Bearish setup on Gold (XAU/USD) in the 30-minute timeframeA sell position is highlighted just below the resistance area, marked by the red zone. The stop-loss is placed above the recent highs, protecting against a possible breakout continuation. The target is positioned near the next support level around 4020, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
The downward arrow indicates the expected movement — a pullback from the resistance zone toward the lower support area. This setup suggests a short-term bearish correction within the broader bullish structure.
Xauusdupdates
XAUUSD on swing 4080 markXAUUSD is still maintaining the bullish streak Trapping the traders on intraday basis. I will buy gold on every dip till my Traget 4080
What will I do Today?
I took small buy trade at 4028 and expecting the upside move.
-My target will be $4080 & 4065 In extension !!
Additional Tip:
-If H4 closed below 4025 then market will test 3990.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) remains firmly supported above the $4,000 psychological level, holding gains despite overbought conditions. The chart shows price respecting the ascending trendline support and consolidating near the mid-channel zone. Immediate resistance lies at $4,121 – $4,135, while the support base is aligned around $3,988 – $4,001. As long as the price maintains above the trendline, the bullish structure remains intact.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $4,002 – $3,988 (buy on dips near support)
Stop Loss: $3,977
Take Profit 1: $4,121
Take Profit 2: $4,133
Risk-Reward (R:R): ~1 : 5.35
🌍 Macro Background
The US government shutdown continues into its ninth day, weighing on confidence in the US economy and weakening the Dollar. At the same time, the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance—with September’s rate cut already delivered and further cuts projected in October and December—reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding Gold. This has fuelled demand for the safe-haven asset.
Meanwhile, Middle East risks have eased slightly after Israel and Hamas signed the first phase of the Trump peace plan, but broader uncertainty in global politics (US, EU fiscal tensions, Japan’s leadership changes) keeps safe-haven flows active. Thus, any dips are likely to attract strong buyers.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,121 / $4,133
Support: $4,002 / $3,988
📌 Trade Summary
Gold continues to ride strong bullish momentum, supported by dovish Fed expectations and political uncertainties. Buying near support levels remains favoured, with targets set at $4,121 and $4,135. Pullbacks should be seen as opportunities to rejoin the uptrend.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
10/8: Watch Resistance at 4050, Short First Then Go LongGood afternoon, everyone!
Driven by global economic and geopolitical uncertainties, as well as strong market expectations for further Fed rate cuts, gold has surged past the 4000 mark today, setting a new all-time high.
From a weekly perspective, the bullish momentum remains intact, and the uptrend still has room to extend. In the short term, some profit-taking and selling pressure after reaching new highs are normal technical corrections.
If the price climbs to the 4040–4050 range, pay close attention to the 4010 level as potential support during any pullback. If gold trades below 4030, the main support area can be referenced around 4000–3986.
Overall, the medium-term outlook remains bullish. For intraday trading, consider a buy-low, sell-high approach within the 4050–4011 or 4030–3992 range. However, if the price breaks above 4050 decisively, avoid chasing longs and instead look for potential short opportunities.
10/9: Sell Orders Above 4050 Profited, Watch Support Around 4000In yesterday’s session, we clearly indicated that if gold breaks above 4050, traders should look for short opportunities — and this move has indeed delivered impressive profits.
At present, the price is testing the 30-minute chart support area, though it is relatively weak. The key support zone lies on the 1-hour chart, around 4000–3990.
From a strategic perspective, if the rebound fails to break above 4038, it signals weakening bullish momentum. In this case, selling near the highs remains the preferred approach while monitoring support around 4011–4000. If the support holds, short-term buying opportunities may arise.
Be cautious when heavy selling pressure appears — close short-term positions promptly. Traders may choose to adopt a scalping approach for quick profits or consider a medium-term long position, though the latter requires stronger account capacity and risk tolerance.
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 - (09/10/2025, Asia Session)Current Price: 4,041
Session Bias: Neutral-to-bullish (possible continuation if 4,031 holds)
Market Structure: Gold consolidating after major rally, forming a potential re-accumulation phase inside an ascending channel.
