XAU/USD 10 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed according to yesterday's analysis where I mentioned price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% EQ or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4059.350
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 09 October 2025.
Price continued bullish, printing further ATH's.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH, however, as mentioned in yesterday's analysis, I will be monitoring depth of pullback. Pullback is insignificant, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify as such. I have however marked this in red.
Price has since printed a further bearish CHOCH which means that price is now trading within an established internal range. However, I shall, again, be monitoring depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,059.350.
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Xauusdupdates
XAUUSD – Breakdown After Ceasefire & Fed Comments📉 Market Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) dropped over 2%, sliding from $4,012/oz to $3,945/oz, marking a sharp $67 decline overnight.
The selloff came as two key catalysts hit the market:
🕊 Israel–Hamas ceasefire agreement cooled down geopolitical tensions.
💬 Fed’s Barr pushed back against October rate cuts, sending USD higher and pressuring gold.
Despite the drop, price action suggests a temporary corrective phase, with gold now stabilising near a short-term support zone.
📊 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View)
Gold has confirmed a Head & Shoulders (H&S) breakdown pattern, with a neckline retest around $4,014 – $4,033 acting as resistance.
After the breakdown, price rebounded slightly but continues to trade below the structure, showing that bears remain in control short-term.
The short-term support zone sits around $3,945, and if broken, could accelerate the decline towards $3,912 – $3,885, aligning with deeper liquidity areas.
🔑 Key Zones to Watch
Resistance (Breakdown Zone): 4,014 – 4,033
Support (Short-term): 3,945 – 3,912
Liquidity/Buy Zone: 3,885 – 3,878
💡 MMFLOW Trading Scenarios
🔵 BUY SCALP Zone: 3,912 – 3,910
🔴 Stop Loss: 3,905
✅ Take Profit: 3,916 – 3,920 – 3,925 – 3,930 – 3,940 – 3,950 – ???
Trading View:
The market is still digesting recent fundamentals; volatility remains high.
A short-term rebound from 3,910 is possible as liquidity builds up near this demand zone.
However, unless price reclaims 4,014, any bounce may only be corrective before further downside continuation.
🧭 MMFLOW Insight
Even though gold faces bearish momentum, macro risks still support a long-term bullish narrative:
U.S. government shutdown risks remain unresolved.
Fed may turn dovish later in Q4 if labour data weakens.
Liquidity gaps below $3,900 could attract smart money accumulation zones.
⚠️ Trading Notes
✅ Always set Stop Loss – NFP-style volatility can occur post-Fed comments.
✅ Avoid chasing after breakdown candles. Wait for pullback entries at key levels.
✅ Be patient — the best setups form when liquidity is fully absorbed.
📍 Summary
Gold continues to trade under pressure after geopolitical easing and hawkish Fed tones.
Watch for price action around $3,910 – $3,945; this range will likely define the next major impulse.
Stay alert — once liquidity clears, MMFlow will be watching for smart-money reentry signals from key OB/CP zones.
Rebound or Breakdown? Gold Faces the 4K DilemmaYesterday:
After a new test of the 4060 ATH zone, Gold dropped exactly as expected — and as I warned in my recent posts, the move was sharp and decisive, leaving no second chance for traders to reassess.
This leg down measured roughly 1200 pips, finding support around the 3940 zone.
The Key Question: Was That It?
In my opinion — no.
I believe we’re likely to see a second wave of selling soon.
What We See Now
Currently, Gold has formed a double bottom around the 3940 support
Given the still-present bullish sentiment, a short-term rebound toward the 4,000+ area is possible.
Trading Plan
If such a rebound occurs, I see it as an opportunity to sell at better prices, targeting the 3900 zone.
However, I’ll be closely watching the 3940 support, which has held twice already. This could also provide a soft 500+ pips target if I manage to sell above 4k.
P.S.:
There’s also the possibility that Gold fails to rise above 4,000.
In that case, I’ll simply sell from lower levels, following price action confirmation.
