Eliana | XAUUSD – 15M – Intraday Corrective Bullish StructurePEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
After sweeping sell-side liquidity near 4,400, price shifted into a structured recovery. Multiple pullbacks were absorbed by demand inside the channel, keeping bullish momentum intact. However, upside remains reaction-based, with higher-timeframe resistance still active above.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 →
As long as price holds above internal demand, continuation toward channel highs remains valid.
🎯 Target 1: 5,050 – 5,100
🎯 Target 2: 5,140 – 5,200
🎯 Extended: 5,300+
❌ Bearish Case 📉 →
Failure to hold demand and a breakdown of the channel opens downside continuation.
🎯 Downside Target 1: 4,680 – 4,650
🎯 Downside Target 2: 4,600
🎯 Extended: 4,400 (Major Demand / Liquidity Zone)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 5,050 / 5,140 – 5,200
Support 🟢: 4,780 – 4,750 / 4,600 / 4,400
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Xauuusd
Extreme Volatility Remains. Structure Rebuilding After Shakeout.Yesterday, Gold extended its wild behavior with a move that, at one point, reached nearly a 10% drop, only for price to reverse the entire decline — and then fall again by roughly 5%.
This kind of price action is a clear sign of unstable, high-volatility conditions, where emotion and positioning play a bigger role than clean technical flows.
🔎 Where We Stand Now
The second sell-off of the day found support around the 4600 zone, and since then Gold has rebounded back above 4800.
At the moment, price is pressing into the median line of the ascending channel, which becomes a key technical reference.
📈 What Happens Next?
👉 If price manages a clean break back above the median line, upside continuation becomes the more probable scenario.
In that case, the next clear resistance sits around:
🎯 5150 zone
That would be the next logical magnet if bullish momentum rebuilds.
📌 Trading Plan
My approach remains cautious and tactical:
👉 look to buy dips,
but only:
- if the risk-to-reward is favorable
- and with reduced position size
✅ Conclusion
Gold is still in a high-volatility regime — which means opportunity exists, but so does HUGE risk.
No chasing, no oversized positions.
In this environment, precision entries matter more than direction. 🚀
XAUUSD 1H (OANDA): Bull TrendXAUUSD 1H (OANDA): Bull Trend, But Price Is Trapped Under a Weak High – Expect a Sweep or a Deeper Rotation
Gold remains in a strong 1H uptrend overall, but the latest price action is flashing a key short-term warning: the market is consolidating under a marked weak high after a sharp push up. On your chart, the top box shows repeated reactions, multiple CHoCH prints inside the range, and a clear liquidity structure (equal highs/equal lows) that often precedes either:
a liquidity sweep above the weak high to trap breakout buyers, then a selloff, or
a clean breakout with acceptance that continues the bullish trend.
This is a classic “decision zone” where you should trade the edges, not the middle.
Market Structure and Price Behavior
Macro bias (1H): still bullish (the staircase advance with BOS legs is intact).
Current phase: distribution-like consolidation near the highs.
Key observation: the market is “advertising” the weak high. Weak highs are frequently swept before the real move happens.
If price fails to hold the current top-range support, the next move is likely a rotation into the nearest demand bands marked on the chart.
Key Resistance and Support Levels (From the Chart)
Resistance
5,090–5,105: current supply lid / top-range pressure area.
Weak High zone: the marked weak high above the range (primary liquidity target).
5,120: next major upside magnet if a breakout is accepted.
Support
5,060–5,040: immediate pullback support (reaction zone after the sell spike).
5,000–4,980: psychological + structural support (key intraday defense).
4,920–4,900: first highlighted demand band (strong reaction zone if breakdown confirms).
4,820–4,800: second demand band (deeper pullback target).
4,660–4,620: broader base support (trend would weaken significantly if price returns here).
Fibonacci Roadmap (Best Dip-Buy Zones)
Anchor Fibonacci from the latest impulse swing low (around the last major push before the top consolidation) to the recent high:
0.382 typically aligns near the first pullback pocket (often around the 5,040–5,000 region here).
0.5 aligns with the next demand band (commonly around 4,920–4,900).
