Profit Both Ways — Double the Trades, Double the Thrill !After gold hit above 4210, it showed obvious signs of stagflation. First, after gold touched around 4218, it retreated to around 4164; secondly, after gold touched around 4212 during the rebound, it retreated again to around 4179.While the two pullbacks were limited, they also indicate that after gold's strong rally, the market is beginning to diverge and diverge.
We can use the ABC rule to determine the position of D. Based on the chart composition, D is around 4160. That is to say, in the short term, gold has the need to retreat to around 4160 again, and this area is also a strong defense line for bulls. If this defense area is broken, gold may continue its downward trend and test the bull-bear dividing line of 4140-4130.
So after a clear rejection signal appears, I think we can continue to try to short gold in the 4205-4215 area. The retracement target area is first located in the 4180-4160 area; and once gold retreats to the 4160-4150 area, we can wait for an opportunity to rejoin the gold long trade!
Xauusdwave
Sell the Rip, Buy the Dip —Double Profit on Gold’s MoveGold currently hit a high of around 4218 and is currently retreating slightly. However, it quickly rebounded to above 4200 after just retreating to around 4164. It can be clearly seen that it is still far from the level of panic selling, so the current retreat is only regarded as a healthy technical retreat.
The market has a high degree of recognition and participation in the current continued rise in gold prices, and expectations for a pullback in the short term should not be too large. With the support of multiple risk-averse factors in the market, and the resonance of news and technical factors, the market's bullish sentiment is high. It is not ruled out that every effective technical pullback in gold is a good time to participate in long trading.
Judging from the current morphological structure, gold is under pressure from the resistance zone of the trend channel and has not been able to stand above 4200 in the short term. There is a technical need for a retracement, so gold is likely to continue to fall and test the support of the 4155-4145 area. If gold fails to fall below this support area during its downward exploration, gold may continue to rebound based on this support area and hit the area around 4230.
So for short-term trading:
1. First, we can try shorting gold in the 4185-4195 area, initially targeting the 4160-4150 area.
2. After gold retraces to the 4155-4145 area, we can try going long again, initially targeting the 4200-4210 area.
We first consider shorting gold, and after gold effectively retreats, we will wait for an opportunity to go long on gold. In this way, we can capture every volatile profit as much as possible and avoid profit loss!
The 4200 Era Is Coming — Where Will the Next Bull Run Begin?Gold has reached new highs during its rebound, breaking through the recent technical resistance at 4180. In the short term, there is no significant resistance above, and no clear peak signal has emerged, demonstrating the continued strength of the bulls.
From the current technical perspective, gold has formed a clear W-shaped double bottom structure in the short term, combining the 4090 and 4097 levels, providing support for further gains. Therefore, the deep pullback that occurred yesterday is only regarded as a technical pullback in a strong pattern, and does not change its inherent bullish logic; coupled with the support of multiple risk-averse factors in the market, under the resonance of technical and news aspects, according to the previous fluctuation range, gold is expected to continue to rise to the 4210-4230 area.
As the center of gravity of gold continues to rise, the key now is to find the next reliable support level. The current short-term support has clearly moved up to the 4155-4140 area, which is the best position for bulls to re-accumulate strength before the next breakthrough. Therefore, the 4155-4140 area is the entry area for us to focus on building long positions in gold in batches; the short-term upward target area is 4200-4210.
If you’re following this rally, don’t just watch — prepare your next move.
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GOLD: Pullback risk needs to be guarded against📈At the opening of trading today, gold’s performance aligns perfectly with our judgment yesterday. After breaking through 4100 the previous day, gold has continued its upward trend today. within just one trading day, it has surged toward the extended target range of 4170, peaking at around 4179 before encountering resistance near 4180 and pulling back. If the market breaks above the resistance zone of 4180-4183, attention should then shift to the key 4200 level above. Once gold firmly holds above 4200, it cannot be ruled out that it will accelerate its advance toward the 4280-4300 area.
