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Xngusdanalysis

Is This the Start of a Fresh Bull Run in Natural Gas (XNG/USD)?🎯 XNG/USD Natural Gas: The Great Energy Heist! 💰⛽ 📊 Market Overview Natural Gas is setting up for a classic "Ocean's Eleven" style breakout! The 382 Triangular Moving Average has been breached by the bulls, and the trend confirmation is IN. Time to plan our strategic entry into this energy market opportunity! 🔥 The Master Plan: BULLISH Setup Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade - Cash Flow Management Confirmation Signal: 382 Triangular Moving Average breached to the upside ✅ Entry Method: Buy the dip when TMA confirms the bullish trend 💎 Layered Entry Strategy (Scale In Like a Pro!) ⚠️ IMPORTANT: You can enter at ANY price level after the breakout confirmation! Set alerts on your trading platform to catch the breakout easily. Recommended Entry Layers: 🎯 Layer 1: $3.100 🎯 Layer 2: $3.150 🎯 Layer 3: $3.200 🎯 Layer 4: $3.250 🎯 Layer 5: $3.300 This layering approach helps average your entry and reduces risk! 🛡️ Risk Management Zone Stop Loss: $3.000 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is MY stop loss level based on my risk tolerance. YOU should determine your own stop loss based on YOUR risk management rules and account size. Trade at your own risk! 🎪 Target Zone: The Great Escape! Primary Target: $3.600 🚀 Why $3.600? This level acts as: 🚧 Strong resistance (Police barricade zone!) 📉 Oversold bounce area Potential bull trap zone Exit Strategy: Lock in profits BEFORE reaching the target zone. Secure your gains and don't get greedy! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is MY target based on my analysis. YOU should take profits at levels that match YOUR trading plan and risk tolerance. Always trade at your own risk! 🔗 Correlated Assets to Watch Keep an eye on these related markets for confirmation: AMEX:UNG (United States Natural Gas Fund) - Direct correlation AMEX:BOIL (2x Leveraged Natural Gas ETF) - Amplified moves AMEX:KOLD (Inverse Natural Gas ETF) - Opposite direction AMEX:XLE (Energy Sector SPDR) - Broad energy sector correlation NYMEX:CL1! (Crude Oil) - Energy sector correlation COMEX:HG1! (Copper) - Industrial demand indicator Key Correlation Point: Natural Gas often moves with broader energy sentiment. Watch crude oil and energy sector strength for confirmation of bullish momentum. 📝 Key Technical Points ✅ 382 Triangular Moving Average breakout = Trend confirmation ✅ Layered entries reduce average cost and risk ✅ Multiple timeframe confluence at target zone ✅ Energy sector showing relative strength ✅ Risk-reward ratio favors bulls above $3.000 ⚡ Trading Notes This setup combines technical precision with proper risk management. The TMA breach is a strong momentum indicator, and the layered entry approach allows for strategic position building. Remember to manage your position size according to your account and always have a plan before entering! 🎭 The "Thief Style" Disclaimer 🎪 FOR ENTERTAINMENT & EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY! This "thief style" trading strategy is presented with a fun, heist-themed twist to make technical analysis more engaging. This is NOT financial advice. I'm not a licensed financial advisor, and you should NOT blindly follow any trading setup. Always do your own research, consult with licensed professionals, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Trading is risky, and past performance doesn't guarantee future results. This is my personal analysis shared for educational purposes only! 🎭 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #NaturalGas #XNG #XNGUSD #EnergyTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TriangularMovingAverage #TMA #Breakout #BullishSetup #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #LayeredEntry #CashFlowManagement #EnergyCommodities #NatGas #CommodityTrading #TrendTrading #PriceAction
EIGHTCAP:XNGUSDLong
by The-Thief