0.618 often overlaps deeper demand (around 4,820–4,800).
This creates a clean hierarchy:
Hold above 5,000 = shallow correction, trend continuation remains favored.
Lose 5,000 = rotation risk increases toward 4,920 and potentially 4,820.
EMA and RSI Filters (Quick Confirmation Rules)
EMA (use EMA20 and EMA50 on 1H)
Bullish continuation: price holds above EMA20 and EMA20 stays above EMA50.
Distribution warning: repeated 1H closes below EMA20 while trapped under resistance often leads to a flush.
RSI (14)
Bull control: RSI holds above 50 during consolidation.
Breakout strength: RSI pushes above 60 with a 1H close above resistance.
Breakdown risk: RSI slips below 45 while price loses the range floor.
Trading Plan (Clear Entry, SL, TP)
Scenario 1: Buy Breakout Only With Acceptance (Continuation Setup)
Trigger
1H candle closes above the range top (above the current supply lid) and the next candle does not instantly reject.
Entry
Buy on a retest of the broken level (range top becomes support).
Stop loss
SL below the retest swing low (or below the range top if you want a tighter invalidation).
Take profit
TP1: retest of the weak high zone
TP2: extension toward 5,120 if momentum remains strong (trail with EMA20)
Best practice
Avoid buying a single wick above the range. Acceptance matters more than the spike.
Scenario 2: Liquidity Sweep Above Weak High Then Sell (High-Probability Reversal Pattern)
Trigger
Price spikes above the weak high but closes back inside the range with a strong rejection candle.
Entry
Sell after the rejection close, ideally on a lower-timeframe pullback toward the sweep zone.
Stop loss
SL above the sweep high.
Take profit
TP1: 5,060–5,040
TP2: 5,000–4,980
TP3: 4,920–4,900 if 5,000 breaks with confirmation
This aligns closely with the projected path drawn on your chart.
Scenario 3: Sell Breakdown of Range Support (Rotation Into Demand)
Trigger
1H close below the range floor (the lower boundary of the top box) and retest fails.
Entry
Sell the retest rejection.
Stop loss
SL back inside the range.
Take profit
TP1: 5,000–4,980
TP2: 4,920–4,900 demand band
TP3: 4,820–4,800 if selling pressure expands
Scenario 4: Buy the Dip at Demand (Safer Trend-Continuation Approach)
Trigger
Price reaches a marked demand band and prints rejection (strong lower wick, engulfing, or impulsive reclaim).
Entry zones
First buy zone: 5,000–4,980
Second buy zone: 4,920–4,900
Deep buy zone: 4,820–4,800
Stop loss
Place SL below the demand band low (avoid placing it too tight; gold often hunts stops around round numbers).
Take profit
TP1: back to 5,040–5,060
TP2: range top / weak high zone
Execution Notes (Avoid the Chop)
Do not trade the middle of the range. The range is designed to trap both sides.
The best decisions happen at:
the range top / weak high (sweep or breakout)
the range floor (breakdown confirmation)
the demand bands (structured dip buys)
Summary
XAUUSD 1H is still bullish structurally, but the current consolidation under a weak high increases the probability of a liquidity sweep and a rotation lower before continuation. The highest-quality setups are:
buy only after breakout acceptance,
sell a confirmed weak-high sweep,
or wait to buy the dip at 5,000–4,980 and the demand bands at 4,920–4,900 / 4,820–4,800.
Bullish continuation?Gold has bounced off the support level, which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4,962.45
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 4,886.30
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 5,066.23
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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XAUUSD - Market Structure Context (Higher vs Lower Timeframe)PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD — Market Structure Context (Higher vs Lower Timeframe)
From a higher timeframe perspective , XAUUSD remains in an overall uptrend .
The broader market structure is still bullish, with price respecting higher highs and higher lows.
On the lower timeframe , price is currently trading inside a wider trading range .
Within this range, the market is also forming an ABCD channel , gradually moving higher but without strong momentum.
At this stage, the market is facing multiple resistance areas , including channel boundaries and trendlines. Because of this, upside continuation requires clear acceptance above resistance and renewed momentum.
