XAU/USD Technical Setup ‖ Bullish Momentum or Smart Trap?🏆 XAU/USD: The Golden Heist Blueprint | Swing & Scalp Strategy 💰
📊 Market Overview
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
Market: Precious Metals
Strategy Type: Dual Setup - Swing Trading (Bullish) & Day Trading/Scalping (Bearish)
Risk Level: High Volatility Zone ⚠️
🎯 The Master Plan
🚀 Bullish Scenario: "To The Moon" Setup
Breakout Level: $4,400.00
Action: Direct long entry on confirmed breakout above resistance
Logic: Clean break = institutional momentum shift
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Scalping/Day Trade Setup
Breakdown Level: $4,050.00
Action: Short positions on confirmed break below support
⚠️ Trap Alert: Any pullback above $4,050.00 post-breakdown = potential smart money trap. Watch for false breakouts!
🛡️ Risk Management Zone
Stop Loss (Pullback Buy Plan): $3,950.00
⚠️ Disclaimer: This SL is based on my analysis for the bullish pullback scenario. You're the captain of your own ship! Adjust stops according to your risk tolerance, account size, and trading style. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
🎖️ Profit Targets
Buy Side Target: $4,600.00
Exit Strategy Notes:
Strong resistance confluence at this level
Overbought conditions likely
Potential trap zone for late entries
Recommendation: Scale out profits gradually rather than waiting for the full target
Sell Side Target: $4,050.00
Exit Strategy Notes:
Major support level - expect bounces
High probability of liquidity grab at this zone
Consider partial profit taking before reaching full target
Recommendation: Trail stops as price moves in your favor
⚠️ Disclaimer: These targets are MY analysis, not financial advice. Take profits when YOUR strategy signals, not mine. Trail stops, scale out, or exit based on YOUR plan. Your money, your rules! 💪
🔗 Related Markets to Watch
Correlated Assets:
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - Dollar strength = Gold weakness
GC (Gold Futures): Direct correlation - Institutional positioning indicator
XAUEUR (Gold vs Euro): Alternative safe-haven flow gauge
US10Y (10-Year Treasury Yield): Inverse correlation - Rising yields pressure Gold
BTCUSD (Bitcoin): Risk-on/risk-off sentiment indicator
Key Fundamental Drivers:
Fed monetary policy & interest rate decisions
Inflation data (CPI/PCE reports)
Geopolitical tensions (safe-haven demand)
Real yields & opportunity cost
🔑 Key Technical Points
✅ Breakout Confirmation: Wait for candle close above/below key levels
✅ Volume Analysis: High volume breakouts = higher probability
✅ Smart Money Traps: Watch for failed breakouts and liquidity grabs
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Calculate before entry - minimum 1:2 recommended
✅ Market Structure: Respect higher timeframe trends
🎭 Trading Psychology Reminder
This strategy has a playful "heist" theme for entertainment, but make no mistake — treat your capital with serious respect. The market doesn't care about our plans. Adapt, manage risk, and preserve capital above all else.
Remember:
No setup is guaranteed
Always use stop losses
Never risk your rent money
Emotions are the enemy
The market pays patient traders
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldTrading #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Scalping #TechnicalAnalysis #PreciousMetals #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #Forex #GoldAnalysis #TradingIdeas #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #Breakout #SupportAndResistance #TradingView #ForexSignals
Happy trading, and may the pips be ever in your favor! 🎯💎
Xauusdupdates
Gold: Building a bottom, but caution remainsWeekend Greetings!
Over the past week, gold has been consolidating within the 4160–4000 range. Technically, this range suggests a short-term bottoming phase. However, given that prices recently reached new highs and have since formed a double-top pattern, it’s still too early to confirm a bottom. In the upcoming sessions, traders should remain cautious, avoid chasing highs, and be alert for potential bull traps or a fifth-wave decline, as mentioned last week.
On the 4H chart, higher lows are being established, and Friday’s close was above both the MA5 and MA20, with the MACD maintaining a bullish configuration. The MA60 and MA30 are currently positioned around 4180 and 4163, respectively, serving as key resistance zones. If gold can hold above these levels, there’s a good chance it will approach or even reclaim the 4300 level.
On the daily chart, gold remains supported by the MA20, with long lower wicks indicating active bullish participation, which favors further upside. However, the MA5 and MA10, located around 4154 and 4188, still act as short-term resistance. For a stronger bullish confirmation, the price needs to stabilize above 4160, ideally holding firm above 4180.