GOLD PRICE ANALYSIS – SUPPORT RETEST BEFORE NEXT BULLISH MOVEChart Overview
Current Price: $3,973
Support Zone: $3,882 – $3,942
Target Level: $4,189
Channel Type: Ascending channel pattern (bullish structure)
📊 Technical Insights
Trend Structure
Gold is trading within a rising parallel channel, showing higher highs and higher lows.
The current pullback is approaching the lower boundary of the channel, a potential buy zone.
Support Area
The marked support zone ($3,882 – $3,942) aligns with both:
Channel support trendline
Previous structure lows (confluence support)
This makes it a strong potential reversal zone.
Possible Scenarios
Scenario A (Bullish Continuation)
Price bounces from the support zone and resumes upward momentum toward the target level at $4,189, representing a +6.23% move.
Scenario B (Deeper Correction)
Price briefly dips below the lower boundary before reclaiming it — forming a false breakout and then rallying higher.
Momentum Context
Short-term retracement is normal within an uptrend.
If candles show rejection wicks or bullish engulfing patterns around $3,900–$3,940,** it could confirm bullish continuation.
⚙️ Trading Plan Idea (Educational)
Buy Zone: $3,885 – $3,940
Target: $4,180 – $4,190
Stop-Loss (suggested): Below $3,870 (to protect against breakdown)
Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:3
📈 Summary
Gold remains bullish within its rising channel.
A short-term dip toward the support zone could offer a strong buy opportunity before the next push toward the $4,189 target.
GOLD Epic Bearish Breakout!HI,Traders !
#GOLD made an epic
Bearish breakout of a very
Strong key horizontal level
Of 4003.24 which is now a
Resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
XAUUSD MARKET DOWNTREND REACTIONMarket Overview:
Current Price: $4,045.23
Trend: Uptrend showing potential exhaustion at the upper resistance channel.
Chart Pattern: Possible double-top or round-top reversal forming after a strong bullish rally.
🧠 Bearish Scenario Analysis:
Gold has reached a key resistance zone around $4,045 – $4,060, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Momentum appears overextended, and a minor correction or pullback is likely.
📉 Bearish Expectations:
Immediate Resistance: $4,045 – $4,060 (upper channel resistance)
Neckline / Breakdown Level: $4,020
Once price breaks below $4,020, bearish pressure could intensify.
🎯 Downside Targets:
1. 1st Target (Minor Correction): $3,998
– Previous structure and mid-channel support
2. Final Target: $3,965 – $3,960
– Lower channel boundary and previous consolidation area.
Gold: Stretched, Channel Broken, First Real Pullback Next?1️⃣ Overview
Yesterday, Gold reached a new all-time high at 4061, marking the 8th consecutive ATH in 8 days. If we also consider that the yellow metal has been rising for 8 consecutive weeks, the bullish momentum is undeniable.
However, no market can rise indefinitely without pauses. Regardless of how strong the uptrend is, corrections are necessary, and I believe we are very close to one — if not already in it.
________________________________________
2️⃣ Technical Context
After Friday’s low at 3820, Gold traded within an ascending channel, climbing around 2500 pips from bottom to top. This represents roughly a 6% increase, which is quite significant — especially coming after about a 15% rise in the previous 7 weeks.
Now, the channel has been broken, and Gold has entered a small correction toward the 4000 zone. At the time of writing, the market is rebounding, suggesting that bulls have not yet given up.
Still, this rebound looks more like the first sign of exhaustion than renewed strength. Even if bulls manage to push for another all-time high, the market structure is weakening.
________________________________________
3️⃣ Key Zones to Watch
The 4000 level is now the main psychological area and the line in the sand, followed by the 3990 zone, which acts as technical support.
A sustained break below these areas could open the way for a sharper correction toward the 3900 region, which would still only scratch the surface of the broader rally.
________________________________________
4️⃣ Market View
Of course, the bullish trend will remain intact on the medium term, but momentum is stretched, and a cooling phase looks increasingly likely.
I’m currently watching for potential selling points around yesterday’s highs, as the market starts to show its first signs of fatigue after an exceptional run.
After the Double Top — What’s Next for Gold Trading?Hello everyone!
