XAUUSD Crashes 1500 Pips — Key Supports Gone!Gold started the week poorly, dropping around 1500 pips and, more importantly, breaking three key support levels:
• the rising trendline that started back in August,
• the 4020 horizontal support zone,
• and even the psychological 4000 level.
Overnight, the price attempted to reclaim 4000, but failed — currently trading around 3965.
The next immediate support sits at 3945, and even if we see a rebound from here, bulls will need to hold the price firmly above 4000 to have any chance of a reversal.
If this level also fails, the next obvious medium-term target is the 3720–3750 zone.
I m bearish for now, but there isn’t a clean or logical entry point at the current levels — I will wait until a clearer setup forms.
Xauusdupdates
XAU/USD: Channel Breakout → Retest → Downside Target at 3,940EURONEXT:FTI1! EURONEXT:FTI1! EURONEXT:VU8F2026 EURONEXT:VM81! EURONEXT:VV6X2025 EURONEXT:V26X2025 EURONEXT:NS8Z2025 EURONEXT:YG8F2026 Pair: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1-hour
Current Price: 4,253.975
Trend: Recently broke out of an ascending channel (bearish signal)
📉 Chart Breakdown
1. Ascending Channel (Trade Lines)
Price was moving steadily inside a rising channel, indicated by the two parallel yellow “TRADE LINE” levels.
The break below the lower trade line suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal.
2. Resistance Level (4,320 – 4,360 zone)
Marked in purple, this zone served as a key resistance.
Price rejected strongly from this area, confirming seller presence.
3. Structure Retest and Potential Move
After the channel break, price retraced back to retest the broken channel support (now resistance).
The projected blue path shows a lower-high formation followed by a new drop, completing a bearish continuation pattern.
4. Target Zone
The projected target is near 3,940.693, aligning with previous structure support.
This level could serve as a profit-taking area for short positions.
📊 Summary of Key Levels
Zone Type Range / Level
4,320 – 4,360 Resistance Strong supply zone
4,220 – 4,240 Retest zone Potential short entry area
3,940 Target Bearish target / demand zone
⚙️ Trading Plan Concept (Hypothetical)
Bias: Bearish
Entry Idea: Wait for rejection from 4,220–4,240 zone.
Stop Loss: Above 4,280 (resistance)
Take Profit: Around 3,940 (target)
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:3 or better
🧭 Conclusion
The chart suggests that Gold (XAU/USD) might be entering a corrective bearish phase after failing to sustain its bullish channel. A retest of broken structure before another drop aligns with typical market structure behavior.
Gold bulls are powerless to recover rebound continues to bearishThis week, global financial markets are focused on the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision. Gold prices typically have a negative correlation with real interest rates. Rate cuts typically reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, thus supporting prices. In the current environment of rising risk appetite, even if the Fed cuts rates as expected, gold's safe-haven appeal may be offset by trade optimism.
Yesterday, gold prices broke through the psychologically important 4,000 level as expected, and we saw significant returns on both short positions. After consolidating below the 4,160 high, gold is poised to break lower, generally in line with expectations. The daily candlestick pattern formed a doji candlestick pattern, followed by a mid-sized bearish candlestick pattern that engulfed the lower level, continuing its downward trend. The daily and weekly corrections are still ongoing. The daily chart finally closed at 3982, with a long black candlestick with a long upper shadow. Today's market continues to short. Gold's resistance level is currently moving downwards. The four-hour chart is entirely filled with long black candlesticks. Any rebound is easily swallowed by these large black candlesticks. These large black candlestick bodies demonstrate the strength of the bears, breaking through all support levels. The only lower support level is around 3950. If this breaks down, bears will target around 3800. Therefore, we will continue to focus on long positions, clearly at yesterday's support point, around 4040.
