ANFIBO | XAUUSD on my view today??? [09.18.2025]Hello traders! It’s me, Anfibo. As usual, I’d like to share my personal view on gold OANDA:XAUUSD for today’s session.
On the H4 chart, gold continues to hold firmly within the upward channel, showing no major signs of weakness. The latest H4 candle closed as a bullish hammer with a long lower wick and a strong body, indicating aggressive buying absorption and solid reactions around the trendline.
In my view, as long as price stays above 3,620 USD, the bullish structure on H4 remains intact, and buyers still maintain control.
On H1, price is currently trading around 3,671 USD, and I expect it to retest yesterday’s FOMC gap near 3,678 – 3,680 USD. This is a sensitive area because it aligns with multiple confluences:
> Fibonacci retracement 0.618.
> Trendline confluence.
> Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Together, these factors make 3,678 – 3,680 a strong short-term resistance, worth considering for a counter-trend sell scalp setup.
Here’s my personal plan today:
>>> BUY SCALP:
ENTRY: around 3.645
SL: 3,640
TP: 3,679 – 3,690
_________________
>>> SELL Scalp
(1) ENTRY: 3,670 – 3,674
SL: 3,676
TP: 3,655 – 3,650
(2) ENTRY: 3,678 – 3,680
SL: 3,685
TP: 3,650 – 3,645
My approach remains the same: buy at strong support, sell at confluence resistance, and never take trades without clear risk management in place.
Besides technicals, don’t overlook today’s Unemployment Claims data. This release could trigger volatility and potentially break through key levels. Personally, I’ll wait for the market’s reaction to the news before committing to larger positions.
>>> Final Thoughts:
- H4 trend: still bullish above 3,620.
- H1: likely retest of resistance at 3,678 – 3,680.
- Plan: BUY around 3,645 – SELL around 3,678 – 3,680.
- Stick to risk management, and stay mindful of U.S. news flow to avoid being caught off guard.
Goodluck guys! ;)
Xauusdwave
False Break at 3700:Retreating Toward 3680-3670Currently, the highest price of gold has reached around 3699, and it is only one step away from the 3700 mark! I have to say that against the backdrop of significantly increased market expectations for interest rate cuts, the resonance of technical and news factors has pushed up gold prices. The current bullish momentum is strong, and there has been almost no obvious pullback during the rise. At this stage, most of these are tricks played by big funds, and it is actually difficult for retail investors to participate in long transactions. Therefore, at this stage, I will not rush to chase the rise in gold prices.
From an intraday perspective, gold still has the potential to hit the 3700-3710 area, so my latest trading plan is to continue shorting gold near this area. With gold bulls so strong, why I am still optimistic about a gold pullback. The main reason is that the current market is facing a critical time window. The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision tomorrow, but I think the Federal Reserve may announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut in a step-by-step manner, rather than the 50 basis points expected by the market. If the rate falls far short of market expectations, gold could experience a significant pullback or even a crash. However, the sharp rise in gold prices near the Fed's rate decision suggests it may be an attempt to reserve room for further declines. In addition, based on the current trading volume, the small trading volume may not be able to support the continued upward trend of gold. It is for this reason that while I avoid chasing high gold prices, I also always remain optimistic about gold shorts.
Therefore, at this stage, I would consider shorting gold in batches based on market price performance. By effectively raising the average entry price, we can reap the first bite of the pie after gold prices fall.
However, we must note that short-term support for gold currently lies in the 3680-3670 area, with strong structural support below that at 3660-3650. Therefore, in order to lock in profits in time, these two support areas will be our primary target areas for short trading.
Bearish Pressure Mounts: Will 3600 Hold or Collapse?In the short term, gold has not been able to stand above 3655 during multiple rebounds, and even closed below 3650 at the close of last Friday. Although it is far from the level of collapse, there are obvious signs of profit-taking in some chips. As the center of gravity of gold slowly shifts, the short-term resistance area will gradually move down to the 3635-3645 area. If gold cannot break through this area during repeated fluctuations, the market's downward momentum will be further strengthened!