U.S. Natural Gas — mild weather weighs, trend stays bearishU.S. Natural Gas — mild weather weighs, trend stays bearish U.S. natural gas fell for a third straight session as the latest EIA report showed an 80 Bcf build, leaving inventories 4.3% above the 5-year average. Analysts cite mild weather and an oversupplied market as key drivers. Production remains near record highs at 107 Bcf/day (+3.8% YoY), while demand has dropped 6% YoY. Despite a slightly smaller-than-expected storage build, fundamentals stay weak. Technically, prices broke below local support at $3.40, confirming short-term bearish momentum. On October 17, natural gas prices bounced back, retracing part of Thursday’s losses. Temporary support emerged near $3.36–$3.35, but the recovery looks like a dead-cat bounce. Scenarios: 🔻 Bearish (primary): Below $3.40–$3.42, downside targets remain $3.30–$3.25. 🔺 Bullish (alternative): Above $3.42, a rebound toward $3.50–$3.53 is possible, though momentum favors sellers. In Europe, gas prices stay steady near €32/MWh with 83% storage capacity, while Russian attacks cutting Ukrainian output by ~60% add supply risks heading into winter.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by ProfessorSingapore
Natural Gas — Pressure persists, but a rebound setup buildNatural Gas (Nov)— Pressure persists, but a rebound setup build Natural gas futures extended losses to a 3-week low, weighed down by forecasts for warmer-than-normal U.S. weather through late October. Atmospheric G2 expects above-average temperatures across most of the country between October 20–29, limiting heating demand and capping price recovery attempts. 📉 Fundamentals: - U.S. (Lower 48) dry gas production: 108.5 bcf/day (+5.8% YoY) - Demand: 71.3 bcf/day (-4.8% YoY) - Storage levels: +4.5% above 5-year average, with inventories expected to rise +83 bcf this week (EIA consensus) Active gas rigs: 120 (+2 w/w) 🔥 Geopolitical Context: European gas futures climbed ~2% after Russian strikes on Ukraine’s gas infrastructure cut ~60% of national output, forcing shutdowns at DTEK and Naftogaz sites. The disruption raised supply concerns at the start of the heating season, with EU storage now at 83% capacity versus 93.2% last year. 📊 Technical Outlook: Price is consolidating within the $3.40–$3.53 range, forming a short-term sideways channel. RSI is neutral near 44, and momentum remains weak. A break below $3.40 could trigger a slide toward $3.30, while a close above $3.53 may open the way to $3.60–$3.65. Scenario Outlook 🔻 Bearish scenario (main): A confirmed breakdown below $3.40 would expose $3.32–$3.30 as the next target zone. Momentum indicators support potential continuation lower. 🔺 Bullish scenario (alternative): If buyers reclaim $3.53, we could see a short-covering rally toward $3.60–$3.65, but resistance above remains heavy due to the 200 SMA ceiling. Summary Natural Gas remains range-bound but weak, with sentiment tilted bearish due to macro fundamentals (warm weather + ample storage). Traders should watch for a decisive break of the $3.40–$3.53 zone to define the next directional move.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by ProfessorSingapore
Profit Blueprint on XNG/USD! Is This the Bullish Energy Move?😎 Steal the Show with XNG/USD: The "Thief" Day Trade Blueprint! 🚨 Asset: XNG/USD (Natural Gas CFD) - Energies MarketVibe: A cheeky, calculated heist to snag profits with a slick Ichimoku breakout strategy! 💰 📜 The Master Plan: Ichimoku Kijun Line Breakout 🎯 Confirmed Bull Trend: The price has broken above the Ichimoku Kijun-Sen line, signaling a bullish move in the Natural Gas CFD market. This breakout is our green light to execute the "Thief Strategy" with precision! 🕵️‍♂️ Entry: The Thief’s Layered Approach 🔍 How It Works: The "Thief Strategy" uses a layering method with multiple buy limit orders to scale into the trade safely, protecting your capital while maximizing profit potential. No fear, just finesse! 😎 Buy Limit Layers: 🥉 2.960 🥈 2.980 🥇 3.000 🏆 3.020 💡 Pro Tip: Add more layers based on your risk appetite and account size for extra flexibility! Alternative Entry: If you prefer a single entry, jump in at the current market price after the Kijun-Sen breakout confirmation. Your call, Thief OG! 😏 🛑 Stop Loss: Protect Your Loot! 🚨 Thief Stop Loss: Set at 2.900, just below the breakout level to guard against reversals. Customize It: Adjust your stop loss based on your risk tolerance and strategy. This is your heist—own it! Note: Dear Thief OG’s (Ladies & Gentlemen), I’m not dictating your stop loss. Manage your risk and keep your profits safe! 💪 🎯 Target: Escape Before the Trap! 🏃‍♂️ Profit Target: Aim for 3.150, where strong resistance, overbought conditions, and a potential trap await. Cash out before the "police" (market reversal) catch you! Note: You’re the mastermind here. Take profits at your own discretion—don’t let me cap your gains! 