On the 30M/1H charts, moving averages are closely aligned, showing short-term consolidation. Notably, the last three candles on the 30M chart form a Morning Star pattern, a typical bullish signal. If this formation remains intact after the market opens, prices are likely to move higher.
From a fundamental perspective, no bearish news emerged over the weekend. Unless unexpected developments occur before the market opens, the technical outlook favors an upward move during Monday’s session.
XAUUSD: Structure Broken! Can the Fed Rate Cut Save Gold?Gold has just completed its first losing week in 10, after a historic rally. Following the record peak of $4,381.21, Gold experienced a sharp correction driven by profit-taking and easing US-China trade tensions. However, weaker-than-expected US CPI data has strongly reinforced expectations for an upcoming Fed rate cut, creating a significant market conflict.
I. MARKET CONTEXT ANALYSIS (H4)
Structure: The prior bullish structure has been broken, shifting the bias to bearish in the short term.
Liquidity: Market forces are now targeting key stop-loss zones to collect liquidity before the next major move.
Strategy: We look to Sell when price pulls back to the Supply Zone (Premium) and Buy when price sweeps liquidity into the strong Demand Zone.
II. DETAILED TRADING PLAN
1. SELL Scenario 📉 (At Supply Zones)
Trade 1:
Entry: $4,202 - $4,204
SL: $4,212
TP: $4,194 / $4,184 / $4,174 / $4,164
Trade 2:
Entry: $4,252 - $4,256
SL: $4,272
TP: $4,236 / $4,216 / $4,196 / $4,176
2. BUY Scenario 📈 (At Demand Zones)
Trade 1:
Entry: $4,158 - $4,161
SL: $4,151
TP: $4,168 / $4,178 / $4,188 / $4,198
Trade 2 (Critical):
Entry: $3,966 - $3,969 (Strong Demand Zone, post-liquidity sweep)
SL: $3,949
TP: $3,989 / $4,009 / $4,029 / $4,049
III. RISK MANAGEMENT NOTE
Capital: Always limit risk to ≤ 1% of capital per trade.
Confirmation: Prioritize waiting for reversal confirmation on lower timeframes (M15/M5) to optimize Risk/Reward ratio.
This is the decisive moment! Trade safe and good luck!
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #Forex #Trading #Fed #Inflation
Review of Gold's Performance This Week📝This week, the gold market experienced severe volatility, showing an overall trend of a sharp decline followed by a volatile rebound. The details are as follows:
📈Price Movement:
On Monday, gold prices fluctuated between 4,218.32 and 4,354.88.
On Tuesday, gold plummeted by 6.3% at one point, marking the largest single-day drop since April 2013.
On Wednesday, it continued to fall, hitting a low of 4,003.43.
On Thursday, gold fluctuated within the range of 4,065.47 to 4,154.52.
On Friday, gold prices fell again, dropping below 4,060 at one stage with an intraday decline of over 1%, and finally closed at 4,110.55.
💡Influencing Factors:
✔The main reasons for the sharp volatility in gold prices this week include the following:
After a rapid rise in early stages, gold was in an overbought state, creating technical correction pressure. Meanwhile, investors had a strong sentiment to take profits, leading to a large number of sell-offs.
✔In addition, the cooling of risk aversion, the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, and the fact that Federal Reserve officials entered a blackout period ahead of the interest rate decision that are resulting in a lack of remarks supporting interest rate cuts in the market also reduced the appeal of gold.
✔However, factors such as the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, geopolitical tensions, and market expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve provided certain support for gold prices.
💎Outlook for the Future:
From a technical perspective:
If gold breaks through 4,161, it may pave the way for a test of 4,200. If it continues to rise, traders may push gold prices above 4,250, or even target 4,300 and higher record highs.
But if gold falls below 4,040, the next target will be the October 22 low of 4,004.
Gold Breakdown Alert! Bears Aiming $3980 NextGold is currently showing a descending triangle / bearish channel pattern on the 15-minute chart. After testing the upper trendline resistance around 4113–4115, price has started to reject, indicating potential downward pressure.
The trendlines show clear lower highs and lower lows, confirming a short-term bearish structure. Volume is also decreasing on upward moves, suggesting weakening buying momentum.