From a technical analysis perspective, gold is showing clear bearish signals on the one-hour chart. The moving averages are showing a bearish alignment, with the short-term moving averages pushing downward, indicating that short-term bears have the upper hand. Furthermore, the MACD indicator's death cross continues to diverge, and the growing green momentum bar further confirms the downward price trend. During the Asian session, watch for a rebound in gold prices to the 4035-4040 range. A small position can be entered into a short position with a stop-loss above 4050 to protect against losses from a sudden price reversal. Target prices can initially target the 4000 mark, with further downside potential targeting the 3980-3950 range.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM – GOLD ANALYSIS (28/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold closed the US session around 3,982 after extending its sell-off from 4,048, confirming strong bearish continuation from the 4,38x top. The current structure remains heavy, with the H1 100/200 EMA acting as dynamic resistance and repeated rejections near 3,997–4,002.
Momentum indicators across intraday timeframes still favor sellers, but Asia may open with a brief corrective retracement before the next bearish leg toward 3,958–3,945 liquidity zones.
⸻
2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Third consecutive bearish daily candle confirming continuation of the mid-term correction.
• Price now trades around 3,982, testing the mid-range zone between 3,880–4,020.
• RSI slipping near 50, signaling room for more downside before oversold conditions.
• MACD histogram remains negative but moderating — corrective phase within broader uptrend.
🧭 Bias: Bearish continuation inside medium-term correction; key support 3,880.
⸻
🔸 1H Chart (H1)
• Structure: Clear lower highs from 4,12x → 4,072 → 4,048 → 3,997.
• Strong break of structure below 3,985 → 3,971 confirms downtrend intact.
• Price remains below all EMAs and the descending trendline.
• RSI ~37 (slightly oversold); MACD momentum still negative.
📉 Intraday Bias: Bearish below 4,021; corrective only if price reclaims that level.
⸻
🔹 15M Chart (M15)
• Descending channel clearly defined; price rejected twice near 3,997–4,002.
• Pullbacks shallow, suggesting weak buyer interest.
• MACD histogram fading after short correction — selling pressure resuming.
⚠️ Short-term Bias: Sell rallies until clean BOS above 4,021.
⸻
🔹 5M Chart (M5)
• Micro downtrend confirmed with CHoCH back to the downside at 3,996.
• Price consolidating near 3,982, forming minor liquidity base pre-Asia open.
• RSI ~36; momentum weak but potential short-term rebound toward 4,000 before next drop.
🔎 Micro Bias: Intraday pullback expected; structure favors new lower high formation near 4,009–4,021.
⸻
3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis – Golden Zone
Last H1 swing: High 4,048 → Low 3,971
• 38.2% → 3,998
• 50% → 4,009
• 61.8% → 4,021 ✅
✨ Golden Zone = 4,009 – 4,021
This zone aligns with the descending trendline, the H1 EMA cluster, and prior supply rejection — making it the highest-probability short area for continuation.
⸻
4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
🟢 Bearish Continuation Setup (Preferred Scenario)
✅ Sell Zone: 4,009 – 4,021 (Golden Zone)
🎯 Targets: 3,985 → 3,971 → 3,958 → 3,945
🛑 Stop-Loss: Above 4,028–4,032
📈 Reasoning: Structural alignment with EMAs, Fib confluence, and trendline resistance.
⸻
⚡ Momentum Breakdown Setup (Continuation Trade)
✅ Sell Trigger: Break & retest below 3,971
🎯 Targets: 3,958 → 3,945 → 3,930 → 3,920
🛑 Stop-Loss: Back above 3,985
📈 Reasoning: Structural breakdown confirmation and liquidity grab continuation.
⸻
⚪ Countertrend Buy Setup (Low Probability)
✅ Buy Trigger: Clean 15M BOS + retest above 4,021
🎯 Targets: 4,034 → 4,048 → 4,072
🛑 Stop-Loss: Below 4,009
📈 Reasoning: Short-term recovery if DXY weakens or liquidity imbalance above 4,02x forms.
⸻
5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Asia session quiet: no tier-1 data expected.
• Focus remains on USD index drift and post-US yield sentiment.
• If DXY holds firm above 106, gold downside pressure persists.