It should be noted that although the center of gravity of gold is gradually shifting downward, the overall bullish structure is still maintained; and against the backdrop of interest rate cut expectations, gold's retracement space should be limited before the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision. The first thing we need to pay attention to is the support of the recent low point of 3615-3605. Gold is likely to rebound again after testing the support of this area, and take this opportunity to try to intensify short-term volatility! However, once gold falls below the support of this area, it may continue to the 3590-3580 area.
Therefore, for short-term trading, since gold is still fluctuating in the support and resistance areas, it can be treated as regional fluctuations for the time being; but as the center of gravity of gold gradually moves downward and 3675 is expected to become a temporary high point, we can maintain the strategy of shorting at high levels as the main strategy, supplemented by the idea of going long at low levels.
1. Consider shorting gold against the resistance zone of 3635-3645, with the primary retracement target at 3620-3610.
2. If gold fails to break below the 3615-3605 area during a pullback, we could consider going long on gold, with the primary rebound target at 3630-3640.
XAUUSD/GOLD Daily Sell Projection (13.09.25)📌 Chart Overview
Pair: XAUUSD / Gold Spot vs USD
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Projection: Sell Setup
🔹 Key Technical Zones
Major Resistance Zone
Around 3,696 – 3,680 level.
Confluence with trendline resistance.
Resistance Levels
R1: Near 3,650.
R2: Near 3,696.
Major Support Levels
S1: ~3,600.
S2: ~3,579 – 3,580.
🔹 Bearish Signals
Price has touched major resistance & trendline (marked “OBEY”).
Increase in seller dominance (demonetization of buyers visible).
Shooting Star candle pattern at resistance → indicates possible reversal.
🔹 Trade Idea
Entry: Near resistance rejection (3,680–3,696 zone).
Target: Towards 3,600 – 3,579 supports.
Stop Loss: Above major resistance / 3,696 zone.
Bias: Short-term sell projection while price respects resistance.
🔹 Special Note
Marked OBEY FVG zone (Fair Value Gap) → indicates that price is likely to fall into that area but won’t break below 3,579 support strongly unless fundamentals shift.
Overall bias: Sell from resistance, book profits at support
Bulls and Bears Poised to StrikeGold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3635-3655, with no clear signs of a breakthrough. However, judging from the current structure, gold has been showing an overall volatile upward trend since it rebounded near 3615.
What needs to be paid close attention to at present is the support performance near 3635. If gold can stand firmly above 3635, it will perfectly maintain the volatile upward structure and provide the prerequisite for breaking through the short-term resistance area of 3655-3665. Once gold uses this as a basis and breaks through the 3655-3665 area, then gold is expected to set a new high again, and even hit the area near 3700.
Since the bulls are still in an advantageous position and the overall structure of the market is oscillating upward, we have no reason not to execute long trades based on the long structure. Therefore, I think that in short-term trading, we can consider going moderately long on gold in the 3640-3630 area.
Quiet Storm:Bulls vs Bears in Waiting!Under the influence of CPI and initial jobless claims data, gold rose directly to the area around 3644. The short-term rise seems exaggerated, but it did not stand firmly above 3650, and even failed to reach the intraday high of 3649. The release of bullish momentum was relatively convergent; it can be clearly seen from the short-term candlestick chart that gold showed long upper shadows many times in the short term, and the trajectory and structure began to shift downward, and tested support downward many times, which also proved that the short-selling force was gradually recovering after being suppressed.
However, gold rebounded after touching the 3620-3610 support area several times during the retracement. Although the bullish momentum has declined in the short term, the bullish structure has not been completely destroyed, so the overall structure is still controlled by the bulls, and the bullish force still has enough strength to support gold.
Overall, as the bulls become more cautious and the bears gradually recover, gold is expected to maintain high-level fluctuations in the short term, and the fluctuation range is likely to remain in the 3655-3615 area. Therefore, for short-term trading, we can strictly stick to the trading points and execute high-selling and low-buying transactions within the area.