📉 Trade Setup (Scalping / Intraday)
Signal: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD below 4105
Entry Zone: 4105 – 4110
Target 1: 4050
Target 2: 3980
Stop Loss: 4135
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2
⚙️ Technical Indicators
Trendline Resistance: 4115
Support Zone: 4050 / 3980
Momentum: Bearish bias
Structure: Lower highs forming under descending resistance
💬 Analyst View
Gold may continue its short-term correction phase if it fails to hold above the 4110 resistance zone. A breakout below 4100 could trigger a fresh wave of selling pressure targeting the 4050 area initially.
If bulls reclaim 4135, this analysis becomes invalid and could shift bias to neutral.
Analysis of gold price trends next weekShort-term catalyst: Risk disturbances and technological stabilization form a synergy
Geopolitical "tail risks" continue to escalate: The escalation of US sanctions against Russian energy giants, the intensification of competition in the technology sector between China and the US, coupled with the 23-day government shutdown crisis in the US, have continuously fuelled market risk aversion. What is even more alarming is that the new restrictions in the Russian energy sector have spilled over to the transportation costs of commodities, and if this potential risk unfolds, it will rapidly drive funds into gold.
Stabilization after sharp decline validates support strength: On October 21, the spot price of gold in London dropped by more than 6% from its historical high of 4,381 US dollars, approaching the 4,100 US dollar mark, but then rebounded rapidly. On October 23, the intraday gain was over 1.27%, recovering most of the lost ground. This "sharp decline without collapse" trend fully confirms the strong support effect in the 4,000-4,100 US dollar range and also reflects the market's recognition of the long-term value of gold.
Technical aspect presents "strong consolidation" characteristics: The daily chart shows that after the price decline, it still operates above the middle band (3,964.72 US dollars) of the Bollinger Bands, without disrupting the upward trend; the RSI indicator has dropped from the overbought zone to the middle-high level of 58.19, which is a healthy "cooling without breaking through". Currently, the price is in the stabilization stage after the correction, and as long as the key support is held, the second upward attack momentum will gradually accumulate.
Trading strategy for gold next week
xauusd @buy4040-4060
TP:4110-4150-4200
XAUUSD – CPI Cools, USD Weakens, and Gold Regains MomentumMarket Overview:
Gold has regained bullish traction after the latest US CPI report showed softer inflation data, leading to a weaker USD and renewed buying across metals.
CPI figures came in below market expectations (Core CPI 0.2% vs 0.3%, CPI m/m 0.3% vs 0.4%, CPI y/y 3.0% vs 3.1%), signalling lower inflation pressure and reinforcing bets that the Fed will stay dovish heading into November.
As a result, gold bounced strongly from the 4,050–4,058 support zone, reclaiming key structure levels and stabilising above 4,100 USD/oz.
Market sentiment remains risk-sensitive, but the short-term tone favours further upside correction, as long as gold holds above the trendline and liquidity support zones highlighted on the chart.
Technical Outlook (H2):
The market structure suggests gold has completed its correction phase and is attempting to form a new bullish leg.
Price action shows a clean rejection at the 4,050 liquidity base, and the next immediate objectives are the 4,211 neckline and 4,260–4,342 supply zones.
Key Technical Levels:
Support / Buy Zone: 4,058 – 4,002
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 3,930 – 3,940
Resistance / Neckline: 4,211
Sell Zone Reaction Fibo: 4,260 – 4,342
Trading Plan – MMFLOW View
🔹 BUY Zone #1 (Continuation Play)
Entry: 4,058 – 4,050
Stop Loss: 4,035
Take Profit: 4,155 → 4,211 → 4,260
🔹 BUY Zone #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario)
Entry: 4,002 – 3,930
Stop Loss: 3,915
Take Profit: 4,058 → 4,155 → 4,211
Ideal setup if price retests liquidity before CPI-induced recovery continues.
🔹 SELL Zone(Reaction Trade)
Entry: 4,260 – 4,342
Stop Loss: 4,355
Take Profit: 4,211 → 4,100 → 4,058
Weekly Bias & Summary:
With CPI cooling and the USD losing momentum, gold’s structure points to a recovery phase, possibly extending into Wave III of the medium-term cycle.
However, the 4,211 neckline remains the key pivot — a breakout above this zone could trigger momentum extension toward 4,260–4,340, while a rejection may result in another range-bound pullback.