💸 🔗 Correlation & Related Markets to Watch Natural Gas (XNG/USD) often correlates or reacts with: ICMARKETS:XBRUSD (Crude Oil Brent) – Energy sector movements can impact gas demand. FOREXCOM:USOIL (Crude Oil WTI) – Supply/demand shocks in oil can spill into gas pricing. OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) – Inflation hedge & safe-haven flows can influence energy sentiment indirectly. TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) – A stronger/weaker dollar impacts commodity pricing. SP:SPX (S&P 500 Index) – Risk-on/risk-off sentiment across markets. Keeping an eye on these pairs helps confirm energy market momentum and macro sentiment. Key Correlation Point: Natural Gas prices often lead or lag other energy markets due to supply/demand dynamics and seasonal factors. Confirm your trade with cross-asset analysis for a sharper edge! 📊 🧠 Why This Setup Rocks Ichimoku Precision: The Kijun-Sen breakout is a reliable signal for short-term bullish momentum. Layered Entry Safety: The Thief Strategy’s multiple limit orders spread risk and allow scaling without overcommitting. Risk Management: Clear stop loss and target levels keep your heist disciplined and profitable. Market Context: Energy markets are volatile, but this setup leverages technical confirmation to ride the wave. 🌊 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #ThiefStrategy #XNGUSD #NaturalGas #Ichimoku #DayTrading #EnergyMarkets #TradingView
ICMARKETS:XNGUSDLong
by The-Thief
4
Gas prices surge on cold forecastsGas prices surge on cold forecasts On Oct 7 european natural gas jumped to a six-week high, extending a sharp rally as colder weather forecasts and weaker renewable output boosted heating demand expectations. Temperatures in France and Germany are set to fall about 2°C below seasonal norms from mid-October. The market also reacted to Russia’s largest missile strikes on Ukraine’s gas infrastructure since the war began, heightening concerns over potential supply disruptions. Despite the risks, EU storage remains robust at 82.8% of capacity, with Italy at 93%, France at 92%, and Germany at 76.3%. In the UK, gas futures climbed also as the Met Office warned of a sharp temperature drop ahead, likely lifting heating demand. Analysts noted that if damage to Ukrainian facilities proves significant, Europe may need to increase pipeline and LNG imports to stabilize supply.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
1
Natural Gas Market Outlook ‖ Bullish Breakout with Risk Control💎 XNG/USD Natural Gas – Thief Trader’s Money Loot Plan (Swing/Scalping) 💎 🎯 Trade Plan (Bullish Setup) Strategy: Bullish triangular moving average breakout, aligned with Fibonacci 0.382 level. Entry (Layered Style): Using multiple limit orders (Thief layering strategy). Example entries: $2.900 $2.950 $3.000 (You may add more layers depending on your risk appetite.) Stop Loss: $2.800 (Thief SL). ⚠️ Note: Adjust SL based on your own risk tolerance and strategy. Target Zone: Major seller pressure expected near $3.400 — our escape target set at $3.200. 📌 Reminder: Take profit at your own discretion — you control your loot, not me. ❓ Why This Setup? ✅ Technical Basis: Bullish triangle breakout + Fibonacci 0.382 retracement signals continuation upside. ✅ Layered Entry Advantage: Reduces risk by scaling in across levels, catching volatility without FOMO. ✅ Market Structure: Current consolidation near $2.93 provides a solid base for accumulation. ✅ Sentiment Balance: Both retail & institutional lean bullish, supporting potential breakout momentum. ✅ Macro Tailwinds: Strong LNG export growth and expected winter heating demand underpin the long thesis. This plan aligns both short-term technicals and long-term fundamentals, creating a high-probability swing/scalping opportunity. 🌟 Natural Gas (XNG/USD) Market Report - September 3, 2025 🌟 📊 Current Price Snapshot Spot Price: $2.93 per MMBtu (Henry Hub benchmark) 📉 (Holding steady after recent dips, reflecting balanced supply/demand.) 😊 Trader Sentiment Outlook Retail Traders: 55% Bullish 🟢 | 35% Bearish 🔴 | 10% Neutral ⚪ (Optimism from LNG demand + weather, but some concern on inventories.) Institutional Traders: 60% Bullish 🟢 | 30% Bearish 🔴 | 10% Neutral ⚪ (Focused on exports & production stability, while cautious on oversupply.) 📌 Overall Mood: Mildly positive — upside potential if weather demand rises. 