Bulls vs Bears: Race to 3700 or 3600 ?!Currently, gold is fluctuating above the 3640 line. We can clearly see that gold has not effectively fallen below 3640 during multiple pullbacks in the short term. This proves that during the pullback period of gold, a lot of funds have entered the market, thereby pushing the gold price to fluctuate upward. However, during the upward fluctuation, gold encountered resistance and fell back in the 3655-3660 area many times, exacerbating the short-term volatility trend!
But we need to note that gold has rebounded since 3620 and formed a band-like low point structure; and it has tested 3640 many times and has not fallen below it, showing signs of forming a band-like secondary low point structure. Judging from the characteristics of the low point gradually rising, the current bullish force has a slight advantage, so short-term trading is still dominated by going long on gold.
Judging from the current structure, the short-term support area below is located in the 3635-3625 area, followed by the 3615-3605 area; and the short-term resistance is located near 3660. If gold breaks through the area near 3660 during the volatile upward process, gold may test the high point area near 3675. Once the high point near 3675 is refreshed again, it is expected to directly touch around 3700.
Therefore, it is not completely certain that gold has peaked at present, and we should not blindly chase short gold in trading; on the contrary, when gold retreats to the support area of 3635-3625, we can try to go long on gold, first aiming at the target area: 3660-3670, and once it breaks through this area, the target area will be postponed to the 3690-3700 area.
Plan 10 Sep, 2025Related Information:!!!
🎯Bets on a more aggressive policy easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed), reinforced by last Friday’s weak U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, have kept the overnight U.S. Dollar rebound in check and helped revive demand for non-yielding gold. In addition, prolonged trade-related uncertainties, escalating geopolitical tensions, and political concerns in France and Japan are other factors supporting the safe-haven precious metal. This, in turn, affirms the short-term positive outlook for the commodity and suggests that any corrective pullback could be viewed as a buying opportunity.
personal opinion:!!!
🎯Gold prices are moving sideways within the 3,660–3,630 range.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3660, 3630 zone
Intensifying Bear Grip: Can 3610–3600 Save the Bulls?Gold started to retreat from around 3675, and has now retreated to the lowest point of 3620-3610. According to the current market performance, we can clearly see that the rebound high point of gold after the retreat is gradually decreasing, and the control of the short position is further increasing. Yesterday, according to my trading model, my prediction that gold may usher in another 600pips retreat has been realized, and we have also won a big victory in the short transaction. It can be said that we have become the first echelon to reap the dividends from the short transaction. Then, will the high-rise building that the gold market has worked so hard to build collapse?
In fact, from a macroeconomic and technical perspective, gold's bullish trend remains intact, supported by expectations of rate cuts and safe-haven demand, which will, to a certain extent, limit any potential pullback.
From a capital perspective, some funds may be taking profits, but the current retracement is far from panic selling. Furthermore, as gold gradually retreats, a large amount of funds that have not yet entered the market in a timely manner may flow into the market, further pushing up gold prices.
From a technical perspective, after the pullback, the rebound high of gold has gradually moved down from 3655 to 3650 and 3640, while the retracement low has also moved down simultaneously. The current lowest has reached around 3620, and there are signs of further pullback. However, we need to note that in the short term, gold is still technically supported in the 3610-3600 area, while strong support is in the 3590-3580 area. Therefore, from a short-term perspective, the retracement space may not be sufficient, so I do not advocate shorting gold directly. On the contrary, we can wait for gold to rebound to the 3640-3650 area and then moderately consider shorting gold, because as gold gradually retreats, the 3635-3645 area has become the current short-term resistance area.
Therefore, for short-term trading, since gold has rebounded after touching 3620 many times, and is technically supported by the 3610-3600 area in the short term, we can consider starting to try to go long on gold in the 3620-3610 area; after gold rebounds to the 3635-3645 area, we can moderately consider shorting gold.
9/3: Chasing Highs Risks Traps, Selling Is SaferGood morning, everyone!