🟡 MMFLOW Bias: Bullish while above 4,050 — dips remain opportunities to buy.
Macro tone favours risk-on rotation, supporting gold’s upside into next week.
📊 Do you think gold will break 4,211 for the next bullish leg, or is another correction incoming before the real move?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional updates and Smart Money Flow structure.
Analysis of the trend of gold next weekCurrently, the gold market is in a stage of "shock - upward movement driven by news". Although there is a battle between bulls and bears at the $4112 level, the upward opportunities next week are more worthy of attention. It is necessary to lay out in line with the trend and strictly control risks. The specific strategy is as follows:
I. Core Logic: Key Factors Influencing the Gold Price Trend Next Week
1. **The medium - and long - term support foundation remains intact**: The Federal Reserve has already started the interest - rate - cutting cycle. Judging from the meeting minutes, officials tend to gradually continue to loosen policies. As a result, the cost of holding gold is getting lower and lower, and its attractiveness is naturally increasing. Moreover, global central banks are still continuously buying gold. This long - term and large - scale buying can underpin the gold price, making a significant decline highly unlikely. In addition, the output growth rate of the world's top ten gold - mining enterprises has only been 1.8% in the past three years, and the problem of tight supply will also support the price in the long term.
2. **Short - term positive signals are increasing**: There are new signs of tension in the Middle East situation. The Houthi militia in Yemen has attacked the cargo ships in the Red Sea, resulting in 18% of the world's container ships changing their routes, and the shipping costs have soared. The market's safe - haven demand has significantly rebounded. Once such geopolitical risks ferment, they will drive funds to flow into gold. At the same time, the gold price rebounded after falling to around $4000 this week, indicating that the buying support at low levels is very strong, and much of the previous pullback pressure has been released.
3. **Key events next week will determine the direction**: The market is closely watching the changes in relevant news. Whether it is the new dynamics of the Middle East situation or the policy signals from the Federal Reserve, they will directly affect the gold price trend. Judging from the recent fluctuations, as long as the support near $4000 is not broken, the possibility of an upward trend is greater than that of a downward trend.
Trading strategy for gold next week
xauusd @buy4040-4060
TP:4110-4150-4200
Gold: Double Bottom or Five-Wave Decline?After rising to the MA60 area on the 4-hour chart, gold faced significant selling pressure, and the price has now pulled back to around 4050, which lies near the short-term support zone. Over time, the MA20 support on the daily chart has moved up to around 4055, while the MA30 currently sits near 3942.
On the 1-hour chart, the downtrend appears not yet complete, so pay attention to the next two closing candles. For now, key support levels to watch are 4014–4000, followed by 3978–3937.
If the price stabilizes around 4000, a double-bottom pattern could potentially form. However, if it falls further toward the MA30, a head-and-shoulders pattern may come into play. In case the rebound fails to break above resistance, be cautious of a five-wave decline, as that could trigger another sharp correction, with a high likelihood of filling the gap near 3887.
In terms of trading strategy, the focus should still be on finding buying opportunities.
For medium-term setups, you can hold positions patiently; for short-term intraday trades, pay close attention to the key supports mentioned above, and use the MA20/60 on the 30-minute chart as reference points for resistance.
Time for GOLD To DROP! (XAUUSD is heading to the downside!)For many weeks gold (XAUUSD) has been sky rocketing to the upside, however there have been many new signals indicating that it could be a bearish move to the downside. Nothing keeps going up forever! Gold has broken major support levels including the trendline that has been holding it up for weeks. It has also been struggling to break above the fibonacci level of 0.50! Time to sell!
Gold:The main strategy is to go shortToday the gold rebounded to a high of around 4144.5 before coming under pressure and declining. It then fluctuated after touching a low of around 4070.
Regarding the current market trend, it is recommended to mainly trade based on technical trends: look for opportunities to go short when rebounds are under pressure. After all, the recent pullback and adjustment of the bullish trend have not yet come to a complete end.
As the U.S. government shutdown continues, some important economic data has entered a vacuum period, leading to widespread market speculation. Currently, a series of major news events—including China-U.S. trade relations, geopolitics, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts—are all affecting market sentiment. After gold plummeted sharply at the start of the week and held the 4000 level, the bulls launched repeated counterattacks.
However, the sustainability of this bullish momentum appears weak for now: gold surged to around 4144 in the morning session but came under pressure again, and has now broken below the 4100 level, turning weak in the short term with further downside potential.