If price starts to rotate lower instead, it would be more constructive to wait until the market breaks out of the current ABCD structure and builds a new, cleaner setup.
The market will ultimately show direction.
This analysis is focused on context and structure , not prediction.
Trading decisions should be based on where price has room to move ,
not on forcing trades inside compression or resistance-heavy zones.
Note: This idea is shared for educational purposes only and reflects market structure at the time of posting.
London Sell Off, New York Bullish SetupGold followed a bullish trendline and delivered a strong upside move, reaching the 4550 (ATH area), which acted as a major resistance zone.
After rejection from this level, strong bearish momentum appeared during the London session, resulting in a clear break of the bullish trendline.
Following the London session sell-off, price formed a strong support at 4302.
During the New York session, the market moved into consolidation, indicating preparation for the next impulse move.
Trade Plan (Buy on Pullback)
Entry: 4340
Target 1: 4407
Target 2: 4477
Stop Loss: Below 4302 (H1 close)
Bias
Bullish continuation expected after the pullback, once New York session momentum is confirmed
Based on my analysis, will the market reverse at the entry level? Please let me know in the comment section.
Gold key levels to watchFollowing the Fed's rate decision we saw a mildly positive reaction in gold as the dollar sold off and yields weakened. But the metal hasn't been able to stage a breakout yet with the $4245 level once again providing resistance. It needs to climb above this level if it wants to the test $4300 and potentially a new record high above $4380 in the days to come. But if support at 4170 gives way first, then watch out for a quick drop to low $4000s again.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Bias remains bearish until price closes above 4,230–4,240.XAUUSD Outlook (Weekly):
Price continues to respect the bearish structure, forming lower highs under the trendline and rejecting the 4,240–4,250 supply zone. As long as price stays below 4,230, downside continuation toward 4200, 4185, and 4168 remains likely. A breakout above 4,240 would invalidate the bearish bias and open the path for higher targets. Watching reactions at key zones for directional confirmation.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking either price to push up into our red box and give us a short, or, price to attempt that 4040 level and bounce, giving us the opportunity to go long. We got in on that long, and then just carried it for most of the week, resulting in not many updates apart from the continued path and a successful week to close.
It was a bit nervy with the ranging, but our hot spots worked well, gave us added confidence and of course the algo performed exceptionally.
A fantastic week in Camelot, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and analyse.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Key levels here for the open are 4228 resistance and 4210 support. These are the levels that need to be monitored on the 15min red boxes for the break. A break above and we should see that high on the chart completed and potential for bears to come in and attempt the correction. While that flip is still active, above 4210 there is more upside to be had but the level sticking out to us this week is the 4260-70 region. This is the level that needs to break open and hold for us to go higher.
The issue I have at the moment is our liquidity indicators are suggesting a higher high but once that is made, there is a chance we get a sharp reversal and a clean rejection from one of these resistance levels can lead to a very aggressive decline all the way back down into the low 4000’s again. It’s a new day of a new month so caution is needed, the market may open with gaps, if that’s the case, best not to chase them, let it settle and then look for the set up.
RED BOXES:
Break above 4230 for 4237, 4247, 4250 and 4260 in extension of the move
Break below 4210 for 4199, 4195 and 4165 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD Intraday Outlook - 10 Nov 2025XAUUSD Intraday Outlook - 10 Nov 2025
Gold Spot trades at 4,082 (12:00 PM UTC+4) with bullish bias into NY session.
📌 Market Context: Wyckoff phase D re-accumulation; Dow trend up; Gann 45° support at 4,050.
Daily (1D): Inside bullish pennant above Ichimoku cloud; RSI 62; harmonic bat PRZ 4,120 cap.
4H: Rising wedge testing 4,095; EMA50>EMA200; watch for bull trap if RSI diverges near 70.
1H: Cup-handle breakout at 4,086; VWAP reclaimed; Bollinger mid-band = launchpad.
30M: Sym triangle coiling; hidden bull divergence on RSI; volume contracting before move.
15M: Bull flag above 4,072; Tenkan/Kijun bull cross; anchored VWAP holding.
5M: Falling wedge breakout retest 4,078; candlestick hammer confirms demand.