⸻
🕐 1️⃣ DAILY TIMEFRAME (D1)
• The daily candle closed bullish but with a long upper wick, showing rejection near 4,059.
• Structure remains firmly bullish, with price holding well above both EMAs:
• 20 EMA: 3,978
• 50 EMA: 3,867
• MACD still positive, histogram extended but flattening → momentum slowing.
• RSI at 78, signaling overbought conditions.
• Parabolic SAR remains below price → trend intact.
Summary:
The daily trend remains bullish, but a short-term consolidation or correction is likely before a new leg higher toward 4,070–4,090.
⸻
⏱ 2️⃣ H1 TIMEFRAME
• Gold is moving inside an ascending channel, currently holding mid-range.
• Support area between 4,033–4,018; resistance around 4,047–4,059.
• The latest candles show lower highs forming, signaling potential temporary compression before breakout.
• MACD histogram slightly negative, confirming minor correction mode.
• RSI at 54 → neutral, suggesting possible bounce from support if buyers defend structure.
• The 20 EMA (4,039) and 50 EMA (3,985) remain bullishly aligned → trend still intact.
Observation:
Asia could open with consolidation between 4,030–4,050 before a breakout. Bulls will likely defend the 4,033–4,018 zone for a re-entry attempt.
⸻
📉 3️⃣ M15 TIMEFRAME
• Price building a descending wedge structure — typically a bullish continuation pattern.
• Immediate support: 4,033–4,030
• Resistance: 4,047–4,051 (weak high)
• Fibonacci retracement from 3,984 → 4,059:
• 38.2% = 4,032
• 50% = 4,021
• 61.8% = 4,010
➤ Golden Zone = 4,032 – 4,010
• MACD histogram red but contracting — bears losing pressure.
• RSI at 47, near mid-level → awaiting a confirmed impulse.
Summary:
The wedge plus golden zone suggest a potential bullish rebound if Asia session liquidity sweeps below 4,030–4,018 and reclaims above 4,033.
⸻
⚡ 4️⃣ M5 TIMEFRAME (SCALPING STRUCTURE)
• Market is ranging 4,032–4,046, inside compression.
• Minor CHoCH and BOS signals visible between candles, confirming short-term equilibrium.
• MACD showing convergence → early sign of potential breakout build-up.
• RSI around 48 → balanced.
Scalping Areas:
• Buy scalp: from 4,033–4,028, confirmation candle close above 4,035, SL ≤ 60 pips.
• Sell scalp: only if clean break below 4,018, retest, and rejection candle appears.
⸻
✨ FIBONACCI GOLDEN ZONE (Current Swing: 3,984 → 4,059)
Retracement Level Price
38.2% 4,032
50% 4,021
61.8% 4,010
➡️ Golden Zone = 4,032 – 4,010 → Primary buy interest area if retested with bullish confirmation.
⸻
🚨 BREAKOUT & RETEST LEVELS TO WATCH
Direction Breakout Zone Retest Confirmation Target Zones
Bullish Above 4,051–4,059 Retest 4,047–4,050 4,066 → 4,072 → 4,085
Bearish Below 4,018–4,010 Retest 4,014–4,016 4,000 → 3,990 → 3,970
⸻
🧭 ASIA SESSION OUTLOOK
• Base Case (65% probability):
Gold remains in consolidation early Asia, possibly sweeping 4,030–4,018 (Golden Zone) before resuming upward movement to 4,060–4,072.
• Alternative (25% probability):
Extended sideways compression 4,030–4,050 until London.
• Low Probability (10%):
Strong bearish break below 4,010 leading to deeper correction 3,990–3,970.
⸻
✅ SUMMARY
Gold remains bullish overall, but currently accumulating near intraday support after rejection at 4,059.
Asia is expected to be range-bound with a bullish bias, focusing on:
• Buy interest zone: 4,032–4,010 (Golden Zone)
• Breakout confirmation: above 4,051 for 4,060–4,072 extension.
• Invalidation: below 4,010 structure.
Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 4,018
⚪ Neutral 4,018–4,010
🔴 Bearish below 4,010
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 08/10/2025 📱
📊 DAILY MARKET RESULTS
✅ SELL +60 pips
✅ BUY +20 pips
✅ BUY +40 pips
💸 BTC/USD +1,700 pips
✅ SELL +110 pips
✅ BUY +20 pips
❌ SELL –40 pips (SL)
✅ BUY +210 pips
❌ SELL –40 pips (SL)
✅ BUY LIMIT +40 pips
---
🏆 GOLD TOTAL PIPS WON: +420 pips
📱 BTC/USD TOTAL: +1,700 pips
📈 COMBINED GAIN: +2,120 pips
📊 RESULT: 10 Signals → 8 Wins | 2 SL
🎯 ACCURACY: 80 %
---
🔥 Solid day of profits with powerful BTC moves and consistent gold trades!
Another step toward closing the week in style 💪📈
👏 Congratulations if you profited ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
Breaking Resistance: Gold Eyes $4,500 by Year-EndLooking at this weekly chart of Gold (XAU/USD), we can clearly see the explosive price action that has been building up. The price has been climbing steadily, with the 33-period EMA providing strong support along the way. The breakout above the resistance zone is a strong signal that the bullish momentum is gaining strength.
However, the price is now approaching a key resistance level around $4,049, which could act as a significant hurdle. If this level holds, we might see some consolidation or a potential pullback before the next move up.
Keep an eye on how the price interacts with the resistance — a break above could signal further upside, while failure to break could lead to a retest of lower support levels. It’s a crucial moment for Gold, and any confirmation above this zone could trigger a strong continuation of the uptrend.
Gold: Continue its rally to reach an all-time highGold has successfully stood firm above the key psychological level of 4000, continuing its rally to reach an all-time high. From the perspective of capital flows, although specific position data is lacking, the price-volume surge following the breakthrough,evidenced by both New York Gold and London Gold recording "rising prices with increasing trading volume" that confirms the continuous inflow of safe-haven funds. Additionally, the seasonal upward momentum of gold in October has not yet faded, and the momentum-driven uptrend continues, further strengthening the confidence of bullish investors.
The 4000-4050 range has been effectively broken through, and this former resistance level has now transformed into a short-term support level. If gold can maintain a stable position above 4050 in the subsequent sessions, the next target range can be set at 4100-4150. For short-term support, focus on the key psychological level of 4000; a breakdown below this level may trigger a pullback to the 3950-3980 range.
Buy 4010 - 4020 TP 4030 - 4040 - 4050
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Gold: Reach a new highGold has successfully stood firm above the key psychological level of 4000, continuing its rally to reach an all-time high. From the perspective of capital flows, although specific position data is lacking, the price-volume surge following the breakthrough,evidenced by both New York Gold and London Gold recording "rising prices with increasing trading volume" that confirms the continuous inflow of safe-haven funds. Additionally, the seasonal upward momentum of gold in October has not yet faded, and the momentum-driven uptrend continues, further strengthening the confidence of bullish investors.
The 4000-4050 range has been effectively broken through, and this former resistance level has now transformed into a short-term support level. If gold can maintain a stable position above 4050 in the subsequent sessions, the next target range can be set at 4100-4150. For short-term support, focus on the key psychological level of 4000; a breakdown below this level may trigger a pullback to the 3950-3980 range.
Buy 4010 - 4020 TP 4030 - 4040 - 4050 SL 4000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
4050-4030 oscillation, break to decide the direction#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The hourly gold line in the U.S. market closed with a large positive line after a series of dojis, but it still did not break through the 4050-4030 oscillation range, proving that the bulls and bears in the current market are still fighting for dominance.
As I reminded you before, once it falls below 4030, gold may test the support range of 4020-4010 in the US market. We can wait for gold to return to the support before going long, which is still a reference. Because we are still in an upward channel, the core trading idea remains unchanged.
However, one thing that needs to be noted is that because the bulls and bears are fighting for the dominant low position, we also need to be vigilant on the upper side. As time goes by, once gold stabilizes above 4050, it will definitely touch the channel pressure near 4065 again.