📝However, we can see that today’s price is close to the upper edge of the upward channel—a zone that usually faces significant resistance. Today’s price action of surging higher and then pulling back also reflects, to a certain extent, the suppressing effect of the upper edge of the upward channel on the price, with short-term upward momentum weakening somewhat.
💡In the short term, due to overbought conditions on the technical side and pressure from profit-taking, London Gold may undergo a certain degree of correction. Nevertheless, the medium-to-long-term upward trend remains intact. Investors need to pay close attention to the speeches by Federal Reserve Governor Bowman and Fed Chair Powell tonight; their remarks could alter market expectations for interest rate cuts, which in turn may trigger sharp short-term fluctuations in gold prices.
💎Buy 4120 - 4125
TP 4150 - 4160 - 4170
SL 4100
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Explosive Battle Ahead — Can Gold Smash Through 4180 Again?Gold retreated $90 from 4180 to around 4090, then hit the 4100-4090 area twice before rebounding, and is currently consolidating around 4150. Although the short-term retracement of gold is not small, it is obvious that it has not destroyed the upward trend and pattern structure. However, it has exacerbated market differences to a certain extent and also increased short-term volatility. First, 4160 represents the 23.6% retracement level. Next, we must closely monitor two areas. First, 4160 represents the 23.6% retracement level of the recent short-term rally. If gold fails to break through this area during its subsequent rebound, it could form a technical M-shaped double top with the 4180 high in the short term, favoring a downward trend for gold and potentially leading to a further correction.
Second, we must pay close attention to the area around 4125, which represents the 61.8% retracement level of the recent short-term rally. If gold remains above 4125 during its subsequent pullback, it indicates that the bullish trend in gold has not ended and that it may continue to reach new highs.
Based on the above considerations, regarding short-term trading:
1. First, we can consider shorting gold in small quantities in the 4150-4160 area, and then patiently wait for gold to retrace.
2. Once gold retreats to the 4125-4115 area, we can try to go long again, and then patiently wait for gold to rebound further, or even retest the recent high near 4180.
#XAUUSD: Price Is Likely To Hit $4200 Before Bearish CorrectionDear Traders,
Gold is likely to reach $4200 before experiencing a significant decline. We anticipate a final push potentially exceeding $4000. The current market sentiment is strong and is likely to drive the price to our target region. However, we require confirmation in a shorter timeframe and recommend employing appropriate risk management.
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Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx
The price has not peaked yet, will the adjustment continue upwarGold plunged sharply in the European session. Is the bull market over? It's too early to say the bull market is over. The price is merely adjusting, a common phenomenon in recent market conditions. Adjustments can occur quickly in a single day, and the last one ended in less than two days. It's time to patiently wait for the correction before continuing to buy gold.
Gold prices are already very high, so each correction can fluctuate significantly. Once a correction occurs, it could cause market confusion and lead many traders to believe the bull market is over.
But it's not over yet. A pullback in gold still presents an opportunity to go long. Barring any significant negative news, the price will continue to rise after the correction. In the short term, gold will focus on the support near 4090. If gold continues to successfully build a double bottom in the 4090 area, then the short-term adjustment of gold will end and a new round of rise may begin.
Trading strategy:
Buy in batches between 4100 and 4090, with a stop loss at 4080. Profit range: 4130-4140-4150.
Gold Bulls Triumph — How Can Trapped Bears Escape?Good afternoon, everyone!
Driven by multiple macroeconomic and geopolitical factors, gold prices have continued to climb, reaching a new all-time high near 4180/oz today.
The recent rally has been supported by:
Rising global trade tensions;
Market expectations of two Fed rate cuts this year;
Economic uncertainty from the U.S. government shutdown;
Escalating risks in the Russia–Ukraine conflict.
However, as the price extended higher, technical indicators show extreme overbought conditions, while renewed dollar buying triggered profit-taking near 4180, causing a sharp pullback to around 4090 (30M lower band) before rebounding.
Currently, gold is trading near the mid-band, and after a bearish divergence on the 30M chart, a similar divergence has appeared on the 1H chart, suggesting that further downside pressure may follow after the rebound.