😨 Fear & Greed Index Current Level: Neutral (Score ~50/100) ⚖️ Fear factors: Storage 5% above 5-year avg, mild summer demand. Greed drivers: LNG exports + winter demand expectations. Market vibe = balanced — neither panic selling nor euphoric buying. 📈 Fundamental & Macro Score Fundamental Score: 7/10 🟢 Strong LNG shipments (31% growth expected). Inventories manageable, production +3% YoY. Key watch: Permian & Haynesville supply shifts. Macro Score: 8/10 🟢 Rising global energy needs (AI, data centers). Autumn cooling trend boosts heating demand. Asia’s growth keeps exports flowing. 🚀 Overall Market Outlook Bias: Bullish (Long) 🟢📈 — ~60% confidence. Natural gas could push toward $3.60/MMBtu by late 2025 if balances tighten and exports expand. Winter could spark extra upside rallies ❄️🔥. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch FXOPEN:XNGUSD NYMEX:NG1! ICMARKETS:XBRUSD (Brent Crude) FOREXCOM:USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold for risk hedge) TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index – inverse correlation play) ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #XNGUSD #NaturalGas #SwingTrading #Scalping #CommodityTrading #EnergyMarkets #Fibonacci #BreakoutStrategy #LayeringStrategy #TradingViewAnalysis #ThiefTrader
ICMARKETS:XNGUSDLong
by The-Thief
Natural Gas Price Hits 2.5-Month HighNatural Gas Price Hits 2.5-Month High As the XNG/USD chart shows today, natural gas prices have risen above $3.600/MMBtu for the first time since mid-July. According to media reports, the rise in gas prices has been driven by: → Weather models forecasting colder conditions, suggesting the heating season may begin earlier than expected; → An EBW Analytics Group note highlighting short-covering activity in the market, which has accelerated the rally (a short squeeze effect). At the same time, chart analysis suggests that the upside potential may be limited. Technical Analysis of the XNG/USD Chart Three factors might restrict further price growth: → The RSI indicator signals extreme overbought conditions. → Price has moved above the upper boundary of the channel (which has been in place since August), indicating that natural gas may be overvalued. → If we view September’s moves as a 3.065–3.315 range, then the target following the breakout on 29 September should be calculated based on the range height — pointing to 3.645. This target has already been reached. Thus, we could assume that the market is vulnerable to a pullback (for example, towards the median of the blue channel). At the same time, the steep upward trajectory (highlighted in orange) remains intact. Therefore, we may see an attempt at a bullish breakout of the July high near the 3.65 level — although, given the factors mentioned above, such a breakout could well prove to be a false one. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XNGUSD
by FXOpen
1
U.S. Gas prices recoverU.S. Gas prices recover On September 29, natural gas finished higher, reversing earlier losses. Prices had initially been pressured by forecasts of warmer-than-normal weather in the coming weeks, but later gained support from other factors — including data showing stronger export demand for U.S. natural gas. According to EBW Analytics, the above-average warmth is expected to limit natural gas demand through the first half of October. Citing DTN’s temperature forecasts, EBW noted that U.S. storage is projected to grow by about 270 bcf between September 26 and October 16. This means that whenever colder weather eventually arrives, markets will be well supplied, which should help cushion any price spikes. Now natural gas (XNGUSD) are trading at $3.39. In Europe storage facilities across the EU have reached 82.5% capacity ahead of winter, according to Gas Infrastructure Europe (GIE). On September 28, EU countries injected 206 million cubic meters of gas into storage, while withdrawals declined to 28 million cubic meters. Total storage now stands at 90.9 billion cubic meters — the seventh-highest September level in the historical record. Despite this progress, storage levels remain 6.9 percentage points below the five-year seasonal average and well under last year’s 94.2% mark for the same date. Under European Commission rules, member states must fill storage sites to at least 90% between October 1 and December 1 each year, though up to 10% flexibility is permitted under difficult conditions. These requirements are contributing to upward pressure on European gas prices.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by ProfessorSingapore