For resistance levels, pay attention to the short-term pressure around 4145-4150; for support levels, keep an eye on the short-term support around 4065-4070,At the same time, we must also be wary of Black Friday. If the support level is broken, gold is likely to continue falling to around 4000.
Since gold is under pressure and struggling to break through, the main trading strategy should be to go short when rebounds encounter pressure. Avoid trading in the middle range adopt a "wait and see" approach and refrain from chasing trades impulsively. Instead, wait patiently for key levels to enter positions.
💎Trading Strategy:
Buy 4060 - 4070
SL 4050
TP 4080 - 4100 - 4120
Sell 4100 - 4110
SL 4120
TP 4080 - 4070 - 4060
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
4H see W shape. Support is not broken and it is still bullish.Although gold has experienced a temporary pullback today, we remain bullish as long as the price remains above the upward trend line. While the hourly chart shows a downward trend, with moving averages diverging downward and technical indicators like the MACD forming a death cross, it appears that bears have regained control of the market in the short term.
But from the 4H perspective, if the short-term decline continues and it can effectively rebound after touching the trend line and move out of the W-shaped structure, then gold will be expected to hit the 4135-4145 pressure again, and then gradually hit the 4160, 4200 and other periodic resistance levels until the bulls return. As time goes by, the support points on the short-term trend line are constantly moving up. If it falls back to 4050-4035, try to go long on gold in batches with light positions, and the target is 4090-4130.
OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD on consolidation ready for again upside XAUUSD is cool down & captured the consolidation zone from 4090-4140 .
What are my conditions For Today's session?
Currently i m looking for buy trade from 4085-4175 zone ,I'm expecting H4 and H1 Candle closing will be above 4100 .
Targets: 4145- 4175.
✳️Secondly if H4-H1 candle closes below 4070
our buying will be postpond and market will test 4045.
XAU/USD: US/RUSSIA TENSION RISING – WHERE NEXT FOR GOLD?Gold (£4,140/oz) has bounced back after a recent sharp drop from its record high. This strength is due to fresh US sanctions on Russia stirring geopolitical risk, and anticipation ahead of the key US Inflation Data (due 24/10). Fundamentals are putting a solid floor under the yellow metal.
📌 TECHNICALS & THE GAME PLAN
The Crucial Resistance: $4,180 - $4,186
Action: Look to SELL if price hits this level and shows clear signs of rejection. Only BUY for a continuation if it breaks decisively above $4,186 (The "Line in the Sand").
The 'Sweet Spot' Support: $4,085 - $4,091
Action: Bias BUY. This is the ideal area for a 'Buy The Dip' trade, supported by strong macro-fundamentals and recent buying interest.
The Safety Net (Stop-Loss): Below $4,057
If this level breaks, the pressure is on for a drop towards $4,000.
💡 VERDICT & STRATEGY
Gold is currently consolidating. Given the fierce geopolitical news flow, the best strategy is to look for long entries around that crucial support zone.
Ideal Entry: $4,085 - $4,091
Stop Loss (SL): Tight, just below $4,057
Target (TP): Aim for a re-test of $4,180
Keep your eyes peeled! And remember to watch that US Inflation figure! 🚀
#XAUUSD #Gold #ForexTrading #Geopolitics #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradingStrategy #BuyTheDip #UKTraders
XAU/USD 10-23-25After the recent runup with gold it has pulled back to the 23.6 fib level on the daily timeframe and actually pushed below showing strong support in the 3975 - 4040 daily zone.
I would like to think that price will run right back up to retest the recent ATH of about 4382Gbut if I know gold in all her trickiness she will coast along at this 23.6 level then perhaps dip to the 38.2 or even the 50 then get a strong push back up to retest the high and from there probably come back down or push thru depending on macro economic and political events at that time.
Going back a few months to May of this year you can kind of see how price experienced similar behavior when it was breaking thru the 3430 - 3505 daily zone which obviously is that real push thru the previous psychological ATH level of 3500. Now history is repeating itself as we push to stay above the recent psychological ATH of 4000 towards 4500.
We shall see...
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating between $4,132 resistance and $4,091 support. Price rejected from the resistance zone and is currently sliding lower. The structure shows a potential bearish continuation if sellers defend $4,128–$4,132, with downside pressure targeting the $4,091–$4,088 zone.