• Watch early Shanghai open flows — potential liquidity sweep near 3,971 before NY continuation.
⸻
6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
Resistance 3,997 / 4,009 / 4,021 / 4,034 / 4,048
Support 3,985 / 3,971 / 3,958 / 3,945 / 3,930
Golden Zone 4,009 – 4,021
Break Sell Trigger < 3,971
Break Buy Trigger > 4,021
⸻
7️⃣ Analyst Summary
The market remains structurally bearish across all intraday frames, with strong EMA alignment and trendline rejection confirming continuation bias. Asia session likely sees a corrective bounce into the 4,009–4,021 Golden Zone, where the best-quality short setups align.
Only if buyers reclaim and hold above 4,021 will momentum shift for a potential relief rally toward 4,048/4,072. Otherwise, expect renewed pressure targeting 3,971 → 3,958 → 3,945.
⸻
8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
📉 Primary Bias: Bearish → Sell rallies into 4,009–4,021
📈 Secondary Bias: Bullish only above 4,021 (retested hold)
🎯 Targets: 3,985 → 3,971 → 3,958
✨ Golden Zone: 4,009 – 4,021
🛑 Invalidation: H1 close above 4,032
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 27/10/2025 🥇
📅 Smart setups. Steady profits.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔻 SELL +220 PIPS
🟢 BUY +145 PIPS
❌ BUY -60 PIPS (SL)
🔻 SELL +210 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 GOLD TOTAL PIPS WON: +515 PIPS
📊 4 Trades → 3 Wins | 1 SL
🎯 Accuracy: 75%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 Solid and precise session — trend moves respected technical zones perfectly.
👏 Congratulations if you profited! ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
XAU/USD DOUBLE TOP FORMATION BEARISH MOVE TARGETTING SUPPORT🧩 Key Observations:
1. Double Top Formation
Two clear peaks around 4160–4180 zone (marked circles).
This confirms strong resistance and a potential reversal zone.
2. Trendline Resistance
A descending trendline from previous highs keeps price suppressed.
Every retest of this line has led to rejection — confirming bearish control.
3. Bearish Structure
Lower highs and lower lows clearly visible → consistent with downtrend.
Recent pullback appears corrective before another potential drop.
4. Projected Move (Arrow Path)
The arrow suggests a short-term retracement to ~4120–4150 zone (trendline + resistance confluence).
Then, a continuation down toward the target zone near 3968–3980.
5. Support & Target Levels
Immediate Support: 4040–4050
Main Target: 3968–3980 (shown on chart)
Major Resistance: 4160–4180
GOLD (XAUUSD) — Market Sitting Below 3,980… What’s Next?Gold finally filled the Daily Fair Value Gaps below and we’re now sitting around 3,976 after a heavy pullback. Trend is still bullish overall, this looks like a normal correction after that vertical move up.
I’m watching the current Daily FVG support between 3,950 – 3,980.
If buyers defend this area → I’m looking for long entries.
Buy Plan (Only if we see bullish reaction):
• Entry zone: 3950 – 3980
• TP1: 4050 (small bounce liquidity)
• TP2: 4150 (upper FVG)
• TP3: 4250 if momentum is strong
• SL: below 3930 (clean invalidation)
Bearish invalidation:
If 3,930 breaks and closes below FVG → gold likely continues down to 3,880 next demand area .
Weak market rebound can short goldGold prices encountered resistance near 4,084 and began to pull back. The short position we entered in the morning has now been closed for profit around 4,044. Currently, gold has broken below the triangular consolidation zone, which aligns with our expectations. Based on the current technical structure and market sentiment, we do not plan to enter any long positions for the time being.
The key support below gold prices now is the market’s psychological level of 4,000. Judging from the current market conditions, unless a major risk event occurs unexpectedly, a break below 4,000 is only a matter of time. After the Asian session’s rally followed by a pullback, and the European session’s break below today’s low, we can continue to enter short positions if there is a rebound during the U.S. session.
