cap.
3424 – 3425 → strong supply zone.
Support / Demand:
3394.4 → interim support.
3384.3 → key demand zone.
3375.6 → structural support, trend pivot.
3363.0 → last line of defence if breakdown occurs.
🎯 Trading Scenarios (Pre & Post PCE)
1️⃣ Bullish Bias (primary scenario)
Holding above 3384 – 3375 suggests a rebound.
Break of 3414 opens the door to 3424 – 3425.
A clean break above 3425 could extend the bullish leg towards 3435+.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario (if USD strengthens)
Failure at 3414 – 3420 may trigger a pullback towards 3384 – 3375.
A decisive break below 3375 risks further downside into 3363.
📍 Trade Plan (Guidance Only)
Buy zone: 3384 – 3375 (with confirmation signals).
Sell zone: 3414 – 3425 (short-term trades only, especially pre-news).
Stops: 5–7$ beyond key levels.
Targets: 10–20$ depending on risk appetite.
✅ Conclusion
Ahead of PCE: expect gold to accumulate within the channel, hunting liquidity.
After PCE: if data is slightly USD-positive, gold may dip into 3384 – 3375 before resuming its broader bullish path.
The overall bias remains bullish while above 3375 – 3363.
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Retesting Resistance
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