Despite this, the weekly structure remains bullish, and given the ongoing geopolitical instability, any meaningful technical correction could still be viewed as a buying opportunity.
Key Support Levels:
4060–4050/4045 zone — primary short-term support;
A confirmed break below this level could trigger technical selling, leading to a potential retest of the 4000 psychological level or even the 3986 daily trendline support.
For medium-term long positions established earlier, consider partial profit-taking this week to manage risk, as a broader daily or weekly correction could see a pullback of up to $200.
Short-Term Technical Structure:
Current price near 4140 support, with secondary support around 4128 and key support at 4107-01;
Resistance levels are at 4146 / 4159 / 4168.
Trading Strategy:
Use a scalping or short-term trading approach during volatile sessions;
Conservative traders can focus on range trading between key support and resistance;
Continued adjustments. Follow the trend.Gold started a steady rise right after the Asian market opened on Wednesday, reaching a high of around 4058.
In the recent market, the bulls have become completely numb to the repeated record highs. In the early stage, the market thought that the integer level of 4000 might form a certain suppression and achieve a callback effect; the fact is that this integer level has no resistance, which also makes the market refresh our cognition. On Wednesday, the U.S. market was trading sideways at a high level. After retreating to around 4026 in the European market, it continued to rise, and the upper pressure position continued to rise.
The moving average system is intact. After a pullback near 4000 in the early Asian session, it continued to rise.
The 4-hour chart shows that the market is in a period of consolidation and correction at a high level, with prices temporarily under pressure near 4050. Currently, the short-term moving average continues to show signs of slight downward divergence, suggesting a consolidation and correction in the short term. The 1-hour chart shows that after a period of narrow range fluctuations, the technical pattern is gradually adjusting. There may be some room for a short-term rebound, but the momentum will be relatively small.
Trading Strategy:
Go long on a pullback to around 4025, with a stop loss at 4015 and a profit range of 4050-4060.
10/9: Sell Orders Above 4050 Profited, Watch Support Around 4000In yesterday’s session, we clearly indicated that if gold breaks above 4050, traders should look for short opportunities — and this move has indeed delivered impressive profits.
At present, the price is testing the 30-minute chart support area, though it is relatively weak. The key support zone lies on the 1-hour chart, around 4000–3990.
From a strategic perspective, if the rebound fails to break above 4038, it signals weakening bullish momentum. In this case, selling near the highs remains the preferred approach while monitoring support around 4011–4000. If the support holds, short-term buying opportunities may arise.
Be cautious when heavy selling pressure appears — close short-term positions promptly. Traders may choose to adopt a scalping approach for quick profits or consider a medium-term long position, though the latter requires stronger account capacity and risk tolerance.
Gold’s Swings Offer Bears a Profitable EdgeGold has currently reached a high of around 4050, but after reaching this area, the upward trend has been suppressed, and the upward momentum has weakened. Gold needs to retreat in the short term. Gold is currently under pressure in the 4050-4060 area. If gold shows obvious signs of stagflation in this area, then gold may usher in a good pullback at any time.
However, because gold is currently in a strong upward trend, its structure and form are in an obvious bullish trend. Therefore, even if the gold market pulls back, the pullback is not expected to be too large in the short term. We should first focus on the support area below, 4000-3990.
Therefore, in volatile markets, even if gold is in a strong bullish trend, gold shorts still have good profit opportunities due to volatility. So in the short term, we can consider trying to short gold in the 4050-4060 area, first aiming at the target area: 4010-4000 area.
If you're short gold like me, we must be among the first to reap the benefits of a market correction. If you'd like to continue following my trading strategies and signals, be sure to follow me!
Pullback Imminent—Bulls Beware, $80 Risk LoomsGold continues to maintain its strong position and has reached the level around 4000 as expected during the upward process. According to the current structure, the level around 4000 may not be the market top, and there is still room for further growth. However, the market's expected targets have been achieved in the short term, and gold may experience a phased pullback after making a series of false breakthroughs.