GOLD aka XAUUSD is heading to the downside!!Last week XAUUSD (Gold) had a very bearish week! It ended its bullish streak of years and declined to the downside. It only recently broke a very strong support zone (the green trendline) and struggled to break above the resistance zone (red trendline). It should drop all the way down further all the way to the 3833 level.
Plan XAU 27-oct 2025 Related Information:!!!
The top economic officials of China and the United States agreed on Sunday on the framework of a potential trade deal that will be discussed when U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet later this week. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that discussions on the sidelines of the ASEAN Summit in Kuala Lumpur had removed the threat of a 100% tariff on imports from China that was set to take effect on November 1.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold prices are moving sideways in the $4000–$4100 range.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Resistance zone point: 4000 zone
Today's gold trading strategyThe contradiction between supply and demand has set the price floor.
The gold market is currently facing a dual situation of "tight supply and strong demand". On the supply side, the global underground reserves of gold are only 20%, and the output of mined gold in 2025 can only maintain a slow growth of 3,000 tons. Moreover, new mines need 5-7 years to come into production, and there is simply no possibility of a significant increase in supply in the short term. The marginal production cost has risen to $1,500 per ounce, providing a strong support for the gold price. On the demand side, not only are global central banks buying gold in a frenzy, but the gold purchase volume is expected to exceed 10,000 tons in 2025. The private investment demand in Asian markets such as China and India is also surging. In 2024, the consumption of gold bars and coins in China increased by 46.02%. This supply-demand gap is difficult to fill in the short term and will inevitably push the gold price to rise.
Today's gold trading strategy
xauusd @ buy4050-4060
TP:4080-4100-4150
SL:4030
XAU/USD – Downtrend Holds as Gold Tests the Lower Channel🔍 Market Context
Gold remains under pressure after failing to reclaim the 4,060 breakout zone.
Recent attempts to recover have been absorbed by sellers, confirming short-term weakness and the continuation of the downward structure.
The market appears to be in a redistribution phase, as traders await clarity from upcoming macro data.
📊 Technical Analysis
Structure: Clear bearish channel with lower highs forming below the broken trendline.
Key resistance: 4,058–4,060 (previous breakout support now acting as supply).
Support zones:
• 4,004–4,000 → short-term liquidity area.
• 3,928–3,930 → deeper liquidity pocket + Fibo reaction zone.
Bias: Downtrend remains intact unless price reclaims and holds above 4,070–4,080.
🎯 Short-Term Outlook
If gold continues to reject from the 4,050–4,060 area,
a further move toward 4,000 and possibly 3,928 is likely.
Conversely, a clean reclaim above 4,080 could invalidate the current bearish pressure and trigger a short-term recovery.
⚜️ Summary
Gold is not collapsing — it’s resetting structure after an extended rally.
The focus remains on how liquidity behaves near 4,000.
If that zone breaks, expect momentum to accelerate toward 3,928 before buyers step back in.
📌 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Follow the structure, not the emotion — liquidity always tells the truth.”
GOLD (XAU/USD): THE FED & THE FINAL DIP – GET READY TO SHORT!1. MACRO OVERVIEW SUMMARY
Headwinds (Short-term): The agreed-upon US-China trade framework reduces tariff fears, putting near-term selling pressure on Gold.
Tailwinds (Mid-term): Weak CPI data (3% inflation) solidifies expectations for Fed rate cuts (weakening the USD) + Escalating Russia-Ukraine Tensions.
The Decisive Event: The FOMC decision on Wednesday will serve as the ultimate compass for Gold's next major move.
2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE & TARGETS
Current Structure: Following the strong bullish impulse, Gold is in a major corrective phase. The recent price structure was broken, confirming that the short-term trend has shifted to bearish.
Anticipated Scenario: Gold has likely completed its retracement and is expected to execute the final drop to conclude the correction process before a potential reversal.
The Magnet (Target): The critical Value Gap on the daily timeframe (around $3,880 – $3,920) is the ultimate destination this final move is likely heading for.
WAITING FOR ENTRY: Gold is anticipated to rally slightly to retest the recently broken structure area before continuing its descent.