Gold has now formed a clear double-top pattern, and the current price zone is crucial — it will determine whether the market continues its downward move or starts building a potential double-bottom formation.
The key levels to watch are: resistance at 4036 and support between 4011–4000.
Before a decisive breakout occurs, traders can focus on range trading between 4005–4025.
If the price breaks below support, the next downside targets are 3992, followed by 3986–3972/64.
Conversely, if gold breaks above 4036 and stabilizes above it, the price could extend upward toward 4046–4058.
From a technical standpoint, the current structure remains bearish-biased, so long positions should be approached with caution. A quick in-and-out trading style is recommended for safety.
For those who prefer a more conservative approach, it’s better to wait for a clearer breakout signal before entering the market.
Gold (XAU/USD) Rebound Setup – Support Holding StrongAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of bullish strength after testing the $4,000–$3,970 support zone, where buyers are stepping back in. The recent consolidation above support suggests a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend.
The setup highlights:
Support Zone: Around $3,970 – $4,000, acting as a key accumulation area.
Bullish Trigger: A breakout above minor resistance could drive momentum higher.
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $4,101
🎯 Target 2: $4,150
🎯 Target 3: $4,200
Stop Loss: Below $3,970 to protect against a downside breakout.
📈 Outlook: As long as price sustains above support, Gold remains bullish, aiming for a breakout towards $4,150 and $4,200 levels.
Mainly long and auxiliary short, the strategy remains unchangedPowell's speech did not have much impact on the market, but silver, also a precious metal, has hit a record high, so we need to be alert to the potential rise in gold in the US market. Long trading remains the main theme. Pay attention to the resistance of 4065-4080 on the top and the support of 4045-4030 on the bottom. Conservative traders should wait for a pullback to go long.
Unstoppable Uptrend as Gold Benefits from Fed Easing📊 Market Context
Gold continues to hold its strong uptrend amid political and economic uncertainty in the US. The government shutdown has now entered its second week with no resolution in sight, fueling further concerns about the impact on US economic performance.
At the same time, the Federal Reserve has entered an easing cycle since September, with expectations of additional 25 bps rate cuts in both October and December – a clear bullish driver for non-yielding gold.
According to the World Gold Council (WGC), gold-backed ETFs have recorded $64 billion in inflows this year, with September marking the largest monthly increase in over three years – a strong signal of booming safe-haven demand.
Not only investors, but global central banks also remain active buyers, adding 15 tons to reserves, showing a clear shift away from reliance on US debt.
All these factors combined continue to reinforce the long-term bullish trend, opening up opportunities for strategic BUY setups.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price action remains within an upward channel, repeatedly retesting and bouncing from support.
Buy Scalp Zone 4004–4002: quick reaction zone for short-term entries.
Main Buy Zone 3986–3984: strong support aligned with FVG.
Key resistance target: 4068–4082 (Liquidity Zone).
📈 Trading Plan
✅ BUY SCALP: 4004–4002
SL: 3996
TP: 4008 - 4012 - 4016 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ????
✅ BUY ZONE: 3986–3984
SL: 3980
TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4010 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ????
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The 4000 level is a key psychological resistance – watch for potential liquidity sweeps.
Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation at BUY zones.
Adjust position sizing carefully, as volatility could spike with political headlines and Fed-related updates.
✅ Summary
Gold’s bullish momentum remains intact, supported by US political uncertainty, Fed easing, record ETF inflows, and continued central bank accumulation. Strategy remains BUY at 4004–4002 and 3986–3984, aiming for targets toward 4068–4082.
Holding $4,000 Before Powell Speaks: Bulls Still Have the EdgeGold remains resilient after the recent drop from its record high at $4,059, as buyers continue to defend the $4,000 psychological support zone. The market’s attention now turns to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech, which could trigger strong volatility in the next session.
Despite the correction, the structure remains technically bullish under the FiboMatrix framework — the price is consolidating within key retracement levels, preparing for its next expansion wave.
📊 FiboMatrix Technical Structure (M30)
Support Zone – Retest Area:
4010 – 4012 → Key trendline retest + Fibo 0.618 Reaction Zone, potential area for bullish re-entry.