🔹 Key Support Levels:
30M chart: 3510 / 3498
1H chart: 3507 / 3480
1D chart: 3458
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
3540–3550 / 3558–3562
🔹 Trading Outlook:
Focus primarily on short positions; avoid chasing the rally.
Light long entries may be considered near support, but profits should be taken quickly.
Yesterday, gold tested the 3500 level for the second time. After a brief pullback, bulls regained strength, pushing prices up to around 3540. Over the past week, gold has surged by nearly $200, with only minor retracements and no meaningful corrections.
At current levels, there are essentially no trapped long positions. Instead, the market is dominated by shorts under pressure and profit-taking from longs.
While prices might extend further toward 3550, I personally will not engage in such high-risk long trades. My overall strategy remains decisively bearish, with downside targets at 3460–3430.
9/1: Be Cautious Chasing Highs, Focus on SellingGood evening, everyone!
Driven by rate-cut expectations and geopolitical tensions, gold opened today with a slight pullback but held above key support, then rallied strongly to around 3490. If the 3368–3363 support remains intact during the U.S. session, a test of the 3500 level cannot be ruled out.
However, given the sharp rally and entry into historical highs, chasing the upside is not recommended. My trading bias continues to favor selling into strength.
During a correction, the 3452–3447 support zone will be crucial; holding above it keeps the bullish trend intact.
If broken, focus shifts to the 3437–3423 support area.
At the 3500 mark, strong resistance is highly likely. A pullback from this level is almost certain — the only uncertainty lies in the extent of the retracement. This presents a relatively high-probability shorting opportunity.
Trading Strategy:
Conservative traders → Focus on short positions at higher levels.
Aggressive traders → May attempt tactical longs, but above 3488, selling remains the preferred approach.
Given the heightened volatility, risk management is critical. If you need more specific guidance, feel free to leave me a message.
XAUUSD 1H – EW Bearish Scenario Hi fellow traders,
On the 1h XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a potential expanding flat scenario, forming either as an X-wave or a B-wave. If this count holds, I expect another leg to the downside before the larger structure completes.
The red-shaded supply zone provides a potential rejection area, while the blue-shaded demand zone below marks where price could stabilize. Most importantly, the golden box beneath remains untested, aligning with my expectation that price will revisit this key support zone before a stronger reversal.
For this setup, my entry is positioned around the supply zone, with a Take Profit aimed at the golden box below. The Stop Loss is placed at the invalidation level, meaning the trade idea is no longer valid if price breaks above this structure.
Although the broader sentiment may lean bullish, this bearish scenario remains technically supported by Elliott Wave structure and confluence levels.
Good luck and trade safe.
Gold (XAU/USD) 21st August 2025Gold continues to trade within a critical range, where institutional footprints are leaving clear supply and demand imbalances. Today’s outlook blends the Daily (macro bias), 4H (swing structure), and 1H (execution refinement) to deliver execution-ready trading zones.
🔵 Demand Side (Buy Zones)
Primary Buy Zone: $3325 – $3332
This zone represents the highest-probability demand for bulls. On the 4H chart, a fresh bullish order block was created after a clean break of structure, and the 1H confirms liquidity sweeps of prior lows alongside a fair value gap. Momentum indicators add confluence, with RSI resetting near 40 and OBV spiking during the last rally.
Execution Plan: Buy around $3330 with stops below $3320. Targets are $3362 and $3380.
Secondary Buy Zone: $3300 – $3308
If the first demand fails, deeper liquidity pools sit near $3300. This level coincides with discount pricing of the recent impulse leg and untapped demand on the Daily chart. Equal lows and a large liquidity cluster make this zone attractive for a potential accumulation before any further rally.
Execution Plan: Buy around $3305 with stops below $3292. Targets are $3340 and $3360.
🔴 Supply Side (Sell Zones)
Primary Sell Zone (Golden Zone): $3365 – $3372
This is today’s strongest supply area and the nominated Golden Zone. A fresh 4H bearish order block, aligned with a fair value gap and liquidity above recent highs, creates a high-probability rejection point. On lower timeframes, bearish divergence on MACD and expanding ATR volatility confirm the risk of a downside move.