3. TRADING STRATEGY (BEARISH BIAS)
We favor a SHORT position, aligning with the final corrective down-move:
Ideal Entry Zone: $4,080 – $4,100 (Retest of the broken structure).
Take Profit (TP1): $3,970 (Nearest Demand/Support Zone).
Take Profit (TP2): $3,880 (Final Target at the major Daily Value Gap).
Stop Loss (SL): $4,135 (Above the key Supply Zone).
Crucial Note: Maintain strict risk management ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. This short move could finalize the major correction!
Where do you think this final drop will end? Comment below!
#Gold #XAUUSD #FOMC #Trading #TradePlan
XAU/USD 27 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 October 2025.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mention that price is to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,004.280.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
The triangle pattern breaks and looks at the directionLast week we repeatedly emphasized the importance of paying attention to the rising trend line of the 4H cycle. Until the price falls below this trend line, we will maintain our bullish stance. Although news of easing trade tensions between China and the United States over the weekend has brought a slight cooling to the market's tense mood, this has only temporarily suspended the bullish counterattack. Whether a real and effective consensus can be reached still requires attention to the APEC summit at the end of the month.
At the same time, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut this week is almost a foregone conclusion, which has provided some support for the rise in gold prices. This has also contributed to the current relatively flat trend in gold prices, without as much fluctuation as last week. In addition to the rising trend line that we have been paying attention to, there is also a small downward trend line in the 4H chart, which makes the current trend fall into a triangle consolidation range.
The short-term support below is 4060-4050, and the trend suppression above is 4120-4130. Before the triangle pattern breaks to determine the future trading direction, we can sell high and buy low around this range.
The current hourly moving average is arranged downward, and it is expected to test the lower support again. If it falls back to the lower support and does not break, we can consider going long on gold.
XAUUSD – Gold Trapped in Uncertainty Before the FOMC Market Overview:
Gold remains range-bound as US–China trade optimism tempers safe-haven demand, while expectations for further Fed rate cuts continue to weigh on the USD and cushion downside pressure.
The market is hesitant ahead of the two-day FOMC meeting this week, as traders await clear policy guidance before taking larger directional bets.
In short — macro tone is mixed:
Trade headlines reduce fear.
Fed expectations support gold.
Yet the chart shows indecision — a compression phase before expansion.
Technical Outlook (H1)
On the chart, gold continues to oscillate inside a tightening triangle, holding above the 4,050–4,060 Support Trendline (OBS BUY ZONE).
The liquidity structure shows buy-side absorption near the lows, while sellers remain active around the 4,186–4,260 resistance zones.
If gold maintains stability above 4,050, buyers may attempt to push toward the 4,107 neckline, and possibly test 4,186, before meeting the next supply layer at 4,260.
Conversely, a failure to hold support could expose the 4,002 and 3,930 liquidity pools below.
Key Technical Zones:
Support Trendline / OBS BUY ZONE: 4,058 – 4,050
Neckline / Local Resistance: 4,107 – 4,110
Reaction Zone (Fibo / Supply): 4,186 – 4,260
Deeper Liquidity Zone: 4,002 – 3,930
MMFLOW View – Plan for the Session
At this stage, the market is in accumulation mode.
As long as price stays above 4,050, MMFLOW maintains a neutral-to-bullish bias, focusing on how price reacts near the neckline at 4,107.
The ideal scenario would be:
A short-term pullback to absorb liquidity near 4,050,
Followed by a push toward 4,186,
Then a possible correction before the FOMC outcome.
However, if sellers manage to reclaim 4,050, a drop into 4,002 or even 3,930 could mark the next deep liquidity grab — setting up the base for a larger rally later.
Summary:
Gold remains stuck between macro hesitation and structural compression.
Liquidity is building on both sides — and the breakout direction will likely align with post-FOMC volatility.
🟡 Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish above 4,050.
Watch how the market defends 4,058 and reacts at 4,107–4,186.