U.S. Natural Gas holds near 10-week highsU.S. Natural Gas holds near 10-week highs U.S. natural gas futures hovered around $3.20/MMBtu, a ten-week high, supported by lower output. Production in the Lower 48 slipped to 107.4 bcfd in early September from a record 108.3 bcfd in August. The earlier supply surge fueled large storage injections, leaving inventories 6% above the five-year average and 1% higher year-over-year. On the demand side, forecasts call for above-normal warmth into early October, while LNG feedgas flows averaged 15.7 bcfd—slightly below August levels. Longer-term risks remain. Global LNG capacity is projected to expand 60% by 2030, with half of the new supply coming from the U.S. This raises the threat of oversupply, potentially pressuring prices in Asia and Europe. Still, strong domestic demand—driven by slower renewable deployment and rising AI-related power needs—may lend support to U.S. prices. In Europe, gas inventories stand at 82.3% capacity, with France and Italy above 90% and Germany at 76.6%. Softer Asian demand due to milder cooling needs has freed up cargoes for Europe, helping push prices lower. Geopolitical risks remain in focus. NATO–Russia tensions and potential sanctions on Russian energy—including Europe’s ban on seaborne imports by 2027—could disrupt supply and limit downside.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
XNG/USD Swing Trade Plan – Entry, Stop, and Target Explained🚀 NATURAL GAS (XNG/USD) – Energies Market Wealth Strategy Map ⚡🔥 (Swing Trade Setup – Thief Layered Style) 📊 Plan ✅ Bullish confirmation spotted with LSMA pullback 🟢 ✅ Thief’s unique layering entry strategy 🎭 — stacking multiple buy limit orders to sneak into the market like a pro. Layered Entry Levels: Buy Limit @ 2.800 🧩 Buy Limit @ 2.850 🧩 Buy Limit @ 2.900 🧩 Buy Limit @ 2.950 🧩 (Feel free to add more layers based on your own risk appetite.) 🛡️ Risk Management Stop Loss (Thief SL): ⚠️ @ 2.750 (Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen – Thief OG’s – this SL is my style. Always set your own SL according to your risk.) 🎯 Target Zone 👮 Police Barricade spotted around 3.300 🚨 Here we have: Strong resistance wall 🧱 Overbought signals 📈 Potential trap zone 👉 Take your profits before the market police catch you! Escape with your bags full 💼💨 (Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen – Thief OG’s – this TP is my style. Always set your own target according to your profit goals.) 🔍 Related Pairs & Correlations FXOPEN:XNGUSD (Natural Gas) – our main thief play 🎭 BLACKBULL:WTI / TVC:UKOIL (Crude Oil & Brent) 🛢️ – often show energy sector momentum correlation ICMARKETS:XBRUSD (Brent Crude) – watch for confirmation of energy strength 🔥 SP:SPX / TVC:DXY (S&P 500 & US Dollar Index) – dollar strength can pressure commodities OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) – safe haven vs energy volatility ⚡ Correlated markets can confirm direction or signal early reversals. Always watch the energy family together for big moves. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a thief-style trading strategy created just for fun & educational purposes. Not financial advice. Trade safe, trade smart. #XNGUSD #NaturalGas #Commodities #SwingTrade #EnergyMarkets #LayeringStrategy #TradingCommunity #MarketThief #OGStyle
ICMARKETS:XNGUSDLong
by The-Thief
Natural Gas fell on bearish EIA data and cooler forecastsNatural Gas fell on bearish EIA data and cooler forecasts October natural gas tumbled on August 18 after the EIA reported a larger-than-expected 90 bcf storage build, pushing inventories more than 200 bcf above the five-year average. XNGUSD remains under pressure from core fundamentals including supply-demand balances, weather trends, geopolitics, macro conditions, and competing fuel prices. Further downside came as forecasts showed fewer cooling degree days over the next two weeks. Analysts warned the market is running out of time for late-summer heat to tighten balances, with October often bringing cooling demand offset by weaker heating needs. Losses accelerated on August 18 as late-September forecasts turned cooler, reducing air-conditioning demand. Meanwhile, near-record U.S. output and elevated rig activity continue to weigh on prices.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