Reaction Buy Zone:
402x → Watch for a confirmation bounce to rejoin the upward trend.
Resistance Zone (ATH):
4060 → Intraday ceiling and pivot point before testing higher liquidity above 408x.
SELL Reaction Zone:
4084 – 4086 → Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 expansion zone, ideal for short-term rejection or scalp trades.
🎯 Trading Plan (Francis Setup)
✅ BUY Setup:
Entry: 4010 – 402x
Targets: 4060 → 4084
SL: Below 3996
⚠️ SELL Setup (Short-term scalp):
Entry: 4084 – 4086 (if rejection forms)
Targets: 4040 → 4020
SL: Above 4096
🔑 Francis Outlook
Gold’s retracement looks healthy and controlled within the Fibo structure — not a breakdown.
As long as price holds above the $4,000 zone, the bullish sentiment dominates.
👉 Expect slower momentum and possible range play until Powell’s remarks.
👉 A confirmed breakout above 4060 – 4086 could extend the rally toward $4,100+ and beyond.
🚀 Bias: Still bullish while above 4010 – “Buy the dips, sell the Fibo reaction.”
#XAUUSD: Will There Be Major Price Correction On Gold? Dear Traders,
Gold has been rallying with strong bullish momentum and has not experienced a major correction since the last few weeks. We have identified a key level from which the price can continue its bullish momentum if fundamentals do not change. Furthermore, we can target $4200 in a few weeks if the current momentum continues.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
Gold Awaits Powell's Speech: Sell $4052 or Buy $3977?Hello TradingView community!
The Gold market is entering a pivotal phase. After an impressive rally, prices are pausing at a critical resistance zone, and the market sentiment is holding its breath for tonight's main event: the speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
This is a moment where a few words can determine the direction of an entire trend. Let's outline a detailed action plan.
1. Macro Context: Jerome Powell in Focus
"Aftershocks" from the FOMC Minutes: The market is still "digesting" the FOMC meeting minutes released yesterday. The minutes revealed a somewhat more "hawkish" tone than expected, as many members remain concerned about inflation. This is putting slight pressure on Gold prices.
Main Event: Fed Chair Powell Speaks.
This is when all eyes are on him. Traders will scrutinize every word of Powell's for clues about the future interest rate path.
If Powell maintains a hawkish tone, emphasizing that the fight against inflation is not over, the USD will strengthen, and Gold may undergo a deep correction.
Conversely, if he makes "dovish" remarks, expressing concerns about economic growth, it will be a "green light" for Gold to break out.
2. Technical Analysis: Action Plan
Our chart clearly outlines the key "battle lines":
Main Resistance Zone (Bearish OB - Zone):
This is the "stronghold" of the Bears, where profit-taking and short-selling pressures are concentrated. With a somewhat hawkish macro backdrop, this is a very strong resistance zone. The scenario forecasted on the chart shows prices may rebound to this area and be rejected. This is a critical area to watch for sell signals.
Primary Buy Zone (Bullish OB - Buy Zone):
This is the safest and most ideal "stronghold" for the Bulls. It is the order block that created the previous strong upward wave. A perfect scenario is Powell's speech driving prices to adjust to this zone, creating a good buying opportunity to follow the main trend.
Breakout Target (Liquidity):
If Powell unexpectedly turns "dovish," Gold could break through the $4,052 resistance zone and head straight for the liquidity target at the previous peak.
Trading Strategy
Before the speech (19:30): The market may be unpredictable. It's best to stay on the sidelines to avoid price "sweeps."
Preferred strategy: Based on the adjustment scenario drawn on the chart, patiently waiting for a buying opportunity at a strong support zone will be safer.
Specific plan:
Sellers (Risky): Look for clear reversal signals at the $4,052 zone during or after the speech.
Buyers (Safe): Wait for a price push down to the $3,977 zone and look for confirmation signals to buy.
WHAT'S YOUR PLAN?
Do you predict Chairman Powell will be "hawkish" or "dovish" tonight? And is your plan to Sell $4,052 or wait to Buy $3,977?
👇 Share your thoughts in the comments and don't forget to Like 👍 and Follow the channel!