Looking back at history, every time gold faces an area near an integer mark, it will usher in a good wave of pullback. Gold has experienced a $70-80 pullback around the 3700, 3800, and 3900 levels. Based on this, even if gold starts to pull back $70-80 from 4020, it could potentially retreat to the 3950-3940 range in the short term.
Based on its trend, gold began its upward trend around 3820 and has currently reached a high of around 4014, with a fluctuation of $194. Based on previous trend-based gains and fluctuations, gold could experience a pullback at any time.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, we do not advocate aggressive chasing of high levels for the time being. We can consider going long on gold after gold retreats to the 3970-3950 area depending on the market performance; of course, we can consider starting to short gold in the current area of 4015-4025. Short positions are only for short-term trading and are not suitable for long-term trading at the moment!
Pullback Alert: Gold Feeling the Heat at 4000As expected, gold continued to rise to the 3985-3995 area, reaching a high of around 3991, just a hair away from 4000. According to my calculations, the current resistance area of gold is located in the 3985-3995 area (for the specific calculation process, please refer to the previous trading idea). Therefore, I believe that within this range, we can begin to test the top and short gold.
Moreover, from the short-term performance, although gold still maintains a bullish trend, the short-term rise has been suppressed and the recent rise has weakened. Moreover, after the continuous rise in gold prices, the risk of chasing the rise has increased significantly. We must be cautious about the current rise and guard against signs of profit-taking at market highs. Moreover, gold has repeatedly reached highs in the 3980-3990 area. Repeatedly reaching highs in a limited area is likely to mean that gold will usher in a wave of irreversible pullbacks in the short term.
In addition, we need to focus on the area near 3960. If gold can still stay above 3960 during repeated pullbacks, then gold will still maintain its current strong position, or at least maintain high-level fluctuations; if gold falls below the area near 3960 during the pullback, then gold may continue the pullback trend and is expected to continue to 3930, or even around 3900.
So for the current short-term trading, I think the time is ripe to short gold, and I have already shorted gold according to the above trading plan. Now I just need to wait patiently for gold to pull back and make a substantial profit!
4000 in Sight, But the Pressure’s On—Pullback Ahead?It is obvious that gold is currently in a very strong bullish trend. As far as the current market is concerned, there are not many reference points above. In the short term, perhaps only the 4000 mark is worth paying attention to. However, it should be emphasized that when market sentiment is high and gold prices continue to rise, volatility may increase significantly and the risk of chasing the rise will increase significantly. From the current perspective, the short-term upward trend has been suppressed, and there is obvious pressure near the 3980 level. Therefore, we must be cautious about the current rise and guard against signs of profit-taking at market highs.
After the strong rise in gold, the current short-term support is obviously in the 3935-3925 area, followed by the 3905-3895 area. If gold cannot effectively fall below these two key support areas, gold will continue to maintain its current strong bullish trend; in addition, we can infer the current resistance area from volatility.
1. First Wave: Gold rose from around 3628 to around 3791, a fluctuation of nearly $165.
2. Second Wave: Gold rose from around 3718 to around 3895, a fluctuation of nearly $175.
3. Current Wave: Gold began its rise from around 3819. Extrapolating upward by $165-175, the resistance area for this phase is 3985-3995.
Therefore, it can be inferred that the short-term resistance at the current stage is in the 3985-3995 area. If the gold market cannot provide a suitable entry position to execute a long trade, then we can consider shorting gold with the 3985-3995 area as resistance; under appropriate circumstances, we can even consider entering the market early to short gold, first targeting the short-term retracement target: 3945-3935 area.
Not the Bottom Yet—Gold Poised to Retest 3800Gold failed to break through 3900 again and fell all the way from around 3897 to 3819, with a drop of $78 again. The two recent declines of this magnitude have greatly hit the confidence and sentiment of market bulls, and the bearish atmosphere in the market may become even stronger.