U.S. Natural Gas rises, but outlook mixedU.S. Natural Gas rises, but outlook mixed U.S. natural gas futures climbed about 2% to an eight-week high on August 17, supported by lower daily output and stronger demand forecasts for the next two weeks. However, October contracts retreated from a one-week high on Wednesday, settling slightly lower as traders anticipated a larger-than-average build in EIA inventories. Prices initially spiked midweek on forecasts for late-summer heat across much of the U.S., which is expected to drive up power-sector demand for air conditioning and slow inventory accumulation ahead of the winter heating season. Atmospheric G2 projected above-normal temperatures for September 22–26, with warmer conditions extending into the north-central U.S. from September 27–October 1. On the supply side, higher U.S. production remains a headwind. The EIA last week raised its 2025 output forecast by 0.2% to 106.63 bcf/day, near record highs, with active natural gas rigs recently hitting a two-year peak.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by ProfessorSingapore
Weather vs. Supply: Nat-Gas prices rallyWeather vs. Supply: Nat-Gas prices rally Natural gas prices surged in mid-October, driven primarily by forecasts for hotter-than-average US weather, which was expected to boost demand for cooling and electricity generation. Supporting this bullish sentiment, data showed US electricity output had increased year-over-year. However, these gains were tempered by bearish fundamentals. US natural gas storage levels rose more than expected and remained above the five-year average, indicating ample supply. Furthermore, the number of active gas rigs held steady, remaining below their recent peak, while European gas storage levels were also below their seasonal average.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
Natural gas starts week higher on demand outlookNatural gas starts week higher on demand outlook U.S. natural gas climbed to $3.2, supported by forecasts for above-normal temperatures later this month and steady LNG feedgas flows. Demand is expected to stay light for the next six days but rise in mid-September as heat returns. Prices also gained on supply concerns amid Kinder Morgan pipeline repairs and the anticipated full restart of Freeport LNG. Forecasts for warmer weather across the eastern and southern U.S. added further support. Despite strong production near record highs, storage remains 2.2% below last year but 5.6% above the five-year average.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
U.S. Natural Gas holds near 4-week highU.S. Natural Gas holds near 4-week high as storage builds match forecasts U.S. natural gas stayed near a four-week high Thursday after EIA data showed inventories rose by 55 Bcf to 3,272 Bcf for the week ending Aug. 29, in line with expectations. Stocks remain 2.2% below last year but 5.6% above the five-year average, signaling ample supply despite record LNG exports and strong demand. Higher production, with dry gas output at 107.1 Bcf/day, continues to pressure prices, while weather forecasts calling for warmer temperatures in mid-September may support short-term demand. LNG flows hit 15 Bcf/day, near record highs, as U.S. exports remain strong amid European and Asian demand.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by ProfessorSingapore
XNGUSD, Accumulation to Expansion? Weekly Long Into Winter RiskI’ve initiated a long on Natural Gas from weekly structure. Price has rotated inside this area since ’23 and is now reacting at a confluence of trendline support + prior demand. The plan is to hold into Q4, when seasonality (heating demand + potential hurricane/LNG disruptions) often provides upside tailwinds. Risk is defined on the weekly chart; I’ll manage around swings and let the position work. Technicals (Weekly) • Range base reclaimed: Price is bouncing from the same 2023–2024 accumulation zone (roughly 2.5–3.0). • Multi-touch trendline support: Current candle is reacting at the rising base trendline; wicks show responsive buying. • Structure targets: First objective is a move back into mid-range supply; extension aims toward the upper band shown on the chart. Fundamentals Supporting Long Bias • Seasonality: Q4 typically brings rising Heating Degree Days across the Northern Hemisphere; winter risk premia often get priced ahead of the draw season. • LNG pull: Ongoing ramp in global LNG demand + incremental U.S. export capacity tends to tighten the