📌 Trade Setup
Entry: $4,128–$4,135 (near resistance rejection)
Stop Loss: $4,135
Take Profit: $4,091 → $4,088
Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 5.26
🌍 Macro Background
Gold remains under pressure as traders focus on U.S. CPI data (Sep) due later today, expected at 3.1% YoY. Renewed USD demand and seasonal demand slowdown after India’s Diwali festival are capping upside momentum. However, safe-haven flows could reemerge amid the prolonged U.S. government shutdown and US-China trade talks set during the APEC summit. The Fed is still expected to cut rates by 25bps in November and December, which provides medium-term support.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $4,128 – $4,132
Support Zone: $4,091 – $4,088
Breakout Levels: Above $4,140 = bullish invalidation, Below $4,085 = continuation lower
📋 Trade Summary
The bias remains bearish intraday below $4,132 resistance. CPI data and trade headlines may cause volatility spikes. Short positions near resistance offer better R:R as long as $4,135 is not breached.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAU/USD – Gold Completes Liquidity Sweep Phase🔍 Market Context
After a prolonged decline from the ATH GOLD 4,381 USD peak, gold has formed a Liquidity Sweep around the 4,010 USD area, where selling pressure was fully absorbed by strong buying forces from the demand zone below.
The price structure shows signs of a Change of Character (ChoCH) for the first time since the peak, along with the emergence of an Order Block (OB) 4,081 USD – the starting point for a new upward momentum.
This indicates a high probability that the market is entering a technical retracement phase , aiming to retest the upper FVG resistance zone, or even extend back to the ATH area if buying pressure continues.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Liquidity Sweep: 4,010 – 4,020 USD → liquidity sweep bottom area, increased volume, confirming sell order absorption.
Order Block (OB): 4,081 – 4,090 USD → recovery initiation zone; if price retests this area and holds firm → confirmation signal for the upward phase.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
• FVG1: 4,196 – 4,210 USD → first target for the recovery wave.
• FVG2: 4,234 – 4,250 USD → next target, confluence with medium-term resistance.
OB | ATH GOLD: 4,370 – 4,380 USD → major resistance zone, previous peak; if price breaks through → confirms a new upward trend.
Current market structure:
→ Short-term: bullish recovery (recovering from the bottom zone).
→ Medium-term: waiting for a break of 4,234 to shift to a complete bullish structure.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest Order Block 4,081 USD
Entry: 4,081 – 4,085
SL: 4,060
TP1: 4,196
TP2: 4,234
TP3: 4,370
✅ Condition:
Wait for the price to retest the OB 4,081 area, showing a confirmation signal for an increase (rejection / engulfing bullish) or a small BoS on M15.
➡️ This is a classic buy-the-dip setup after a Liquidity Sweep – high probability due to OB + ChoCH confluence + strong demand zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest FVG 4,196 USD
Entry: 4,196 – 4,200
SL: 4,180
TP: 4,234 → 4,370
✅ Condition:
Price breaks up the first FVG with good volume, then lightly retests without closing below 4,180.
➡️ Trend-following setup, riding the flow as price confirms a break of short-term resistance.
📉 Alternate Scenario – SELL Reaction at 4,234 USD (Short-term Scalp)
Entry: 4,234 – 4,240
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,196 → 4,100
✅ Condition:
If price reacts strongly and fails at the second FVG without follow-up volume increase → a short adjustment may occur.
➡️ Short-term sell, only execute if no continuation confirmation at FVG2.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritize BUY following the main recovery trend, only SELL with clear reaction.
Avoid FOMO buying in the middle range (4,130–4,180).
If price closes H1 below 4,060 → invalidates recovery trend, pause all buy orders.
💬 Conclusion
Gold has completed the Liquidity Sweep phase and is signaling a sustainable technical reversal .
Two key areas to watch:
4,081 USD (OB Zone): first bounce support area.
4,234 USD (FVG Zone): area confirming new upward structure.
If price holds OB and breaks through FVG, high chance gold will resume upward momentum towards the 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) area.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,081 USD → TP 4,234 / 4,370 USD.
Sell reaction 4,234 USD only with clear reversal signal.