Execution Plan: Sell around $3368 with stops above $3378. Targets are $3342 and $3328.
Secondary Sell Zone: $3388 – $3395
Should momentum overshoot the primary supply, $3390 offers another key resistance. This area represents extreme premium pricing of the current leg and overlaps with an untested supply block. Liquidity from prior double tops rests above this zone, while RSI shows signs of overbought conditions.
Execution Plan: Sell around $3392 with stops above $3402. Targets are $3360 and $3340.
🟡 Executive Summary – Golden Zone
The Primary Sell Zone ($3365 – $3372) stands out as the highest-probability setup of the day. With strong alignment across Daily, 4H, and 1H charts, this area combines:
Fresh institutional supply,
Liquidity resting above highs,
Fair value gap imbalance,
Bearish divergence on momentum indicators.
The structure favors a controlled short with a tight invalidation point at $3378.
Plan of the Day: Short from $3368 with targets at $3342 and $3328.
Final Note: Always manage risk with discipline. Zones highlight institutional footprints, but execution must adapt to live order flow and market conditions.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H- 20th August 2025Gold continues to trade in a bearish transitional phase after extended bullish movement. Current structure shows price reacting from premium supply zones, with liquidity resting below prior lows. This suggests short setups remain favorable, while discount levels could still attract buyers if deeper pullbacks occur.
✅ Primary Trading Levels
Primary Buy Zone – $3280 to $3288
Gold has a fresh 4H demand block aligning with a discount zone and liquidity resting under recent equal lows. A rejection here could fuel a rebound back into $3338 and potentially $3350.
Stop Loss: Below $3270
Targets: $3338 → $3350
Primary Sell Zone – $3346 to $3354
This area sits in premium territory, overlapping with a refined supply block and an unfilled imbalance. Liquidity above equal highs at $3355 makes this the most attractive level for sellers.
Stop Loss: Above $3364
Targets: $3305 → $3288
⚠️ Fallback Levels
Fallback Buy Zone: $3252 – $3260 → Targeting $3305 / $3332
Fallback Sell Zone: $3372 – $3380 → Targeting $3330 / $3305
🏆 Golden Zone of the Day
Sell Zone $3346 – $3354 is the highest-probability, institution-grade level for today. This zone aligns with liquidity above equal highs and offers the best risk-reward for shorts into downside targets.
📌 Trading Plan
Focus on short setups near $3346 – $3354
Look for confirmation: wick rejection or displacement within the zone
Manage risk tightly around liquidity shelves
📢 Conclusion:
Gold is offering a clean sell-side opportunity from premium levels, with downside targets into $3305 and $3288. Buyers may only regain control if $3280 holds firmly. For now, sellers have the upper hand.
Gold on Fire: Bulls Eye an Unrelenting Surge to 3365–3375Although gold has been weak recently, we have still achieved impressive results in gold long trading because it touched 3375 and 3358 twice during the rebound process. We have made a total profit of more than 900 pips in the long trading, which can be said to be a very successful transaction in the short term.
At present, gold maintains an overall volatile market, but in the short term, gold has never effectively fallen below the 3330-3320 area. What is more obvious is that the dense trading area below is concentrated in the 3330-3310 area, so the buying support below is strong, which greatly limits the downward space of gold; in addition, gold touched around 3358 during today's rebound, and once broke through Friday's intraday high, which to a certain extent strengthened the market bullish sentiment. Therefore, when gold retreats again, there may be more buying funds willing to enter the market.
In terms of fundamentals, the ceasefire and peace between Russia and Ukraine have not yet been settled, and the geopolitical situation remains tense; and the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates are gradually strengthening. Against this background, gold still has the possibility of rising again.
Therefore, in the short term, I still prefer to trade gold long. We can consider buying gold in the 3340-3330 area, first looking at the target 3365-3375 area, and even continuing the upward trend to around 3380.