Therefore, the short-term main long and auxiliary short ideas remain unchanged. If the gold price rises first and touches the upper channel pressure while waiting for the gold to retreat, we can still consider shorting gold with a light position.
See below for more real-time updates👇
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – US FORECAST (08/10/2025)Session Bias: Bullish continuation with controlled pullback probability
Market Structure: Still within ascending channel; bulls defending structure after rejection at 4,049
⸻
🕐 1️⃣ DAILY TIMEFRAME (D1)
• Gold continues its aggressive uptrend, with another bullish daily candle extending from 3,983 to 4,049.
• Price remains above 20 EMA (3,975) and 50 EMA (3,867) → strong bullish trend confirmation.
• RSI at 79 → extremely overbought, suggesting limited room before a short-term correction.
• MACD histogram still expanding positively, showing momentum remains active despite exhaustion risk.
• Parabolic SAR stays below price → trend intact.
Summary:
Gold is overextended but structurally bullish. As long as daily candle holds above 4,000, buyers remain in control aiming for 4,060–4,078.
⸻
⏱ 2️⃣ H1 TIMEFRAME
• Gold hit 4,049 (Weak High) and is now consolidating around 4,040–4,043, holding above short-term structure support at 4,031.
• Price remains above 20 EMA (4,031) and 50 EMA (3,984) — EMAs sharply aligned upward.
• MACD: histogram showing fading bullish momentum, though still above zero → healthy pullback possible.
• RSI (70) hovering near overbought → suggests cooling off before potential continuation.
• Channel Structure: price rejected top trendline (red), possibly retracing toward midline support 4,031–4,020.
Observation:
If 4,031–4,020 holds, we may see a continuation leg toward 4,060–4,078.
A break below 4,018 would shift short-term momentum bearish toward 4,004.
⸻
📉 3️⃣ M15 TIMEFRAME
• The intraday structure remains bullish; however, candles are printing smaller bodies → indicating exhaustion.
• Fibonacci retracement from 3,984 → 4,049:
• 38.2% = 4,024
• 50% = 4,017
• 61.8% = 4,010
→ forming a Golden Zone (4,024–4,010) — ideal pullback area for re-entry if the bullish trend resumes.
• MACD showing a flattening histogram → potential retrace before next impulse.
• RSI at 61 → mid-range, ready for either a dip or rebound depending on 4,031 support reaction.
Summary:
A healthy retracement toward 4,024–4,010 is expected. As long as the golden zone holds, trend continuation remains the main scenario.
⸻
⚡ 4️⃣ M5 TIMEFRAME (SCALPING VIEW)
• Price formed a minor double top at 4,049 and retraced to 4,033, currently ranging between 4,030–4,044.
• 20 EMA starting to flatten, while 50 EMA remains below → short-term correction developing.
• MACD histogram in red but narrowing → bears weakening as we approach support.
• RSI 48 → neutral, suggesting accumulation zone forming for next move.
Scalping Summary:
• Buy scalp zone: 4,031–4,024 (confirmation required)
• Sell scalp zone: below 4,018 (breakout and retest) → potential drop to 4,004–3,992
⸻
✨ FIBONACCI GOLDEN ZONE (Current Swing: 3,984 → 4,049)
Retracement Level Price
38.2% 4,024
50% 4,017
61.8% 4,010
Golden Zone = 4,024 – 4,010 → key support & re-entry area.
⸻
🚨 BREAKOUT LEVELS TO WATCH
Direction Breakout Zone Retest Confirmation Target Zones
Bullish Above 4,049–4,050 Retest 4,045–4,047 4,060 → 4,072 → 4,085
Bearish Below 4,018–4,010 Retest 4,015–4,012 4,004 → 3,992 → 3,970
⸻
📊 INDICATORS SUMMARY
Indicator Reading Bias
RSI (H1) 70 (Overbought) ⚠ Cooling phase
MACD (H1) Positive, flattening ✅ Still bullish
EMAs (20/50) Rising, wide gap ✅ Trend intact
Volume Normalizing ⚠ Pre-news pause
Parabolic SAR Below price ✅ Trend supportive
⸻
🧭 SESSION OUTLOOK (US SESSION)
• Base Case (60% probability):
Controlled pullback toward 4,024–4,010 (Golden Zone) before continuation to 4,060–4,078.