domestic balance on cold forecasts or unplanned outages elsewhere. • Supply discipline: Gas rig counts have lagged after the 2024 price slump; that slower supply response can tighten later-year balances if weather cooperates. • Weather & Gulf risk: Peak hurricane season can interrupt Gulf production and processing, periodically supporting price. • Europe draw season: As EU storage transitions from injection to draws, import needs rise, keeping a bid under seaborne gas. Trade Plan: • Entry: From weekly support (see chart). • Management: Trail below fresh higher lows on the daily; take partials at fib/structure levels; let a runner target the upper band if momentum broadens. What Breaks the Thesis • A persistently warm Q4, outsized storage overhang into winter, major LNG outages/delays, or a renewed surge in production that swamps demand. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by AR33_
U.S. Natural Gas Face Supply Pressures Amid Global ShiftsU.S. Natural Gas Face Supply Pressures Amid Global Shifts U.S. natural gas futures climbed above $3 per MMBtu in early September, rebounding from a nine-month low of $2.73 on August 20 as expectations of lower domestic supply gained traction. Fresh data revealed that Russian LNG exports fell over 6% year-over-year through August, boosting the U.S. share in global LNG trade as Europe and Asia sought alternative sources. This shift has intensified bidding competition for limited U.S. gas supplies, adding upward price pressure. Storage levels remain tight, with EIA data showing a 3.4% annual decline. On the demand side, ExxonMobil projects global natural gas consumption to increase over 20% in the next 25 years, driven by the transition away from coal. However, after the Labor Day weekend, U.S. futures slipped 3.5% to $2.893/MMBtu, retreating from Friday’s $3 test. Analysts note that the market is entering the low-demand shoulder season, but a sustained dip in supply could revive bullish momentum, potentially pushing prices above $3.00 later this month.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
Natural Gas: The Bearish Raid is On! Are You In?🌟 ATTENTION ALL BLACK MARKET TRADERS & NINJA THIEVES! 🌟 (XNG/USD Natural Gas Heist Plan - Bearish Swing/Scalping) Yo! 🐱‍👤🤑 The vault doors are creaking open on Natural Gas, and it's time for a BEARISH HEIST! Our intel suggests the big dump is coming. Police ain't around, so let's move! 🚓💨 🦹‍♂️ THE MASTER HEIST PLAN (BEARISH EDITION) Asset: XNG/USD (Natural Gas) | Trade Type: Swing / Scalping Heist Overall Bias: BEARISH 📉👊 (We're stealing on the way DOWN!) 🎯 ENTRY PROTOCOL: THE "LAYER" HEIST For the OG Thieves who understand patience and precision. We're not chasing; we're setting traps! 🎪 ENTRY: Any price level is a gift! But for the pros, we're setting MULTIPLE SELL LIMIT ORDERS to layer our entry like a true market ninja. 🧨 LAYER 1: 2.740 🧨 LAYER 2: 2.770 🧨 LAYER 3: 2.800 Pro Tip: You can add more layers based on your own capital. More layers, more loot! 💰💰💰 🚨 STOP LOSS (The Getaway Car Engine) This is where we bail if the cops show up. Don't be a hero. 🛑 THIEF S.L.: @2.950 📢 OG ANNOUNCEMENT: Dear Ladies & Gentleman of the shadow markets, adjust your SL based on your own risk appetite and strategy! Protect your capital! 🛡️ 🏁 TARGET (The Escape Route) The police barricade is set up down below. Our goal is to escape with the stolen money before we hit it! 🎯 T/P 1 (CASH OUT): @2.550 🚗💨 🚧 POLICE BARRICADE: @2.450 (Danger! Avoid this area!) 🔪 SCALPERS, LISTEN UP! 👂 If you're in and out quick, only scalp on the SHORT side. Ride those little downtrends for quick cash. Use a tight trailing stop to protect your mini-loot! 🏃‍♂️💵 ⚠️ HEIST ALERT: NEWS LOCKDOWN 🚫📰 Big news = cops everywhere! It creates chaos and volatility. To avoid getting caught: AVOID new trades during high-impact news. USE Trailing Stops to lock in profits on running heists. STAY STEALTHY. 🐱‍👤 💣 BOOST THIS IDEA! 💣 It fuels our underground network and helps us find the next perfect heist! Let's drain this market dry together! 🤑🤝❤️🎉 I'll see you in the shadows with the next score. Stay sharp! 🙈🙉🙊
ICMARKETS:XNGUSDShort
by The-Thief