🔥 “Liquidity has been swept — now it’s time to ride the recovery wave.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 23/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (24/10/2025, ASIA)Gold (XAUUSD) closed NY around 4,120–4,126 after rebounding from the 4,070–4,090 intraday liquidity shelf, showing a clear recovery structure from the prior US session dip. Into Asia, price is now trading near 4,123–4,126, just under the descending H1 resistance / MA confluence. Momentum has turned positive intraday, but price remains in a potential lower high region unless bulls can reclaim 4,143–4,154. Asia will determine whether this is a corrective pullback inside a broader down-leg or the start of a higher-low recovery leg.
⸻
🔍 1. Market Overview
• Price rebounded strongly during late US, suggesting buyers defended sub-4,090 levels.
• Current positioning is mid-structure, below major H1/H4 EMAs, suggesting recovery but not confirmed bullish reversal.
• Asia likely to range or extend recovery toward key resistance zones before directional decision into London.
⸻
🧭 2. Technical Breakdown
📅 Daily Chart (D1)
• Strong bearish correction from 4,38x, followed by stabilization above 4,100.
• Price currently rejecting lower and forming potential daily wick.
• RSI ~59, showing room higher if momentum sustains.
• MACD still above zero but tightening → awaiting confirmation candle.
✅ Bias: Neutral-to-mild recovery within macro bullish context.
⸻
⏳ 1H Chart (H1)
• Price rebounded from strong demand at ~4,070, set higher low, rallied toward 4,126 (current) but still below 4,150+ EMA confluence (yellow/white bands).
• Descending resistance line still active.
• RSI ~52, turning up.
• MACD turning positive but recovery unconfirmed until above 4,143+.
✅ Bias: Recovery phase but facing resistance – bulls need break above 4,143–4,154 to confirm higher low structure.
⸻
📉 30M Chart (M30)
• Clear BOS to upside after breakout from consolidation.
• Mid-term EMA support now rising from ~4,107–4,110.
• However, recent rejection candle printed near resistance area.
✅ Bias: Pullback possible unless 4,110 holds.
⸻
⏱️ 15M Chart (M15)
• Price has tapped resistance zone ~4,126–4,130 multiple times.
• Micro structure remains bullish from 4,070, but consolidation forming.
• MACD shows deceleration; RSI flattening near 60.
✅ Bias: Short-term accumulation/consolidation, waiting for breakout or rejection.
⸻
📍 5M Chart (M5)
• Micro rejection from white MA cluster around 4,126.
• Short-term support near 4,114–4,110.
• If 4,110 fails, fast liquidity drop to 4,098–4,090 likely.
✅ Bias: Micro bullish but losing momentum at resistance.
⸻
✨ 3. Fibonacci Golden Zone (H1 Impulse)
Last confirmed impulse: Low 4,070 → High 4,126
• 38.2% = 4,105
• 50% = 4,098
• 61.8% = 4,091
✅ Golden Zone = 4,105 – 4,091 (Ideal long area if pullback occurs and bullish confirmation appears).
⸻
🎯 4. High-Probability Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation Setup (Preferred if pullback occurs)
🔹 Buy Zone: 4,105–4,098 (core entry) or deeper 4,091
🎯 Targets: 4,126 → 4,143 → 4,154 → 4,168
🛑 SL: Below 4,083 or safer below 4,070.
✅ Bullish Breakout Setup (Momentum)
🔹 Buy on breakout + retest above: 4,126–4,130
🎯 Targets: 4,143 → 4,154 → 4,168
🛑 SL: Back inside 4,115.
⸻
⚠️ Bearish Reaction Setup (Sell at resistance)
🔹 Sell Zone: 4,143–4,154 (EMA confluence + descending trendline)
🎯 Targets: 4,126 → 4,110 → 4,098 → 4,091
🛑 SL: Above 4,160–4,165.
⛔ Bearish Breakdown Setup (Trend continuation lower)
🔹 Sell below retest of: 4,091
🎯 Targets: 4,070 → 4,058 → 4,046 → 4,024
🛑 SL: Above 4,105.
⸻
📅 5. Fundamental Watch – Asia Session
• No high-impact Asian data – flow & positioning-driven.
• DXY mildly neutral – may allow gold extension.
• Markets may stay cautious ahead of London session and FOMC sentiment later.
• A quiet Asia session often respects fib zones & micro structure.