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update For 18 AUG 2025Good Morning Traders
as you can see that GOLD successfully break 3350 Psychological for Shorter term scenario
All eyes on 3330 level breakout for the day if market breaks 3330 level then it will move towards 3310 level otherwise market will move towards 3380 level soon
Disclaimer: Forex is RISKY
XAU/USD – Institutional Outlook 15 August 2025Gold continues to grind through a tight mid-$3,300 range after Thursday’s hot U.S. PPI print boosted the dollar and dented large Fed rate-cut bets. Despite the short-term pullback, the broader 4H structure remains intact — giving traders both an upside and downside opportunity today.
This is not a scattergun approach. We work with only ONE Buy Zone and ONE Sell Zone with full institutional confluence. Every level here is refined using Price Action, Smart Money Concepts, ICT core principles, Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, Premium/Discount arrays, and liquidity mapping.
Primary Buy Zone ($3,325–$3,330) – The Golden Zone
This is today’s highest-probability trade location. Price sits in structural discount, right on top of a fresh 4H Rally-Base-Rally demand zone with a refined bullish Order Block. An unmitigated Fair Value Gap overlaps perfectly with the Optimal Trade Entry (0.705–0.79 retracement) of the last bullish leg.
Liquidity is positioned just below at equal lows near $3,322, inviting a possible stop-run before reversal. Volume imbalance on the prior up-leg confirms smart-money participation.
Entry: $3,325–$3,330
Stop-Loss: Below $3,318 (liquidity + swing low)
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $3,357 (local structure)
TP2: $3,380 (Fib 1.272 projection)
Kill Zone: London open into New York overlap
Primary Sell Zone ($3,355–$3,360)
Gold’s upside is capped by a 4H Drop-Base-Drop supply zone nested in premium pricing. A refined bearish Order Block aligns with a Fair Value Gap from the last impulsive sell-off. Equal highs around $3,360 offer liquidity for a potential sweep before distribution.
Entry: $3,355–$3,360
Stop-Loss: Above $3,370 (EQH cluster)
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $3,330
TP2: $3,305 (Fib 1.272 extension)
Fallback Zones – In Case of Manipulative Displacement
Fallback Buy: $3,315–$3,320 → Demand zone + OTE + minor FVG; SL below $3,308; same TPs as Primary Buy.
Fallback Sell: $3,365–$3,370 → Secondary supply + OTE + OB; SL above $3,375; same TPs as Primary Sell.
Why the Golden Zone Matters Today
Among all four levels, the Primary Buy Zone at $3,325–$3,330 stands out. It sits at the crossroads of structural discount, smart-money footprints, and liquidity positioning. If price sweeps the equal lows at $3,322 during the London or early NY session, the probability of a sharp, institution-led reversal increases dramatically.
Institutional Consensus
Market commentary from FXStreet, FXEmpire, and DailyForex all acknowledge mid-$3,320s as a key support zone, with resistance forming near $3,355–$3,400. This alignment reinforces our bias: sellers control the premium zone, but buyers are poised to defend structural discounts.
Execution Reminder
Trade only the defined zones with precise risk control. These are institution-level liquidity plays, not mid-range chases. If price fails to respect the primary zone, step aside or switch to the fallback. Patience is part of the edge.
💬 If you find this level-by-level breakdown useful, drop a comment below. Let’s see how the Golden Zone plays out in real time.