• Alternative (30% probability):
Extended range between 4,030–4,049 with sideways consolidation.
• Low Probability (10%):
Breakdown below 4,010 → deeper correction to 3,990–3,970.
⸻
✅ SUMMARY
Gold remains bullish overall, but short-term momentum is softening after reaching 4,049 resistance.
A pullback into 4,024–4,010 (Golden Zone) is the ideal setup for bullish continuation.
As long as price holds above 4,018, trend bias stays upward;
only a confirmed breakdown below 4,010 would signal short-term bearish correction.
Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 4,018
⚪ Neutral 4,018–4,010
🔴 Bearish below 4,010
⸻
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Channel Continuation SetupGold (XAU/USD) continues to trade within a strong ascending channel on the 30-minute chart, showing clear bullish momentum. Price action has respected the lower trendline support multiple times, confirming steady buying interest.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: Around 4031
Target: 4051
Stop Loss: 4019
Technical Outlook:
Gold maintains a solid uptrend structure with consecutive higher highs and higher lows. The price is currently consolidating near mid-channel, preparing for a potential push toward the upper boundary and target zone around 4050+. As long as price holds above 4020, the bullish bias remains valid.
Trade Idea:
Buy on minor pullbacks within the channel, aiming for the upper resistance line near 4051. A break below 4020 would invalidate the setup.
BULLLISH SENTIMENT [GOLD]We see Gold on a strong bullish spree breaking its previous ATH and getting to over $4000/oz.
So many traders are now scared as they're expecting bears to take over the market but its all FOMO.
The bullish channel leads is further up with us being at slightly above the 50% trend mark
This bullish momentum is still in play with more room for buys up to 4060's and 4070's based on this trend analysis. Note that any bearish stance is only a reentry for continued buys . We've calculated over 2500pips and still going
FOLLOW FOR MORE .....
XAUUSD Preparing for FOMC spike?GOLD with continuation of long term up trend price jumped off the support level with an extension creating multiple 1h bullish candlestick pattern. As with upcoming FOMC meeting minutes on lowetimeframe, prie is consolidating and ranging which is a sign of possible short/long term break of structure.
Waiting for entry on possible rejection of lowerprice!
XAU/USD 08 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has again printed a bearish CHoCH. However, I will apply discretion and not classify as such due to insignificant depth of pullback, relative to recent price action. I have however marked this in red once again.
Intraday Expectation:
Allow price to continue with it bullish trajectory and to show signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. This would typically be the printing of a bearish CHoCH, which would indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price continued bullish, printing further ATH's.
Price has printed several bearish CHoCH's, however, as mentioned in yesterday's analysis, I would be watching depth of pullback. Pullback on all bearish CHoCH's was insignificant, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify as such. I have however marked them in red.
Intraday expectation: Allow price to show more definitive signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. This would be for price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone.
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Analysis (XAUUSD) | 1H Timeframe
🔹 Current Status: Gold is aggressively breaking new highs and showing strong bullish moves. This suggests that we might be experiencing the best year for gold in several decades.
🔹 Scenario 1: If the price reaches 3,840 and 3,860 levels, there’s a possibility of a pullback to lower green areas (around 3,700 or 3,680). These green zones can be ideal for entering long positions with lower risk.
🔹 Scenario 2: If the price swiftly breaks through the higher levels and moves further up, it might indicate the continuation of the bullish trend. In this case, look for long positions on lower timeframes (such as 5 minutes) with confirmation from candlestick patterns and price action.
🔹 Key Points:
The price is breaking new highs and continuing the bullish trend.
Look for long positions in lower timeframes in the green zones for confirmation.
Enter long near 3,700 and 3,680 with low risk.
$4000: New Record! Correction Warning & FVG Strategy.Hello, traders!