⸻
📍 6. Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
🔼 Resistance 4,126 / 4,130 / 4,143 / 4,154–4,168
🔽 Support 4,114–4,110 / 4,105 / 4,098 / 4,091 (Golden Zone)
⚠ Reversal Zone 4,143–4,154
📉 Breakdown Level 4,091
🎯 Golden Zone 4,105 – 4,091
⸻
📌 7. Analyst Summary
Gold is currently in an intraday recovery phase, but still trading below significant H1 resistance & EMAs. The structure favors bullish continuation only if pullbacks into 4,105–4,098 hold or if price breaks and sustains above 4,130–4,143. A failure to break resistance and a drop below 4,091 would expose deeper retracement into 4,070 / 4,058.
⸻
✅ 8. Final Bias Summary
Condition Strategy
✅ Above 4,130 (confirmed) Bullish → aim for 4,143 / 4,154
✅ Bounce from 4,105–4,098 Buy pullback → target 4,126+
⚠ Rejection 4,143–4,154 Sell reaction → target 4,110 / 4,098
⛔ Below 4,091 (retest) Bearish → target 4,070 / 4,058
📍Golden Zone (Buy Opportunity): 4,105 – 4,091
📍Breakout Confirmation: Above 4,130
📍Breakdown Confirmation: Below 4,091
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 23/10/2025 🥇
📊 GOLD TRADE RESULTS:
❌ BUY –40 pips (SL)
🔻 SELL +210 pips
⚖️ BUY LIMIT – BE
🔻 SELL +210 pips
🟢 BUY +210 pips
❌ BUY –60 pips (SL)
🟢 BUY +30 pips
🟢 BUY +100 pips
🟢 BUY +520 pips
🟢 BUY +210 pips
---
💰 TOTAL GOLD PIPS WON: ✅ +1,390 pips
📈 RESULT: 10 Signals → 7 Wins | 2 SL | 1 BE
🎯 WIN RATE (on executed trades): 78%
---
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Weekly Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. Dollar)Weekly Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. Dollar)
Weekly Scenarios
Bullish scenario: Gold holds the ~$4,000 zone and breaks through ~$4,200 → next target in the range of ~$4,500–4,700.
Consolidation: Price moves between ~$4,000 and ~$4,200, forming a base for the next impulse.
Bearish scenario: Break below ~$4,000 with volume and a change in structure → possible decline to ~$3,900 or lower.
✅ Conclusion
For the coming week, the technical picture for XAU/USD remains moderately bullish, but with a high degree of risk:
Holding support at ~$4,000 and breaking resistance at ~$4,200 could trigger a significant rally.
A break below ~$4,000 is a signal for caution and a potential correction. It's important for traders to react to volumes, breakout confirmations, and price behavior at designated levels.
Gold:Perfectly confirms the prediction🎉Today's gold trend is in perfect alignment with the key levels we preset, and the upper resistance range has exerted a significant suppressing effect.
✔We clearly indicated in the morning that "attention should be paid to the upper resistance around 4,135–4,150". In the actual market movement, spot London gold hit a daily high of 4,154.52, which just tested the upper edge of this resistance range before fluctuating under pressure. It finally traded around 4,130 and never broke through the 4,150 resistance ceiling throughout the day.
✔Meanwhile, although it dipped to an intraday low of 4,065.47, this level fell entirely within our preset support range of 4,060–4,070. The price then rebounded quickly, which confirms the supporting effect around this zone. The overall trading rhythm is completely consistent with the core logic of our prediction.
GOLD BREAK AND RETEST RECOVERY TOWARDS $4270 Overall Structure
The chart shows a rising channel pattern (ascending parallel channel) that gold had been trading within for several days.
Recently, price broke below the channel, found support, and is now retracing upward toward potential resistance levels.
🧭 Key Observations
1. Trend Context
Previous trend: Bullish, as seen from the steady higher highs and higher lows inside the yellow channel.
Recent move: Sharp bearish breakout below the channel, followed by a strong recovery bounce.
Current structure: Gold is attempting to retest the lower boundary of the broken channel — a common “break and retest” setup.
2. Support Zone
The green arrow marks the support zone around $4,018–$4,040, where the last drop reversed sharply.
This area held as strong de…
📊 Trading Outlook
Bias: Short-term bullish recovery within a medium-term corrective structure.
Buy zone: Above $4,140–$4,150 with confirmation candle.
Targets: $4,206 / $4,253 / $4,271.
Stop-loss: Below $4,100 (for short-term trades).






