XAUUSD - The bullish backdrop remains strongOverall Market Sentiment
The bullish background remains strong: the dollar index is putting pressure on gold, while geopolitical tensions and expectations of a rate cut by the Fed are increasing demand for the safe-haven asset
Direction by indicators: on Investing.com — 9 “Buy” signals against 3 “Sell” signals on moving averages and a neutral overall state
Support and resistance levels
Key support levels: $3,320 and $3,368–$3,340. A rebound from this zone could serve as a starting point for growth
Resistance: it is important to break $3,400 — a psychological and technical barrier, above which a directional move to $3,450 and beyond will open
Short-term scenario (LiteFinance): gold is testing resistance in the $3,380–$3,391 zone; a drop from there could lead to $3,330 → $3,268, and a breakout to the upside would accelerate growth to $3,493–$3,515
Union traders are noting the movement after the breakout of $3,375: possible targets are $3,390, $3,402.56 and $3,416.39. A breakout below $3,374.91 could send gold to $3,358.25, $3,350.01 and $3,341.18
1H chart analysis: Gold confidently broke through the $3,350 level, opening a bullish scenario, confirmed by macro dynamics and expectations of monetary policy easing
Bullish Outlook Intact: Gold Targeting 3400-3410Gold encountered resistance and retreated several times on its way to 3400, but it remained above 3370 during the pullback, perfectly maintaining the integrity of its volatile upward trend. Therefore, even though gold's upward momentum has weakened, I still believe that due to structural support, gold still has the potential to reach the 3400-3410 area, and may even continue its bullish trend to the 3420-3430 area.
As gold prices rise, market sentiment tends to be more optimistic, and the price behavior reflected by the candlestick chart becomes clearer. The lows of gold continue to rise, and the highs always insist on setting new highs in the process of rising. The oscillating upward structure is particularly obvious. While greatly limiting the retracement space, it also greatly consolidates the support structure below and is conducive to further rises in gold. At present, gold has been confirmed to have stabilized above 3370, so gold may not give another chance to fall back to the 3360-3350 area.
Then in the next short-term trading, the gold pullback is a buying opportunity. We focus on the opportunity to participate in long gold after gold retreats to 3380-3370. The target will first look at the 3400-3410 area, and the higher target area is in the 3420-3430 area.
XAUUSD The beginning of large-scale growthCurrent picture and structure
The instrument is trading in a narrow range of $3,360-3,375, demonstrating low volatility - ADX is at the low of 2025, which confirms consolidation
The price is held inside a long-term ascending channel, with an increase of about 27% since the beginning of 2024
Indicators and signals
RSI (14): around 58-59, indicates moderate overbought, but remains in the bullish momentum zone
Stochastic (%K ~61%) and MACD (value ~3.8): Buy signals - short-term upward momentum is confirmed
ADX (14): around 23-24 - range, weak trend without a clear direction
Moving averages on different timeframes give a common signal indicator "Strong Buy" in daily and weekly frames
Support and resistance levels
Key support:
$3,360 — current lower stop range
$3,330–3,293 — swing low zone, critical for short-term sales
Main resistance:
$3,400–3,415 — profit acceptance zone and possible reversal pressure
$3,450 — psychological and technical barrier upon breakout of current zone
XAU/USD Approaches Resistance – Watch 3374 CloselyGOLD Overview
Gold is currently approaching the 3374 resistance level. A 1H candle close above 3374 could trigger further upside toward the next resistance zones at 3401 and 3402.
However, if the price fails to hold above 3365 and starts to decline, this would indicate a potential bearish reversal toward the support levels at 3350 and 3333.
The next short-term move will depend on how price reacts around the 3374 zone — watch for either a confirmed breakout or rejection.
🔹 Key Technical Levels:
Pivot Line: 3365
Resistance: 3374 • 3388 • 3402
Support: 3350 • 3333
Scenarios:
🔺 Bullish: 1H close above 3374 → Targets: 3388 / 3402
🔻 Bearish: Failure to hold above 3365 → Downside toward 3350 / 3333
Smart Money / Price Action 5min scalping road map# 📈 ABC Pattern Explained for TradingView (Smart Money / Price Action)
The **ABC pattern** is a 3-leg corrective move in market structure, commonly used in price action, Elliott Wave, and Smart Money trading. It's mainly used to identify **pullbacks** or **correction zones** before a continuation of the main trend.
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## 🔹 Structure of the ABC Pattern:
- **Point A**: The beginning of the move — often the end of a strong impulsive wave.
- **Point B**: The first retracement or pullback from Point A.
- **Point C**: The second corrective move that often goes beyond A, forming the completion of the correction phase.