Gold officially set a New Record by breaching the $4,000/oz mark, hitting a peak of $4,014.60/oz. Although there was an immediate pullback after hitting this psychological level, the rally remains strongly supported by:
Fundamentals & Market Conflict
Main Drivers: Expectations for two more Fed rate cuts this year (FOMC Minutes tonight are key), coupled with central bank diversification and record ETF inflows ($64B) driven by global instability and inflation fears.
Reversal Warning: Bank of America (BoA) warns that Gold is facing "trend exhaustion," which could lead to a consolidation or correction in Q4.
Technical Analysis & Clear Strategy Direction
The price was rejected at $4000, leading to a local correction. However, the overall trend remains very strong and bullish. The safest strategy is to wait for a BUY at potential support zones.
Priority Bias: BUY (Long) on Dips towards FVG (Fair Value Gap) zones to capitalize on the main trend's momentum. Limit SELL attempts unless using extremely tight SL.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $4044, $4054, $4064
Support: $4018, $3999, $3986
Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY on Dips)
BUY ZONE (FVG): $3994 - $3992
SL: $3984
TPs: $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032, $4042
SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4065 - $4067
SL: $4075
TPs: $4057, $4047, $4037, $4027, $4017
Do you believe BoA's warning, or will the FOMC Minutes break $4050? 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #4000USD #ATH #Fed #FOMC #TradingView #BUYDIPS
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – LONDON FORECAST (08/10/2025)Current Price: 4,035
Session Bias: Bullish with short-term correction potential
Market Structure: Continuation within ascending channel — bulls still dominant, but slowing momentum after reaching 4,037
⸻
🕐 1️⃣ DAILY TIMEFRAME (D1)
• Gold continues its parabolic rise, forming consecutive bullish candles since 3,940 breakout.
• Price reached 4,037, the highest level since August 2020 equivalent, before consolidating.
• 20 EMA (3,971) and 50 EMA (3,867) both trending sharply upward → strong trend momentum.
• RSI at 78, showing overbought territory → potential short-term pullback.
• Parabolic SAR below price → trend intact.
Summary:
Uptrend fully intact. A pullback toward 3,990–3,970 is possible before continuation toward 4,050+.
⸻
⏱ 2️⃣ H1 TIMEFRAME
• Price trading within an ascending channel; current range 4,015–4,037.
• Higher highs and higher lows still forming — structure unbroken.
• 20 EMA = 4,018 / 50 EMA = 3,984 → clear bullish separation.
• MACD shows fading histogram but above zero line → losing momentum, not reversal.
• RSI 65 → cooling from overbought zone.
• Volume decreasing → Asian range likely transitioning into London volatility.
Key Observation:
A retest of 4,018–4,015 (previous BOS area) may serve as next buy opportunity.
⸻
📉 3️⃣ M15 TIMEFRAME
• Recent swing high at 4,037, followed by minor pullback to 4,020–4,024 support zone.
• EMA confluence and previous CHoCH confirm bullish structure remains.
• Fibonacci retracement from 3,984 → 4,037 gives:
• 38.2% = 4,017
• 50% = 4,010
• 61.8% = 4,004
→ This forms the Golden Zone (4,017–4,004) — ideal for long re-entries.
• MACD histogram returning to equilibrium → preparing for next leg.
• RSI 55 → neutral, confirming potential continuation.
Summary:
Watch for retest of 4,017–4,004 → key support zone to reload longs before any breakout attempt above 4,037.
⸻
⚡ 4️⃣ M5 TIMEFRAME (SCALPING STRUCTURE)
• Price rejected 4,037, retracing toward 4,024–4,020 with MACD histogram turning red.
• Short-term bearish divergence seen on RSI but minimal strength.
• As long as price holds above 4,018, buyers remain in control.
• If 4,018 breaks, next liquidity zone lies at 4,010–4,005 (Golden Zone base).
Scalping Summary:
• Aggressive scalpers can look for buy scalps between 4,018–4,010 with 60-pip risk window.
• Short-term exhaustion likely followed by bullish continuation.