Although gold rebounded again after touching 3819, it failed to hit 3900 twice and has successfully constructed an M-shaped double top structure in the short-term structure. Suppressed by this technical structure, the bullish momentum may be difficult to sustain and will intensify the short-term volatility. The volatility range is likely to be switched to the 3860-3820 area. Therefore, based on the current market changes, we cannot blindly be bullish on gold for the time being.
From a technical perspective, gold is under pressure in the 3850-3860 area in the short term, so if gold rebounds and touches near this area, we can give priority to shorting gold, first targeting the retracement target area: 3835-3825 area. Once gold falls below the level around 3820, it is very likely to test the support strength of 3800 again.
Gold Stalls? A Deep Dive Analysis.Key Points:
Why Gold Rallied: Gold has been one of the strongest-performing commodities recently, driven by continued central bank buying and expectations of further Fed rate cuts.
Why Gold Fell: Lori Logan's call for caution on further rate cuts weighed on gold. Markets are cautious about whether the Fed will take more aggressive easing measures at its next meeting.
The government shutdown entered its second day, potentially delaying the release of key economic data, including the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report scheduled for Friday. The weekly initial jobless claims report, which was supposed to be released on Thursday, also failed to be released as scheduled.
Market Analysis:
Gold's current performance is significantly influenced by news. While the medium- to long-term upward trend remains unchanged, short-term bullish and bearish swings are often volatile, with significant fluctuations. Therefore, timely adjustments to market conditions are necessary.
The 1-hour chart shows that the short-term pressure is around 3860-3865. Only by breaking through and stabilizing above this position will there be momentum to continue to attack higher points. If this level is unable to hold, gold could fall further to test the key support at 3820. During the Asian session, traders should focus on 3865 as a key level for determining the direction of the market.
Trading Strategy:
Short at 3865, stop loss at 3875, target range 3845-3820.
Gold rebounds? Latest analysis here.Gold faced resistance and declined around the $3900 level, with significant downward pressure, confirming strong support at the 5-day moving average (3830-3820). The daily trend has been consistent this week, with the market repeatedly testing and finding support at the 5-day moving average. If this pattern continues, gold is likely to test the 10-day moving average on Friday, potentially stabilizing and consolidating around that level.
If the 10-day moving average is broken, the price is likely to fall further, approaching the middle Bollinger Band.
The 1-hour chart shows that the resistance zone of 3855-3890 has been broken to the downside, with 3855 now acting as short-term resistance. On Friday, during the Asian session, the price is likely to initially test 3860, potentially triggering further declines. However, if the 1-hour chart breaks above this level and sustains upward movement, adjust your trading strategy accordingly. If the downward trend continues, key support levels to watch are 3800-3790.
Bearish Momentum Builds: Gold Aims for 3850–3840Gold touched around 3895 during its rise and then began to retreat, reaching a low of around 3856. Currently, gold is fluctuating in a narrow range around 3870. According to the current trend, gold will not continue to maintain its strong position in the short term, and because of the US government shutdown, there may be no economic data in the short term. Out of caution, the market may also press the pause button on gold to ease the upward trend!
From a technical perspective, gold fell from around 3872 to around 3793 yesterday, with a retracement of as much as $79; while today gold only fell from 3895 to around 3856, with a retracement of only $39. Judging from the adjustment space and testing cycle, the gold correction is not sufficient and there is still demand to continue to fall, at least to the 3850-3840 area.
As gold retreats, it may be difficult for the bullish momentum to regain its strength in the short term. Under the counterattack and pull of the bears, the high-level volatility trend may be exacerbated. In the short term, gold is under pressure in the 3870-3880 area. If it is difficult for gold to break through this area in the short term, gold may continue to fall to the 3850-3840 area through this resistance area. Once it falls below this area, gold may continue to fall to the 3820-3810 area.
So in terms of trading, I still think we can continue to try to short gold in the 3870-3880 area, first looking at the retracement target area: 3860-3850.