U.S. Natural Gas Hits 10-Month Low on Cool Weather OutlookU.S. Natural Gas Hits 10-Month Low on Cool Weather Outlook U.S. natural gas futures slipped to $2.70/MMBtu, the lowest since November 2024, as cooler weather and weaker late-summer demand eased storage concerns. September NG1! fell 0.1%. Analysts say strong power demand and limited injections expected earlier won’t materialize. Forecasts show below-normal temperatures for the next two weeks, while LNG exports rose to 15.9 bcfd in August. Lower-48 gas output hit 108.5 bcfd, near record highs. Despite a smaller-than-expected storage build last week (+13 bcf), ample supply and higher production keep pressure on prices. U.S. LNG exports are projected to grow 10% annually through 2030, even as oil output plateaus. European gas futures also slipped 1% to €33.5/MWh as Norway’s maintenance impact eased and storage builds continue ahead of winter.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
2 Month Descending ChannelSeptember natural gas futures plunged to a nine-month low on August 22, dropping 4.5% amid near-record output, ample storage, and cooler weather reducing demand. Despite a rebound in LNG exports, prices have fallen for five straight weeks, down 24% overall. Record U.S. production in August averages 108.4 bcfd, while storage remains 6% above normal. Demand, including exports, is expected to ease in coming weeks, with LNG feedgas rising to 16.2 bcfd as plants recover from outages. Hurricane activity in the Atlantic poses no immediate threat to U.S. supply. Analysts expect U.S. LNG exports to grow about 10% annually through 2030.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by ProfessorSingapore
XNGUSD came to a global support lineXNGUSD came to a global support line Natural Gas has been declining since the beginning of June, forming the falling wedge. On Tuesday the price found support on a global trendline. The price is ready to reverse. Additionally, seasonals notice that shoulder season is about to get started, which historically means buying pressure for the natural gas, due to more natural gas is purchased before winter comes. Mid-term target may be the 3.4000 level.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
2
Natural Gas consolidates nearby support level of 3.0000Natural Gas consolidates nearby support level of 3.0000 U.S. Natural Gas has been declining since mid-June, forming the bullish wedge. Since the end of July 4-h RSI shows us bullish divergence, the price consolidates nearby the 3.0000 support level. The price is expected to rise towards 3.4000 level as a first target with 3.6000 as a final target. Additionally, according to seasonals, since the second half of the august, natural gas prices go bullish due to the beginning of the shoulder season, which may be an extra support factor for the asset.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by ProfessorSingapore
"NATURAL GAS PRICE THEFT IN PROGRESS – JOIN THE HEIST!"🔥 XNG/USD HEIST – BEARISH LOOT AWAITS! SWIPE & ESCAPE BEFORE THE COPS ARRIVE! 🔥 🌍 Greetings, Fellow Market Robbers! (Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!) 🚔💸 🚨 Mission Briefing: Based on 🔥Thief Trading Intelligence™🔥, we’ve identified a prime robbery opportunity in the XNG/USD (Natural Gas) Energy Market. Our Bearish Heist Plan is locked & loaded—long entries are a trap, and the real loot lies in the downside escape. 🎯 Heist Strategy: Entry (Swipe the Loot!) 🏦 "The vault is cracked! Bears are distracted—time to steal!" Sell Limit Orders preferred (15m-30m pullback entries). DCA/Layering Strategy for maximum loot efficiency. Stop Loss (Escape Route) 🚨 SL at nearest swing high (4H basis) – 3.480 (Day/Swing Trade) Adjust based on risk tolerance, lot size, & number of orders. Target (Police Evasion Zone) 🎯 2.900 (or earlier if cops close in!) 🔪 Scalpers’ Quick Heist: Short-side scalp ONLY! Big money? Go direct. Small stack? Join the swing robbers. Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! 🚗💨 ⚡ Why This Heist? (Bearish Forces at Play) Fundamentals: Oversupply, weak demand, storage glut. Technicals: Overbought, trend exhaustion, reversal signals. Sentiment: Bulls are overconfident—perfect trap setup! 📰 Breaking News Alert (Stay Sharp!) High-impact news = Volatility spikes! Avoid new trades during releases. Trailing SL = Your Shield. (Lock profits before the cops raid!) 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 👉 Hit LIKE & FOLLOW to fuel our next robbery! More loot = More strategies! 🚀💰 ⚠️ WARNING (Legal Escape Plan): Not financial advice! Your risk, your loot. Markets change—adapt or get caught! 🤑 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… STAY TUNED, ROBBERS! 🐱‍👤🔥
FPMARKETS:XNGUSDShort
by The-Thief