XAU/USD 09 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued with it's bullish trajectory, printing further ATH's, breaching the $4000 mark for the first time.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a horizontal blue dotted line
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price continued bullish, printing further ATH's.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH, however, as mentioned in yesterday's analysis, I will be monitoring depth of pullback. Pullback is insignificant, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify as such. I have however marked this in red.
Price has since printed a further bearish CHOCH which means that price is now trading within an established internal range. However, I shall, again, be monitoring depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,059.350.
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – (09/10/2025, London Session)Market Bias: Neutral–Bullish (possible upside recovery if 4,030 holds)
Overall Trend: Still bullish on the higher timeframes, though intraday correction continues from 4,059 high.
⸻
🔍 Daily (D1) Outlook
• Gold is in a strong uptrend, supported by 20 EMA (3,998) and 50 EMA (3,867).
• Yesterday’s candle printed a small rejection wick from 4,059 – signaling exhaustion but not reversal yet.
• RSI at 78 → near overbought, indicating limited room for immediate upside before a pullback.
• MACD still positive and widening → medium-term bullish trend intact.
📈 Daily Bias: Trend bullish unless price closes below 3,998 support.
⸻
⏱ 1H (H1) Outlook
• Gold is consolidating between 4,018 – 4,045 inside a minor descending channel within the broader uptrend.
• A bounce from the ascending green trendline aligns with the 20 EMA support (4,030).
• MACD histogram showing smaller red bars → bearish momentum fading.
• RSI ~49 → neutral, showing indecision before London volatility.
• Structure still forming higher lows, maintaining bullish pressure.
🟢 If gold holds above 4,030, a recovery toward 4,045–4,059 is likely.
🔴 Break below 4,018 would confirm short-term bearish continuation to 4,010–3,995.
⸻
⏱ 15M (M15) Outlook
• Gold is coiling between 4,018–4,038 forming a symmetrical triangle, often a precursor to breakout volatility.
• EMA alignment remains positive (20 > 50 > 200).
• MACD turning flat → early consolidation before possible breakout.
• RSI hovering near 50, indicating balanced market.
📍 Key observation: This compression phase will likely break during London — direction will depend on whether 4,045 (upper boundary) or 4,018 (lower boundary) gives way first.
⸻
⏱ 5M (M5) Scalping View
• Range-bound structure within 4,030–4,038.
• Minor liquidity sweeps above and below confirm low-volume accumulation.
• Short-term EMAs crossing upward → micro bullish hint.
💡 Scalpers may watch for breakout candle closes with volume confirmation.
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zone
Using the latest swing from 3,984 → 4,059, the retracement levels are:
• 38.2% → 4,032
• 50% → 4,021
• 61.8% → 4,010
➡️ Golden Zone: 4,032 – 4,010 (buy interest area if retested with confirmation).
✅ Confluence: aligns with ascending trendline + 1H EMA + psychological support 4,030.
⸻
⚡ Breakout & Retest Levels
Direction Breakout Zone Retest Confirmation Target Zones
Bullish Above 4,045–4,051 Retest 4,041–4,043 4,059 → 4,072 → 4,085
Bearish Below 4,018–4,010 Retest 4,014–4,016 3,995 → 3,984 → 3,970
⸻
📊 Indicators Summary
Indicator Reading Bias
RSI (H1) 49 ⚪ Neutral
MACD (H1) Fading red histogram 🟢 Bullish recovery building
EMAs (20/50/200) Upward aligned 🟢 Bullish structure
Parabolic SAR Below price 🟢 Supportive trend
Volume Decreasing ⚠️ Low volatility before London open
⸻
📅 Fundamental Outlook – London Session
• No major UK data early session.
• Focus on US CPI (tomorrow) → traders may stay cautious.
• DXY stabilizing near 104.70, showing slight weakness, giving gold potential upside room.
• US yields steady; sentiment neutral-to-slightly risk-on.
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold remains inside consolidation but still bullish on structure.
Price is testing a key support zone (4,030–4,018) within the golden zone, where buyers may re-enter.