The ABC legs can be:
- **A to B**: Impulsive or corrective.
- **B to C**: Generally a counter-trend retracement.
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## 🔸 How to Identify on Chart:
1. **Find a strong trend** (uptrend or downtrend).
2. **Look for the first correction** — mark it as Point A to B.
3. **Next wave** that attempts to continue the trend but fails — mark the end as Point C.
4. **Use Fibonacci tools** to measure:
- **B retracement of A** (typically 50%–78.6%)
- **C extension** of AB (typically 127.2%–161.8%)
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## 🔧 How to Draw on TradingView:
> You can use the `Trend-Based Fib Extension` tool or draw manually using the `Path` or `ABC pattern` tool.
### Step-by-Step:
1. Select the `ABC Pattern` tool from the **left toolbar** under “Prediction and Measurement Tools”.
2. Click on **Point A** (3320$).
3. Click on **Point B** (3350$).
4. Click on **Point C** (final corrective wave 3300$ ).
5. TradingView will automatically plot the shape with labels.
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## 🧠 Pro Tips:
- Look for **liquidity sweep** or **order blocks** near Point C.
- Entry opportunity is often **after C**, targeting a **continuation** of the main trend.
- ABC is often part of **larger structures** like **complex pullbacks** or **smart money retracements**.
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## ✅ Example Use:
- **Buy Scenario**:
- Strong uptrend → Price drops from A to B (retracement).
- Then price rises to C, failing to break above A → Possible new higher low formed.
- Enter long if price breaks above Point B again.
- **Sell Scenario**:
- Strong downtrend → A to B is a pullback.
- C attempts new high, fails → short entry after break of B.
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## 📌 Settings Tip for Mobile Users:
- Zoom in for better point control.
- Use “Lock” feature to prevent accidental move.
- Customize color and label visibility in the style tab.
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## 🔍 Keywords:
`ABC Pattern`, `Elliott Correction`, `Smart Money`, `Liquidity Grab`, `Break of Structure`, `Trend Continuation`, `Price Action Trading`, `Market Structure`
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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 25, 2025📊
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🔍 Momentum Analysis
• D1 Timeframe: Momentum is declining. Based on the current pace, it’s likely that only 1–2 more daily candles are needed before momentum enters the oversold zone → suggesting one more potential downward leg.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum is about to turn bearish, indicating we might see a sideways movement or a slight drop in the short term.
• H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently falling. By the end of the current H1 candle, momentum will likely enter the oversold zone → potential for a bullish reversal soon.
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🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
• A clear 5-wave Wave A has already formed with no irregular patterns, so I’m expecting Wave B (black) to unfold as a 3-wave structure.
• Within this black Wave B, price is now developing Wave B (blue), meaning Wave A (blue) has already completed. Looking at the lower timeframe, I can identify a 5-wave structure → suggesting a zigzag correction in the form of 5-3-5 for black Wave B.
• Target for Wave B (blue): The 3360 area – this is a support level and also aligns with Fibonacci confluence, making it a strong candidate for the end of Wave B (blue) and a potential reversal zone.
• If price respects the 3360 level, then projected targets for Wave C (blue) would be around 3386 or 3402.
• However, if price breaks below 3351, the current wave count becomes invalid. In that case, we will shift to an alternate scenario and look for a buy opportunity near the lower edge of the triangle (c)-(e) and other confluence support zones.
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🔄 Combining Momentum & Wave Structure
• D1 momentum shows weakening in this downward move, and the lower boundary of the triangle (c)-(e) is a prime area to look for the end of Wave e.
• Ideally, we want to see:
o A short-term bounce upward aligning with H1 momentum reversal to complete Wave C (blue).
o Then a confluence with H4 momentum turning bearish, indicating possible trend continuation or reversal.
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📌 Trade Plan
• For experienced traders:
Watch closely around 3385 and 3401 for reversal signals to enter Sell positions.
• For beginners, I recommend the following limit setup:
o SELL ZONE: 3399 – 3402
o SL: 3501
o TP1: 3374
o TP2: 3351