📊 What’s your take — will FOMC give gold a reason to break free, or keep it trapped another week?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily structure breakdowns & institutional flow insights.
🟣 Chart: XAUUSD H1 – Smart Money Flow structure showing liquidity sweep, compression triangle, and Fibo confluence zones before the FOMC decision.
Plan |Gold Gradually Accumulating, Preparing for an Upward Wave?🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historical peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold underwent a deep correction, breaking the short-term bullish structure (BoS) and retesting the OB Bearish zone above .
However, since the price returned to the 4,040 – 4,060 USD area, the market has shown clear signs of liquidity absorption ($$$) and maintained an internal upward trendline, indicating that buying momentum is returning.
The current structure suggests gold is in a re-accumulation phase before forming a medium-term recovery wave towards the 4,185 → 4,243 USD zone.
Buyers hold the advantage as long as the price does not break the main support trendline.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060 USD → a strong support zone confluencing with the trendline, where institutional buying previously appeared.
Support Trendline: connecting the series of higher lows from 15/10 → short-term trend remains bullish.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,060 – 4,080 → supply absorption zone, confirming its role as a “price base”.
Resistance Zone: 4,149 – 4,185 → the first resistance zone to break to confirm the recovery momentum.
Target FVG / Supply Zone: 4,243 – 4,250 → potential profit-taking area or reversal consideration point.
Current structure:
→ Short-term: bullish corrective move.
→ Medium-term: potential for forming an extended recovery wave if holding above 4,040 USD.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Trendline / Liquidity Zone 4,060 USD
Entry: 4,060 – 4,070
SL: 4,035
TP1: 4,149
TP2: 4,185
TP3: 4,243
✅ Condition:
Price hits the trendline or liquidity zone 4,060 and shows a bullish reversal signal (rejection / bullish engulfing).
➡️ This is a high-probability setup, confluencing trendline structure + liquidity zone support, often where large buyers re-enter the market.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Break & Retest resistance zone 4,149 USD
Entry: 4,149 – 4,155
SL: 4,130
TP1: 4,185
TP2: 4,243
✅ Condition:
Wait for the price to break the 4,149 resistance zone with strong volume, then lightly retest without closing below 4,130.
➡️ Trend-following setup – confirms the return of buying momentum and extends the target to the FVG zone 4,243 USD.
3️⃣ SELL Setup (Scalp reaction) – FVG 4,243 USD
Entry: 4,240 – 4,245
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,185 → 4,150
✅ Condition:
Only execute if there is a strong reaction at FVG 4,243 without a continuation break signal.
➡️ Short-term technical sell – leveraging the supply zone reaction, not holding the position long.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritize trading in the buy direction, avoid selling against the main trend.
If H2 closes below 4,035 → bullish scenario invalidated, wait for a new structure.
Do not FOMO buy in the mid-range (4,090–4,130).
Keep moderate volume, move SL to breakeven when price surpasses 4,149.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is in a gradually ascending accumulation phase after a strong decline.
As long as the price holds the trendline and support zone 4,040 – 4,060 USD, gold is likely to rebound following the liquidity + breakout retest model, with the main target being 4,185 → 4,243 USD .
If it breaks through 4,243 USD, the market could trigger a stronger rally towards 4,300 – 4,340 USD .
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,060–4,070 → TP 4,185 / 4,243 USD
Add Buy when breaking 4,149 USD with volume confirmation.
Technical Sell 4,243 USD if there is no signal to break higher.
🔥 “As long as 4,040 holds, gold remains in accumulation — patience will pay.”
⏰ Timeframe: 2H
📅 Update: 27/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle formation. The resistance zone lies between $4,104 – $4,113, while the support zone is marked at $4,050 – $4,055. The price has repeatedly tested both zones, suggesting market indecision. A breakout from this tightening structure could dictate the next directional move.