📈 Buy Scenario (High Probability):
Hold above 4,030 → possible rally to 4,045 → 4,059 → 4,072.
Confirmation: breakout and retest above 4,045.
📉 Sell Scenario (Alternative):
Break and retest below 4,018 → 4,010, opens deeper correction to 3,995–3,984.
🎯 Fibonacci Golden Zone: 4,032 – 4,010 (buy interest area).
⚠️ Invalidation: Close below 4,010 = short-term bearish shift.
$4070 Gold: New Record! Was the Recent Dip a Sell Trap?Hello, traders!
Gold just set a New Record at $4,070.5/oz (Futures). Up 54% YTD, this rally is strongly fueled by two core factors: 1) Confirmed Fed rate cut momentum (backed by FOMC Minutes) and 2) Overwhelming safe-haven demand due to global instability (US Shutdown, Middle East conflict).
Technical Analysis & BUY Dips Strategy Confirmed
The sharp pullback from $405x to $4000 (the Fib 0.5 zone) led many to suspect a reversal. However, buying pressure overwhelmed sellers and broke resistance at $402x.
Technical Conclusion: The dip was a Sell Trap and merely a Consolidation phase. The primary bias is confirmed: BUY on Dips is the absolute priority.
Risk Warning: Only if $4000 is cleanly broken on heavy volume does the risk shift heavily against long positions.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $4049, $4057, $4064, $4074, $4084, $4094
Support: $4021, $4009, $3992, $3978
Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at Support)
BUY SCALP: $4019 - $4017
SL: $4013
TPs: $4023, $4028, $4033, $4038
BUY ZONE (Strong Demand): $3992 - $3990
SL: $3982
TPs: $4000, $4010, $4020, $4030, $4040
SELL SCALP: $4056 - $4058
SL: $4062
TPs: $4053, $4048, $4043, $4038
SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4084 - $4086
SL: $4094
TPs: $4076, $4066, $4056, $4046, $4036
Can this momentum push Gold past $4100 this week? 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #4070USD #ATH #Fed #BUYDIPS #SellTrap #TradingView
Gold: Long-short divergence is emergingGold exhibited a consolidative trend today, with the 4000-4050 range providing significant support. After touching an intraday low of 4001, prices rebounded sharply—indicating robust buying interest in this interval.
Resistance is concentrated between 4045-4050. While gold remains in a strong zone above 4000 in the short term, the rate of increase has narrowed compared to previous sessions. Long-short divergence is emerging, warranting caution against pullback risks following rallies.
Market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November remain uncertain, and this ambiguity has led to the oscillating trend in Gold. If subsequent economic data (e.g., inflation and employment figures) reinforce rate cut expectations, the U.S. Dollar Index may weaken further, potentially allowing gold to break through the 4050 resistance level and advance toward the 4070-4100 range. Conversely, if rate cut hopes fade, prices may retrace to the psychological 4000 level to seek support.
Buy 4000 - 4010 TP 4020 - 4030 - 4040
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Bulls Reloading After a Healthy Pullback | Next Target: 4090+ 📊 Market Context
After a powerful bullish rally that pushed gold to record highs, XAUUSD retraced about 1% on Thursday as traders took profit from the recent surge. However, this move appears to be a technical correction, not a trend reversal — as indicators have shown overbought conditions for several sessions.
Despite this short-term pullback, the long-term uptrend remains intact.
Gold is up more than 50% year-to-date, driven by:
🌍 Ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions,
💰 The Federal Reserve’s monetary easing cycle,
🏦 Record central bank gold accumulation,
⚔️ Rising global uncertainty, fueling strong safe-haven demand.
Overall, this retracement could be an ideal setup for BUY re-entries, as bulls look to reload positions toward the 4090–4100 liquidity zone.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price remains inside the medium-term bullish channel, showing strong reactions around 4000–3980 support.
4010–4008 acts as a quick scalp zone for short-term entries.
3984–3982 serves as a key structural support and liquidity reaction area.
4090–4092 (Liquidity Sell Zone) stands as the major resistance — potential liquidity trap area.
📈 Trading Plan
✅ BUY SCALP: 4010–4008
SL: 4002
TP: 4015 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - 4050 - ????