Primary Long Setup: Buy 4,076-4,082 on VWAP hold; SL 4,066; TP1 4,094, TP2 4,108, TP3 4,120.
Momentum Add: Scale above 4,095 if volume >20% avg and RSI>65; trail stop 4,088.
Counter Short: Fade 4,118-4,124 only on bearish engulfing + RSI>75; SL 4,132; TP 4,098.
Breakout Confirmations: 30M close above 4,095 + volume spike + Ichimoku span green.
Key Supports: 4,072 (flag base), 4,060 (4H Kijun), 4,045 (Gann square level).
Key Resistances: 4,095, 4,108, 4,120 harmonic PRZ.
Indicators Dashboard: BB squeeze (30M), RSI rising, VWAP slope up, EMA stack bullish.
Pattern Alerts: Monitor head-and-shoulders failure if 4,060 breaks; possible bear trap.
Volatility: ATR(14) 5M = 6 pts; adjust size; expect expansion around COMEX open.
News Risk: Watch US CPI Nov 12; reduce exposure 30 minutes prior.
Risk Rules: Risk ≤1.25% per idea; lock gains after TP1; move stop to BE +2.
Trade Management: If price stalls 4,094 with declining volume, partial exit.
Sentiment: COT shows commercials short but covering; supports short-term squeeze.
Volume Profile: HVN at 4,080 acts magnet; LVN 4,092 could accelerate breakout.
Ichimoku Checklist: Price>Cloud, Tenkan>Kijun, Chikou above price = bullish alignment.
Gann Time: 90° cycle hits 16:00 UTC; expect impulse wave.
Harmonics: AB=CD targets 4,108; crab extension warns above 4,124.
Psych Levels: 4,100 round number likely liquidity sweep—wait for confirmation.
Educational outlook only; follow your plan and manage risk.
XAU/USD Analysis – Gold Faces Rejection at 3975XAU/USD Analysis – Gold Faces Rejection at 3975, Potential for Further Downside
Gold continues to trade under selling pressure after failing to break above the 3975 resistance zone, which has acted as a strong ceiling for price several times in recent sessions. On the H1 timeframe, the market structure remains bearish, forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
After a brief consolidation around 3965–3985, price appears to be creating a distribution range, suggesting potential continuation to the downside once liquidity above this minor range is collected.
Key Technical Zones:
Resistance: 3975 – 3985
Support: 3910 – 3880, with extended targets near 3820
Trading Strategy:
Traders may consider short opportunities near 3975–3980 if the price confirms rejection with bearish engulfing or RSI divergence.
First profit target around 3910, and extended target near 3880.
If gold breaks and holds above 3985, it could invalidate the short bias and trigger a short-term correction toward 4020–4030.
Technical Confluence:
EMA trend slope still points downward
RSI below 50 confirms bearish momentum
Fibonacci retracement 0.618 aligns with resistance zone
Today’s price action may remain range-bound ahead of key U.S. economic data later in the week, but as long as price holds below 3985, the bearish outlook remains intact.
Follow for more daily gold trading insights and strategic updates.
Your Gold is about to melt !Hey Traders!
Gold is showing similar pattern to its last bull market which lasted 10 years and followed by a bear market which lasted 3 years, well guess what ! We've just finished the 10 years for the current bull market and I think its the time to roach out xD
It might pump a little more but its definitely going down soon, after all any bull market doesn't last forever and 10 years is a lot of full market especially when we see a similar pattern in the chart History.
Stay safe and let me know what do you guys think about this ?
Gold Market Update (Easy to Understand!)Gold’s still shining bright; it’s in a bull market, meaning prices are mostly going up 🟢.
But even in a bull market, prices can dip before the next big move. Here’s what could happen next:
📉 If gold falls below 4205, we could see it slide down to 4184 or even 4181.
📈 After that, it might climb again toward 4252, maybe even 4279.
💪 But if gold breaks above 4239, it could keep running up right away!
👉 The big picture: gold still looks strong long-term; just expect a few short dips along the way.
Want to know where I see gold going next and how to trade around these levels?