📌 Trade Setup
Entry: $4,061 (near trendline support)
Stop Loss: $4,050 (below support zone)
Take Profit: $4,113 (resistance)
Risk–Reward (R:R): ≈ 1 : 4.36
🌍 Macro Background
Renewed optimism surrounding US-China trade talks has reduced safe-haven demand, leading to gold’s decline near $4,065 earlier today. US Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed that both sides reached a framework for discussion, with China expected to delay its rare earth policy by one year. At the same time, markets are nearly certain the Federal Reserve will deliver a 25 bps rate cut at the October FOMC meeting, with another cut possible in December. While trade optimism weighs on gold, rate-cut expectations continue to provide a safety net for the metal.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,104 / $4,113
Support: $4,055 / $4,061
Upside Target (if breakout): $4,130 – $4,150
📋 Trade Summary
Gold is trapped in a tightening triangle between $4,055 and $4,113. Traders may look for long entries on dips near $4,061 with targets at $4,113, aligning with Fed rate-cut expectations. However, renewed US-China optimism caps the upside. A decisive break below $4,050 would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the door toward $4,020.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Today's gold trading strategyExpectation of policy easing "stable with growth": Despite the presence of hawkish voices within the Federal Reserve, core officials have expressed clear signals of easing measures - the President of the St. Louis Federal Reserve, Musalem, explicitly stated that if there are further risks in the labor market, he might support another rate cut. More importantly, the probability of a rate cut at the October 28-29 interest rate meeting remains above 90% in the market. This policy expectation provides a solid support for gold. As an interest rate-sensitive asset, gold's attractiveness will continue to rise in an environment where the easing expectation is clear.
Today's gold trading strategy
xauusd @buy4060-4080
TP:4110-4130-4200
SL:4040
XAU/USD: Wave 5 is already starting or the bulls' last hope?XAU/USD: Wave 5 is already starting or the bulls' last hope?
📈 Weekly Scenarios
Bullish scenario: Price holds above ~$4,056-4,000, breaks through ~$4,267 → start of waves (5) up → target ~$4,380-4,455+.
Consolidation: Price moves between ~$4,000 and ~$4,267, forming a base before the next major move.
Bearish scenario: Break of support at ~$4,000 with volume confirmation → start of correction → target ~$3,820-3,943.
✅ Conclusion
On the weekly timeframe, gold is at a key milestone: either a strong profitable rally (wave 5) begins, or a correction reverses.
Main signals: holding above ~$4,000 and breaking through ~$4,267 is the way to the upside; a break below ~$4,000 is a signal for caution.
XAU/USD | Day Trade Bullish Map – Can Gold Reach 3800 This Week?🏆 XAU/USD | Metal Market Wealth Strategy Map (Day Trade) 🥇
🎯 Plan: Bullish Wealth Heist
The thief’s map is drawn — and today, the gold vault is our target.
🔑 Strategy Style (Thief Layering Method):
Instead of a single-entry, this plan uses layered limit orders (multiple entry levels). Think of it as planting “buy traps” across the chart to secure the best loot.
📥 Entry Layers (Buy Limits):
3660 💰
3670 💰
3680 💰
3690 💰
3700 💰
(⚡ Add more layers if your style allows — the thief never comes with just one key!)
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Door):
SL @ 3630 (⚠️ Reminder: This is MY thief escape hatch. You’re free to place your own exit plan depending on risk appetite.)
🎯 Target (Loot Point):
TP @ 3800 (near strong resistance, overbought zone & police patrol 🚨)
— Remember: take profits where you feel safe. The thief escapes when the bag is full!
📊 Thief’s Key Notes
This is a layering strategy, designed for dynamic entries & better position cost-averaging.
XAU/USD often reacts strongly around resistance bands — watch for liquidity hunts before the move.
Don’t marry the trade — grab profit, exit quick, and live to raid another day.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Check)
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Moves in sync with Gold, but can be more volatile.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation — if USD weakens, gold often rallies.
FX:EURUSD : Another inverse play against USD, gold strength may reflect here.
SP:SPX / PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 : Risk sentiment cousins — equity weakness often boosts gold.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Strategy, shared for educational & fun purposes only. Not financial advice — trade at your own risk.
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