✅ BUY ZONE: 3984–3982
SL: 3978
TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4005 - 4010 - 4020 - ????
✅ SELL ZONE: 4090–4092
SL: 4098
TP: 4085 - 4080 - 4070 - 4060 - 4050 - ????
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The 4000 level remains a strong psychological and structural support — only enter long positions with confirmed price action signals.
Be cautious around 4090–4100, where liquidity sweeps and false breakouts are likely.
Adjust position size properly to manage volatility during high-impact news or geopolitical updates.
✅ Summary
Gold is undergoing a healthy correction phase within its broader uptrend.
The strategy remains BUY-focused at 4010–4008 and 3984–3982,
with upside targets toward 4060–4090,
and a potential short-term SELL opportunity near 4090–4092 if rejection signals appear.
💡 MMFLOW TRADING – Trade with market structure, follow liquidity, and ride the BIGWIN setups!
GOLD|Surge: Targeting $4,100! Where to Buy Ahead of FOMC MinutesHello TradingView community! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to demonstrate incredible strength, consistently breaking past old highs and forming a solid upward price channel. This robust rally is not only technically reinforced but is also awaiting a potential catalyst from today's crucial fundamental news.
In this analysis, we will combine two key perspectives: a deep dive into the technical chart to identify optimal entry points, and an examination of the main fundamental event that could significantly impact Gold prices during the US session.
1. Fundamental Perspective: All Eyes on FOMC Minutes
Today's market highlight, Wednesday, October 8, is the release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes at 2:00 PM ET.
Why does this matter? The minutes provide a detailed record of the Federal Reserve's most recent policy meeting in September. Traders will scrutinize the text for any hints about the future interest rate path.
Potential scenarios:
"Dovish" Tone: If the minutes reveal that FED officials are concerned about economic growth and open to further rate cuts, the US Dollar may weaken. This would create a strong push for Gold (XAU/USD), potentially fueling the next price surge.
"Hawkish" Tone: If the minutes emphasize that inflation remains a concern and the FED is not in a hurry to cut rates, the USD may see a short-term recovery, causing Gold to have a corrective dip.
This event is a top catalyst for volatility. Our strategy is to prepare technical zones to capitalize on the market's reaction.
2. Technical Analysis: Detailed Trading Plan
The bullish structure on the 2H timeframe is undeniable. Prices are creating a series of higher highs, confirmed by each "BoS" (Break of Structure), signaling that the Buyers are in full control. Here are the key zones to watch:
Potential Buying Zones (Key Points):
FVG Zone ($4,004): The nearest support is this Fair Value Gap, an area of price imbalance that the market often seeks to fill. Prices may retest this area before or during the news release.
"Buy Break BoS" Zone ($3,981): This is the most recent swing high that has been broken. It has now turned from resistance into a crucial support level. This zone provides a solid entry point if prices correct a bit deeper.
"Bullish Order Block" Zone ($3,951): This is the last major "stronghold" of the Buyers—a strong buy order block that initiated the latest push wave. This is an ideal area to look for buy orders if the market makes a strong liquidity sweep downward.
Upside Targets:
Short-term target (Scalping): $4,070 - This level coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Main target: "Liquidity Sell" Zone at $4,103. This is a large "liquidity pool" where the Sell side's stop-loss orders are likely concentrated. Smart money often drives prices towards such areas.
Strategy Summary
Main trend: Bullish.
Core strategy: Look for "Buy the dip" opportunities at the key support zones mentioned.
Critical timing: Be cautious around the FOMC Minutes release (18:00 UTC). Volatility can be high, and the market may whip in both directions to sweep stop-losses before following the main direction.
Pro tip: Patience is key. Waiting for prices to pull back to a confirmed support zone will provide a much better Risk/Reward ratio than chasing the market at the highs.
WHAT'S YOUR TAKE?
How do you think Gold will react to today's FOMC minutes? And where are you looking to place your buy orders—at the FVG zone $4,004, the BoS level $3,981, or are you patiently waiting for the Order Block $3,951?
Share your thoughts in the comments below!
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