⸻
✨ FIBONACCI GOLDEN ZONE (CURRENT MOVE: 3,984 → 4,037)
Retracement Level Price
38.2% 4,017
50% 4,010
61.8% 4,004
Golden Zone = 4,017 – 4,004 → Key intraday buy area.
⸻
🚨 BREAKOUT LEVELS TO WATCH
Direction Breakout Zone Retest Confirmation Target Zones
Bullish Above 4,037–4,040 Retest 4,033–4,035 4,050 → 4,060 → 4,078
Bearish Below 4,018–4,010 Retest 4,015 4,004 → 3,990 → 3,970
⸻
🧭 SESSION OUTLOOK
• Base Case (60% probability):
Minor pullback to 4,018–4,010 (Golden Zone) followed by bullish continuation toward 4,037–4,050.
• Alternative (30% probability):
Range between 4,020–4,037 before breakout continuation in New York session.
• Low Probability (10%):
Drop below 4,004 leading to correction into 3,990–3,970.
⸻
✅ SUMMARY
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, consolidating near the top of its ascending channel.
A healthy pullback toward 4,018–4,010 (Golden Zone) could offer fresh bullish continuation opportunities.
Momentum is softening but trend structure remains intact.
Only a clean break below 4,004 would indicate deeper correction risk.
Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 4,010
⚪ Neutral between 4,010–4,004
🔴 Bearish only below 4,004
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – PERFORMANCE 07/10/2025 💸
📊 MARKET RECAP
✅ BUY +20 pips
✅ BUY +20 pips
✅ SELL +110 pips
✅ SELL +60 pips
✅ BUY LIMIT +210 pips
🔽 SELL – BE
✅ BUY +40 pips
✅ BUY +20 pips
💸 BTC/USD BUY +800 pips
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🏆 GOLD TOTAL PIPS WON: +480 pips
💰 BTC/USD TOTAL: +800 pips
📈 COMBINED GAIN: +1,280 pips
📊 RESULT: 9 Signals → 8 Wins | 1 BE
🎯 ACCURACY: 89 %
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🔥 Another strong performance across Gold & BTC!
Precision entries, layered accuracy, and massive profits 🚀
👏 Congratulations if you profited ✅✅✅🚀🚀🚀
"Gold 'Buy the Dip' Opportunity Targeting the $4,000 Level"
Technical Analysis
This is a classic bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Prevailing Trend: The chart shows a strong bullish impulse wave, indicated by the series of large green candles. This establishes the short-term trend as upward.
Corrective Pullback: After reaching a local high (around $3,980), the price is currently in a corrective phase, pulling back towards a potential support level. This is normal and healthy price action in an uptrend.
Support Zone: The red rectangle you've highlighted from approximately $3,950.00 to $3,956.00 is a well-defined area of potential support. This zone represents a previous level of consolidation and the base of the last major push upwards, making it a likely area for buyers to step back in.
Trade Idea: The projected path you have drawn suggests an expectation that the price will dip into this support zone, find buying pressure, and then continue its upward trajectory. This is often referred to as a "buy the dip" strategy.
XAUUSD – No FOMO, No ProblemSince the beginning of October, I’ve argued that a correction in Gold should be next.
However, the market had other plans — this view didn’t materialize, and my three short trades ended with one winner, one break-even, and one stop loss, a big 0 overall...
So, am I upset for missing a 2,000-pip rally? Not at all.
This was a test of acceptance and a reminder that trading correctly matters more than catching every move.
Gold will still be here tomorrow — and if I don’t truly believe in a setup, there’s no reason to enter.
Technically speaking, Gold remains extremely bullish, but every move, no matter how strong, has an end somewhere.
Whether that top comes at 4050, 4100, or even 5000, no one can say with certainty.
For me, it’s simple:
If I don’t have a trade aligned with my conviction, I don’t trade.
As long as the upward channel remains intact, the trend stays bullish.
The key support is now around $4,000, and it will be interesting to see whether this level holds or if Gold will finally enter the much-needed correction phase.
For now, I stay out.
I don’t chase moves I don’t understand, and I don’t FOMO.
Call it caution, or even stupidit y — but a rise without correction is something I simply don’t trust. 🟡