Gold Volatility: New Highs Ahead?Gold bottomed out and rebounded on Tuesday, breaking below the 3800 level with a significant decline. Most market participants expected a trend reversal; however, the subsequent rise during European and US sessions demonstrated the strength of the bullish sentiment, driving gold sharply higher.
The bullish momentum remains strong in the short term, with gold consolidating around 3860. The fresh high reached in early Asian trading, around 3875, further reinforced the bullish sentiment.
The 1-hour line is also rising in slow fluctuations. In the short term, we need to focus on the trend of the European session. If the bulls are strong, the retracement of the European session will be relatively limited, otherwise it will lose the momentum to continue to attack; and the top and bottom conversion below will also be maintained around 3855, which may form a watershed position.
You can try to continue to go long near this position, and if the European session breaks down, then we need to abandon the long strategy in the US session. Currently, the competition between bulls and bears is fierce, and prudent traders can maintain a wait-and-see attitude for a period of time.
For more aggressive traders, consider buying around 3855, with a profit target of 3880-3890 and a stop loss at 3845.
Bullish sentiment dominates, sweeping all before it?The gold market witnessed a dramatic V-shaped rebound. After initially breaking through the key $3800 support level, bearish sentiment briefly dominated.
However, the market sentiment abruptly shifted due to two pieces of news: Fed officials signaled a potential interest rate cut, suggesting the high-interest rate environment may be nearing its end; and Trump's announcement of a significant increase in military spending to $1 trillion by 2026, further fueling geopolitical uncertainty. These two factors combined ignited safe-haven buying, providing strong support for gold.
Gold prices then staged a 360-degree turnaround, rallying strongly. This bottom-reversal pattern clearly demonstrated the strength of the bullish forces. The price not only recovered above the $3830 support level but also formed a strong bullish technical pattern, indicating a significant shift in market sentiment towards optimism, with lower support solidified and bearish resistance effectively overcome.
Trading Strategy:
Continue to buy at $3835-$3830, with a stop loss at $3820 and a profit target of $3860-$3870.
Support Unproven: Gold Bears Eye Fresh PullbackGold began retreating from around 3872, hitting 3793 before rebounding again. It has now reached a high of around 3855, recovering most of its losses.
However, it's not difficult to see that since gold's recent decline reached a rare $80, its upward momentum has been lackluster, even somewhat weak. This suggests that the sharp pullback in gold's short-term performance has dampened bullish sentiment to some extent. Furthermore, it's clear that gold has shown clear signs of profit-taking above 3855. While a collapse is far from imminent, further declines are possible as signs of profit-taking intensify.
From a technical perspective, gold experienced a sharp decline in the short term and rebounded near 3793. Technically, the validity of 3793 as a low point needs to be retested and verified. Therefore, a direct upward move in the near term is unlikely, and a retest of the short-term support low is necessary.
So, when judging short-term support and resistance, we first need to pay attention to the role of the 3845-3855 resistance area above; below, we first pay attention to the support area of 3810-3800. If gold falls below the support near the low point of 3793, then gold may fall further to the 3780-3770 area.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, we can still take advantage of the rebound in gold and give priority to shorting gold in the 3840-3850 area, first looking at the target 3820-3810 area.
Gold retracement? The trend remains unchanged.Gold continued its typical pattern of rising and then falling on Tuesday, reaching a high near 3872 before retracing, and a low near 3793 before rebounding upwards.
The gold daily level shows a large positive line, and it is still in a bullish trend. After a deep correction on Tuesday, it rose again, indicating that gold needs adjustment. Short-term focus should be on whether gold can sustain its upward momentum.
On the whole, Quaid believes that gold is adjusting at a high level and there is a probability of maintaining a range of fluctuations. In short-term operations, a high-altitude and low-multiple strategy should be considered. In the short term, pay attention to the upward suppression range of 3855-3865, and pay attention to the strong support of 3820-3800 below.
Trading Strategy:
Buy in batches between 3830 and 3820, with a stop loss at 3810. Profit range: 3850-3865.






