💬 DM me “GOLD” and I’ll share my next target before it hits the charts. 🚀
Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See, Not What You Think
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Technical Analysis – H1Price Action & Trend
Gold has recently broken out of a sideways consolidation range (boxed area around 3,620–3,680 USD), showing strong bullish momentum.
The upward move peaked near the resistance zone around 3,780–3,790 USD, where selling pressure emerged.
Price is currently forming a potential ABC correction pattern:
(A) – initial retracement from the peak.
(B) – minor rebound, lower than previous highs.
(C) – projected continuation downward, suggesting further correction.
Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: 3,780–3,790 USD (recent swing high).
Immediate Support: 3,700 USD (minor psychological level and previous consolidation top).
Key Support: 3,660–3,670 USD (near lower bound of previous consolidation box, potential ABC (C) target).
Indicators & Technical Tools
Fibonacci Retracement:
0.382 retracement aligns around 3,710–3,715 USD.
0.618 retracement aligns around 3,670 USD, matching the expected (C) target.
Volume:
Slight increase during the upward impulse, but volume has tapered during the current correction, indicating a healthy pullback rather than a trend reversal.
RSI/EMA:
Price has pulled back from overbought conditions. EMA on H1 likely supports near 3,700 USD.
Trading Strategy
Short-term Traders (Intraday):
Consider short positions near 3,750–3,760 USD if ABC (C) continues.
Targets: 3,700 USD first, then 3,670 USD.
Stop-loss: Above recent swing high at 3,780 USD.
Medium-term Traders:
Wait for completion of ABC correction before entering long positions.
Strong buying opportunity near 3,660–3,670 USD with confirmation candle patterns.
Trend-followers:
Look for break above 3,780 USD with strong volume to resume the bullish trend.
Summary:
Gold is in a corrective phase after hitting a strong resistance zone. The ABC correction suggests that price may retest support around 3,670 USD before resuming the uptrend. Fibonacci and previous consolidation levels provide clear zones for entries, stops, and profit-taking.
Gold (XAUUSD) – 18 Sep | Watching 3644–3637 Demand Zone for Long🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 18 September
Market Context
• Yesterday’s FOMC event caused extreme volatility, with price spiking to a new all-time high at 3707.5 , followed by sharp selling.
• M15 structure remains bearish, but our key demand zone from yesterday’s analysis is still valid.
• Market may look to grab sell-side liquidity below this zone before any potential move up, so caution is key.
Key Zone to Watch
• Demand Zone : 3644 – 3637 (strong area of interest for potential buy setups).
• Monitor price reaction here before committing capital.
Execution Plan
• Wait for price to respect 3644 – 3637 demand zone
• Look for LTF confirmation before planning a long setup
• If zone is invalidated, step aside and wait for deeper levels
Let price come to your zone — patience turns setups into opportunities.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Conservative Role Reversal Setup - Resistance Becomes Support
Sharing my straightforward approach to Gold's next potential move. 📊
**🎯 The Setup:**
I'm waiting for a role reversal play at the yellow line - this represents the zone where recent resistance should now act as support. Classic technical analysis at work. 🔄
**📍 Target and Risk:**
My minimum target is the second white line from the top - the August 8th high. For risk management, I'll use the August 22nd low as my stop loss, giving me a **2:1 risk-to-reward ratio**. This is a very conservative entry approach. 🛡️
**⚡ Higher R/R Alternative:**
If I wanted to improve the risk-reward ratio, I'd need to watch for real-time price action after any break below this morning's low. The key would be catching the actual reversal behavior as it happens, rather than using these wider structural levels. 📈
**🧠 Why Conservative Works:**
Sometimes the best trades aren't the flashiest ones. A 2:1 setup with clear levels and high probability might not be exciting, but it builds consistent profits over time. Risk management trumps home runs. ✅
**⚠️ Risk Management:**
Clean structural levels for both entry and exit. If the August 22nd low breaks, the role reversal thesis is invalidated and it's time to exit. 🚨
📈 **This trade setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2:1.** Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 33.33%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. 🧠
💡 **Pro Tip**: If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. ✅
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**Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates.
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*Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*






















